Serious question. Given how much more convenient it is for everyone else reading PB, why do so many posters - deliberately or otherwise - not use the Quote function?
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so.
Serious question. Given how much more convenient it is for everyone else reading PB, why do so many posters - deliberately or otherwise - not use the Quote function?
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so.
It's a striking irony that if Remain loses because of Migration Crisis 2.0 then Cameron will have been floored by a crisis in relation to which his own policy is considered good by the people who will have voted against him.
But that will sum up the very essence of our problems with the EU.
Serious question. Given how much more convenient it is for everyone else reading PB, why do so many posters - deliberately or otherwise - not use the Quote function?
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so.
Space is often a factor, and it's very difficult to edit large blocks of text on a smartphone (my select/edit function is as useless as OFSTED). Much easier to reply directly without quoting although I know it makes following a conversation harder.
Putting some number's into Rod's spreadsheet confirms my suspicion that Cruz will need to break Rubio on Super Tuesday and make sure this is a Cruz/Trump race. Rubio, assuming Cruz doesn't break him, could take Trump down as late as Florida.
Cruz can only win if it continues as a three horse race after ST.
He needs both trump & rubio to stay in the game.
Will Jeb Bush only head out to 100 110 even after he quits the race ?
Follow up question: Is there any value in Carson at 500/800 ?
Serious question. Given how much more convenient it is for everyone else reading PB, why do so many posters - deliberately or otherwise - not use the Quote function?
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so.
Space is often a factor, and it's very difficult to edit large blocks of text on a smartphone (my select/edit function is as useless as OFSTED). Much easier to reply directly without quoting although I know it makes following a conversation harder.
Serious question. Given how much more convenient it is for everyone else reading PB, why do so many posters - deliberately or otherwise - not use the Quote function?
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so.
And something I have always wondered... why do you top-post?
Putting some number's into Rod's spreadsheet confirms my suspicion that Cruz will need to break Rubio on Super Tuesday and make sure this is a Cruz/Trump race. Rubio, assuming Cruz doesn't break him, could take Trump down as late as Florida.
Cruz can only win if it continues as a three horse race after ST.
He needs both trump & rubio to stay in the game.
Will Jeb Bush only head out to 100 110 even after he quits the race ?
Follow up question: Is there any value in Carson at 500/800 ?
History says single peak candidates are much more common than double peak ones.
It's a striking irony that if Remain loses because of Migration Crisis 2.0 then Cameron will have been floored by a crisis in relation to which his own policy is considered good by the people who will have voted against him.
But that will sum up the very essence of our problems with the EU.
Serious question. Given how much more convenient it is for everyone else reading PB, why do so many posters - deliberately or otherwise - not use the Quote function?
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so.
Space is often a factor, and it's very difficult to edit large blocks of text on a smartphone (my select/edit function is as useless as OFSTED). Much easier to reply directly without quoting although I know it makes following a conversation harder.
When you quote whole threads, it's very easy to go over the word limit - or at least, I've found it a problem.
On the other hand, as you may have noticed, I do tend to quote where I can and edit the blocks, even though I find it very difficult sometimes.
Serious question. Given how much more convenient it is for everyone else reading PB, why do so many posters - deliberately or otherwise - not use the Quote function?
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so.
And something I have always wondered... why do you top-post?
Oh dear. Sky reporter in Port Clinton, OH claiming it's selected the winner "for over 70 years, every since Harry Truman was voted into the White House during the Second World War..."
I think I encounter Too Many Characters maybe 1:20 posts if that.
This doesn't explain the PBers who don't use Quote. I'm perplexed, it doesn't help their argument in any way. And saying Mr X I think Y doesn't make up for it. The rest of us go Meh and ignore their contribution given there's no context.
Serious question. Given how much more convenient it is for everyone else reading PB, why do so many posters - deliberately or otherwise - not use the Quote function?
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so.
Space is often a factor, and it's very difficult to edit large blocks of text on a smartphone (my select/edit function is as useless as OFSTED). Much easier to reply directly without quoting although I know it makes following a conversation harder.
When you quote whole threads, it's very easy to go over the word limit - or at least, I've found it a problem.
On the other hand, as you may have noticed, I do tend to quote where I can and edit the blocks, even though I find it very difficult sometimes.
Putting some number's into Rod's spreadsheet confirms my suspicion that Cruz will need to break Rubio on Super Tuesday and make sure this is a Cruz/Trump race. Rubio, assuming Cruz doesn't break him, could take Trump down as late as Florida.
Cruz can only win if it continues as a three horse race after ST.
He needs both trump & rubio to stay in the game.
Will Jeb Bush only head out to 100 110 even after he quits the race ?
Follow up question: Is there any value in Carson at 500/800 ?
History says single peak candidates are much more common than double peak ones.
I think I encounter Too Many Characters maybe 1:20 posts if that.
This doesn't explain the PBers who don't use Quote. I'm perplexed, it doesn't help their argument in any way. And saying Mr X I think Y doesn't make up for it. The rest of us go Meh and ignore their contribution given there's no context.
Serious question. Given how much more convenient it is for everyone else reading PB, why do so many posters - deliberately or otherwise - not use the Quote function?
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so.
Space is often a factor, and it's very difficult to edit large blocks of text on a smartphone (my select/edit function is as useless as OFSTED). Much easier to reply directly without quoting although I know it makes following a conversation harder.
When you quote whole threads, it's very easy to go over the word limit - or at least, I've found it a problem.
On the other hand, as you may have noticed, I do tend to quote where I can and edit the blocks, even though I find it very difficult sometimes.
One reason might be that adding @ to the front of the user's name brings up a notification in Vanilla.
For serious laptop purchase, I do recommend http://www.pcspecialist.co.uk/ which I think others here recommended to me (thanks!). Their staff ARE expert and they advise right down to hings like partitioning. I bought my gaming laptop from them and have been 100% satisfied.
I blame austerity for the fact that you only have one laptop specifically dedicated to gaming.
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
"Serious question. Given how much more convenient it is for everyone else reading PB, why do so many posters - deliberately or otherwise - not use the Quote function?
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so."
I think I encounter Too Many Characters maybe 1:20 posts if that.
This doesn't explain the PBers who don't use Quote. I'm perplexed, it doesn't help their argument in any way. And saying Mr X I think Y doesn't make up for it. The rest of us go Meh and ignore their contribution given there's no context.
Serious question. Given how much more convenient it is for everyone else reading PB, why do so many posters - deliberately or otherwise - not use the Quote function?
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so.
Space is often a factor, and it's very difficult to edit large blocks of text on a smartphone (my select/edit function is as useless as OFSTED). Much easier to reply directly without quoting although I know it makes following a conversation harder.
When you quote whole threads, it's very easy to go over the word limit - or at least, I've found it a problem.
On the other hand, as you may have noticed, I do tend to quote where I can and edit the blocks, even though I find it very difficult sometimes.
One reason might be that adding @ to the front of the user's name brings up a notification in Vanilla.
"Serious question. Given how much more convenient it is for everyone else reading PB, why do so many posters - deliberately or otherwise - not use the Quote function?
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so."
I think I encounter Too Many Characters maybe 1:20 posts if that.
This doesn't explain the PBers who don't use Quote. I'm perplexed, it doesn't help their argument in any way. And saying Mr X I think Y doesn't make up for it. The rest of us go Meh and ignore their contribution given there's no context.
Serious question. Given how much more convenient it is for everyone else reading PB, why do so many posters - deliberately or otherwise - not use the Quote function?
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so.
Space is often a factor, and it's very difficult to edit large blocks of text on a smartphone (my select/edit function is as useless as OFSTED). Much easier to reply directly without quoting although I know it makes following a conversation harder.
When you quote whole threads, it's very easy to go over the word limit - or at least, I've found it a problem.
On the other hand, as you may have noticed, I do tend to quote where I can and edit the blocks, even though I find it very difficult sometimes.
One reason might be that adding @ to the front of the user's name brings up a notification in Vanilla.
Fair enough. Although I could add that I find top-quoting highly annoying.
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
I have no intention of backing him but I would say his odds should have come in a touch, not because he did not make quite so much of an arse of himself as usual but because the chances of the Conservative Party falling apart increased and that is a possible route to a Corbyn-led minority government.
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
I have no intention of backing him but I would say his odds should have come in a touch, not because he did not make quite so much of an arse of himself as usual but because the chances of the Conservative Party falling apart increased and that is a possible route to a Corbyn-led minority government.
I know Cameron has said that he won't resign in the event of a Leave vote (I don't believe this), but do you think in private he's telling his party that a vote to leave the EU could precipitate Corbyn being in Downing Street? That is, "do you really want it on your conscience?"
Putting some number's into Rod's spreadsheet confirms my suspicion that Cruz will need to break Rubio on Super Tuesday and make sure this is a Cruz/Trump race. Rubio, assuming Cruz doesn't break him, could take Trump down as late as Florida.
Cruz can only win if it continues as a three horse race after ST.
He needs both trump & rubio to stay in the game.
Will Jeb Bush only head out to 100 110 even after he quits the race ?
Follow up question: Is there any value in Carson at 500/800 ?
Dunno about Jeb!
I've taken to visualising an exclamation mark after his odds. Whatever the logic that underpins his price, I don't buy into it.
Carson? umm, yeah who knows. I wouldn't lay him at 800 and at the first sign of evidence his polling is improving, I'd be backing @ 500.
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
I have no intention of backing him but I would say his odds should have come in a touch, not because he did not make quite so much of an arse of himself as usual but because the chances of the Conservative Party falling apart increased and that is a possible route to a Corbyn-led minority government.
They would have to fall apart on a scale unsurpassed since the collapse of Stephen's army at Lincoln for that to become a possibility. Labour are 100 seats behind and have no natural allies apart from Plaid and the Greens- even the SNP would surely fight shy of this shambles.
This week it's been Tory travails over Europe, which has made for a refreshing change from Corbyn's travails over merely being Corbyn. Therefore, by being anonymous he has by default had a good week. That's not enough for a serious politician. He cannot even expect that to last for ever, possibly not even for long.
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
I have no intention of backing him but I would say his odds should have come in a touch, not because he did not make quite so much of an arse of himself as usual but because the chances of the Conservative Party falling apart increased and that is a possible route to a Corbyn-led minority government.
Yeah - I think you're right. I was only commenting on the minor moves on Betfair - the market is in tiny amounts only, so its not really significant.
Ken's midweek mention of McDonnell caused me to take down the small number of small size orders I had up.
There are only pennies to be made, but I rather like thinking through the overlapping nature of say "Next Labour Leader", "Next PM", "Corbyn Exit Date", "Will Corbyn Exit Before GE" etc
(I'm vaguely on Corbyn to hang on forever, and his replacement not to be David Milliband.)
Combine that with the big game changer of the EU, and it gets to be real fun.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Ted Cruz strikes me as much the most interesting candidate on either side. He doesn't come across as very likeable to British eyes (echoes of George Osborne) but he is incredibly driven and seems seriously clever. I can't see him winning the nomination but I can see him changing the terms of politics.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
I'm doing a Jez might not be crap thread for tomorrow.
Reading the Telegraph "Global Disaster" coming piece is putting me in a surprisingly good mood.
Like The Economist's covers, The Telegraph has a tendency to call things just after they've happened.
The key point, to me, is that you could have written that piece in 1981. You would have pointed to coming defaults in Mexico and in other oil producing countries. You would have pointed out that Western banks (and particularly UK banks) had lent very heavily to resource producers. You would have mentioned that government debt loads had soared through the 1970s, and that economies were fragile from a decade of recession, with record unemployment in many places.
In other words, you would have been very bearish. And you would have been very wrong.
Despite almost every commodity exporter going bust between 1981 and the end of the 1980s, it turned out that developed world was in amazing shape. The 1980s and 1990s, except for a brief (but deep) recession in the early 1990s, were two decades of unparalleled growth.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
Yes, but there's been some nudge-nudge-wink-winks from some reputable political sites too.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
Yes, but there's been some nudge-nudge-wink-winks from some reputable political sites too.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
I have no intention of backing him but I would say his odds should have come in a touch, not because he did not make quite so much of an arse of himself as usual but because the chances of the Conservative Party falling apart increased and that is a possible route to a Corbyn-led minority government.
They would have to fall apart on a scale unsurpassed since the collapse of Stephen's army at Lincoln for that to become a possibility. Labour are 100 seats behind and have no natural allies apart from Plaid and the Greens- even the SNP would surely fight shy of this shambles.
This week it's been Tory travails over Europe, which has made for a refreshing change from Corbyn's travails over merely being Corbyn. Therefore, by being anonymous he has by default had a good week. That's not enough for a serious politician. He cannot even expect that to last for ever, possibly not even for long.
How about this: Remain wins with 50.00001%, sceptics see Cameron as having cheated to win, Con splits hard and govt falls. Corbyn gets chance to form a govt under FTPA and says something like "This is very unsatisfactory. Mr Cameron has behaved disgracefully. It's time for a serious talk with our European partners and some fundamental changes We can't go on in Europe as we are." Would Con unite to vote down his Queen's Speech? (Also, this scenario depends on the SNP, as you say.)
Alternative is much simpler: Con splits, government falls, election is held resulting in a few gains for Lab, enough to let them form a govt with the SNP. (Of course the Lab gains part is hard to envisage but if you had official and "true" Conservatives standing against each other perhaps its possible.)
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
I'm doing a Jez might not be crap thread for tomorrow.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
Yes, but there's been some nudge-nudge-wink-winks from some reputable political sites too.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
Is he gay ?
Or worse - has he misplaced his birth certificate...
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
I'm doing a Jez might not be crap thread for tomorrow.
But his PMQs was his worst...
No one cares about or watches PMQs.
This thread features being on poppers and an awful pun.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
He only has a Canadian passport?
He's an anchor baby. At least ineligible Obama had one US citizen parent, as does ineligible Cruz...
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
I have no intention of backing him but I would say his odds should have come in a touch, not because he did not make quite so much of an arse of himself as usual but because the chances of the Conservative Party falling apart increased and that is a possible route to a Corbyn-led minority government.
They would have to fall apart on a scale unsurpassed since the collapse of Stephen's army at Lincoln for that to become a possibility. Labour are 100 seats behind and have no natural allies apart from Plaid and the Greens- even the SNP would surely fight shy of this shambles.
This week it's been Tory travails over Europe, which has made for a refreshing change from Corbyn's travails over merely being Corbyn. Therefore, by being anonymous he has by default had a good week. That's not enough for a serious politician. He cannot even expect that to last for ever, possibly not even for long.
How about this: Remain wins with 50.00001%, sceptics see Cameron as having cheated to win, Con splits hard and govt falls. Corbyn gets chance to form a govt under FTPA and says something like "This is very unsatisfactory. Mr Cameron has behaved disgracefully. It's time for a serious talk with our European partners and some fundamental changes We can't go on in Europe as we are." Would Con unite to vote down his Queen's Speech? (Also, this scenario depends on the SNP, as you say.)
Alternative is much simpler: Con splits, government falls, election is held resulting in a few gains for Lab, enough to let them form a govt with the SNP. (Of course the Lab gains part is hard to envisage but if you had official and "true" Conservatives standing against each other perhaps its possible.)
If the Queen calls Jeremy and says "Do you think you can command the confidence of the House of Commons?", the answer's got to be "No", surely. So if the Conservative Party split, it would result in new elections. But I just can't see it.
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
I'm doing a Jez might not be crap thread for tomorrow.
I genuinely look forwards to reading your thoughts.
Its probably the case that it's not so much about him being crap as Labour being crap enough to elect him. Who knows. Perhaps he can turn things around and create some sort of coherence (and honesty). I'm pretty sure he must be learning as he goes along, almost as if he's an apprentice to the political trade.
Given he's retained a degree of support when spouting some pretty daft stuff, if he ups his game a little he could actually start to make headway.
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
I'm doing a Jez might not be crap thread for tomorrow.
But his PMQs was his worst...
No one cares about or watches PMQs.
This thread features being on poppers and an awful pun.
Lots of people watch or read PMQs..the political ones....
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
I'm doing a Jez might not be crap thread for tomorrow.
But his PMQs was his worst...
No one cares about or watches PMQs.
This thread features being on poppers and an awful pun.
Probably to do with the Newstatesman rumours that McDonnell is being lined up to be leader when Jezza collapses in exhaustion or resigns for family reasons.
Ted Cruz strikes me as much the most interesting candidate on either side. He doesn't come across as very likeable to British eyes (echoes of George Osborne) but he is incredibly driven and seems seriously clever. I can't see him winning the nomination but I can see him changing the terms of politics.
Cruz, another Goldman Sachs sponsored Harvard Law School graduate, I'm sure the US Establishment is quaking in its boots at his emergence.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
Yes, but there's been some nudge-nudge-wink-winks from some reputable political sites too.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
I have no intention of backing him but I would say his odds should have come in a touch, not because he did not make quite so much of an arse of himself as usual but because the chances of the Conservative Party falling apart increased and that is a possible route to a Corbyn-led minority government.
They would have to fall apart on a scale unsurpassed since the collapse of Stephen's army at Lincoln for that to become a possibility. Labour are 100 seats behind and have no natural allies apart from Plaid and the Greens- even the SNP would surely fight shy of this shambles.
This week it's been Tory travails over Europe, which has made for a refreshing change from Corbyn's travails over merely being Corbyn. Therefore, by being anonymous he has by default had a good week. That's not enough for a serious politician. He cannot even expect that to last for ever, possibly not even for long.
How about this: Remain wins with 50.00001%, sceptics see Cameron as having cheated to win, Con splits hard and govt falls. Corbyn gets chance to form a govt under FTPA and says something like "This is very unsatisfactory. Mr Cameron has behaved disgracefully. It's time for a serious talk with our European partners and some fundamental changes We can't go on in Europe as we are." Would Con unite to vote down his Queen's Speech? (Also, this scenario depends on the SNP, as you say.)
Alternative is much simpler: Con splits, government falls, election is held resulting in a few gains for Lab, enough to let them form a govt with the SNP. (Of course the Lab gains part is hard to envisage but if you had official and "true" Conservatives standing against each other perhaps its possible.)
If the Queen calls Jeremy and says "Do you think you can command the confidence of the House of Commons?", the answer's got to be "No", surely. So if the Conservative Party split, it would result in new elections. But I just can't see it.
How about this: Remain wins with 50.00001%, sceptics see Cameron as having cheated to win, Con splits hard and govt falls. Corbyn gets chance to form a govt under FTPA and says something like "This is very unsatisfactory. Mr Cameron has behaved disgracefully. It's time for a serious talk with our European partners and some fundamental changes We can't go on in Europe as we are." Would Con unite to vote down his Queen's Speech? (Also, this scenario depends on the SNP, as you say.)
Alternative is much simpler: Con splits, government falls, election is held resulting in a few gains for Lab, enough to let them form a govt with the SNP. (Of course the Lab gains part is hard to envisage but if you had official and "true" Conservatives standing against each other perhaps its possible.)
That scenario would unseat Cameron rather than causing a formal split, surely? Then the Conservatives, under a new leader and formidably angry, would have three years to sort themselves out.
They do have one priceless advantage - Corbyn is a eurosceptic unconvincingly posing as a europhile. So any capital he tries to make out of it with his usual hypocrisy and ineptitude would merely make him look even stupider than he does after Trident, Falklands, Paris, Abbott etc.
Bear in mind there are few Europhiles left and the Conservatives haven't split formally or otherwise since the slice off the top of 1922 and you start to see the improbability of your scenario. It's not impossible but it's much the least likely of those scenarios that are technically possible.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
He only has a Canadian passport?
He's an anchor baby. At least ineligible Obama had one US citizen parent, as does ineligible Cruz...
Eh? He was born in the USA. That's the end of it surely? Perhaps he has been doing a 'Clinton'?
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
Yes, but there's been some nudge-nudge-wink-winks from some reputable political sites too.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
Yes, but there's been some nudge-nudge-wink-winks from some reputable political sites too.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
He only has a Canadian passport?
He's an anchor baby. At least ineligible Obama had one US citizen parent, as does ineligible Cruz...
Eh? He was born in the USA. That's the end of it surely? Perhaps he has been doing a 'Clinton'?
One of my cousins was born in the U.S., but that did not make her a U.S. Citizen (same goes for Boris). Nationality is inherited as well as place of birth.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
Yes, but there's been some nudge-nudge-wink-winks from some reputable political sites too.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
Is he gay ?
Quite the reverse. Google him and gossip...
I did thanks. If any of it is true, this kind of thing didn't stop Clinton. But then he was a especially charismatic candidate.
Hoping it all social media bollx as I have just bet on Rubio for POTUS.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
He only has a Canadian passport?
He's an anchor baby. At least ineligible Obama had one US citizen parent, as does ineligible Cruz...
Eh? He was born in the USA. That's the end of it surely? Perhaps he has been doing a 'Clinton'?
One of my cousins was born in the U.S., but that did not make her a U.S. Citizen (same goes for Boris). Nationality is inherited as well as place of birth.
Boris was a US citizen until he renounced it, I thought,
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
He only has a Canadian passport?
He's an anchor baby. At least ineligible Obama had one US citizen parent, as does ineligible Cruz...
Eh? He was born in the USA. That's the end of it surely? Perhaps he has been doing a 'Clinton'?
One of my cousins was born in the U.S., but that did not make her a U.S. Citizen (same goes for Boris). Nationality is inherited as well as place of birth.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
The voices in your head aren't a 'grapevine'. Although they might be caused by the results of grape fermentation.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
Yes, but there's been some nudge-nudge-wink-winks from some reputable political sites too.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
Is he gay ?
Quite the reverse. Google him and gossip...
I did thanks. If any of it is true, this kind of thing didn't stop Clinton. But then he was a especially charismatic candidate.
Hoping it all social media bollx as I have just bet on Rubio for POTUS.
Well they're not impossible but if they are true it is extremely surprising they have not been substantiated by now. Gary Hart only took a few weeks, and that was just sex, no suggestion that he had children as well (who are not exactly easy to hide).
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
Yes, but there's been some nudge-nudge-wink-winks from some reputable political sites too.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
Is he gay ?
Quite the reverse. Google him and gossip...
I did thanks. If any of it is true, this kind of thing didn't stop Clinton. But then he was a especially charismatic candidate.
Hoping it all social media bollx as I have just bet on Rubio for POTUS.
Well they're not impossible but if they are true it is extremely surprising they have not been substantiated by now. Gary Hart only took a few weeks, and that was just sex, no suggestion that he had children as well (who are not exactly easy to hide).
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
Yes, but there's been some nudge-nudge-wink-winks from some reputable political sites too.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
He only has a Canadian passport?
He's an anchor baby. At least ineligible Obama had one US citizen parent, as does ineligible Cruz...
Eh? He was born in the USA. That's the end of it surely? Perhaps he has been doing a 'Clinton'?
One of my cousins was born in the U.S., but that did not make her a U.S. Citizen (same goes for Boris). Nationality is inherited as well as place of birth.
Eh? I thought Boris is a US Citizen?
Yes, but he had to be registered specially because his parents were British. I think the fact they were both long-term residents had some bearing although I could be wrong.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
Yes, but there's been some nudge-nudge-wink-winks from some reputable political sites too.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
Is he gay ?
Quite the reverse. Google him and gossip...
I did thanks. If any of it is true, this kind of thing didn't stop Clinton. But then he was a especially charismatic candidate.
Hoping it all social media bollx as I have just bet on Rubio for POTUS.
Well they're not impossible but if they are true it is extremely surprising they have not been substantiated by now. Gary Hart only took a few weeks, and that was just sex, no suggestion that he had children as well (who are not exactly easy to hide).
What about the gay porno tho ?
Hadn't heard about that!!! Is he alleged to moonlight as David Rose from Meth Productions?
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
Yes, but there's been some nudge-nudge-wink-winks from some reputable political sites too.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
Is he gay ?
Quite the reverse. Google him and gossip...
I did thanks. If any of it is true, this kind of thing didn't stop Clinton. But then he was a especially charismatic candidate.
Hoping it all social media bollx as I have just bet on Rubio for POTUS.
Well they're not impossible but if they are true it is extremely surprising they have not been substantiated by now. Gary Hart only took a few weeks, and that was just sex, no suggestion that he had children as well (who are not exactly easy to hide).
What about the gay porno tho ?
May as well say it now, this is what I was referring to (and the suggestion that a concrete story is coming the week starting 15th February).
It would also make sense of why there was such a big fuss about his boots a few weeks ago, which on the face of it looked like a very trivial story even by US election standards.
For all those of you asking about IT stuff, there are alternatives. I am a dedicated late-adopter who still uses WinXP on a 2009 netbook, but that fine combo is showing its age. When I do my five-yearly upgrade I will go to a charity I know that refurbishes old PCs and resells them. I will come away with Windows 7 and Office 2013 laptop for about £150 and it will be entirely adequate, with all the internal gunk cleared out and as fast as a slippery goose.
If you want to do something similar, google "computer recycle and refurbishment" in your area
A Muslim women’s activist, who called for a Labour inquiry into allegations that women have been systematically blocked from seeking election by men in their communities, has called the party’s lukewarm response “a slap in the face”.
Shaista Gohir of the Muslim Women’s Network UK and Gavin Shuker, a Labour MP, claimed discrimination was an open secret in many local councils.
Rubio is on thin ice just because of his inexperience and (cough) youth. He has to play a better campaign to some extent than the other candidates. Obama showed the way though, so that helps him.
I've opposed Rubio, and backed Trump. I need to fund my trip into space should the latter become President somehow.
I would say though that I somehow instinctively dislike Rubio - that goes for most of the Republican candidates though.
My big Presidential bet was on Fiorina - so I've already lost. I dislike her a little less than the others.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
Is this related to the blind gossip piece posted a few days ago?
Yes, but there's been some nudge-nudge-wink-winks from some reputable political sites too.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
Is he gay ?
Quite the reverse. Google him and gossip...
I did thanks. If any of it is true, this kind of thing didn't stop Clinton. But then he was a especially charismatic candidate.
Hoping it all social media bollx as I have just bet on Rubio for POTUS.
Well they're not impossible but if they are true it is extremely surprising they have not been substantiated by now. Gary Hart only took a few weeks, and that was just sex, no suggestion that he had children as well (who are not exactly easy to hide).
The rabble-rouser who spent his honeymoon at a squalid migrant camp in Calais was jailed for being part of a gang of looters in the 2011 riots, the Daily Mail can reveal.
Syed Bokhari was handed a nine-month term for raiding an electronics shop at the height of the unrest, which caused hundreds of millions of pounds in damage across Britain.
The 28-year-old former asylum-seeker, who was born in Pakistan, targeted a shop owned by an elderly man who migrated to the UK from India in the 1960s.
Rubio is on thin ice just because of his inexperience and (cough) youth. He has to play a better campaign to some extent than the other candidates. Obama showed the way though, so that helps him.
I've opposed Rubio, and backed Trump. I need to fund my trip into space should the latter become President somehow.
I would say though that I somehow instinctively dislike Rubio - that goes for most of the Republican candidates though.
My big Presidential bet was on Fiorina - so I've already lost. I dislike her a little less than the others.
"My big Presidential bet was on Fiorina - so I've already lost. I dislike her a little less than the others."
Likewise. I was hoping for a massive pay-out on a small bet. I thought, being the only woman, she might suddenly cut-through. But it is not to be.
Incidentally, for those getting on Rubio for the Republican nomination - the grapevine says there's going to be a "development" in about a week's time which could torpedo his chances.
He only has a Canadian passport?
He's an anchor baby. At least ineligible Obama had one US citizen parent, as does ineligible Cruz...
Eh? He was born in the USA. That's the end of it surely? Perhaps he has been doing a 'Clinton'?
Being born in a stable doesn't make you a horse.
The Founders, Framers and Ratifiers of the Constitution specifically wanted to remove the possibility of foreign influence on the POTUS. [See letter of John Jay to George Washington, July 25, 1787]
After considering several weaker qualifications they settled on the most restrictive - a natural born citizen [save for the eligible "citizens" who fought in the Revolution, who would die out].
A natural born citizen is one who can only be a citizen of the US at birth by natural law.
Rubio and Obama need [a liberal interpretation of] the 14th amendment to make them mere "citizens", which we know is not the same thing as an NBC. Cruz needs a Naturalization statute to make him a mere "citizen", which we know is not the same thing as an NBC...
A natural born citizen is one who needs no statute, cannot be a citizen of anywhere else, and can only be one who is "born in the country of parents who were its citizens". See Minor v Happersett, US v Wong Kim Ark
A natural born citizen is one who needs no statute, cannot be a citizen of anywhere else, and can only be one who is "born in the country of parents who were its citizens". See Minor v Happersett, US v Wong Kim Ark
A literal interpretation of that would have been fun in 2008 as both candidates would have failed that very restrictive interpretation.
For the first time in ages Corbyn has only had a couple of bad things happen in the week. Oddly though he's lengthened in the Next PM market on Betfair.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game so metimes
I'm doing a Jez might not be crap thread for tomorrow.
But his PMQs was his worst...
No one cares about or watches PMQs.
This thread features being on poppers and an awful pun.
Wonder what the odds were pre-season on a Leicester-Tottenham forecast.
I did put a pound each way on Leicester at 3000/1 at the end of August :-)
That's incredible.
Well done!
It was after we did so well in the first 3 matches (WWD) and looked at top 10 odds. I thought winning it worth a quid each way. I also got on a top 4 finish at 150/1 at the same time. I also backed top 6 and top 10.
If we win the league I will have paid for my season ticket for a decade.
Because 42 is the answer to Life, The Universe and Everything
JeremyCorbyn4PM 'Jeremy Corbyn's opposition to austerity is actually mainstream economics.' RT if you agree with these 42 economists https://t.co/B8ZP9GgBuf
A natural born citizen is one who needs no statute, cannot be a citizen of anywhere else, and can only be one who is "born in the country of parents who were its citizens". See Minor v Happersett, US v Wong Kim Ark
A literal interpretation of that would have been fun in 2008 as both candidates would have failed that very restrictive interpretation.
McCain was born by repute in the US of citizen parents who were serving their country in an overseas territory.
See Vattel, The Law of Nations, 1758 http://lonang.com/library/reference/vattel-law-of-nations/vatt-119/ "§ 217. Children born in the armies of the state or in the house of its minister at a foreign court. For the same reasons also, children born out of the country, in the armies of the state, or in the house of its minister at a foreign court, are reputed born in the country; for a citizen who is absent with his family, on the service of the state, but still dependent on it, and subject to its jurisdiction, cannot be considered as having quitted its territory."
Letter of Benjamin Franklin to Charles Dumas [editor of Vattel], December 9, 1775 "I am much obliged by the kind present you have made us of your edition of Vattel. It came to us in good season, when the circumstances of a rising state make it necessary frequently to consult the law of nations. Accordingly that copy, which I kept, (after depositing one in our own public library here, and sending the other to the College of Massachusetts Bay, as you directed,) has been continually in the hands of the members of our Congress, now sitting, who are much pleased with your notes and preface, and have entertained a high and just esteem for their author..."
Comments
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so.
Follow up question: Is there any value in Carson at 500/800 ?
The vast majority of comments here require no editing to get passed the word limit
I post most often from a smartphone and can manage to backspace over a few dozen characters and say Snip
On the other hand, as you may have noticed, I do tend to quote where I can and edit the blocks, even though I find it very difficult sometimes.
I read using the Vanilla forums linky not the main site
This doesn't explain the PBers who don't use Quote. I'm perplexed, it doesn't help their argument in any way. And saying Mr X I think Y doesn't make up for it. The rest of us go Meh and ignore their contribution given there's no context.
This is the sort of nonsense @Plato is referring to.
I can't make head or tail of this political betting game sometimes
It's right there under the post you're replying to
The rest of us are left guessing what the Hell you're talking about or who you're addressing unless we're blessed with thread long memories of each poster's contribution.
I honestly can't see how it helps your argument to do so."
Well said.
I'm perplexed at the excuse making. Just click Quote and we'll all know what you're referring to
If I want to get your attention on another subject then I can use @JosiasJessop
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/london/designer-creates-brilliantly-detailed-tv-map-of-london-and-great-britain-a3174611.html
I've taken to visualising an exclamation mark after his odds. Whatever the logic that underpins his price, I don't buy into it.
Carson? umm, yeah who knows. I wouldn't lay him at 800 and at the first sign of evidence his polling is improving, I'd be backing @ 500.
This week it's been Tory travails over Europe, which has made for a refreshing change from Corbyn's travails over merely being Corbyn. Therefore, by being anonymous he has by default had a good week. That's not enough for a serious politician. He cannot even expect that to last for ever, possibly not even for long.
Ken's midweek mention of McDonnell caused me to take down the small number of small size orders I had up.
There are only pennies to be made, but I rather like thinking through the overlapping nature of say "Next Labour Leader", "Next PM", "Corbyn Exit Date", "Will Corbyn Exit Before GE" etc
(I'm vaguely on Corbyn to hang on forever, and his replacement not to be David Milliband.)
Combine that with the big game changer of the EU, and it gets to be real fun.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GMsDWJAFqmI
Like The Economist's covers, The Telegraph has a tendency to call things just after they've happened.
The key point, to me, is that you could have written that piece in 1981. You would have pointed to coming defaults in Mexico and in other oil producing countries. You would have pointed out that Western banks (and particularly UK banks) had lent very heavily to resource producers. You would have mentioned that government debt loads had soared through the 1970s, and that economies were fragile from a decade of recession, with record unemployment in many places.
In other words, you would have been very bearish. And you would have been very wrong.
Despite almost every commodity exporter going bust between 1981 and the end of the 1980s, it turned out that developed world was in amazing shape. The 1980s and 1990s, except for a brief (but deep) recession in the early 1990s, were two decades of unparalleled growth.
If true, it shouldn't matter but this is the Republican selectorate....
Alternative is much simpler: Con splits, government falls, election is held resulting in a few gains for Lab, enough to let them form a govt with the SNP. (Of course the Lab gains part is hard to envisage but if you had official and "true" Conservatives standing against each other perhaps its possible.)
This thread features being on poppers and an awful pun.
Its probably the case that it's not so much about him being crap as Labour being crap enough to elect him. Who knows. Perhaps he can turn things around and create some sort of coherence (and honesty). I'm pretty sure he must be learning as he goes along, almost as if he's an apprentice to the political trade.
Given he's retained a degree of support when spouting some pretty daft stuff, if he ups his game a little he could actually start to make headway.
This thread features being on poppers and an awful pun.
Lots of people watch or read PMQs..the political ones....
They do have one priceless advantage - Corbyn is a eurosceptic unconvincingly posing as a europhile. So any capital he tries to make out of it with his usual hypocrisy and ineptitude would merely make him look even stupider than he does after Trident, Falklands, Paris, Abbott etc.
Bear in mind there are few Europhiles left and the Conservatives haven't split formally or otherwise since the slice off the top of 1922 and you start to see the improbability of your scenario. It's not impossible but it's much the least likely of those scenarios that are technically possible.
http://www.agcwebpages.com/BLINDITEMS/2016/FEB.html
Hoping it all social media bollx as I have just bet on Rubio for POTUS.
Although they might be caused by the results of grape fermentation.
http://gawker.com/5994678/here-are-the-career-ending-marco-rubio-rumors-buzzfeed-wants-to-write-about-without-writing-about
"Cheerleaders"....
It would also make sense of why there was such a big fuss about his boots a few weeks ago, which on the face of it looked like a very trivial story even by US election standards.
For all those of you asking about IT stuff, there are alternatives. I am a dedicated late-adopter who still uses WinXP on a 2009 netbook, but that fine combo is showing its age. When I do my five-yearly upgrade I will go to a charity I know that refurbishes old PCs and resells them. I will come away with Windows 7 and Office 2013 laptop for about £150 and it will be entirely adequate, with all the internal gunk cleared out and as fast as a slippery goose.
If you want to do something similar, google "computer recycle and refurbishment" in your area
Shaista Gohir of the Muslim Women’s Network UK and Gavin Shuker, a Labour MP, claimed discrimination was an open secret in many local councils.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/feb/06/activist-condemns-labour-response-to-jeremy-corbyn-letter-charges-of-bias-against-muslim-women
I've opposed Rubio, and backed Trump. I need to fund my trip into space should the latter become President somehow.
I would say though that I somehow instinctively dislike Rubio - that goes for most of the Republican candidates though.
My big Presidential bet was on Fiorina - so I've already lost. I dislike her a little less than the others.
DOB: December 22, 1970
Marco Rubio
DOB: May 28, 1971
Either would be the youngest president since Kennedy.
Syed Bokhari was handed a nine-month term for raiding an electronics shop at the height of the unrest, which caused hundreds of millions of pounds in damage across Britain.
The 28-year-old former asylum-seeker, who was born in Pakistan, targeted a shop owned by an elderly man who migrated to the UK from India in the 1960s.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3434248/Rabble-rouser-spent-honeymoon-Calais-Jungle-jailed-looting-migrant-shop-riots-BOASTED-online.html
One of Seamus Milne's type of people....
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/12144213/Key-member-of-Jeremy-Corbyns-campaign-team-has-conviction-for-election-fraud.html
Likewise. I was hoping for a massive pay-out on a small bet. I thought, being the only woman, she might suddenly cut-through. But it is not to be.
The Founders, Framers and Ratifiers of the Constitution specifically wanted to remove the possibility of foreign influence on the POTUS. [See letter of John Jay to George Washington, July 25, 1787]
After considering several weaker qualifications they settled on the most restrictive - a natural born citizen [save for the eligible "citizens" who fought in the Revolution, who would die out].
A natural born citizen is one who can only be a citizen of the US at birth by natural law.
Rubio and Obama need [a liberal interpretation of] the 14th amendment to make them mere "citizens", which we know is not the same thing as an NBC. Cruz needs a Naturalization statute to make him a mere "citizen", which we know is not the same thing as an NBC...
A natural born citizen is one who needs no statute, cannot be a citizen of anywhere else, and can only be one who is "born in the country of parents who were its citizens". See Minor v Happersett, US v Wong Kim Ark
Any Tory would've been hanged for less.
The Red Queen is a goody.
And said there was still value at 20/1 at Christmas.
We are 3.5 to beat Arsenal next weekend. Looks like value to me, when will these bookies wise up to the fact that this is a really good football team?
Nicholas Soames is also doing himself no favours in his cattiness.
Golly, horny on stilts. Gather they're intended for those with low blood pressure.
Too much inhibition top shelf.
Well done!
If we win the league I will have paid for my season ticket for a decade.
JeremyCorbyn4PM
'Jeremy Corbyn's opposition to austerity is actually mainstream economics.'
RT if you agree with these 42 economists https://t.co/B8ZP9GgBuf
See Vattel, The Law of Nations, 1758
http://lonang.com/library/reference/vattel-law-of-nations/vatt-119/
"§ 217. Children born in the armies of the state or in the house of its minister at a foreign court.
For the same reasons also, children born out of the country, in the armies of the state, or in the house of its minister at a foreign court, are reputed born in the country; for a citizen who is absent with his family, on the service of the state, but still dependent on it, and subject to its jurisdiction, cannot be considered as having quitted its territory."
Letter of Benjamin Franklin to Charles Dumas [editor of Vattel], December 9, 1775
"I am much obliged by the kind present you have made us of your edition of Vattel. It came to us in good season, when the circumstances of a rising state make it necessary frequently to consult the law of nations. Accordingly that copy, which I kept, (after depositing one in our own public library here, and sending the other to the College of Massachusetts Bay, as you directed,) has been continually in the hands of the members of our Congress, now sitting, who are much pleased with your notes and preface, and have entertained a high and just esteem for their author..."