Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Your reminder the betting markets are frequently wrong – politicalbetting.com

17891012

Comments

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    ToryJim said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Rishi Sunak must face questions about the fortune he earned at a hedge fund which engineered a deal at the heart of the financial crash, Labour has said, as it prepares to launch its first major attack on the prime minister ahead of the election debates.

    The party aims to turn the spotlight onto Sunak’s time before politics in the days before the first TV debate between the two leaders, after a week dominated by rows over Diane Abbott’s candidacy. On Sunday, she confirmed she would stand as Labour’s candidate.

    Key to Labour’s attempt to get back on the front foot will be to scrutinise Sunak’s time as a partner at TCI, the hedge fund which launched an activist campaign against Dutch bank ABN Amro which resulted in its sale to RBS in 2007. The takeover was later described as “an extremely risky deal” by the independent financial regulator which said it was a key factor leading to RBS’s failure.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/02/pm-must-face-questions-about-hedge-fund-at-heart-of-financial-crash-says-labour

    Labour aren’t exactly on the back foot.
    Only in the sense of preparing to smash a giant six over cow corner.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,174
    Carnyx said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Rishi Sunak must face questions about the fortune he earned at a hedge fund which engineered a deal at the heart of the financial crash, Labour has said, as it prepares to launch its first major attack on the prime minister ahead of the election debates.

    The party aims to turn the spotlight onto Sunak’s time before politics in the days before the first TV debate between the two leaders, after a week dominated by rows over Diane Abbott’s candidacy. On Sunday, she confirmed she would stand as Labour’s candidate.

    Key to Labour’s attempt to get back on the front foot will be to scrutinise Sunak’s time as a partner at TCI, the hedge fund which launched an activist campaign against Dutch bank ABN Amro which resulted in its sale to RBS in 2007. The takeover was later described as “an extremely risky deal” by the independent financial regulator which said it was a key factor leading to RBS’s failure.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/02/pm-must-face-questions-about-hedge-fund-at-heart-of-financial-crash-says-labour

    I really don't think focusing on Sunak's pre political life is going to be necessary. They should not be short of ammunition for political attacks.
    Isn't the logic that the Tories are always blaming everything on the crash and the Labour administration before them? So if Mr Sunak is implicit ... or so it goes.
    If Sunak worked at RBS and made the decision to buy ABN AMRO, then Labour would have a point. But he didn't. Quite the opposite in fact.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    Carnyx said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Rishi Sunak must face questions about the fortune he earned at a hedge fund which engineered a deal at the heart of the financial crash, Labour has said, as it prepares to launch its first major attack on the prime minister ahead of the election debates.

    The party aims to turn the spotlight onto Sunak’s time before politics in the days before the first TV debate between the two leaders, after a week dominated by rows over Diane Abbott’s candidacy. On Sunday, she confirmed she would stand as Labour’s candidate.

    Key to Labour’s attempt to get back on the front foot will be to scrutinise Sunak’s time as a partner at TCI, the hedge fund which launched an activist campaign against Dutch bank ABN Amro which resulted in its sale to RBS in 2007. The takeover was later described as “an extremely risky deal” by the independent financial regulator which said it was a key factor leading to RBS’s failure.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/02/pm-must-face-questions-about-hedge-fund-at-heart-of-financial-crash-says-labour

    I really don't think focusing on Sunak's pre political life is going to be necessary. They should not be short of ammunition for political attacks.
    Isn't the logic that the Tories are always blaming everything on the crash and the Labour administration before them? So if Mr Sunak is implicit ... or so it goes.
    Icing on the cake I suppose, but might just distract from much more recent and prominent cock ups.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,986
    ToryJim said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Rishi Sunak must face questions about the fortune he earned at a hedge fund which engineered a deal at the heart of the financial crash, Labour has said, as it prepares to launch its first major attack on the prime minister ahead of the election debates.

    The party aims to turn the spotlight onto Sunak’s time before politics in the days before the first TV debate between the two leaders, after a week dominated by rows over Diane Abbott’s candidacy. On Sunday, she confirmed she would stand as Labour’s candidate.

    Key to Labour’s attempt to get back on the front foot will be to scrutinise Sunak’s time as a partner at TCI, the hedge fund which launched an activist campaign against Dutch bank ABN Amro which resulted in its sale to RBS in 2007. The takeover was later described as “an extremely risky deal” by the independent financial regulator which said it was a key factor leading to RBS’s failure.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/02/pm-must-face-questions-about-hedge-fund-at-heart-of-financial-crash-says-labour

    Labour aren’t exactly on the back foot.
    Something, something, foot on their throat, something, something...
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    Foxy said:

    eristdoof said:

    Foxy said:

    It's from the Spectator, so a small health warning applies, but the private school policy is definitely cutting through in some of the more affluent constituencies, and not in a good way for Labour:


    Labour claims that the VAT on school fees, and ending business rate relief, will raise £1.7bn.

    You could raise slightly more money, £1.9bn, by increasing the NICs upper rate from 2% to 3%, according to the IFS "Be The Chancellor" tool. https://ifs.org.uk/election-2024/be-chancellor

    And it would have the advantage of not identifying a particular minority and given them cause to claim victimhood.
    While there are many issues that need sorting out in the public services in order to improve quality and productivity, they pretty much all need some initial capital investment and investment in staff development. That pump priming has to come from somewhere.

    I agree that an across the board tax would be simpler and less distorting, but all the parties have been cornered into promising not to do so. So we wind up either with stealth tax increases (ala the Tories) or capricious taxes such as VAT on school fees.

    The politicians are merely trying to give the people what they ask for, even though they know it is daft.
    VAT exemption on private school fees is distorting. I am really pleased Starmer is proposing scrapping this exemption.
    The distortion encourages people to spend money on education. Education is a good thing. Is that not a distortion worth having?
    It’s completely crackers that private schools are VAT free. I remember when this was first floated I was stunned because I was entirely unaware that this was the case. Why is there VAT on clothes and shoes, but not private schools? Makes no sense whatsoever.
    There isn't VAT on children's clothing, nor on private medical care (except cosmetic surgery).
    So what? What is your point?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,627

    Foxy said:

    eristdoof said:

    Foxy said:

    It's from the Spectator, so a small health warning applies, but the private school policy is definitely cutting through in some of the more affluent constituencies, and not in a good way for Labour:


    Labour claims that the VAT on school fees, and ending business rate relief, will raise £1.7bn.

    You could raise slightly more money, £1.9bn, by increasing the NICs upper rate from 2% to 3%, according to the IFS "Be The Chancellor" tool. https://ifs.org.uk/election-2024/be-chancellor

    And it would have the advantage of not identifying a particular minority and given them cause to claim victimhood.
    While there are many issues that need sorting out in the public services in order to improve quality and productivity, they pretty much all need some initial capital investment and investment in staff development. That pump priming has to come from somewhere.

    I agree that an across the board tax would be simpler and less distorting, but all the parties have been cornered into promising not to do so. So we wind up either with stealth tax increases (ala the Tories) or capricious taxes such as VAT on school fees.

    The politicians are merely trying to give the people what they ask for, even though they know it is daft.
    VAT exemption on private school fees is distorting. I am really pleased Starmer is proposing scrapping this exemption.
    The distortion encourages people to spend money on education. Education is a good thing. Is that not a distortion worth having?
    It’s completely crackers that private schools are VAT free. I remember when this was first floated I was stunned because I was entirely unaware that this was the case. Why is there VAT on clothes and shoes, but not private schools? Makes no sense whatsoever.
    There isn't VAT on children's clothing, nor on private medical care (except cosmetic surgery).
    So what? What is your point?
    That VAT rules are full of exceptions.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    edited June 2
    CatMan said:

    Poll Ramping Alert:

    https://x.com/patrickjfl/status/1797370884501524482

    "The first voting intention poll from us at
    @focaldataHQ
    should be out tomorrow. Some interesting results!
    "

    The Seventh Circle of Hell is reserved for the poll rampers.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,814
    Andy_JS said:

    viewcode said:

    Beans on toast.
    If you are feeling flush: put butter on the toast

    😀

    I eat baked beans on toast all the time. Nice with brown sauce.
    Beans on Naan!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071

    Andy_JS said:

    viewcode said:

    Beans on toast.
    If you are feeling flush: put butter on the toast

    😀

    I eat baked beans on toast all the time. Nice with brown sauce.
    Beans on Naan!
    Even easier with Heinz's Jalfrezi flavoured baked beans!
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,930
    CatMan said:

    Poll Ramping Alert:

    https://x.com/patrickjfl/status/1797370884501524482

    "The first voting intention poll from us at
    @focaldataHQ
    should be out tomorrow. Some interesting results!
    "

    Does anyone ever say “we have a poll out tomorrow. The results are really boring”
  • eekeek Posts: 28,366
    Nigelb said:

    LOL

    We found out why Russia and China can't agree on the Power of Siberia-2 gas pipeline.

    China wants to pay close to the subsidized Russian domestic price and will only commit to buying a fraction of capacity:

    https://x.com/maxseddon/status/1797360255304663377

    Russia is now just an economic dependent of china, in the same way half of Africa is...
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    eristdoof said:

    Foxy said:

    It's from the Spectator, so a small health warning applies, but the private school policy is definitely cutting through in some of the more affluent constituencies, and not in a good way for Labour:


    Labour claims that the VAT on school fees, and ending business rate relief, will raise £1.7bn.

    You could raise slightly more money, £1.9bn, by increasing the NICs upper rate from 2% to 3%, according to the IFS "Be The Chancellor" tool. https://ifs.org.uk/election-2024/be-chancellor

    And it would have the advantage of not identifying a particular minority and given them cause to claim victimhood.
    While there are many issues that need sorting out in the public services in order to improve quality and productivity, they pretty much all need some initial capital investment and investment in staff development. That pump priming has to come from somewhere.

    I agree that an across the board tax would be simpler and less distorting, but all the parties have been cornered into promising not to do so. So we wind up either with stealth tax increases (ala the Tories) or capricious taxes such as VAT on school fees.

    The politicians are merely trying to give the people what they ask for, even though they know it is daft.
    VAT exemption on private school fees is distorting. I am really pleased Starmer is proposing scrapping this exemption.
    The distortion encourages people to spend money on education. Education is a good thing. Is that not a distortion worth having?
    It’s completely crackers that private schools are VAT free. I remember when this was first floated I was stunned because I was entirely unaware that this was the case. Why is there VAT on clothes and shoes, but not private schools? Makes no sense whatsoever.
    There isn't VAT on children's clothing, nor on private medical care (except cosmetic surgery).
    So what? What is your point?
    That VAT rules are full of exceptions.
    Well you have named two. The private healthcare one is also crackers. Children’s clothes, fair enough. Why do we pay VAT on adult clothes - which are an essential - and not on private school fees? It’s a nonsense.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,311

    kle4 said:

    Farooq said:

    On this counter culture trend its notable how support for gay marriage is now plummeting too.

    Seems like it should be a bigger story that support for gay marriage is dropping fast.

    Among Republicans, it dropped by 15 points in one year.

    Among Gen Z, it dropped 11 points in two years.

    For years, support for gay marriage has only trended up. Now, that trend is reversing.
    Quote
    America 2100
    @America_2100
    ·
    May 31

    https://x.com/njhochman/status/1796640343279993339

    Pace yourself now. Don't stat saying "clot shot" til day 2.
    Conversations in my local yesterday.
    Much desire for a strong leader like Putin.
    Disgust evidenced with democracy.
    This is pretty nationwide now.
    The nation in question being Russia
    I'm enjoying trying to imagine the scenario where at the local pub in Shoeburyness or wherever someone just randomly goes "Hey Mikhail, Dmitri, have you, fellow local people, ever wondered if we needed a strong leader like Vladimir Putin?"
    Well, Alex Salmond does live down the road...
    shit post
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479

    CatMan said:

    Poll Ramping Alert:

    https://x.com/patrickjfl/status/1797370884501524482

    "The first voting intention poll from us at
    @focaldataHQ
    should be out tomorrow. Some interesting results!
    "

    Does anyone ever say “we have a poll out tomorrow. The results are really boring”
    Which would be the case for 90% of them.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    edited June 2
    eek said:

    Nigelb said:

    LOL

    We found out why Russia and China can't agree on the Power of Siberia-2 gas pipeline.

    China wants to pay close to the subsidized Russian domestic price and will only commit to buying a fraction of capacity:

    https://x.com/maxseddon/status/1797360255304663377

    Russia is now just an economic dependent of china, in the same way half of Africa is...
    Yes.

    This is a deeply unstable relationship.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,366
    BBC election debates revealed

    Seven-party debate: Friday 7 June, London - Mishal Husain will moderate a debate between leading figures from the seven biggest political parties in Great Britain. It will be broadcast from 19:30-21:00

    Question Time Leaders' Special: Thursday 20 June, York - Fiona Bruce will present the show involving leaders of the four biggest political parties in Great Britain, broadcast from 20:00-22:00

    Head-to-head debate: Wednesday 26 June, Nottingham - Sophie Raworth will host the event involving Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer. This is set to be the last TV debate of the election campaign and will be broadcast from 21:00-22:00

    Now is the Question Time Special Lib Dems and Reform or Lib Dems and SNP?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,399
    edited June 2
    eek said:

    BBC election debates revealed

    Seven-party debate: Friday 7 June, London - Mishal Husain will moderate a debate between leading figures from the seven biggest political parties in Great Britain. It will be broadcast from 19:30-21:00

    Question Time Leaders' Special: Thursday 20 June, York - Fiona Bruce will present the show involving leaders of the four biggest political parties in Great Britain, broadcast from 20:00-22:00

    Head-to-head debate: Wednesday 26 June, Nottingham - Sophie Raworth will host the event involving Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer. This is set to be the last TV debate of the election campaign and will be broadcast from 21:00-22:00

    Now is the Question Time Special Lib Dems and Reform or Lib Dems and SNP?

    Which are the seven biggest?
    Is that by polling or MP's?
    The QT has to be SNP.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051
    Ah, so the Tory’s Monday announcement to try and capture the agenda going into the debate is “what is a woman” stuff. Of course it is. Should have guessed.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    dixiedean said:

    eek said:

    BBC election debates revealed

    Seven-party debate: Friday 7 June, London - Mishal Husain will moderate a debate between leading figures from the seven biggest political parties in Great Britain. It will be broadcast from 19:30-21:00

    Question Time Leaders' Special: Thursday 20 June, York - Fiona Bruce will present the show involving leaders of the four biggest political parties in Great Britain, broadcast from 20:00-22:00

    Head-to-head debate: Wednesday 26 June, Nottingham - Sophie Raworth will host the event involving Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer. This is set to be the last TV debate of the election campaign and will be broadcast from 21:00-22:00

    Now is the Question Time Special Lib Dems and Reform or Lib Dems and SNP?

    Which are the seven biggest?
    Is that by polling or MP's?
    The QT has to be SNP.
    I think the Independent once did a front page image with the main party leaders and included the Women's Equality Party
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,814
    tlg86 said:

    Carnyx said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Rishi Sunak must face questions about the fortune he earned at a hedge fund which engineered a deal at the heart of the financial crash, Labour has said, as it prepares to launch its first major attack on the prime minister ahead of the election debates.

    The party aims to turn the spotlight onto Sunak’s time before politics in the days before the first TV debate between the two leaders, after a week dominated by rows over Diane Abbott’s candidacy. On Sunday, she confirmed she would stand as Labour’s candidate.

    Key to Labour’s attempt to get back on the front foot will be to scrutinise Sunak’s time as a partner at TCI, the hedge fund which launched an activist campaign against Dutch bank ABN Amro which resulted in its sale to RBS in 2007. The takeover was later described as “an extremely risky deal” by the independent financial regulator which said it was a key factor leading to RBS’s failure.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/02/pm-must-face-questions-about-hedge-fund-at-heart-of-financial-crash-says-labour

    I really don't think focusing on Sunak's pre political life is going to be necessary. They should not be short of ammunition for political attacks.
    Isn't the logic that the Tories are always blaming everything on the crash and the Labour administration before them? So if Mr Sunak is implicit ... or so it goes.
    If Sunak worked at RBS and made the decision to buy ABN AMRO, then Labour would have a point. But he didn't. Quite the opposite in fact.
    Not my logic ... trying to work out how it works.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Have the polls moved at all since the GE was called?

    I've just looked at all the polls listed in wiki with sampling after the GE was called on 22 May and compared each pollsters latest Labour lead with the lead in that pollster's last poll before 22 May. Movement has been as follows:

    FindOutNow +7*
    MoreinCommon +3
    Opinium +2
    Survation +2
    We Think +2
    Techne +1
    R&W +1
    BMG No change
    Deltapoll No change
    Savanta No change
    Whitestone No change
    YouGov No change
    JPL -3

    (*FindOutNow's previous poll was way back in February, all the others were in May except BMG's which was late April).

    Does this signify anything? Probably not. Or possibly a very slight move to Labour.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,117
    Andy_JS said:

    Farooq said:

    On this counter culture trend its notable how support for gay marriage is now plummeting too.

    Seems like it should be a bigger story that support for gay marriage is dropping fast.

    Among Republicans, it dropped by 15 points in one year.

    Among Gen Z, it dropped 11 points in two years.

    For years, support for gay marriage has only trended up. Now, that trend is reversing.
    Quote
    America 2100
    @America_2100
    ·
    May 31

    https://x.com/njhochman/status/1796640343279993339

    Pace yourself now. Don't stat saying "clot shot" til day 2.
    Conversations in my local yesterday.
    Much desire for a strong leader like Putin.
    Disgust evidenced with democracy.
    This is pretty nationwide now.
    I'm disgusted that anyone wants a strong leader like Putin.
    I actually think he was talking bollox...I cannot imagine any boozer where people are saying that they admire Putin. If people do, they keep that kind of stuff to themselves....
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,930
    eek said:

    BBC election debates revealed

    Seven-party debate: Friday 7 June, London - Mishal Husain will moderate a debate between leading figures from the seven biggest political parties in Great Britain. It will be broadcast from 19:30-21:00

    Question Time Leaders' Special: Thursday 20 June, York - Fiona Bruce will present the show involving leaders of the four biggest political parties in Great Britain, broadcast from 20:00-22:00

    Head-to-head debate: Wednesday 26 June, Nottingham - Sophie Raworth will host the event involving Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer. This is set to be the last TV debate of the election campaign and will be broadcast from 21:00-22:00

    Now is the Question Time Special Lib Dems and Reform or Lib Dems and SNP?

    If the BBC can shoehorn Farage onto Question Time yet again, they will be delighted.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479

    Have the polls moved at all since the GE was called?

    I've just looked at all the polls listed in wiki with sampling after the GE was called on 22 May and compared each pollsters latest Labour lead with the lead in that pollster's last poll before 22 May. Movement has been as follows:

    FindOutNow +7*
    MoreinCommon +3
    Opinium +2
    Survation +2
    We Think +2
    Techne +1
    R&W +1
    BMG No change
    Deltapoll No change
    Savanta No change
    Whitestone No change
    YouGov No change
    JPL -3

    (*FindOutNow's previous poll was way back in February, all the others were in May except BMG's which was late April).

    Does this signify anything? Probably not. Or possibly a very slight move to Labour.

    The stage is set for Goodwin to upset the apple cart next week with a poll showing Reform +15 and the Tories on 2%
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,700

    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    ·
    28m
    Labour going very negative tonight.

    Abbott row clearly hurting.

    https://x.com/MrHarryCole/status/1797373192367231363
  • The Conservatives are pledging to rewrite the Equality Act, altering the protected characteristic of "sex" to explicitly mean "biological sex".

    The party says this will protect services for women and girls, preventing "biological males" from taking part.

    https://x.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1797380169763537125

    Death penalty is definitely coming next.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,549
    New:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/02/save-conservative-party-oblivion-scrap-net-zero-year/

    "Save party from electoral oblivion by offering to scrap 2050 net zero target, advises Tory faction

    Group of MPs including Liz Truss and Jacob Rees-Mogg issues five pledges for manifesto, having ‘listened to grassroots’"
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    Labour have announced their own nuclear triple lock which whilst 3 points isn’t very locky

    https://x.com/jaheale/status/1797380513591673109?s=46
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    ·
    28m
    Labour going very negative tonight.

    Abbott row clearly hurting.

    https://x.com/MrHarryCole/status/1797373192367231363

    Exactly how is it hurting according to Cole . The polls don’t show this.
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 3,078
    tyson said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Farooq said:

    On this counter culture trend its notable how support for gay marriage is now plummeting too.

    Seems like it should be a bigger story that support for gay marriage is dropping fast.

    Among Republicans, it dropped by 15 points in one year.

    Among Gen Z, it dropped 11 points in two years.

    For years, support for gay marriage has only trended up. Now, that trend is reversing.
    Quote
    America 2100
    @America_2100
    ·
    May 31

    https://x.com/njhochman/status/1796640343279993339

    Pace yourself now. Don't stat saying "clot shot" til day 2.
    Conversations in my local yesterday.
    Much desire for a strong leader like Putin.
    Disgust evidenced with democracy.
    This is pretty nationwide now.
    I'm disgusted that anyone wants a strong leader like Putin.
    I actually think he was talking bollox...I cannot imagine any boozer where people are saying that they admire Putin. If people do, they keep that kind of stuff to themselves....
    I have never heard praise for Putin from anyone except Farage and other Brexit bad boys. I think a massive majority would say that Putin was an utter C*nt, which is, of course what his name means in French.
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    Andy_JS said:

    New:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/02/save-conservative-party-oblivion-scrap-net-zero-year/

    "Save party from electoral oblivion by offering to scrap 2050 net zero target, advises Tory faction

    Group of MPs including Liz Truss and Jacob Rees-Mogg issues five pledges for manifesto, having ‘listened to grassroots’"

    The Tory Party isn’t more important than the planet.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,700

    eek said:

    BBC election debates revealed

    Seven-party debate: Friday 7 June, London - Mishal Husain will moderate a debate between leading figures from the seven biggest political parties in Great Britain. It will be broadcast from 19:30-21:00

    Question Time Leaders' Special: Thursday 20 June, York - Fiona Bruce will present the show involving leaders of the four biggest political parties in Great Britain, broadcast from 20:00-22:00

    Head-to-head debate: Wednesday 26 June, Nottingham - Sophie Raworth will host the event involving Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer. This is set to be the last TV debate of the election campaign and will be broadcast from 21:00-22:00

    Now is the Question Time Special Lib Dems and Reform or Lib Dems and SNP?

    If the BBC can shoehorn Farage onto Question Time yet again, they will be delighted.
    Yep.

    Although if they go on the actual representation in Commons (which they should) - it will be Con, Lab, SNP, Libdems.

    I'm sure Beeb will find a way to shoehorn Farage in there somehow.
  • ROFL.

    I thought this was fake but it seems to be real.

    https://x.com/ExploreMore10/status/1797381867047379176/photo/1



    Dianne Abbott is unhinged.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,643
    edited June 2
    biggles said:

    Ah, so the Tory’s Monday announcement to try and capture the agenda going into the debate is “what is a woman” stuff. Of course it is. Should have guessed.

    Woke/cultural issues is the one thing that distinguishes Reform voters from those still intending to vote Conservative. Otherwise, they share very similar characteristics.

    That's why we have had this sequence of policy announcements. The problem for the Conservatives is that their current voters are much more culturally aligned with Labour/Lib Dem voters than Reform. There is a chance that they end up in a no-man's land in the massive gap between the two.

    I think going on Trans will alienate more voters than it attracts. People don't know the detail and will just assume that it's the Tories being prejudiced arseholes - what we've seen so far is that voters assume the very worst about each Tory policy.

    *Edit - scrapping climate targets is exactly the same. Similar sentiments across Tory/Labour/Lib Dem voters - but Reform are out there on the periphery.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,214

    ROFL.

    I thought this was fake but it seems to be real.

    https://x.com/ExploreMore10/status/1797381867047379176/photo/1



    Dianne Abbott is unhinged.

    It was an early draft, sent by mistake.

    (Or an attempt to actually get sacked. Because then she can fly away with Jeremy and not take any responsibility for government, without it being her fault.)
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275

    ROFL.

    I thought this was fake but it seems to be real.

    https://x.com/ExploreMore10/status/1797381867047379176/photo/1



    Dianne Abbott is unhinged.

    Why is she doing this . Calling the leader of the party a liar . It’s like she now wants the NEC to bar her .
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,984
    ToryJim said:

    Andy_JS said:

    New:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/02/save-conservative-party-oblivion-scrap-net-zero-year/

    "Save party from electoral oblivion by offering to scrap 2050 net zero target, advises Tory faction

    Group of MPs including Liz Truss and Jacob Rees-Mogg issues five pledges for manifesto, having ‘listened to grassroots’"

    The Tory Party isn’t more important than the planet.
    Have a word with yourself. Of course it bloody is!
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653

    ROFL.

    I thought this was fake but it seems to be real.

    https://x.com/ExploreMore10/status/1797381867047379176/photo/1



    Dianne Abbott is unhinged.

    If it was real it's been deleted.
  • ROFL.

    I thought this was fake but it seems to be real.

    https://x.com/ExploreMore10/status/1797381867047379176/photo/1



    Dianne Abbott is unhinged.

    If it was real it's been deleted.
    Doesn't matter, she still Tweeted it.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,978
    What stunt has Ed Davey got planned for tomorrow? High diving into a tiny pool?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,174
    eek said:

    BBC election debates revealed

    Seven-party debate: Friday 7 June, London - Mishal Husain will moderate a debate between leading figures from the seven biggest political parties in Great Britain. It will be broadcast from 19:30-21:00

    Question Time Leaders' Special: Thursday 20 June, York - Fiona Bruce will present the show involving leaders of the four biggest political parties in Great Britain, broadcast from 20:00-22:00

    Head-to-head debate: Wednesday 26 June, Nottingham - Sophie Raworth will host the event involving Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer. This is set to be the last TV debate of the election campaign and will be broadcast from 21:00-22:00

    Now is the Question Time Special Lib Dems and Reform or Lib Dems and SNP?

    This is after Denmark v England and clashes with Italy v Spain on ITV:

    Question Time Leaders' Special: Thursday 20 June, York

    This clashes with Georgia v Portugal and Czech Republic v Turkey on ITV:

    Head-to-head debate: Wednesday 26 June, Nottingham
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,214

    ROFL.

    I thought this was fake but it seems to be real.

    https://x.com/ExploreMore10/status/1797381867047379176/photo/1



    Dianne Abbott is unhinged.

    If it was real it's been deleted.
    Doesn't matter, she still Tweeted it.
    Mentioned on the BBC News, so one imagines genuine.

    (Followed by Four Weddings and a Funeral, of all things. Leaving aside the whole Channel Four Film shouldn't be on the Beeb, what's that doing being thirty years old? And politically, harking back to a happier time for many.)
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,779
    edited June 2
    viewcode said:

    Beans on toast.
    If you are feeling flush: put butter on the toast

    😀

    At the risk of seeming like a shill, some 'Ooft!' scotch bonnet hot sauce adds 'a certain something'.

    https://www.ooftsauce.com/
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,643
    tyson said:

    nico679 said:


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    ·
    28m
    Labour going very negative tonight.

    Abbott row clearly hurting.

    https://x.com/MrHarryCole/status/1797373192367231363

    Exactly how is it hurting according to Cole . The polls don’t show this.
    If Labour's biggest problem this campaign is Dianne Abbott, they'll take that. In fact they would have probably engineered a Dianne Abbott problem to create some myth that they have a problem. I'd rather a Dianne Abbott kind of problem than that other kind of problem where you are being told that you are 20% plus behind in the polls and facing electoral extinction. That is a problem.
    Diane Abbott + VAT on private schools. You couldn't wish for a better pairing if you're trying to take the centre.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,620
    tlg86 said:

    eek said:

    BBC election debates revealed

    Seven-party debate: Friday 7 June, London - Mishal Husain will moderate a debate between leading figures from the seven biggest political parties in Great Britain. It will be broadcast from 19:30-21:00

    Question Time Leaders' Special: Thursday 20 June, York - Fiona Bruce will present the show involving leaders of the four biggest political parties in Great Britain, broadcast from 20:00-22:00

    Head-to-head debate: Wednesday 26 June, Nottingham - Sophie Raworth will host the event involving Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer. This is set to be the last TV debate of the election campaign and will be broadcast from 21:00-22:00

    Now is the Question Time Special Lib Dems and Reform or Lib Dems and SNP?

    This is after Denmark v England and clashes with Italy v Spain on ITV:

    Question Time Leaders' Special: Thursday 20 June, York

    This clashes with Georgia v Portugal and Czech Republic v Turkey on ITV:

    Head-to-head debate: Wednesday 26 June, Nottingham
    Check your messages.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208
    tlg86 said:

    Carnyx said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Rishi Sunak must face questions about the fortune he earned at a hedge fund which engineered a deal at the heart of the financial crash, Labour has said, as it prepares to launch its first major attack on the prime minister ahead of the election debates.

    The party aims to turn the spotlight onto Sunak’s time before politics in the days before the first TV debate between the two leaders, after a week dominated by rows over Diane Abbott’s candidacy. On Sunday, she confirmed she would stand as Labour’s candidate.

    Key to Labour’s attempt to get back on the front foot will be to scrutinise Sunak’s time as a partner at TCI, the hedge fund which launched an activist campaign against Dutch bank ABN Amro which resulted in its sale to RBS in 2007. The takeover was later described as “an extremely risky deal” by the independent financial regulator which said it was a key factor leading to RBS’s failure.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/02/pm-must-face-questions-about-hedge-fund-at-heart-of-financial-crash-says-labour

    I really don't think focusing on Sunak's pre political life is going to be necessary. They should not be short of ammunition for political attacks.
    Isn't the logic that the Tories are always blaming everything on the crash and the Labour administration before them? So if Mr Sunak is implicit ... or so it goes.
    If Sunak worked at RBS and made the decision to buy ABN AMRO, then Labour would have a point. But he didn't. Quite the opposite in fact.
    I suspect this is a strategic move for Labour and only slightly relevant to Sunak. They will try to link the Tories with hedge funds that make billions by acting against the UK interest. In the same way that Tories have previously sold the public on Labour being in the pay of unions.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,984
    edited June 2

    What stunt has Ed Davey got planned for tomorrow? High diving into a tiny pool?

    So far they’ve covered polluted water (paddle boarding), Wales - somehow (cycling down the street), mental health (water slide) and free school meals (baking). The main Lib Dem policy positions still not covered are: social care, net zero, Europe and electoral reform. Your guess is as good as mine as to what fun stunts could be engineered to match these. Battery go-karting might be a good bet for net zero.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275
    Abbott should make a groveling apology over her tweet or should be barred from running . It’s totally unacceptable for a Labour candidate to call the leader of the party a liar . I was supportive of her before but she seems determined to cause as much trouble as possible.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051
    FF43 said:

    tlg86 said:

    Carnyx said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Rishi Sunak must face questions about the fortune he earned at a hedge fund which engineered a deal at the heart of the financial crash, Labour has said, as it prepares to launch its first major attack on the prime minister ahead of the election debates.

    The party aims to turn the spotlight onto Sunak’s time before politics in the days before the first TV debate between the two leaders, after a week dominated by rows over Diane Abbott’s candidacy. On Sunday, she confirmed she would stand as Labour’s candidate.

    Key to Labour’s attempt to get back on the front foot will be to scrutinise Sunak’s time as a partner at TCI, the hedge fund which launched an activist campaign against Dutch bank ABN Amro which resulted in its sale to RBS in 2007. The takeover was later described as “an extremely risky deal” by the independent financial regulator which said it was a key factor leading to RBS’s failure.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/02/pm-must-face-questions-about-hedge-fund-at-heart-of-financial-crash-says-labour

    I really don't think focusing on Sunak's pre political life is going to be necessary. They should not be short of ammunition for political attacks.
    Isn't the logic that the Tories are always blaming everything on the crash and the Labour administration before them? So if Mr Sunak is implicit ... or so it goes.
    If Sunak worked at RBS and made the decision to buy ABN AMRO, then Labour would have a point. But he didn't. Quite the opposite in fact.
    I suspect this is a strategic move for Labour and only slightly relevant to Sunak. They will try to link the Tories with hedge funds that make billions by acting against the UK interest. In the same way that Tories have previously sold the public on Labour being in the pay of unions.
    Absent a smoking gun of a particular scandal, they might just make the public think he’s got good experience. He hasn’t, based on that, but the public might think he has.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,603
    TimS said:

    What stunt has Ed Davey got planned for tomorrow? High diving into a tiny pool?

    So far they’ve covered polluted water (paddle boarding), Wales - somehow (cycling down the street), mental health (water slide) and free school meals (baking). The main Lib Dem policy positions still not covered are: social care, net zero, Europe and electoral reform. You’d guess is as good as kind as to what fun stunts could be engineered to match these. Battery go-karting might be a good bet for net zero.
    Europe has got to be an appearance with Antoine de Caunes and Jean Paul Gaultier.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,555

    What stunt has Ed Davey got planned for tomorrow? High diving into a tiny pool?

    If he wants to undertake some dangerous sports, he could visit a sub-post office....
  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366
    nico679 said:

    Abbott should make a groveling apology over her tweet or should be barred from running . It’s totally unacceptable for a Labour candidate to call the leader of the party a liar . I was supportive of her before but she seems determined to cause as much trouble as possible.

    She's a racist and hasn't ever apologized for her racist comments in the past.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,128

    BTW, I have not yet had ANYBOBDY mention Reform. Not one.

    I think they are massively over-represented in the polling.

    Does beg the question as to how and why though, doesn't it?

    It's not as if pollsters are just making it up.
    I mentioned Reform today, asking a friend who has a staff member who lives close by to him.

    Apparently he has been rather invisible - which is not a surprise.

    My friend was not aware that he had jumped from the sinking Conservative Frigate to the leaky Reform life raft.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,555
    CatMan said:

    Poll Ramping Alert:

    https://x.com/patrickjfl/status/1797370884501524482

    "The first voting intention poll from us at
    @focaldataHQ
    should be out tomorrow. Some interesting results!
    "

    Reform on 2%?

    We don't want SOME interesting results. We want all of them to be HOLY FUCK!!!!!
  • MJWMJW Posts: 1,728
    FF43 said:

    tlg86 said:

    Carnyx said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Rishi Sunak must face questions about the fortune he earned at a hedge fund which engineered a deal at the heart of the financial crash, Labour has said, as it prepares to launch its first major attack on the prime minister ahead of the election debates.

    The party aims to turn the spotlight onto Sunak’s time before politics in the days before the first TV debate between the two leaders, after a week dominated by rows over Diane Abbott’s candidacy. On Sunday, she confirmed she would stand as Labour’s candidate.

    Key to Labour’s attempt to get back on the front foot will be to scrutinise Sunak’s time as a partner at TCI, the hedge fund which launched an activist campaign against Dutch bank ABN Amro which resulted in its sale to RBS in 2007. The takeover was later described as “an extremely risky deal” by the independent financial regulator which said it was a key factor leading to RBS’s failure.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/02/pm-must-face-questions-about-hedge-fund-at-heart-of-financial-crash-says-labour

    I really don't think focusing on Sunak's pre political life is going to be necessary. They should not be short of ammunition for political attacks.
    Isn't the logic that the Tories are always blaming everything on the crash and the Labour administration before them? So if Mr Sunak is implicit ... or so it goes.
    If Sunak worked at RBS and made the decision to buy ABN AMRO, then Labour would have a point. But he didn't. Quite the opposite in fact.
    I suspect this is a strategic move for Labour and only slightly relevant to Sunak. They will try to link the Tories with hedge funds that make billions by acting against the UK interest. In the same way that Tories have previously sold the public on Labour being in the pay of unions.
    I'd have thought it's a pre-emptive strike. Labour know one of the Tories' favourite gambits is to focus on his previous career as DPP and try and personally blame him for anything that didn't get to court we now think should've, and will surely do so in the campaign at some point. Quite possibly in the debates.

    Getting Sunak's past job and the stuff about it that doesn't win you friends better known is a handy blocking defence if the Tories, as they surely will, go down that road.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,814
    edited June 2
    tlg86 said:

    Carnyx said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Rishi Sunak must face questions about the fortune he earned at a hedge fund which engineered a deal at the heart of the financial crash, Labour has said, as it prepares to launch its first major attack on the prime minister ahead of the election debates.

    The party aims to turn the spotlight onto Sunak’s time before politics in the days before the first TV debate between the two leaders, after a week dominated by rows over Diane Abbott’s candidacy. On Sunday, she confirmed she would stand as Labour’s candidate.

    Key to Labour’s attempt to get back on the front foot will be to scrutinise Sunak’s time as a partner at TCI, the hedge fund which launched an activist campaign against Dutch bank ABN Amro which resulted in its sale to RBS in 2007. The takeover was later described as “an extremely risky deal” by the independent financial regulator which said it was a key factor leading to RBS’s failure.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/02/pm-must-face-questions-about-hedge-fund-at-heart-of-financial-crash-says-labour

    I really don't think focusing on Sunak's pre political life is going to be necessary. They should not be short of ammunition for political attacks.
    Isn't the logic that the Tories are always blaming everything on the crash and the Labour administration before them? So if Mr Sunak is implicit ... or so it goes.
    If Sunak worked at RBS and made the decision to buy ABN AMRO, then Labour would have a point. But he didn't. Quite the opposite in fact.
    This seems to be the logic being used, but IANAE:

    "Sunak was a partner in TCI when it began pushing the sale of ABN Amro via its 1% stake in the Dutch bank in early 2007 and lobbied heavily for RBS’s takeover bid."

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/02/pm-must-face-questions-about-hedge-fund-at-heart-of-financial-crash-says-labour
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    ...
    Jamarion said:

    BTW, I have not yet had ANYBOBDY mention Reform. Not one.

    I think they are massively over-represented in the polling.

    They are. So are the greens. I think combined they're polling ~18%? They'll be lucky if they get 6% between them.

    A case of "protest polling"?

    Or it may be something to do with the difference between looking up and down a pollster's list of parties and selecting one of them (which pollees do) and looking up and down a list of candidates, whether in the local newspaper or at the polling station, and then selecting one. Almost nobody does the latter.

    As for the Starmer-Blair comparison:

    1. Blair actually enthused people. The morons thought they were voting for Camelot. The Guardian for example after he was elected said in their leader column that this was the greatest chance for a radical movement in Europe for a generation. (I remember this because it nearly made me throw up.) It was only about a year later (seriously) that idiots started observing at dinner parties that they thought he was more presentation than substance, as if this was cutting-edge commentary. Starmer is much older and probably couldn't enthuse his own dog if he sang "Walkies" in falsetto. It might be possible for an old bloke to enthuse people. Mélenchon is pretty good at it. But Starmer comes across as a prat.

    2. The Major government had been going down and down in a bog of what at the time was called "sleaze". People rarely say the word "corruption" in Britain - it's not the done thing; iit might lead to a fall-off in social invitations, a bit like going on about rule by lizards. But they did say sleaze. This made it much harder for the Tories to recover in 1997 than it will be over the next five weeks. Added to that, there was the widespread view that goodness knows how, but they'd managed to steal the 1992 election and they were kind of like cartoon characters who'd run off the edge of a cliff but hadn't noticed yet. None of this applies now.
    So, based on your narrative, how do you read the outcome?
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,189
    nico679 said:

    Abbott should make a groveling apology over her tweet or should be barred from running . It’s totally unacceptable for a Labour candidate to call the leader of the party a liar . I was supportive of her before but she seems determined to cause as much trouble as possible.

    She’s always been a bit like this, I suspect Starmer will try to let the whole thing fade away. They should have had a better plan in place, they should just let her sit out another term on the backbenches and come up with a proper plan for next time.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,814
    edited June 2
    MJW said:

    FF43 said:

    tlg86 said:

    Carnyx said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Rishi Sunak must face questions about the fortune he earned at a hedge fund which engineered a deal at the heart of the financial crash, Labour has said, as it prepares to launch its first major attack on the prime minister ahead of the election debates.

    The party aims to turn the spotlight onto Sunak’s time before politics in the days before the first TV debate between the two leaders, after a week dominated by rows over Diane Abbott’s candidacy. On Sunday, she confirmed she would stand as Labour’s candidate.

    Key to Labour’s attempt to get back on the front foot will be to scrutinise Sunak’s time as a partner at TCI, the hedge fund which launched an activist campaign against Dutch bank ABN Amro which resulted in its sale to RBS in 2007. The takeover was later described as “an extremely risky deal” by the independent financial regulator which said it was a key factor leading to RBS’s failure.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/02/pm-must-face-questions-about-hedge-fund-at-heart-of-financial-crash-says-labour

    I really don't think focusing on Sunak's pre political life is going to be necessary. They should not be short of ammunition for political attacks.
    Isn't the logic that the Tories are always blaming everything on the crash and the Labour administration before them? So if Mr Sunak is implicit ... or so it goes.
    If Sunak worked at RBS and made the decision to buy ABN AMRO, then Labour would have a point. But he didn't. Quite the opposite in fact.
    I suspect this is a strategic move for Labour and only slightly relevant to Sunak. They will try to link the Tories with hedge funds that make billions by acting against the UK interest. In the same way that Tories have previously sold the public on Labour being in the pay of unions.
    I'd have thought it's a pre-emptive strike. Labour know one of the Tories' favourite gambits is to focus on his previous career as DPP and try and personally blame him for anything that didn't get to court we now think should've, and will surely do so in the campaign at some point. Quite possibly in the debates.

    Getting Sunak's past job and the stuff about it that doesn't win you friends better known is a handy blocking defence if the Tories, as they surely will, go down that road.
    Also: the Tories have not followed the SAvile inquiry recommendations 10 years on, says the Independent. I think someone is also blocking that approach in a different direction.

    (And it wasn't SKS who invited him to No 10 or gave him the keys to at least one hospital. )

    https://www.tomorrowspapers.co.uk/independent-front-page-2024-06-03/
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    Cookie said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Farooq said:

    On this counter culture trend its notable how support for gay marriage is now plummeting too.

    Seems like it should be a bigger story that support for gay marriage is dropping fast.

    Among Republicans, it dropped by 15 points in one year.

    Among Gen Z, it dropped 11 points in two years.

    For years, support for gay marriage has only trended up. Now, that trend is reversing.
    Quote
    America 2100
    @America_2100
    ·
    May 31

    https://x.com/njhochman/status/1796640343279993339

    Pace yourself now. Don't stat saying "clot shot" til day 2.
    Conversations in my local yesterday.
    Much desire for a strong leader like Putin.
    Disgust evidenced with democracy.
    This is pretty nationwide now.
    I'm disgusted that anyone wants a strong leader like Putin.
    Well, one suspects our new poster's local is somewhere east of the Gulf of Finland ... where saying you don't want a strong leader might be very unwise.
    With a name like Chris Hodges? Top marks for subterfuge.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,128
    edited June 2

    Foxy said:

    With regards to the vaccine the explosion of dementia cases is very worrying. Its something many have noticed.

    Yes, thanks to the vaccine old folk survived long enough...
    Dr David Cartland seems to think your colleagues have been complicit in murder. Are you corrupt foxy.
    I didn't realise we had negative points.

  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,643
    edited June 2

    What stunt has Ed Davey got planned for tomorrow? High diving into a tiny pool?

    A cross channel row would tick off water pollution, Europe and small boats all at the same time
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,549
    The Tories are heading for 66 seats atm according to Electoral Calculus.

    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_main.html
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051

    What stunt has Ed Davey got planned for tomorrow? High diving into a tiny pool?

    If she does a human cannonball act, I will actually vote for him.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,984
    Eabhal said:

    What stunt has Ed Davey got planned for tomorrow? High diving into a tiny pool?

    A cross channel row would tick off, water pollution. Europe and small boats all at the same time
    Row, or row?

    If we were taking about the Tories it’d probably be a row, but with Ed Davey it’s more likely a row.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,978
    Eabhal said:

    What stunt has Ed Davey got planned for tomorrow? High diving into a tiny pool?

    A cross channel row would tick off water pollution, Europe and small boats all at the same time
    Would anybody notice if he didn't come back?
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494
    Carnyx said:

    tlg86 said:

    Carnyx said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Rishi Sunak must face questions about the fortune he earned at a hedge fund which engineered a deal at the heart of the financial crash, Labour has said, as it prepares to launch its first major attack on the prime minister ahead of the election debates.

    The party aims to turn the spotlight onto Sunak’s time before politics in the days before the first TV debate between the two leaders, after a week dominated by rows over Diane Abbott’s candidacy. On Sunday, she confirmed she would stand as Labour’s candidate.

    Key to Labour’s attempt to get back on the front foot will be to scrutinise Sunak’s time as a partner at TCI, the hedge fund which launched an activist campaign against Dutch bank ABN Amro which resulted in its sale to RBS in 2007. The takeover was later described as “an extremely risky deal” by the independent financial regulator which said it was a key factor leading to RBS’s failure.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/02/pm-must-face-questions-about-hedge-fund-at-heart-of-financial-crash-says-labour

    I really don't think focusing on Sunak's pre political life is going to be necessary. They should not be short of ammunition for political attacks.
    Isn't the logic that the Tories are always blaming everything on the crash and the Labour administration before them? So if Mr Sunak is implicit ... or so it goes.
    If Sunak worked at RBS and made the decision to buy ABN AMRO, then Labour would have a point. But he didn't. Quite the opposite in fact.
    This seems to be the logic being used, but IANAE:

    "Sunak was a partner in TCI when it began pushing the sale of ABN Amro via its 1% stake in the Dutch bank in early 2007 and lobbied heavily for RBS’s takeover bid."

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/02/pm-must-face-questions-about-hedge-fund-at-heart-of-financial-crash-says-labour
    The whole point is to keep stories running with a bit more gas everyday, so this is only a bit of the leg isn’t it?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,978
    edited June 2
    But Labour said he (Starmer) would not be attending a debate between seven parties on June 7. Downing Street said Mr Sunak had not yet decided whether he would attend the events on June 7 or June 20 (2hr QT Special).

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/02/starmer-declines-to-join-one-of-bbc-election-debates/

    I think the 7th June one will just end up with the fringe parties. No point Sunak doing it, as still 5 other parties who will shout at him. There will be no light, just lots of heat.
  • guybrushguybrush Posts: 257
    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,706
    BBC1 Question Time is:

    Con, Lab, LD, SNP
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,978
    edited June 2
    guybrush said:

    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".

    Along with swiping iPhones, burglary, and car theft break-ins appear to be the same, as your chance of getting caught is square root of f##k all.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494
    nico679 said:

    Abbott should make a groveling apology over her tweet or should be barred from running . It’s totally unacceptable for a Labour candidate to call the leader of the party a liar . I was supportive of her before but she seems determined to cause as much trouble as possible.

    Opportunity for Starmer to play the patient parent to her childish antics, and completely reverse the story around.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,549
    guybrush said:

    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".

    Because security guards are afraid of apprehending shoplifters.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,978
    Andy_JS said:

    guybrush said:

    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".

    Because security guards are afraid of apprehending shoplifters.
    Any suggestion from the political parties how they might address this?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,603

    Andy_JS said:

    guybrush said:

    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".

    Because security guards are afraid of apprehending shoplifters.
    Any suggestion from the political parties how they might address this?
    Convert all the shops into housing.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,978
    edited June 2

    Andy_JS said:

    guybrush said:

    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".

    Because security guards are afraid of apprehending shoplifters.
    Any suggestion from the political parties how they might address this?
    Convert all the shops into housing.
    I think the reality is a lot of retail (outside of food) will eventually become this. There will the equivalent of select number of showrooms in major towns for retailers to display their goods, then you go online and order it to your home. However converting retail to residential is a lot harder than it seems, even if you can get past the red tape.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    edited June 2
    I do find the moral juxtaposition quite interesting.

    When George W. Bush was briefed on the Rwandan Genocide, he scribbled in the margin: "Not on my watch"

    Johnson - and indeed - Sunak see things rather differently.

    It's not even;

    "Not my problem"

    It's;

    Let's use the horror of their genocide as a deterrent.

    Pretty fucked up, No?

    --

    I've seen those dead bodies.

    The children with their achilles tendons slashed in that school in gikongoro. Although they're sprinkled with lime, the bodies are still there if anyone fancies the darkest of dark holidays.

    These tories aren't fucking human.

    YOU DON"T FUCKING DO THAT.
  • guybrushguybrush Posts: 257

    Andy_JS said:

    guybrush said:

    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".

    Because security guards are afraid of apprehending shoplifters.
    Any suggestion from the political parties how they might address this?
    I listened to Triggernometry's interview with Braverman yesterday - said that less serious crimes (property crimes effectively) have been de-prioritised to focus on violent, organised, crimes against the person etc. Suggested she'd tilt the balance back.

    Ok, clearly a pitch for the tory leadership but maybe she has a point. I'd rather increase police resources and have some sort of meaningful deterrent. One for the Labour manifesto? Property rights are pretty fundamental, feels increasingly wild west out there.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,700
    MikeL said:

    BBC1 Question Time is:

    Con, Lab, LD, SNP

    As I said earlier. Has to follow the Commons. SNP should speak third rather than LD
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    I WANT THE TORIES DESTROYED.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,643
    edited June 2
    Andy_JS said:

    guybrush said:

    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".

    Because security guards are afraid of apprehending shoplifters.
    No - security guards are instructed not to confront. Far more costly to the shop if the guard is killed or seriously injured.

    (Or indeed the shoplifter)
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494
    Andy_JS said:

    The Tories are heading for 66 seats atm according to Electoral Calculus.

    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_main.html

    Nearly a quarter of people of good judgement think it will be between 185 and 232

    https://www.gjopen.com/questions/3486-how-many-seats-will-the-conservative-party-win-in-the-next-uk-general-election

    In the “Simple Models” method, uniform change in England, Scotland, and Wales separately, Tories get 193 seats.

    https://electionsetc.com/2024/05/30/first-combined-forecast-for-the-2024-general-election/#more-2777
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    edited June 2
    HOW DARE YOU USE THE RWANDAN GENOCIDE AS A DETERRENT.

    HOW FUCKING DARE YOU?
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,706

    MikeL said:

    BBC1 Question Time is:

    Con, Lab, LD, SNP

    As I said earlier. Has to follow the Commons. SNP should speak third rather than LD
    It's not like a normal QT - they'll do 30 mins on their own each.

    It'll be a random draw for order - there is no particular advantage.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,643

    guybrush said:

    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".

    Along with swiping iPhones, burglary, and car theft break-ins appear to be the same, as your chance of getting caught is square root of f##k all.
    And bicycles! A major issue for getting people cycling.

    It's always one big gang with a warehouse somewhere. They literally go round Edinburgh Uni with a transit van.
  • Rachel Reeves came across very badly on "Leading". She seemed completely empty.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,978
    Eabhal said:

    guybrush said:

    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".

    Along with swiping iPhones, burglary, and car theft break-ins appear to be the same, as your chance of getting caught is square root of f##k all.
    And bicycles! A major issue for getting people cycling.

    It's always one big gang with a warehouse somewhere. They literally go round Edinburgh Uni with a transit van.
    Yes, its absolutely rampant and blatant. Just walking around with the cordless angle grinder, no shits given if anybody sees them or films them.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    DIANE

    D-I-A-N-E

    Just the one n in her given name.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051
    MikeL said:

    BBC1 Question Time is:

    Con, Lab, LD, SNP

    With the new leader in place, are the SNP 100% certain they wouldn’t be better off not attending?…
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051
    edited June 2

    Eabhal said:

    guybrush said:

    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".

    Along with swiping iPhones, burglary, and car theft break-ins appear to be the same, as your chance of getting caught is square root of f##k all.
    And bicycles! A major issue for getting people cycling.

    It's always one big gang with a warehouse somewhere. They literally go round Edinburgh Uni with a transit van.
    Yes, its absolutely rampant and blatant. Just walking around with the cordless angle grinder, no shits given if anybody sees them or films them.
    One day, one of the two main parties will twig that there are actual votes in tackling “low level” crime. More then there are for the bigger crimes to be honest.
  • SteveSSteveS Posts: 182

    Andy_JS said:

    The Tories are heading for 66 seats atm according to Electoral Calculus.

    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_main.html

    Nearly a quarter of people of good judgement think it will be between 185 and 232

    https://www.gjopen.com/questions/3486-how-many-seats-will-the-conservative-party-win-in-the-next-uk-general-election

    In the “Simple Models” method, uniform change in England, Scotland, and Wales separately, Tories get 193 seats.

    https://electionsetc.com/2024/05/30/first-combined-forecast-for-the-2024-general-election/#more-2777
    SpIn now at 136 to 144. I think this is too low and have bet accordingly.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,978
    edited June 2
    biggles said:

    Eabhal said:

    guybrush said:

    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".

    Along with swiping iPhones, burglary, and car theft break-ins appear to be the same, as your chance of getting caught is square root of f##k all.
    And bicycles! A major issue for getting people cycling.

    It's always one big gang with a warehouse somewhere. They literally go round Edinburgh Uni with a transit van.
    Yes, its absolutely rampant and blatant. Just walking around with the cordless angle grinder, no shits given if anybody sees them or films them.
    One day, one of the two main parties will twig that there are actual votes in tackling “low level” crime. More then there are for the bigger crimes to be honest.
    Nah you are totally wrong, its all about things like what is a woman. Anyway the police are far too busy working out the "context" of every nutter calling for Jihad or Global Intifada every weekend and if they can get away with not arresting them.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,051
    SteveS said:

    Andy_JS said:

    The Tories are heading for 66 seats atm according to Electoral Calculus.

    https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_main.html

    Nearly a quarter of people of good judgement think it will be between 185 and 232

    https://www.gjopen.com/questions/3486-how-many-seats-will-the-conservative-party-win-in-the-next-uk-general-election

    In the “Simple Models” method, uniform change in England, Scotland, and Wales separately, Tories get 193 seats.

    https://electionsetc.com/2024/05/30/first-combined-forecast-for-the-2024-general-election/#more-2777
    SpIn now at 136 to 144. I think this is too low and have bet accordingly.
    I am trying to look across the markets and do the maths, but I suspect there’s an arbitrage opportunity to be had.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,978

    Rachel Reeves came across very badly on "Leading". She seemed completely empty.

    What is "Leading" ?
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494

    Rachel Reeves came across very badly on "Leading". She seemed completely empty.

    What is "Leading" ?
    Not Rachel. Apparently. 🙂
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,652

    Andy_JS said:

    guybrush said:

    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".

    Because security guards are afraid of apprehending shoplifters.
    Any suggestion from the political parties how they might address this?
    Convert all the shops into housing.
    I think the reality is a lot of retail (outside of food) will eventually become this. There will the equivalent of select number of showrooms in major towns for retailers to display their goods, then you go online and order it to your home. However converting retail to residential is a lot harder than it seems, even if you can get past the red tape.
    Lack of natural light is a big barrier. Not a problem in a department store. A full rebuild would make more sense than converting anything but vintage shops.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,978
    EPG said:

    Andy_JS said:

    guybrush said:

    Eye opening article:
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/02/did-you-pay-for-that-what-is-driving-the-massive-rise-in-shoplifting

    The Guardian saying "shoplifting effectively decriminalised in the UK".

    Because security guards are afraid of apprehending shoplifters.
    Any suggestion from the political parties how they might address this?
    Convert all the shops into housing.
    I think the reality is a lot of retail (outside of food) will eventually become this. There will the equivalent of select number of showrooms in major towns for retailers to display their goods, then you go online and order it to your home. However converting retail to residential is a lot harder than it seems, even if you can get past the red tape.
    Lack of natural light is a big barrier. Not a problem in a department store. A full rebuild would make more sense than converting anything but vintage shops.
    Office blocks are also very tricky to redevelop for residential.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Seattle Times - Hundreds line up in Seattle to vote in Mexico’s historic election

    As a historic presidential election takes place in Mexico, hundreds of Mexican citizens lined up Sunday at the Mexican Consulate in Seattle’s Capitol Hill neighborhood to vote . . .

    The Consulado de México en Seattle . . . saw long lines wrap around the entire city block as the Seattle Police Department blocked off streets for safety.

    Two women are leading the contest in Mexico. Claudia Sheinbaum, the former mayor of Mexico City, has maintained a comfortable, double-digit lead in polls for months and will likely become the country’s first woman president, The Associated Press reports. Her main opponent is Xóchitl Gálvez, a tech entrepreneur and former senator.
This discussion has been closed.