Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The early turnout figures shows it will be a record breakin

2456

Comments

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    I think Dundee might be the only Yes council.
  • MaxPB said:

    Dave is in trouble. A big win like this would mean his Vow was completely unnecessary.

    Or it helped secure the Union for generations to come...


  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,031

    RobD said:

    Alistair Darling for the Order of Merit?

    That's like claiming Neville Chamberlain won WWII. Darling very nearly screwed it up and it was the intervention by the three party leaders and Gordon Brown that swung it back.
    True.. getting too excited :')
  • mjt said:

    Dozens of threads; thousands of posts of build up and Yes have capitulated in a way that would make the French army blush.

    Looks definitely like Falkirk, 1296 now...
  • The Nats are taking it well

    Andy B Houghton ‏@AndyxCfc1888 1m

    @thomasknox @WingsScotland who the fuck are you @thomasknox fucking bellend go and suckle on the queens saggy tit ya prick
  • That's it in the bag - Clackmannanshire should have been one of Yes' strongest areas.
  • MaxPB said:

    Dave is in trouble. A big win like this would mean his Vow was completely unnecessary.

    LOL!
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    MaxPB said:

    Dave is in trouble. A big win like this would mean his Vow was completely unnecessary.

    MaxPB said:

    Dave is in trouble. A big win like this would mean his Vow was completely unnecessary.

    The PB Hodges are out in force. Is there any result at all that is not a disaster for Cameron!?!!
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @SkyAnushka: Sources for No say they believe they will win in 'Salmond's backyard' of Aberdeenshire.

    That would explain why Eck is not appearing at the count
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,723
    MaxPB said:

    Dave is in trouble. A big win like this would mean his Vow was completely unnecessary.

    The vow is meaningless.

    We've already got Boulton / Islam saying they might change the numbers they put into the Barnett formula.

    Totally comical.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    @South Observer is an absolute oracle !
  • Whatever happened to North Lanarkshire...? I thought that was supposed to declare 45 minutes ago...
  • Anushka Asthana ‏@SkyAnushka 1m

    Sources for No say they believe they will win in 'Salmond's backyard' of Aberdeenshire.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,937
    Salmond was right about one thing - Scotland will still be using the pound.....
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983

    MaxPB said:

    Dave is in trouble. A big win like this would mean his Vow was completely unnecessary.

    LOL!
    It's a keeper.

  • AndyJS said:

    Yes stalwart Stewart Hosie looked furious when on Sky News just now, although he stupidly claimed Yes were still heading for victory.

    One of my favourite things about nights like this is seeing people talking absolute nonsense.

    Although claiming you're going to win when you go on to lose is better than conceding defeat then going on to win.
  • The Nats are taking it well

    Andy B Houghton ‏@AndyxCfc1888 1m

    @thomasknox @WingsScotland who the fuck are you @thomasknox fucking bellend go and suckle on the queens saggy tit ya prick

    Are you sure that's not Sean talking to himself?
  • Who is this woman on the BBC....?
  • Scott_P said:

    @SkyAnushka: Sources for No say they believe they will win in 'Salmond's backyard' of Aberdeenshire.

    That would explain why Eck is not appearing at the count

    That will sting if true.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    LOL

    Salmond was right about one thing - Scotland will still be using the pound.....

  • Yes getting less than 45% is now favourite on Betfair. Ouch.
  • The Nats are taking it well

    Andy B Houghton ‏@AndyxCfc1888 1m

    @thomasknox @WingsScotland who the fuck are you @thomasknox fucking bellend go and suckle on the queens saggy tit ya prick

    Are you sure that's not Sean talking to himself?
    This is what SeanT originally posted

    sean thomas knox ‏@thomasknox 9m

    @WingsScotland YEAH, you could say that, YOU FUCKING SCOTTISH LOSERS. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
    HAHAHAHAHHAHA
    HAH
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Who is this woman on the BBC....?

    Lesley Riddoch, journalist
  • Who is this woman on the BBC....?

    You mean the Labour lass? Margaret Curran
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983

    AndyJS said:

    Yes stalwart Stewart Hosie looked furious when on Sky News just now, although he stupidly claimed Yes were still heading for victory.

    One of my favourite things about nights like this is seeing people talking absolute nonsense.

    Although claiming you're going to win when you go on to lose is better than conceding defeat then going on to win.
    I dont know, Bob Marshall-Andrews carried it off with a certain elan.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,878
    Itv No 53 Yes 47 from both camps in W Lothian, Aberdeenshire No by up to 60%
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406

    MaxPB said:

    Dave is in trouble. A big win like this would mean his Vow was completely unnecessary.

    LOL!
    This result is great news for both Ed & Dave.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Nationalists concede West Lothian.

    Clackmannanshire and WL were both significantly above the average in the 1997 Scottish referendum.
  • hucks67hucks67 Posts: 758
    If the YES campaign loses, will Salmond resign as first minister ? Might he decide that someone else may be better to negotiate more devolution to Scotland.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @paulhutcheon: Reports Aberdeenshire will go No by as much as 60% #indyref
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    A few words from Robert the Bruce:

    "“For as long as but a hundred of us remain alive, never will we on any conditions be brought under English rule. It is in truth not for glory, nor riches, nor honours that we are fighting, but for freedom, for that alone, which no honest man gives up but with life itself.”"
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,031
    Just ordered some fish and chips from room service to celebrate the continued existence of the UK.
  • Is the Clackmannanshire result a tipping point?
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983

    The Nats are taking it well

    Andy B Houghton ‏@AndyxCfc1888 1m

    @thomasknox @WingsScotland who the fuck are you @thomasknox fucking bellend go and suckle on the queens saggy tit ya prick

    Are you sure that's not Sean talking to himself?
    This is what SeanT originally posted

    sean thomas knox ‏@thomasknox 9m

    @WingsScotland YEAH, you could say that, YOU FUCKING SCOTTISH LOSERS. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
    HAHAHAHAHHAHA
    HAH
    What a difference 10 days makes.

  • MikeL said:

    MaxPB said:

    Dave is in trouble. A big win like this would mean his Vow was completely unnecessary.

    The vow is meaningless.

    We've already got Boulton / Islam saying they might change the numbers they put into the Barnett formula.

    Totally comical.
    They could simply argue that one should take the asymptotic limit of the Barnett formula.
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    GBPUSD touched 1.6470 just.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,919
    edited September 2014
    Scott_P said:

    Who is this woman on the BBC....?

    Lesley Riddoch, journalist
    That one Sunil... ;)

    Thanks. Found that whole holistic movement shtick a bit summer-of-love
  • Scott_P said:

    @SkyAnushka: Sources for No say they believe they will win in 'Salmond's backyard' of Aberdeenshire.

    That would explain why Eck is not appearing at the count

    R5L claim it's to do with fog and he'll turn up at the national result later.
  • Guys! Guys!

    Remember what I said - vote NO, get Ed!

    :)
  • Neil said:

    The Nats are taking it well

    Andy B Houghton ‏@AndyxCfc1888 1m

    @thomasknox @WingsScotland who the fuck are you @thomasknox fucking bellend go and suckle on the queens saggy tit ya prick

    Are you sure that's not Sean talking to himself?
    This is what SeanT originally posted

    sean thomas knox ‏@thomasknox 9m

    @WingsScotland YEAH, you could say that, YOU FUCKING SCOTTISH LOSERS. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
    HAHAHAHAHHAHA
    HAH
    What a difference 10 days makes.

    I know, the most embarrassing thing is, I lost an indyref bet to SeanT in those ten days.
  • Salmond was right about one thing - Scotland will still be using the pound.....

    LOL
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    Bollocks!! But someone had to go ahead and bite!
    It has been incredible to see the way that the SNP have over taken Labour on the ground in Dundee. A City which was once a classic Scottish Labour heartland, but like so many had been left neglected and taken for granted by the Scottish Labour party. There is no doubt that the SNP have been desperately trying to replicate that success in Glasgow now for nearly a decade.

    But the biggest lesson for the Labour party is not just the way they took their grassroots Labour support for granted in this Independence Referendum campaign until almost the end of the campaign. No, their mistakes go back far further than that, and they are the key to the fact that we are even having this divisive debate at all. For too long the Labour party has sat on its arse in Scotland having delivered Devolution, and with it what they thought would be a Labour fiefdom that would defy any political change in Government at Westminster and continue to be a thorn in the side of any future Conservative Westminster Government.

    Only one problem, the Scottish Labour continued to send all its best talent to Westminster after they hit Holyrood. The SNP on the other hand, sent all their biggest talent straight back up to Scotland and that Holyrood Parliament. And the rest is history, an SNP minority Government in 2007, and then that stunning SNP majority in at the 2011 Holyrood elections which caused an earthquake in the Scottish Labour party and set the events in motion which have led to this corrosive and divisive Independence Referendum in Scotland and the rest of the UK.

    Anyone trying to pin the blame on Cameron within his own party or elsewhere for the fact that it all got a bit Corporeal Jones at the end when the Labour party panicked is being disingenuous. And its interesting that some of the usual suspects that were screaming Cameron had to go if he lost Scotland are the same people now screaming he has to go because he did what he had to make sure that Scotland stayed.

    And any Labour supporter on here now trying to claim victory for the Labour party because they finally woke up and got their act together, lets just remember that the Tory vote for a NO was there and solid, as was that of the remaining Libdems. It was the Labour vote up here that only ever in doubt of risking the Union because of the early lack of visibility in the campaign at all. Well done to Jim Murphy and Douglas Alexander for sorting that out and getting their campaign off the ground. And well done to Gordon Brown for that rousing final speech that 'helped' an already committed Coalition team in Better Together in the final lap.
    MaxPB said:

    Dave is in trouble. A big win like this would mean his Vow was completely unnecessary.

  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,031

    Guys! Guys!

    Remember what I said - vote NO, get Ed!

    :)

    Tonight, who cares.... seriously?! :D
  • Scott_P said:

    @SkyAnushka: Sources for No say they believe they will win in 'Salmond's backyard' of Aberdeenshire.

    That would explain why Eck is not appearing at the count

    R5L claim it's to do with fog and he'll turn up at the national result later.
    It was the fog wot lost it
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Back counting in Dundee after the fire alarm.
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    And a great result for Gordon.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,624
    I've just laid off some of my sub 40% bets... Profit taking helps me sleep ☺
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,937

    Is the Clackmannanshire result a tipping point?

    More a topping point for Yessers....
  • hucks67hucks67 Posts: 758
    SeanT said:

    The Nats are taking it well

    Andy B Houghton ‏@AndyxCfc1888 1m

    @thomasknox @WingsScotland who the fuck are you @thomasknox fucking bellend go and suckle on the queens saggy tit ya prick

    It appears, indeed, that I have annoyed the odd cybernat with some very modest, sober gloating,
    Some Scottish folk are very mild mannered.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    The Nats are taking it well

    @rhys199: People of Clackmanashire should be ashamed of themselves, turning down the opportunity for independence you're shitebags not scots #indyref
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,031
    Cameron should come out of Number 10, and say "Just rejoice at that news, just rejoice!"... heh.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,387
    MaxPB said:

    Dave is in trouble. A big win like this would mean his Vow was completely unnecessary.

    Overeffort, overachieving: slightly embarrassing
    Undereffort, underachieving: utterly lethal

    If promising the Scots the kitchen sink will keep them in the union, then I will cheerfully wrap up the kitchen sink in a big pink bow and attach the finest Swiss chocolates. We could have been looking at the destruction of the union, the loss of the UK nuclear deterrent, a crash on the pound, and the ridicule of the civilised world. Instead we got a referendum that was seamlessly democratic, a convincing (cross fingers) reaffirmation of the union, and the ability to cast utter, utter scorn on Putin when next we meet - "this is how you do democracy in the civilized world, bitch." And we didn't have to shoot down one airliner to do it.

  • SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @SeanT
    Sober?
  • SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    AndyJS said:

    I think Dundee might be the only Yes council.

    I would still guess that Angus and the Western Isles are likely to go Yes not that it going to matter too much in the overall picture
  • "Council leader Rhondda Geekie quietly confident of No vote"

    now we should only discover which council Rhondda leads...oh, it's East Dunbartonshire
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    Scott_P said:

    The Nats are taking it well

    @rhys199: People of Clackmanashire should be ashamed of themselves, turning down the opportunity for independence you're shitebags not scots #indyref

    Young Rhys is going to have to add a lot of council areas to his list of traitors. And ultimately the Scottish people as a whole.

  • Good point by Marr just now. What may have just been MOE noise in the infamous 51-49 YouGov poll really hurt the Yes campaign
  • saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    Looks like my 60 - 40 prediction for no might e d up being on the low side, you might even say conservative.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @jameschappers: Scottish Conservative leader @RuthDavidsonMSP on the lead for No: 'It could be double digits.' #indyref
  • RobD said:

    Cameron should come out of Number 10, and say "Just rejoice at that news, just rejoice!"... heh.

    Dave is no Maggie T :)
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    Which are the final polls for the purposes of the Survation/Yougov match bets btw ?>
  • hunchman said:

    GBPUSD touched 1.6470 just.

    i.e. More than 2c up on 24hrs ago.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Saltire said:

    AndyJS said:

    I think Dundee might be the only Yes council.

    I would still guess that Angus and the Western Isles are likely to go Yes not that it going to matter too much in the overall picture
    I hope so, I had a tenner on the Western Isles as the highest Yes area.

    Glad I had a nap earlier.

  • hucks67hucks67 Posts: 758
    Will Cameron be inviting Brown around for a tipple or two to celebrate ?

    I think Brown did not get involved until later, because Cameron did not want him to. They hate each other.
  • SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    hucks67 said:

    If the YES campaign loses, will Salmond resign as first minister ? Might he decide that someone else may be better to negotiate more devolution to Scotland.

    He has already stepped down once before. I think he is likely to stay on until the GE in 2015 but may well step down before the next Scottish one.
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067

    Guys! Guys!

    Remember what I said - vote NO, get Ed!

    :)

    And a good thing too. Get rid of this wretched divisive Tory led government.
  • Does my fellow spurs victim, southam now have a worse record than Eddie izzard???
  • The Clackmannanshire result is a great result for Yes.

    Only an out of touch, Tory BritNat, fop would think it is a bad result for Yes.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Sky: woman removed by Police for videoing the count in Glasgow...
  • Salmond is Scargill and Galtieri rolled into one. Tory landslide.
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    GBPUSD 1.6490.

    West Lothian 47% yes - not good enough for Yes.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Scott_P said:

    @jameschappers: Scottish Conservative leader @RuthDavidsonMSP on the lead for No: 'It could be double digits.' #indyref

    Ruth Davidson comes out of this looking good.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @RobDotHutton: The YES camp listened to the Clackmannanshire result in silence. Some had their heads in their hands. #indyref
  • alexalex Posts: 244
    SNP source - West Lothian 45% yes 53% no. Failure to add up to 100 might explain a few things... ;)
  • ItajaiItajai Posts: 721
    Apart from malcolmg, where our are s-nat posters?

    A better guide than (non-existent) exit polls?
  • Stirling turnout 90.1%
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983

    Does my fellow spurs victim, southam now have a worse record than Eddie izzard???

    The crown is being taken from Roger as we speak.

  • Saltire said:

    hucks67 said:

    If the YES campaign loses, will Salmond resign as first minister ? Might he decide that someone else may be better to negotiate more devolution to Scotland.

    He has already stepped down once before. I think he is likely to stay on until the GE in 2015 but may well step down before the next Scottish one.
    I think it depends on the result. I may be wrong, but given the high expectations it was 'close', if the losing margin is significant it may be spun as a big embarrassment.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,031

    RobD said:

    Cameron should come out of Number 10, and say "Just rejoice at that news, just rejoice!"... heh.

    Dave is no Maggie T :)
    Heh.

    let's hope the Queen gets a chance to "reorganise the Union [into a federal structure] for a safe and secure society" by signing royal assent on a new act of union! :')
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,937
    The only pointers for May 2015 are that Dave bested Salmond, supposedly the most loved politician these fair isles have ever produced - whilst Ed Miliband had to be hidden from view when people mocked him in a raucous way....
  • SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    No looks likely to win? Well there's a turnip for the books?
  • East Renfrewshire 90.4%
  • Note: high (nearly 90%) turnout in Clackmannanshire. Yet a large No majority.

    Another theory banjaxed.
  • The Clackmannanshire result is a great result for Yes.

    Only an out of touch, Tory BritNat, fop would think it is a bad result for Yes.

    Well done for resisting that urge so long.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    Itajai said:

    Apart from malcolmg, where our are s-nat posters?

    A better guide than (non-existent) exit polls?

    If I had been involved in this election I would be either drunk or collapsed asleep by now. (Far more likely to be the former, nothing like being the drunkest person at the count.)

  • Glasgow turnout 75%
  • ItajaiItajai Posts: 721
    And we didn't have to shoot down one airliner to do it.

    Yep. UKR did it. So now no one cares.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,723
    Glasgow 75%
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,031

    Glasgow turnout 75%

    Yesers sitting on their hands?
  • Sweet baby Jesus, turnout is shite (is relatively speaking) in the areas yes expected to do well.
  • alexalex Posts: 244
    BBC Scotland starting to get a little feisty now that they have all basically accepted No have won...
  • Starting to look like Yes will do well to breach 45%
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Itajai said:

    Apart from malcolmg, where our are s-nat posters?

    A better guide than (non-existent) exit polls?

    We have to assume Stuart is topping up on the 80 available on Betfair right now...
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    Where are all the nationalists ?
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    Take the effort to register and then don't bother to go vote..very strange
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Another disappointing turnout for Yes, just 75% in Glasgow.
  • Glasgow "bad for Labour".The working class looks to have rejected Labour.Labour neo-liberalism,cuts and job losses don't taste any different from the Tory variety and Tony Blair sad "They've got nowhere else to go".In the process Labour lost working class support and trust as the sect of cryto-Stalinist authoritarian marketisers that took control lined their own pockets.
    Jim Murphy has done well.Hard to see him being referred to one of the 4 horsemen of the acopocolips.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    SeanT said:

    Smarmeron said:

    @SeanT
    Sober?

    Nah. Totally drunk. Don't care. End of months of tension. Just venting now.

    My country - which I love, Scotland and England, Wales and Ulster - was imperilled.
    Part of Ulster was split off nearly 100 years ago!
  • stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,861
    So with Glasgow 75% should 80-85% be favourite? 85-90% still favourite at the moment.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,919
    edited September 2014
    Oh good, Andrew and Polly on the BBC!
This discussion has been closed.