I have never understood the idea amongst some Conservatives that Osborne could be leader.
Net vote loser.
The view is that people will flock to the Conservatives if they promise to slash public spending and taxes, promote mass migration, and support the EU.
Philip May really needs to have a long talk with his wife.
She is simply not thinking straight.
She is damaging her party and the country and herself if she carries on like this.
I don't think she's up to it.
I detest the rage and hatred towards for her not being Dave or George, who also proved to be not up to it.
She cannot do Brexit.
She asked for a mandate. She did not get it. The EU know that. We know that. The Tories know that.
If the Tories do not act, they will add cowardice to the arrogance, stupidity, complacency and hubris they have displayed. Someone surely must see that. Surely?
May has to resign, she should postpone the Brexit talks for a successor to be appointed who will then deal with it. She has no credibility what so ever after the election debacle. She asked for a mandate and did not get one. A successor could negotiate and then hold a General Election to validate the UK's intention to either walk away without a deal / accept the deal / Remain in the EU on the current terms.
I have never understood the idea amongst some Conservatives that Osborne could be leader.
Net vote loser.
For many in the country he is the face of austerity.
Exactly, in some respects he's like Tory Blair. Osborne owns austerity like Blair owns Iraq. Whatever the rights and wrongs are he is not going to be a popular politician any time soon, most on the left hate him, and quite a lot on the right do as well.
I have never understood the idea amongst some Conservatives that Osborne could be leader.
Net vote loser.
The view is that people will flock to the Conservatives if they promise to slash public spending and taxes, promote mass migration, and support the EU.
Labour are going to unite behind Corbyn now, massively energized, they need to get moderates into the Cabinet and continue to link May to Conservatism to get maximum toxicity. A few by elections and they could take power.
I have never understood the idea amongst some Conservatives that Osborne could be leader.
Net vote loser.
For many in the country he is the face of austerity.
Exactly, in some respects he's like Tory Blair. Osborne owns austerity like Blair owns Iraq. Whatever the rights and wrongs are he is not going to be a popular politician any time soon, most on the left hate him, and quite a lot on the right do as well.
Could imagine him coming back as a strategist or similar, but he would be a bizarre choice of frontman.
Yep he's not a figurehead but an invaluable advisor
I don't think there's any doubt Labour wasted votes in safe seats. If you increase your share by 9% you'd expect to make more than 30 net gains.
I'm sure more analysis is needed but the electoral map still seems to favour the Conservatives in the sense that a vote lead of just 2.4% (UK) has resulted in a lead of 56 seats.
Labour are going to unite behind Corbyn now, massively energized, they need to get moderates into the Cabinet and continue to link May to Conservatism to get maximum toxicity. A few by elections and they could take power.
Moderates that sign up to Corbynism are not moderates.
I wonder when they will announce Donald Trumps state visit visit will be deferred again? Who ever is the successor to May will not want his Toxic dust to tarnish their reputation.
Having totted up my bets. A 14/60 hit rate. PBers tips on the Scottish seats and Ynys Mon saved my bacon. Down about £50 overall.
For the second election in a row I got the Lab/Con position totally wrong. Lost loads on that. Made slightly more on my LD/UKIP/SNP bets. Small profit, but nothing to be proud of.
I was a bit pissed last night and initially thought I was about £200 down. Quite a relief to claw some back.
Yes, I had that last night. Worse in 2015 though, thought I'd lost thousands. Went to bed, totted it up next morning. Very relieved!
Labour are going to unite behind Corbyn now, massively energized, they need to get moderates into the Cabinet and continue to link May to Conservatism to get maximum toxicity. A few by elections and they could take power.
Moderates that sign up to Corbynism are not moderates.
I don't think there's any doubt Labour wasted votes in safe seats. If you increase your share by 9% you'd expect to make more than 30 net gains.
I'm sure more analysis is needed but the electoral map still seems to favour the Conservatives in the sense that a vote lead of just 2.4% (UK) has resulted in a lead of 56 seats.
The Conservative vote is now extremely efficient. A small lead in votes gives a big lead in seats.
Help To Buy was well intentioned but had the opposite effect of driving house prices up even further because of limited supply. The answer is to build, build, build.
A party truly serious about doing that would abolish green belts. I will be dead and buried long before that ever happens.
I actually do wonder which party is most likely to do this. The Tories would be crucified by their current voters but would gain future voters (would they arrive overnight though or over the years as the policy is felt?). It would obviously chime with the economic interests of many of the new (not New) Labour voters but I can imagine the abolition of the "green" belt may go down poorly with them at the same time.
I doubt any of the current parties would do it. So we cram ever smaller and crappier houses into out cities, with tiny gardens and no useful parking, rather than do the bloody obvious and allow cities to expand.
You don't need to build - you need to restrict credit as currently house prices are based on the logic - monthly rent = monthly interest only mortgage rate * whatever the current ratio banks are using for security..
Section 24 is a step in that direction but more needs to be done to both stop the expanse of buy to let and encourage the sale of some of those houses...
Oh and providing a plausible reason for saving money would help as well....
If the rumours are right its not the first time there has been deals between the UK government and the DUP - all denied but it was a fairly widespread accusation at the time.
It's surreal. I'm now defending the DUP on social media. I think I will never forgive the Corbyn fans for that. They seem to be trying to suggest they are an unmasked version of the KKK
It's surreal. I'm now defending the DUP on social media. I think I will never forgive the Corbyn fans for that. They seem to be trying to suggest they are an unmasked version of the KKK
Their real crime is keeping the Tories in power.
If it was a waver thin majority, we'd still receive the abuse just directed solely at us.
I don't think there's any doubt Labour wasted votes in safe seats. If you increase your share by 9% you'd expect to make more than 30 net gains.
I'm sure more analysis is needed but the electoral map still seems to favour the Conservatives in the sense that a vote lead of just 2.4% (UK) has resulted in a lead of 56 seats.
The Conservative vote is now extremely efficient. A small lead in votes gives a big lead in seats.
It's unlikely, but there's no cast iron-law to say that Labour will win in GE2022 either.
It's surreal. I'm now defending the DUP on social media. I think I will never forgive the Corbyn fans for that. They seem to be trying to suggest they are an unmasked version of the KKK
Their real crime is keeping the Tories in power.
Exactly. Whereas SF hypothetically support the Coalition of Chaos would be promoting progressive democratic socialism.
It's surreal. I'm now defending the DUP on social media. I think I will never forgive the Corbyn fans for that. They seem to be trying to suggest they are an unmasked version of the KKK
Thats because the arseholes don't like whats happened and others don't get that the DUP isn't quite what it used to be. It hasn't completed the change yet but it will.
What many of them also don't get is that DUP in some areas have been more left of centre than right.
The UK population is headed towards 70 million around 2030 and 75 million around 2040, we need to build. I do agree about BTL though.
That's a different issue - but building wouldn't fix the ownership issue as currently it will just give BTLers more things to buy.
If you want house owners you need to discourage BTL and that means restricting finance and actual ensuring there are other plausible ways to invest money that are perceived to be risk free...
I have never understood the idea amongst some Conservatives that Osborne could be leader.
Net vote loser.
The view is that people will flock to the Conservatives if they promise to slash public spending and taxes, promote mass migration, and support the EU.
I don't understand why so many present-day Conservatives support unrestricted migration, when that certainly wasn't the case from the 1950s to the 1980s.
One of the reasons Thatcher got elected, and stayed in office, is immigration and she passed a couple of major pieces of legislation in her first term to address it.
They worked, it went away as an issue, and she got re-elected.
That's a different issue - but building wouldn't fix the ownership issue. Things need to be tightened to discourage BTL and that means restricting finance and actual ensuring there are other plausible ways to invest money in ways that are perceived to be risk free...
Okay, I very much agree about getting people off the "my house is my pension" viewpoint. We need to do that, but we have to build a lot more houses, where they are needed, and ideally of a better quality than we do now.
A Tory party that won't or can't ensure that people can afford to buy a home of their own might as well shut up shop.
Many thanks to all who helped pb.com keep going last night, The only time I had any difficulties getting on was when the exit poll was published and the denial from the pb.com Tories was a an absolute delight to behold.
I wonder when they will announce Donald Trumps state visit visit will be deferred again? Who ever is the successor to May will not want his Toxic dust to tarnish their reputation.
I'd lose my bet, but I wouldn't be displeased if that was kicked into the long grass now.
The man is a liability, and he isn't going to do us any favours at all.
Many thanks to all who helped pb.com keep going last night, The only time I had any difficulties getting on was when the exit poll was published and the denial from the pb.com Tories was a an absolute delight to behold.
Thats because the arseholes don't like whats happened and others don't get that the DUP isn't quite what it used to be. It hasn't completed the change yet but it will.
What many of them also don't get is that DUP in some areas have been more left of centre than right.
If anything it might be good for the DUP to have some national scrutiny and prominence, if they become part of the mainstream it seems reasonable to think they might become more mainstream in terms of views as well.
It's surreal. I'm now defending the DUP on social media. I think I will never forgive the Corbyn fans for that. They seem to be trying to suggest they are an unmasked version of the KKK
Their real crime is keeping the Tories in power.
Exactly. Whereas SF hypothetically support the Coalition of Chaos would be promoting progressive democratic socialism.
Progressive Democratic Socialism...that sounds like something North Korea would put out in a communique...
What queasy conservatives need to get over, the little snowflakes, is no DUP involvement then door open for Corbyn. You think Arlene Foster wants that, you think Conservative voters want that?
It's surreal. I'm now defending the DUP on social media. I think I will never forgive the Corbyn fans for that. They seem to be trying to suggest they are an unmasked version of the KKK
Thats because the arseholes don't like whats happened and others don't get that the DUP isn't quite what it used to be. It hasn't completed the change yet but it will.
What many of them also don't get is that DUP in some areas have been more left of centre than right.
Just for the record, and channeling Lord Mandelson, I'm supremely relaxed about the DUP coming on board.
It's surreal. I'm now defending the DUP on social media. I think I will never forgive the Corbyn fans for that. They seem to be trying to suggest they are an unmasked version of the KKK
Thats because the arseholes don't like whats happened and others don't get that the DUP isn't quite what it used to be. It hasn't completed the change yet but it will.
What many of them also don't get is that DUP in some areas have been more left of centre than right.
They are doing what they accuse others of doing and using ignorance as a weapon. They can paint anything on the DUP and the true believers lap it up.
There's not much difference between the appeal of May and Cameron, overall. One of them won 306 and 330 seats, the other won 318.
Osborne though, is about as popular as AIDS.
She lost seats and Cameron's majority to Jeremy Corbyn ffs . With no Ukip or lib dem challenge worth its salt. A slight difference I'd say.
I think she was a rotten campaigner.
But, I think others would have struggled to do better.
People are sick of austerity. I don't see any easy way around this.
A perfect campaign would have still seen Corbyn enthuse and rally the Left, and the Tories suffer a loss of sheen and freshness, but might have saved an extra 25-35 seats.
I doubt a landslide, such as it is, on the evidence we now have, was ever really practical.
I suspect a lot of the criticism of May's proposed deal with the DUP is simply a manifestation of post-election hysteria, and doesn't really reflect the perception of the man on the Clapham omnibus (who in fairness is probably a Corbynite given the way London voted).
However, two points (unrelated to each other):
1) In the past Labour has not been that willing to criticise the Tories too loudly for potentially working with the DUP because they're not willing to endanger the peace process and because they might also need the DUP's assistance in the future. However, with the DUP absolutely ruling out working with Corbyn, and Corbyn being in favour of Irish unification, I think that restraint might well not be there this time.
2) I wonder if this result is not the worst possible result for the Tories. If they had won around ten seats less, Corbyn would have come to power on the back of the SNP and odds and sods. And, as David Herdson predicted a couple of weeks ago, a government led by him would probably have been incredibly weak and incompetent, having to deal with the contradictory demands of their voting coalition on Brexit, and in short time incredibly unpopular. With the Tories sitting on a bit over 300 seats and gaining seats at by-elections, they could have eventually succeeded in passing a vote of no confidence, bringing about an election in which they would likely won a good majority.
Ten-fifteen seats more and the Conservatives would have a majority, wouldn't need to depend on the DUP and would exercise a much greater degree of control over the political scene.
As it is, no other parties than the Tories can form a government, but they have no majority and are vulnerable to being overthrown by a couple of adverse by-elections. Theresa May's authority has also been shot to pieces, but at a time when the country can't really afford two months of leadership campaigning, meaning she remains in place at the head of a zombie government which slowly leaks authority and credibility.
What a total clusterfuck. Emigration to Canada or Australia increasingly looks like a good idea.
Plus it doesn't matter what official DUP policy is, or what is in any agreement. Every stupid quote, every daft past policy, every odd association will be all over the news for weeks and weeks.
I'm going to enjoy seeing all those people who airily dismissed "every stupid quote, every daft past policy, every odd association" when it related to Jezza, McDonnell and their mates get very wound up when such things can be used to "smear" (I think this now the approved word) the Tories and their "friends".
Owen Jones provided a classic example this morning.
Hypocrites.
Yup, it will become a mud fight....in one area where the Tories didn't have to fight as they had clear demarcation.
Catching up with Cyclefree's earlier question - as a backbencher, Corbyn and other left-wingers routinely gave a hearing to critics of Government policy without spending much time scrutinising their detailed views on everything. Where something really nasty was pointed out, such holocaust denial, that was the end of the contact. I don't feel that if you meet someone, even in a friendly way, you incur liability of every view that they have ever expressed, though I think some more care would have been a good idea. I also don't think that if you support an organisation (e.g. Stop the War) you automatically agree with everything they say, or need to give a running commentary.
Once in the leadership these contacts acquire greater weight and they have largely stopped. And in any case I think that talking to/visiting someone and inviting them into a key role in Government are different levels of engagement - the equivalent would be if, say, Corbyn were to urge that Sinn Fein be allowed to waive the oath of allegiance so they could take their seats and support a Labour government. I note that Scottish Conservatives, at least, seem to share my unease.
But we've been over this ground before and everyone's views are clear, so I'll leave it there for now.
Since 2010, the British democratic system has really lost the link between what you vote for and what you get. If May goes this week after getting Blair '97 numbers of votes, and there isn't an election within, say, a year or two, then a lot of people haven't got what they voted for. That troubles me.
The main argument against FPTP in my book is it leads to unstable governments and coalitions with tiny majorities often with fringe parties involved.
Labour are going to unite behind Corbyn now, massively energized, they need to get moderates into the Cabinet and continue to link May to Conservatism to get maximum toxicity. A few by elections and they could take power.
Moderates that sign up to Corbynism are not moderates.
You know that - but the voters don't seem to care.
Many thanks to all who helped pb.com keep going last night, The only time I had any difficulties getting on was when the exit poll was published and the denial from the pb.com Tories was a an absolute delight to behold.
I thought you were in the pb.com Tories tribe some years back ;-)
I have never understood the idea amongst some Conservatives that Osborne could be leader.
Net vote loser.
The view is that people will flock to the Conservatives if they promise to slash public spending and taxes, promote mass migration, and support the EU.
I don't understand why so many present-day Conservatives support unrestricted migration, when that certainly wasn't the case from the 1950s to the 1980s.
One of the reasons Thatcher got elected, and stayed in office, is immigration and she passed a couple of major pieces of legislation in her first term to address it.
They worked, it went away as an issue, and she got re-elected.
Ruth has to get a separate SCon brand as clearly separate from the UK Con brand as possible as fast as possible otherwise come the net election (be it Holyrood or Westminster) SCon will be a backlash target.
Maybe one of the biggest mistakes by the Tories was to have such a long campaign. If you've decided on a snap election because the polls look good, surely the smart thing to do would be to have as short a campaign as possible so that time is limited if the polls do start to move against you.
Maybe one of the biggest mistakes was to have such a long campaign. If you're having a snap election because the polls look good, surely the smart thing to do would be to have as short a campaign as possible so that time is limited if the polls do start to move against you. Theresa May's decision to have a very long campaign seems like idiocy now.
Sinn Fein says Tory/DUP alliance is in contravention of terms of Good Friday Agreement.
Don't many people among YOUR co-religionists believe in homophobia and extremism?
You're obsessed.
Every time you mention this, I'll mention your tacit support for the vile caste system.
Where did I support the Caste system? I am an atheist FFS!
Do you deny many Muslims are homophobes and support terrorism?
In the same way you're a Hindu, I'm a Muslim.
Would you like me to list the homophobic laws India has?
I don't believe in reincarnation or astrology, or hundreds of different deities!
But why do you pick on the DUP? Asian Indo-Pakistani culture is just as or even more homophobic!
The Tory party are about to undo a lot of Cameron's detoxification work, particularly with gay marriage, by associating themselves with a party whose views are not in line with the mainstream on the mainland. They are not planning on tainting themselves by seeking confidence and supply from a South Asian party, so the comparison really isn't relevant.
"Many Labour voters share the DUP's homophobia" - discuss.
THE UK is on its way to the polling station to make a decision it is certain it will regret.
The country, which has been making unappealing and disastrous decisions like this since at least 2005, actually believes this one to be the worst yet.
Voter Eleanor Shaw said: “It’s not just that the choice is bad, though it is dreadful. It’s that it bears no relation to what you’ll actually get.
“Like last time I voted Cameron, at the least I thought I’d get Cameron. Shit but safe. Instead I got a mad-eyed germophobe demanding a Brexit that can slice steel.
“I voted to leave the EU a little bit and we’re crashing out of everything, I voted Clegg and got a pet Clegg, and every single time it’s like but all the other options also sucked.
“In a year I’ll be going ‘Why did I do that? Why?’ but voting’s about getting it wrong, isn’t it? That’s half the fun.”
Something I found very powerful was “It’s not just that the choice is bad, though it is dreadful. It’s that it bears no relation to what you’ll actually get."
Since 2010, the British democratic system has really lost the link between what you vote for and what you get. If May goes this week after getting Blair '97 numbers of votes, and there isn't an election within, say, a year or two, then a lot of people haven't got what they voted for. That troubles me.
Isn't it the nature of democracy that the majority gets much of what it likes and a bit of what it doesn't, and that the minority gets the obverse
Maybe one of the biggest mistakes was to have such a long campaign. If you're having a snap election because the polls look good, surely the smart thing to do would be to have as short a campaign as possible so that time is limited if the polls do start to move against you. Theresa May's decision to have a very long campaign seems like idiocy now.
I think it could have only been a week shorter.
A week could have made all the difference in terms of those extra 8 seats.
Maybe one of the biggest mistakes by the Tories was to have such a long campaign. If you've decided on a snap election because the polls look good, surely the smart thing to do would be to have as short a campaign as possible so that time is limited if the polls do start to move against you.
Conversely, none of the issues about Jeremy Corbyn have gone away.
He's not the messiah. And a long period in opposition with him fully under the spotlight - having become so popular during the campaign - might not necessarily be to his benefit.
If I were the Tories, I'd be undermining his economics and credibility for the next few years relentlessly, whilst positively engagingly with young voters-middle aged with an offer of their own based on economic reality.
It's surreal. I'm now defending the DUP on social media. I think I will never forgive the Corbyn fans for that. They seem to be trying to suggest they are an unmasked version of the KKK
Their real crime is keeping the Tories in power.
Exactly. Whereas SF hypothetically support the Coalition of Chaos would be promoting progressive democratic socialism.
Progressive Democratic Socialism...that sounds like something North Korea would put out in a communique...
What queasy conservatives need to get over, the little snowflakes, is no DUP involvement then door open for Corbyn. You think Arlene Foster wants that, you think Conservative voters want that?
Get f**king real
Yeah. North Korea. Please. Unionist snowflakes need to get over the fact that Mummy Britain is looking at them, perhaps for the first time, in disdain.
Just been looking at the numbers and Lab are actually in reach of an overall majority now thanks to the SNP drop. 63 target gains in numerical majority (rather than %) would be as follows:
Southampton, Itchen 31 Glasgow South West 60 Glasgow East 75 Arfon 92 Airdrie & Shotts 202 Preseli Pembrokeshire 314 Motherwell & Wishaw 318 Pudsey 331 Thurrock 345 Hastings & Rye 346 Chipping Barnet 353 Lanark & Hamilton East 360 Inverclyde 384 Norwich North 507 Calder Valley 609 Aberconwy 635 Stoke-on-Trent South 663 Telford 720 Northampton North 807 Dunfermline & West Fife 844 Broxtowe 863 Bolton West 936 Na h-Eileanan an Iar 1,007 Middlesbrough South & East Cleveland 1,020 Mansfield 1,057 Glasgow North 1,060 Hendon 1,076 Northampton South 1,159 Pendle 1,279 Morecambe & Lunesdale 1,399 Putney 1,554 Camborne & Redruth 1,577 Edinburgh North & Leith 1,625 Finchley & Golders Green 1,657 Copeland 1,695 Milton Keynes South 1,725 Harrow East 1,757 Milton Keynes North 1,915 Blackpool North & Cleveleys 2,023 Glasgow South 2,027 Watford 2,092 Morley & Outwood 2,104 Vale of Glamorgan 2,190 Glasgow Central 2,267 West Dunbartonshire 2,288 Chingford & Woodford Green 2,438 Crawley 2,457 South Swindon 2,464 Worcester 2,490 Paisley & Renfrewshire South 2,536 Glasgow North West 2,561 Carlisle 2,599 Walsall North 2,601 Paisley & Renfrewshire North 2,613 Corby 2,690 North East Derbyshire 2,861 Reading West 2,876 Southport 2,914 Linlithgow & East Falkirk 2,919 Carmarthen West & South Pembrokeshire 3,110 Cities of London & Westminster 3,148 Rossendale & Darwen 3,216 Glenrothes 3,267
Maybe one of the biggest mistakes was to have such a long campaign. If you're having a snap election because the polls look good, surely the smart thing to do would be to have as short a campaign as possible so that time is limited if the polls do start to move against you. Theresa May's decision to have a very long campaign seems like idiocy now.
I think it could have only been a week shorter.
A week could have made all the difference in terms of those extra 8 seats.
Sinn Fein says Tory/DUP alliance is in contravention of terms of Good Friday Agreement.
Don't many people among YOUR co-religionists believe in homophobia and extremism?
You're obsessed.
Every time you mention this, I'll mention your tacit support for the vile caste system.
Where did I support the Caste system? I am an atheist FFS!
Do you deny many Muslims are homophobes and support terrorism?
In the same way you're a Hindu, I'm a Muslim.
Would you like me to list the homophobic laws India has?
I don't believe in reincarnation or astrology, or hundreds of different deities!
But why do you pick on the DUP? Asian Indo-Pakistani culture is just as or even more homophobic!
The Tory party are about to undo a lot of Cameron's detoxification work, particularly with gay marriage, by associating themselves with a party whose views are not in line with the mainstream on the mainland. They are not planning on tainting themselves by seeking confidence and supply from a South Asian party, so the comparison really isn't relevant.
"Many Labour voters share the DUP's homophobia" - discuss.
The incidence Homophobia is not related to political affiliation.
But then disagreeing with something isn't the same as say inciting violence against the something you disagree with.
As it is, no other parties than the Tories can form a government, but they have no majority and are vulnerable to being overthrown by a couple of adverse by-elections. Theresa May's authority has also been shot to pieces, but at a time when the country can't really afford two months of leadership campaigning, meaning she remains in place at the head of a zombie government which slowly leaks authority and credibility.
What a total clusterfuck. Emigration to Canada or Australia increasingly looks like a good idea.
Politics in Australia is just as shambolic. Changed PM so many times in recent years their paramedics no longer ask people with suspected concussion who the PM is!
Maybe one of the biggest mistakes by the Tories was to have such a long campaign. If you've decided on a snap election because the polls look good, surely the smart thing to do would be to have as short a campaign as possible so that time is limited if the polls do start to move against you.
Ah but if you call a snap election with no preparation (as seems to have been the case) you can't really have a short campaign.
Seriously. I honestly mean this, I don't think May would have done that badly in them. Might have come across quite well as a dull and dutiful rock amidst the waves of squabbling lefties. Might have been some downsides, but you know what was the biggest downside? Not showing up and giving your opponents the "she's running scared" narrative.
I'm not a fan of debates. Certainly, the 7-party ones leave an awful lot to be desired in terms of format and content. But they are here to stay now. And you cannot influence the narrative in your favour if you fail to show up.
Maybe one of the biggest mistakes by the Tories was to have such a long campaign. If you've decided on a snap election because the polls look good, surely the smart thing to do would be to have as short a campaign as possible so that time is limited if the polls do start to move against you.
Ah but if you call a snap election with no preparation (as seems to have been the case) you can't really have a short campaign.
I suspect this will be the last snap election we see in a while (not counting the government falling here)
It's surreal. I'm now defending the DUP on social media. I think I will never forgive the Corbyn fans for that. They seem to be trying to suggest they are an unmasked version of the KKK
Their real crime is keeping the Tories in power.
Exactly. Whereas SF hypothetically support the Coalition of Chaos would be promoting progressive democratic socialism.
Progressive Democratic Socialism...that sounds like something North Korea would put out in a communique...
What queasy conservatives need to get over, the little snowflakes, is no DUP involvement then door open for Corbyn. You think Arlene Foster wants that, you think Conservative voters want that?
Get f**king real
Yeah. North Korea. Please. Unionist snowflakes need to get over the fact that Mummy Britain is looking at them, perhaps for the first time, in disdain.
Oh no, we are used to people looking at us in disdain from across the water.
And we couldn't give a fuck. We exist, we vote, hello democracy.
It's surreal. I'm now defending the DUP on social media. I think I will never forgive the Corbyn fans for that. They seem to be trying to suggest they are an unmasked version of the KKK
Their real crime is keeping the Tories in power.
Exactly. Whereas SF hypothetically support the Coalition of Chaos would be promoting progressive democratic socialism.
Progressive Democratic Socialism...that sounds like something North Korea would put out in a communique...
What queasy conservatives need to get over, the little snowflakes, is no DUP involvement then door open for Corbyn. You think Arlene Foster wants that, you think Conservative voters want that?
Get f**king real
I couldn't care less about the abuse. That will come anyway because the Tories have had the temerity to deny Corbyn No. 10 Downing Street.
I'm confident a Con-DUP deal could hold for a couple of years, possibly with a new Con PM. Meanwhile, I'd be working on a credible end to austerity and destroying the economic credentials of the Far Left.
Maybe one of the biggest mistakes by the Tories was to have such a long campaign. If you've decided on a snap election because the polls look good, surely the smart thing to do would be to have as short a campaign as possible so that time is limited if the polls do start to move against you.
Ah but if you call a snap election with no preparation (as seems to have been the case) you can't really have a short campaign.
I suspect this will be the last snap election we see in a while (not counting the government falling here)
Also it is probably a good idea to think a bit more about what you put in a manifesto.
Comments
Labour also moved into second place in many safe Conservative constituencies.
Labour has only a few more MPs than it did in 2010 but with 10% more vote.
Lab won 19 seats by under 1,000
So roughly equal luck if you think anything that close could easily have gone either way.
And higher house prices.
A few by elections and they could take power.
Though the dementia threat would also have played a part there.
Section 24 is a step in that direction but more needs to be done to both stop the expanse of buy to let and encourage the sale of some of those houses...
Oh and providing a plausible reason for saving money would help as well....
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/2116170/Gordon-Brown-defends-anti-terror-vote-tactics.html
Bolsover 18,865
Kensington 16,313
Mansfield 23,392
Chelsea & Fulham 22,179
If it was a waver thin majority, we'd still receive the abuse just directed solely at us.
A lot can happen between now and then.
Do you deny many Muslims are homophobes and support terrorism?
What many of them also don't get is that DUP in some areas have been more left of centre than right.
If you want house owners you need to discourage BTL and that means restricting finance and actual ensuring there are other plausible ways to invest money that are perceived to be risk free...
Cities of London and Westminster - 18,005
Through the looking glass.
Would you like me to list the homophobic laws India has?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/06/09/ruth-davidson-planning-scottish-tory-breakaway-challenges-theresa/
One of the reasons Thatcher got elected, and stayed in office, is immigration and she passed a couple of major pieces of legislation in her first term to address it.
They worked, it went away as an issue, and she got re-elected.
A Tory party that won't or can't ensure that people can afford to buy a home of their own might as well shut up shop.
But why do you pick on the DUP? Asian Indo-Pakistani culture is just as or even more homophobic!
The man is a liability, and he isn't going to do us any favours at all.
What queasy conservatives need to get over, the little snowflakes, is no DUP involvement then door open for Corbyn. You think Arlene Foster wants that, you think Conservative voters want that?
Get f**king real
I doubt a landslide, such as it is, on the evidence we now have, was ever really practical.
However, two points (unrelated to each other):
1) In the past Labour has not been that willing to criticise the Tories too loudly for potentially working with the DUP because they're not willing to endanger the peace process and because they might also need the DUP's assistance in the future. However, with the DUP absolutely ruling out working with Corbyn, and Corbyn being in favour of Irish unification, I think that restraint might well not be there this time.
2) I wonder if this result is not the worst possible result for the Tories. If they had won around ten seats less, Corbyn would have come to power on the back of the SNP and odds and sods. And, as David Herdson predicted a couple of weeks ago, a government led by him would probably have been incredibly weak and incompetent, having to deal with the contradictory demands of their voting coalition on Brexit, and in short time incredibly unpopular. With the Tories sitting on a bit over 300 seats and gaining seats at by-elections, they could have eventually succeeded in passing a vote of no confidence, bringing about an election in which they would likely won a good majority.
Ten-fifteen seats more and the Conservatives would have a majority, wouldn't need to depend on the DUP and would exercise a much greater degree of control over the political scene.
As it is, no other parties than the Tories can form a government, but they have no majority and are vulnerable to being overthrown by a couple of adverse by-elections. Theresa May's authority has also been shot to pieces, but at a time when the country can't really afford two months of leadership campaigning, meaning she remains in place at the head of a zombie government which slowly leaks authority and credibility.
What a total clusterfuck. Emigration to Canada or Australia increasingly looks like a good idea.
Once in the leadership these contacts acquire greater weight and they have largely stopped. And in any case I think that talking to/visiting someone and inviting them into a key role in Government are different levels of engagement - the equivalent would be if, say, Corbyn were to urge that Sinn Fein be allowed to waive the oath of allegiance so they could take their seats and support a Labour government. I note that Scottish Conservatives, at least, seem to share my unease.
But we've been over this ground before and everyone's views are clear, so I'll leave it there for now.
May has put our country in a very bad position
https://twitter.com/Rich_1337/status/873183906866102272/photo/1
He's not the messiah. And a long period in opposition with him fully under the spotlight - having become so popular during the campaign - might not necessarily be to his benefit.
If I were the Tories, I'd be undermining his economics and credibility for the next few years relentlessly, whilst positively engagingly with young voters-middle aged with an offer of their own based on economic reality.
Says it all, doesn't it?
Southampton, Itchen 31
Glasgow South West 60
Glasgow East 75
Arfon 92
Airdrie & Shotts 202
Preseli Pembrokeshire 314
Motherwell & Wishaw 318
Pudsey 331
Thurrock 345
Hastings & Rye 346
Chipping Barnet 353
Lanark & Hamilton East 360
Inverclyde 384
Norwich North 507
Calder Valley 609
Aberconwy 635
Stoke-on-Trent South 663
Telford 720
Northampton North 807
Dunfermline & West Fife 844
Broxtowe 863
Bolton West 936
Na h-Eileanan an Iar 1,007
Middlesbrough South & East Cleveland 1,020
Mansfield 1,057
Glasgow North 1,060
Hendon 1,076
Northampton South 1,159
Pendle 1,279
Morecambe & Lunesdale 1,399
Putney 1,554
Camborne & Redruth 1,577
Edinburgh North & Leith 1,625
Finchley & Golders Green 1,657
Copeland 1,695
Milton Keynes South 1,725
Harrow East 1,757
Milton Keynes North 1,915
Blackpool North & Cleveleys 2,023
Glasgow South 2,027
Watford 2,092
Morley & Outwood 2,104
Vale of Glamorgan 2,190
Glasgow Central 2,267
West Dunbartonshire 2,288
Chingford & Woodford Green 2,438
Crawley 2,457
South Swindon 2,464
Worcester 2,490
Paisley & Renfrewshire South 2,536
Glasgow North West 2,561
Carlisle 2,599
Walsall North 2,601
Paisley & Renfrewshire North 2,613
Corby 2,690
North East Derbyshire 2,861
Reading West 2,876
Southport 2,914
Linlithgow & East Falkirk 2,919
Carmarthen West & South Pembrokeshire 3,110
Cities of London & Westminster 3,148
Rossendale & Darwen 3,216
Glenrothes 3,267
But then disagreeing with something isn't the same as say inciting violence against the something you disagree with.
Do The Sodding Debates!!
Seriously. I honestly mean this, I don't think May would have done that badly in them. Might have come across quite well as a dull and dutiful rock amidst the waves of squabbling lefties. Might have been some downsides, but you know what was the biggest downside? Not showing up and giving your opponents the "she's running scared" narrative.
I'm not a fan of debates. Certainly, the 7-party ones leave an awful lot to be desired in terms of format and content. But they are here to stay now. And you cannot influence the narrative in your favour if you fail to show up.
Murdo Fraser must feel pretty irked that Ruth stood on a no change platform and then promptly nicked his idea even if she did it as stealth.
And we couldn't give a fuck. We exist, we vote, hello democracy.
I'm confident a Con-DUP deal could hold for a couple of years, possibly with a new Con PM. Meanwhile, I'd be working on a credible end to austerity and destroying the economic credentials of the Far Left.
A little frustrating for me, as I'd have won a very large amount if it pipped 70%.