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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,789
    JohnO said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    You are now sounding very silly. Drop the subject and move on.
    This is getting worse than SINDYRef.....mercifully it's only 6 weeks to go, not 3 years.....
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631
    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Alasdair said:

    SeanT said:

    Look at the dotted lines on this EU immigration graph. Look at them.

    LEAVE should simply use this as a poster, with the headline: projected EU immigration into the UK. VOTE LEAVE.

    https://twitter.com/jamesrbuk/status/730690188863803392

    So, do the short term ones just go back whence they came after 12 months? How is that enforced or detected?
    It isn't. Which is why this is a joke.
    Nevertheless, gross numbers are - so to speak - grossly misleading. Without measuring those who return after a year or two, we are going to over-estimate migration to the UK.
    Well isn't the point of net migration to count people who enter and leave? Why have two sets of figures if that is the case, just count the people who enter each year and the people who leave each year.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,459

    SeanT said:

    If LEAVE can't build a decent polling lead from that migration revelation, then they might as well go home now. This is an enormous gift, neatly tied with golden thread. They must use it.

    Vote Leave are squeamish about immigration, Nigel won't be on ITV. He'll lambast Cameron over his "tens of thousands" pledge.

    I can't wait.
    Cameron's trustworthiness ratings will soon be exploring new depths. He's been found out and wanting. He's Leave's ace recruiter.
    Cameron as LEAVE sleeper agent?
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,602
    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    Bloody hell, even angels couldn't dance on the pinhead you're standing on right now.

    But you're fine with me in future calling all Leavers, Farage arse lickers?

    PS - Would a sycophant have written this?

    The [Zac] campaign may be a pointer to the forthcoming EU referendum, with both sides already engaging in ludicrous project fear campaigns, where it feels the choice is down to for voting for economic Armageddon if we vote to Leave or having 77 million Turks moving to the UK shortly after we vote to Remain.

    Memo to both camps, tone down the hyperbole, criticise your opponents with plausible criticisms and not make it appear that victory for the other side was foretold in The Book of Revelation. A bit more hope and a little less fear please.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,789

    Pulpstar said:

    Bake Off, Doctor Who, David Attenborough and Strictly al featuring on the BBC news...

    Suffocating the migration figures. Clever.
    And they've got VoteLeave declaring war on ITV and Peston......
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,393
    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,144
    JohnO said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    You are now sounding very silly. Drop the subject and move on.
    I'm with Charles on this. If I'd said, oh look, another thread of vapid bilge from Mr Meeks, I'd have expected a ban.

    Maybe I'll try it on his next EU-related thread and find out.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,983
    midwinter said:

    midwinter said:

    Pulpstar said:

    I'm not sure Farage vs Dave would be too bad for "leave". Nige marmalised Clegg in the EU elections debate. I think Dave would be tougher, but it's home territory for Nigel - And both their ratings are very low right now anyway.

    Daves ratings are lower because he's lost the support of the hard right headbanger wing of his party (who in many cases wouldn't have won their seats without him). I'd hazard a guess he's still more popular and reasonable sounding than Farage.
    Aww, so as a very Wet Tory member and former 3x Labour voter - I'm destined for outer darkness too for voting Leave?

    Sheesh. If only the electorate wanted to vote for your manifesto, they'd be saved.
    Hysterical overreaction much. I'm no Europhile but will always support Cameron against the right of the party. I like a winner and the right wing of the Conservative party, besides being nauseating, are about as electable as Jeremy Corbyn and momentum.

    Incidentally do you honestly believe the Tories would have won a majority in 2015 without Cameron as leader?
    It would depend on who the Leader was. If it was George Osborne, probably not. If it was Theresa May or Boris Johnson, they probably would.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,602

    JohnO said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    You are now sounding very silly. Drop the subject and move on.
    I'm with Charles on this. If I'd said, oh look, another thread of vapid bilge from Mr Meeks, I'd have expected a ban.

    Maybe I'll try it on his next EU-related thread and find out.
    Have you seen the abuse Alastair gets on his threads? Vapid Bilge would be a compliment by comparison.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @ftwestminster: Brexit will foster closer EU, says Sapin https://t.co/RHGXsZhO3n
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    midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112

    midwinter said:

    do you honestly believe the Tories would have won a majority in 2015 without Cameron as leader?

    Against Ed Miliband? Yes!
    Not sure they would have done with a leader from the right wing of the party, they really aren't appealing to floating voters, outdated social views and backstabbing are so passe.

    As we all know Camerons personal ratings were miles higher than the Conservatives as a party. As a lifelong Tory I despair to see the same stupid mistakes being made, in some cases by the same stupid people.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,956

    My contacts at ITV tell me they are having second thoughts.

    They now want to replace Prime Minister Cameron in the debate with Farage.

    Replacing him with another ex-Prime Minister.

    Yep. Gordon Brown.

    That's wiped the smile off Remainers faces, huh?

    Hahahahahahaha!

    If that is true, we're leaving.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,028

    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
    So leave is correct to ignore it and bring it up later...
  • Options
    JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,215

    JohnO said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    You are now sounding very silly. Drop the subject and move on.
    I'm with Charles on this. If I'd said, oh look, another thread of vapid bilge from Mr Meeks, I'd have expected a ban.

    Maybe I'll try it on his next EU-related thread and find out.
    Don't be daft, mate, Mr Meeks has been called far worse. Mind you, I wouldn't try it on our tyrannically capricious and randomly smiting Gracious Host (even if 70 is the new 40).
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,393
    Marie Eagle calling out leave cabinet minister's in the HOC for threatening a broadcaster
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    midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    Sean_F said:

    midwinter said:

    midwinter said:

    Pulpstar said:

    I'm not sure Farage vs Dave would be too bad for "leave". Nige marmalised Clegg in the EU elections debate. I think Dave would be tougher, but it's home territory for Nigel - And both their ratings are very low right now anyway.

    Daves ratings are lower because he's lost the support of the hard right headbanger wing of his party (who in many cases wouldn't have won their seats without him). I'd hazard a guess he's still more popular and reasonable sounding than Farage.
    Aww, so as a very Wet Tory member and former 3x Labour voter - I'm destined for outer darkness too for voting Leave?

    Sheesh. If only the electorate wanted to vote for your manifesto, they'd be saved.
    Hysterical overreaction much. I'm no Europhile but will always support Cameron against the right of the party. I like a winner and the right wing of the Conservative party, besides being nauseating, are about as electable as Jeremy Corbyn and momentum.

    Incidentally do you honestly believe the Tories would have won a majority in 2015 without Cameron as leader?
    It would depend on who the Leader was. If it was George Osborne, probably not. If it was Theresa May or Boris Johnson, they probably would.
    Agree with Theresa May, not so sure Boris has an appeal that travels north of Watford
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    midwinter said:

    I despair to see the same stupid mistakes being made, in some cases by the same stupid people.

    IDS, for the win...
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    Mr. Mortimer, Farage can be poor at debating, as per the last General Election.

    Also, I'll believe ITV change Cameron for Brown when I see it.

    Mr. T, I agree. It's a significant potential gain for Leave.

    Whilst I agree ITV's debate lineup is, shall we say, dubious, Leave has to recognise that infighting won't help it.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,672

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    Bloody hell, even angels couldn't dance on the pinhead you're standing on right now.

    But you're fine with me in future calling all Leavers, Farage arse lickers?

    PS - Would a sycophant have written this?

    The [Zac] campaign may be a pointer to the forthcoming EU referendum, with both sides already engaging in ludicrous project fear campaigns, where it feels the choice is down to for voting for economic Armageddon if we vote to Leave or having 77 million Turks moving to the UK shortly after we vote to Remain.

    Memo to both camps, tone down the hyperbole, criticise your opponents with plausible criticisms and not make it appear that victory for the other side was foretold in The Book of Revelation. A bit more hope and a little less fear please.
    You've said Leave are like the IRA.

    Glasshouses. Stones.
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    edited May 2016
    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    As I noted down thread - Mr Meeks is clearly very irked that in a hotly contested vote of PB readers - I beat him for Poster of the Year.

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2011/01/04/plato-becomes-the-poster-of-the-year-by-just-one-vote/
    When voting in the PB Poster of the Year election closed at bang on 5am Plato had just one more vote than Antifrank and I declare her the winner. The final vote which enabled her to nose ahead was cast at 4.57am.

    Well down to her and all the others who took part. Thanks also to those who voted.

    Plato is our first female Poster of the Year and is one of a number of women who in the past couple of years have become regular contributors. It used to be the case that almost all those who posted comments were men.

    This is the second year in succession that that election has gone down to just one vote. Twelve months ago Richard Nabavi just squeezed ahead of Yellow Submarine by a similar margin.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,920
    TSE seems rather tetchy this morning?
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,602

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    Bloody hell, even angels couldn't dance on the pinhead you're standing on right now.

    But you're fine with me in future calling all Leavers, Farage arse lickers?

    PS - Would a sycophant have written this?

    The [Zac] campaign may be a pointer to the forthcoming EU referendum, with both sides already engaging in ludicrous project fear campaigns, where it feels the choice is down to for voting for economic Armageddon if we vote to Leave or having 77 million Turks moving to the UK shortly after we vote to Remain.

    Memo to both camps, tone down the hyperbole, criticise your opponents with plausible criticisms and not make it appear that victory for the other side was foretold in The Book of Revelation. A bit more hope and a little less fear please.
    You've said Leave are like the IRA.

    Glasshouses. Stones.
    I've compared Cameron to Lord Haw Haw.

    Only in one of those analogies did Leave kick up a stink.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,393
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
    They won't be able to drown it out forever. It's too big. Portes only tweeted ten minutes ago.
    It is leave's only hope of gaining traction but now they are caught up in a huge row v ITV and the labour party calling them out in the HOC.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    Mr. Royale, I believe Mr. Eagles meant that in jest.

    It's easy for humour (especially sarcasm and irony) to go missing over the internet and mistake silly comments for serious.

    Not helped, of course, when people like Alan Johnson seriously call those who want to leave 'extremists'.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,144

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    As I noted down thread - Mr Meeks is clearly very irked that in a hotly contested vote of PB readers - I beat him for Poster of the Year.

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2011/01/04/plato-becomes-the-poster-of-the-year-by-just-one-vote/
    When voting in the PB Poster of the Year election closed at bang on 5am Plato had just one more vote than Antifrank and I declare her the winner. The final vote which enabled her to nose ahead was cast at 4.57am.

    Well down to her and all the others who took part. Thanks also to those who voted.

    Plato is our first female Poster of the Year and is one of a number of women who in the past couple of years have become regular contributors. It used to be the case that almost all those who posted comments were men.

    This is the second year in succession that that election has gone down to just one vote. Twelve months ago Richard Nabavi just squeezed ahead of Yellow Submarine by a similar margin.
    What must be very irksome for Mr Meeks is that he has the power of right on his side, all the best arguments and is convincing everybody - except the voters...
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,983
    midwinter said:

    midwinter said:

    do you honestly believe the Tories would have won a majority in 2015 without Cameron as leader?

    Against Ed Miliband? Yes!
    Not sure they would have done with a leader from the right wing of the party, they really aren't appealing to floating voters, outdated social views and backstabbing are so passe.

    As we all know Camerons personal ratings were miles higher than the Conservatives as a party. As a lifelong Tory I despair to see the same stupid mistakes being made, in some cases by the same stupid people.
    I sometimes get the impression that left wing Tories would rather see Labour in power than a Conservative government led from the right.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,459

    The never-ceasing amusement of politics continues. I love the idea from the Leavers (i.e. those who arrogantly dismiss almost every single independent well-informed economic forecast) that the Remain side are arrogant and dismissive.

    More seriously, I think that Peter Hargreaves has put his finger on the core of the debate: risk vs security.

    Another arrogant and dismissive post from Richard Quis... I mean Nabavi (oops!).
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,602
    GIN1138 said:

    TSE seems rather tetchy this morning?

    No you're confusing me with the people running Leave. Threatening consequences to a broadcaster.

    I'm full of bonhomie and confidence this morning.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,672
    Sean_F said:

    SeanT said:

    If LEAVE can't build a decent polling lead from that migration revelation, then they might as well go home now. This is an enormous gift, neatly tied with golden thread. They must use it.

    The flaky nature of Remain on Immigration is shown here - will discovering its worse make a difference? Who knows.

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/730457265757667328
    I expect that in the last weeks of the campaign, Ipsos MORI will treat their figures, weighted by certainty to vote, as the definitive ones, as they do with voting intention. That will probably result in their producing similar numbers to the Online polls.
    I think the risk for Remain isn't that their base switches to Leave, it's that a significant number of them stay at home. If it's a choice between voting for short-term economic status quo and very high immigration or controlled borders/sovereignty plus economic risk, many may find it impossible to reconcile.

    Those who aren't sure, can't choose, or don't want to choose, usually don't vote.
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    OllyTOllyT Posts: 4,924

    JohnO said:

    JohnO said:

    Scott_P said:

    ITV will put the most prominent Brexit campaigner on TV

    Brexit campaign response

    IT'S NOT FAIR !!!

    Are you suffering from Benjamin Button Syndrome? You appear to experiencing pre-school again.
    Now, now. ScottP is the military wing of the Remainers, and he's bloody good at it.
    No really, he isn't. Pasting endless propaganda isn't changing anyone's mind - it's not even funny stuff that we could all laugh at.

    It's like posting stuff from Eoin.
    With the best will in the world, no one on this Board are going to be changing their mind, are they? Scott's ability to wind up the Leavers here with a combination of tweets plus pithy but brutally caustic commentary (as he also does with the SNP) makes him a must-read poster on this site.

    Which is why so many lambast him with tedious regularity.
    Well we'll agree to disagree here. I don't mind reading Twitter posts if they're amusing or informative - endless childish sledging just makes me scroll passed them. He isn't winding me up as I don't bother reading 99% of them.
    Endless sledging some of it childish - that about sums up this site these days, never mind Twitter.
    Totally agree, only look in occasionally at the moment. It's like groundhog day - the same dozen anti-EU obsessives posting pretty much the thing 20-30 times a day. Hope things pick up after June 23rd.
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    john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @Big_G_NorthWales


    'Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference '


    They can do that for a day or so ,but you really believe that the 470,000 figure is not a game changer ?

    Remind us what is the number 1 voter concern in virtually every poll for the past couple of years.v
  • Options
    midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    Scott_P said:

    midwinter said:

    I despair to see the same stupid mistakes being made, in some cases by the same stupid people.

    IDS, for the win...
    Stupid and treacherous for the double
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    JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,215
    Sean_F said:

    midwinter said:

    midwinter said:

    do you honestly believe the Tories would have won a majority in 2015 without Cameron as leader?

    Against Ed Miliband? Yes!
    Not sure they would have done with a leader from the right wing of the party, they really aren't appealing to floating voters, outdated social views and backstabbing are so passe.

    As we all know Camerons personal ratings were miles higher than the Conservatives as a party. As a lifelong Tory I despair to see the same stupid mistakes being made, in some cases by the same stupid people.
    I sometimes get the impression that left wing Tories would rather see Labour in power than a Conservative government led from the right.
    Then you've been mis-impressed.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,602
    john_zims said:

    @Big_G_NorthWales


    'Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference '


    They can do that for a day or so ,but you really believe that the 470,000 figure is not a game changer ?

    Remind us what is the number 1 voter concern in virtually every poll for the past couple of years.v

    The economy and the NHS.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,920
    edited May 2016

    Is AM AntiFrank or Yella Submarine?
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    On immigration, it seems to be a non-story, as predicted:

    The ONS says short-term migration – EU citizens coming to Britain for less than a year and sometimes for as little as a month – accounts for recent gaps between the official net migration figures for long-term immigrants to Britain and the number of national insurance numbers issued to EU nationals.
    ...
    The last set of short-term migration figures showed the number of short-term migrants in Britain at any one time was 101,000 in June 2013, while there were 155,000 British citizens living or working abroad for less than 12 months at the same time.


    Actually a small reduction in net immigration if (as the frothers argue) you should add short-term stays into the figures.

    http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/may/12/ons-short-term-migration-explains-national-insurance-gap
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    Mr. Zims, is it the BBC Trust? :p

    I do think Vote Leave are overdoing it in their reaction, though their grievance is legitimate.

    Mr. T, the problem is that the politically engaged have largely made up their minds, but there's six weeks left.

    Of course, the forthcoming Spanish Grand Prix will give us something else to discuss.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,672

    midwinter said:

    midwinter said:

    Pulpstar said:

    I'm not sure Farage vs Dave would be too bad for "leave". Nige marmalised Clegg in the EU elections debate. I think Dave would be tougher, but it's home territory for Nigel - And both their ratings are very low right now anyway.

    Daves ratings are lower because he's lost the support of the hard right headbanger wing of his party (who in many cases wouldn't have won their seats without him). I'd hazard a guess he's still more popular and reasonable sounding than Farage.
    Aww, so as a very Wet Tory member and former 3x Labour voter - I'm destined for outer darkness too for voting Leave?

    Sheesh. If only the electorate wanted to vote for your manifesto, they'd be saved.
    Hysterical overreaction much. I'm no Europhile but will always support Cameron against the right of the party. I like a winner and the right wing of the Conservative party, besides being nauseating, are about as electable as Jeremy Corbyn and momentum.

    Incidentally do you honestly believe the Tories would have won a majority in 2015 without Cameron as leader?
    You're changing the question. Nil points.
    I think midwinter accurately sums up why so much of the left of the Conservative party is instinctively backing Remain.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,920

    GIN1138 said:

    TSE seems rather tetchy this morning?

    No you're confusing me with the people running Leave. Threatening consequences to a broadcaster.

    I'm full of bonhomie and confidence this morning.
    Are you sure?
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,459
    GIN1138 said:

    TSE seems rather tetchy this morning?

    I like to think that TSE is secretly pro-LEAVE and is just teasing us by pretending to be REMAIN.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    JohnO said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    You are now sounding very silly. Drop the subject and move on.
    Sorry about your recent total rejection, complete humiliation and utter vanquishing at your council election.

    I thought I'd just come on and condole with you .... in my own way.

    Bloody voters .... the bastards !! .... :smile:
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited May 2016
    I see the government charter renewal is no real change at the BBC, luuvies will be happy. It might as well have been written by the BBC, with all the PC more diverse etc etc etc.

    No idea what the Guardian and all the BAFTA luuvies were banging on about that the government were going to eviscerate the Beeb.
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    edited May 2016

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    As I noted down thread - Mr Meeks is clearly very irked that in a hotly contested vote of PB readers - I beat him for Poster of the Year.

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2011/01/04/plato-becomes-the-poster-of-the-year-by-just-one-vote/
    When voting in the PB Poster of the Year election closed at bang on 5am Plato had just one more vote than Antifrank and I declare her the winner. The final vote which enabled her to nose ahead was cast at 4.57am.

    Well down to her and all the others who took part. Thanks also to those who voted.

    Plato is our first female Poster of the Year and is one of a number of women who in the past couple of years have become regular contributors. It used to be the case that almost all those who posted comments were men.

    This is the second year in succession that that election has gone down to just one vote. Twelve months ago Richard Nabavi just squeezed ahead of Yellow Submarine by a similar margin.
    What must be very irksome for Mr Meeks is that he has the power of right on his side, all the best arguments and is convincing everybody - except the voters...
    I honestly think that when the dish and the spoon ran off in a celebrity three-some with @AlastairMeeks Super Ego - he's doomed.

    @antifrank was sensible, if prone to hypocrisy - his new incarnation is something else. Perhaps he hopes someone will set up a fan club for him.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,393
    Sean_F said:

    midwinter said:

    midwinter said:

    do you honestly believe the Tories would have won a majority in 2015 without Cameron as leader?

    Against Ed Miliband? Yes!
    Not sure they would have done with a leader from the right wing of the party, they really aren't appealing to floating voters, outdated social views and backstabbing are so passe.

    As we all know Camerons personal ratings were miles higher than the Conservatives as a party. As a lifelong Tory I despair to see the same stupid mistakes being made, in some cases by the same stupid people.
    I sometimes get the impression that left wing Tories would rather see Labour in power than a Conservative government led from the right.
    I am very against the right of the party but absolutely would not want labour in power. By the way I am not a left wing Tory, just one that is on the centre right
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,789
    Mortimer said:

    My contacts at ITV tell me they are having second thoughts.

    They now want to replace Prime Minister Cameron in the debate with Farage.

    Replacing him with another ex-Prime Minister.

    Yep. Gordon Brown.

    That's wiped the smile off Remainers faces, huh?

    Hahahahahahaha!

    If that is true, we're leaving.
    Yes...getting out Labour voters would be a disaster......
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,002

    I see the government charter renewal is no real change at the BBC, luuvies will be happy.

    And that was always going to be the real problem with keeping Whittingdale in his brief for DCMS.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,602
    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    TSE seems rather tetchy this morning?

    No you're confusing me with the people running Leave. Threatening consequences to a broadcaster.

    I'm full of bonhomie and confidence this morning.
    Are you sure?
    Yup. Right now I'm more confident of Remain winning, than I was of the Tories winning the most seats last year.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,602
    FYI - If you want to be in the Sky News audience for the Brexit Debates, apply here, you might also get to ask David Cameron and Michael Gove a question.

    http://surveys.survation.com/s3/SkyEUDebate
  • Options
    JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,215
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
    They won't be able to drown it out forever. It's too big. Portes only tweeted ten minutes ago.
    It is leave's only hope of gaining traction but now they are caught up in a huge row v ITV and the labour party calling them out in the HOC.
    It will probably explode tomorrow, on the newspapers.

    Also WTF with "LEAVE's only hope"? Right now, according to the Economist, LEAVE are WINNING

    I really don't understand this bizarre complacency from REMAINIACS, is it just whistling in the dark, or are they stupid enough to think they've got this in the bag?
    Very few remainers here are compacent, still less bizarrely. Anecdotally, from weeks of canvassing in my leafy Surrey domain (and remember I lost my seat a weeek ago), I was struck by the number, strength and determination of Leave supporters: one credible but inherently untested explanation for the notable anti Tory swing throughout the county and the SE as a whole, is that it was related directly to the referendum.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    SeanT said:

    On immigration, it seems to be a non-story, as predicted:

    The ONS says short-term migration – EU citizens coming to Britain for less than a year and sometimes for as little as a month – accounts for recent gaps between the official net migration figures for long-term immigrants to Britain and the number of national insurance numbers issued to EU nationals.
    ...
    The last set of short-term migration figures showed the number of short-term migrants in Britain at any one time was 101,000 in June 2013, while there were 155,000 British citizens living or working abroad for less than 12 months at the same time.


    Actually a small reduction in net immigration if (as the frothers argue) you should add short-term stays into the figures.

    http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/may/12/ons-short-term-migration-explains-national-insurance-gap

    Helpless Cameroon reduced to quoting Guardian: non-shocker.

    Chortle.
    Well, quoting the Office of National Statistics, actually.

    Oh, I forgot - the Office of National Statistics is now part of the ever-lengthening list of Osborne stooges. My mistake - the list lengthens so fast that it's hard to keep up.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited May 2016
    Whittingdale says he would like to see BBC content become portable, so that viewers can watch it when they travel abroad.

    The iPlayer loophole to be closed, so people watching programme just on iPlayer will still need a licence.
    Totally and utterly unenforceable...In far less than 11 years time this is going to be a total joke.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,393
    john_zims said:

    @Big_G_NorthWales


    'Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference '


    They can do that for a day or so ,but you really believe that the 470,000 figure is not a game changer ?

    Remind us what is the number 1 voter concern in virtually every poll for the past couple of years.v

    Not really because I am not obsessed with immigration. I do accept that there are parts of the UK under strain but it is the economy and security from within the EU that wins it for me. I would be much more concerned if we had high unemployment but with unemployment at about 5% I do not see it as anything other than leaves own 'project fear'
  • Options
    JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,215
    JackW said:

    JohnO said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    You are now sounding very silly. Drop the subject and move on.
    Sorry about your recent total rejection, complete humiliation and utter vanquishing at your council election.

    I thought I'd just come on and condole with you .... in my own way.

    Bloody voters .... the bastards !! .... :smile:
    Steady on, old chap, the margin was 29 out of nearly 2500 votes cast.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,920
    JohnO said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
    They won't be able to drown it out forever. It's too big. Portes only tweeted ten minutes ago.
    It is leave's only hope of gaining traction but now they are caught up in a huge row v ITV and the labour party calling them out in the HOC.
    It will probably explode tomorrow, on the newspapers.

    Also WTF with "LEAVE's only hope"? Right now, according to the Economist, LEAVE are WINNING

    I really don't understand this bizarre complacency from REMAINIACS, is it just whistling in the dark, or are they stupid enough to think they've got this in the bag?
    Anecdotally, from weeks of canvassing in my leafy Surrey domain (and remember I lost my seat a weeek ago), I was struck by the number, strength and determination of Leave supporters: one credible but inherently untested explanation for the notable anti Tory swing throughout the county and the SE as a whole, is that it was related directly to the referendum.
    That's dead right I think.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,602
    edited May 2016

    Whittingdale says he would like to see BBC content become portable, so that viewers can watch it when they travel abroad.

    The iPlayer loophole to be closed, so people watching programme just on iPlayer will still need a licence

    Totally and utterly unenforceable...In far less than 11 years time this is going to be a total joke.

    I suspect they'll be using the Sky Player login system.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,459

    SeanT said:

    On immigration, it seems to be a non-story, as predicted:

    The ONS says short-term migration – EU citizens coming to Britain for less than a year and sometimes for as little as a month – accounts for recent gaps between the official net migration figures for long-term immigrants to Britain and the number of national insurance numbers issued to EU nationals.
    ...
    The last set of short-term migration figures showed the number of short-term migrants in Britain at any one time was 101,000 in June 2013, while there were 155,000 British citizens living or working abroad for less than 12 months at the same time.


    Actually a small reduction in net immigration if (as the frothers argue) you should add short-term stays into the figures.

    http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/may/12/ons-short-term-migration-explains-national-insurance-gap

    Helpless Cameroon reduced to quoting Guardian: non-shocker.

    Chortle.
    Well, quoting the Office of National Statistics, actually.

    Oh, I forgot - the Office of National Statistics is now part of the ever-lengthening list of Osborne stooges. My mistake - the list lengthens so fast that it's hard to keep up.
    Arrogant and dismissive... :)
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292

    Whittingdale says he would like to see BBC content become portable, so that viewers can watch it when they travel abroad.

    The iPlayer loophole to be closed, so people watching programme just on iPlayer will still need a licence.
    Totally and utterly unenforceable...In far less than 11 years time this is going to be a total joke.
    I suspect they'll be using the Sky Player login system.

    Which also doesn't work....
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,977
    So, it turns out that the percentage of EU immigrants claiming benefits is far lower than Cameron and the government previously claimed.

    Dave is reaping what he sowed here.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    If "vapid bilge" is considered by some on PB to be the red line on insults might I suggest that they may have missed some of the more illuminating contributions of SeanT and malcolmg who would think the offending "vapid bilge" to be hugely complimentary.

    Tsk ....
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    JohnO said:

    one credible but inherently untested explanation for the notable anti Tory swing throughout the county and the SE as a whole, is that it was related directly to the referendum.

    Oh, absolutely no doubt about that.

    However, the effect will dissipate once the referendum is over. It's by far the dominant political issue at the moment, so of course it is having a disproportionate but temporary impact.
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,568

    On immigration, it seems to be a non-story, as predicted:

    The ONS says short-term migration – EU citizens coming to Britain for less than a year and sometimes for as little as a month – accounts for recent gaps between the official net migration figures for long-term immigrants to Britain and the number of national insurance numbers issued to EU nationals.
    ...
    The last set of short-term migration figures showed the number of short-term migrants in Britain at any one time was 101,000 in June 2013, while there were 155,000 British citizens living or working abroad for less than 12 months at the same time.


    Actually a small reduction in net immigration if (as the frothers argue) you should add short-term stays into the figures.

    http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/may/12/ons-short-term-migration-explains-national-insurance-gap

    Should be fairly easy to say when they are leaving our rainy haven at the end of their short stay, and what means we have of ensuring this happens then shouldn't it?
  • Options
    BodieBodie Posts: 21
    First post!

    I think the Leavers are worrying too much over Nigel Farage's selection. While his efforts to get media coverage cause him to make inflammatory statements, he is capable of being serious when it suits him. He is actually a very good debater and he knows the minutiae of the EU back to front. Farage will also be free to criticize Cameron's policies where Conservatives would have to show due party solidarity.

    Having said that, it does not seem fair that David Cameron gets to set the rules for who the other side gets to include. If the Leavers want to put up Michael Gove and the Remainers do not want the PM debating Tories, then Remain should have to put up somebody else. We saw a similar thing happening with the election debates, where David Cameron practically dictated the format. The broadcasters show too much deference to the government in this country.
  • Options
    runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
    They won't be able to drown it out forever. It's too big. Portes only tweeted ten minutes ago.
    It is leave's only hope of gaining traction but now they are caught up in a huge row v ITV and the labour party calling them out in the HOC.
    It will probably explode tomorrow, on the newspapers.

    Also WTF with "LEAVE's only hope"? Right now, according to the Economist, LEAVE are WINNING

    I really don't understand this bizarre complacency from REMAINIACS, is it just whistling in the dark, or are they stupid enough to think they've got this in the bag?
    Jonathan Portes' analysis there is pretty damning.

    And note he is a VERY strong REMAINER. Just on this topic he refuses to allow that to cloud his judgement.

    EU immigration has, and continues to be, massively understated.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,672
    SeanT said:

    JohnO said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
    They won't be able to drown it out forever. It's too big. Portes only tweeted ten minutes ago.
    It is leave's only hope of gaining traction but now they are caught up in a huge row v ITV and the labour party calling them out in the HOC.
    It will probably explode tomorrow, on the newspapers.

    Also WTF with "LEAVE's only hope"? Right now, according to the Economist, LEAVE are WINNING

    I really don't understand this bizarre complacency from REMAINIACS, is it just whistling in the dark, or are they stupid enough to think they've got this in the bag?
    Very few remainers here are compacent, still less bizarrely. Anecdotally, from weeks of canvassing in my leafy Surrey domain (and remember I lost my seat a weeek ago), I was struck by the number, strength and determination of Leave supporters: one credible but inherently untested explanation for the notable anti Tory swing throughout the county and the SE as a whole, is that it was related directly to the referendum.
    Fascinating, and thankyou. And chapeau to you for getting out there. You're one of the few sane and reasonable REMAINERS left on pb, I trust what you say.

    I *almost* feel sorry for insulting you, passim, I hope you know it is just BANTER, old boy.

    Yes, it is clearly the determination of LEAVERS which is freaking out the Establishment. That is to say: turnout.
    Seconded. It's hard not to respect John's integrity and courage. Even if I do act as a lightning rod for some of his frustrations with the Right of the party sometimes!

    I desperately wanted JohnO to support Leave - he was my litmus test - and my respect for him both for his judgement as a Tory centrist was part of that.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    JackW said:

    If "vapid bilge" is considered by some on PB to be the red line on insults might I suggest that they may have missed some of the more illuminating contributions of SeanT and malcolmg who would think the offending "vapid bilge" to be hugely complimentary.

    Tsk ....

    Yes - hard though it is to credit, some posters have even been called turnips. Language doesn't come much more unparliamentary than that.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,920
    edited May 2016
    I've spoken to ten people this week and they are all for LEAVE.

    Have seen three posters and one car sticker, all for LEAVE.

    Means nothing of course... Maybe there's a "silent majority" who are gonna come out for REMAIN on the day (like STAY'ers did in Scotland) but at this stage I'm surprised at how well LEAVE is doing given everything that's been thrown at it from threats from the POTUS down...
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    When's the ITV 'debate' due? [It sounds more like the Question Time special at the General Election than an actual debate].
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
    They won't be able to drown it out forever. It's too big. Portes only tweeted ten minutes ago.
    It is leave's only hope of gaining traction but now they are caught up in a huge row v ITV and the labour party calling them out in the HOC.
    It will probably explode tomorrow, on the newspapers.

    Also WTF with "LEAVE's only hope"? Right now, according to the Economist, LEAVE are WINNING

    I really don't understand this bizarre complacency from REMAINIACS, is it just whistling in the dark, or are they stupid enough to think they've got this in the bag?
    Me neither - it's extraordinary. Are they swallowing their own echo chamber Kool-Aid?
  • Options
    AlasdairAlasdair Posts: 72
    runnymede said:

    Alasdair said:

    SeanT said:

    Look at the dotted lines on this EU immigration graph. Look at them.

    LEAVE should simply use this as a poster, with the headline: projected EU immigration into the UK. VOTE LEAVE.

    https://twitter.com/jamesrbuk/status/730690188863803392

    So, do the short term ones just go back whence they came after 12 months? How is that enforced or detected?
    It isn't - it's just an assumption.
    And we all know what assume means.
  • Options
    JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,215
    edited May 2016
    SeanT said:

    JohnO said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
    They won't be able to drown it out forever. It's too big. Portes only tweeted ten minutes ago.
    It is leave's only hope of gaining traction but now they are caught up in a huge row v ITV and the labour party calling them out in the HOC.
    It will probably explode tomorrow, on the newspapers.

    Also WTF with "LEAVE's only hope"? Right now, according to the Economist, LEAVE are WINNING

    I really don't understand this bizarre complacency from REMAINIACS, is it just whistling in the dark, or are they stupid enough to think they've got this in the bag?
    Very few remainers here are compacent, still less bizarrely. Anecdotally, from weeks of canvassing in my leafy Surrey domain (and remember I lost my seat a weeek ago), I was struck by the number, strength and determination of Leave supporters: one credible but inherently untested explanation for the notable anti Tory swing throughout the county and the SE as a whole, is that it was related directly to the referendum.
    Fascinating, and thankyou. And chapeau to you for getting out there. You're one of the few sane and reasonable REMAINERS left on pb, I trust what you say.

    I *almost* feel sorry for insulting you, passim, I hope you know it is just BANTER, old boy.

    Yes, it is clearly the determination of LEAVERS which is freaking out the Establishment. That is to say: turnout.
    Actually, I am sure that my temporary loss of equilibium a couple of weeks back (which provoked your colestomy bag riposte) was rather more due to an unnerving sense that all would not be well for me on May 5th. Ironically, at the count itself, I was beginning to feel a tad more sanguine....you have to laugh, don't you.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,983
    JackW said:

    If "vapid bilge" is considered by some on PB to be the red line on insults might I suggest that they may have missed some of the more illuminating contributions of SeanT and malcolmg who would think the offending "vapid bilge" to be hugely complimentary.

    Tsk ....

    IIRC Sean T once called Nick Palmer a "leper's toupee".
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,602
    Bank of England has warned that a vote to leave EU could "materially" lower UK growth & lead to sharp falls in the value of the pound #EUref
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    Mr. O, don't be too disheartened. Even Hannibal lost the odd battle.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,920

    Bank of England has warned that a vote to leave EU could "materially" lower UK growth & lead to sharp falls in the value of the pound #EUref

    Same old, same old...
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,459

    Bank of England has warned that a vote to leave EU could "materially" lower UK growth & lead to sharp falls in the value of the pound #EUref

    "Could"?

    #ProjectFear
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    Bloody hell, even angels couldn't dance on the pinhead you're standing on right now.

    But you're fine with me in future calling all Leavers, Farage arse lickers?

    PS - Would a sycophant have written this?

    The [Zac] campaign may be a pointer to the forthcoming EU referendum, with both sides already engaging in ludicrous project fear campaigns, where it feels the choice is down to for voting for economic Armageddon if we vote to Leave or having 77 million Turks moving to the UK shortly after we vote to Remain.

    Memo to both camps, tone down the hyperbole, criticise your opponents with plausible criticisms and not make it appear that victory for the other side was foretold in The Book of Revelation. A bit more hope and a little less fear please.
    I don't think you are a sycophant. I don't even think you are an "arse-licker". But we expect that kind of commentary from @MikeK.

    @AlistairMeeks should be held to a higher standard - as was the point of my original post. It was also extraordinary unpleasant to dismiss everything that another post writes as being worthless.
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    SeanT said:

    On immigration, it seems to be a non-story, as predicted:

    The ONS says short-term migration – EU citizens coming to Britain for less than a year and sometimes for as little as a month – accounts for recent gaps between the official net migration figures for long-term immigrants to Britain and the number of national insurance numbers issued to EU nationals.
    ...
    The last set of short-term migration figures showed the number of short-term migrants in Britain at any one time was 101,000 in June 2013, while there were 155,000 British citizens living or working abroad for less than 12 months at the same time.


    Actually a small reduction in net immigration if (as the frothers argue) you should add short-term stays into the figures.

    http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/may/12/ons-short-term-migration-explains-national-insurance-gap



    Helpless Cameroon reduced to quoting Guardian: non-shocker.

    Chortle.
    :lol:
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    JohnO said:

    JackW said:

    JohnO said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    You are now sounding very silly. Drop the subject and move on.
    Sorry about your recent total rejection, complete humiliation and utter vanquishing at your council election.

    I thought I'd just come on and condole with you .... in my own way.

    Bloody voters .... the bastards !! .... :smile:
    Steady on, old chap, the margin was 29 out of nearly 2500 votes cast.
    Poor old "Peter the Punter" lost to me by a margin of 1 vote and I'm still paying for his Harley Street psychiatrist .

    Anyway .... more time for you to undertake random railway journeys to the South coast. I'm sure it's highly therapeutic.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,393
    Bank of England just announced a vote to leave could ' materially lower growth and lead to sharp falls in the value of the pound. Sky saying never seen such an intervention by the Bank Of England. Vote leave furious apparently. This is not good for Brexit not matter how much they try to dismiss it
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341

    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
    The press will be all over it though I doubt Cameron's ratings on trust will move. People have made up their minds on that. He's now down with Teflon.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,459
    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    Bloody hell, even angels couldn't dance on the pinhead you're standing on right now.

    But you're fine with me in future calling all Leavers, Farage arse lickers?

    PS - Would a sycophant have written this?

    The [Zac] campaign may be a pointer to the forthcoming EU referendum, with both sides already engaging in ludicrous project fear campaigns, where it feels the choice is down to for voting for economic Armageddon if we vote to Leave or having 77 million Turks moving to the UK shortly after we vote to Remain.

    Memo to both camps, tone down the hyperbole, criticise your opponents with plausible criticisms and not make it appear that victory for the other side was foretold in The Book of Revelation. A bit more hope and a little less fear please.
    I don't think you are a sycophant. I don't even think you are an "arse-licker". But we expect that kind of commentary from @MikeK.

    @AlistairMeeks should be held to a higher standard - as was the point of my original post. It was also extraordinary unpleasant to dismiss everything that another post writes as being worthless.
    TSE may be familiar with the Hindi-Urdu word "Chamcha".
  • Options
    BodieBodie Posts: 21
    GIN1138 said:

    I've spoken to ten people this week and they are all for LEAVE.

    Have seen three posters and one car sticker, all for LEAVE.

    Means nothing of course... Maybe there's a "silent majority" who are gonna come out for REMAIN on the day (like STAY'ers did in Scotland) but at this stage I'm surprised at how well LEAVE is doing given everything that's been thrown at it from threats from the POTUS down...

    I think it is impossible to read anything into people we know or signs we see. Everything we know from the polling suggests this is an issue where people are exceptionally divided by geography, age and social class. The biases of our own backgrounds, the places we visit and the people we mix with are going to be much, much stronger in our experiences of "the view of the country" then in any other election.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,920
    edited May 2016
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
    They won't be able to drown it out forever. It's too big. Portes only tweeted ten minutes ago.
    It is leave's only hope of gaining traction but now they are caught up in a huge row v ITV and the labour party calling them out in the HOC.
    It will probably explode tomorrow, on the newspapers.

    Also WTF with "LEAVE's only hope"? Right now, according to the Economist, LEAVE are WINNING

    I really don't understand this bizarre complacency from REMAINIACS, is it just whistling in the dark, or are they stupid enough to think they've got this in the bag?
    Me neither - it's extraordinary. Are they swallowing their own echo chamber Kool-Aid?
    I think it's Denial. Threader after threader on here discussing the crapness and awfulness of the LEAVE campaign. It's borderline psychotic.

    They can't believe they might actually lose this, because it is too painful to contemplate; so they are pretending to themselves they are secretly winning, and winning easily, to mask the internal angst.



    The threads lately have kind of felt like the run up to the election when the meme was very much in terms of Ed Miliband becoming PM of a minority government and complete silence/denial of the catastrophe that was about to smash the Lib-Dems to millions of pieces...
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    GIN1138 said:


    Is AM AntiFrank or Yella Submarine?

    Antifrank
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,602
    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    Bloody hell, even angels couldn't dance on the pinhead you're standing on right now.

    But you're fine with me in future calling all Leavers, Farage arse lickers?

    PS - Would a sycophant have written this?

    The [Zac] campaign may be a pointer to the forthcoming EU referendum, with both sides already engaging in ludicrous project fear campaigns, where it feels the choice is down to for voting for economic Armageddon if we vote to Leave or having 77 million Turks moving to the UK shortly after we vote to Remain.

    Memo to both camps, tone down the hyperbole, criticise your opponents with plausible criticisms and not make it appear that victory for the other side was foretold in The Book of Revelation. A bit more hope and a little less fear please.
    I don't think you are a sycophant. I don't even think you are an "arse-licker". But we expect that kind of commentary from @MikeK.

    @AlistairMeeks should be held to a higher standard - as was the point of my original post. It was also extraordinary unpleasant to dismiss everything that another post writes as being worthless.
    So you mean one standard for the Remainers and a lower standard for the Leavers.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,977
    runnymede said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
    They won't be able to drown it out forever. It's too big. Portes only tweeted ten minutes ago.
    It is leave's only hope of gaining traction but now they are caught up in a huge row v ITV and the labour party calling them out in the HOC.
    It will probably explode tomorrow, on the newspapers.

    Also WTF with "LEAVE's only hope"? Right now, according to the Economist, LEAVE are WINNING

    I really don't understand this bizarre complacency from REMAINIACS, is it just whistling in the dark, or are they stupid enough to think they've got this in the bag?
    Jonathan Portes' analysis there is pretty damning.

    And note he is a VERY strong REMAINER. Just on this topic he refuses to allow that to cloud his judgement.

    EU immigration has, and continues to be, massively understated.

    And the number of EU immigrants claiming benefits has been massively overstated by the government and others. The contribution that they are making to the economy is far greater than previously thought.

  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820

    And the number of EU immigrants claiming benefits has been massively overstated by the government and others. The contribution that they are making to the economy is far greater than previously thought.

    What figures are you referring to?
  • Options
    john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @TheScreamingEagles


    'Bank of England has warned that a vote to leave EU could "materially" lower UK growth'


    Are new growth industries like air-raid shelters included in these figures ?

  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,459

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    MikeK said:

    Hard to disagree with this assessment by Matt Chorley in the Red Box email on Vote Leave's reaction.

    This feels like a campaign in trouble, desperately thrashing around. Targetting Peston for criticism is the behaviour of a Twitter troll.

    I think Vote Leave have a genuine grievance but to put it like that is counterproductive.
    @Casino_Royale you are speaking about TSE, the chief Cameron arse licker on PB, where anything Cameron says or does is Holy and beyond reproach.
    I'm sure all those who criticised Alastair up thread will be queuing up to criticise this post by MikeK.
    Nah - calling someone a sycophant is the usual level of discourse here. Alistair's post was actively unpleasant.
    If you think arse licker is on a par with vapid bilge then I have to wonder if English is your first language.
    "Arse licker" is crude, certainly, but fairly common parlance for a sycophant.

    Dismissing someone's entire oeuvre as "vapid bilge", plus the tone of the posting, put it into a different league.
    Bloody hell, even angels couldn't dance on the pinhead you're standing on right now.

    But you're fine with me in future calling all Leavers, Farage arse lickers?

    PS - Would a sycophant have written this?

    The [Zac] campaign may be a pointer to the forthcoming EU referendum, with both sides already engaging in ludicrous project fear campaigns, where it feels the choice is down to for voting for economic Armageddon if we vote to Leave or having 77 million Turks moving to the UK shortly after we vote to Remain.

    Memo to both camps, tone down the hyperbole, criticise your opponents with plausible criticisms and not make it appear that victory for the other side was foretold in The Book of Revelation. A bit more hope and a little less fear please.
    I don't think you are a sycophant. I don't even think you are an "arse-licker". But we expect that kind of commentary from @MikeK.

    @AlistairMeeks should be held to a higher standard - as was the point of my original post. It was also extraordinary unpleasant to dismiss everything that another post writes as being worthless.
    So you mean one standard for the Remainers and a lower standard for the Leavers.
    TSE may be familiar with the Hindi-Urdu word "Chamcha".

  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Bodie said:

    First post!

    I think the Leavers are worrying too much over Nigel Farage's selection. While his efforts to get media coverage cause him to make inflammatory statements, he is capable of being serious when it suits him. He is actually a very good debater and he knows the minutiae of the EU back to front. Farage will also be free to criticize Cameron's policies where Conservatives would have to show due party solidarity.

    Having said that, it does not seem fair that David Cameron gets to set the rules for who the other side gets to include. If the Leavers want to put up Michael Gove and the Remainers do not want the PM debating Tories, then Remain should have to put up somebody else. We saw a similar thing happening with the election debates, where David Cameron practically dictated the format. The broadcasters show too much deference to the government in this country.

    Welcome @Bodie

    Professionals like you are much sought after .... :smile:
  • Options
    MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792

    Bank of England just announced a vote to leave could ' materially lower growth and lead to sharp falls in the value of the pound. Sky saying never seen such an intervention by the Bank Of England. Vote leave furious apparently. This is not good for Brexit not matter how much they try to dismiss it

    The panic spreads.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,920
    Charles said:

    GIN1138 said:


    Is AM AntiFrank or Yella Submarine?

    Antifrank
    I didn't know that... I liked Anti-Frank.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited May 2016
    I have no idea what Maria Eagle is prattling on about. She should have should have just said, yes very good. She is fighting a war that doesn't exist against a Wittingdale that hasn't done what she read so much about in the Guardian.

    It is a fault of all politicians at the moment, instant attack everything. Rather than occasionally saying we agree. It is what I call the Daily Mail Theorem, if you attack everything, when you do actually have a point nobody listens or simply goes buts its in the Daily Mail e.g. Jacqui Spliff's expenses, it took 2 days before people actually believed that a) Daily Mail were telling the truth and b) they were that bad.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    Be interesting to compare the Bank of England's statements now with those regarding the Scottish vote.

    Might just be me, but they feel stronger now. Yet I cannot believe the act of breaking up a 300 year old country would have smaller ramifications than leaving a political/trading bloc.

    Anyway, I am off to perambulate with the hound. Do be nice to one another, or I'll be forced to bang on about my book again. And you wouldn't want that, now, would you?
  • Options
    midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    Sean_F said:

    midwinter said:

    midwinter said:

    do you honestly believe the Tories would have won a majority in 2015 without Cameron as leader?

    Against Ed Miliband? Yes!
    Not sure they would have done with a leader from the right wing of the party, they really aren't appealing to floating voters, outdated social views and backstabbing are so passe.

    As we all know Camerons personal ratings were miles higher than the Conservatives as a party. As a lifelong Tory I despair to see the same stupid mistakes being made, in some cases by the same stupid people.
    I sometimes get the impression that left wing Tories would rather see Labour in power than a Conservative government led from the right.
    Definitely not the case. I'd far rather see a centre right leader than either though. It's a ll about winning and you can't do that from the extremes.
  • Options
    TonyETonyE Posts: 938
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
    They won't be able to drown it out forever. It's too big. Portes only tweeted ten minutes ago.
    It is leave's only hope of gaining traction but now they are caught up in a huge row v ITV and the labour party calling them out in the HOC.
    It will probably explode tomorrow, on the newspapers.

    Also WTF with "LEAVE's only hope"? Right now, according to the Economist, LEAVE are WINNING

    I really don't understand this bizarre complacency from REMAINIACS, is it just whistling in the dark, or are they stupid enough to think they've got this in the bag?
    Me neither - it's extraordinary. Are they swallowing their own echo chamber Kool-Aid?
    I think it's Denial. Threader after threader on here discussing the crapness and awfulness of the LEAVE campaign. It's borderline psychotic.

    They can't believe they might actually lose this, because it is too painful to contemplate; so they are pretending to themselves they are secretly winning, and winning easily, to mask the internal angst.



    Yet, let's be honest, the campaigns have all been crap, and all of them rely on the kind of outright lying that should have caused a degree of outrage that should have led to riots
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341

    On immigration, it seems to be a non-story, as predicted:

    The ONS says short-term migration – EU citizens coming to Britain for less than a year and sometimes for as little as a month – accounts for recent gaps between the official net migration figures for long-term immigrants to Britain and the number of national insurance numbers issued to EU nationals.
    ...
    The last set of short-term migration figures showed the number of short-term migrants in Britain at any one time was 101,000 in June 2013, while there were 155,000 British citizens living or working abroad for less than 12 months at the same time.


    Actually a small reduction in net immigration if (as the frothers argue) you should add short-term stays into the figures.

    http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/may/12/ons-short-term-migration-explains-national-insurance-gap

    They have been doling out NINO's in respect of migrant employees and dependants on benefit claims.

  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,920
    edited May 2016
    Bodie said:

    GIN1138 said:

    I've spoken to ten people this week and they are all for LEAVE.

    Have seen three posters and one car sticker, all for LEAVE.

    Means nothing of course... Maybe there's a "silent majority" who are gonna come out for REMAIN on the day (like STAY'ers did in Scotland) but at this stage I'm surprised at how well LEAVE is doing given everything that's been thrown at it from threats from the POTUS down...

    I think it is impossible to read anything into people we know or signs we see. Everything we know from the polling suggests this is an issue where people are exceptionally divided by geography, age and social class. The biases of our own backgrounds, the places we visit and the people we mix with are going to be much, much stronger in our experiences of "the view of the country" then in any other election.
    Agreed. And welcome to PB.com. We're not normally as bad as we are at the moment... This referendum is making everyone crazy. :smiley:
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,977
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    wow. Wow wow wow. The man himself, the statistician, in his own words.

    https://twitter.com/jdportes/status/730706056377143296

    Essentially accuses the prime minister of LYING about EU migration stats. Read the details.

    Come on LEAVE, pull yer arses out. You could win the referendum today.

    Being drowned out by the BBC and the corruption conference
    They won't be able to drown it out forever. It's too big. Portes only tweeted ten minutes ago.
    It is leave's only hope of gaining traction but now they are caught up in a huge row v ITV and the labour party calling them out in the HOC.
    It will probably explode tomorrow, on the newspapers.

    Also WTF with "LEAVE's only hope"? Right now, according to the Economist, LEAVE are WINNING

    I really don't understand this bizarre complacency from REMAINIACS, is it just whistling in the dark, or are they stupid enough to think they've got this in the bag?

    This Remainer was one of the few on here who predicted a Leave win. Immigration is the killer for Remain. Dave and co have spent the last few years making very negative comments about the effects of EU immigration, while doing as little as possible to mitigate it (knowing, of course, that in reality it has been a significant net benefit to the UK economy). They cannot put that genie back in its bottle now.

  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341

    Bank of England has warned that a vote to leave EU could "materially" lower UK growth & lead to sharp falls in the value of the pound #EUref

    Marvellous news for exporters and domestic producers competing with cheap foreign imports.
This discussion has been closed.