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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And so now we turn to leader resignations triggering off ma
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And so now we turn to leader resignations triggering off maybe 3 leadership contests
A problem for the LDs is that there are only eight MPs to choose from. Front runner must be Tim Farron and my guess is that he compete against the North Norfolk MP, Norman Lamb.
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If you are a serious gambler who turns over a lot of money every day, then consistently beating the odds is more important than short term profit,. I beat the odds in this GE and did have some fantastic prices that tumbled, but ended up losing money . Id do the same again tmrw
As I said I have had a v good week gambling this week. Yesterday was a level day because of election losses
I did say Farage would definitely win, I thought he would. Thurrock too fair enough. Backing a 16/1 shot that goes off 8/11 and loses in a photo isn't worthy of being called a bad tip
The following seats have been counting for more than 13 hours:
Luton North
Luton South
Devon Central
The Cotswolds
Wells
Suzanne Evans made leader Pro Tempore
Farage resigning.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14001026
Boom.
Err...
Boomerang.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2015/may/08/election-2015-live-labour-and-libdems-crushed-in-shock-election-result
“We have been overwhelmed by history.”
He says it will take time for the divisions of the referendum to fade back into distinctions between left and right.
He says he and deputy Kezia Dugdale, elected last year, had not had enough time to steer Labour back to where it needs to be.
Libby Brooks
@libby_brooks Jim Murphy is not resigning: determined to offer period of stability and be leader of fightback #GE2015
http://www.bbc.com/news/live/election-2015-32610187
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000623
#CameronMustGo
Chortle
I've learned that complex computer models based solely on polls are useless. Rubbish in - rubbish out!
Had six winning bets (Clegg to go in 2015, Watford Con, Richmond Park Con, Kingston Con, Lab seats in Scot, Brighton Pav Green) but two big losers (Lab minority gov and Lab most seats). About £200 down.
Ironically my investment in Berkeley Homes Group has risen by £6000 this morning now the threat of mansion tax has gone. A small consolation.
But seriously it does prob make it harder for Cameron to do what he wants as he had more in common w lib dems than some of his backbenchers. So to get votes through he is relying on Jackson, Rees Mogg and Hollobone rather than Clegg laws and Browne
http://action4equalityscotland.blogspot.co.uk/2015/04/jim-no-jobs-murphy.html
Coming third in Thurrock, but less than 1,000 votes and 2% behind first is obviously more promising than being more than 30% behind in a useless second in Sunderland somewhere.
And a majority should mean an EU referendum in 2017. I'm expecting Cameron to find some excuse to wriggle out of it, but we shall see.
This really has been a game-changing election in so many ways. Almost all the old certainties have been laid to waste.
The twitter is all powerful... or not.
The effect of the lib dems collapse in south west will be many more votes for Labour for no return. And the opposite has happened in Scotland. Whereas they used to have say 4 - 5 % of their vote share tied up in Scotland, they would get 40 seats for that. Now it is 1 from say 3% of their vote.
I feel guilty.
Libby Wiener @LibbyWienerITV 1m1 minute ago
Senior Labour advisers have left party HQ as Ed Miliband prepares to announce he's quitting @itvnews
In 2010 He and the lib dems made a massive decision to join a coalition which they stood by for the entire 5 years. They did what they had to do and they for once put the country before the party and themselves.
That alone should and must never be forgotten. History will judge them kindly even though the ballot boxes were quite cruel.
Well done Nick I hope that this is not the last we see off you. I say the same about Danny Alexander.
Glasgow South West 11/2
Glasgow North EAst 5/1
Dumfries & Galloway 7/2
Glasgow North WEst 7/2
Rutherglen & Hamilton West 10/3
Everything else was 3/1 or lower.
My £1 on SLab 0-5 seats at 40/1 was hedged out so don't get to claim that.
I just keep going back to the Glasgow results - can't quite believe they actually happened.
That was in 1997. In that election, the Labour Party presented itself as the heir of Margaret Thatcher, the Tory PM of 1979-90. Labour were also supported by both the Sun and the Financial Times.
Clegg's speech is self serving tripe but at least he has resigned. He has taken some element of responsibility. Both however are much better than Murphy.
No-one but no-one continues when they lose not just their own seat but all but one of their colleagues - having claimed that he would lose none! As long as he stays there can be no recovery whatsoever for Labour in Scotland.
Clegg and Alexander played a difficult hand well - I suspect Vince may have been more effective than his public sounding off suggested, and while Simon Hughes has been forgiven by Peter Tatchell, I can't but help feel a small dose of Karma in his loss.
The clear winners are Sturgeon (and I've no doubt she did better than Salmond would have done) - and Cameron. These two will dominate the next 5 years.
Meanwhile Ed's 'intellectual self confidence' has been comprehensively trumped by his 'lack of self awareness.'
The needed above all to sell the concept of coalition as a Good Thing. Only in the last few weeks did they begin to get that message right, but by then it was too late.
what a night, what a night!!!!!! Made 1992 seem pedestrian.
Ed Balls was just the icing on the cake.
Couple of things, Jack W (and a couple of notable others) you truly are amazing, never in my wildest dreams would I have predicted this result. Kudos to you all.
After enduring the smug, gloating posts of certain Labour supporters over the last week or so I do hope they turn up to eat some humble pie.
BenM proved yet again that whilst I don't share his politics he is a true gentleman.
likewise Smukesh reacted with decency last night too.
I loathed tim (the very worst of new Labour) when he was here but god it would have been funny to witness his meltdown :-)
Oh,was Ed Milliband ready? HELL NO!!!!!
Finally, my wife and I feel so guilty about helping to turf Sir Bob out, but I did say the Lib Dems were rattled here and although we will always owe that man a debt we just could not bear the thought of a Labour / SNP coalition. I hear he is retiring now and I wish him the very best for the future.
Now to quickly walk the dog with a huge smile on my face.
Lord A's first post-vote poll looks for explanations.
Opposition parties to get new leaders and a new start (except UKIP where Farage is copying his idol Putin).
{Might have pressed the flag button in error - too dozy - if so many apologies.]
Bet 365 particularly quick to settle, good mobile useability too.
I reckon I am up about £500, but to put it in perspective My ISA is up 4 times that on todays news.
Clegg very dignified resignation speech.