but isn't it going to be a bit strange if the EU continue to use English as a common language after we leave? Wouldn't German or French be more logical a choice for a club without the awkward squad British in it any more?
Probably the most common second language.
True. Maybe if the EU had made English the official language of the Union (keeping all of the other languages of course) and made it a priority to ensure that everyone was fluent in it we would have felt somewhat better about being in it, because a) We would have had the special "big win" that all the other countries seem to get b) Freedom of movement in all directions would have been a lot easier.
c) And Brits wouldn't have to feel awkward and inadequate about their rank inability to learn any other language.
Win-win-win!
In my experience, Brits have every bit as much faculty to learn foreign languages as any other nation - a lot of Brits brought up overseas are completely fluent in other languages. But we do have less opportunity to learn (especially far fewer environments where our mother tongue is completely absent), particularly in the all formative younger years.
Of course they have as much ability. The reasons Brits struggle imo are: 1) less motivation when English is the global language 2) foreigners more likely to watch British and American TV, listen to music in English than we are in their language etc. 3) not convinced we teach languages that well in school
The killer is not being able to find monoglot foreigners any more. In the 1970s I spent some time in the Greek islands and it was still the case in many places that if you didn't speak Greek you didn't eat. Fast forward to the recent past and trying to speak Amharic to people in off-the-beaten-track bits of Ethiopia. Usual response: "In the first place I am a Tigrigna speaker, and in the second I think we should converse in my excellent English".
They say most of the world speaks more than one language. What were you doing in Ethiopia?
All polls show Tory lead down. Sub samples show their Scottish gains going backwards - 7 from ORB and 3 from Opinium. Perhaps celebrations were premature!
but isn't it going to be a bit strange if the EU continue to use English as a common language after we leave? Wouldn't German or French be more logical a choice for a club without the awkward squad British in it any more?
Probably the most common second language.
True. Maybe if the EU had made English the official language of the Union (keeping all of the other languages of course) and made it a priority to ensure that everyone was fluent in it we would have felt somewhat better about being in it, because a) We would have had the special "big win" that all the other countries seem to get b) Freedom of movement in all directions would have been a lot easier.
c) And Brits wouldn't have to feel awkward and inadequate about their rank inability to learn any other language.
Win-win-win!
In my experience, Brits have every bit as much faculty to learn foreign languages as any other nation - a lot of Brits brought up overseas are completely fluent in other languages. But we do have less opportunity to learn (especially far fewer environments where our mother tongue is completely absent), particularly in the all formative younger years.
Of course they have as much ability. The reasons Brits struggle imo are: 1) less motivation when English is the global language 2) foreigners more likely to watch British and American TV, listen to music in English than we are in their language etc. 3) not convinced we teach languages that well in school
The killer is not being able to find monoglot foreigners any more. In the 1970s I spent some time in the Greek islands and it was still the case in many places that if you didn't speak Greek you didn't eat. Fast forward to the recent past and trying to speak Amharic to people in off-the-beaten-track bits of Ethiopia. Usual response: "In the first place I am a Tigrigna speaker, and in the second I think we should converse in my excellent English".
They say most of the world speaks more than one language. What were you doing in Ethiopia?
Anyone who hasn't been to Lalibela hasn't lived a full life.
All polls show Tory lead down. Sub samples show their Scottish gains going backwards - 7 from ORB and 3 from Opinium. Perhaps celebrations were premature!
How dare you accuse PB Tories of being triumphalistic. The bloody cheek!
but isn't it going to be a bit strange if the EU continue to use English as a common language after we leave? Wouldn't German or French be more logical a choice for a club without the awkward squad British in it any more?
Probably the most common second language.
True. Maybe if the EU had made English the official language of the Union (keeping all of the other languages of course) and made it a priority to ensure that everyone was fluent in it we would have felt somewhat better about being in it, because a) We would have had the special "big win" that all the other countries seem to get b) Freedom of movement in all directions would have been a lot easier.
c) And Brits wouldn't have to feel awkward and inadequate about their rank inability to learn any other language.
Win-win-win!
In my experience, Brits have every bit as much faculty to learn foreign languages as any other nation - a lot of Brits brought up overseas are completely fluent in other languages. But we do have less opportunity to learn (especially far fewer environments where our mother tongue is completely absent), particularly in the all formative younger years.
Of course they have as much ability. The reasons Brits struggle imo are: 1) less motivation when English is the global language 2) foreigners more likely to watch British and American TV, listen to music in English than we are in their language etc. 3) not convinced we teach languages that well in school
The killer is not being able to find monoglot foreigners any more. In the 1970s I spent some time in the Greek islands and it was still the case in many places that if you didn't speak Greek you didn't eat. Fast forward to the recent past and trying to speak Amharic to people in off-the-beaten-track bits of Ethiopia. Usual response: "In the first place I am a Tigrigna speaker, and in the second I think we should converse in my excellent English".
They say most of the world speaks more than one language. What were you doing in Ethiopia?
Cape-to-Cairo trip (2007, about the last time you could safely do it).
Suddenly the Tory strategy of vacating the airwaves for Labour doesn't look so bright.
I did suggest in the week that we had probably reached peak Tory. The enthusiasm for backing more and more unlikely Tory winners was starting to feel like stockmarket tips from taxi drivers.
Just for fun I ran the Observer opinium sub sample through Baxter. The result is 55 SNP and 4 Tory. Not well based of course being a sub sample - but just as valid as the Telegraph story.
I'd be pleased but very surprised to see the Tories above 4/5 in the end.
but isn't it going to be a bit strange if the EU continue to use English as a common language after we leave? Wouldn't German or French be more logical a choice for a club without the awkward squad British in it any more?
Probably the most common second language.
True. Maybe if the EU had made English the official language of the Union (keeping all of the other languages of course) and made it a priority to ensure that everyone was fluent in it we would have felt somewhat better about being in it, because a) We would have had the special "big win" that all the other countries seem to get b) Freedom of movement in all directions would have been a lot easier.
c) And Brits wouldn't have to feel awkward and inadequate about their rank inability to learn any other language.
Win-win-win!
In my experience, Brits have every bit as much faculty to learn foreign languages as any other nation - a lot of Brits brought up overseas are completely fluent in other languages. But we do have less opportunity to learn (especially far fewer environments where our mother tongue is completely absent), particularly in the all formative younger years.
Of course they have as much ability. The reasons Brits struggle imo are: 1) less motivation when English is the global language 2) foreigners more likely to watch British and American TV, listen to music in English than we are in their language etc. 3) not convinced we teach languages that well in school
The killer is not being able to find monoglot foreigners any more. In the 1970s I spent some time in the Greek islands and it was still the case in many places that if you didn't speak Greek you didn't eat. Fast forward to the recent past and trying to speak Amharic to people in off-the-beaten-track bits of Ethiopia. Usual response: "In the first place I am a Tigrigna speaker, and in the second I think we should converse in my excellent English".
They say most of the world speaks more than one language. What were you doing in Ethiopia?
Cape-to-Cairo trip (2007, about the last time you could safely do it).
Ah I remember looking at that itinerary longingly... I'm sure it was a great trip!
Ha! A friend and former colleague in the FCO, Philippa Thompson, has been selected to stand for Labour in Preseli Pembrokeshire against Stephen Crabb. Tough environment for a first-time candidate in Wales.
Yes,Philippa well thought of down here. Very pleasant and approachable and local. Hopefully she will do well given the short notice.
Good to know.
What is etiquette on this? I want a stonking Tory win for the GE, but it would be nice for Pippa to win. Should I be cheering her on? What say you, PB Tories?
Surely the pound shop Gordon Brown isn't going to blow this is she?
Certainly be interesting if the expenses scandal knocks another hole in the lead. Come back Dave and George. Your party needs you!!!
George must be starting to wonder if he really should have stepped down.
It will be interesting to see if Dave or John Major join in the campaigning for the Tories this time round. Major has been quite active in the last few elections campaigns.
The killer is not being able to find monoglot foreigners any more. In the 1970s I spent some time in the Greek islands and it was still the case in many places that if you didn't speak Greek you didn't eat. Fast forward to the recent past and trying to speak Amharic to people in off-the-beaten-track bits of Ethiopia. Usual response: "In the first place I am a Tigrigna speaker, and in the second I think we should converse in my excellent English".
France still has them: I have often found myself having to use my rusty O-level French as it made me the best linguist in the room. Not too hard if all you want is a pain au chocolate of course.
I may come to regret this, but I've just cashed out of my CON spread buy @ 388
Bought @ 378. 10x stake profit is ok I guess.
Still a long way to go so to have made 10x profit is a great result. But is that how it works with spread betting? I would have thought what you have done is locked in no losses, but will gain if it is between 378 and 388?
Those spread betting on this election are very brave IMO... There are a number of factors suggesting a big result... But very hard to know how those extra Tory votes will be distributed. Plus there's the uncertainty of a potential string of prosecutions and maybe even a targeted lib dem revival.
Once a spreadbet is cashed out there is no further potential liability/gain. ie, the result is irrelevant.
Yes spreadbetting is for the brave - potential winnings/losses can be huge.
but isn't it going to be a bit strange if the EU continue to use English as a common language after we leave? Wouldn't German or French be more logical a choice for a club without the awkward squad British in it any more?
Probably the most common second language.
True. Maybe if the EU had made English the official language of the Union (keeping all of the other languages of course) and made it a priority to ensure that everyone was fluent in it we would have felt somewhat better about being in it, because a) We would have had the special "big win" that all the other countries seem to get b) Freedom of movement in all directions would have been a lot easier.
c) And Brits wouldn't have to feel awkward and inadequate about their rank inability to learn any other language.
Win-win-win!
In my experience, Brits have every bit as much faculty to learn foreign languages as any other nation - a lot of Brits brought up overseas are completely fluent in other languages. But we do have less opportunity to learn (especially far fewer environments where our mother tongue is completely absent), particularly in the all formative younger years.
Of course they have as much ability. The reasons Brits struggle imo are: 1) less motivation when English is the global language 2) foreigners more likely to watch British and American TV, listen to music in English than we are in their language etc. 3) not convinced we teach languages that well in school
The killer is not being able to find monoglot foreigners any more. In the 1970s I spent some time in the Greek islands and it was still the case in many places that if you didn't speak Greek you didn't eat. Fast forward to the recent past and trying to speak Amharic to people in off-the-beaten-track bits of Ethiopia. Usual response: "In the first place I am a Tigrigna speaker, and in the second I think we should converse in my excellent English".
Going back a few years now but when I was travelling continental Europe the locals were always most insistent on practising their English rather than me practising my French or German.
but isn't it going to be a bit strange if the EU continue to use English as a common language after we leave? Wouldn't German or French be more logical a choice for a club without the awkward squad British in it any more?
Probably the most common second language.
True. Maybe if the EU had made English the official language of the Union (keeping all of the other languages of course) and made it a priority to ensure that everyone was fluent in it we would have felt somewhat better about being in it, because a) We would have had the special "big win" that all the other countries seem to get b) Freedom of movement in all directions would have been a lot easier.
c) And Brits wouldn't have to feel awkward and inadequate about their rank inability to learn any other language.
I may come to regret this, but I've just cashed out of my CON spread buy @ 388
Bought @ 378. 10x stake profit is ok I guess.
Still a long way to go so to have made 10x profit is a great result. But is that how it works with spread betting? I would have thought what you have done is locked in no losses, but will gain if it is between 378 and 388?
Those spread betting on this election are very brave IMO... There are a number of factors suggesting a big result... But very hard to know how those extra Tory votes will be distributed. Plus there's the uncertainty of a potential string of prosecutions and maybe even a targeted lib dem revival.
Once a spreadbet is cashed out there is no further potential liability/gain. ie, the result is irrelevant.
Yes spreadbetting is for the brave - potential winnings/losses can be huge.
I wasn't planning on cashing out this year, but I am now.
We'll know if the 20% leads are accurate if Andy Street wins the West Midlands Mayor, if he doesn't, then they aren't/
I don't care about holiday home owners myself, some here will. For the people that have such property - it wasn't very long ago that Hollande brought in a special tax for British home owners in France. It didn't stick as it was deemed discriminatory.These sort of taxes will be brought back in, though, won't they. Something odd happens in Spain where the authorities make retrospective planning decisions to take holiday homes off their British owners. That is not going to stop. We are being told to guarantee mass immigration from the EU to preserve the rights of the British in the EU - it is an illusion. The holiday home owners should find somewhere else to invest before they lose their money, and the UK government shouldn't consider them above UK residents.
EU citizens in the UK should be treated in exactly the same way as non EU citizens.
I may come to regret this, but I've just cashed out of my CON spread buy @ 388
Bought @ 378. 10x stake profit is ok I guess.
Still a long way to go so to have made 10x profit is a great result. But is that how it works with spread betting? I would have thought what you have done is locked in no losses, but will gain if it is between 378 and 388?
Those spread betting on this election are very brave IMO... There are a number of factors suggesting a big result... But very hard to know how those extra Tory votes will be distributed. Plus there's the uncertainty of a potential string of prosecutions and maybe even a targeted lib dem revival.
Once a spreadbet is cashed out there is no further potential liability/gain. ie, the result is irrelevant.
Yes spreadbetting is for the brave - potential winnings/losses can be huge.
I wasn't planning on cashing out this year, but I am now.
We'll know if the 20% leads are accurate if Andy Street wins the West Midlands Mayor, if he doesn't, then they aren't/
Has Andy Street stood as the 'Conservative' candidate or the 'John Lewis' candidate?
Ha! A friend and former colleague in the FCO, Philippa Thompson, has been selected to stand for Labour in Preseli Pembrokeshire against Stephen Crabb. Tough environment for a first-time candidate in Wales.
Yes,Philippa well thought of down here. Very pleasant and approachable and local. Hopefully she will do well given the short notice.
Good to know.
What is etiquette on this? I want a stonking Tory win for the GE, but it would be nice for Pippa to win. Should I be cheering her on? What say you, PB Tories?
You could say that Stephen Crabb is a hypocrite and pound shop Tim Farron who deserves to lose whilst the Tories win big.
Ha! A friend and former colleague in the FCO, Philippa Thompson, has been selected to stand for Labour in Preseli Pembrokeshire against Stephen Crabb. Tough environment for a first-time candidate in Wales.
Isn't Preseli the number one target for the Bus Pass Elvis Party?
Matt Singh @MattSingh_ Labour source messages in response to tonight's polls with "B******S". Make of that what you will...
They think the polls are overstating the Labour share?
I'm not sure if it's bastards or bollocks.
Pretty sure it's the latter, i.e. they don't believe Corbyn will come close to matching Ed's vote share. Have to say I agree with them: it fails the sniff test.
It would be hilarious in a way if Corbyn did pull off an upset. Maybe not enough to get into No 10, but say, matched Miliband. All those moderate Labour supporters who have psyched themselves up for Armageddon and come to terms with rebuilding the Party from the roots up will face another five years of the indestructible Jezza.
The announcement of a sudden 'snap' election tends to boost support for the incumbent Government in initial polling - and is not surprising that we see that unwinding here. Something similar happened at the beginning of the February 1974 campaign.The big difference this time is that we are looking at a 7 week campaign - rather than the 3 week election campaign in1974.
That's a richly ironic comment considering one of your fellow Nats upthread was complaining you were likely to be compared to terrorists.
But don't worry, nobody will compare you to the KKK. They were well-organised. Although come to think of it, they did overreach themselves and it ended in at best partial success...
Don't worry, after your lie about public sector/welsh speaking claim no_one will believe any thing you post.
Think the word you're looking for is error.
You obnoxious fool
Oh gawd... you'll rue the day
Not really I was fortunate enough for my family to leave the weak members of the herd behind and move from Scotland to England when I was 4.
I understand why the failures at life are bitter.
Your whining at some bloke you don't know on the internet who hasn't even addressed you, and you're talking about failures in life?
Ok.
Oh dear big jessie boy upset that he was exiled at 4 years old.
The announcement of a sudden 'snap' election tends to boost support for the incumbent Government in initial polling - and is not surprising that we see that unwinding here. Something similar happened at the beginning of the February 1974 campaign.The big difference this time is that we are looking at a 7 week campaign - rather than the 3 week election campaign in1974.
If Jezza wins, then the queues at Heathrow to leave will be bigly.
Guardian finds whole concept that people in rural areas are worth politicians' time and effort incomprehensible. Invents silly (and politically convenient) explanation accordingly.
Except the people she met were bussed in activists, not locals.
Has she done a single meet the public event yet, anywhere?
Has Corbyn? Not that it makes any difference. Who would you want leading the country in a crisis? Be honest - Corbyn or May?
Neither. I think Angus Robertson would make an excellent Prime Minister of the Progressive Alliance if Farron didn't get the gig.
Angus Robertson would indeed my choice to lead Scotland. They do have good and capable leaders.
Ok. I know the standard of UK politician in the UK is bad, but seriously?
Agreed. I still have a wee chuckle when I remember Angus Robertson's wee twitter panic when the Russian Naval fleet parked up in the Moray Firth during bad weather. Even after they left he was complaining about them fly tipping.
Fitalaff clocks in , reads garbage from CCHQ instructions. Wonders why she was not invited to teh forest earlier to meet the Imperial Master.
That's a richly ironic comment considering one of your fellow Nats upthread was complaining you were likely to be compared to terrorists.
But don't worry, nobody will compare you to the KKK. They were well-organised. Although come to think of it, they did overreach themselves and it ended in at best partial success...
Don't worry, after your lie about public sector/welsh speaking claim no_one will believe any thing you post.
Think the word you're looking for is error.
You obnoxious fool
Oh gawd... you'll rue the day
Not really I was fortunate enough for my family to leave the weak members of the herd behind and move from Scotland to England when I was 4.
I understand why the failures at life are bitter.
Your whining at some bloke you don't know on the internet who hasn't even addressed you, and you're talking about failures in life?
Ok.
Oh dear big jessie boy upset that he was exiled at 4 years old.
It will be interesting to see whether signs of Labour recovery are reflected in the Local Elections next Thursday. Andy Burnham should be feeling a bit more confident tonight.
Ha! A friend and former colleague in the FCO, Philippa Thompson, has been selected to stand for Labour in Preseli Pembrokeshire against Stephen Crabb. Tough environment for a first-time candidate in Wales.
Yes,Philippa well thought of down here. Very pleasant and approachable and local. Hopefully she will do well given the short notice.
Good to know.
What is etiquette on this? I want a stonking Tory win for the GE, but it would be nice for Pippa to win. Should I be cheering her on? What say you, PB Tories?
You could say that Stephen Crabb is a hypocrite and pound shop Tim Farron who deserves to lose whilst the Tories win big.
Yep after flipping his home, the evangelical Christian was returned with a bigger majority in 2010. I suspect the forgiving voters down here will also overlook the texting which caused his cabinet resignation last year. When he was elected in 2005 I said he had a job for life, unless he was caught with his pants down. What do I know?
When these YouGov numbers are finally coughed up, I'll be intrigued to see whether Labour is knocking around 30% again (as will probably be the case.)
If so, we'll be starting to see a similar pattern in a number of pollsters. The next questions are, "Where are the voter movements taking place?" and "Why?"
A couple more questions to consider, which might help us with these:
1. Does a situation in which Labour and the Lib Dems are back where they started in May 2015 look remotely plausible, given everything that has happened since - i.e. after what happened with the polls last time, and given that Labour/Corbyn still does terribly in the secondary questions, do we swallow these headline VI numbers whole or consider that there might be something wrong with them? 2. Is there anything obvious in the 2015 voter churn tables that might help us to understand what's going on? The Opinium tables look nonsensical and there aren't any for Orb, so we're going to need the YouGov splits to help us with this.
Ha! A friend and former colleague in the FCO, Philippa Thompson, has been selected to stand for Labour in Preseli Pembrokeshire against Stephen Crabb. Tough environment for a first-time candidate in Wales.
Yes,Philippa well thought of down here. Very pleasant and approachable and local. Hopefully she will do well given the short notice.
Good to know.
What is etiquette on this? I want a stonking Tory win for the GE, but it would be nice for Pippa to win. Should I be cheering her on? What say you, PB Tories?
You could say that Stephen Crabb is a hypocrite and pound shop Tim Farron who deserves to lose whilst the Tories win big.
Yep after flipping his home, the evangelical Christian was returned with a bigger majority in 2010. I suspect the forgiving voters down here will also overlook the texting which caused his cabinet resignation last year. When he was elected in 2005 I said he had a job for life, unless he was caught with his pants down. What do I know?
Fortunately Mrs May's a good campaigner, a natural speaker, and her great passion to meet ordinary voters will halt this slide.
Mrs May, the woman who blew a 25% lead against Corbyn. Tut Tut
Top trolling.
Some of us have real money staked on this election.
Mrs May could cost me nearly £16,000 on the spreads with her crapness
Fair comment, but maybe they were unwise bets? Last weekend was bonkers ( no idea if you bet on that, just saying), the froth's blown off. Progress either way now gets progressively harder. Can we really see Jezza busting Milliband's 31 significantly? As long May's UKIP converts firewall holds she's home. Expenses may cause feathers to fly but in the last ten days it's an iRA cheer leader, whose chancellor thinks Venezuela is great ( a country where bog roll is on ration) or May.
When these YouGov numbers are finally coughed up, I'll be intrigued to see whether Labour is knocking around 30% again (as will probably be the case.)
If so, we'll be starting to see a similar pattern in a number of pollsters. The next questions are, "Where are the voter movements taking place?" and "Why?"
A couple more questions to consider, which might help us with these:
1. Does a situation in which Labour and the Lib Dems are back where they started in May 2015 look remotely plausible, given everything that has happened since - i.e. after what happened with the polls last time, and given that Labour/Corbyn still does terribly in the secondary questions, do we swallow these headline VI numbers whole or consider that there might be something wrong with them? 2. Is there anything obvious in the 2015 voter churn tables that might help us to understand what's going on? The Opinium tables look nonsensical and there aren't any for Orb, so we're going to need the YouGov splits to help us with this.
My assumption is that this polling trend might be reinforcing Labour's increasingly inefficient vote. Piling up votes where they don't need them is the only explanation when we've seen Labour doing much worse in their old heartland Leave seats....
When these YouGov numbers are finally coughed up, I'll be intrigued to see whether Labour is knocking around 30% again (as will probably be the case.)
If so, we'll be starting to see a similar pattern in a number of pollsters. The next questions are, "Where are the voter movements taking place?" and "Why?"
A couple more questions to consider, which might help us with these:
1. Does a situation in which Labour and the Lib Dems are back where they started in May 2015 look remotely plausible, given everything that has happened since - i.e. after what happened with the polls last time, and given that Labour/Corbyn still does terribly in the secondary questions, do we swallow these headline VI numbers whole or consider that there might be something wrong with them? 2. Is there anything obvious in the 2015 voter churn tables that might help us to understand what's going on? The Opinium tables look nonsensical and there aren't any for Orb, so we're going to need the YouGov splits to help us with this.
My assumption is that this polling trend might be reinforcing Labour's increasingly inefficient vote. Piling up votes where they don't need them is the only explanation when we've seen Labour doing much worse in their old heartland Leave seats....
Clobbering the Lib Dems? Why is Corbyn in Shoreditch?
If the demands were agreed in full, officials concede it would create a situation where EU nationals in the UK have more rights – say on appealing against immigration decisions on third country spouses – than are enjoyed by British citizens.
When these YouGov numbers are finally coughed up, I'll be intrigued to see whether Labour is knocking around 30% again (as will probably be the case.)
If so, we'll be starting to see a similar pattern in a number of pollsters. The next questions are, "Where are the voter movements taking place?" and "Why?"
A couple more questions to consider, which might help us with these:
1. Does a situation in which Labour and the Lib Dems are back where they started in May 2015 look remotely plausible, given everything that has happened since - i.e. after what happened with the polls last time, and given that Labour/Corbyn still does terribly in the secondary questions, do we swallow these headline VI numbers whole or consider that there might be something wrong with them? 2. Is there anything obvious in the 2015 voter churn tables that might help us to understand what's going on? The Opinium tables look nonsensical and there aren't any for Orb, so we're going to need the YouGov splits to help us with this.
My assumption is that this polling trend might be reinforcing Labour's increasingly inefficient vote. Piling up votes where they don't need them is the only explanation when we've seen Labour doing much worse in their old heartland Leave seats....
Opinium has also consistently had Labour higher than other pollsters and may not have made as many adjustments since the last election as the likes of yougov and ICM, ORB may be similar. The final Opinium poll for the last general election had Labour on 35% and the Tories 34%, Labour were 5% too high and the Tories 3% too low http://ukgeneralelection2015.blogspot.co.uk/2015/05/final-poll-from-opinium-before-election.html
Comments
What were you doing in Ethiopia?
Tory lead in latest YouGov down from 16pts to 13pts.
All polls show Tory lead down. Sub samples show their Scottish gains going backwards - 7 from ORB and 3 from Opinium. Perhaps celebrations were premature!
I did suggest in the week that we had probably reached peak Tory. The enthusiasm for backing more and more unlikely Tory winners was starting to feel like stockmarket tips from taxi drivers.
Mrs May, the woman who blew a 25% lead against Corbyn. Tut Tut
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C-m72-eXoAAHzjH.jpg:large
What is etiquette on this? I want a stonking Tory win for the GE, but it would be nice for Pippa to win. Should I be cheering her on? What say you, PB Tories?
It will be interesting to see if Dave or John Major join in the campaigning for the Tories this time round. Major has been quite active in the last few elections campaigns.
Yes spreadbetting is for the brave - potential winnings/losses can be huge.
We'll know if the 20% leads are accurate if Andy Street wins the West Midlands Mayor, if he doesn't, then they aren't/
EU citizens in the UK should be treated in exactly the same way as non EU citizens.
Underestimate Jezza at your peril
Mrs May could cost me nearly £16,000 on the spreads with her crapness
The unelectable Corbyn is bulletproof and the Remain strategy is dead?
Tory majority extends to???
http://68.media.tumblr.com/0540a5d687e0885854613d57f9cc38f9/tumblr_op6vg457zZ1u5f06vo1_1280.jpg
Wonder how 'May attacked by EU' will play with voters....
....I also doubt somehow Juncker 'pulled out a 2,000 page copy of the Canada EU treaty over dinner' - where was it, in his back pocket?
for the 20th time this election TMICIPM!!!
If Jezza wins, then the queues at Heathrow to leave will be bigly.
Anecdata shows the Tories winning yuuuuge. Saturday nights on PB seem to be habitually anti-May.
Just wait for Monday afternoons....
When he was elected in 2005 I said he had a job for life, unless he was caught with his pants down. What do I know?
Discuss.
If so, we'll be starting to see a similar pattern in a number of pollsters. The next questions are, "Where are the voter movements taking place?" and "Why?"
A couple more questions to consider, which might help us with these:
1. Does a situation in which Labour and the Lib Dems are back where they started in May 2015 look remotely plausible, given everything that has happened since - i.e. after what happened with the polls last time, and given that Labour/Corbyn still does terribly in the secondary questions, do we swallow these headline VI numbers whole or consider that there might be something wrong with them?
2. Is there anything obvious in the 2015 voter churn tables that might help us to understand what's going on? The Opinium tables look nonsensical and there aren't any for Orb, so we're going to need the YouGov splits to help us with this.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/04/29/theresa-may-rejects-brussels-hardline-brexit-demands/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
They are trying to monopolise the left.
Ambitious......
Tories haven't started on Jezza yet.
http://ukgeneralelection2015.blogspot.co.uk/2015/05/final-poll-from-opinium-before-election.html