politicalbetting
Home› General

Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Sign In Register

Categories

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The early turnout figures shows it will be a record breakin

SystemSystem Posts: 11,685
edited September 2014 in General

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The early turnout figures shows it will be a record breaking turnout.

Dundee turnout is 78.8%. Its been dubbed "Yes City" – fact turnout is lower than in some other areas could be disappointing for Yes campaign

Read the full story here


«13456

Comments

  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    edited September 2014
    I don't want to be first - bah!
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    Second!
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    No has it in the bag.
  • Options
    ItajaiItajai Posts: 721
    Where is malcolmg?

  • Options
    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,463
    MaxPB said:

    No has it in the bag.

    It certainly seems that way. You can read the body language. There's no way yes would be so backward about coming forward if they thought they were doing OK
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    Yes at 16 with betfair.
  • Options
    Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,059
    Who let the public on to the BBC....
  • Options
    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,288
    Clackmananshire imminent.
  • Options
    NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    oxfordsimon said:

    I don't want to be first - bah!

    I tried to take your advice about grindr but there was a serious misunderstanding when I asked the see the results of the exit poll.

  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Itajai said:

    Where is malcolmg?

    MrG went to bed early as he is off on hols first thing later this morning.
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    edited September 2014
    Itajai said:

    Where is malcolmg?

    Hiding in the bunker with Alec?
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,312
    I predicted 50.29% YES
    81.56% turnout

    Probably way out on both counts :)
  • Options
    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @MikeL
    And Falkirk
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    So this much vaunted "differential turnout" from the Nats - was that just their personation effort?
  • Options
    mjtmjt Posts: 33
    Itajai said:

    Where is malcolmg?

    He fought his corner but it's done now.

    I'm not suprised he's withdrawn from the field to avoid the baiting and gloating.

  • Options
    JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    Itajai said:

    Where is malcolmg?

    One would like to hope he's drinking malt. But the silly yessers have self-banned themselves!!!!!! Silly yesserss.
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Come on Clackmannshire
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    MarqueeMark said:

    So this much vaunted "differential turnout" from the Nats - was that just their personation effort?

    No, they just got the sign wrong. Easily done.
  • Options
    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,463
    Scrapheap_as_was said:

    Who let the public on to the BBC....

    I'm not sure but they seem to have picked the group with the biggest lack of charisma.
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,794
    MikeL said:

    Clackmananshire imminent.

    Lundy, fair. North Uitsirre, moderating from good. Finisterre, storm warning...

  • Options
    jascowjascow Posts: 18
    Looking like a relatively solid No. I was thinking 54-46 for the past week or so but it could be as high as 10 pts which would be excellent given the enormous ramping of the Yes side.
  • Options
    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,288
    West Lothian 86.2%
  • Options
    ItajaiItajai Posts: 721
    I am sure NO voters would not gloat.
  • Options
    NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    JBriskin said:

    Itajai said:

    Where is malcolmg?

    One would like to hope he's drinking malt. But the silly yessers have self-banned themselves!!!!!! Silly yesserss.
    Malcolmg has long said he wouldnt be around for the results. The more active nat posters are probably at counts / spending this rather important night for them with people they like! And then there are the ones who were banned. They're probably chortling somewhere.

  • Options
    mjtmjt Posts: 33
    There is a bit of cash at 18, 21, 26 and 36.

    Otherwise there doesn't seem much to put the brakes on a very quick collapse in the Yes price.
  • Options
    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,463
    I honestly wonder if the Yes campaign had been more upfront about some of the 'unknowns' it may have helped them. Rather than pretending absolutely everything was going to be the perfect outcome.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Yes stalwart Stewart Hosie looked furious when on Sky News just now, although he stupidly claimed Yes were still heading for victory.

    One of my favourite things about nights like this is seeing people talking absolute nonsense.
  • Options
    Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,059
    edited September 2014
    Lord brown of Nokia. Still a shambles of a chancellor and pm but had some passion at least for keeping English money coming in, might be time for him to be replaced by David Miliband in my avatar...
  • Options
    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Clackmannan due in less than 5 minutes.
  • Options
    mjtmjt Posts: 33
    How dumb to do a live broadcast in the middle of a load of pi**ed up youths.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    hunchman said:

    Clackmannan due in less than 5 minutes.

    I predicted Yes 50.75%, No 49.25%.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,071
    oxfordsimon said:

    Itajai said:

    Where is malcolmg?

    Hiding in the bunker with Alec?
    "Sturgeon konnte nicht genügend Kräfte für den Angriff massieren.."
  • Options
    JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    edited September 2014
    [They're probably chortling somewhere.]

    Having an ounce of ideological consistency - and being a bit of a gentleman, who would give my opponents the same respect - I'd certainly hope not.

    I called it 9 months of Idiot Scotland time a long time ago.
  • Options
    mjtmjt Posts: 33
    Sky coverage really is dire...get the swearing drunks back on.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    Ladbrokes Politics ‏@LadPolitics 1m

    Clackmannanshire was second in the betting to be top YES area. If YES hasn't won here.......
  • Options
    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Peter A Smith @PeterAdamSmith
    Follow
    No campaigners are smiling and hugging in Clackmannanshire. Yes campaigners not reacting at all. #ScotDecides #indyref
  • Options
    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    *CLAPS*

    I have a t-shirt with the Shipping Forecast regions on!
    viewcode said:

    MikeL said:

    Clackmananshire imminent.

    Lundy, fair. North Uitsirre, moderating from good. Finisterre, storm warning...

  • Options
    mjtmjt Posts: 33
    23 and moving >>>>>>

    Timberrrrrrrrr!
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    Here we go...
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    Yes out to 22 on Betfair.
  • Options
    NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    It looks like Shadsy may get a xmas bonus after all.
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,339
    Looks as though turnout is indeed going to be around 82-84% - a bit more in rural areas, substantially less in the cities.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    Alistair Darling for the Order of Merit?
  • Options
    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Plato said:

    *CLAPS*

    I have a t-shirt with the Shipping Forecast regions on!

    viewcode said:

    MikeL said:

    Clackmananshire imminent.

    Lundy, fair. North Uitsirre, moderating from good. Finisterre, storm warning...

    Funnily enough in the world of Radio 5 Sports Extra, I miss the shipping forecast when listening to TMS. Tyne, Dogger, Fastnet, Sole - so much wonderful language and terminology there!
  • Options
    NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    And Mrs RCS may not have to reassess the family budget!
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    I must not troll the Nats in my thread headers, I must not troll the Nats in my thread headers
  • Options
    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Fire alarm at Dundee count!
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419
    Scrapheap_as_was said:

    Lord brown of Nokia. Still a shambles of a chancellor and pm but had some passion at least for keeping English money coming in ...

    That was pretty much the argument that to me summed up that irrespective of the result tonight, the Union is still dead. It's like a marriage where the wife has no love for the husband, is openly dismissive of him but stays because she enjoys the lifestyle.

    I've no objection to No having been negative about Yes's proposals - dismantling proponents' claims is usually the one of the strongest ways to win referendums - but the biggest disappointment to me has been the failure to sell an emotional case for the Union by Better Together. It should never have been Head vs Heart, even if Head has won; that strategy left the campaign for the heart uncontested, and if that remains, independence is simply when, not if.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    I predicted Yes would win Clackmannanshire by 500 votes...
  • Options
    jascowjascow Posts: 18
    LabourList "projection" of No at 55-57%. Seems to be based on tea leaves from phone calls but more mood music. http://t.co/ixkQAxwJb1
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    NickPalmer said:

    Looks as though turnout is indeed going to be around 82-84% - a bit more in rural areas, substantially less in the cities.

    That's got to be good for No.
  • Options
    IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    So Scottish nationalism has been reduced to cries on national TV off, and wait for it....

    "F£ck her in the Pus£y"

    Well done Eck. Well done.
  • Options
    alexalex Posts: 244
    Dundee count evacuated due to ... fire alarm!?
  • Options
    SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    Dundee count evacuated due to fire alarm on BBC Scotland
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,312
    Clackmannanshire!
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    At last...
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    here we are
  • Options
    JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    I must not troll the Nats in my thread headers, I must not troll the Nats in my thread headers

    The hale world knows that I'm not overly oringal - but you're platinum grade TSE

  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,312
    edited September 2014
    NOOOOOOO!

    :)
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    No have this in the bag. 100%.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    Wow! Woo
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Clackmannanshire: - YES 46%
  • Options
    jascowjascow Posts: 18
    Clackmannanshire Yes 16,350 No 19,036 Turnout 88.6%
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    UNS forecast YES 40.5%
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    Bye Bye Alec...
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    RodCrosby said:

    UNS forecast YES 40.5%

    ARSE nailed on?
  • Options
    JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    Is that it all over then????
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Clackmannanshire:

    Yes 16350
    No 19036
  • Options
    Paul_Mid_BedsPaul_Mid_Beds Posts: 1,409
    RodCrosby said:

    UNS forecast YES 40.5%

    McARSE has it. Well done Jack
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419
    Betfair hits 49/1.
  • Options
    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,288
    LOL - this could be an absolute annihilation!
  • Options
    IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Alec Salmonds contribution to modern politics.

    "F£ck her in the pus£y"
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    MikeL said:

    LOL - this could be an absolute annihilation!

    Oh, that would be lovely.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Clackmannanshire is 4.5 points less Yes than I thought.

    Extrapolating that would put Yes on 42% overall.
  • Options
    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    No other way to say it. A huge disappointment for Yes in Clackmannanshire.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,312
    West Lothian Question looks like it may need tackling :)
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419
    NickPalmer said:

    Looks as though turnout is indeed going to be around 82-84% - a bit more in rural areas, substantially less in the cities.

    Although still above the average for the country for a UKGE never mind anything else.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    I reckon that means a Yes vote in the very low 40's

  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,339
    Possibly worth punting on Yes<40% at 4-1?
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Could be heading for No 58%, Yes 42%.
  • Options
    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,463
    Big result that.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,011
    8% victory margin for No in Clackmannshire
  • Options
    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,288
    edited September 2014
    Yes Under 40% - 3.6 on Betfair!
  • Options
    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    GBPUSD jumped 20-30 pips just on that result now around 1.6450
  • Options
    Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,059
    edited September 2014
    Huw can't count... 46/54 = 12pct???
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    Just stuck in the Clackmannanshire result
  • Options
    MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    YES Pigeon droppings made from eating burnt toast crumbs .
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,001
    Ah hem. Plaudits please
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,969
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just stuck in the Clackmannanshire result

    Where exactly did you stick it??
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,011
    46% for Yes, yougov spot on!
  • Options
    Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Yes reaction to Clackmannanshire.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=WmJ0h9PEsf0#t=8
  • Options
    IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Long live the Union :-) Scotland. What a country. Glad we're still going to be in business together :-) :-) :-)

  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    So only Dundee to vote Yes?
  • Options
    mjtmjt Posts: 33
    Dozens of threads; thousands of posts of build up and Yes have capitulated in a way that would make the French army blush.
  • Options
    MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    Don't wake Eck.
  • Options
    tpfkartpfkar Posts: 1,546
    Orkney just lost their moment in the sun, Sunderland South style. I wouldn't want to be the counter who lost that ballot paper so the totals didn't match the verification!

    Clackmannanshire is the new black.
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419
    RobD said:

    Alistair Darling for the Order of Merit?

    That's like claiming Neville Chamberlain won WWII. Darling very nearly screwed it up and it was the intervention by the three party leaders and Gordon Brown that swung it back.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    Dave is in trouble. A big win like this would mean his Vow was completely unnecessary.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,472
    This could be Dockside hooker when the fleet is in territory if Clackmannanshire is representative.
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    Orkney now...
This discussion has been closed.