Who is the greatest leader of the 21st century so far? – politicalbetting.com
Who is the greatest leader of the 21st century so far? – politicalbetting.com
Are all historians fascists?
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Who is the greatest leader of the 21st century so far? – politicalbetting.com
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Lord Walney is suggesting there could have been a "concerted campaign by extremists".
He is urging Yvette Cooper and Security Minister Dan Jarvis to commission a short inquiry to find out if groups in different constituencies were working together and to document what he calls the "dark underbelly" of abuse.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn05edkr97vo
If we are looking 100 years from now I expect Xi will be the person that is most talked about - and quite possibly Trump - as both those have global implications.
Putin is very much a regional story..
The real question is the make up of the Tory MPs, and will they put two more moderate candidates forward?
(Puts on coat and red hat, and walks away slowly).
Zelensky would be my pick for the greatest leader of the 21st century so far.
Late 1938 after gaining the Sudentenland
Spring 1939 after gaining Bohemia-Moravia
Late 1939 after defeating Poiland
Summer 1940 after defeating France
Autumn 1941 after the Kyiv or Vyazma encirclements.
Admittedly his hybrid war on democracy has brought the US to the brink of political collapse, but as France and the UK, amongst others, shows, there is no inevitability about the victory of Putin backed authoritarian disruptors.
We live in exceptionally dangerous times, but so have many before us.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/politics/2024/07/14/history-of-us-assassination-attempts-from-lincoln-to-trump/
There are cases from past few years on this list I wasn't aware of.
His quote, to either Biden or one of his officials, that “I don’t need a ride, I need ammunition”, was something that altered the course of world history.
It was a flat roof relatively close to the speaker's platform. I would expect at least a law enforcement person to be there not a shooter.
How did he miss.
When he started shooting on his belly from a distance in an elevated position he was killed pretty quickly.
After the shots everyone stayed where they were but crouched down a teeny bit. An active shooter and people just hanging around.
The protection officers jumped on him but didn't crash him out, letting the principal dictate timings.
Two state troopers (?) meandered onto the stage without much purpose.
When they did eventually crash him out it was slowly and they exposed him to the public.
But I suppose this is Trump and this is the USA.
I think that can only be assessed with some hindsight at least. There are a couple of things to consider, with the Belt and Road Initiative and possible invasion of Taiwan top of the list, perhaps. Also, how the real estate market goes, whether shifting from the 10 year premiership and lack of infighting to prolonged rule and corruption purges proves detrimental, and plenty of other stuff I don't know about.
https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1812337444672725443
The greatest are not those who sought power, but rather those that power sought to destroy but failed to do so.
One lone idiot with an egg or a milkshake is bad enough, but if we start to see groups becoming more organised then the threat level goes up substantially. See the environmental extremists and their escalation of protest in recent years, the more extreme of the ‘Palestine’ supporters, or the number of times far-right and far-left thugs have met each other on the streets.
BY THE BAREST OF ALL MARGINS'
It's been five years since that epic World Cup final
(via @ICC) #OnThisDay
https://x.com/ESPNcricinfo/status/1812366197435842960
It's not exactly been a great century for leadership in the democratic world so far.
There’s much less hurry when in opposition, which should be good for the party.
Is that the time?
If he had died in 1946 few would remember him.
In 1956 he would be remembered as the man who reunified China and brought peace.
In 1966 he would be remembered as the architect and inspiration of Revolution both domestically and internationally.
In 1976 as a man who caused millions of deaths through economic failure and did irreparable damage to Chinese culture.
Reputation is largely a matter of timing.
So my question: who is your most 'differently interesting' famous local? For cities I'll give you within one mile, for everyone else within 5 miles.
I'll have two:
- Percy Toplis the Monocled Mutineer, from South Normanton / Blackwell.
- Harold Lloyd, the cricketer, from Nuncargate, Kirkby-in-Ashfield. It has a very good working class not-at-all-poncy butcher, which I appreciate.
My photo for the day is Larwood bowling to a full "Leg Theory" field.
Russia is Running Out of People
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CXfNGcMSwzU
Nobody?
The US conservative conference circuit is much more fun, as are the private speeches with six-figure payouts.
'Why do so many UK right wingers love the pussy grabbing fascist? Is it because they hate woman and democracy?'
That’s Britain-Anchorage, right there.
"One last push to finish the job"
Yes it is a big story and the main topic of discussion, but only you are getting hysterical.
Is he sufficiently 'differently interesting'?
SO ABOUT THOSE CONSPIRACY THEORIES
I see at least six. It’s delicious
1. The Dems actually did it, hiring some incel shooter and using the secret service
2. The secret service, with the tacit encouragement of the Dems, kinda allowed it with lax security
3. It’s a lone lucky gunman that missed, fired up by anti Trump Dem rhetoric
4. It’s an anti-Trump REPUBLICAN or patriot, but fired up by same Dem rhetoric
5. It was all staged by Trump to make him a martyr
6. Just a complete loony and random, might easily have shot at Biden or Taylor Swift
Right now I’d say a mix of 3 or 4. But could be 2 or 6
"James Cleverly leads race to replace Rishi Sunak, poll suggests" https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/james-cleverly-conservative-leadership-race-replace-rishi-sunak-poll-s79rdh583
It's going to be a long week, there's going to be quite a few threads that tone it down.
7. A foreign agent. Most likely Ukrainian (with most to lose)
Good to hear that you're sufficiently recovered to return to work.
With an honourable mention for death metal band Pagan Altar, who penned the track The Devil Came Down to Brockley.
Concerns that two parties will informally agree to elect a Liberal Democrat deputy speaker, leaving Conservatives with little influence
Senior Conservatives fear being locked out of democracy if Labour and the Liberal Democrats work together to stitch up key positions that control the workings of Parliament.
The Tories believe that, as the biggest party on the opposition benches, they should have two deputy speakers to maintain the traditional 50/50 split between Labour and Conservatives in the Speaker’s Office, which has one speaker and three deputies.
But there are concerns within the Tory party that Labour and the Lib Dems will agree an informal pact to elect a Lib Dem deputy speaker, which would leave the Tories with little influence over parliamentary business.
The speaker and his deputies have control over choosing which amendments to legislation are debated and put to a vote.
The Tories fear that, if they only have one deputy speaker – and possibly the most junior of the three – it will affect their ability to provide a robust opposition to Labour and leave them effectively locked out of democracy for the next five years.
The Speaker, Sir Lindsay Hoyle, was a Labour MP before he was elected to the post in 2019 and resigned from the party.
Convention dictates that the most senior deputy comes from the opposition, the second most senior from the speaker’s former party and the most junior from the opposition.
But the rules define the opposition as anyone who is not on the government benches, meaning a Lib Dem – or even in theory an independent MP – could be chosen.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/07/12/tories-fear-labour-lib-dem-parliament-pact-speaker/
My guess is it makes no difference and by November this won't seem significant at all.
I've laid Trump a bit this morning. 1.5 is just too short.
I was so unlucky my recuperation period covered the general election campaign and Euro 2024.
Perhaps
1. It makes trump-maybe voters more determined to vote?
2. It means Biden probably stays as the focus moves away from his infirmity = good for trump
An independent? Corbyn? Don’t be silly.
Martin Johnson
There’s a few respectable sources Tweeting screenshots of this, but also saying that Biden deleted it today as it’s not on his feed any more.
https://x.com/joshuasteinman/status/1812336975095214555?s=12
https://www.bbc.com/news/videos/cyx0vl4j1wko
This video is somewhat unfortunate....we are under fire, under fire, we are taking cover...in the background people wandering about slowly without a care in the world, cars drive by at normal speeds, etc.
I don't really see why the third largest party shouldn't have a deputy speaker. In fact why not just expand the roster? I think in the Bundestag they have one deputy for each party represented.
As for the "it was a Ukrainian" theory it's not, the gunman has been identified as Thomas Matthew Crooks, a local from Pennsylvania.
I think this helps Trump in the short term but it also takes the focus off Biden's deteriorating mental faculties and any momentum there was to get rid of him has now stalled which I think is what gets Trump over the line.
Had Trump been killed yesterday would we now be seeing a MAGA reign of violent retribution? Their saviour shot dead so let’s go after the liberals?
Now that Trump has been wounded by an egregious fuckup by the Secret Service, are we now to see MAGA security teams accompanying him at all times? Gold old boys with assault rifles protecting The Man from the evil government who almost got him killed?
I don’t see a winner from this other than Trump. The entire election now will be on his terms and his agenda. Biden being incapable won’t matter any more because Trump is everything and everywhere. So Biden stays on the ticket, is utterly incapable of finding a political response, and gets absolutely swept away by Trump in November’s final presidential election.
No more violence please - and I hope his ear gets better - but I don't have time for the dark side today when we have the sun out and the Wimbledon final (Alcaraz in 4?) and the Euros (I think we can do it).
Nice header Max.
Is Sky news really always this bad?
Anyway, thoughts and prayers with Melania, hang in there girl.
One unfortunate effect, I understand, of the assassination attempt is that it gives Farage a bit more airtime, as a ‘friend of Trump’.
For myself, I’m very glad we have a family festivity today. Means we’ll have the TV off until later, although as Younger Son is visiting we’ll have to have the football on this evening.
(And that he asked for his shoes. Does he take his shoes off to speak?)
There's no way around it. If you're taking it seriously, you need to account for this stuff in your betting and shift your positions in response.
It is not optional.
Anyway, now as a non-punter, I can opine in good conscience;
Laying Trump for Potus @ 1.5 is an excellent bet.
Good luck to all you sick bastards.
May your riches eat away at your soul.