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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The 2017 general election: The most profitable general electio
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The 2017 general election: The most profitable general election ever for the bookies
I can only speak confidently for Ladbrokes (and Corals!) but the 2017 general election was almost certainly the most profitable in history for UK bookies. After the bloodbath of a Tory majority in 2015, we managed to win most of that back with the result on Thursday.
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Remainiacs are over-playing their hands, They see this election result as not just a chance to water down Brexit but to stop it altogether.
Anyone that wants even the softest Brexit to happen has got to rally around Theresa May... Anything else will see the elites snatch this away from us.
https://twitter.com/guardianheather/status/873881850820866048
Early on:
Lib Dems less than 27.5 seats at 5/6 - won
Lib Dems range 11 - 19 seats at 3/1 - won
Labour to win Bristol West at 7/4 - won
During the campaign as "insurance":
Conservatives in Twickenham at 6/4 - lost
Labour in Cambridge at 10/3 - won
Labour in Bermondsey at 5/4 - won
Just before end of campaign:
Lib Dems in East Dunbartonshire at 4/6 - won
Lib Dems in North Norfolk at 13/8 - won
Slightly better than doubled my (small amount of) money.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xdxs-oH3cOE
Hope Tory members keep this in their grudge bank and make sure this ghastly man can never make a comeback.
I'd vote for Jezza every day of week and twice on Sundays over Osborne.
They need to win both in places like Mansfield and Kensington.
That ain't gonna win back Kensington.
There you go, that's all you need to know about this ****. What Tory Remainers need to remember is that having cried wolf over Brexit, the voters are no longer scared by claims about what a nasty man Jeremy Corbyn is and how terrible things will be if he ever comes to power.
May's dreadful, but Osborne's very much played his part in all of this.
You hang together, or you hang separately.
Edit: Cameron invested political capital in gay marriage. May invested political capital in castigating the "citizens of nowhere".
Hate breeds hate.
Constituency betting is certainly the way to go, all you have to do is follow the demographic trends.
And thanks to Shadsy and the other bookies.
By the way, I hope you've received apologies from those who mocked you for your analysis of the polls. In particular your point about swingback to the opposition (as in 2005) proved to be very true.
It looks as though the problem with a Con/DUP arrangement is simply the optics and whether it can be sold rather than the DUP's actual views and policies otherwise people like you would be equally appalled that Cameron was cosying up to the DUP before 2015 as you are about what May is doing now.
I can understand people being against a deal with the DUP on principle because of their bigoted views... But this idea that a deal with Cameron would've been OK because he could "sell" it just looks like pure hypocrisy to me....
But I have Corbyn to thank for Ynys Mons, Leeds NW and East Lothian. All 10-1+ winners which in themselves netted over a grand.
I also tipped up Hallam at 25-1, unfortunately I could only get £2 on (And rebacked Clegg at 4-9) before going in again on Labour at odds against for tuppence ha'penny. The idea the Tories would take Hallam given their working class campaign was ridiculous !
Overall I'm reasonably sure I'm up overall despite a few Tory horrors.
10-19 seats @ 10-1 was a huge rick, unfortunately Paddy knocked me back to £50 rather than the £400 I wanted in shop
Maybe one thing to come out of any Con/DUP arrangement is that the Irish parties will get taken seriously by our arrogant broadcasters in the debates for the next election.
The Conservatives are dying in London suburbia - if Labour hadn't antagonised middle class Hindus and Jews it would have been even worse.
Enfield Southgate is going the way of Enfield North which is going the same way as Edmonton.
Chingford is going the way of Ilford North which is going the same way as Ilford South.
It was David Cameron repeating his mums advice to Corbyn to put on a suit and do up his tie.
https://twitter.com/kevverage/status/873886818428694528
But Theresa has campaigned on avoiding a coalition of chaos, and by dividing one part of the country against another.
Against that narrative, the DUP is a toxifying and highly unstable element.
And there's far more 'cockney' accents heard in the likes of Mansfield and Morley than there used to be.
Yoon arithmetic, 21 is 'about half' of 56.
Let's try again shall we? If Ruth has 13 seats, and Nicola has 35 seats, who won the election?'
http://politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com/discussion/5086/politicalbetting-com-blog-archive-the-2017-general-election-the-most-profitable-general-electio#latest
At an individual level, I've liked almost every Northern Irish person I've met, and spent a really wonderful holiday in Antrim last year. The Coast is incredible.
"Correct!"
Given that Surrey and Hertfordshire were only marginally Leave, I thought the Tories might struggle in one or two seats, but not a bit. I think that a bit more than a big Remain vote was needed to beat them ( eg lots of students, anger over austerity, or social care).
If we had 10 less seats, we'd be out of power. Corbyn would be PM, and would have to start delivering Brexit and somehow reconciling his plans with the public finances. The Tories would be strong in Parliament, and would be able to harass and embarrass Labour on a regular basis.
If we had 10 more seats, we'd have a majority, and the DUP would be enough for the difficult Brexit votes.
Instead, the parliamentary arithmetic means we have no choice but to carry on in government, supported by a party who will tar us by association. We may not be able to get any Brexit settlement through Parliament thanks to our own rebels, which could lead to a chaotic exit or another election at which we would be utterly eviscerated.
It's an utter, utter disaster. She is worse than Eden, Chamberlain and Major combined, and yet replacing her would be worse.
The state visit though should not go ahead. It should have never even been offered.
https://twitter.com/michaelgove/status/873860740213600256
They'd be out of power for 50 years.
https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/873895655034552321
It's a Gramscian crisis - The old is dying but the new cannot be born.
The losers are those with the most invested in May's pre-election status quo.
And in 2016 Osborne destroyed Project Fear - nobody believes scare stories from the government any more.
There's more, much more, besides that.
May sacked him, unnecessarily, and needlessly viciously, before driving the party and country into the ground.
He is entitled to feel aggrieved