Boles: SNP 32, Lab 185, Con 33, Ind 5, Plaid 4, Lib Dem 2 Clarke: Lab 230, Con 37, Ind 5, Lib Dem 1 Kyle-Wilson SNP 31, Lab 203, Con 15, Ind 15, Green 1, Plaid 4
Sky news reporting more Tory MPs will follow Boles and likely to back a VONC in the government if no option backed to avoid No Deal by Friday, so general election increasingly likely once they are added to the 3 former Tory MPs already in TIG now who will also back a VONC
I admire Nick Boles for trying, and for putting what he sees as the country's interest above party-political considerations.
But - it was a unicorn, wasn't it?
1) The new version [of Common Market 2.0] says the customs arrangement that the government should negotiate with the EU should include “alignment with the union customs code and an agreement on commercial policy, and which includes a UK say on future EU trade deals”. Giving the UK a say on future EU trade deals (an optimistic request, if it is going to involve anything more than token consultation), is a specific Labour demand.
2) The new version says the new agreement with the EU must include “a legally binding joint instrument” saying the new arrangements would cause the backstop to be superseded.
Sky news reporting more Tory MPs will follow Boles and likely to back a VONC in the government if no option backed to avoid No Deal by Friday, so general election increasingly likely once they are added to the 3 former Tory MPs already in TIG now who will also back a VONC
TIG isn't ready to run a GE campaign - they will fight for more time
Everyone has pretty lame arguments at this point, given any options brought back have been rejected before. The idea that any rejected options should therefore not be treated as options is therefore, unfortunately, not really fair. The government's strategy to abstain has preserved its argument about relatively more popular (just), but they can hardly deny the others got almost as many and suffered due to abstentions, but equally it would be absurd to say it is not fair for the government to get another crack at its deal when it has received the most votes, even though it was rejected by more.
Boles seems a thoughtful and decent chap, but I don't see that his reasoning holds up - The Commons has not done what he wanted, so he's off? He was only compromising in the sense of staying with them if they did what he wanted? With him gone does that mean the Tories have lost even their working majority even should the DUP back them on most things?
2nd ref only 12 votes adrift. And 3 softest options all came closer than May's deal.
Without knowing which way the abstentions would go it is not as useful as it could be - May's deal is technically the most popular but not the most unpopular, and while it seems doubtful it is possible all these options could still fail even if you removed abstention as an option.
Not really Letwin's fault, but I don't think these two days of MPs taking control have worked out as well as they could have.
Once again, the Customs Union and Single Market motions would've passed if the Tiggers and Lib Dems had voted in favour of them.
They're deliberately trying to sabotage any prospect of a softer Brexit, in the hope that it will leave the second referendum as the only non-NoDeal option on the table. A strategy which, obviously, has a high risk of backfiring.
Er, while that is true, what about tonight has made that more true? For once, and despite the stupidity of government abstentions, it really is not her fault parliament still hasn't made up its mind.
Sky news reporting more Tory MPs will follow Boles and likely to back a VONC in the government if no option backed to avoid No Deal by Friday, so general election increasingly likely once they are added to the 3 former Tory MPs already in TIG now who will also back a VONC
TIG isn't ready to run a GE campaign - they will fight for more time
Soubry has confirmed before she will VONC the government rather than allow No Deal and campaign for EUref2 in that campaign
Once again, the Customs Union and Single Market motions would've passed if the Tiggers and Lib Dems had voted in favour of them.
They're deliberately trying to sabotage any prospect of a softer Brexit, in the hope that it will leave the second referendum as the only non-NoDeal option on the table. A strategy which, obviously, has a high risk of backfiring.
I know it's their raison d'etre, and there is some righteous anger that Scotland very much does not want Brexit, but is 'disrespected' the right word? Their votes were not disrespected, they were defeated, those are not the same thing.
SNP's Westminster leader Ian Blackford said the Commons needed to find consensus and work together.
He said a "vast majority" of Scottish MPs voted to revoke Article 50, to back a second referendum and to stay in the single market and customs union.
He said it was "crystal clear that our votes in this house are disrespected".
He says the day is coming "where we'll determine our future and it will be as an independent country".
Er, while that is true, what about tonight has made that more true? For once, and despite the stupidity of government abstentions, it really is not her fault parliament still hasn't made up its mind.
The govt could support compromise and whip accordingly. At the moment through abstentions and free votes she has absented herself from the debate, once again using brinkmanship for her deal.
If she picked a direction, this wouldn’t happen. She might lose the ERG, Fox and Leadsom but there is a way out.
Once again, the Customs Union and Single Market motions would've passed if the Tiggers and Lib Dems had voted in favour of them.
They're deliberately trying to sabotage any prospect of a softer Brexit, in the hope that it will leave the second referendum as the only non-NoDeal option on the table. A strategy which, obviously, has a high risk of backfiring.
This is essentially because MPs are still voting on what they don't want, rather than being forced to choose which of the small number of realistic options they do want (or at least dislike least).
Still, look on the bright side. No one, anywhere, in any jurisdiction, is going to entrust a negotiation to a parliament ever again.
@nickeardleybbc 24 Labour MPs voted again a confirmatory referendum.
Kevin Barron Ronnie Campbell Sarah Champion Rosie Cooper Jon Cruddas Caroline Flint Yvonne Fovargue Mary Glindon Stephen Hepburn Mike Hill Kaye Hoey Dan Jarvis Kevan Jones Helen Jones Emma Lewell Buck John Mann Grahame Morris Melanie Onn Stephanie Peacock Ruth Smeeth Laura Smith Gareth Snell Graham Stringer Derek Twigg
Lib Dem leader Sir Vince Cable asks whether it would be possible to combine a second referendum and a customs union, pointing out that they were the options that got the most votes.
If there's a GE we need a snap leadership contest first. May can't lead the Tories into a GE.
Snap contest, one of the two hundred MPs willing to back a Managed No Deal becomes PM, anyone not willing to back that resigns whip then a General Election can sort this out.
Boles: SNP 32, Lab 185, Con 33, Ind 5, Plaid 4, Lib Dem 2 Clarke: Lab 230, Con 37, Ind 5, Lib Dem 1 Kyle-Wilson SNP 31, Lab 203, Con 15, Ind 15, Green 1, Plaid 4
Very surprised the SNP didn't back a Customs Union.
Once again, the Customs Union and Single Market motions would've passed if the Tiggers and Lib Dems had voted in favour of them.
They're deliberately trying to sabotage any prospect of a softer Brexit, in the hope that it will leave the second referendum as the only non-NoDeal option on the table. A strategy which, obviously, has a high risk of backfiring.
Well it has just backfired.
We slate May and Corbyn, and their parties, but the Lib Dems complete failure to capitalise on Brexit surely makes them the most inept and poorly lead party in Parliament.
May, once again, caused this by forcing her cabinet to abstain and not using the whip to back a compromise.
Nonsense. It is entirely correct that the executive abstains to allow parliament to consider. And free vote is thd right approach for the rest, otherwise it's just party political balls
Looks like somebody clearly knew the results and moved the betting markets.
Presumably the extremely delayed annoucement was so they could keep re-counting to try and make the numbers work for Remainers (and on the betting markets? )
May, once again, caused this by forcing her cabinet to abstain and not using the whip to back a compromise.
Rubbish, she gave the party a free vote. More than can be said for Labour MPs when the PM's deal comes to the house. Labour are cowards who want no deal.
Er, while that is true, what about tonight has made that more true? For once, and despite the stupidity of government abstentions, it really is not her fault parliament still hasn't made up its mind.
The govt could support compromise and whip accordingly. At the moment through abstentions and free votes she has absented herself from the debate, once again using brinkmanship for her deal.
If she picked a direction, this wouldn’t happen. She might lose the ERG, Fox and Leadsom but there is a way out.
If senior ministers had voted, and the government had whipped, all the proposals would have been more heavily defeated.
Boles: SNP 32, Lab 185, Con 33, Ind 5, Plaid 4, Lib Dem 2 Clarke: Lab 230, Con 37, Ind 5, Lib Dem 1 Kyle-Wilson SNP 31, Lab 203, Con 15, Ind 15, Green 1, Plaid 4
Very surprised the SNP didn't back a Customs Union.
Sky news reporting more Tory MPs will follow Boles and likely to back a VONC in the government if no option backed to avoid No Deal by Friday, so general election increasingly likely once they are added to the 3 former Tory MPs already in TIG now who will also back a VONC
TIG isn't ready to run a GE campaign - they will fight for more time
Soubry has confirmed before she will VONC the government rather than allow No Deal and campaign for EUref2 in that campaign
I dont think any of the Tiggers expect to be re-elected, so they can do as they please.
I know it's their raison d'etre, and there is some righteous anger that Scotland very much does not want Brexit, but is 'disrespected' the right word? Their votes were not disrespected, they were defeated, those are not the same thing.
SNP's Westminster leader Ian Blackford said the Commons needed to find consensus and work together.
He said a "vast majority" of Scottish MPs voted to revoke Article 50, to back a second referendum and to stay in the single market and customs union.
He said it was "crystal clear that our votes in this house are disrespected".
He says the day is coming "where we'll determine our future and it will be as an independent country".
Shame Scots were too frit to take their future in their hands last time. No wonder it irks the SNP so much to have lost 2/2 referenda - the Scots are too frit to be independent but the UK isn't. Tough.
May, once again, caused this by forcing her cabinet to abstain and not using the whip to back a compromise.
Rubbish, she gave the party a free vote. More than can be said for Labour MPs when the PM's deal comes to the house. Labour are cowards who want no deal.
If May whipped any of leading options today they would pass. That is the way forward.
If there's a GE we need a snap leadership contest first. May can't lead the Tories into a GE.
Snap contest, one of the two hundred MPs willing to back a Managed No Deal becomes PM, anyone not willing to back that resigns whip then a General Election can sort this out.
May, once again, caused this by forcing her cabinet to abstain and not using the whip to back a compromise.
That's not causing it. As people continually defend Labour for not coming to the rescue of May's deal, why exactly is it her responsibility to come to the rescue of options she does not support?
I think she should do so too, but then I think MPs are all being reckless in not backing a plan B, whatever it is. But if it is ok for opposition MPs to risk no deal rather than compromise, why is it not ok for government MPs? Parliament has collective responsibility here.
More relevantly, even without May they could easily have coalesced around something. She hasn't helped, she should not be our PM, but blaming her because MPs didn't make a decision just seems strange to me. It's not like anyone follows the whip on Brexit when they don't want to. Giving May crap for things she is not responsible for is weird when there's so much she is responsible for.
May, once again, caused this by forcing her cabinet to abstain and not using the whip to back a compromise.
Rubbish, she gave the party a free vote. More than can be said for Labour MPs when the PM's deal comes to the house. Labour are cowards who want no deal.
If May whipped any of leading options today they would pass. That is the way forward.
If Corbyn whipped in favour of the PM's deal it would pass. That's the way forwards.
May, once again, caused this by forcing her cabinet to abstain and not using the whip to back a compromise.
Rubbish, she gave the party a free vote. More than can be said for Labour MPs when the PM's deal comes to the house. Labour are cowards who want no deal.
May can be criticised for many things, but allowing her junior ministers and MP's to vote as they wish is not one of them.
They are incapable of compromise! And so I will quit as I cannot compromise on what I want! (I kid really, he voted for the deal as I recall - but that's another vote on the deal lost for May, she's going backwards and needs upwards of 35 Lab MPs on top of the 5/6 from last time!)
And thus the Cameron project to modernise the Conservative Party finally dies. I don’t see how the “traditional” one in alliance with hard right English nationalism gets an electoral majority ever again.
Independent Progressive Conservative? Did he just grab three words out of a bag? Can I stand as Dog Mirror Liberal? Radiator Underpants Radical? Bleeding Sore Republican? Arse Biscuit Labour?
Lab ex mining constituencies say "No" to a people's vote:
Rother Valley, Blyth Valley, Rotherham, West Lancashire, Dagenham, Don Valley, Makerfield, North Tyneside, Jarrow, Vauxhall, Barnsley Central, Warrington North, North Durham, South Shields, Bassetlaw, Easington, Barnsley East, Stoke North, Crewe, Stoke Central, Blackley, Halton.
Independent Progressive Conservative? Did he just grab three words out of a bag? Can I stand as Dog Mirror Liberal? Radiator Underpants Radical? Bleeding Sore Republican? Arse Biscuit Labour?
Comments
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1112825123814432773
Clarke: Lab 230, Con 37, Ind 5, Lib Dem 1
Kyle-Wilson SNP 31, Lab 203, Con 15, Ind 15, Green 1, Plaid 4
But - it was a unicorn, wasn't it?
1) The new version [of Common Market 2.0] says the customs arrangement that the government should negotiate with the EU should include “alignment with the union customs code and an agreement on commercial policy, and which includes a UK say on future EU trade deals”. Giving the UK a say on future EU trade deals (an optimistic request, if it is going to involve anything more than token consultation), is a specific Labour demand.
2) The new version says the new agreement with the EU must include “a legally binding joint instrument” saying the new arrangements would cause the backstop to be superseded.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2019/apr/01/brexit-latest-live-news-indicative-votes--brexiters-dismiss-customs-union-plan-as-unacceptable-as-mps-prepare-for-more-indicative-votes-live-new
If I wanted to join a party that was about to trash the economy I would have joined the Labour party.
Boles seems a thoughtful and decent chap, but I don't see that his reasoning holds up - The Commons has not done what he wanted, so he's off? He was only compromising in the sense of staying with them if they did what he wanted? With him gone does that mean the Tories have lost even their working majority even should the DUP back them on most things?
More reason people will want a GE, alas. It's not a firm rule, even though it is not the common practice. Without knowing which way the abstentions would go it is not as useful as it could be - May's deal is technically the most popular but not the most unpopular, and while it seems doubtful it is possible all these options could still fail even if you removed abstention as an option.
Not really Letwin's fault, but I don't think these two days of MPs taking control have worked out as well as they could have.
Yep.
They need to be given one final chance to pass May's deal or the house will be prorogued until 15th April and No Deal will just take its course.
Enough of this bullshit!
24 Labour MPs voted again a confirmatory referendum.
They're deliberately trying to sabotage any prospect of a softer Brexit, in the hope that it will leave the second referendum as the only non-NoDeal option on the table. A strategy which, obviously, has a high risk of backfiring.
She's given them a deal (it may be shit but its a deal none the less) and they thought they could do better.
How is that May's fault?
SNP's Westminster leader Ian Blackford said the Commons needed to find consensus and work together.
He said a "vast majority" of Scottish MPs voted to revoke Article 50, to back a second referendum and to stay in the single market and customs union.
He said it was "crystal clear that our votes in this house are disrespected".
He says the day is coming "where we'll determine our future and it will be as an independent country".
If she picked a direction, this wouldn’t happen. She might lose the ERG, Fox and Leadsom but there is a way out.
Still, look on the bright side. No one, anywhere, in any jurisdiction, is going to entrust a negotiation to a parliament ever again.
Ronnie Campbell
Sarah Champion
Rosie Cooper
Jon Cruddas
Caroline Flint
Yvonne Fovargue
Mary Glindon
Stephen Hepburn
Mike Hill
Kaye Hoey
Dan Jarvis
Kevan Jones
Helen Jones
Emma Lewell Buck
John Mann
Grahame Morris
Melanie Onn
Stephanie Peacock
Ruth Smeeth
Laura Smith
Gareth Snell
Graham Stringer
Derek Twigg
Cable: Combine referendum with customs union
Lib Dem leader Sir Vince Cable asks whether it would be possible to combine a second referendum and a customs union, pointing out that they were the options that got the most votes.
Snap contest, one of the two hundred MPs willing to back a Managed No Deal becomes PM, anyone not willing to back that resigns whip then a General Election can sort this out.
I think she should do so too, but then I think MPs are all being reckless in not backing a plan B, whatever it is. But if it is ok for opposition MPs to risk no deal rather than compromise, why is it not ok for government MPs? Parliament has collective responsibility here.
More relevantly, even without May they could easily have coalesced around something. She hasn't helped, she should not be our PM, but blaming her because MPs didn't make a decision just seems strange to me. It's not like anyone follows the whip on Brexit when they don't want to. Giving May crap for things she is not responsible for is weird when there's so much she is responsible for.
https://twitter.com/JohnRentoul/status/1112829365103050755
The pro-EU fanatics and the ERG ultras are two cheeks of the same arse. They get their way or the world burns.
Rother Valley, Blyth Valley, Rotherham, West Lancashire, Dagenham, Don Valley, Makerfield, North Tyneside, Jarrow, Vauxhall, Barnsley Central, Warrington North, North Durham, South Shields, Bassetlaw, Easington, Barnsley East, Stoke North, Crewe, Stoke Central, Blackley, Halton.
The government is utterly incompetent and impotent, true. Thing is, Parliament is behaving no better.