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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s polls range from ComRes 12% CON lead to Survation’s

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    isamisam Posts: 41,008
    This is all a bit too much now
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,978
    One minute from our London office. If it had been a weekday this would have been 10x worse.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,298
    isam said:

    This is all a bit too much now

    Its ok, this time next week, PM Jezza will sort it all out.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,061

    SeanT said:

    nunu said:

    Sun reporter on the scene says it was a B&Q van.

    https://twitter.com/benleo89/status/871116284561420288

    Do it yourself terrorists.
    Jesus. My daughter and I and her mum were EXACTLY in that spot, this afternoon. That pavement in that photo

    This gets far too close.

    So what the F do we do now? Another pathetic vigil? Tea-candles? Hashtags?

    Fuck that shit. Fuck it to hell and back
    Don't forget your twitter and facebook "twibbon"...
    When tragedy becomes regular it becomes mundane. it's amazing how much places can carry on normally after even worse events, once they become the norm. Depressing and uplifting at the same time.

    If this is another of the sort of events as we now immediately presume, I have no idea what a reaction should even be. We spend so much time in doubt, worrying about overreaction to the point of inaction. Beyond me.
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    BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    OUT said:

    Same Holly Jones just said someone in handcuffs just marched past her by police.

    Of course it won't be easy clearing the streets of drunks on a hot summer's day. There's about 10 pubs within 100 metres between London Bridge and Borough tube.
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913

    isam said:

    This is all a bit too much now

    Its ok, this time next week, PM Jezza will sort it all out.
    Ffs give it a rest.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,298
    edited June 2017
    Jonathan said:

    isam said:

    This is all a bit too much now

    Its ok, this time next week, PM Jezza will sort it all out.
    Ffs give it a rest.
    A f##king terrorist sympathizer leads your party, it is an absolute disgrace.

    I poked fun at Miliband, as I did with Cameron and May, a bit of a plonker but he didn't surround himself with Marxists, Communists, Anti-semites and holocaust deniers.
  • Options
    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    kjohnw said:

    SeanT said:

    Speaking as the Honorary Life President of Her Majesty's Guild of Bedwetters, I feel a lot calmer today.

    The Tories have a 7-9 point lead, on average. Add on a couple of points (for the reasons cited below) and they are headed for a comfortable and increased majority.

    It's difficult to imagine what might happen now that will change this. The Zulu surge has stopped. Silence reigns as the corpses rot. The Tory redoubt is battered, but unbroken. Michael Caine is sweating with relief in the burning bushveld sun, and Lynton "Hooky" Crosby is paring his nails with his blooded bayonet.

    Imagine for a second if Messina polling has had Tory 45% throughout and Labour never above 35%. And with no special info, I have just hypothesizing from the campaign that is a logical conclusion.

    If that is the result, we are all going to look like right plonkers.

    However if they are wrong, oh fuckty fuck....there is going to be blue on blue murder.
    will the labour VAT bribe take them over the edge ??
    Seem to remember you can't cut VAT under EU rules.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995
    calum said:
    Would the be the widest reported drunk driver accident in history if that is the case?
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2017
    Whatever has happened, the election can't be allowed to be derailed by it IMHO.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995
    Prodicus said:

    kjohnw said:

    SeanT said:

    Speaking as the Honorary Life President of Her Majesty's Guild of Bedwetters, I feel a lot calmer today.

    The Tories have a 7-9 point lead, on average. Add on a couple of points (for the reasons cited below) and they are headed for a comfortable and increased majority.

    It's difficult to imagine what might happen now that will change this. The Zulu surge has stopped. Silence reigns as the corpses rot. The Tory redoubt is battered, but unbroken. Michael Caine is sweating with relief in the burning bushveld sun, and Lynton "Hooky" Crosby is paring his nails with his blooded bayonet.

    Imagine for a second if Messina polling has had Tory 45% throughout and Labour never above 35%. And with no special info, I have just hypothesizing from the campaign that is a logical conclusion.

    If that is the result, we are all going to look like right plonkers.

    However if they are wrong, oh fuckty fuck....there is going to be blue on blue murder.
    will the labour VAT bribe take them over the edge ??
    Seem to remember you can't cut VAT under EU rules.
    Oops :p
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    YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382

    isam said:

    This is all a bit too much now

    Its ok, this time next week, PM Jezza will sort it all out.
    Hard to see anyone sorting it out .However your comment tarnishes you as a test of the highest order.
  • Options
    Brom said:

    jonny83 said:

    Brom said:

    Me thinks this is what Messina polls are telling the Tories. At least that would explain the lack of panic and seeming like little need to go nuclear and just skip interviews and debates.
    Yes, every day that goes by without Project Fear suggests Tories are comfortable with the situation, and they can let the press get on with mobilising their vote.
    I would agree, if the data they are getting matches some of the narrower tory poll leads I would have expected one last ditch vicious attack in the media and it hasn't happened yet.

    So I think their data shows a narrowing but still a decent majority (their data/feedback could be wrong of course) so no panic.
    My wobbles (no party affiliation but very anti Corbyn) have steadied in the past 48 hours and I've expressed already that I think there is nothing particularly special about the youth vote this time around and am expecting an increased Tory majority. Tonight has certainly helped reinforce my views and has been a good evening for Tory tickers. The one poll wildly outside my expectations is the one (survation) with the easiest to find flaws.
    Well, when I was leafleting and canvassing this morning voters were looking me in the eye. Admittedly to the average voter the two deliveries per day from Farron's team reinforce the message of the Andrew Neil interview that he is a man who knows he has lost, and lost big.
  • Options
    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Prodicus said:

    kjohnw said:

    SeanT said:

    Speaking as the Honorary Life President of Her Majesty's Guild of Bedwetters, I feel a lot calmer today.

    The Tories have a 7-9 point lead, on average. Add on a couple of points (for the reasons cited below) and they are headed for a comfortable and increased majority.

    It's difficult to imagine what might happen now that will change this. The Zulu surge has stopped. Silence reigns as the corpses rot. The Tory redoubt is battered, but unbroken. Michael Caine is sweating with relief in the burning bushveld sun, and Lynton "Hooky" Crosby is paring his nails with his blooded bayonet.

    Imagine for a second if Messina polling has had Tory 45% throughout and Labour never above 35%. And with no special info, I have just hypothesizing from the campaign that is a logical conclusion.

    If that is the result, we are all going to look like right plonkers.

    However if they are wrong, oh fuckty fuck....there is going to be blue on blue murder.
    will the labour VAT bribe take them over the edge ??
    Seem to remember you can't cut VAT under EU rules.
    Yes you can. We did a few years ago. You can't take something out of VAT once it's been included.

  • Options
    BlueberryBlueberry Posts: 408
    Van went down to Borough market - three men jumped out with knives started stabbing people - cabbie on LBC who tried to run them over.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,609
    RobD said:

    calum said:
    Would the be the widest reported drunk driver accident in history if that is the case?
    Ted Kennedy says hello.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Blueberry said:

    Van went down to Borough market - three men jumped out with knives started stabbing people - cabbie on LBC who tried to run them over.

    oh FFS
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995

    RobD said:

    calum said:
    Would the be the widest reported drunk driver accident in history if that is the case?
    Ted Kennedy says hello.
    Touche :D
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    glwglw Posts: 9,554
    Whatever you do don't bother reading Twitter it's already full of idiots demonstrating Dave's wisdom.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902

    Jonathan said:

    isam said:

    This is all a bit too much now

    Its ok, this time next week, PM Jezza will sort it all out.
    Ffs give it a rest.
    A f##king terrorist sympathizer leads your party, it is an absolute disgrace.

    I poked fun at Miliband, as I did with Cameron and May, a bit of a plonker but he didn't surround himself with Marxists, Communists, Anti-semites and holocaust deniers.
    Not quite as much of a disgrace as you tonight, though.
  • Options
    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Blueberry said:

    Van went down to Borough market - three men jumped out with knives started stabbing people - cabbie on LBC who tried to run them over.

    Conjures up a weird image
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,298
    calum said:

    twitter.com/Kevin_Maguire/status/871122513115439104

    Reputable journos who were actually there seem to say otherwise.
  • Options
    OUTOUT Posts: 569

    RobD said:

    calum said:
    Would the be the widest reported drunk driver accident in history if that is the case?
    Ted Kennedy says hello.
    Chapeau, Quiddick
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995
    Floater said:

    Blueberry said:

    Van went down to Borough market - three men jumped out with knives started stabbing people - cabbie on LBC who tried to run them over.

    oh FFS
    Three of them? Ugh
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Blueberry said:

    Van went down to Borough market - three men jumped out with knives started stabbing people - cabbie on LBC who tried to run them over.

    Horrific if confirmed.
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,554
    Blueberry said:

    Van went down to Borough market - three men jumped out with knives started stabbing people - cabbie on LBC who tried to run them over.

    That's the archetypal LBC phone caller a London cabbie, and good for him if he did try to get them.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154

    Brom said:

    jonny83 said:

    Brom said:

    Me thinks this is what Messina polls are telling the Tories. At least that would explain the lack of panic and seeming like little need to go nuclear and just skip interviews and debates.
    Yes, every day that goes by without Project Fear suggests Tories are comfortable with the situation, and they can let the press get on with mobilising their vote.
    I would agree, if the data they are getting matches some of the narrower tory poll leads I would have expected one last ditch vicious attack in the media and it hasn't happened yet.

    So I think their data shows a narrowing but still a decent majority (their data/feedback could be wrong of course) so no panic.
    My wobbles (no party affiliation but very anti Corbyn) have steadied in the past 48 hours and I've expressed already that I think there is nothing particularly special about the youth vote this time around and am expecting an increased Tory majority. Tonight has certainly helped reinforce my views and has been a good evening for Tory tickers. The one poll wildly outside my expectations is the one (survation) with the easiest to find flaws.
    Well, when I was leafleting and canvassing this morning voters were looking me in the eye. Admittedly to the average voter the two deliveries per day from Farron's team reinforce the message of the Andrew Neil interview that he is a man who knows he has lost, and lost big.
    Can you just clarify that: you are saying Farron has lost his seat, and lost it big?
  • Options
    BlueberryBlueberry Posts: 408
    suspects 'same appearance as the Manchester person' - cabbie on the scene.
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    jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,261
    Guy on Sky News said he heard gunfire, ex military guy living in the area.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    military (ex) man saying significant gunfire.

    Of course nothing so unreliable as an eye witness
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    Gunfire reported on sky news. This could potentially be very, very bad.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,149
    Credible reports of gunfire.
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,978
    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    The reports are getting worse. Not restricted to London Bridge, but Borough market, nightclubs etc

    It's news hype. It looks like being at the *end* of London Bridge, where the road goes under the railway next to Borough Market. One location.
    That's my suspicion. One man, one van, knocking over people, then jumping out and stabbing people. Seems the most likely explanation.

    Everything else is Chinese whispers; I hope.

    Seems a strange time to do it. Saturday during the day, any time during the week, and it would be chocka. Saturday night, though, there'd be comparatively fewer people around.

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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,956
    Chap on Sky who says he is ex military talking about 'significant gunfire' preceding all this...
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    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,006
    RobD said:

    calum said:
    Would the be the widest reported drunk driver accident in history if that is the case?
    Meanwhile, elsewhere in Britain, five people were killed and 70 seriously injured on the roads today, as they are every day. Lots of grieving families and shattered lives.
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    bardigianibardigiani Posts: 19
    Significant gunfire according to eye witness
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    Blueberry said:

    suspects 'same appearance as the Manchester person' - cabbie on the scene.

    2 legs, 2 arms? Hmm, narrows it down a bit.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,298
    Chameleon said:

    Jonathan said:

    isam said:

    This is all a bit too much now

    Its ok, this time next week, PM Jezza will sort it all out.
    Ffs give it a rest.
    A f##king terrorist sympathizer leads your party, it is an absolute disgrace.

    I poked fun at Miliband, as I did with Cameron and May, a bit of a plonker but he didn't surround himself with Marxists, Communists, Anti-semites and holocaust deniers.
    Not quite as much of a disgrace as you tonight, though.
    I make no apologises for pointing this out about Corbyn. I want a decent Labour Party led by people who don't invite terrorists to the HoC a week after trying to murder the PM.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,061
    Barnesian said:

    RobD said:

    calum said:
    Would the be the widest reported drunk driver accident in history if that is the case?
    Meanwhile, elsewhere in Britain, five people were killed and 70 seriously injured on the roads today, as they are every day. Lots of grieving families and shattered lives.
    Yes, but attempted mass casualties are rare occurrences.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,298
    Chameleon said:

    Gunfire reported on sky news. This could potentially be very, very bad.

    It could be the police?
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    edited June 2017
    SeanT said:

    nunu said:

    Sun reporter on the scene says it was a B&Q van.

    https://twitter.com/benleo89/status/871116284561420288

    Do it yourself terrorists.
    Jesus. My daughter and I and her mum were EXACTLY in that spot, this afternoon. That pavement in that photo

    This gets far too close.

    So what the F do we do now? Another pathetic vigil? Tea-candles? Hashtags?

    Fuck that shit. Fuck it to hell and back
    Sorry, we have to laugh or we cry.


    Like I said I want to see internment and deportations if possible. Ban foreign funding of Mosques, ban the face veil force intergration with benefits sanctions etc. Literally force people to intergrate. I'm not trying to be flippant, I really believ when you have a section of society that is unwilling to intergrate then drastic and concerted action must be taken. Yes I have made up my mind to vote UKIP now as much as it pains me to say so. They are the only ones even talking about this. Just as UKIP forced our departure from the E.U they will hopefully force politicians to face this issue head on.

    We cannot go softly softly over this. their literal stated aim is to force Muslim lives who live in the west to be so unbearable so that they are forced to choose. Either the west or the caliphate in syria/Iraq. They are basically aiming for the native population to turn on the muslims here, not as others have suggested to try to curtail democracy in the West, they dont care about that.

    I want a strong robust statement from May not the usual they will not change our way of lives bs. Sorry that is not enough.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,680

    JackW said:

    I spent 6 hours knocking on doors in Southampton Test today using Messina's data.

    It is bloody accurate.

    I am no longer prone to the occasional bedwetting.

    We are going to win.

    I could have saved you the shoe leather ....

    Con Landslide ....
    I do have blisters today, actually.

    But, it is very, very interesting to actually talk to real people.
    Met a lovely lady yesterday - 91 next week, German, from Wuppertal, came here in '49, became a British citizen in 1950. Lost 10 members her family in an Allied raid in '43. Voting for Mrs May because she wants her to implement Brexit...

    Best I ever met was a guy in Brum from the Welsh Valleys, was a life-long Labour man, coincidentally also 90 years old, never going to change his vote. But he invited me in for a drink and I had a fascinating chat - he used to play the piano for the silent movies!
    Ha! Fascinating. I was invited in by one chap as well. Also had a near-Sean Thomas experience with a sultry 18-year old girl on the doorstep, who was chatting to me about going clubbing the previous night etc, but subtly flashed my wedding ring and moved on.

    I would caution that it was *the men* who were more anti-Corbyn than the women, who were generally more sympathetic, but mainly in vociferousness. And, even a few Brexit supporter waverers who were leaning Con were still very worried about the NHS.

    In fact, the NHS came up a lot.

    Where is that £350m a week?
  • Options
    YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382

    Chameleon said:

    Jonathan said:

    isam said:

    This is all a bit too much now

    Its ok, this time next week, PM Jezza will sort it all out.
    Ffs give it a rest.
    A f##king terrorist sympathizer leads your party, it is an absolute disgrace.

    I poked fun at Miliband, as I did with Cameron and May, a bit of a plonker but he didn't surround himself with Marxists, Communists, Anti-semites and holocaust deniers.
    Not quite as much of a disgrace as you tonight, though.
    I make no apologises for pointing this out about Corbyn. I want a decent Labour Party led by people who don't invite terrorists to the HoC a week after trying to murder the PM.
    You have no decorum .
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,298

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    The reports are getting worse. Not restricted to London Bridge, but Borough market, nightclubs etc

    It's news hype. It looks like being at the *end* of London Bridge, where the road goes under the railway next to Borough Market. One location.
    That's my suspicion. One man, one van, knocking over people, then jumping out and stabbing people. Seems the most likely explanation.

    Everything else is Chinese whispers; I hope.

    Seems a strange time to do it. Saturday during the day, any time during the week, and it would be chocka. Saturday night, though, there'd be comparatively fewer people around.

    Unless it is multiple people, and that is only part of the attack. Saturday night packed pubs and clubs.
  • Options
    BlueberryBlueberry Posts: 408
    Chameleon said:

    Gunfire reported on sky news. This could potentially be very, very bad.

    On the other hand it could be good if it's the old bill killing them.
  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902

    Chameleon said:

    Gunfire reported on sky news. This could potentially be very, very bad.

    It could be the police?
    Apparently 10 mins before the police sirens started.
  • Options

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    The reports are getting worse. Not restricted to London Bridge, but Borough market, nightclubs etc

    It's news hype. It looks like being at the *end* of London Bridge, where the road goes under the railway next to Borough Market. One location.
    That's my suspicion. One man, one van, knocking over people, then jumping out and stabbing people. Seems the most likely explanation.

    Everything else is Chinese whispers; I hope.

    Seems a strange time to do it. Saturday during the day, any time during the week, and it would be chocka. Saturday night, though, there'd be comparatively fewer people around.

    They're targeting ordinary people out enjoying themselves. Just like Paris and Manchester.
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    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    The election campaign just ended, really, didn't it?

    I was out with my wife and a bunch of friends at Tower Hill, maybe half a mile away. If we'd turned right and walked to London Bridge for the Jubilee line instead of getting the DLR, as I'd considered...

    Fuck.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631
    Barnesian said:

    RobD said:

    calum said:
    Would the be the widest reported drunk driver accident in history if that is the case?
    Meanwhile, elsewhere in Britain, five people were killed and 70 seriously injured on the roads today, as they are every day. Lots of grieving families and shattered lives.
    Fuck right off you dickhead.
  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    The reports are getting worse. Not restricted to London Bridge, but Borough market, nightclubs etc

    It's news hype. It looks like being at the *end* of London Bridge, where the road goes under the railway next to Borough Market. One location.
    That's my suspicion. One man, one van, knocking over people, then jumping out and stabbing people. Seems the most likely explanation.

    Everything else is Chinese whispers; I hope.

    Seems a strange time to do it. Saturday during the day, any time during the week, and it would be chocka. Saturday night, though, there'd be comparatively fewer people around.

    Hard to get enough space to be able to get up to 50mph at any other time of the week.
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    glwglw Posts: 9,554

    Seems a strange time to do it. Saturday during the day, any time during the week, and it would be chocka. Saturday night, though, there'd be comparatively fewer people around.

    That's the one saving grace with contemporary terrorism, you modern day Jihadist is often a bit of an idiot, and doesn't have the training and logistical support that terrorist of the 70s had.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995

    The election campaign just ended, really, didn't it?

    I was out with my wife and a bunch of friends at Tower Hill, maybe half a mile away. If we'd turned right and walked to London Bridge for the Jubilee line instead of getting the DLR, as I'd considered...

    Fuck.

    Stay safe
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    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,805

    JackW said:

    I spent 6 hours knocking on doors in Southampton Test today using Messina's data.

    It is bloody accurate.

    I am no longer prone to the occasional bedwetting.

    We are going to win.

    I could have saved you the shoe leather ....

    Con Landslide ....
    I do have blisters today, actually.

    But, it is very, very interesting to actually talk to real people.
    Met a lovely lady yesterday - 91 next week, German, from Wuppertal, came here in '49, became a British citizen in 1950. Lost 10 members her family in an Allied raid in '43. Voting for Mrs May because she wants her to implement Brexit...

    Best I ever met was a guy in Brum from the Welsh Valleys, was a life-long Labour man, coincidentally also 90 years old, never going to change his vote. But he invited me in for a drink and I had a fascinating chat - he used to play the piano for the silent movies!
    Ha! Fascinating. I was invited in by one chap as well. Also had a near-Sean Thomas experience with a sultry 18-year old girl on the doorstep, who was chatting to me about going clubbing the previous night etc, but subtly flashed my wedding ring and moved on.

    I would caution that it was *the men* who were more anti-Corbyn than the women, who were generally more sympathetic, but mainly in vociferousness. And, even a few Brexit supporter waverers who were leaning Con were still very worried about the NHS.

    In fact, the NHS came up a lot.

    Where is that £350m a week?
    Ah yes. That old money tree ...
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902

    The election campaign just ended, really, didn't it?

    I was out with my wife and a bunch of friends at Tower Hill, maybe half a mile away. If we'd turned right and walked to London Bridge for the Jubilee line instead of getting the DLR, as I'd considered...

    Fuck.

    I hope not. Every day that campaigning is stopped is a victory for the attackers.
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    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,006
    edited June 2017
    MaxPB said:

    Barnesian said:

    RobD said:

    calum said:
    Would the be the widest reported drunk driver accident in history if that is the case?
    Meanwhile, elsewhere in Britain, five people were killed and 70 seriously injured on the roads today, as they are every day. Lots of grieving families and shattered lives.
    Fuck right off you dickhead.
    Get a grip and keep a sense of proportion.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,298
    edited June 2017
    glw said:

    Seems a strange time to do it. Saturday during the day, any time during the week, and it would be chocka. Saturday night, though, there'd be comparatively fewer people around.

    That's the one saving grace with contemporary terrorism, you modern day Jihadist is often a bit of an idiot, and doesn't have the training and logistical support that terrorist of the 70s had.
    They all seem to be graduates of crap unis....
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,680

    Best cure for any bedwetting.

    Stop reading the interwebz and posting on forums, and go and knock on doors in a key marginal.

    Worked for me in 2015. This time it feels a bit like the circus has moved on to the next town (Plymouth in this case!)
    The Corbyn surge is real, but it is confined to London, major metropolitan cities, and areas with strong student/young populations, I think.

    And, bizarrely, Wales, which I thought would go strongly Tory this time.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    The reports are getting worse. Not restricted to London Bridge, but Borough market, nightclubs etc

    It's news hype. It looks like being at the *end* of London Bridge, where the road goes under the railway next to Borough Market. One location.
    That's my suspicion. One man, one van, knocking over people, then jumping out and stabbing people. Seems the most likely explanation.

    Everything else is Chinese whispers; I hope.

    Seems a strange time to do it. Saturday during the day, any time during the week, and it would be chocka. Saturday night, though, there'd be comparatively fewer people around.

    If they're not on suicide missions gives a better chance of getting away though

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    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,341
    Fuck, I've been drinking in that pub right by the incident (The Barrowboy & Banker) many times
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850

    glw said:

    Seems a strange time to do it. Saturday during the day, any time during the week, and it would be chocka. Saturday night, though, there'd be comparatively fewer people around.

    That's the one saving grace with contemporary terrorism, you modern day Jihadist is often a bit of an idiot, and doesn't have the training and logistical support that terrorist of the 70s had.
    They all seem to be graduates of crap unis....
    Who isn't?
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,680
    AndyJS said:

    Whatever has happened, the election can't be allowed to be derailed by it IMHO.

    This event *will* be extremely politicised.

    It's far, far too close to the General Election.
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    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,006
    kle4 said:

    Barnesian said:

    RobD said:

    calum said:
    Would the be the widest reported drunk driver accident in history if that is the case?
    Meanwhile, elsewhere in Britain, five people were killed and 70 seriously injured on the roads today, as they are every day. Lots of grieving families and shattered lives.
    Yes, but attempted mass casualties are rare occurrences.
    Yes, they are very rare.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    The election campaign just ended, really, didn't it?

    I was out with my wife and a bunch of friends at Tower Hill, maybe half a mile away. If we'd turned right and walked to London Bridge for the Jubilee line instead of getting the DLR, as I'd considered...

    Fuck.

    We shouldn't allow these people to stop the democratic process.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,061

    Best cure for any bedwetting.

    Stop reading the interwebz and posting on forums, and go and knock on doors in a key marginal.

    Worked for me in 2015. This time it feels a bit like the circus has moved on to the next town (Plymouth in this case!)
    The Corbyn surge is real, but it is confined to London, major metropolitan cities, and areas with strong student/young populations, I think.

    And, bizarrely, Wales, which I thought would go strongly Tory this time.
    Yes, Wales seemed to be getting more Tory, bit by bit, but the instant it looked like the Tories might win a majority, it surges back to labour, helped by the good campaign no doubt.
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    ab195ab195 Posts: 477

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    The reports are getting worse. Not restricted to London Bridge, but Borough market, nightclubs etc

    It's news hype. It looks like being at the *end* of London Bridge, where the road goes under the railway next to Borough Market. One location.
    That's my suspicion. One man, one van, knocking over people, then jumping out and stabbing people. Seems the most likely explanation.

    Everything else is Chinese whispers; I hope.

    Seems a strange time to do it. Saturday during the day, any time during the week, and it would be chocka. Saturday night, though, there'd be comparatively fewer people around.

    There's a kebab shop by the station south of the bridge, roughly where it seems to have hit, and the Barrow Boy pub will have had smokers outside. I used to live there, and on a warm Saturday night it would be heaving.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,208
    Barnesian said:

    MaxPB said:

    Barnesian said:

    RobD said:

    calum said:
    Would the be the widest reported drunk driver accident in history if that is the case?
    Meanwhile, elsewhere in Britain, five people were killed and 70 seriously injured on the roads today, as they are every day. Lots of grieving families and shattered lives.
    Fuck right off you dickhead.
    Get a grip and keep a sense of proportion.
    Your comment could equally be applied to such things as Hillsborough.
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    jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,261
    Have the American security sources said anything yet? Sorry.
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,978
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    The reports are getting worse. Not restricted to London Bridge, but Borough market, nightclubs etc

    It's news hype. It looks like being at the *end* of London Bridge, where the road goes under the railway next to Borough Market. One location.
    That's my suspicion. One man, one van, knocking over people, then jumping out and stabbing people. Seems the most likely explanation.

    Everything else is Chinese whispers; I hope.

    Seems a strange time to do it. Saturday during the day, any time during the week, and it would be chocka. Saturday night, though, there'd be comparatively fewer people around.

    That area HEAVES with people on a warm Saturday evening. Borough is super trendy, lots of bars and restaurants. Massive station nearby. Fewer police at night, harder to spot nutters.

    Ideal timing.

    Our office is literally one minute's walk from where it happened. I know the area very well. Weekdays and weekend days are when it is absolutely rammed. My only point is that for maximum effect you would not do it on a Saturday night. It sounds horrific. It could well have been worse.

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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995
    jonny83 said:

    Have the American security sources said anything yet? Sorry.

    Will be interesting to see if they do leak anything this time.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    AndyJS said:

    Whatever has happened, the election can't be allowed to be derailed by it IMHO.

    This event *will* be extremely politicised.

    It's far, far too close to the General Election.
    Postponing the election would be a massive victory for the terrorists in my opinion.
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    The ICM poll [ Table 3 ] after weighting has Con 33% , Lab 31%.

    Only after reallocating / deleting the DK's WNV and Refused, they end up with Con 45% Lab 35%

    So a 2% gap becomes 10%. This correction was not there in 2015.
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    stuartrcstuartrc Posts: 12
    Well, from my flat in Stockwell, the volume of sirens heading towards London Bridge is worrying
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,298
    edited June 2017
    jonny83 said:

    Have the American security sources said anything yet? Sorry.

    I somehow think that the UK spooks are currently informing them if you leak anything, we will be sending 008 Sean T over to seduce your daughters.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,680
    The UK has really been extremely unlucky these past few months.
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    PBModeratorPBModerator Posts: 661
    Let's tone down the personal insults. It's a bit heated at the moment.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902

    AndyJS said:

    Whatever has happened, the election can't be allowed to be derailed by it IMHO.

    This event *will* be extremely politicised.

    It's far, far too close to the General Election.
    I'm not sure who will come out best of this being politicised.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,208
    The reports of gunfire are very concerning.
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    jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,261

    jonny83 said:

    Have the American security sources said anything yet? Sorry.

    I somehow think that the UK spooks are currently informing them if you leak anything, we will be sending 008 Sean T over to seduce your daughters.
    lol :)
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    CyanCyan Posts: 1,262
    edited June 2017
    nunu said:

    Like I said I want to see internment and deportations if possible. Ban foreign funding of Mosques, ban the face veil force intergration with benefits sanctions etc. Literally force people to intergrate. I'm not trying to be flippant, I really believ when you have a section of society that is unwilling to intergrate then drastic and concerted action must be taken. Yes I have made up my mind to vote UKIP now as much as it pains me to say so. They are the only ones even talking about this. Just as UKIP forced our departure from the E.U they will hopefully force politicians to face this issue head on.

    We cannot go softly softly over this. their literal stated aim is to force Muslim lives who live in the west to be so unbearable so that they are forced to choose. Either the west or the caliphate in syria/Iraq. They are basically aiming for the native population to turn on the muslims here, not as others have suggested to try to curtail democracy in the West, they dont care about that.

    I want a strong robust statement from May not the usual they will not change our way of lives bs. Sorry that is not enough.

    You know who owns (at least a big share of) the Shard, much of Canary Wharf, the Olympic Village, and who bailed out Barclays, right? The Salafist state of Qatar.

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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    edited June 2017
    AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    Whatever has happened, the election can't be allowed to be derailed by it IMHO.

    This event *will* be extremely politicised.

    It's far, far too close to the General Election.
    Postponing the election would be a massive victory for the terrorists in my opinion.
    Who's talking about postponing the election??? If the country stops every time something like this happens we may as well become a caliphate now.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    how many attempts though, how many plots underway?
    Chameleon said:

    Blueberry said:

    suspects 'same appearance as the Manchester person' - cabbie on the scene.

    2 legs, 2 arms? Hmm, narrows it down a bit.
    funny guy
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    tlg86 said:

    The reports of gunfire are very concerning.

    Yup, no matter how efficient you are there's a limit to how many people you can get through with knives. Guns on the other hand...
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,061

    Let's tone down the personal insults. It's a bit heated at the moment.

    Tone down. But not stop? #stillattemptinghumour
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    BromBrom Posts: 3,760

    AndyJS said:

    Whatever has happened, the election can't be allowed to be derailed by it IMHO.

    This event *will* be extremely politicised.

    It's far, far too close to the General Election.
    The security attacks on Corbyn from the papers should subside for a few days. I think arguments are best made on an economic level for a day or two. Tonight's event speaks for itself and I hope it does not change any minds, most people already have their mind made up on the best approach to National Security anyway.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    Whatever has happened, the election can't be allowed to be derailed by it IMHO.

    This event *will* be extremely politicised.

    It's far, far too close to the General Election.
    Postponing the election would be a massive victory for the terrorists in my opinion.
    Agreed.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995

    jonny83 said:

    Have the American security sources said anything yet? Sorry.

    I somehow think that the UK spooks are currently informing them if you leak anything, we will be sending 008 Sean T over to seduce your daughters.
    Hah :D
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Barnesian said:

    RobD said:

    calum said:
    Would the be the widest reported drunk driver accident in history if that is the case?
    Meanwhile, elsewhere in Britain, five people were killed and 70 seriously injured on the roads today, as they are every day. Lots of grieving families and shattered lives.
    Your point is what exactly?
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    YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    AndyJS said:

    The election campaign just ended, really, didn't it?

    I was out with my wife and a bunch of friends at Tower Hill, maybe half a mile away. If we'd turned right and walked to London Bridge for the Jubilee line instead of getting the DLR, as I'd considered...

    Fuck.

    We shouldn't allow these people to stop the democratic process.
    They already have once.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,298
    edited June 2017
    Lets wait and see on the gunfire. It seems to be based on one guy saying it was before the police sirens, but we don't know...it could easily that plod / SAS got there without the old neeenaaas on and took somebody out.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,680
    AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    Whatever has happened, the election can't be allowed to be derailed by it IMHO.

    This event *will* be extremely politicised.

    It's far, far too close to the General Election.
    Postponing the election would be a massive victory for the terrorists in my opinion.
    I agree.
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Floater said:

    Barnesian said:

    RobD said:

    calum said:
    Would the be the widest reported drunk driver accident in history if that is the case?
    Meanwhile, elsewhere in Britain, five people were killed and 70 seriously injured on the roads today, as they are every day. Lots of grieving families and shattered lives.
    Your point is what exactly?
    That he is an arsehat.
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    BlueberryBlueberry Posts: 408
    Chameleon said:

    Blueberry said:

    suspects 'same appearance as the Manchester person' - cabbie on the scene.

    2 legs, 2 arms? Hmm, narrows it down a bit.
    LBC has settled on 'Mediterranean'
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    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,106
    Could someone have stabbed someone else in Borough Market and then tried to make a getaway from armed police?
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    Are there even more sirens heading towards the scene?
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    jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,261
    edited June 2017

    AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    Whatever has happened, the election can't be allowed to be derailed by it IMHO.

    This event *will* be extremely politicised.

    It's far, far too close to the General Election.
    Postponing the election would be a massive victory for the terrorists in my opinion.
    Who's talking about postponing the election??? If the country stops every time something like this happens we may as well become a caliphate now.
    Yeah it's not going to happen nor should it.

    You can't let these bastards win.
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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Blueberry said:

    Chameleon said:

    Blueberry said:

    suspects 'same appearance as the Manchester person' - cabbie on the scene.

    2 legs, 2 arms? Hmm, narrows it down a bit.
    LBC has settled on 'Mediterranean'
    It wasn't me.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Stabbing in the Southwark Tavern according to BBC witness.

    But then that could have been a coincidence.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    Riot officers heading in... why?
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,298
    Blueberry said:

    Chameleon said:

    Blueberry said:

    suspects 'same appearance as the Manchester person' - cabbie on the scene.

    2 legs, 2 arms? Hmm, narrows it down a bit.
    LBC has settled on 'Mediterranean'
    Well the old Italians are notoriously bad drivers...
This discussion has been closed.