clinton49.4%1,658,543 trump47.8%1,602,508 johnson2.0%66,252 stein0.6%19,199 full details voting, est. 36% i
Trump is doing worse in Orlando and West Palm beach, doing as well as Romney in Miami-Dade, doing better than Romney in the Tampa-Naples area.
All that is of course early vote, not the votes cast today.
Trump has a chance in Florida.
Doesn't look like any news from the panhandle yet. I'm not sure if the polls have closed there.
The first counties to close (and vote) are all in the panhandle.
I don't think that is right. I remember one election where Karl Rove got annoyed at the networks for calling Florida before the panhandle had finished voting.
American election programmes have a very different feel to British ones. Much better analysis and less time wasting listening to clueless vox pops and partisan commentators trying to spin the results.
Seriously, what is the point of pasting these figures based on 1% of the votes? It's essentially random.
1% of the population of 318 million ish is a viable statistical sample.
It's not the size that's important.
Over here in blighty the pollsters work off approx 1100. For a population of .... Well god who knows lets say 70 millions. Far less than 1%. Size is everything.
American election programmes have a very different feel to British ones. Much better analysis and less time wasting listening to clueless vox pops and partisan commentators trying to spin the results.
They don't have that empty hour and a half to fill, and then another hour when the only result is from sunderland
Varies by state. Here in Noo Yawk it's 6am - 9pm, so same duration as in the UK just offset by an hour. In general the states that allow early voting tend to close earlier. NYS doesn't have early voting.
Florida results coming in are the early votes, which we know Hilary was doing well on . Trump's expected to win the vote on the day? Am I missing something?
Florida results coming in are the early votes, which we know Hilary was doing well on . Trump's expected to win the vote on the day? Am I missing something?
No, it's not early votes, but early counties that are reporting.
Florida results coming in are the early votes, which we know Hilary was doing well on . Trump's expected to win the vote on the day? Am I missing something?
After all the analysis of turnout by education or race, the one that looks to be the most significant was staring us in the face - the women's vote in a race with a female candidate.
American election programmes have a very different feel to British ones. Much better analysis and less time wasting listening to clueless vox pops and partisan commentators trying to spin the results.
They don't have that empty hour and a half to fill, and then another hour when the only result is from sunderland
Yes but in any case it is far better – a focus on the maths, geography and numbers rather than meaningless talking heads. We should learn from them. The CNN coverage is very good (apart from the key race alert)
Swings so far indicated by exit polls compared to 2012 result:
To Clinton:
Georgia: 3.2% North Carolina: 2.0% South Carolina: 1.5% Virginia: 1.9%
To Trump:
Indiana: 2.1% Kentucky: 1.9% Ohio: 1.6%
Clinton getting swing where it matters, right?
Where it matters in that region so far. All those Clinton swings are on the east and south-east coast. Trump's only hope is that everywhere outside that sub-region is better for him.
American election programmes have a very different feel to British ones. Much better analysis and less time wasting listening to clueless vox pops and partisan commentators trying to spin the results.
They don't have that empty hour and a half to fill, and then another hour when the only result is from sunderland
Yes but in any case it is far better – a focus on the maths, geography and numbers rather than meaningless talking heads. We should learn from them. The CNN coverage is very good (apart from the key race alert)
It's interesting because a standard CNN political programming is far worse, often having 6-8 talking heads on their panel. This is much better with just the data analysis.
Why? None of the key races NH,Penn or NV where the Dems need to win all 3 to get at least a 50-50 tie assuming that they gain WI and IL have closed the polls yet.
Florida results coming in are the early votes, which we know Hilary was doing well on . Trump's expected to win the vote on the day? Am I missing something?
No, it's not early votes, but early counties that are reporting.
Could be wrong , but fairly sure the early counties report early votes first. So mail / early votes which they've had hold of for a while. It's why each county has a % reported figure that goes up.
That kinda shows that if GOP had put up a candidate who wasn't a vile pussygrabbing, psychotic, narcissistic, tax evading, Putin loving, maniac... they would have walked it......
I do think the GOP need to go for Kasich next time. A rust belt Governor, sensible, will pledge to bring back jobs to the rust belt, won't be a mental case and will give them the best shot of winning IMO, especially if Clinton runs again.
Comments
Trump 47.11%
Clinton 46.95%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/states/ohio
Hillary 48.5
Trump 46.5
Ohio
Trump 47
Hillary 47
Again young voters 18-29 outnumber those over 65's.
Dade and Palm Beach have significant votes in but unclear what %.
*Maybe I just didn't look properly
Clinton massively over-performing in Orange County, FL. We had +17, currently at +29. http://benchmark.shareblue.com/florida/
Adam Smith – Verified account @adamsmithtimes
HRC up 10 pts in Hillsborough Co, the most reliable presidential picker in FL
Clinton 48.56%
Trump 46.52%
Isn't the panhandle in a different timezone and wasn't that the big issue with the early call in 2000 ?
Size is everything.
Trump 49.7%
Clinton 47.4%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/states/florida
p.s. I don't personally care who wins.
To Clinton:
Georgia: 3.2%
North Carolina: 2.0%
South Carolina: 1.5%
Virginia: 1.9%
To Trump:
Indiana: 2.1%
Kentucky: 1.9%
Ohio: 1.6%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/states/south-carolina
Which is why no projection yet - not even TCTC - they say nothing (in terms of projection) until 1am.
At 1am they will say TCTC.
Will it outweigh Trump's gains elsewhere.
Trump's expected to win the vote on the day?
Am I missing something?
I don't feel for someone who would want that vile cretin to be POTUS......it's like someone routing for ISIS...
Sorry what is FOP?
I think Trump probably squeaks home in OH.
trump49.4%2,421,577
clinton47.7%2,339,134
johnson2.1%101,910
stein0.6%29,508
full details
voting, est. 52% i
Must have been someone else.
- Florida
- Ohio
- Pennslyvania
MI +6.3
WI +5.4
VA +4.6
CO +4.4
PA +3.7
NV +2.4
NC +1.6
FL +0.3
OH -0.1
IA -0.5
AZ -2.6
GA -2.9
TX -5.5
Nationally they reckon Clinton about +4ish, although it's bouncing around like a mad thing. 538's final poll was +3.6%
It suggests he's less popular than Trump which would be a bit embarrassing.
So mail / early votes which they've had hold of for a while.
It's why each county has a % reported figure that goes up.
I may go to bed. SpreadEx will be writing me another cheque.
Losers.
She should carry the state. But if she wins PA, MI and NC, she won't even need it.