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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » TMay’s much repeated assertion that Corbyn becomes PM if CON l

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  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    alex. said:

    I think what this election needs is an unofficial leak of an A.R.S.E

    JohnO is forecasting a Tory majority of 100.

    I trust John
    What did JohnO forecast in 2015 out of interest.
    I think he was on something like Con 315, he was out campaigning like me, and couldn't reconcile what he was getting on the doorstep with the national polls.
    Thanks.

    My tiny anecdote is that I've seen zero party posters in people's window.

    Which is certainly a shift away from Labour.

    Lots of St George's flags on tower blocks and in the pit villages though - you'd almost think there was an England game on.
    Trying to keep Lady Nugee away?
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,924
    Scott_P said:

    Would you let us know what the FTSE100 index is currently Scott.

    As I remember you were very keen to report the share prices 11 months ago.


    Sterling’s Brexit-fuelled decline over the past year has been Britain’s “least successful” currency devaluation in history, an analysis of the latest growth figures has revealed.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/pounds-fall-the-worst-devaluation-in-history-czkfwhznc
    LOL

    You must be very bitter that so many people are so many thousands of pounds richer.

    And if you actually read that article it states that the fall in Sterling began in 2015 - but that was another thing which didn't concern you at the time wasn't it.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,006
    Scott_P said:

    @GuidoFawkes: The idea that the hard left didn't support an IRA victory and were working for peace is for the birds. 1/3

    @GuidoFawkes: Young Marxist Owen Jones wrote “I militarily support the IRA against the British State.” 2/3

    @GuidoFawkes: A few years after he wrote that he was hired as a research assistant by... John McDonnell MP 3/3

    I always knew he was a berk.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,758

    Well I'm suitably terrified of the Corbyn surge, real or imagined, and has inspired me to sign up for door knocking for the Tories in SW London. Never done it before, any tips?!

    When you find a non-Tory, spend as long as it takes persuading them to your view.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,761

    Looking at Corbyn's full quote about the Scottish referendum he probably did not mean to say what he is reported as saying. But the fact that he gave the answer he did shows how crap he is at these things.

    Imagine him negotiating Brexit....
    Imagine May she has caved after 3 days on her manifesto

    Corbyn hasnt caved after 30 years despite incoming from all and sundry.

    If you still think May is Strong and Stable best visit SpecSavers
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Well I'm suitably terrified of the Corbyn surge, real or imagined, and has inspired me to sign up for door knocking for the Tories in SW London. Never done it before, any tips?!

    Carry a small bag with breath mints, wipes, a bottle of water, and a small metal ruler.

    Wear comfortable footwear.

    Never put your fingers and thumbs where you can't see them when posting leaflets (that's where the metal ruler comes in handy)
    Door letterbox brushes are always difficult, particularly not wanting to crease your literature. Post it face up and make sure it always goes through. People don't like things left sticking out. Dogs bite fingers so a wooden spatula is good.

    Always close gates and never shortcut to the next house. Always be cheerful and neutral if people are outside "garden is coming on well", etc..
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    HYUFD said:
    and not a flicker of a smile from Maybot as far as I can see. Cameron was streets better at this kind of thing.
    I think she smiles from 0.25 onwards. But if not, so what? Maggie never had a sense of humour, and Corbyn certainly doesn't. Cameron did, and much good it did him, or us
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822

    Not sure it's a lie. I think it's more likely rooted in a total inability to understand reality.

    Yes, that's what's really scary.
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    Scott_P said:

    @GuidoFawkes: The idea that the hard left didn't support an IRA victory and were working for peace is for the birds. 1/3

    @GuidoFawkes: Young Marxist Owen Jones wrote “I militarily support the IRA against the British State.” 2/3

    @GuidoFawkes: A few years after he wrote that he was hired as a research assistant by... John McDonnell MP 3/3

    Yawn.
  • TMA1TMA1 Posts: 225
    HYUFD said:
    ''“It may just be that the terrible event in Manchester has done this but this seems to be quite a low-key campaign.

    “I don’t mean to be rude but you seem to be a bit of a glum bucket''
    to which the audience jeered she looked round and smiled at which point the clip conveniently stops.
    A bit thick of Letts to juxtapose the bombing with 'low key'.

    Letts does have form (lets face it reporters are always tying to sound superior) he said of Clegg (as per Huffington) he 'had the demeanor of a “spat-out Smartie”.'
    I am not quite sure what that is meant to mean but I would put May ahead.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,718
    LOL, not a type 26 even on the horizon , and it has been slashed several times already. Lying words butter no parsnips.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,748
    edited May 2017

    Scott_P said:

    Would you let us know what the FTSE100 index is currently Scott.

    As I remember you were very keen to report the share prices 11 months ago.


    Sterling’s Brexit-fuelled decline over the past year has been Britain’s “least successful” currency devaluation in history, an analysis of the latest growth figures has revealed.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/pounds-fall-the-worst-devaluation-in-history-czkfwhznc
    LOL

    You must be very bitter that so many people are so many thousands of pounds richer.

    And if you actually read that article it states that the fall in Sterling began in 2015 - but that was another thing which didn't concern you at the time wasn't it.
    We are *all* poorer: that's what a devaluation *means*: specifically, what we have will now purchase less. If you'll forgive me for the crude analogy, the fact that the ruler has shrunk doesn't make your dick bigger.

    You now have fewer options to what you had before. This is why the newspaper is full of "interesting parts of Britain to go on holiday" and - I swear to God this is true - "top ten markets to visit in Britain" (it was in the Telegraph before, I think, Xmas).

    I have gone over this again and again and again on this board: as a rule of thumb, the £ was worth approx $1.6 thereabouts or higher every year on average in the 21st century until the 2015 GE. At a brief point during the Noughties it hit $2.1

    Since 2015 GE it went like this:
    * Prior to 2015 election: fall in anticipation of a hung parliament
    * After 2015 election: rise to about $1.6 after confirmation of CON maj
    * Autumn 2015: started to fall as ref approached
    * Spring 2016: date of ref announced: fell below $1.5
    * Referendum day, approx 10pm: rose above $1.5 briefly in anticipation of REMAIN
    * Referendum night, approx 2am to approx 5am: fell to $1.35 on realisation of LEAVE
    * Conservative conference 2016: May says no EEA/Single Market: fell againto about $1.22
    * March 2016: invokes A50: £ bottoms at about £1.2 to £1.25
    * April-May 2016: Trump boom unwinds, anticipation of Con majority, £ peeks above $1.3
    * Last week: as polls narrows, falls under $1.3 again.

    People find it difficult to get their heads around the scale of the devaluation: it's equivalent to the ERM devaluation, is taking longer to recover, and if it does not recover it will be equivalent to the 60's devaluation. "LOL"s and sarcasm will not change a damn thing: it is a real phenom.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,924
    viewcode said:


    LOL

    You must be very bitter that so many people are so many thousands of pounds richer.

    And if you actually read that article it states that the fall in Sterling began in 2015 - but that was another thing which didn't concern you at the time wasn't it.

    We are *all* poorer: that's what a devaluation *means*: specifically, what we have will now purchase less. If you'll forgive me for the crude analogy, the fact that the ruler has shrunk doesn't make your dick bigger.

    You now have fewer options to what you had before. This is why the newspaper is full of "interesting parts of Britain to go on holiday" and - I swear to God this is true - "top ten markets to visit in Britain" (it was in the Telegraph before, I think, Xmas).

    I have gone over this again and again and again on this board: as a rule of thumb, the £ was worth approx $1.6 thereabouts or higher every year on average in the 21st century until the 2015 GE. At a brief point during the Noughties it hit $2.1

    Since 2015 GE it went like this:
    * Prior to 2015 election: fall in anticipation of a hung parliament
    * After 2015 election: rise to about $1.6 after confirmation of CON maj
    * Autumn 2015: started to fall as ref approached
    * Spring 2016: date of ref announced: fell below $1.5
    * Referendum day, approx 10pm: rose above $1.5 briefly in anticipation of REMAIN
    * Referendum night, approx 2am to approx 5am: fell to $1.35 on realisation of LEAVE
    * Conservative conference 2016: May says no EEA/Single Market: fell againto about $1.22
    * March 2016: invokes A50: £ bottoms at about £1.2 to £1.25
    * April-May 2016: Trump boom unwinds, anticipation of Con majority, £ peeks above $1.3
    * Last week: as polls narrows, falls under $1.3 again.

    People find it difficult to get their heads around the scale of the devaluation: it's equivalent to the ERM devaluation, is taking longer to recover, and if it does not recover it will be equivalent to the 60's devaluation. "LOL"s and sarcasm will not change a damn thing: it is a real phenom.
    As I've said before if you want a higher sterling rate:

    1) Create more wealth
    2) Live within your means
    3) Increase your savings rate

    But until then my pension funds and stock market investments have grown significantly over the last year while my money still goes as far in the supermarket and the petrol station.
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