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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If elected, will Hillary or the Donald be impeached?

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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,053

    viewcode said:

    rcs1000 said:

    viewcode said:

    On Topic for the moment...

    If I recall correctly, the word "impeachment" refers to the *process* (it's a fancy word for "trial"), not to the *outcome*. Bill Clinton did not "face impeachment", he *was* impeached. I'm not sure the bookies understand the difference.

    The reason why I bring this up is because bookies in 2011/12 failed to pay out on bets that Greece would default after their debts were restructured. It *was* a default (in the sense creditors were forced to accept lower payments) but was not described as such, so the bookies refused to pay up. If the term "impeachment" is not correctly understood by bookie and bettor, similar misunderstandings may occur.

    It was absolutely a default, and was recognised as such by the ratings agencies.
    I agree. The bookies did not. Hence my point about the need for a clear definition of "impeachment".
    I should have been clearer, Paddy Power say it has to be a successful conviction in the Senate to pay out.
    Thank you.
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    OK, so it's 4-3 to del Potro in the fourth :(
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    OK, so it's 4-3 to del Potro in the fourth :(

    This is looking like a five setter.
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    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    rcs1000 said:

    viewcode said:

    On Topic for the moment...

    If I recall correctly, the word "impeachment" refers to the *process* (it's a fancy word for "trial"), not to the *outcome*. Bill Clinton did not "face impeachment", he *was* impeached. I'm not sure the bookies understand the difference.

    The reason why I bring this up is because bookies in 2011/12 failed to pay out on bets that Greece would default after their debts were restructured. It *was* a default (in the sense creditors were forced to accept lower payments) but was not described as such, so the bookies refused to pay up. If the term "impeachment" is not correctly understood by bookie and bettor, similar misunderstandings may occur.

    It was absolutely a default, and was recognised as such by the ratings agencies.
    I agree. The bookies did not. Hence my point about the need for a clear definition of "impeachment".
    I should have been clearer, Paddy Power say it has to be a successful conviction in the Senate to pay out.
    Thank you.
    Should be even clearer.

    Successful conviction in the Senate = At least 2/3 of Senators voting guilty and thus removing POTUS from their job.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,300
    edited August 2016
    Come on Tim Andy.
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    DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    Bill Clinton didn't just "face" impeachment; he was impeached.
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    5-5 now in the fourth set! Come on Andy!
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    Break back by Murray for 5-5 in the fourth set. This is an epic.
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    Tennis

    Bloody hell
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    Come on Tim Andy.

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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,629
    edited August 2016

    Tennis

    Bloody hell

    I can't access the fantasy football. Can you tell me who is top of the PB league please ?
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    Tennis

    Bloody hell

    I can't access the fantasy football. Can you tell me who is top of the PB league please ?
    No.
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    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    I see China are back in second place!
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    Arise Lord Murray of everywhere... unbelievable sport. What an awesome olympic day for team GB!!!
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    MURRAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154
    You'd think del Potro would know that Argentina was the land of silver......
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    justin124 said:

    I see China are back in second place!

    You were saying....plus there's a banked gold on Tuesday for the finn sailing
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    It's good to be British!!!!!

    We rock.
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    Absolutely amazing. Brilliant tennis.
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    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Murray is too tired to celebrate. So am I, night all.

    One thought before I go, I make that nine different sports with at least one gold. Phenomenal.
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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    It's good to be British!!!!!

    We rock.

    So is our improvement over the last few years down to Lottery money?
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    Major, Blair, Brown and Cameron - well done, money very well spent. The investment is well worth the outcome. This is what feelgood feels like and it has to be good for us all. Ms May, take note.
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    You'd think del Potro would know that Argentina was the land of silver......

    "I am not allowed to say how many silver medals Argentina won, but I counted them all out and I counted them all back."
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    They're taking their sweet time over this medals ceremony. Sue Barker would have had this sorted by now.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,018

    Major, Blair, Brown and Cameron - well done, money very well spent. The investment is well worth the outcome. This is what feelgood feels like and it has to be good for us all. Ms May, take note.

    I don't think there are any plans to stop olympic funding?
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,018
    justin124 said:

    I see China are back in second place!

    Booo!!
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    Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    Big stars in their own sports making big money for themselves but there is something about when you do it for your country. There is something different, you can see it in the people who are there in the crowds, it isn't the same as winning a major at golf or a Wimbledon.

    Long may it continue.

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    RobD said:

    justin124 said:

    I see China are back in second place!

    Booo!!
    We're back in second thanks to Lord muzza

    Hoorar
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,018
    RobD said:

    justin124 said:

    I see China are back in second place!

    Booo!!
    Sorry to disappoint you, but we still are second according to the BBC.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,018

    RobD said:

    justin124 said:

    I see China are back in second place!

    Booo!!
    We're back in second thanks to Lord muzza

    Hoorar
    Excellent :D
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    I presume our flag carrier at the closing will be max Whitlock
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    WR in 400m from lane 8!!!!!

    Are we sure they have measured the track correctly?
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    WR in 400m from lane 8!!!!!

    Are we sure they have measured the track correctly?

    That was an astonishing run. Just watched the replay and it looks even better the second time.
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    Michael Johnson is a class act.
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    Michael Johnson is a class act.

    Unlike Denise Lewis.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,963
    Couldn't sleep anyway, who thought recording the 100m final would work?

    Here goes, and finally there's something of an atmosphere in the stadium - blink and you've missed it!
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,963
    That went as expected. Back to bed now. Fantastic achievement from the big man to win three in a row!
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    If bolt wasn't such a (relative) crap starter I wonder how fast he could go.
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    If bolt wasn't such a (relative) crap starter I wonder how fast he could go.

    Nice of him to let Gatlin have a go first.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,963
    edited August 2016

    If bolt wasn't such a (relative) crap starter I wonder how fast he could go.

    Nice of him to let Gatlin have a go first.
    He gave Gatlin just enough time to think that he might actually have a chance to win it, before shifting up a gear in the final few metres and putting the cheating American firmly back in his place!
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Morning all.

    Well done Murray - Good to see a 1982 rematch in the tennis.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,425

    If bolt wasn't such a (relative) crap starter I wonder how fast he could go.

    You can't have everything. He is a relatively crap starter because he has ridiculously long legs for a sprinter. He is tall and it takes him a bit longer than others to get fully into the upright position. But when he does those disadvantages give him an extra gear on everyone else.

    This of course is why he is even better at the 200m. He is a freak. So glad he beat Gatlin though. Gatlin should not have been there and going forward those rules have to be changed.
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited August 2016
    re s

    If bolt wasn't such a (relative) crap starter I wonder how fast he could go.

    But he's a crap starter because of his physiology that makes him such a fast runner. Can't have one without the other.
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    FishingFishing Posts: 4,561
    On topic, from somebody who doesn't give a crap about sport...

    This thread treats American politics as if it were a parliamentary system, without once mentioning the requirements for impeachment. American Presidents can only be impeached, according to the Constitution if there is evidence that they have committed "Treason, Bribery, or other High Crimes and Misdemeanors", not because a majority of Representatives, and a super-majority of Senators, don't like them. Indeed, the prospect that the grounds for impeachment might become too broad was why Madison objected to Mason's proposal for "maladministration" as grounds for impeachment in 1787. He thought it could be so broad that Congress could object to any President on those grounds, and America would therefore effectively be a Parliamentary system.

    The meaning of Treason is very closely defined under the US Constitution, and there is no evidence whatsoever that either Trump or Clinton is a traitor. Bribery - well, evidence might come out about Trump's business affairs, but it's the same as far as I know. So they'd have to be impeached for "other High Crimes and Misdemeanours", a very vague phrase derived from 14th century English law on impeachment. There was abundant testimony during the Nixon and Clinton hearings on what constituted oHCM, so I won't cover that here. Tax evasion doesn't seem to, since the House refused to impeach Nixon on those grounds, but perjury apparently can. But without any evidence that either possible President has committed either crime, it seems unlikely that they can be impeached, even if disastrously unpopular.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,139
    I see the EBC coverage was up to usual high standards.

    A BBC tennis commentator has been slammed for his coverage of Andy Murray's incredible Olympic win - after claiming that supporters in Scotland kits and 'See You Jimmy' hats were English.
    Simon Reed, commentating on the men's final in Rio, said that after the match an emotional Murray was 'heading over to a small band of English fans ... he must have saw them earlier'.
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    malcolmg said:

    I see the EBC coverage was up to usual high standards.

    A BBC tennis commentator has been slammed for his coverage of Andy Murray's incredible Olympic win - after claiming that supporters in Scotland kits and 'See You Jimmy' hats were English.
    Simon Reed, commentating on the men's final in Rio, said that after the match an emotional Murray was 'heading over to a small band of English fans ... he must have saw them earlier'.

    John Inverdale forgot about the existence of women when interviewing Murray.
This discussion has been closed.