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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why I’m betting that it’ll be next July at the earliest bef

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  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    So what do you do if someone's switched off the internet....

    They haven't done that yet, but if you were in Turkey it would be a good time to look at that website and collect numbers/locations of embassies.
    They've restricted access to certain websites. In effect they are trying to block off forums for people to share. Who did it though, MIT the local intelligence agency or the military.
  • Paul_BedfordshirePaul_Bedfordshire Posts: 3,632
    edited July 2016
    At this time of year PB should be having about 150 comments a thread with OGH manfully trying to keep interest going with betting markets on which goats enter parliament in Bazorkistan elections and everyone propping their eyes open with matchsticks.

    Not this summer. Must be costing OGH a fortune in bandwidth.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,304

    This should do it

    Emily Thornberry issues statement to "urge everyone in Turkey" to show "calm and restraint". Demands they "resolve this situation".

    Time for a judge led enquiry.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,161
    edited July 2016
    Y0kel said:

    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    So what do you do if someone's switched off the internet....

    They haven't done that yet, but if you were in Turkey it would be a good time to look at that website and collect numbers/locations of embassies.
    They've restricted access to certain websites. In effect they are trying to block off forums for people to share. Who did it though, MIT the local intelligence agency or the military.
    Still haven't heard if they have blocked PB or not... :p
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,301

    This should do it

    Emily Thornberry issues statement to "urge everyone in Turkey" to show "calm and restraint". Demands they "resolve this situation".

    Clearly waiting to back the winners.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    RobD said:

    Chameleon said:

    Charles said:

    So what do you do if someone's switched off the internet....

    One slight issue with Boris's tweet - apparently Twitter is blocked in Turkey.
    Ah right, I had forgotten that twitter was in the blocked list posted earlier.

    Well you can bet Turkish TV won't be showing an announcement by Boris, so not really sure what else he can do immediately.
    Yeah, tbd there's not much more he could do, bar influencing all media companies that are not blocked, to display the message of his tweet, which I'm sure his civil servants are doing.
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941

    This should do it

    Emily Thornberry issues statement to "urge everyone in Turkey" to show "calm and restraint". Demands they "resolve this situation".

    I can't even tell if that's parody or what she really issued.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554

    This should do it

    Emily Thornberry issues statement to "urge everyone in Turkey" to show "calm and restraint". Demands they "resolve this situation".

    She'll tell Richard and Onslo to go and sort it out.
    But definitely not Sheridan.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    RobD said:

    Y0kel said:

    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    So what do you do if someone's switched off the internet....

    They haven't done that yet, but if you were in Turkey it would be a good time to look at that website and collect numbers/locations of embassies.
    They've restricted access to certain websites. In effect they are trying to block off forums for people to share. Who did it though, MIT the local intelligence agency or the military.
    Still haven't heard if they have blocked PB or not... :p
    They know better than that.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    edited July 2016
    Chameleon said:

    Charles said:

    So what do you do if someone's switched off the internet....

    One slight issue with Boris's tweet - apparently Twitter is blocked in Turkey.
    Not easy to get to holidaymakers - mind you the FCO website just says

    "We are aware of the current developments in Turkey. We are urgently seeking more information. Until the situation becomes clearer, we advise you to avoid public places and remain vigilant"

    F-H: horrible picture of Johnson on FCO website https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/foreign-commonwealth-office

    Link to main FCO statement.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/foreign-office-statement-on-situation-in-turkey
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,418
    Lowlander said:

    This should do it

    Emily Thornberry issues statement to "urge everyone in Turkey" to show "calm and restraint". Demands they "resolve this situation".

    I can't even tell if that's parody or what she really issued.
    Genuine.
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,843
    Chameleon said:

    I smell a conspiracy - just yesterday Hunchman was banned, so today he can't expose the truth to us about the coup. Was Nice a distraction technique so that Hunchman would get exiled and hence wouldn't spill the beans on exactly who was behind this, and which lizard person will be ruling Turkey next?

    The Queen is generally agreed to be head lizard, and her majesty's new foreign secretary is rather familiar with Turkey - worth a flutter on Betfair?
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Pro & anti Coup protests, this is looking like it won't be a clean coup.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    dr_spyn said:

    This should do it

    Emily Thornberry issues statement to "urge everyone in Turkey" to show "calm and restraint". Demands they "resolve this situation".

    Clearly waiting to back the winners.
    I think you mean the losers.
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449

    nunu said:

    AndyJS said:

    What a three weeks.

    Can’t remember Project fear mentioning this… :)
    Let's see how weak the E.U's response is.

    Any lingering thoughts of Bremorse have been well and truly killed on the last 24 hours in Britain. The sooner we leave the better.
    Huh? A terrorist attack by a non-EU citizen and a coup in a non-EU country make you glad we're leaving?
    Was it a non-EU citizen?

    He was a Tunisian with a French residency permit
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Chameleon said:

    Apparently the Navy is the most pro-Erdgon wing of the forces. Apparently the navy are also departing quite a few ports.

    Where are they headed to?
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    Chameleon said:

    Apparently the Navy is the most pro-Erdgon wing of the forces. Apparently the navy are also departing quite a few ports.

    How long is sailing time from Sevastopol to the Bosporus?
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Does anyone know Andy Burnham's position on the (Turkish) Coup?
  • Dobby won't like it if the strait of marmara gets closed.
  • wasdwasd Posts: 276
    AndyJS said:

    Chameleon said:

    Apparently the Navy is the most pro-Erdgon wing of the forces. Apparently the navy are also departing quite a few ports.

    Where are they headed to?
    Turkish Cyprus?
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,769
    I'm getting banner ads from the Turkish tourist board.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    "'Helicopter shoots at presidential palace'"

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-36811357
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    MaxPB said:

    The pictures look like the people are going out in support of the military.

    In Istanbul, what will matter is what happens in central Turkey.
  • GravitationGravitation Posts: 287
    Chameleon said:

    Does anyone know Andy Burnham's position on the (Turkish) Coup?

    He's completely appalled by it and thinks it's fantastic.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    edited July 2016

    At this time of year PB should be having about 150 comments a thread with OGH manfully trying to keep interest going with betting markets on which goats enter parliament in Bazorkistan elections and everyone propping their eyes open with matchsticks.

    Not this summer. Must be costing OGH a fortune in bandwidth.

    Personally I'm worried about next year. Last year there was the unexpectedly eventful Labour leadership race to get through the summer month threads, this year we have Brexit aftermath and apparently everyone just going nuts everywhere. Next year a black hole will probably form off the coast of the Isle of Mann, and that would only keep the news about Prime Minister Farron cancelling Brexit and revealing the whole thing was a ploy to destablise us so we'd beg to join the Euro, off the front pages for about a week.

    Corbyn should be part way through his annual leadership contest by then.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    BBC saying that the helicopter was firing at the Presidential Palace.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,340
    MarcKlein said:
    That's a picture from the protests about the park.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    wasd said:

    AndyJS said:

    Chameleon said:

    Apparently the Navy is the most pro-Erdgon wing of the forces. Apparently the navy are also departing quite a few ports.

    Where are they headed to?
    Turkish Cyprus?
    Wonder how many moorings they have there...
  • Paul_BedfordshirePaul_Bedfordshire Posts: 3,632
    edited July 2016
    Turkish Military have announced that they have appointed a Sultan and moved the capital back to Istanbul.

    http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/160714102416-boris-johnson-foreign-minister-large-tease.jpg
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    wasd said:

    AndyJS said:

    Chameleon said:

    Apparently the Navy is the most pro-Erdgon wing of the forces. Apparently the navy are also departing quite a few ports.

    Where are they headed to?
    Turkish Cyprus?
    How does Turkish Cyprus feel about Erdogan, btw?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,931
    John_M said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Chameleon said:

    I smell a conspiracy - just yesterday Hunchman was banned, so today he can't expose the truth to us about the coup. Was Nice a distraction technique so that Hunchman would get exiled and hence wouldn't spill the beans on exactly who was behind this, and which lizard person will be ruling Turkey next?

    Is Hunchman banned?

    Frankly, a man with his forecasting powers needs to be on the site so he can be mercilessly teased.
    hunchman was banned as HE HIMSELF foretold. Entirely predictable based on the fourth Manichean wave coinciding with the 123 year Welchamann cycle.

    PS. Buy Gold. World enters ice age 2019.
    Like
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    Jonathan said:

    I'm getting banner ads from the Turkish tourist board.

    Haggle.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    It seems like the military has Istanbul, but not Ankara, what are the possibilities of a European Turkey and an Asian turkey being formed as the result of this?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,340
    Looks like clashes between pro and anti Erdogan people. Military keeping calm so far.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,450

    BBC saying that the helicopter was firing at the Presidential Palace.

    Sounds like someone means business...
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658

    Turkish Military have announced that they have appointed a Sultan and moved the capital back to Istanbul.

    http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/160714102416-boris-johnson-foreign-minister-large-tease.jpg

    That would imply that they're not in control of most of the country, wouldn't it?
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069

    marke09 said:

    ... Ros Altmann ...[has] left the government.

    Good. She never had the courtesy to reply to my letter about auto-enrolment.
    What were you asking? Or saying?
    I was pointing out that lots of tiny companies with just directors and no other employees would, by law, have to go through the idiotic charade of pretending to sign up with an auto-enrolment producer in full knowledge that on day one they were going to opt out again, and that exactly the same result could be achieved at much less expense to everyone involved if they could just sign a letter saying they wanted to opt out.
    That's not really the case. Changes made to rules for director only firms. Have you used the tpr employer duties checker?
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,807

    The question of how long Turkish coups last is probably best answered by looking at previous Turkish military takeovers - generally a couple of years of actual rule, but with a few more years of strong background influence before fading out again.

    It's not like Turkey was only 5 years away from joining the EU - if that had been the case then a coup attempt would obviously knock the timetable right back. But a decade or two or more might have been a fair bet yesterday, and even fairly optimistically leaning more towards two. So a short sharp coup (which has been the norm in Turkey) and a redirection of the country's path (resetting democracy in a more secular pattern and with a much weaker role for the president to prevent a future strongman-figure emerging) could well fit in with this EU accession schedule, and it's entirely plausible it could bring it forward.

    I'm happy to accept your observations about past coups, but I am inherently sceptical that a given coup will be short with a rapid return to democracy (for a given definition of "short" and "rapid"). Although I hope it does turn out that way.

  • OUTOUT Posts: 569
    Shooting at one of the bridges in Istanbul.
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024

    nunu said:

    AndyJS said:

    What a three weeks.

    Can’t remember Project fear mentioning this… :)
    Let's see how weak the E.U's response is.

    Any lingering thoughts of Bremorse have been well and truly killed on the last 24 hours in Britain. The sooner we leave the better.
    Huh? A terrorist attack by a non-EU citizen and a coup in a non-EU country make you glad we're leaving?
    Yes, I don't want freedom of movement with a continent that allows in millions of refugees without even doing checks on them and Turkey (which is a hotbed of islamist terror activity) is holding a gun to the E.U's head demanding concession after concession. The E.U response to crisis after crisis has been constantly found wanting.

    We will see the weak response to the undemocratic coup in Turkey in the following days by the E.U.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Chameleon said:

    RobD said:

    Chameleon said:

    Charles said:

    So what do you do if someone's switched off the internet....

    One slight issue with Boris's tweet - apparently Twitter is blocked in Turkey.
    Ah right, I had forgotten that twitter was in the blocked list posted earlier.

    Well you can bet Turkish TV won't be showing an announcement by Boris, so not really sure what else he can do immediately.
    Yeah, tbd there's not much more he could do, bar influencing all media companies that are not blocked, to display the message of his tweet, which I'm sure his civil servants are doing.
    Does the BBC World Service cover Turkey?
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,843
    kle4 said:

    At this time of year PB should be having about 150 comments a thread with OGH manfully trying to keep interest going with betting markets on which goats enter parliament in Bazorkistan elections and everyone propping their eyes open with matchsticks.

    Not this summer. Must be costing OGH a fortune in bandwidth.

    Personally I'm worried about next year. Last year there was the unexpectedly eventful Labour leadership race to get through the summer month threads, this year we have Brexit aftermath and apparently everyone just going nuts everywhere. Next year a black hole will probably form off the coast of the Isle of Mann, and that would only keep the news about Prime Minister Farron cancelling Brexit and revealing the whole thing was a ploy to destablise us so we'd beg to join the Euro, off the front pages for about a week.

    Corbyn should be part way through his annual leadership contest by then.
    As a Lib Dem, I have to ask myself whether the prospect of Farron as PM and no brexit is worth the trade off of a black hole in the Irish Sea. On balance, yes, yes it is.
  • MarcKleinMarcKlein Posts: 36
    Looks like people are being shot on the bridge.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,340
    Live fire on one of the bridges. Erdogan is a fool. He should have given up. People are going to die and he won't hold on.
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    kle4 said:

    At this time of year PB should be having about 150 comments a thread with OGH manfully trying to keep interest going with betting markets on which goats enter parliament in Bazorkistan elections and everyone propping their eyes open with matchsticks.

    Not this summer. Must be costing OGH a fortune in bandwidth.

    Personally I'm worried about next year. Last year there was the unexpectedly eventful Labour leadership race to get through the summer month threads, this year we have Brexit aftermath and apparently everyone just going nuts everywhere. Next year a black hole will probably form off the coast of the Isle of Mann, and that would only keep the news about Prime Minister Farron cancelling Brexit and revealing the whole thing was a ploy to destablise us so we'd beg to join the Euro, off the front pages for about a week.

    Corbyn should be part way through his annual leadership contest by then.
    You seem to be ignoring Indyref2. Next summer will be a joy.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,161
    alex. said:

    Turkish Military have announced that they have appointed a Sultan and moved the capital back to Istanbul.

    http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/160714102416-boris-johnson-foreign-minister-large-tease.jpg

    That would imply that they're not in control of most of the country, wouldn't it?
    I think Paul was making a joke!
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited July 2016
    Sky — tanks open fire on Turkish Parliament building.
    Reuters — gunfire heard at Istanbul Airport.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Mosques are urging people onto the street, this is may turn into a Muslims v Secularists civil war.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,161
    Sky also saying Twitter not fully blocked, just "slowed"
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    MaxPB said:

    MarcKlein said:
    That's a picture from the protests about the park.
    Twitter is both the best of info and the worst of info.
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    Are kebab futures a good investment?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    Two separate headlines on the main BBC page now:

    Army group 'takes control of Turkey'

    Turkish army 'takes over power'


    Subtly different tones there. No significance, but curious difference.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Now that the dust has settled a bit, what was Theresa May's rationale for making BoJo foreign secretary?

    I have to think it was more than "You broke it - you fix it."
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    NBC reporting that President Erdogan's asylum request has been rejected by the Germans, he is thought to be flying to London
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    marke09 said:

    NBC reporting that President Erdogan's asylum request has been rejected by the Germans, he is thought to be flying to London

    Tell him to f##k off.
  • PaulyPauly Posts: 897
    edited July 2016
    Chameleon said:

    Mosques are urging people onto the street, this is may turn into a Muslims v Secularists civil war.

    This will happen in every country that allows mosques to propagate if the secularists fall.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Can't help thinking all this news helps Trump even if it doesn't logically follow.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Apparently in Ankara there's Police forces with AKP supporters marching somewhere. All armed with automatic weapons. Do we know how much of the military is onboard?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    marke09 said:

    NBC reporting that President Erdogan's asylum request has been rejected by the Germans, he is thought to be flying to London

    Give him the Napoleon option? Didn't they just put an airport on St Helena?
  • MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    MaxPB said:

    Live fire on one of the bridges. Erdogan is a fool. He should have given up. People are going to die and he won't hold on.

    I have the horrible feeling that this could get very, very bloody.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    edited July 2016
    The UK waits with baited breath for the guidance and wisdom of Andrea Leadsom in our hour of need.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,340
    marke09 said:

    NBC reporting that President Erdogan's asylum request has been rejected by the Germans, he is thought to be flying to London

    Hopefully we tell him to fuck off as well.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    edited July 2016
    Chameleon said:

    Mosques are urging people onto the street, this is may turn into a Muslims v Secularists civil war.

    Only one winner in such a chaotic situation, I fear, and it isn't secularists.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,161
    marke09 said:

    NBC reporting that President Erdogan's asylum request has been rejected by the Germans, he is thought to be flying to London

    Was he making the FaceTime call from a plane or something then?
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822

    That's not really the case. Changes made to rules for director only firms. Have you used the tpr employer duties checker?

    Yep, as soon as you have two directors you have to go through the entire nonsense, with threats at every stage saying you're committing a criminal offence if you get the slightest detail of the charade wrong.
  • marke09 said:

    NBC reporting that President Erdogan's asylum request has been rejected by the Germans, he is thought to be flying to London

    Will Boris meet him and present him with a Goat?
  • frpenkridgefrpenkridge Posts: 670
    The world is turning upside down. I blame Leicester City.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,161
    kle4 said:

    marke09 said:

    NBC reporting that President Erdogan's asylum request has been rejected by the Germans, he is thought to be flying to London

    Give him the Napoleon option? Didn't they just put an airport on St Helena?
    Then one where it is too windy to operate? :p
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756

    marke09 said:

    NBC reporting that President Erdogan's asylum request has been rejected by the Germans, he is thought to be flying to London

    Tell him to f##k off.
    Allowing him asylum here would probably help resolve the situation quickly.

    As was said upthread, the coup needs to succeed or fail quickly.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    OUT said:

    Shooting at one of the bridges in Istanbul.

    This is the country The Economist have been calling for to join the EU.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    marke09 said:

    NBC reporting that President Erdogan's asylum request has been rejected by the Germans, he is thought to be flying to London

    We should accept him & put him up somewhere, before cutting off his wifi.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited July 2016
    AndyJS said:

    Can't help thinking all this news helps Trump even if it doesn't logically follow.

    Do you know I was thinking that when this news came through. He will play the "look at the rest of the world, it is going to hell, Obama / Clinton been useless, what we need is a strong leader like me".
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,340
    kle4 said:

    Chameleon said:

    Mosques are urging people onto the street, this is may turn into a Muslims v Secularists civil war.

    Only one winner in such a chaotic situation, I fear, and it isn't secularists.
    The secular forces have the whole military on their side. This only ends badly for Erdogan's people as he has limited support.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,161
    Is it me, or are BBC and Sky showing the same video feed (but different audio)
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    Lowlander said:

    kle4 said:

    At this time of year PB should be having about 150 comments a thread with OGH manfully trying to keep interest going with betting markets on which goats enter parliament in Bazorkistan elections and everyone propping their eyes open with matchsticks.

    Not this summer. Must be costing OGH a fortune in bandwidth.

    Personally I'm worried about next year. Last year there was the unexpectedly eventful Labour leadership race to get through the summer month threads, this year we have Brexit aftermath and apparently everyone just going nuts everywhere. Next year a black hole will probably form off the coast of the Isle of Mann, and that would only keep the news about Prime Minister Farron cancelling Brexit and revealing the whole thing was a ploy to destablise us so we'd beg to join the Euro, off the front pages for about a week.

    Corbyn should be part way through his annual leadership contest by then.
    You seem to be ignoring Indyref2. Next summer will be a joy.
    Given my scenario involved Tim Farron somehow being PM and a Black Hole, I think we can assume in such a situation Scotland would have long since unilaterally declared independence and been blown to smithereens.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,769
    2016 can fuck right off.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Sean_F said:

    marke09 said:

    NBC reporting that President Erdogan's asylum request has been rejected by the Germans, he is thought to be flying to London

    Tell him to f##k off.
    Allowing him asylum here would probably help resolve the situation quickly.

    As was said upthread, the coup needs to succeed or fail quickly.
    If we have Erdogan we can resolve it, most probably by stopping him from communicating to his men in Turkey.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,001
    What do we think? Is this supported by the West and if so, why? ISIS? Blackmailing Europe over the migrant crisis? Might seem like a cunning move but is Erdogan unpopular? What if an increasingly Islamist Turkey population turned inextricably against the west.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    I find it somewhat unlikely that Erdogan is currently buzzing about in a plane over Europe somewhere. He's still in Turkey.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    Sean_F said:

    marke09 said:

    NBC reporting that President Erdogan's asylum request has been rejected by the Germans, he is thought to be flying to London

    Tell him to f##k off.
    Allowing him asylum here would probably help resolve the situation quickly.

    As was said upthread, the coup needs to succeed or fail quickly.
    Yes, we should let him land on condition that he accepts defeat. Least bloodshed please.
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,843
    MaxPB said:

    marke09 said:

    NBC reporting that President Erdogan's asylum request has been rejected by the Germans, he is thought to be flying to London

    Hopefully we tell him to fuck off as well.
    If Germany have rejected him I can't see why we would accept him, surely there will have been communications between EU countries on the response to this?
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    John_M said:

    Sean_F said:

    marke09 said:

    NBC reporting that President Erdogan's asylum request has been rejected by the Germans, he is thought to be flying to London

    Tell him to f##k off.
    Allowing him asylum here would probably help resolve the situation quickly.

    As was said upthread, the coup needs to succeed or fail quickly.
    Yes, we should let him land on condition that he accepts defeat. Least bloodshed please.
    Or let him land, and then tell him that he's got to accept defeat.
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    So Erdogan is out of Turkey?
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    alex. said:

    I find it somewhat unlikely that Erdogan is currently buzzing about in a plane over Europe somewhere. He's still in Turkey.


    Much more likely, yes.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited July 2016
    I believe we still have St. Helena for this kind of situation. Boris should ask the civil servants to dust off the old files.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,340
    Celebrations in Istanbul.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,662
    To be honest those civilians heading up towards the military on the bridge can in no way be considered innocent bystanders in events. If they're shot, I have zero sympathy.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited July 2016
    I think all these rumours of him buzzing around is nonsense...why...Merkel never rejects a request for asylum, no background check required.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    Daily News website (English)

    http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941

    What do we think? Is this supported by the West and if so, why? ISIS? Blackmailing Europe over the migrant crisis? Might seem like a cunning move but is Erdogan unpopular? What if an increasingly Islamist Turkey population turned inextricably against the west.

    The interests of France, America and Russia are aligned.

    It is hard to think this is not backed in advanced by the West and Russia.

    Although it seems the UK is out of the loop.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited July 2016
    Hopefully Boris tells him to go elsewhere:

    https://twitter.com/jamessmat/status/754074444738531328
  • glwglw Posts: 10,019
    rcs1000 said:

    John_M said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Chameleon said:

    I smell a conspiracy - just yesterday Hunchman was banned, so today he can't expose the truth to us about the coup. Was Nice a distraction technique so that Hunchman would get exiled and hence wouldn't spill the beans on exactly who was behind this, and which lizard person will be ruling Turkey next?

    Is Hunchman banned?

    Frankly, a man with his forecasting powers needs to be on the site so he can be mercilessly teased.
    hunchman was banned as HE HIMSELF foretold. Entirely predictable based on the fourth Manichean wave coinciding with the 123 year Welchamann cycle.

    PS. Buy Gold. World enters ice age 2019.
    Like
    Yes that made me chuckle.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264

    What do we think? Is this supported by the West and if so, why? ISIS? Blackmailing Europe over the migrant crisis? Might seem like a cunning move but is Erdogan unpopular? What if an increasingly Islamist Turkey population turned inextricably against the west.

    It's probably backed by someone, either the West, Russia or a joint effort. In short: idfk.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Jonathan said:

    2016 can fuck right off.

    Buy shares in Charlie Brooker, 2016 Wipe is going to have to be 6 hours long at this rate
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    alex. said:

    I find it somewhat unlikely that Erdogan is currently buzzing about in a plane over Europe somewhere. He's still in Turkey.

    It would seem a bit precipitate for him to flee - he's not Ben Ali of Tunisia.

    Edit - wow, the current president of Tunisia is 89.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,161
    AndyJS said:

    Hopefully Boris tells him where to go:

    https://twitter.com/jamessmat/status/754074444738531328

    It didn't look as though he was on an airplane when he was on the iPhone.
This discussion has been closed.