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  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    Analysis of the 2nd preferences of the Con voters will be interesting though.
  • GrandioseGrandiose Posts: 2,323
    edited October 2014
    Incidentally did anyone compute the average PB prediction?

    Also I assume candidates are eliminted based on their share across all polling area? In other words we'll have to wait for all first round Results?
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Wot, no braised babies?

    Shocking, just shocking.

    antifrank said:

    Labour in this Parliament have strongly resembled the Labour party in the 1951-55 Parliament, where they lost narrowly and firmly expected to be back in power in the near future without having to do very much. They were wrong then and the strategy hasn't looked brilliant up to this point, despite all the electoral advantages that Labour currently possess.

    Being a tad too young to remember the lead up to 1992 in much detail, I'd be curious to know what the Labour mood was then?

    Documentaries seem to portray that they were confident of victory leading up to the '92 election. Is that true or just narrative that's developed since?
    From what I remember of the campaign (my first serious one as an activist), apart from it being cold, was that no-one had a good idea of what was likely to happen and that both Tories and Labour were hopeful rather than confident.
    My recollection was different - I had Pink Champagne on ice to toast (ironically) the arrival of a brave new Socialist dawn - and after a valedictory night at the opera settled down with some friends to smoked salmon and scrambled egg supper to steel ourselves for the oncoming carnage.....and then the first reports came in - 'hung parliament' - and the night steadily improved after that.....
  • TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    I blame TSE!
  • Radio France on feu
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,735
    Good news for Miliband.

    However, this is a small turnout for a PCC. They're still in deep trouble when it comes to MPs.
  • JonathanDJonathanD Posts: 2,400
    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    Analysis of the 2nd preferences of the Con voters will be interesting though.

    Possibly, but turnout is so low that analysis of the voting behaviour of the die-hards is of little use.
  • TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    I blame TSE!
    What?

    I didn't vote Labour

    I'm so happy that Sheffield has rejected UKIP.

    I told you all this is the finest city in the Universe.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Let's see the Rotherham numbers
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 10s11 seconds ago
    Sheffield vote result (South Yorks. PCC):
    LAB - 32867
    UKIP - 14686
    CON - 7198
    EDEM - 2937
  • TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    I blame TSE!
    What?

    I didn't vote Labour

    I'm so happy that Sheffield has rejected UKIP.

    But you're stuck with Labour...
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    I've a friend with one for possession and he got 3 months in clink for it - he lied to everyone that he was working in Sweden on contract to explain his MIA status.

    Another got a similar sentence for a nonsense road rage - maybe I've a lot of dodgy friends - or the law is criminalising otherwise tax-paying/good professional sorts for trivial stuff.

    isam said:

    @isam can you tell me in what ways our drug policies are working better than Portugal's?

    http://www.tdpf.org.uk/blog/drug-decriminalisation-portugal-setting-record-straight

    I cant see in what ways they are any different

    "Background

    Portugal decriminalised the personal possession of all drugs in 2001. This means that, while it is no longer a criminal offence to possess drugs for personal use, it is still an administrative violation, punishable by penalties such as fines or community service. The specific penalty to be applied is decided by ‘Commissions for the Dissuasion of Drug Addiction’, which are regional panels made up of legal, health and social work professionals. In reality, the vast majority of those referred to the commissions by the police have their cases ‘suspended’, effectively meaning they receive no penalty.1 People who are dependent on drugs are encouraged to seek treatment, but are rarely sanctioned if they choose not to – the commissions’ aim is for people to enter treatment voluntarily; they do not attempt to force them to do so"
    I have a criminal record for possession of cannabis; in Portugal I wouldn't. That's a big difference to me.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Faragegasm came up short in Yorkshire.

  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Britain Elects @britainelects · 33s 33 seconds ago
    Current vote share w/ Rotherham and Barnsley left to declare (South Yorks PCC):
    LAB - 52.7%
    UKIP - 28.5%
    CON - 13.0%
    EDEM - 5.7%

    All over..
  • I expect the Lib Dems in Hallam voted Lab to stop the extreme and racist UKIP.

    An omen for tactical anti UKIP voting next year?
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 41s42 seconds ago
    Current vote share w/ Rotherham and Barnsley left to declare (South Yorks PCC):
    LAB - 52.7%
    UKIP - 28.5%
    CON - 13.0%
    EDEM - 5.7%
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    UKIP need a big win in Rotherham, which isn't impossible.
  • TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    I blame TSE!
    What?

    I didn't vote Labour

    I'm so happy that Sheffield has rejected UKIP.

    But you're stuck with Labour...
    I know. But I have Nick Clegg as my MP.

    So that's a bonus.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,712
    edited October 2014

    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    I blame TSE!
    What?

    I didn't vote Labour

    I'm so happy that Sheffield has rejected UKIP.

    But you're stuck with Labour...
    I know. But I have Nick Clegg as my MP.

    So that's a bonus.
    If that's a bonus, I'd hate to see your idea of a curse!
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    I expect the Lib Dems in Hallam voted Lab to stop the extreme and racist UKIP.

    An omen for tactical anti UKIP voting next year?

    In 2012 Lab took 51% and LDs 10.6% in Sheffield. This time Lab took 56% without a LD candidate.
  • TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    I blame TSE!
    What?

    I didn't vote Labour

    I'm so happy that Sheffield has rejected UKIP.

    But you're stuck with Labour...
    Yep. Vote Tory get Labour. That is the new reality now.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    edited October 2014
    AndyJS said:

    UKIP need a big win in Rotherham, which isn't impossible.

    Roth turnout bigger than others but still only 18%
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    AndyJS said:

    UKIP need a big win in Rotherham, which isn't impossible.

    Even if they don't win in South Yorks as a whole, a local win in Rotherham has to be the main aim.
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256


    Plato seems to me to be somewhat misanthropic. Last night he declared he liked to blow raspberries in the face of people who don't share his misanthropic humour. Today he says the poor are thick. I can only presume .....

    Oops!

    .... he is rich and employed in a wonderfully well paid job, and deserves every penny. What job do you have Plato?

    So many assumptions. All wrong. Do you plan to apologise?

  • TGOHF said:

    Faragegasm came up short in Yorkshire.

    Don't you mean "People's Republic of South Yorkshire"?

    :)
  • TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    I blame TSE!
    What?

    I didn't vote Labour

    I'm so happy that Sheffield has rejected UKIP.

    But you're stuck with Labour...
    I know. But I have Nick Clegg as my MP.

    So that's a bonus.
    If that's bonus, I'd hate to see your idea of a curse!
    Living in Essex.
  • AndyJS said:

    I expect the Lib Dems in Hallam voted Lab to stop the extreme and racist UKIP.

    An omen for tactical anti UKIP voting next year?

    In 2012 Lab took 51% and LDs 10.6% in Sheffield. This time Lab took 56% without a LD candidate.
    So Lab's share of the vote went up despite losing the WWC vote?

    They'd take that next year.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,517
    Looks promising with the huge Sheffield win and any win in Doncaster. I still think UKIP will flatter to deceive in the north next May - loads of second places, possibly no seats.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Confirmed South Yorkshire PCC turnouts:
    Barnsley: 11.9%
    Doncaster: 15.2%
    Rotherham: 18.0%
    Sheffield: 14.5%

    Rotherham turnout up from 16%.
  • TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    I blame TSE!
    What?

    I didn't vote Labour

    I'm so happy that Sheffield has rejected UKIP.

    But you're stuck with Labour...
    I know. But I have Nick Clegg as my MP.

    So that's a bonus.
    If that's bonus, I'd hate to see your idea of a curse!
    Living in Essex.
    Essex, home to Depeche Mode?

    :)
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    AndyJS said:

    I expect the Lib Dems in Hallam voted Lab to stop the extreme and racist UKIP.

    An omen for tactical anti UKIP voting next year?

    In 2012 Lab took 51% and LDs 10.6% in Sheffield. This time Lab took 56% without a LD candidate.
    So Lab's share of the vote went up despite losing the WWC vote?

    They'd take that next year.
    As expected most LDs in Sheffield voted Labour to stop UKIP, as you said earlier.
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331
    Looks like a clear Labour win. Alan Billings was a very good candidate and I think Ed should be grateful to him.
  • TGOHF said:

    Confirmed South Yorkshire PCC turnouts:
    Barnsley: 11.9%
    Doncaster: 15.2%
    Rotherham: 18.0%
    Sheffield: 14.5%

    Rotherham turnout up from 16%.

    16% to 18% - is that really a huge difference??
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    edited October 2014


    I didn't vote Labour

    I'm so happy that Sheffield has rejected UKIP.

    I told you all this is the finest city in the Universe.

    My daughter is at Uni there. I wonder if she got a vote? In any case this should help keep EdM in a job for a while longer and soon there will not be enough time left to replace him unless he resigns and a coronation occurs.

    I do wonder what the effect of a leader change this close to GE2015 would have been?

    ---

    Edit: I almost forgot to add the obligatory "Ed is cr*p". Sorry about that.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Ha! If only I'd known you when I blew £500 on a three-legged horse as recommended by @Peter_the_Punter‌ - golly seeing it romp home last a lot was so worthwhile.

    That it was sycophantically called Mr Smithson just added to the fun.

    Your racing tips seem to be rather good. I know nothing about horses since about 1980.
    Blue_rog said:

    Plato said:

    LOL - you remember that? I'd love to use it in commonplace ways but the joke is ancient now, and who would still get it?

    dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1170783/Did-know-glass-wine-equals-fishfingers-Government-target-middle-class-drinkers-calorie-counting-campaign.html

    A most hilarious news item for those wondering WTF we're talking about

    Blue_rog said:

    Plato said:

    Oh dear. I'm female. I know I sound like a bloke - even my husband said I was a man in woman's body.

    I'm actually a misanthrope - I don't like people much. It's the exceptions that prove this rule.

    Plato said:

    Would it be okay if these jobs were down mines instead? In Durham? Or Merthyr?

    Low paid jobs are unskilled ones because we have people either too stupid or too lazy to get higher paying ones. It was always thus.

    I’m replying to a couple of eaerlier comments; sadly to reply direcdtly takes the post over the word limit.
    Mr Felix’ comment about “millions of new jobs” doesn’t take into account that that headline figure obscures the fact that too many of these jobs are low-wage or zero-hours contracts, or, worse, both. It is to be hoped that the Government will do something about ZHC’s but time is running out before the election.

    Mr Financier, that raises an interesting question for our Kipper friends. How are they going to square that circle? Clearly the current policy of insisting that claimants have a good reason for turning down jobs isn’t working, in your locality at least. Why not?

    Plato seems to me to be somewhat misanthropic. Last night he declared he liked to blow raspberries in the face of people who don't share his misanthropic humour. Today he says the poor are thick. I can only presume he is rich and employed in a wonderfully well paid job, and deserves every penny. What job do you have Plato?
    I'm sure you're really gregarious after a few fish fingers :-)
    I remember everything you say Plato :sigh:
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    I expect the Lib Dems in Hallam voted Lab to stop the extreme and racist UKIP.

    An omen for tactical anti UKIP voting next year?

    In 2012 Lab took 51% and LDs 10.6% in Sheffield. This time Lab took 56% without a LD candidate.
    So Lab's share of the vote went up despite losing the WWC vote?

    They'd take that next year.
    As expected most LDs in Sheffield voted Labour to stop UKIP, as you said earlier.
    Most LDs in Sheffield like most LDs elsewhere and most voters of most parties stayed at home and did not vote at all .
  • Pulpstar said:

    isam said:

    @isam can you tell me in what ways our drug policies are working better than Portugal's?

    http://www.tdpf.org.uk/blog/drug-decriminalisation-portugal-setting-record-straight

    I cant see in what ways they are any different

    "Background

    Portugal decriminalised the personal possession of all drugs in 2001. This means that, while it is no longer a criminal offence to possess drugs for personal use, it is still an administrative violation, punishable by penalties such as fines or community service. The specific penalty to be applied is decided by ‘Commissions for the Dissuasion of Drug Addiction’, which are regional panels made up of legal, health and social work professionals. In reality, the vast majority of those referred to the commissions by the police have their cases ‘suspended’, effectively meaning they receive no penalty.1 People who are dependent on drugs are encouraged to seek treatment, but are rarely sanctioned if they choose not to – the commissions’ aim is for people to enter treatment voluntarily; they do not attempt to force them to do so"
    I have a criminal record for possession of cannabis; in Portugal I wouldn't. That's a big difference to me.
    Didn't think the police bothered to prosecute that ! Only thought they'd bother if you have lots of cash and lots of dope together.
    I had no cash and one small joint i'd forgotten about in my jacket pocket. I went to the police station to report that I'd been pickpocketed. They insisted I'd lost my wallet, so they wouldn't have to record it, I argued with them which they didn't like, and they arrested me and found the joint.

    Very pleased with themselves too; they got a solved crime rather than an unsolved one.
    Taking into account that it was only a small joint, of the kind almost anybody might be carrying around, they should clearly have let you off.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,240

    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    I blame TSE!
    What?

    I didn't vote Labour

    I'm so happy that Sheffield has rejected UKIP.

    But you're stuck with Labour...
    Yep. Vote Tory get Labour. That is the new reality now.
    Several PB Tories have made clear that they prefer Labour a Labour win to a UKIP win, although I doubt if that's true of Conservative voters as a whole.

  • Looks like a clear Labour win. Alan Billings was a very good candidate and I think Ed should be grateful to him.

    UKIP also overplayed their hand.

    Take a look at their MEP and Rotherham candidate Twitter feed from last night.

    They managed to alienate the people they needed with their nasty campaign.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Paul Waugh retweeted
    LabourList ‏@LabourList 9m9 minutes ago
    80% of the votes in the #pccbyelection were postal votes http://labli.st/1paHkxy
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    LabourList ‏@LabourList 9m9 minutes ago
    80% of the votes in the #pccbyelection were postal votes http://labli.st/1paHkxy
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @LabourList: 80% of the votes in the #pccbyelection were postal votes http://t.co/bh6GXmkfpS

    So Labour's postal vote 'operation' is as efficient as ever...
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    South Yorkshire is one of the biggest Labour strongholds in the country. They've won all but one of the seats in every general election since 1964, Hallam which was Con until 1997 and LD since.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,162

    Looks promising with the huge Sheffield win and any win in Doncaster. I still think UKIP will flatter to deceive in the north next May - loads of second places, possibly no seats.

    Looks like Ed 's pretty safe now - clear run to a big win next May:)
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331

    Looks like a clear Labour win. Alan Billings was a very good candidate and I think Ed should be grateful to him.

    UKIP also overplayed their hand.

    Take a look at their MEP and Rotherham candidate Twitter feed from last night.

    They managed to alienate the people they needed with their nasty campaign.
    Yes, that's right. I just think Billings came across as much more reasonable.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,380
    edited October 2014

    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    I blame TSE!
    What?

    I didn't vote Labour

    I'm so happy that Sheffield has rejected UKIP.

    But you're stuck with Labour...
    I know. But I have Nick Clegg as my MP.

    So that's a bonus.
    If that's bonus, I'd hate to see your idea of a curse!
    Living in Essex.
    Essex, home to Depeche Mode?

    :)
    Depends where one is in Essex. I lived and worked in SE Essex much of my life, but now I'm in the N of the county and it's totally different.
    Even the accents.

    Oh yes, and I'm happy and indeed proud to say I'm from Essex.
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256


    I know. But I have Nick Clegg as my MP.

    So that's a bonus.

    I thought you were somewhere off Deansgate.... Oh well. Either you moved or I was out of touch with reality more than I thought

    :-O
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    chestnut said:

    LabourList ‏@LabourList 9m9 minutes ago
    80% of the votes in the #pccbyelection were postal votes http://labli.st/1paHkxy

    Community leaders making sure their team was in charge of what happens next ?

  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067

    I expect the Lib Dems in Hallam voted Lab to stop the extreme and racist UKIP.

    An omen for tactical anti UKIP voting next year?

    Very likely to happen TSE
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    Scott_P said:

    @LabourList: 80% of the votes in the #pccbyelection were postal votes http://t.co/bh6GXmkfpS

    So Labour's postal vote 'operation' is as efficient as ever...

    UKIP's and Con's can't have been too bad either.
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    Scott_P said:

    @LabourList: 80% of the votes in the #pccbyelection were postal votes http://t.co/bh6GXmkfpS

    So Labour's postal vote 'operation' is as efficient as ever...

    I thought that voting was all part of the scandal? I cannot believe that the Tories missed such an obvious easy win as banning postal voting except for medical reasons?
  • RobCRobC Posts: 398

    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    I blame TSE!
    What?

    I didn't vote Labour

    I'm so happy that Sheffield has rejected UKIP.

    But you're stuck with Labour...
    I know. But I have Nick Clegg as my MP.

    So that's a bonus.
    If that's bonus, I'd hate to see your idea of a curse!
    Living in Essex.
    Essex, home to Depeche Mode?

    :)
    Not sure they were fans of Thatcher though " The grabbing hands grab all they can"
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Sock puppetry feels like very hard work. Trying to pretend to be someone else for interweb points?

    That's so sad. Like lying about farming.

    Plato said:

    I remain eternally perplexed that anyone other than a very recent newbie cannot know my gender. As if it mattered much.

    philiph said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Plato said:

    Would it be okay if these jobs were down mines instead? In Durham? Or Merthyr?

    Low paid jobs are unskilled ones because we have people either too stupid or too lazy to get higher paying ones. It was always thus.

    I’m replying to a couple of eaerlier comments; sadly to reply direcdtly takes the post over the word limit.
    Mr Felix’ comment about “millions of new jobs” doesn’t take into account that that headline figure obscures the fact that too many of these jobs are low-wage or zero-hours contracts, or, worse, both. It is to be hoped that the Government will do something about ZHC’s but time is running out before the election.

    Mr Financier, that raises an interesting question for our Kipper friends. How are they going to square that circle? Clearly the current policy of insisting that claimants have a good reason for turning down jobs isn’t working, in your locality at least. Why not?

    Plato seems to me to be somewhat misanthropic. Last night he declared he liked to blow raspberries in the face of people who don't share his misanthropic humour. Today he says the poor are thick. I can only presume he is rich and employed in a wonderfully well paid job, and deserves every penny. What job do you have Plato?
    *she
    Yesterdays comment on something like the temptations of Lesbianism may have been a small clue
    Would someone pretending not to know, in order to perpetuate a lie that they don't have other identities on here, perplex you for quite so long?
  • Looks like a clear Labour win. Alan Billings was a very good candidate and I think Ed should be grateful to him.

    UKIP also overplayed their hand.

    Take a look at their MEP and Rotherham candidate Twitter feed from last night.

    They managed to alienate the people they needed with their nasty campaign.
    Yes, that's right. I just think Billings came across as much more reasonable.
    The whole tone was if you don't vote UKIP you're a paedo enabler.

    As one of the parents of abused child said the other day. People forget that Rotherham hasn't exploded in race riots following recent events because people know it was a small minority.

    Some in UKIP would have you believe all Pakis are paedos.
  • TGOHF said:

    Britain Elects @britainelects · 33s 33 seconds ago
    Current vote share w/ Rotherham and Barnsley left to declare (South Yorks PCC):
    LAB - 52.7%
    UKIP - 28.5%
    CON - 13.0%
    EDEM - 5.7%

    All over..

    You're kidding me...they've voted Labour in again?!

    What do Labour have to do to not get voted in up there exactly?

    Labour nailed on to win in 2015 after this, no doubt about it.
  • TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @hallamfmnews: Labour's Alan Billings got 32867 votes in #Sheffield second is UKIP's Jack Clarkson with 14666 #sypcc

    Lab win nailed on now.

    I blame TSE!
    What?

    I didn't vote Labour

    I'm so happy that Sheffield has rejected UKIP.

    But you're stuck with Labour...
    I know. But I have Nick Clegg as my MP.

    So that's a bonus.
    If that's bonus, I'd hate to see your idea of a curse!
    Living in Essex.
    Essex, home to Depeche Mode?

    :)
    Depends where one is in Essex. I lived and worked in SE Essex much of my life, but now I'm in the N of the county and it's totally different.
    Even the accents.

    Oh yes, and I'm happy and indeed proud to say I'm from Essex.
    I was born in India, but moved to Colchester when I was a few months old, lived there for a couple of years before moving to Ilford, where I've been (on an off) for over 35 years...
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    Looks promising with the huge Sheffield win and any win in Doncaster. I still think UKIP will flatter to deceive in the north next May - loads of second places, possibly no seats.

    Isnt a resounding Sheffield win for Labour in part due to no Lib Dem candidate?
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited October 2014
    I wouldn't necessarily describe it going to second preferences as a "clear win".

    Looks like a clear Labour win. Alan Billings was a very good candidate and I think Ed should be grateful to him.

  • TGOHF said:

    chestnut said:

    LabourList ‏@LabourList 9m9 minutes ago
    80% of the votes in the #pccbyelection were postal votes http://labli.st/1paHkxy

    Community leaders making sure their team was in charge of what happens next ?

    But a comment like that would be racist!
  • Looks like a clear Labour win. Alan Billings was a very good candidate and I think Ed should be grateful to him.

    UKIP also overplayed their hand.

    Take a look at their MEP and Rotherham candidate Twitter feed from last night.

    They managed to alienate the people they needed with their nasty campaign.
    Yes, that's right. I just think Billings came across as much more reasonable.
    The whole tone was if you don't vote UKIP you're a paedo enabler.

    As one of the parents of abused child said the other day. People forget that Rotherham hasn't exploded in race riots following recent events because people know it was a small minority.

    Some in UKIP would have you believe all Pakis are paedos.
    "Some in UKIP would have you believe all Pakis are paedos."

    Who exactly? Time to name names.

  • I know. But I have Nick Clegg as my MP.

    So that's a bonus.

    I thought you were somewhere off Deansgate.... Oh well. Either you moved or I was out of touch with reality more than I thought

    :-O
    I work off Deansgate and have a flat nearby.

    But I reside mostly in Sheffield.
  • Stephen Fisher shows the Tories slightly increasing their lead over Labour in his latest GE Seats projection based on average polling figures of Con 32%, Lab 33%, LibDem 7%, Others 28%. Last week's comparisons are shown in brackets:

    Con ............. 302 (+4 seats)
    Lab .............. 291 (-4 seats)
    LibDems ........ 26 (-2 sears)
    Others ........... 31 (+2 seats)

    Total ........... 650 seats

    With N.I. allocated 18 of the 31 "Other" parties' seats, Prof. Fisher doesn't at this stage appear to be expecting any sort of surge by either UKIP or the SNP.
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331
    AndyJS said:

    I wouldn't necessarily describe it going to second preferences as a "clear win".

    Looks like a clear Labour win. Alan Billings was a very good candidate and I think Ed should be grateful to him.

    Do we know that yet? Depends on the Rotherham vote?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited October 2014

    Looks like a clear Labour win. Alan Billings was a very good candidate and I think Ed should be grateful to him.

    UKIP also overplayed their hand.

    Take a look at their MEP and Rotherham candidate Twitter feed from last night.

    They managed to alienate the people they needed with their nasty campaign.
    Rotherham was the biggest turnout, and hasn't declared yet so, although you may be right, you are jumping the gun I think until we see the Rotherham reults
  • Don't forget. The UKIP candidate was an ex South Yorks copper, guilt by association.
  • AndyJS said:

    South Yorkshire is one of the biggest Labour strongholds in the country. They've won all but one of the seats in every general election since 1964, Hallam which was Con until 1997 and LD since.

    Hence the epithet "People's Republic of South Yorkshire"!

    http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=People's_Republic_of_South_Yorkshire
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    edited October 2014

    Looks like a clear Labour win. Alan Billings was a very good candidate and I think Ed should be grateful to him.

    UKIP also overplayed their hand.

    Take a look at their MEP and Rotherham candidate Twitter feed from last night.

    They managed to alienate the people they needed with their nasty campaign.
    I don't have any soap and water immediately to hand to wash my brain out, so I'll forgo the dubious pleasure of reading UKIP twitter feeds.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,699

    TGOHF said:

    Confirmed South Yorkshire PCC turnouts:
    Barnsley: 11.9%
    Doncaster: 15.2%
    Rotherham: 18.0%
    Sheffield: 14.5%

    Rotherham turnout up from 16%.

    16% to 18% - is that really a huge difference??
    No. It's about 2500 votes.
  • JonathanDJonathanD Posts: 2,400
    edited October 2014
    Barnsley result (South Yorks. PCC):
    LAB - 50.7%
    UKIP - 30.8%
    CON - 12.5%
    EDEM - 6.0%

    Barnsley vote result (South Yorks. PCC):
    LAB - 10877
    UKIP - 6609
    CON - 2672
    EDEM - 1288
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    edited October 2014

    Scott_P said:

    @LabourList: 80% of the votes in the #pccbyelection were postal votes http://t.co/bh6GXmkfpS

    So Labour's postal vote 'operation' is as efficient as ever...

    I thought that voting was all part of the scandal? I cannot believe that the Tories missed such an obvious easy win as banning postal voting except for medical reasons?
    Do you have any numbers to show that would be helpful to the Tories rather than harmful?
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Even if they lose, I imagine UKIP will be pleased to have polled 25% of first preferences in the fifth biggest city in England.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 28s29 seconds ago
    Barnsley vote result (South Yorks. PCC):
    LAB - 10877
    UKIP - 6609
    CON - 2672
    EDEM - 1288

    Lab just over 50%.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Barnsley

    LAB - 50.7%
    UKIP - 30.8%
    CON - 12.5%
    EDEM - 6.0%
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 50s51 seconds ago
    Barnsley result (South Yorks. PCC):
    LAB - 50.7%
    UKIP - 30.8%
    CON - 12.5%
    EDEM - 6.0%
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,908
    Is this another victory for the purples?
    QTWTAIN
  • Don't forget. The UKIP candidate was an ex South Yorks copper, guilt by association.

    And you are British-Pakistani - guilt by association?

    (only kidding!)
  • Looks like a clear Labour win. Alan Billings was a very good candidate and I think Ed should be grateful to him.

    UKIP also overplayed their hand.

    Take a look at their MEP and Rotherham candidate Twitter feed from last night.

    They managed to alienate the people they needed with their nasty campaign.
    Yes, that's right. I just think Billings came across as much more reasonable.
    The whole tone was if you don't vote UKIP you're a paedo enabler.

    As one of the parents of abused child said the other day. People forget that Rotherham hasn't exploded in race riots following recent events because people know it was a small minority.

    Some in UKIP would have you believe all Pakis are paedos.
    "Some in UKIP would have you believe all Pakis are paedos."

    Who exactly? Time to name names.
    Check out some Twitter feeds or the comment sections under the telegraph or the mail.

  • isam said:

    Looks like a clear Labour win. Alan Billings was a very good candidate and I think Ed should be grateful to him.

    UKIP also overplayed their hand.

    Take a look at their MEP and Rotherham candidate Twitter feed from last night.

    They managed to alienate the people they needed with their nasty campaign.
    Rotherham was the biggest turnout, and hasn't declared yet so, although you may be right, you are jumping the gun I think until we see the Rotherham reults
    I was talking about South Yorks as a whole.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    antifrank said:
    Polling the by-election. I [genuinely] wonder why Unite have withheld that.
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012

    TGOHF said:

    Confirmed South Yorkshire PCC turnouts:
    Barnsley: 11.9%
    Doncaster: 15.2%
    Rotherham: 18.0%
    Sheffield: 14.5%

    Rotherham turnout up from 16%.

    16% to 18% - is that really a huge difference??
    Well, its an increase of 2 over 16 which is 12.5%.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    How will this be reported on the early evening Daily Farage?
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    AndyJS said:

    Even if they lose, I imagine UKIP will be pleased to have polled 25% of first preferences in the fifth biggest city in England.

    25% on a turnout of under 15% is less than 5% of the electorate .
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    AndyJS said:

    I wouldn't necessarily describe it going to second preferences as a "clear win".

    Looks like a clear Labour win. Alan Billings was a very good candidate and I think Ed should be grateful to him.

    Do we know that yet? Depends on the Rotherham vote?
    I'm assuming Labour do relatively badly in Rotherham.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 19s20 seconds ago
    Current vote share w/ Rotherham left to declare (South Yorks PCC):
    LAB - 52.3%
    UKIP - 28.9%
    CON - 12.9%
    EDEM - 5.8%
  • NinoinozNinoinoz Posts: 1,312

    Don't forget. The UKIP candidate was an ex South Yorks copper, guilt by association.

    Guilt by association? Sure you want to go there, Mr. Eagles?
  • Don't forget. The UKIP candidate was an ex South Yorks copper, guilt by association.

    More guilty by association than Labour?

    I'm struggling to comprehend this result.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,699
    AndyJS said:

    South Yorkshire is one of the biggest Labour strongholds in the country. They've won all but one of the seats in every general election since 1964, Hallam which was Con until 1997 and LD since.

    I did some research in advance of my piece this evening on the off-chance that UKIP won.

    As far as I'm aware (and I stand to be corrected on this), Labour has won every county-wide election in S Yorks since and including 1935. the series may go back further still depending on how you count the votes in 1931, and which constituencies you include (as the county only came into being in the 1970s).

    If you include the Liberals as a left-of-centre party, it's quite possible that the last time any right-of-centre party won there was 1874:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_West_Riding_of_Yorkshire_(UK_Parliament_constituency)
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Totals without Rotherham:

    Lab 59,054 (52.3%)
    UKIP 32,675 (28.9%)
    C 14,600 (12.9%)
    ED 6,539 (5.8%)
  • antifrank said:
    Polling the by-election. I [genuinely] wonder why Unite have withheld that.
    I should get a reply shortly on that
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    edited October 2014
    AndyJS said:

    Even if they lose, I imagine UKIP will be pleased to have polled 25% of first preferences in the fifth biggest city in England.

    The absolute number of votes that UKIP tallied across the whole of Sheffield would not have been sufficient for them to win any of the individual seats in Sheffield in 2010.
  • Ninoinoz said:

    Don't forget. The UKIP candidate was an ex South Yorks copper, guilt by association.

    Guilt by association? Sure you want to go there, Mr. Eagles?
    You go there if you want to.
  • AndyJS said:

    Totals without Rotherham:

    Lab 59,054 (52.3%)
    UKIP 32,675 (28.9%)
    C 14,600 (12.9%)
    ED 6,539 (5.8%)

    So it all depends on how much labour are defeated by in Rotherham and how many of the ED and C voters put 2 against UKIP.
  • Don't forget. The UKIP candidate was an ex South Yorks copper, guilt by association.

    More guilty by association than Labour?

    I'm struggling to comprehend this result.
    South Yorkshire police have been hated for decades.

    From Orgreave which still antagonises people.

    Also Hillsborough doesn't put them in a good light.
  • PAWPAW Posts: 1,074
    I have to admit to feeling contempt for the Yorkshire voters.
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331

    AndyJS said:

    South Yorkshire is one of the biggest Labour strongholds in the country. They've won all but one of the seats in every general election since 1964, Hallam which was Con until 1997 and LD since.

    I did some research in advance of my piece this evening on the off-chance that UKIP won.

    As far as I'm aware (and I stand to be corrected on this), Labour has won every county-wide election in S Yorks since and including 1935. the series may go back further still depending on how you count the votes in 1931, and which constituencies you include (as the county only came into being in the 1970s).

    If you include the Liberals as a left-of-centre party, it's quite possible that the last time any right-of-centre party won there was 1874:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_West_Riding_of_Yorkshire_(UK_Parliament_constituency)
    Though just from memory, Sheffield council has fallen to the LDs on a couple of occasions in the recent past.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039

    antifrank said:
    Polling the by-election. I [genuinely] wonder why Unite have withheld that.
    I should get a reply shortly on that
    More generally, the approach to the NHS/trade-agreement polling from Q6 - Q8 does both UNITE & Survation little credit.
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331

    Don't forget. The UKIP candidate was an ex South Yorks copper, guilt by association.

    More guilty by association than Labour?

    I'm struggling to comprehend this result.
    South Yorkshire police have been hated for decades.

    From Orgreave which still antagonises people.

    Also Hillsborough doesn't put them in a good light.
    And the latest was the reported prioritising of car crime over child rape.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Paul Waugh ‏@paulwaugh 1m1 minute ago
    Excellent number crunch RT @220_d_92_20: UKIP need to lead Labour by 5,240 votes in Rotherham or else @AlanBillingsPCC wins on first count
This discussion has been closed.