New from Ipsos US July 26-27 (changes from a week ago)Trump Favourable 36% (-4)Unfavourable 52% (+1)Net: -16HarrisFavourable 43% (+8)Unfavourable 42% (-4) Net: +1Clear boost for Harris but this is nationwide & obvs swing states are what matterhttps://t.co/1r0dyXUjoe
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U3ksp5N68Ko
Also, by chance, my current lunchtime video is one also about war in a very similar area:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g9S66aptjlA
“Israel has never tackled Hezbollah - its always been a low level exchange of missiles.
A proper full scale conventional war is another matter and one which should play to Israeli strengths.”
This is simply untrue
“The 2006 Lebanon War, also called the 2006 Israel–Hezbollah War[39] and known in Lebanon as the July War[1] (Arabic: حرب تموز, Ḥarb Tammūz) and in Israel as the Second Lebanon War (Hebrew: מלחמת לבנון השנייה, Milhemet Levanon HaShniya),[40] was a 34-day military conflict in Lebanon, northern Israel and the Golan Heights. The principal parties were Hezbollah paramilitary forces and the Israel Defense Forces”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_Lebanon_War
I thought he was going to tell George that was a f*****g brilliant strategy!
It’s one thing to get your favourables up, but getting negatives to drop…
Fav/Unfav, ABC/Ipsos
HARRIS
July 19-20: 35/46
July 26-27: 43/42
TRUMP
July 19-20: 40/51
July 26-27: 36/52
VANCE
July 19-20: 25/31
July 26-27: 24/39
https://ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-07/Topline ABC_Ipsos Poll July 27 2024.pdf
Is Roger not aware that Hezbollah has been firing thousands of rockets into northern Israel since October?
Curious take from a BBC reporter suggesting that Hezbollah have largely been going after military targets which explains the low number of civilian casualties. What might also explain the low numbers is the fact that Israel has evacuated the population from those areas something the BBC reporter didn't acknowledge.
Theuniondivvie - do you often write about how armies enjoy killing innocent civilians or do you reserve it just for Israel?
But Israel might have no choice. If they accept that Hezbollah can lob major missiles as they like at northern Israel then that’s a major chunk of a tiny country which becomes unliveable. Even as the south is threatened by Gaza
I imagine the Americans will be desperate to restrain them but Israel might not care
https://x.com/chyeaok/status/1817552850995871795
That’s fixable; he has all the skills necessary.
If I recall correctly, there was a period when Hamilton had a series of consistently poor starts, and had to do likewise.
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/article/2024/jul/28/paris-olympics-organisers-apologise-to-christians-for-last-supper-parody
Also also, McLaren scored enough, in line with the necessary average, to keep them on course for the Constructors' title.
Also so many LGBT people have been fighting for ages to be treated well, equally, and be accepted so creating such a target for idiots to beat them with and making such a statement is completely counterproductive.
The NYT called it “bloated and humourless” which is as good a description as any
Celine was good, however. A powerful moment
Quite astonishing how the season's going now, given how it started.
However older transmission systems (eg Synchronous Digital Heirarchy) allow diversity which stops a damaged fibre cable causing an outage.
However while the TVM-430 signalling is in cab, it is otherwise quite traditional, relying on track circuits and using them and inductive loops to provide "signals" in the cab which the driver reads and acts accordingly with the driver (not the system) still manually driving the train
That there are so many fibre cables indicates that (in commercial Telecoms terms) quite old point to point comms systems more akin to old fashioned Scada systems may be used rather than a bearer linked system.
Which given that the signalling is probably 20-30 years old is not entirely surprising
(100 year old signalling still in operation is not unknown on railways as it is so expensive and disruptive to renew)
A bit about TVM-430 here.
http://www.railfaneurope.net/tgv/signals.html
https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/29130478/michael-jordan-stands-firm-republicans-buy-sneakers-too-quote-says-was-made-jest
In other words, why offend a large fraction of your potential customers? Especially with something that has nothing to do with France, or the Olympics.
(Alternatives? It isn't hard to think of some, for example, a historical tour showing the teams of the new nations, as each joined Olympics.)
I might unblock Kenneth for his views on this moral degeneracy.
Putin’s family values tsar ‘leaves Orthodox priest husband for billionaire’
Maria Lvova-Belova, Russia’s commissioner for children’s rights, accused of hypocrisy over alleged affair with oligarch Konstantin Malofeev
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/07/28/putin-family-tsar-maria-lvova-belova-konstantin-malofeev/
Clearly went on for too long and leaves the problem of the locus for the set piece events.
https://www.fia.com/sites/default/files/decision-document/2024 Belgian Grand Prix - Weight of Car Number 63.pdf
For example, Life of Brian, which still has the power to get rigid humourless types apoplectic with outrage and uniquiely has managed to get a new generation of secular puritans just as outraged as it got an old generation of religious puritans outraged 40 years ago, but for a reason that went over anyones head unless they were familiar with far left loon social politics 40 years ago, that first emerged into the public consciousness in inner London Loony Left councils a year or two after the film came out.
Ramaswamy is more than slightly crazy, but would probably have worked on a Trump ticket. There's nothing wrong with their arguing for it, but it would have been a mess, possibly a disaster.
It's a huge ask to get a new campaign up and running with only three months to go. Reduce that to two, and it's almost impossible.
To say nothing of starting from scratch with fundraising.
As it is, Harris is only just going to be able to vet and select a VP in time, for instance.
In any event, almost three quarters of Democratic voters, and the vast majority of the delegates, didn't want it.
But huge cockup by Mercedes slightly mars a great weekend.
They can choose whoever they like as their candidates
Heck, even a limited company can stand candidates
Quite why we make an exception for a specific religion's right to be offended is beyond me. Even South Park didn't dare go there.
Unlike say, 'Donald Trump has lucid moment' or 'DfE comes up with good policy on education.'
I should of course have factored in all the immense range of possibilities where a plane crash was bad enough that it killed one of the occupants and someone on the ground, who just happened to be unluckily in that field, but one of the occupants was not killed.
I shall go and educate myself by watching a plane crash investigation series and then commit seppuku for my error.
Pedantic bastards.
Light blue t-shirt was just being a good Muslim when he broke the policewoman's nose
https://x.com/AndrewHammel1/status/1817484142012928060
Saddam became Public Enemy No.1 by invading Kuwait
Kuwait wasn't a Christian stronghold
The Iraq wars (recent) were nothing to do with religion.
Question for the Hive Mind - is Shinto fundamentally racist or does it just have a lot of racist followers?
Edit - also it’s worth pointing out a two seater doesn’t have to have two people in it.
https://www.fia.com/sites/default/files/decision-document/2024 Belgian Grand Prix - Infringement - Car 63 - Technical non-compliance (Weight).pdf
don't watch learning is best done by experiment, crash a lot of 2 seater planes in different circumstance, nigel fararge will be a good copilot he has experience
https://x.com/keiranpedley/status/1816933324268441881
Was computing the odds on those happening, when the Venus de Milo rode past on a flying pig, waving.
Is there Olympics ceremony practise in West London?
To give it the chef’s kiss the BBC say they haven’t been able to verify the footage. They were however accepting of the footage of the kick by the rozzer.
What a sickener for George Russell.