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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview : June 9th 2016 (Referendum Day -

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  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    edited June 2016
    Betfair hasn't flickered at 1.34/1.35 for Remain so I'm assuming nothing very important happened.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432

    The applause for Leave is very telling

    In case you missed it, I'll take the £20 on the 14/1 on Dr Wollaston bet.
    OK remind me again of the terms please
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston becomes a minister by the end of 2016, you win £20
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston does not become a minister by the end of 2016, I win £280

    If Leave wins, bet void
    Done, do you want my bank details?
    Not yet, Tissue Price and Pulpstar want £25 each I think
    OK send the money and you have the bet.
    I'll lodge the money with Peter the Punter.
    Eh? Do you want the bet or not?
    Is how it works on PB, we lodge the money with Peter.
    No idea who he is, don't bother if you don't want to put your hand in your pocket.
    I want the bet, and I'll transfer the money in the morning.

    VM you details
    VM?
    Vanilla Message
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    Jobabob said:

    Angela Eagle more than anyone has been an unmitigated disaster

    Angela Eagle more than anyone has been an unmitigated disaster

    Utterly agree. How on earth did this women become a front bench politician?
    Jeremy Corbyn.
    Eagle sisters have had high profile jobs before Jahadi Jez.
  • Burnham on Newsnight: fears Remain are going to lose.
    Although, Newsnight is on at 10.30, so who knows what he will think by then....

    Post of the night top ten.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,734
    John_N4 said:

    Is there anything wrong with the following argument?

    1) The Sun looks as though it will continue to back Leave, ever more explicitly and strongly
    2) The Sun always backs the winner
    3) Therefore Leave at 3\1 is a definite buy

    ?

    The Times will back Remain and it tends to back the winner too
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    edited June 2016
    tlg86 said:

    Interesting. ITV news saying that Remain came together... to attack Boris.

    They can't win the arguments so they're going to go full ad hom for the remainder of the campaign. It's all they have now. Having said that, George will be wanting to spike Boris's guns so it's an absolute gift for him.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432

    Betfair hasn't flickered at 1.34/1.35 for Remain so I'm assuming nothing very important happened.

    No screw ups, no game changers, no quotes that can be taken out of context.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,150
    The review on ITV does not show as well for leave and seems to be giving a different impression from the debate I watched
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312
    Not wanting to intrude on the TSE - blackburn63 bet, but you might want to define what you mean by Minister.
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    edited June 2016
    marke09 said:

    Tomorrows Morning Star says Dennis Skinner will vote Leave

    Without wishing to sound odd, that is as surprising as hearing that Nicola Sturgeon had come out for Scottish independence.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312

    The review on ITV does not show as well for leave and seems to be giving a different impression from the debate I watched

    Agreed. They're doing their best to help Remain.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270

    John_M said:

    The applause for Leave is very telling

    In case you missed it, I'll take the £20 on the 14/1 on Dr Wollaston bet.
    OK remind me again of the terms please
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston becomes a minister by the end of 2016, you win £20
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston does not become a minister by the end of 2016, I win £280

    If Leave wins, bet void
    Done, do you want my bank details?
    Not yet, Tissue Price and Pulpstar want £25 each I think
    OK send the money and you have the bet.
    I'll lodge the money with Peter the Punter.
    Eh? Do you want the bet or not?
    Is how it works on PB, we lodge the money with Peter.
    No idea who he is, don't bother if you don't want to put your hand in your pocket.
    He's not trolling you, it's been a long standing custom on PB to lodge bets with PtP, who is the equivalent of the Iron Bank of Braavos.
    I'm still owed money from a bet on here
    tim still owes me a gold sovereign....
  • The applause for Leave is very telling

    In case you missed it, I'll take the £20 on the 14/1 on Dr Wollaston bet.
    OK remind me again of the terms please
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston becomes a minister by the end of 2016, you win £20
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston does not become a minister by the end of 2016, I win £280

    If Leave wins, bet void
    Done, do you want my bank details?
    Not yet, Tissue Price and Pulpstar want £25 each I think
    OK send the money and you have the bet.
    I'll lodge the money with Peter the Punter.
    How is PtP?
    Not seen him on here for yonks.
  • John_N4John_N4 Posts: 553
    edited June 2016
    HYUFD said:

    John_N4 said:

    Is there anything wrong with the following argument?

    1) The Sun looks as though it will continue to back Leave, ever more explicitly and strongly
    2) The Sun always backs the winner
    3) Therefore Leave at 3\1 is a definite buy

    ?

    The Times will back Remain and it tends to back the winner too
    Good answer! The Sun's record is better, but only slightly. (The Times backed the Tories in 1997).
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261

    Tim Montgomerie @montie
    Undeniable after @AmberRudd_MP's constant attacks on @BorisJohnson that DowningSt playing personally. She wld only act with Osborne's say so

    Typical nasty personal Remain attacks
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    tlg86 said:

    Not wanting to intrude on the TSE - blackburn63 bet, but you might want to define what you mean by Minister.

    Any ministerial appointment.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554

    John_M said:

    The applause for Leave is very telling

    In case you missed it, I'll take the £20 on the 14/1 on Dr Wollaston bet.
    OK remind me again of the terms please
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston becomes a minister by the end of 2016, you win £20
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston does not become a minister by the end of 2016, I win £280

    If Leave wins, bet void
    Done, do you want my bank details?
    Not yet, Tissue Price and Pulpstar want £25 each I think
    OK send the money and you have the bet.
    I'll lodge the money with Peter the Punter.
    Eh? Do you want the bet or not?
    Is how it works on PB, we lodge the money with Peter.
    No idea who he is, don't bother if you don't want to put your hand in your pocket.
    He's not trolling you, it's been a long standing custom on PB to lodge bets with PtP, who is the equivalent of the Iron Bank of Braavos.
    I'm still owed money from a bet on here
    tim still owes me a gold sovereign....
    Now if only he was still around....
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Joe Anderson ‏@joe4metromayor 5m5 minutes ago

    Great performance by @angelaeagle on the #ITVEURef debate passionate and articulate argument exposing the myths and lies. #RemainINEU
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,809
    Well I watched the debate, now I'm watching the BBC 10 o'clock news reporting it and there's no congruency whatever. Laura K thinks it was a bad tempered draw!
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    £285 million pounds on an airport that can't open.

    The German one? No.

    Some EU nonsense? No.

    It seems we're capable of screwing up all by ourselves...

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/video_and_audio/headlines/36493860
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,150
    Robert Peston has such a difficult manner and saying Sturgeon was very slick seems somewhat over egging it
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    John_M said:

    The applause for Leave is very telling

    In case you missed it, I'll take the £20 on the 14/1 on Dr Wollaston bet.
    OK remind me again of the terms please
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston becomes a minister by the end of 2016, you win £20
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston does not become a minister by the end of 2016, I win £280

    If Leave wins, bet void
    Done, do you want my bank details?
    Not yet, Tissue Price and Pulpstar want £25 each I think
    OK send the money and you have the bet.
    I'll lodge the money with Peter the Punter.
    Eh? Do you want the bet or not?
    Is how it works on PB, we lodge the money with Peter.
    No idea who he is, don't bother if you don't want to put your hand in your pocket.
    He's not trolling you, it's been a long standing custom on PB to lodge bets with PtP, who is the equivalent of the Iron Bank of Braavos.
    I'm still owed money from a bet on here
    I owe tim a pint, happy to pay up when he reappears !

    Who did the dirty on you? useful knowledge on this site.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432

    The applause for Leave is very telling

    In case you missed it, I'll take the £20 on the 14/1 on Dr Wollaston bet.
    OK remind me again of the terms please
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston becomes a minister by the end of 2016, you win £20
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston does not become a minister by the end of 2016, I win £280

    If Leave wins, bet void
    Done, do you want my bank details?
    Not yet, Tissue Price and Pulpstar want £25 each I think
    OK send the money and you have the bet.
    I'll lodge the money with Peter the Punter.
    How is PtP?
    Not seen him on here for yonks.
    I think he's busy with life at the moment.

    I suspect we'll see him back for the back end of the White House Race.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158

    Betfair hasn't flickered at 1.34/1.35 for Remain so I'm assuming nothing very important happened.

    No screw ups, no game changers, no quotes that can be taken out of context.
    Just continuing momentum for Leave.

    No 10 are going to be very worried this evening, methinks.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261
    Interesting how Remainers are now trying to play this down..

    Clear admission of defeat.
  • What a relief they didn't have that nasty commentator who interrupts everyone always. Betting wise I feel marginally more inclined to leave which I have at 40% chance. But much more sure that Boris will not be the next leader. I would bet the next leader is more likely to be a woman than an old EtonIan.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Betfair hasn't flickered at 1.34/1.35 for Remain so I'm assuming nothing very important happened.

    No screw ups, no game changers, no quotes that can be taken out of context.
    Yeah. Remain just dulled it out, from what I saw.

    And Boris is surprisingly crap isn't he? Not actually a very engaging debater or presenter. Weird.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270
    Some good lines on Mock The Week.

    "Boris looks like the ghost of the Honey Monster..."

    and

    "I'm not sure which I hate more, Nigel Farage's petty xenophobia - or the French"
  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,838
    Bit surprising that nobody from UKIP was in the leave threesome. Why not?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    Jobabob said:

    Betfair hasn't flickered at 1.34/1.35 for Remain so I'm assuming nothing very important happened.

    No screw ups, no game changers, no quotes that can be taken out of context.
    Yeah. Remain just dulled it out, from what I saw.

    And Boris is surprisingly crap isn't he? Not actually a very engaging debater or presenter. Weird.
    There is nothing surprising about it....when has he ever been good in a debate? He was rubbish in the London Mayoral ones.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    Interesting how Remainers are now trying to play this down..

    Clear admission of defeat.

    Come on CR, yes Leave outperformed Remain, that's un-contentious. But it won't have changed many, if any, minds. Wood for the trees etc.
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944

    I am very impressed with leave tonight who have, in my opinion, won this relatively easily. No idea if it will change the result but well done leave (from a remainer)

    I didn't watch it (Well I did a little) but I am pleased you said that.

    Knowing you've voted already by post upsets me (not you in particular but postal voting in general) because you vote before all the arguments have been heard.

    Still, there are plenty of votes still in play!
  • SeanT said:


    Who thought it would be a good idea to get Rudd, Sturgeon and Eagle? BAD decision.

    Amber Rudd = Sister of Roland Rudd (on BSE Board) and supporter of Osborne
    Sturgeon = To get another shouty aggressive woman to attack Boris
    Eagle = Corbyn playing games to eliminate a rival and undermine REMAIN?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312
    Christ. I always thought the BBC was biased. ITV news is a joke.

    If Remain don't win this they are going to look like complete muppets.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Goggleboxer calls the remain team "Rottweilers"..
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432

    Interesting how Remainers are now trying to play this down..

    Clear admission of defeat.

    So what's your prediction for the changes in next Ipsos Mori poll, goes into the field on Saturday, we get figures Tues/Wed?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312

    Bit surprising that nobody from UKIP was in the leave threesome. Why not?

    Farage had his ITV slot on Tuesday.
  • Robert Peston has such a difficult manner and saying Sturgeon was very slick seems somewhat over egging it

    Sadly he is tainted. Son of Labour Lord and best mate of Roland Rudd.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited June 2016
    tlg86 said:

    Christ. I always thought the BBC was biased. ITV news is a joke.

    If Remain don't win this they are going to look like complete muppets.

    It's not what I watched. ITV is usually quite good, I think this summary is very partial and pro Remain
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,740
    The vast majority of posts on here are just partisan cheerleading - people saying their team one like children in a playground.

    This was a major debate, watched by millions, one of the most important events of the campaign.

    And the odds are now identical (Remain 1.34) to where they were before the debate started.

    On any objective basis the evidence is that it has had no discernable effect either way.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Andrea getting good reviews by the vox pops on ITV News
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    edited June 2016
    I'd be quite happy with either Amber Rudd or Andrea Leadsom as Dave's successor in 2019.

    (And that's not just my betting position talking)
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    They have Stuart as both leave and remain. Must have confused her with Andy Burnham.
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    PlatoSaid said:

    tlg86 said:

    Christ. I always thought the BBC was biased. ITV news is a joke.

    If Remain don't win this they are going to look like complete muppets.

    It's not what I watched.
    bizarre talking up of Sturgeon.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,734
    edited June 2016
    ITV post debate focus group of don't knows found they liked Nicola Sturgeon and Andrea Leadsom and Gisela Stewart but were still undecided
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,150
    edited June 2016
    ITV public verdict - mixed and still confused and still not committed
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    MikeL said:

    The vast majority of posts on here are just partisan cheerleading - people saying their team one like children in a playground.

    This was a major debate, watched by millions, one of the most important events of the campaign.

    And the odds are now identical (Remain 1.34) to where they were before the debate started.

    On any objective basis the evidence is that it has had no discernable effect either way.

    I am voting Remain but let's be honest, LEAVE won.

    Nothing wrong with having fun.

    Nobody is saying this will affect anything.
  • steve_garnersteve_garner Posts: 1,019
    A little early to conclude that.
    MikeL said:

    The vast majority of posts on here are just partisan cheerleading - people saying their team one like children in a playground.

    This was a major debate, watched by millions, one of the most important events of the campaign.

    And the odds are now identical (Remain 1.34) to where they were before the debate started.

    On any objective basis the evidence is that it has had no discernable effect either way.

  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454

    Anyone fancy a PB league for UEFA Fantasy Football for the Euro 16

    I have entered a team.

    Sure

    Fresh from my PB premier league victory!!
    http://eurofantasy.uefa.com/en

    Fantasy 16

    League code: 92877R24
    I went uncontroversial, for the most part... big on the French and Germans, couple of cheaper English.
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944

    Burnham on Newsnight: fears Remain are going to lose.

    Although, Newsnight is on at 10.30, so who knows what he will think by then....

    You haven't factored in his positions at 10:25 or 10:35 have you?
  • Betfair hasn't flickered at 1.34/1.35 for Remain so I'm assuming nothing very important happened.

    No screw ups, no game changers, no quotes that can be taken out of context.
    So you agree that REMAIN lost then?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,734
    Yes the winner of the night Andrea Leadsom, the loser Boris but beyond that little impact on the referendum overall
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    tlg86 said:

    Bit surprising that nobody from UKIP was in the leave threesome. Why not?

    Farage had his ITV slot on Tuesday.
    Also on QT tonight.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486

    They have Stuart as both leave and remain. Must have confused her with Andy Burnham.
    It's saying that both Leavers and Remainers rated Stuart as one of the top performers
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    ITV public verdict - mixed and still confused and still not committed

    TBH, we get this every election - if we gave them a GCSE syllabus on it they'd still be complaining about not having enough facts
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944

    The applause for Leave is very telling

    In case you missed it, I'll take the £20 on the 14/1 on Dr Wollaston bet.
    OK remind me again of the terms please
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston becomes a minister by the end of 2016, you win £20
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston does not become a minister by the end of 2016, I win £280

    If Leave wins, bet void
    Done, do you want my bank details?
    Not yet, Tissue Price and Pulpstar want £25 each I think
    OK send the money and you have the bet.
    I'll lodge the money with Peter the Punter.
    Eh? Do you want the bet or not?
    Is how it works on PB, we lodge the money with Peter.
    No idea who he is, don't bother if you don't want to put your hand in your pocket.
    Peter the Punter is a long time contributor (who I know personally) who we all trust to hold the money.

    TSE will lodge his money with PtP. If you want a bet, you do the same. If you don't want a bet you don't.

    Alternatively for others Peter just records the details of the bet.
  • PlatoSaid said:

    tlg86 said:

    Christ. I always thought the BBC was biased. ITV news is a joke.

    If Remain don't win this they are going to look like complete muppets.

    It's not what I watched. ITV is usually quite good, I think this summary is very partial and pro Remain
    Peston = Labour (Dad and mates)
    Allegra = ex Guardian leftie

    Now why would they be partial?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312
    ITV lady making the point that Leave are happy with the criticism of the £350m figure for the reasons we've said on here.
  • They have Stuart as both leave and remain. Must have confused her with Andy Burnham.
    :)
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Jobabob said:

    Betfair hasn't flickered at 1.34/1.35 for Remain so I'm assuming nothing very important happened.

    No screw ups, no game changers, no quotes that can be taken out of context.
    Yeah. Remain just dulled it out, from what I saw.

    And Boris is surprisingly crap isn't he? Not actually a very engaging debater or presenter. Weird.
    I suspect he was being a good team player for once. Leave looked coordinated and remain disorganised.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Now are we all in agreement the TV news outlets are slanted in the remain corner.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,344
    Amber Rudd showing us once again that she is there because she is an Osborne stooge and not because she has any talent. Leadsom has 10x the talent in her little finger than Rudd does overall.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,740
    The one notable finding we do have is Boris being massively outrated by both Leadsom and Rudd.

    Those do not look like the numbers for someone about to be chosen as PM.

    Leadsom and Rudd were both very impressive in my view. They are obviously both long odds but the idea of one of them being PM doesn't seem ridiculous.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261

    I'd be quite happy with either Amber Rudd or Andrea Leadsom as Dave's successor in 2019.

    (And that's not just my betting position talking)

    You and I agree on something at last.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312
    edited June 2016

    Jobabob said:

    Betfair hasn't flickered at 1.34/1.35 for Remain so I'm assuming nothing very important happened.

    No screw ups, no game changers, no quotes that can be taken out of context.
    Yeah. Remain just dulled it out, from what I saw.

    And Boris is surprisingly crap isn't he? Not actually a very engaging debater or presenter. Weird.
    I suspect he was being a good team player for once. Leave looked coordinated and remain disorganised.
    Whichever side you think won the arguments tonight, that fact is indisputable. Only one side prepared and worked as a team tonight.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,150

    Interesting how Remainers are now trying to play this down..

    Clear admission of defeat.

    Leave won tonight's debate but ITV are doing their best to show remain in a good light - surprising
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    marke09 said:

    Joe Anderson ‏@joe4metromayor 5m5 minutes ago

    Great performance by @angelaeagle on the #ITVEURef debate passionate and articulate argument exposing the myths and lies. #RemainINEU

    marke09 said:

    Joe Anderson ‏@joe4metromayor 5m5 minutes ago

    Great performance by @angelaeagle on the #ITVEURef debate passionate and articulate argument exposing the myths and lies. #RemainINEU

    The only guy who makes Eric Pickles look like a sex god.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261

    Interesting how Remainers are now trying to play this down..

    Clear admission of defeat.

    So what's your prediction for the changes in next Ipsos Mori poll, goes into the field on Saturday, we get figures Tues/Wed?
    Don't care.
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760

    PlatoSaid said:

    tlg86 said:

    Christ. I always thought the BBC was biased. ITV news is a joke.

    If Remain don't win this they are going to look like complete muppets.

    It's not what I watched. ITV is usually quite good, I think this summary is very partial and pro Remain
    Peston = Labour (Dad and mates)
    Allegra = ex Guardian leftie

    Now why would they be partial?
    I like Allegra, think she's been fair. Shame she's been relegated to the nonsense fact check segment. Peston and on the BBC Laura K have been less balanced.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,451

    I'd be quite happy with either Amber Rudd or Andrea Leadsom as Dave's successor in 2019.

    And what about two weeks tomorrow? ;)
  • The applause for Leave is very telling

    In case you missed it, I'll take the £20 on the 14/1 on Dr Wollaston bet.
    OK remind me again of the terms please
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston becomes a minister by the end of 2016, you win £20
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston does not become a minister by the end of 2016, I win £280

    If Leave wins, bet void
    Done, do you want my bank details?
    Not yet, Tissue Price and Pulpstar want £25 each I think
    OK send the money and you have the bet.
    I'll lodge the money with Peter the Punter.
    How is PtP?
    Not seen him on here for yonks.
    I think he's busy with life at the moment.

    I suspect we'll see him back for the back end of the White House Race.
    VM'd you
  • LucyJonesLucyJones Posts: 651
    SeanT said:

    HYUFD said:

    John_N4 said:

    Is there anything wrong with the following argument?

    1) The Sun looks as though it will continue to back Leave, ever more explicitly and strongly
    2) The Sun always backs the winner
    3) Therefore Leave at 3\1 is a definite buy

    ?

    The Times will back Remain and it tends to back the winner too
    The Times will back REMAIN??

    It's my paper. My guess is that it is split down the middle, but slightly more of the senior staff are LEAVERS, and the boss is LEAVE

    Right now it's maybe 60/40 LEAVE, but who knows how it will decide.

    There is absolutely no certainty it will go for REMAIN

    My feeling from reading The Times is that it will go for Leave. It seems more supportive of Leave arguments - to me, at any rate.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312
    MikeL said:

    The one notable finding we do have is Boris being massively outrated by both Leadsom and Rudd.

    Those do not look like the numbers for someone about to be chosen as PM.

    Leadsom and Rudd were both very impressive in my view. They are obviously both long odds but the idea of one of them being PM doesn't seem ridiculous.

    Is that not just new face syndrome? Though I thought both Leadsom and Stuart did very well, Boris played his part. That he didn't try to steal the show will play well with some people.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261
    John_M said:

    Interesting how Remainers are now trying to play this down..

    Clear admission of defeat.

    Come on CR, yes Leave outperformed Remain, that's un-contentious. But it won't have changed many, if any, minds. Wood for the trees etc.
    Correct. I'm enjoying myself.

    Last night and this morning was crap.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    GIN1138 said:

    I'd be quite happy with either Amber Rudd or Andrea Leadsom as Dave's successor in 2019.

    And what about two weeks tomorrow? ;)
    That would be sub-optimal
  • woody662woody662 Posts: 255

    I'd be quite happy with either Amber Rudd or Andrea Leadsom as Dave's successor in 2019.

    (And that's not just my betting position talking)

    If Amber Rudd becomes leader, I'm leaving the party.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,936
    Two weeks today, I'm going to be eating a curry and drinking a pint.

    What about you guys?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,150

    I am very impressed with leave tonight who have, in my opinion, won this relatively easily. No idea if it will change the result but well done leave (from a remainer)

    I didn't watch it (Well I did a little) but I am pleased you said that.

    Knowing you've voted already by post upsets me (not you in particular but postal voting in general) because you vote before all the arguments have been heard.

    Still, there are plenty of votes still in play!
    You don't need to worry about my vote. While I thought leave won tonight's debate the debate did not change my view to remain as I believe leave won tonight because remain were poor apart from Amber Rudd
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944

    The review on ITV does not show as well for leave and seems to be giving a different impression from the debate I watched

    Roger was saying the same of the Farage debate, he said the clips made him out to be racist and Roger didn't think that Farage came across that way.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    rcs1000 said:

    Two weeks today, I'm going to be eating a curry and drinking a pint.

    What about you guys?

    Watching the last ever episode of The Good Wife and editing PB
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432

    The applause for Leave is very telling

    In case you missed it, I'll take the £20 on the 14/1 on Dr Wollaston bet.
    OK remind me again of the terms please
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston becomes a minister by the end of 2016, you win £20
    If Remain wins, and Sarah Wollaston does not become a minister by the end of 2016, I win £280

    If Leave wins, bet void
    Done, do you want my bank details?
    Not yet, Tissue Price and Pulpstar want £25 each I think
    OK send the money and you have the bet.
    I'll lodge the money with Peter the Punter.
    How is PtP?
    Not seen him on here for yonks.
    I think he's busy with life at the moment.

    I suspect we'll see him back for the back end of the White House Race.
    VM'd you
    Replied
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    rcs1000 said:

    Two weeks today, I'm going to be eating a curry and drinking a pint.

    What about you guys?

    Sounds like a plan.

    Especially if the Bangladeshi chef gets deported the next morning...
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270

    ITV public verdict - mixed and still confused and still not committed

    = I'm voting Leave but not telling you in case I get called a racist Little Englander
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,344

    Interesting how Remainers are now trying to play this down..

    Clear admission of defeat.

    Leave won tonight's debate but ITV are doing their best to show remain in a good light - surprising
    Now just think what the BBC report is going to be tomorrow morning!
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261
    Still don't see much sign of the BBC reporting Labour MP declarations for Leave..
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Freggles said:

    They have Stuart as both leave and remain. Must have confused her with Andy Burnham.
    It's saying that both Leavers and Remainers rated Stuart as one of the top performers
    Ah, should have gone to Specsavers :cold_sweat:
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Anyone fancy a PB league for UEFA Fantasy Football for the Euro 16

    I have entered a team.

    Sure

    Fresh from my PB premier league victory!!
    http://eurofantasy.uefa.com/en

    Fantasy 16

    League code: 92877R24
    I went uncontroversial, for the most part... big on the French and Germans, couple of cheaper English.
    I couldn't resist a couple of Leicester players, not Vardy though who will be played from the bench and out of position.

  • LucyJones said:

    SeanT said:

    HYUFD said:

    John_N4 said:

    Is there anything wrong with the following argument?

    1) The Sun looks as though it will continue to back Leave, ever more explicitly and strongly
    2) The Sun always backs the winner
    3) Therefore Leave at 3\1 is a definite buy

    ?

    The Times will back Remain and it tends to back the winner too
    The Times will back REMAIN??

    It's my paper. My guess is that it is split down the middle, but slightly more of the senior staff are LEAVERS, and the boss is LEAVE

    Right now it's maybe 60/40 LEAVE, but who knows how it will decide.

    There is absolutely no certainty it will go for REMAIN

    My feeling from reading The Times is that it will go for Leave. It seems more supportive of Leave arguments - to me, at any rate.
    It is the question of how much influence Finkelstein etc have. Mates of Osborne.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,451
    rcs1000 said:

    Two weeks today, I'm going to be eating a curry and drinking a pint.

    What about you guys?

    I was thinking I might throw an EURef Party (like a Eurovision party only for geeks) with the champagne firmly on ice. :smiley:
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,344
    SeanT said:

    HYUFD said:

    John_N4 said:

    Is there anything wrong with the following argument?

    1) The Sun looks as though it will continue to back Leave, ever more explicitly and strongly
    2) The Sun always backs the winner
    3) Therefore Leave at 3\1 is a definite buy

    ?

    The Times will back Remain and it tends to back the winner too
    The Times will back REMAIN??

    It's my paper. My guess is that it is split down the middle, but slightly more of the senior staff are LEAVERS, and the boss is LEAVE

    Right now it's maybe 60/40 LEAVE, but who knows how it will decide.

    There is absolutely no certainty it will go for REMAIN

    Just think if they back Leave then Matthew Parris might leave for the Guardian!
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    rcs1000 said:

    Two weeks today, I'm going to be eating a curry and drinking a pint.

    What about you guys?

    Finishing off my bomb shelter just in case we win and WW3 starts earlier than Cameron predicted.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,936


    £285 million pounds on an airport that can't open.

    The German one? No.

    Some EU nonsense? No.

    It seems we're capable of screwing up all by ourselves...

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/video_and_audio/headlines/36493860

    St Helena. GDP is about £10m. And they managed to spend £285m on an airport.

    That's quite an achievement. That would be like London spending £20trillion on an airport.
  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,838
    tlg86 said:

    Bit surprising that nobody from UKIP was in the leave threesome. Why not?

    Farage had his ITV slot on Tuesday.
    Surely UKIP is more than Farage?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,265

    John_M said:

    I am very impressed with leave tonight who have, in my opinion, won this relatively easily. No idea if it will change the result but well done leave (from a remainer)

    Come over to the Dark Side Big_G, you won't regret it :D.
    No I still am remain and have voted but I do believe in being fair when it is merited
    Yes, your comments have been fair, it should be noted.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261
    rcs1000 said:

    Two weeks today, I'm going to be eating a curry and drinking a pint.

    What about you guys?

    Getting wasted whatever happens.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Don't see how anyone who reads the Times can think that they are going to be anything but for Remain.
This discussion has been closed.