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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As we await the first results

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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,325
    edited November 2016
    Beeb now saying

    Clinton 68 electors
    Trump 37
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    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,341
    Jobabob said:

    Any news from Plato, MonikerDiCanio or PrinceofTaranto?

    I'm sure some devastating Wikileaks revelations are coming out any moment...
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,007
    Danny565 said:

    Exit poll has Clinton winning Pennsylvania by ~5%.

    IT'S OVER.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,394
    Really hope Clinton doesn't go over 359 ECVs or it'll wipe out most of my profits!
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Pennsylvania exit poll:

    Clinton 50.5%
    Trump 46.1%
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,290
    Clinton calls for IL, NJ
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,007
    Casino_Royale said:

    Really hope Clinton doesn't go over 359 ECVs or it'll wipe out most of my profits!

    You're safe...
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,290
    Clinton MA, Maryland, RI, Delaware, DC
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited November 2016
    Clinton has to be 90% sure of winning now. (Famous last words).
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    Overwhelmed with Key Race Alerts!
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,028
    edited November 2016
    CNN says Clinton projected to win Illinois, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Maryland, Rhode Island, Delaware and DC.
    Trump projected to win Oklahoma, Tennessee and Mississippi
    Florida and Pennsylvania and New Hampshire too close to call
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    stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,779
    Ohio neck and neck on Betfair. Dems just matched at odds on.
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    TonyTony Posts: 159
    Nytime live feed just flipped Florida to Trump...
    http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/florida
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,822
    CNN Map - Lib-Dem Landslide!!!!!!!
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    ThrakThrak Posts: 494
    Florida and NH Clinton slightly ahead on exit poll and, in both cases, it's the female vote that makes the difference. Poetic justice.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    Tony said:

    Nytime live feed just flipped Florida to Trump...
    http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/florida

    Oh that's a nice site!
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    RobD said:

    Overwhelmed with Key Race Alerts!

    I am going to have dreams nightmares about them!
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    tysontyson Posts: 6,050
    Can I just say something....that fucking piece of shit Trump, that scumbag turd...He should offend all of us....he didn't deserve to be given that kind of platform, stupid, silly man.....I despise him.

    I bet his missus scarpers soon enough....and his kids disown him. He is a gross sack of shit. He has shamed one of the great political parties and all those people that have spent their lives working for that party....


    That's made me feel better.....

    Now back to betting....
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Question - why do CNN not report their exit polls (at least the numbers) in their TV coverage? Is it just to maintain the suspense and keep people watching?
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    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    Monksfield said:

    CNN analysis is great.


    It's superb. No need to flick to any other channel.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,487

    NEW THREAD NEW THREAD

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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,394
    tyson said:

    Free money now on betfair on Hillary for POTUS......but you can go for the party instead for the same money if she keels over

    That's a point.. when does Betfair pay out?

    Edit: ah, it's on ECVs won
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    Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    Casino_Royale said:

    Really hope Clinton doesn't go over 359 ECVs or it'll wipe out most of my profits!

    Nate Silver projecting 309 at the moment
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    rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    ToryJim said:

    IanB2 said:

    In Britain the rural areas are always last; in the US they seem to have overcome this, I guess because they are smaller?

    I believe they count in situ not centrally which speeds things up
    That's correct. The precinct officials read the results off the machines and phone them in. None of these results we get on the night are officially certified. It's not like the UK where the result isn't revealed until the returning officer declares the official, certified result.
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    gettingbettergettingbetter Posts: 476
    rcs1000 said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    Really hope Clinton doesn't go over 359 ECVs or it'll wipe out most of my profits!

    You're safe...
    Only just I think with iowa and ihio and arizona she gets to 359 !
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,946
    I'm hoping for 28 or 29 blue states now....
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    GarethoftheVale2GarethoftheVale2 Posts: 1,997
    Down to 50k vote lead in Florida. Could still be close as most of the outstanding votes in the Panhandle
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    ChrisChris Posts: 11,134
    Well, the 538 model is remaining cautious. Taking into account calls so far, it's giving Clinton a 78% chance of victory.

    I wonder whether any Tramp Rumpers would venture to identify a path to 270 for him?
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    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,341
    edited November 2016
    I am actually missing having the political commentators a little on the CNN feed vs a British election coverage. The analysis is great but it feels very disconnected from the process of electing politicians.
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    GarethoftheVale2GarethoftheVale2 Posts: 1,997
    Down to 16k in Florida
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    GarethoftheVale2GarethoftheVale2 Posts: 1,997
    Trump leads in Florida. I put £5 on at 4-1, 5 mins ago. Could be good.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,325
    Beeb:

    Clinton 68 electors
    Trump 57
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,873
    trump48.5%3,983,244
    clinton48.5%3,983,216
    johnson2.1%173,473
    stein0.7%53,518
    full details
    processing, est. 88% in
This discussion has been closed.