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Why being English is a bad sign – politicalbetting.com

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  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 28,470
    Carnyx said:

    RobD said:

    Carnyx said:

    biggles said:

    I remain British by birth, but English by the grace of God, as the saying goes.

    UK by birth, or at least passport, surely ...
    Doesn't the passport say British citizen?
    NI.

    Edit: it does say 'British citizen' but this is absurd as the main texts say United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. And no way is NI part of Britain.
    Actually Britain has long been synonymous with UK. You are thinking of Great Britain (putting Olympics to one side).
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,685

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Under the proposed changes, there would be an electoral college, weighted 50% MPs, 30% donors, 10% Peers and 10% ordinary members.

    That's quite a change.
  • TweedledeeTweedledee Posts: 1,405
    Leon said:

    Mr. Leon, on that note, I've no idea how common Occitan is in Langue d'Oc any more.

    100000 left in France says Wikipedia. Also some in Spain Italy Monaco and North Carolina

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occitan_language
    I have serious doubts about that number
    The article says it is hard to tell because speakers are conditioned to feel guilty about it and will speak it in private behind closed doors. Bit paradoxical as to how that is knowable of course.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,534

    Scott_xP said:

    Sandpit said:

    The problem was entirely on the MPs, selecting two names and then refusing to back the winner.

    If you don’t want someone to be leader, then don’t nominate them in the first place.

    The problem was the pool of names they had to choose from

    If you don't want only duds, don't select a vindictive clown as leader...
    Yes, the lack of Anna Soubry was a blow they never really recovered from.
    Just imagine if Truss had left the party rather than Soubry... the country would be in a *much* better state...
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 28,470
    rcs1000 said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Under the proposed changes, there would be an electoral college, weighted 50% MPs, 30% donors, 10% Peers and 10% ordinary members.

    That's quite a change.
    Donors? Someone is pulling the Telegraph's plonker. Probably the Labour plant in CCHQ who is running their election campaign.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,430

    JK Rowling says David Tennant is part of ‘gender Taliban’ after trans rights support

    https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/tv/news/jk-rowling-david-tennant-trans-kemi-badenoch-b2570909.html

    Another grown-up response from JK Rowling.

    Given that the actual real-life Taliban has just reintroduced stoning women to death, that might be an exaggeration on JKR's point
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,685
    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    England to name Jamie Smith as wicketkeeper for West Indies Test series

    Exclusive: Surrey man to get nod ahead of county team-mate Ben Foakes thanks to superiority with bat, both in red and white-ball formats


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/cricket/2024/06/29/england-jamie-smith-wicketkeeper-west-indies-series/

    I've never understood why we cannot find enough excellent batsmen to enable selecting the best wicketkeeper, so long that person is not completely terrible with the bat.
    Its just an equation to balance.

    If a keeper is 5 runs an innings better as keeper than his rival, he can be about 5 runs worse than that rival with the bat, but if he is 10 runs worse you'd pick the worse keeper.

    Judging those numbers, and how much they change in different conditions, isn't easy but the logic is straightforward.
    Whereas a good keeper can be worth a couple of wickets per innings.

    Yes it’s good if your keeper and bowlers can also bat, but you should have enough strength at the top of the order to not need to worry too much about trying to pick a keeping all-rounder rather than a specialist.
    +1

    Countries employing specialist batsmen as keepers (*cough* Alec Stewart *cough*) manage to get the worst of both worlds: poor keeping and a batsman who doesn't bat as well as they are capable.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,046
    rcs1000 said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Under the proposed changes, there would be an electoral college, weighted 50% MPs, 30% donors, 10% Peers and 10% ordinary members.

    That's quite a change.
    Can we trust them with even a 10% voting weight?
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,906
    Omnium said:

    It seems to me there are just two traits which matter when it comes to being English.

    - A fondness for drinking tea
    - A delight in annoying the French and Scots at any and all opportunities.

    I see nothing wrong in either of these things, indeed it's clearly the premier mark of civilisation. So I rather disagree with the header!

    English nationalism is generally awful. It feels very contrived. I'm far more likely to think of myself as British than English, although I'm obviously both.


    English nationalism is awful because when expressed it is rancid and the stuff of red faced losers. I think this is because most English are nationalists in the inward and passive sense of just assuming that being English is the default position of the universe, from which everything else is an exception. There's The Times, and there's The New York Times. There's stamps and there's stamps with a nation's name on them. There's a newspaper called 'The Scotsman'. The English equivalent would just be called 'The'.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,693
    Given I want Britain to be dissolved through Scottish Independence and the reunification of Ireland it would be daft for me to describe myself as British.

    But I also think English as a race concept is equally daft given what a mongrel people we are. We are the Heinz 57 variety of humanity and all the better for it. English to me is a cultural thing, accepting certain basic ideals even if we generally fail to achieve them as a nation. That is why some of the most English people I ever met were not white, not Christian and, in some cases, not even born here.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,685

    rcs1000 said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Under the proposed changes, there would be an electoral college, weighted 50% MPs, 30% donors, 10% Peers and 10% ordinary members.

    That's quite a change.
    Donors? Someone is pulling the Telegraph's plonker. Probably the Labour plant in CCHQ who is running their election campaign.
    Don't worry, that line isn't really in there.

    That was just me "having a laugh".
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,988

    The Daily Mail tactical voting guide is like a far right wank dream

    I suspect most people will use it in reverse
    Leon said:

    Coming to Brittany you realise what a feat the Welsh have achieved - keeping Welsh alive. It is easy to find people naturally speaking Welsh - thee are entire towns where it is the main language. You walk into bars and shops - they speak Welsh

    When I first arrived in Brittany I asked guides where I could find native speakers. They were all all quite furtive - er, try a market, maybe the islands; dunno

    Now I realise that they did not want to disappoint me. But the truth is Breton has vanished

    Every time a civilising influence arrived they dispersed into the hills
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    edited June 29

    England to name Jamie Smith as wicketkeeper for West Indies Test series

    Exclusive: Surrey man to get nod ahead of county team-mate Ben Foakes thanks to superiority with bat, both in red and white-ball formats


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/cricket/2024/06/29/england-jamie-smith-wicketkeeper-west-indies-series/

    Weak bowling attack. Probably he ok in English conditions, but don't fancy that in attack in Australia. Loads of right arm medium fast who rely on English seam movement of the Dukes ball. I still never convinced Robinson is the replacement for Anderson, he bowls so slowly as times, it club crickey velocity. Anderson even to this day is 5-10 mph quicker with better accuracy and more movement.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,430

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Good. The party leader has to be the person the MPs think is best to lead them in Parliament. The membership should have nothing to do with it.
    "Leader of the Conservative Caucus in the UK Parliament"

    See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/House_Democratic_Caucus for a precedent. Also, of course, https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2024/06/05/parties/
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,561
    Leon said:

    boulay said:

    Leon said:

    Coming to Brittany you realise what a feat the Welsh have achieved - keeping Welsh alive. It is easy to find people naturally speaking Welsh - thee are entire towns where it is the main language. You walk into bars and shops - they speak Welsh

    When I first arrived in Brittany I asked guides where I could find native speakers. They were all all quite furtive - er, try a market, maybe the islands; dunno

    Now I realise that they did not want to disappoint me. But the truth is Breton has vanished

    Language themed empire building is what the French do. Breton is probably as dead as Cornish and they are lying about it with a long term plan of making it an official language of the EU.

    I am having a French themed travel year - Polynésie. Bretagne. Algérie.
    They try and keep Jersey Norman French going, teaching it in schools here but it’s more a novelty than a living language. The oldies who are from generations of islanders still speak it to each other, an ex’s stepfather used to speak to his brothers and parents in it, sounds like South Africans speaking bad French.

    I always chuckle thinking that when French tourists come here and they see all the signs etc in Jersey Norman French that they must think some tosser has tried to write in French and got it wrong as it has many differences that are clearer when seen written than spoken.
    You’ve travelled in Brittany a lot. Have you ever heard Breton spoken in a natural setting? Eg casually between people in shops or markets or bars etc?
    Not that I remember however I’m usually only sober for an hour at the beginning and an hour at the end of my visits. I think if you go inland you have a better chance of hearing it amongst the farmers but the coasts attract tourists and workers from elsewhere so it flushed out Breton.

    We had lots of Bretons come here pre about 1970 to work on the farms before the Madeirans took their place and I’ve heard that there was absolute mutual lack of understanding between them and the Jèrriais speakers despite growing up across about 20 miles of sea.
  • TweedledeeTweedledee Posts: 1,405

    Carnyx said:

    RobD said:

    Carnyx said:

    biggles said:

    I remain British by birth, but English by the grace of God, as the saying goes.

    UK by birth, or at least passport, surely ...
    Doesn't the passport say British citizen?
    NI.

    Edit: it does say 'British citizen' but this is absurd as the main texts say United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. And no way is NI part of Britain.
    Actually Britain has long been synonymous with UK. You are thinking of Great Britain (putting Olympics to one side).
    Britain is bigger than Great Britain?

    I am three parts England one part Isle of Skye. I say English because I wouldn't, ahem, want to be accused of falsely claiming the honour of having Welsh or NI blood and anyway foreigners are only interested in the language and the PL which are both genuinely English not British. UK filling in forms as it saves 5 letters.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 13,225
    rcs1000 said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Under the proposed changes, there would be an electoral college, weighted 50% MPs, 30% donors, 10% Peers and 10% ordinary members.

    That's quite a change.
    The Lib Dem membership have a mixed record of choosing leaders. Some good choices, some less so. They would probably also be better off with MPs choosing the leader but the problem is when there are very few MPs but hundreds of councillors, as in this parliament and since 2015, you’re concentrating the decision in a very tiny fraction of the Lib Dem hierarchy.
  • theoldpoliticstheoldpolitics Posts: 273
    edited June 29
    I know I'm becoming an utter bore about this - and I've taken a bit out of my instant access savings to top up my arb, but at least it's a betting post!

    Corbyn getting routinely matched below 2 (last 1.86) at Betfair
    Best available back odds - 2.5 with Ladbrokes/Coral

    The arb has been there for over 24 hours now, apart from briefly disappearing around lunchtime today.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,927
    I thought to change the Tory constitution the… err…. members have to approve it.

    So it’s a bit of a reach for me to think that they’ll get the removal of the member vote through.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,960
    Omnium said:

    It seems to me there are just two traits which matter when it comes to being English.

    - A fondness for drinking tea
    - A delight in annoying the French and Scots at any and all opportunities.

    I see nothing wrong in either of these things, indeed it's clearly the premier mark of civilisation. So I rather disagree with the header!

    English nationalism is generally awful. It feels very contrived. I'm far more likely to think of myself as British than English, although I'm obviously both.


    The problem with English nationalism is that English culture, or something very similar, is the default way of doing business around large chunks of the developed world. The English language and the (English) business suit, most obviously.

    So an English nationalism doesn't have much to work with. England's success means it isn't distinctive.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    Reform UK makes official complaint against Channel 4 over ‘electoral interference’

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/29/reform-make-official-complaint-against-channel-4/

    Its very Trumpian...it was the deep state setup.
  • Last minute surprises next week in the campaign. Anyone prepared to make a prediction. Farage accuses the BBC of treason! Hangings at The Tower Of London will be brought back into law to deal with traitors! Any other fantasy predictions from the participants here?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 11,548
    rcs1000 said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Under the proposed changes, there would be an electoral college, weighted 50% MPs, 30% donors, 10% Peers and 10% ordinary members.

    That's quite a change.
    30% donors! So you can buy the leader you want? I can see it’s trying to be like the trades union vote Labour have/had, but it doesn’t seem viable.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,592
    rcs1000 said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Under the proposed changes, there would be an electoral college, weighted 50% MPs, 30% donors, 10% Peers and 10% ordinary members.

    That's quite a change.
    Got to ask why do donors get a say - they say is whether they donate money or not. Otherwise they are just members with 2 votes...
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,908
    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,331
    Carnyx said:

    RobD said:

    Carnyx said:

    biggles said:

    I remain British by birth, but English by the grace of God, as the saying goes.

    UK by birth, or at least passport, surely ...
    Doesn't the passport say British citizen?
    NI.

    Edit: it does say 'British citizen' but this is absurd as the main texts say United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. And no way is NI part of Britain.
    It's at least as much a part of Britain as the Isle of Skye is.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,561

    Last minute surprises next week in the campaign. Anyone prepared to make a prediction. Farage accuses the BBC of treason! Hangings at The Tower Of London will be brought back into law to deal with traitors! Any other fantasy predictions from the participants here?

    Will Farage unveil a secret political establishment paedo ring based around a pizza parlour, somewhere like Woking. If he’s going full MAGA Trump he might as well.
  • Reform UK makes official complaint against Channel 4 over ‘electoral interference’

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/29/reform-make-official-complaint-against-channel-4/

    Its very Trumpian...it was the deep state setup.

    Excellent.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,994

    Reform UK makes official complaint against Channel 4 over ‘electoral interference’

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/29/reform-make-official-complaint-against-channel-4/

    Its very Trumpian...it was the deep state setup.

    And look how the terminally stupid have fallen for Farage's bullshit.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,988

    Scott_xP said:

    Sandpit said:

    The problem was entirely on the MPs, selecting two names and then refusing to back the winner.

    If you don’t want someone to be leader, then don’t nominate them in the first place.

    The problem was the pool of names they had to choose from

    If you don't want only duds, don't select a vindictive clown as leader...
    Yes, the lack of Anna Soubry was a blow they never really recovered from.
    She was very articulate. A few more like her and a few less of the lunatic fringe and this could have been a competitive election. I just listened to an any questions and even though the quite likeable David Davis was the Tory on board the loathing for the Tories from a Fleetwood audience was something to behold.
  • TweedledeeTweedledee Posts: 1,405

    Given I want Britain to be dissolved through Scottish Independence and the reunification of Ireland it would be daft for me to describe myself as British.

    But I also think English as a race concept is equally daft given what a mongrel people we are. We are the Heinz 57 variety of humanity and all the better for it. English to me is a cultural thing, accepting certain basic ideals even if we generally fail to achieve them as a nation. That is why some of the most English people I ever met were not white, not Christian and, in some cases, not even born here.

    Really? That sounds like exceptionalism to me. Obviously the Channel is not an impermeable barrier but it is there, and it would surprise me to learn we were more miscegenated than the continental average.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    Roger said:

    The Daily Mail tactical voting guide is like a far right wank dream

    I suspect most people will use it in reverse
    Leon said:

    Coming to Brittany you realise what a feat the Welsh have achieved - keeping Welsh alive. It is easy to find people naturally speaking Welsh - thee are entire towns where it is the main language. You walk into bars and shops - they speak Welsh

    When I first arrived in Brittany I asked guides where I could find native speakers. They were all all quite furtive - er, try a market, maybe the islands; dunno

    Now I realise that they did not want to disappoint me. But the truth is Breton has vanished

    Every time a civilising influence arrived they dispersed into the hills
    In that respect the Welsh are very much like the Kogi of Colombia

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-day-i-met-a-sun-priest/
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    eek said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Under the proposed changes, there would be an electoral college, weighted 50% MPs, 30% donors, 10% Peers and 10% ordinary members.

    That's quite a change.
    Got to ask why do donors get a say - they say is whether they donate money or not. Otherwise they are just members with 2 votes...
    Someone decided being in hock to millionaires was not quite explicit enough.

    Complex leader voting mechanisms are just plain stupid, either it is a members choice (with some kind of MP screening/threshold first) or it isn't, don't mess about with weighting and electoral colleges.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,391

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    It's probably that he's going to have a drink tonight and can't be arsed getting up early with a hangover.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,985
    rcs1000 said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Under the proposed changes, there would be an electoral college, weighted 50% MPs, 30% donors, 10% Peers and 10% ordinary members.

    That's quite a change.
    Is the rump of Tory MPs going to be more of less sane than the rump of Tory members?
  • boulay said:

    Last minute surprises next week in the campaign. Anyone prepared to make a prediction. Farage accuses the BBC of treason! Hangings at The Tower Of London will be brought back into law to deal with traitors! Any other fantasy predictions from the participants here?

    Will Farage unveil a secret political establishment paedo ring based around a pizza parlour, somewhere like Woking. If he’s going full MAGA Trump he might as well.
    Medway Towns. Somewhere there would be another location.
  • TweedledeeTweedledee Posts: 1,405

    Carnyx said:

    RobD said:

    Carnyx said:

    biggles said:

    I remain British by birth, but English by the grace of God, as the saying goes.

    UK by birth, or at least passport, surely ...
    Doesn't the passport say British citizen?
    NI.

    Edit: it does say 'British citizen' but this is absurd as the main texts say United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. And no way is NI part of Britain.
    It's at least as much a part of Britain as the Isle of Skye is.
    You realise you can drive to the Isle of Skye?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    boulay said:

    Last minute surprises next week in the campaign. Anyone prepared to make a prediction. Farage accuses the BBC of treason! Hangings at The Tower Of London will be brought back into law to deal with traitors! Any other fantasy predictions from the participants here?

    Will Farage unveil a secret political establishment paedo ring based around a pizza parlour, somewhere like Woking. If he’s going full MAGA Trump he might as well.
    Would this be based on evidence from Tom Watson?
  • Nunu5Nunu5 Posts: 976

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    Because he knows he'll be eviscerated by Laura K, all this paid actor nonsense is not gonna cut it. He has no proof, to the contrary there is proof that guy has been campaigning with reform for some time.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,561

    boulay said:

    Last minute surprises next week in the campaign. Anyone prepared to make a prediction. Farage accuses the BBC of treason! Hangings at The Tower Of London will be brought back into law to deal with traitors! Any other fantasy predictions from the participants here?

    Will Farage unveil a secret political establishment paedo ring based around a pizza parlour, somewhere like Woking. If he’s going full MAGA Trump he might as well.
    Medway Towns. Somewhere there would be another location.
    I figured a pizza place in Woking would have more sticking power considering who used it for an alibi once.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    boulay said:

    Leon said:

    boulay said:

    Leon said:

    Coming to Brittany you realise what a feat the Welsh have achieved - keeping Welsh alive. It is easy to find people naturally speaking Welsh - thee are entire towns where it is the main language. You walk into bars and shops - they speak Welsh

    When I first arrived in Brittany I asked guides where I could find native speakers. They were all all quite furtive - er, try a market, maybe the islands; dunno

    Now I realise that they did not want to disappoint me. But the truth is Breton has vanished

    Language themed empire building is what the French do. Breton is probably as dead as Cornish and they are lying about it with a long term plan of making it an official language of the EU.

    I am having a French themed travel year - Polynésie. Bretagne. Algérie.
    They try and keep Jersey Norman French going, teaching it in schools here but it’s more a novelty than a living language. The oldies who are from generations of islanders still speak it to each other, an ex’s stepfather used to speak to his brothers and parents in it, sounds like South Africans speaking bad French.

    I always chuckle thinking that when French tourists come here and they see all the signs etc in Jersey Norman French that they must think some tosser has tried to write in French and got it wrong as it has many differences that are clearer when seen written than spoken.
    You’ve travelled in Brittany a lot. Have you ever heard Breton spoken in a natural setting? Eg casually between people in shops or markets or bars etc?
    Not that I remember however I’m usually only sober for an hour at the beginning and an hour at the end of my visits. I think if you go inland you have a better chance of hearing it amongst the farmers but the coasts attract tourists and workers from elsewhere so it flushed out Breton.

    We had lots of Bretons come here pre about 1970 to work on the farms before the Madeirans took their place and I’ve heard that there was absolute mutual lack of understanding between them and the Jèrriais speakers despite growing up across about 20 miles of sea.
    That’s what quora is telling me. Maybe a few old farmers deep inland but even there you’ve got to be really lucky

    So it is essentially dead
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,685

    Reform UK makes official complaint against Channel 4 over ‘electoral interference’

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/29/reform-make-official-complaint-against-channel-4/

    Its very Trumpian...it was the deep state setup.

    It's true: none of the seven regular viewers of Channel 4 News are voting Reform
  • GIN1138 said:

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    It's probably that he's going to have a drink tonight and can't be arsed getting up early with a hangover.
    Heavy curry and too much beer. Could be scared of Laura as well. She would love to have him on.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,994

    Given I want Britain to be dissolved through Scottish Independence and the reunification of Ireland it would be daft for me to describe myself as British.

    But I also think English as a race concept is equally daft given what a mongrel people we are. We are the Heinz 57 variety of humanity and all the better for it. English to me is a cultural thing, accepting certain basic ideals even if we generally fail to achieve them as a nation. That is why some of the most English people I ever met were not white, not Christian and, in some cases, not even born here.

    I am as British as Queen Victoria.

    Depending on the sporting event I am watching, I am a Yorkshireman, Englishman, Brit, and European.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606

    Given I want Britain to be dissolved through Scottish Independence and the reunification of Ireland it would be daft for me to describe myself as British.

    But I also think English as a race concept is equally daft given what a mongrel people we are. We are the Heinz 57 variety of humanity and all the better for it. English to me is a cultural thing, accepting certain basic ideals even if we generally fail to achieve them as a nation. That is why some of the most English people I ever met were not white, not Christian and, in some cases, not even born here.

    Really? That sounds like exceptionalism to me. Obviously the Channel is not an impermeable barrier but it is there, and it would surprise me to learn we were more miscegenated than the continental average.
    Yes it’s total claptrap
  • eekeek Posts: 28,592
    MattW said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Under the proposed changes, there would be an electoral college, weighted 50% MPs, 30% donors, 10% Peers and 10% ordinary members.

    That's quite a change.
    Is the rump of Tory MPs going to be more of less sane than the rump of Tory members?
    quite possibly because a lot of them were appointed by Rishi and parachuted in just before the election...
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,561
    Leon said:

    boulay said:

    Leon said:

    boulay said:

    Leon said:

    Coming to Brittany you realise what a feat the Welsh have achieved - keeping Welsh alive. It is easy to find people naturally speaking Welsh - thee are entire towns where it is the main language. You walk into bars and shops - they speak Welsh

    When I first arrived in Brittany I asked guides where I could find native speakers. They were all all quite furtive - er, try a market, maybe the islands; dunno

    Now I realise that they did not want to disappoint me. But the truth is Breton has vanished

    Language themed empire building is what the French do. Breton is probably as dead as Cornish and they are lying about it with a long term plan of making it an official language of the EU.

    I am having a French themed travel year - Polynésie. Bretagne. Algérie.
    They try and keep Jersey Norman French going, teaching it in schools here but it’s more a novelty than a living language. The oldies who are from generations of islanders still speak it to each other, an ex’s stepfather used to speak to his brothers and parents in it, sounds like South Africans speaking bad French.

    I always chuckle thinking that when French tourists come here and they see all the signs etc in Jersey Norman French that they must think some tosser has tried to write in French and got it wrong as it has many differences that are clearer when seen written than spoken.
    You’ve travelled in Brittany a lot. Have you ever heard Breton spoken in a natural setting? Eg casually between people in shops or markets or bars etc?
    Not that I remember however I’m usually only sober for an hour at the beginning and an hour at the end of my visits. I think if you go inland you have a better chance of hearing it amongst the farmers but the coasts attract tourists and workers from elsewhere so it flushed out Breton.

    We had lots of Bretons come here pre about 1970 to work on the farms before the Madeirans took their place and I’ve heard that there was absolute mutual lack of understanding between them and the Jèrriais speakers despite growing up across about 20 miles of sea.
    That’s what quora is telling me. Maybe a few old farmers deep inland but even there you’ve got to be really lucky

    So it is essentially dead
    Are you going to get to La Baule before you leave? Definitely worth it whilst down there.
  • rcs1000 said:

    Reform UK makes official complaint against Channel 4 over ‘electoral interference’

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/29/reform-make-official-complaint-against-channel-4/

    Its very Trumpian...it was the deep state setup.

    It's true: none of the seven regular viewers of Channel 4 News are voting Reform
    Green party for the secret seven.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,906
    edited June 29
    eek said:

    MattW said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Under the proposed changes, there would be an electoral college, weighted 50% MPs, 30% donors, 10% Peers and 10% ordinary members.

    That's quite a change.
    Is the rump of Tory MPs going to be more of less sane than the rump of Tory members?
    quite possibly because a lot of them were appointed by Rishi and parachuted in just before the election...
    The most sensible and informed college of electors for the Tory leadership would be the members of the House of Lords who take the Tory whip. They would be far better than MPs, donors (sadly that probably isn't a joke) and ordinary members.
  • Nunu5 said:

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    Because he knows he'll be eviscerated by Laura K, all this paid actor nonsense is not gonna cut it. He has no proof, to the contrary there is proof that guy has been campaigning with reform for some time.
    That would not surprise me. That actor, was he in The Long Good Friday with Bob Hoskins and Razors, one of the other characters in the film.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 49,210

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    The most straightforward answer is perhaps correct. The QT audience is representative of the nation, can see through Farage's grift and lies and called him out on it.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,908
    Roger said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Sandpit said:

    The problem was entirely on the MPs, selecting two names and then refusing to back the winner.

    If you don’t want someone to be leader, then don’t nominate them in the first place.

    The problem was the pool of names they had to choose from

    If you don't want only duds, don't select a vindictive clown as leader...
    Yes, the lack of Anna Soubry was a blow they never really recovered from.
    She was very articulate. A few more like her and a few less of the lunatic fringe and this could have been a competitive election. I just listened to an any questions and even though the quite likeable David Davis was the Tory on board the loathing for the Tories from a Fleetwood audience was something to behold.
    How could you tell with her mouth full of furniture?
  • TimSTimS Posts: 13,225
    Eabhal said:

    Omnium said:

    It seems to me there are just two traits which matter when it comes to being English.

    - A fondness for drinking tea
    - A delight in annoying the French and Scots at any and all opportunities.

    I see nothing wrong in either of these things, indeed it's clearly the premier mark of civilisation. So I rather disagree with the header!

    English nationalism is generally awful. It feels very contrived. I'm far more likely to think of myself as British than English, although I'm obviously both.


    The problem with English nationalism is that English culture, or something very similar, is the default way of doing business around large chunks of the developed world. The English language and the (English) business suit, most obviously.

    So an English nationalism doesn't have much to work with. England's success means it isn't distinctive.
    It’s the same reason MAGA American nationalism is self defeating.

    Some identities are expansionist and proselytising, just like some religions (Islam and Christianity). Others are insular and rooted in geography or ethnicity, like Judaism and most Hinduism.

    Ringfencing English or American culture is like Islam deciding it should only be practised by people living in the Arabian peninsula.
  • boulay said:

    Leon said:

    boulay said:

    Leon said:

    boulay said:

    Leon said:

    Coming to Brittany you realise what a feat the Welsh have achieved - keeping Welsh alive. It is easy to find people naturally speaking Welsh - thee are entire towns where it is the main language. You walk into bars and shops - they speak Welsh

    When I first arrived in Brittany I asked guides where I could find native speakers. They were all all quite furtive - er, try a market, maybe the islands; dunno

    Now I realise that they did not want to disappoint me. But the truth is Breton has vanished

    Language themed empire building is what the French do. Breton is probably as dead as Cornish and they are lying about it with a long term plan of making it an official language of the EU.

    I am having a French themed travel year - Polynésie. Bretagne. Algérie.
    They try and keep Jersey Norman French going, teaching it in schools here but it’s more a novelty than a living language. The oldies who are from generations of islanders still speak it to each other, an ex’s stepfather used to speak to his brothers and parents in it, sounds like South Africans speaking bad French.

    I always chuckle thinking that when French tourists come here and they see all the signs etc in Jersey Norman French that they must think some tosser has tried to write in French and got it wrong as it has many differences that are clearer when seen written than spoken.
    You’ve travelled in Brittany a lot. Have you ever heard Breton spoken in a natural setting? Eg casually between people in shops or markets or bars etc?
    Not that I remember however I’m usually only sober for an hour at the beginning and an hour at the end of my visits. I think if you go inland you have a better chance of hearing it amongst the farmers but the coasts attract tourists and workers from elsewhere so it flushed out Breton.

    We had lots of Bretons come here pre about 1970 to work on the farms before the Madeirans took their place and I’ve heard that there was absolute mutual lack of understanding between them and the Jèrriais speakers despite growing up across about 20 miles of sea.
    That’s what quora is telling me. Maybe a few old farmers deep inland but even there you’ve got to be really lucky

    So it is essentially dead
    Are you going to get to La Baule before you leave? Definitely worth it whilst down there.
    Lovely place!
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,477
    Sandpit said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    The problem was entirely on the MPs, selecting two names and then refusing to back the winner.

    If you don’t want someone to be leader, then don’t nominate them in the first place.
    Plenty of them didn't.

    The final MP round went

    Sunak 137
    Truss 113
    Mordaunt 105

    Sunak had the support of just over a third of MPs, the other two just under a third each.

    That's an extreme case, albeit not quite as bad as 2001;

    Clarke 59
    Duncan-Smith 54
    Portillo 53

    But in both cases, MPs were clearer who they didn't want (anyone on the shortlist, really) than who they did.

    I don't know how you deal with that. Second place in a round of three can easily be the support of less than a third of MPs, which isn't much of a mandate to lead. But if the membership can't choose the second choice of MPs, what's the point of the final round?

    Wonder how many MPs it will take to get to the final ballot this time?
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,265
    First game of the knockout stage. Red against blue. Hmm....
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,170

    Given I want Britain to be dissolved through Scottish Independence and the reunification of Ireland it would be daft for me to describe myself as British.

    But I also think English as a race concept is equally daft given what a mongrel people we are. We are the Heinz 57 variety of humanity and all the better for it. English to me is a cultural thing, accepting certain basic ideals even if we generally fail to achieve them as a nation. That is why some of the most English people I ever met were not white, not Christian and, in some cases, not even born here.

    I am as British as Queen Victoria.
    "So, your father's German, you're half-German, and you married a German?"
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533

    Nunu5 said:

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    Because he knows he'll be eviscerated by Laura K, all this paid actor nonsense is not gonna cut it. He has no proof, to the contrary there is proof that guy has been campaigning with reform for some time.
    That would not surprise me. That actor, was he in The Long Good Friday with Bob Hoskins and Razors, one of the other characters in the film.
    Cracking film Long Good Friday.
  • Reform UK makes official complaint against Channel 4 over ‘electoral interference’

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/29/reform-make-official-complaint-against-channel-4/

    Its very Trumpian...it was the deep state setup.

    And look how the terminally stupid have fallen for Farage's bullshit.
    His only talk rubbish. Pratt he is.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 28,470

    Carnyx said:

    RobD said:

    Carnyx said:

    biggles said:

    I remain British by birth, but English by the grace of God, as the saying goes.

    UK by birth, or at least passport, surely ...
    Doesn't the passport say British citizen?
    NI.

    Edit: it does say 'British citizen' but this is absurd as the main texts say United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. And no way is NI part of Britain.
    Actually Britain has long been synonymous with UK. You are thinking of Great Britain (putting Olympics to one side).
    Britain is bigger than Great Britain?

    I am three parts England one part Isle of Skye. I say English because I wouldn't, ahem, want to be accused of falsely claiming the honour of having Welsh or NI blood and anyway foreigners are only interested in the language and the PL which are both genuinely English not British. UK filling in forms as it saves 5 letters.
    Yes. Mind you, it is not so long ago that England was used for the whole place. You can see Britain, England and UK used more or less interchangeably in old films or abroad even now.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,908
    Foxy said:

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    The most straightforward answer is perhaps correct. The QT audience is representative of the nation, can see through Farage's grift and lies and called him out on it.
    Given that we spend hours here poring over the GE polling, I'm really not sure how to respond to such an astonishingly asinine answer. By all means re-engage in more honest terms if you'd like to have a genuine discussion.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,906
    edited June 29

    Reform UK makes official complaint against Channel 4 over ‘electoral interference’

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/29/reform-make-official-complaint-against-channel-4/

    Its very Trumpian...it was the deep state setup.

    And look how the terminally stupid have fallen for Farage's bullshit.
    I feel fairly sure we don't know the whole story of the racist actor thing. Nothing about it rings true or makes entire sense. Could a fresh set of insights about this be a big story this week?

    5 more sleeps and somewhere between 4 and 7 days till the election.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,592

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    So what is left is a fear that LK's questions will do him no favours - hence he doesn't want to do the show and needs an excuse to justify not doing it.

  • eek said:

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    So what is left is a fear that LK's questions will do him no favours - hence he doesn't want to do the show and needs an excuse to justify not doing it.

    Exactly. You have seen threw him.
  • bobbobbobbob Posts: 100
    edited June 29

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Good. The party leader has to be the person the MPs think is best to lead them in Parliament. The membership should have nothing to do with it.
    The problem is the leadership increasingly choose candidates…

    Which then choose leaders…

    Parliamentary parties are turning into an exclusive private members clubs that vote amongst themselves who runs the country with little concern about the members or public

    Then people wonder why voters are going third party !!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,994
    algarkirk said:

    Reform UK makes official complaint against Channel 4 over ‘electoral interference’

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/29/reform-make-official-complaint-against-channel-4/

    Its very Trumpian...it was the deep state setup.

    And look how the terminally stupid have fallen for Farage's bullshit.
    I feel fairly sure we don't know the whole story of the racist actor thing. Nothing about it rings true or makes entire sense. Could a fresh set of insights about this be a big story this week?

    5 more sleeps and somewhere between 4 and 7 days till the election.
    Six sleeps for me.

    I have my election day siesta so I can pull an all nighter on election night.
  • Nunu5 said:

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    Because he knows he'll be eviscerated by Laura K, all this paid actor nonsense is not gonna cut it. He has no proof, to the contrary there is proof that guy has been campaigning with reform for some time.
    That would not surprise me. That actor, was he in The Long Good Friday with Bob Hoskins and Razors, one of the other characters in the film.
    Cracking film Long Good Friday.
    Yes! One of the best. Hoskins and Mirren! And the soundtrack!
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 49,210

    Foxy said:

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    The most straightforward answer is perhaps correct. The QT audience is representative of the nation, can see through Farage's grift and lies and called him out on it.
    Given that we spend hours here poring over the GE polling, I'm really not sure how to respond to such an astonishingly asinine answer. By all means re-engage in more honest terms if you'd like to have a genuine discussion.
    I just think the simplistic explanation is the most likely.

    It is obvious from the polls that most Brits cannot stand Farage, even if he does have love-blind fan boys.
  • Reform UK makes official complaint against Channel 4 over ‘electoral interference’

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/29/reform-make-official-complaint-against-channel-4/

    Its very Trumpian...it was the deep state setup.

    And look how the terminally stupid have fallen for Farage's bullshit.
    His only talk rubbish. Pratt he is.
    Talks rubbish.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,994
    bobbob said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Good. The party leader has to be the person the MPs think is best to lead them in Parliament. The membership should have nothing to do with it.
    The problem is the leadership increasingly choose candidates…

    Which then choose leaders…

    Parliamentary parties are turning into an exclusive private members clubs that vote amongst themselves who runs the country with little concern about the members or public

    Then people wonder why voters are going third party !!
    When I joined the Tory party members didn't get the vote, I am fine to having no vote on the leader.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,908
    eek said:

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    So what is left is a fear that LK's questions will do him no favours - hence he doesn't want to do the show and needs an excuse to justify not doing it.

    I don't think NF really has much to worry about from hostile questioning. Too hostile; it wins him sympathy. Medium hostile and below, he does well. He's a good TV interview performer - certainly the best amongst the current leadership I'd say.
  • Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    The most straightforward answer is perhaps correct. The QT audience is representative of the nation, can see through Farage's grift and lies and called him out on it.
    Given that we spend hours here poring over the GE polling, I'm really not sure how to respond to such an astonishingly asinine answer. By all means re-engage in more honest terms if you'd like to have a genuine discussion.
    I just think the simplistic explanation is the most likely.

    It is obvious from the polls that most Brits cannot stand Farage, even if he does have love-blind fan boys.
    I agree. I will eat my hat if Reform poll over 10.0%. I hope that I do not have to!
  • Nunu5Nunu5 Posts: 976
    Reforn have suspended seven candidates - who will appear on ballot papers - since nominations closed on June 7th (including one voluntary resignation).
    Barnsley North,
    Basingstoke,
    Derbyshire Dales,
    Horsham,
    Leeds West and Pudsey,
    North West Essex,
    Southend East & Rochford

    Bit of a pattern.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,046

    bobbob said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Good. The party leader has to be the person the MPs think is best to lead them in Parliament. The membership should have nothing to do with it.
    The problem is the leadership increasingly choose candidates…

    Which then choose leaders…

    Parliamentary parties are turning into an exclusive private members clubs that vote amongst themselves who runs the country with little concern about the members or public

    Then people wonder why voters are going third party !!
    When I joined the Tory party members didn't get the vote, I am fine to having no vote on the leader.
    Bring back the men in grey suits.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,685

    Scott_xP said:

    Sandpit said:

    The problem was entirely on the MPs, selecting two names and then refusing to back the winner.

    If you don’t want someone to be leader, then don’t nominate them in the first place.

    The problem was the pool of names they had to choose from

    If you don't want only duds, don't select a vindictive clown as leader...
    Yes, the lack of Anna Soubry was a blow they never really recovered from.
    Just imagine if Truss had left the party rather than Soubry... the country would be in a *much* better state...
    The great failure of the Conservative Party in the post 2016 era, is that they have managed to drive out both Anderson (and his ilk) and Soubry (and hers), leaving them with the support of - checks - homeowning pensioners.

  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,914

    bobbob said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Good. The party leader has to be the person the MPs think is best to lead them in Parliament. The membership should have nothing to do with it.
    The problem is the leadership increasingly choose candidates…

    Which then choose leaders…

    Parliamentary parties are turning into an exclusive private members clubs that vote amongst themselves who runs the country with little concern about the members or public

    Then people wonder why voters are going third party !!
    When I joined the Tory party members didn't get the vote, I am fine to having no vote on the leader.
    I'm no longer a Tory member, but the choice of leader is clearly best left to the MPs, and I don't mind if the Lords are involved too.

    I think this is true for Labour too.
  • RobD said:

    bobbob said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Good. The party leader has to be the person the MPs think is best to lead them in Parliament. The membership should have nothing to do with it.
    The problem is the leadership increasingly choose candidates…

    Which then choose leaders…

    Parliamentary parties are turning into an exclusive private members clubs that vote amongst themselves who runs the country with little concern about the members or public

    Then people wonder why voters are going third party !!
    When I joined the Tory party members didn't get the vote, I am fine to having no vote on the leader.
    Bring back the men in grey suits.
    Where is honest John?
  • bobbobbobbob Posts: 100

    bobbob said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Good. The party leader has to be the person the MPs think is best to lead them in Parliament. The membership should have nothing to do with it.
    The problem is the leadership increasingly choose candidates…

    Which then choose leaders…

    Parliamentary parties are turning into an exclusive private members clubs that vote amongst themselves who runs the country with little concern about the members or public

    Then people wonder why voters are going third party !!
    When I joined the Tory party members didn't get the vote, I am fine to having no vote on the leader.
    You make a good point about the age of the Tory membership but that’s another problem !!
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,484
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Coming to Brittany you realise what a feat the Welsh have achieved - keeping Welsh alive. It is easy to find people naturally speaking Welsh - thee are entire towns where it is the main language. You walk into bars and shops - they speak Welsh

    When I first arrived in Brittany I asked guides where I could find native speakers. They were all all quite furtive - er, try a market, maybe the islands; dunno

    Now I realise that they did not want to disappoint me. But the truth is Breton has vanished

    Language themed empire building is what the French do. Breton is probably as dead as Cornish and they are lying about it with a long term plan of making it an official language of the EU.

    I am having a French themed travel year - Polynésie. Bretagne. Algérie.

    They really are lying about it

    A language does not exist if it is not spoken naturally. The fact some kids learn it then forget it means nothing. The fact you can probably only hear it at Breton festivals means it is functionally dead

    Which is quite incredible when you learn that there might have been a million speakers as late as 1950. Now all gone
    If you want to hear rare and endangered languages you really should visit Taiwan.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Formosan_languages
  • AlsoLeiAlsoLei Posts: 1,500

    I know I'm becoming an utter bore about this - and I've taken a bit out of my instant access savings to top up my arb, but at least it's a betting post!

    Corbyn getting routinely matched below 2 (last 1.86) at Betfair
    Best available back odds - 2.5 with Ladbrokes/Coral

    The arb has been there for over 24 hours now, apart from briefly disappearing around lunchtime today.

    I wonder what's driving it - optimistic Corbyn fans, genuine info from canvass returns, or an attempt to manipulate the odds? The latter has almost certainly happened in previous elections, but I suspect it would be unwise in the current climate.

    Whatever's going on, it's weird that the bookies haven't spotted the discrepancy...
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,994
    bobbob said:

    bobbob said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Good. The party leader has to be the person the MPs think is best to lead them in Parliament. The membership should have nothing to do with it.
    The problem is the leadership increasingly choose candidates…

    Which then choose leaders…

    Parliamentary parties are turning into an exclusive private members clubs that vote amongst themselves who runs the country with little concern about the members or public

    Then people wonder why voters are going third party !!
    When I joined the Tory party members didn't get the vote, I am fine to having no vote on the leader.
    You make a good point about the age of the Tory membership but that’s another problem !!
    I joined the Tory party when I was 18, a few days after the 1997 election.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    edited June 29
    Omnium said:

    bobbob said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Good. The party leader has to be the person the MPs think is best to lead them in Parliament. The membership should have nothing to do with it.
    The problem is the leadership increasingly choose candidates…

    Which then choose leaders…

    Parliamentary parties are turning into an exclusive private members clubs that vote amongst themselves who runs the country with little concern about the members or public

    Then people wonder why voters are going third party !!
    When I joined the Tory party members didn't get the vote, I am fine to having no vote on the leader.
    I'm no longer a Tory member, but the choice of leader is clearly best left to the MPs, and I don't mind if the Lords are involved too.

    I think this is true for Labour too.
    The complications of a leader who is not supported in Parliament but supported by Members are too severe in a system where the leader is also an MP - they cannot delegate their management of the legislature, and simply appealing over their heads to the Members who back you is not practical.

    I doubt such a chance will happen though, whilst parties have a right to choose a leader however they wish, cutting out members entirely would look poor in these times.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,960
    edited June 29

    Foxy said:

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    The most straightforward answer is perhaps correct. The QT audience is representative of the nation, can see through Farage's grift and lies and called him out on it.
    Given that we spend hours here poring over the GE polling, I'm really not sure how to respond to such an astonishingly asinine answer. By all means re-engage in more honest terms if you'd like to have a genuine discussion.
    Or perhaps the QT audience is representative, but you forget that most people aren't brave enough to publicly come out in support of someone like Farage.

    There is a bit of a meme that Reform voters are all blowhards. They certainly come across that way on social media. But in a public, physical setting...

    (I met a virulent anti-cycling social media campaigner in person. The man didn't have the courage to stand up in a public meeting or call me anything nasty face to face. Nice chap, just gone a bit Linehan).
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    Nunu5 said:

    Reforn have suspended seven candidates - who will appear on ballot papers - since nominations closed on June 7th (including one voluntary resignation).
    Barnsley North,
    Basingstoke,
    Derbyshire Dales,
    Horsham,
    Leeds West and Pudsey,
    North West Essex,
    Southend East & Rochford

    Bit of a pattern.

    The deep state got them?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,994
    RobD said:

    bobbob said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Good. The party leader has to be the person the MPs think is best to lead them in Parliament. The membership should have nothing to do with it.
    The problem is the leadership increasingly choose candidates…

    Which then choose leaders…

    Parliamentary parties are turning into an exclusive private members clubs that vote amongst themselves who runs the country with little concern about the members or public

    Then people wonder why voters are going third party !!
    When I joined the Tory party members didn't get the vote, I am fine to having no vote on the leader.
    Bring back the men in grey suits.
    The magic circle was fab.

    Another reason I didn't become an MP, I do not own a grey suit.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 28,470
    Keir & Ange livestream on now.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wbOOV8ziBFY
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    rcs1000 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Sandpit said:

    The problem was entirely on the MPs, selecting two names and then refusing to back the winner.

    If you don’t want someone to be leader, then don’t nominate them in the first place.

    The problem was the pool of names they had to choose from

    If you don't want only duds, don't select a vindictive clown as leader...
    Yes, the lack of Anna Soubry was a blow they never really recovered from.
    Just imagine if Truss had left the party rather than Soubry... the country would be in a *much* better state...
    The great failure of the Conservative Party in the post 2016 era, is that they have managed to drive out both Anderson (and his ilk) and Soubry (and hers), leaving them with the support of - checks - homeowning pensioners.

    Yes, in a way a more consistent if unpalatable to many focus might have been better, losing them only one side of the broad tent.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,606
    boulay said:

    Leon said:

    boulay said:

    Leon said:

    boulay said:

    Leon said:

    Coming to Brittany you realise what a feat the Welsh have achieved - keeping Welsh alive. It is easy to find people naturally speaking Welsh - thee are entire towns where it is the main language. You walk into bars and shops - they speak Welsh

    When I first arrived in Brittany I asked guides where I could find native speakers. They were all all quite furtive - er, try a market, maybe the islands; dunno

    Now I realise that they did not want to disappoint me. But the truth is Breton has vanished

    Language themed empire building is what the French do. Breton is probably as dead as Cornish and they are lying about it with a long term plan of making it an official language of the EU.

    I am having a French themed travel year - Polynésie. Bretagne. Algérie.
    They try and keep Jersey Norman French going, teaching it in schools here but it’s more a novelty than a living language. The oldies who are from generations of islanders still speak it to each other, an ex’s stepfather used to speak to his brothers and parents in it, sounds like South Africans speaking bad French.

    I always chuckle thinking that when French tourists come here and they see all the signs etc in Jersey Norman French that they must think some tosser has tried to write in French and got it wrong as it has many differences that are clearer when seen written than spoken.
    You’ve travelled in Brittany a lot. Have you ever heard Breton spoken in a natural setting? Eg casually between people in shops or markets or bars etc?
    Not that I remember however I’m usually only sober for an hour at the beginning and an hour at the end of my visits. I think if you go inland you have a better chance of hearing it amongst the farmers but the coasts attract tourists and workers from elsewhere so it flushed out Breton.

    We had lots of Bretons come here pre about 1970 to work on the farms before the Madeirans took their place and I’ve heard that there was absolute mutual lack of understanding between them and the Jèrriais speakers despite growing up across about 20 miles of sea.
    That’s what quora is telling me. Maybe a few old farmers deep inland but even there you’ve got to be really lucky

    So it is essentially dead
    Are you going to get to La Baule before you leave? Definitely worth it whilst down there.
    Jeez gimme a break. I’ve been everywhere! I’m quite knackered now. Six islands in seven days. And now I’ve got drive to st malo - eeek
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,653
    Tory MPs of course wanted Sunak over Truss. Sadly we'll never know the counterfactual of a PM Sunak, but I guess we are assuming it would have worked out really well.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,449
    algarkirk said:

    Reform UK makes official complaint against Channel 4 over ‘electoral interference’

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/29/reform-make-official-complaint-against-channel-4/

    Its very Trumpian...it was the deep state setup.

    And look how the terminally stupid have fallen for Farage's bullshit.
    I feel fairly sure we don't know the whole story of the racist actor thing. Nothing about it rings true or makes entire sense. Could a fresh set of insights about this be a big story this week?

    5 more sleeps and somewhere between 4 and 7 days till the election.
    "Fewer than one month" if one wanted to ignite another arguiment on PB. But it will soon be time for some chilled rose with the olives and bread starter.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,979
    edited June 29

    Reform UK makes official complaint against Channel 4 over ‘electoral interference’

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/29/reform-make-official-complaint-against-channel-4/

    Its very Trumpian...it was the deep state setup.

    You think the campaigner in Clacton was a real Reform member? I don't believe he was.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,914
    rcs1000 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Sandpit said:

    The problem was entirely on the MPs, selecting two names and then refusing to back the winner.

    If you don’t want someone to be leader, then don’t nominate them in the first place.

    The problem was the pool of names they had to choose from

    If you don't want only duds, don't select a vindictive clown as leader...
    Yes, the lack of Anna Soubry was a blow they never really recovered from.
    Just imagine if Truss had left the party rather than Soubry... the country would be in a *much* better state...
    The great failure of the Conservative Party in the post 2016 era, is that they have managed to drive out both Anderson (and his ilk) and Soubry (and hers), leaving them with the support of - checks - homeowning pensioners.

    Anderson sort of drove himself out. He's a very odd character. I rather like him, but he's not a party man.

    Soubry had the worlds biggest strop over Brexit. Once she starts dealing with whatever issues that caused her to be so childish then I'd happily, once again, listen to what she has to say.

    I think the most disappointing loss was Rory Stewart. He can be great, but often a mixed bag, and sometimes Boris-like in terms of self-opinion. Nonetheless I thought he was an important voice in the party, and he seems the biggest loss.

  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,334

    eek said:

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    So what is left is a fear that LK's questions will do him no favours - hence he doesn't want to do the show and needs an excuse to justify not doing it.

    I don't think NF really has much to worry about from hostile questioning. Too hostile; it wins him sympathy. Medium hostile and below, he does well. He's a good TV interview performer - certainly the best amongst the current leadership I'd say.
    I agree Farage is a good performer. Where he is more at risk, though, is that many Reform voters are imo quite low-information voters (this isn't specific to Reform, I think the Greens suffer in the same way).

    Specifically in the case of Reform, I think many people tend to vote for them because they perceive them to be 'proper right-wing Tories'. But that then runs into problems once you delve into the Reform policies and realise that they are rather Trussite in their views on costing those policies. I know you (LuckyGuy) believe that Truss's approach to the economy is a proper right-wing approach but you have to be smart enough to realise that unfunded tax cuts like their small business cuts and stamp duty stuff will go down like a cup of cold sick amongst the electorate.

    Hence Farage needs to keep Reform's voters low-information, or he'll start to lose them.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,561
    Leon said:

    boulay said:

    Leon said:

    boulay said:

    Leon said:

    boulay said:

    Leon said:

    Coming to Brittany you realise what a feat the Welsh have achieved - keeping Welsh alive. It is easy to find people naturally speaking Welsh - thee are entire towns where it is the main language. You walk into bars and shops - they speak Welsh

    When I first arrived in Brittany I asked guides where I could find native speakers. They were all all quite furtive - er, try a market, maybe the islands; dunno

    Now I realise that they did not want to disappoint me. But the truth is Breton has vanished

    Language themed empire building is what the French do. Breton is probably as dead as Cornish and they are lying about it with a long term plan of making it an official language of the EU.

    I am having a French themed travel year - Polynésie. Bretagne. Algérie.
    They try and keep Jersey Norman French going, teaching it in schools here but it’s more a novelty than a living language. The oldies who are from generations of islanders still speak it to each other, an ex’s stepfather used to speak to his brothers and parents in it, sounds like South Africans speaking bad French.

    I always chuckle thinking that when French tourists come here and they see all the signs etc in Jersey Norman French that they must think some tosser has tried to write in French and got it wrong as it has many differences that are clearer when seen written than spoken.
    You’ve travelled in Brittany a lot. Have you ever heard Breton spoken in a natural setting? Eg casually between people in shops or markets or bars etc?
    Not that I remember however I’m usually only sober for an hour at the beginning and an hour at the end of my visits. I think if you go inland you have a better chance of hearing it amongst the farmers but the coasts attract tourists and workers from elsewhere so it flushed out Breton.

    We had lots of Bretons come here pre about 1970 to work on the farms before the Madeirans took their place and I’ve heard that there was absolute mutual lack of understanding between them and the Jèrriais speakers despite growing up across about 20 miles of sea.
    That’s what quora is telling me. Maybe a few old farmers deep inland but even there you’ve got to be really lucky

    So it is essentially dead
    Are you going to get to La Baule before you leave? Definitely worth it whilst down there.
    Jeez gimme a break. I’ve been everywhere! I’m quite knackered now. Six islands in seven days. And now I’ve got drive to st malo - eeek
    https://youtu.be/WoIfglXAbh0?si=XbXLmjhqM29xDgLJ

    Jonny Cash knows your pain.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,449
    Andy_JS said:

    Reform UK makes official complaint against Channel 4 over ‘electoral interference’

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/29/reform-make-official-complaint-against-channel-4/

    Its very Trumpian...it was the deep state setup.

    You think the campaigner in Clacton was a real Reform member? I don't believe he was.
    "Real"? Seems to have been. Signed up and all, no? And active over a period of years. What more do you want?

    I mean, look at the average politician. Boris Johnson, for instance. Or Harold Wilson. How much of that is real and how much a deliberate persona?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,685

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    I can't think what NF's end game is refusing a Laura K interview until the Beeb apologises for the QT audience. I don't think they will, therefore I don't think he'll do the interview, therefore Reform will miss out, which is bad. Each time Farage appears I think it's good for the party - I think even the rough ride he got on QT will help him. So I'm not sure why he's not leaving the bitter recriminations to after the election. Perhaps he's just knackered.

    There is a conspiracy theorist angle on the whole QT audience thing - let's say the C4 racism expose was considered completely legitimate, no hint of a set up. Then, the QT appearance before a stony, baleful audience becomes like a media execution - a TV 'moment' where 'The British public angrily rejects racism'. The audience is packed with people who hate Reform just to make the window dressing perfect with no chance of NF winning them round. But beforehand, it all goes a bit to shit with the acting revelations. Now the expose is called into question, and the whole QT execution format doesn't really work any more. It goes ahead as planned, nothing else can possibly be done, but Bruce's questioning now appears partisan and aggressive, and the stony silence from the audience now looks a bit suspicious given that 'people who support Reform' are meant to make up a quotient.

    I am still not sure what trying to hold the Beeb to ransome will do - Reform has no ground game, so NF really needs to be everywhere.

    The most straightforward answer is perhaps correct. The QT audience is representative of the nation, can see through Farage's grift and lies and called him out on it.
    Given that we spend hours here poring over the GE polling, I'm really not sure how to respond to such an astonishingly asinine answer. By all means re-engage in more honest terms if you'd like to have a genuine discussion.
    I just think the simplistic explanation is the most likely.

    It is obvious from the polls that most Brits cannot stand Farage, even if he does have love-blind fan boys.
    I agree. I will eat my hat if Reform poll over 10.0%. I hope that I do not have to!
    I would be surprised if they polled under 10%. I would be equally surprised if they ended up surpassing the Conservatives on the night.

    Most likely, I think, is that they end up in the mid-teens: somewhere slightly above where UKIP was in 2015.

    They will likely be aided by a much more split opposition. In 2015, Conservative and Labour were 77% of the vote. This time, the big two's share looks to have a ceiling of about 65% - or maybe even a little less. Which means there is a really good chance that Reform wins at least a couple of seats, notably Ashfield and Clacton.
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,674
    Omnium said:

    bobbob said:

    Conservative party members could lose their final say over who becomes Tory leader as senior figures weigh up whether to change the rules if they suffer an election defeat.

    Two Cabinet ministers have expressed interest to The Telegraph about diluting the voting power of members given criticism over how the grassroots selected Liz Truss in 2022.

    Similar arguments have been made in public and private by influential Tories in the last year amid frustration at how Ms Truss’s premiership backfired, sending the party’s opinion poll rating plummeting.

    While Tory candidates are insisting it is still possible to win the general election next Thursday, privately many are braced for defeat, with minds turning to what may come afterwards.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/28/tory-members-new-party-leader-general-election/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1719605657-1

    Good. The party leader has to be the person the MPs think is best to lead them in Parliament. The membership should have nothing to do with it.
    The problem is the leadership increasingly choose candidates…

    Which then choose leaders…

    Parliamentary parties are turning into an exclusive private members clubs that vote amongst themselves who runs the country with little concern about the members or public

    Then people wonder why voters are going third party !!
    When I joined the Tory party members didn't get the vote, I am fine to having no vote on the leader.
    I'm no longer a Tory member, but the choice of leader is clearly best left to the MPs, and I don't mind if the Lords are involved too.

    I think this is true for Labour too.
    Personally, I think MPs should consult their membership by whatever means they personally feel is appropriate and then vote according to their conscience for the person who commands their confidence in the house.

    Changing government party leader and hence PM is also fine by me.

    Essentially I worry about us moving away from representative democracy towards more "direct democracy" which I fear leans towards populism.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,685
    BTW:

    A fun bet for election night has to be LibDem share vs Reform share. What's the PB consensus? Reform +1?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,170
    algarkirk said:

    Reform UK makes official complaint against Channel 4 over ‘electoral interference’

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/29/reform-make-official-complaint-against-channel-4/

    Its very Trumpian...it was the deep state setup.

    And look how the terminally stupid have fallen for Farage's bullshit.
    I feel fairly sure we don't know the whole story of the racist actor thing. Nothing about it rings true or makes entire sense. Could a fresh set of insights about this be a big story this week?

    5 more sleeps and somewhere between 4 and 7 days till the election.
    FIVE DAYS TO SAVE THE TORY PARTY!!!
This discussion has been closed.