@nicholaswatt A Tory rebel source tells me: Letters are going in calling for a no confidence vote in Rishi Sunak after reports of an imminent general election announcement
Another Tory source: panic in the tea room. Nobody was expecting this. “Everyone mortified,” the source told me
This echoes what a leading Tory Brexiteer told me - as I posted earlier - that an election now would be “madness”. Why go when @Conservatives are 20 points behind in the polls goes the thinking
Could Sunak be hijacked prior to seeing Chas?
The most hilarious sequence of events is if he bottles calling an early election, but panicked MPs call a confidence vote in him to stop him from doing so anyway.
If July then the round of polling beginning Monday should give us our first hint at the campaign outset polling, by then the DKs will have had a chance to K with a certain date in play
Here's what @YouGov is polling: Sunak has his lowest score on favourability and other key attributes; the economy as a top concern dips to its lowest level since early 2022 #snapelection #GE2024
Perhaps he thinks he can do a Corbyn with SKS as Mrs May?
That gives us the prospect of another five years of inertia. What will be left by 2029?
Remember 1992 Kinabalu. Remember 1992!
A tiny part of me wants Sunak to win to have to clear up the mess he has made. Tories on 10% in 2028.
But it doesn't work that way. If the Cons win again in these circumstances that's a one party state we have.
I for one feel a sense of relief at the news of an election, equivalent to the sense of relief I felt when my quinsy was lanced; it meant my mouth was full of pus and blood - that's the election of Labour - but the pain was finally gone - that's the Tories departing
A friend of mine with some political connections says Yes there will be an election in July, and it will be announced around 5pm, before the news at 6
He sometimes gets things wildly wrong, and sometimes nails things completely
SeanT ?
Leon's alter ego Heather, surely. Never forget the rumours about new lockdowns...
Didn't you want to make a bet with me, the other day, that Peter "Lab Leak" Daszak would never see a trial or a jail?
You sure?
🚨BREAKING🚨
Last night, based partially on evidence uncovered in @COVIDSelect's recent staff report and public hearing, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services commenced individual debarment proceedings against Dr. Peter Daszak, President of EcoHealth Alliance, Inc.
This move comes one week after @HHSgov issued an immediate, government-wide suspension on all taxpayer funds allocated to EcoHealth.
Dr. Daszak’s individual debarment will prevent him from receiving funds from the U.S. taxpayer."
The conspiracy to gaslight us is finally falling to pieces, and it looks Daszak is in the firing line. And given that TWENTY MILLION PEOPLE are dead, that seems fair
What's the main accusation against him? Working with China?
An entire textbook of allegations. Richard Ebright has been on the case (a science prof at Rutgers) he's feeling vindicated (quote rightly) and here is his summary:
"Unindicted felon Peter Daszak provably defrauded the US government, provably breached contractual terms of US-government grants, and, through reckless gain-of-function research in Wuhan, probably caused the COVID-19 pandemic, killing 20 million and costing $25 trillion."
Our Canadian daughter in law who, with our son, is here for our diamond celebrations has gone to Betws y Coed today and has just text to say gossip on the train back to Llandudno is a UK GE is about to be called
@nicholaswatt A Tory rebel source tells me: Letters are going in calling for a no confidence vote in Rishi Sunak after reports of an imminent general election announcement
Another Tory source: panic in the tea room. Nobody was expecting this. “Everyone mortified,” the source told me
This echoes what a leading Tory Brexiteer told me - as I posted earlier - that an election now would be “madness”. Why go when @Conservatives are 20 points behind in the polls goes the thinking
Probably Sunak thinks he can salvage 150 seats or more if he goes now, rather than fewer than 100 if he hangs on until the last possible minute.
He might think he can win or go close. Corbyn17 turned round a big deficit in the GE campaign.
Rishi Sunak being prevented from calling an election because he had to fight a no confidence vote would be the most Rishi Sunak thing that has ever happened.
It's probably never been tested, but I think calling a GE would take precedence over an internal Conservative leadership challenge.
(In theory, both could run alongside each other, but it'd be farcical - how would the question, "So who will be Prime Minister if your party wins?" be answered.
@nicholaswatt A Tory rebel source tells me: Letters are going in calling for a no confidence vote in Rishi Sunak after reports of an imminent general election announcement
Another Tory source: panic in the tea room. Nobody was expecting this. “Everyone mortified,” the source told me
This echoes what a leading Tory Brexiteer told me - as I posted earlier - that an election now would be “madness”. Why go when @Conservatives are 20 points behind in the polls goes the thinking
Probably Sunak thinks he can salvage 150 seats or more if he goes now, rather than fewer than 100 if he hangs on until the last possible minute.
He might think he can win or go close. Corbyn17 turned round a big deficit in the GE campaign.
Oh Ri-ishi Sunak ...
Starmer might prove as inept a campaigner as May.
But it's hard to see Sunak magically becoming as effective at campaigning as Corbyn.
Our Canadian daughter in law who, with our son, is here for our diamond celebrations has gone to Betws y Coed today and has just text to say gossip on the train back to Llandudno is a UK GE is about to be called
Amazing how these rumours spread
Everyone reads pb. Simples. Best source of news there is.
I am told all the final stages of the finance bill are being rushed through tomorrow. That would be consistent with a 4 July general election
Thanks for these useful tweets. I know one or two get annoyed by them on here but I don’t like using twitter these days so it’s helpful to have election-focused ones pinged into this thread.
I am told all the final stages of the finance bill are being rushed through tomorrow. That would be consistent with a 4 July general election
And the Post Office bill? Not going to look good to leave them hanging again...
Not just that
"Government legislation that hasn't yet reached the @UKHouseofLords in this session includes: 🚭Tobacco and Vapes Bill ⚖️Crime and Justice Bill 🔨Sentencing Bill ⚽️ Football Governance Bill
Either these Bills are lost, or scrutiny is heavily scaled back, if election is imminent."
@nicholaswatt A Tory rebel source tells me: Letters are going in calling for a no confidence vote in Rishi Sunak after reports of an imminent general election announcement
Another Tory source: panic in the tea room. Nobody was expecting this. “Everyone mortified,” the source told me
This echoes what a leading Tory Brexiteer told me - as I posted earlier - that an election now would be “madness”. Why go when @Conservatives are 20 points behind in the polls goes the thinking
Probably Sunak thinks he can salvage 150 seats or more if he goes now, rather than fewer than 100 if he hangs on until the last possible minute.
He might think he can win or go close. Corbyn17 turned round a big deficit in the GE campaign.
Oh Ri-ishi Sunak ...
He was remarkable confident at PMQs today - maybe even relieved at what looks like a very sensible decision
Rishi Sunak presumably now being intensively coached for the announcement.
Less tetchy. No, even less tetchy than that.
Remember, hit the key points. Rainbow lanyards, toilets and the slightly different coloured cross on the England shirt. Don't mention Brexit. Repeat. Do not mention Brexit.
Can you smile? Ok, Christ, don't smile.
Is that really how tall he is? Can somebody get him a bucket to stand on?
Rishi Sunak presumably now being intensively coached for the announcement.
Less tetchy. No, even less tetchy than that.
Remember, hit the key points. Rainbow lanyards, toilets and the slightly different coloured cross on the England shirt. Don't mention Brexit. Repeat. Do not mention Brexit.
Can you smile? Ok, Christ, don't smile.
Is that really how tall he is? Can somebody get him a bucket to stand on?
@nicholaswatt A Tory rebel source tells me: Letters are going in calling for a no confidence vote in Rishi Sunak after reports of an imminent general election announcement
Another Tory source: panic in the tea room. Nobody was expecting this. “Everyone mortified,” the source told me
This echoes what a leading Tory Brexiteer told me - as I posted earlier - that an election now would be “madness”. Why go when @Conservatives are 20 points behind in the polls goes the thinking
Probably Sunak thinks he can salvage 150 seats or more if he goes now, rather than fewer than 100 if he hangs on until the last possible minute.
He might think he can win or go close. Corbyn17 turned round a big deficit in the GE campaign.
Oh Ri-ishi Sunak ...
He was remarkable confident at PMQs today - maybe even relieved at what looks like a very sensible decision
A friend of mine with some political connections says Yes there will be an election in July, and it will be announced around 5pm, before the news at 6
He sometimes gets things wildly wrong, and sometimes nails things completely
Did he predict Brexit?
he is obsessively political
What, as opposed to us here on PB. mkay.
I mean he actually has a job in politics, as an elected politician, which is NOT true of most people on here
Anyway, it seems that this time he aced it
I mean, lovely. But you posted his information about an hour after everyone else was already talking about the rumour on here.
Jeez. Tough gig: tough crowd
I'm just noting what a friend said, and he is often weridly correct: it seems he even got the timing right (5pm), tho we don't quite know yet
PB is a place where we swap rumours, it's what we do. This was a rumour from an intriguing source. Is all
Right, now I have to organise another trip to Italy. The Gazette is so impressed by my enthusiastic descriptions of Taranto and Altamura they are sending me back there, on assignment. Yay!
A friend of mine with some political connections says Yes there will be an election in July, and it will be announced around 5pm, before the news at 6
He sometimes gets things wildly wrong, and sometimes nails things completely
Did he predict Brexit?
he is obsessively political
What, as opposed to us here on PB. mkay.
I mean he actually has a job in politics, as an elected politician, which is NOT true of most people on here
Anyway, it seems that this time he aced it
I mean, lovely. But you posted his information about an hour after everyone else was already talking about the rumour on here.
Jeez. Tough gig: tough crowd
I'm just noting what a friend said, and he is often weridly correct: it seems he even got the timing right (5pm), tho we don't quite know yet
PB is a place where we swap rumours, it's what we do. This was a rumour from an intriguing source. Is all
Right, now I have to organise another trip to Italy. The Gazette is so impressed by my enthusiastic descriptions of Taranto and Altamura they are sending me back there, on assignment. Yay!
Still dodging the bet I see, even after you brought it up?
@nicholaswatt A Tory rebel source tells me: Letters are going in calling for a no confidence vote in Rishi Sunak after reports of an imminent general election announcement
Another Tory source: panic in the tea room. Nobody was expecting this. “Everyone mortified,” the source told me
This echoes what a leading Tory Brexiteer told me - as I posted earlier - that an election now would be “madness”. Why go when @Conservatives are 20 points behind in the polls goes the thinking
Probably Sunak thinks he can salvage 150 seats or more if he goes now, rather than fewer than 100 if he hangs on until the last possible minute.
He might think he can win or go close. Corbyn17 turned round a big deficit in the GE campaign.
Oh Ri-ishi Sunak ...
Starmer might prove as inept a campaigner as May.
But it's hard to see Sunak magically becoming as effective at campaigning as Corbyn.
I think Starmer will be pretty effective actually.
I am told all the final stages of the finance bill are being rushed through tomorrow. That would be consistent with a 4 July general election
And the Post Office bill? Not going to look good to leave them hanging again...
Not just that
"Government legislation that hasn't yet reached the @UKHouseofLords in this session includes: 🚭Tobacco and Vapes Bill ⚖️Crime and Justice Bill 🔨Sentencing Bill ⚽️ Football Governance Bill
Either these Bills are lost, or scrutiny is heavily scaled back, if election is imminent."
A friend of mine with some political connections says Yes there will be an election in July, and it will be announced around 5pm, before the news at 6
He sometimes gets things wildly wrong, and sometimes nails things completely
Did he predict Brexit?
he is obsessively political
What, as opposed to us here on PB. mkay.
I mean he actually has a job in politics, as an elected politician, which is NOT true of most people on here
Anyway, it seems that this time he aced it
I mean, lovely. But you posted his information about an hour after everyone else was already talking about the rumour on here.
Jeez. Tough gig: tough crowd
I'm just noting what a friend said, and he is often weridly correct: it seems he even got the timing right (5pm), tho we don't quite know yet
PB is a place where we swap rumours, it's what we do. This was a rumour from an intriguing source. Is all
Right, now I have to organise another trip to Italy. The Gazette is so impressed by my enthusiastic descriptions of Taranto and Altamura they are sending me back there, on assignment. Yay!
“weirdly correct”. This is hardly one for the X-Files if he’s got political connections. They’d have told him. As you implied.
I am told all the final stages of the finance bill are being rushed through tomorrow. That would be consistent with a 4 July general election
And the Post Office bill? Not going to look good to leave them hanging again...
Not just that
"Government legislation that hasn't yet reached the @UKHouseofLords in this session includes: 🚭Tobacco and Vapes Bill ⚖️Crime and Justice Bill 🔨Sentencing Bill ⚽️ Football Governance Bill
Either these Bills are lost, or scrutiny is heavily scaled back, if election is imminent."
I am told all the final stages of the finance bill are being rushed through tomorrow. That would be consistent with a 4 July general election
And the Post Office bill? Not going to look good to leave them hanging again...
Not just that
"Government legislation that hasn't yet reached the @UKHouseofLords in this session includes: 🚭Tobacco and Vapes Bill ⚖️Crime and Justice Bill 🔨Sentencing Bill ⚽️ Football Governance Bill
Either these Bills are lost, or scrutiny is heavily scaled back, if election is imminent."
@montie Nick is 🎯 I know of three MPs submitting no confidence votes to stop an elxn. MMMAAAAADDDDD
That is mad. As long as he gets to the Palace before Graham Brady gets a full postbag and starts the process with 1922 Sunak is PM and the advice to dissolve has to be followed.
A friend of mine with some political connections says Yes there will be an election in July, and it will be announced around 5pm, before the news at 6
He sometimes gets things wildly wrong, and sometimes nails things completely
Did he predict Brexit?
he is obsessively political
What, as opposed to us here on PB. mkay.
I mean he actually has a job in politics, as an elected politician, which is NOT true of most people on here
Anyway, it seems that this time he aced it
I mean, lovely. But you posted his information about an hour after everyone else was already talking about the rumour on here.
Jeez. Tough gig: tough crowd
I'm just noting what a friend said, and he is often weridly correct: it seems he even got the timing right (5pm), tho we don't quite know yet
PB is a place where we swap rumours, it's what we do. This was a rumour from an intriguing source. Is all
Right, now I have to organise another trip to Italy. The Gazette is so impressed by my enthusiastic descriptions of Taranto and Altamura they are sending me back there, on assignment. Yay!
Still dodging the bet I see, even after you brought it up?
Go fuck yourself. Seriously. Your attitude to this is.... ugh
@montie Nick is 🎯 I know of three MPs submitting no confidence votes to stop an elxn. MMMAAAAADDDDD
That is mad. As long as he gets to the Palace before Graham Brady gets a full postbag and starts the process with 1922 Sunak is PM and the advice to dissolve has to be followed.
Sounds like the plot of a heartwarming caper movie as Graham Brady races across London to stop Rishi meeting the King.
Comments
I am hearing that there is currently a stage being built at the ExCeL for a Conservative Party event this evening – around 8pm.
Given reports of an announcement outside Number 10 around 5pm, could this be some kind of follow up launch?
@mikeysmith
Given the response to the rumours from Tory backbenchers, one hopes they booked a small room.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/labour-says-preferable-to-recognise-palestine-as-state/ar-BB1mRf56?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=21a663bf65f44deea33055028e4b46b5&ei=24
Hearing Rishi Sunak has a campaign visit lined up for tomorrow.
Looks like it's on ...
I am told all the final stages of the finance bill are being rushed through tomorrow. That would be consistent with a 4 July general election
Anyway, it seems that this time he aced it
Amazing how these rumours spread
I almost feel sorry for him already.
Oh Ri-ishi Sunak ...
So I'm not punting out some bullshit, I am relaying some insider info, which it turns out, is probably correct in this instance
(In theory, both could run alongside each other, but it'd be farcical - how would the question, "So who will be Prime Minister if your party wins?" be answered.
But it's hard to see Sunak magically becoming as effective at campaigning as Corbyn.
From a betting POV of course
🚨NEW Westminster Voting Intention for
@Telegraph
📈17pt Labour lead
🌹Lab 43 (=)
🌳Con 26 (+1)
🔶LD 10 (-2)
➡️Reform 9 (-1)
🌍Green 5 (+1)
🎗️SNP 3 (=)
⬜️Other 4 (=)
2,295 UK adults, 17-19 May
(chg 10-12 May)
"Government legislation that hasn't yet reached the
@UKHouseofLords
in this session includes:
🚭Tobacco and Vapes Bill
⚖️Crime and Justice Bill
🔨Sentencing Bill
⚽️ Football Governance Bill
Either these Bills are lost, or scrutiny is heavily scaled back, if election is imminent."
https://x.com/woodstockjag/status/1793263871244849655
When will I learn?
Remember, hit the key points. Rainbow lanyards, toilets and the slightly different coloured cross on the England shirt. Don't mention Brexit. Repeat. Do not mention Brexit.
Can you smile? Ok, Christ, don't smile.
Is that really how tall he is? Can somebody get him a bucket to stand on?
It’s on ! July 4th. Just had this from 3 people in last minute.
I'm just noting what a friend said, and he is often weridly correct: it seems he even got the timing right (5pm), tho we don't quite know yet
PB is a place where we swap rumours, it's what we do. This was a rumour from an intriguing source. Is all
Right, now I have to organise another trip to Italy. The Gazette is so impressed by my enthusiastic descriptions of Taranto and Altamura they are sending me back there, on assignment. Yay!
A July GE
Good grief.
I mean, we all knew she did but I'm surprised she admitted it.
How many seats will the Conservatives win at the next General Election?
0-49 - 8/1
50-99 - 11/4
100-149 - 7/4
150-199 - 3/1
200-249 - 7/1
250-299 - 14/1
300-349 - 33/1
350-399 - 100/1
400+ - 100/1
Rishi Sunak's -51 net favourability rating is his joint lowest to date (with Jan)
Rishi Sunak
Favourable: 20% (-2 from 12-14 Apr)
Unfavourable: 71% (+2)
Keir Starmer
Favourable: 34% (+1)
Unfavourable: 51% (-2)
Nick is 🎯
I know of three MPs submitting no confidence votes to stop an elxn.
MMMAAAAADDDDD
Could be one of your last chances to avail of the Downing Street catering, so presumably you go straight for the fancy chocolate chip cookies?
Rutger's version is just better.
For they have learned nothing and forgotten nothing...
Kind of ended sub-optimal for the Tories, that one...
CCHQ has just uploaded the two free post templates for a GE to the party’s online toolkit, one keen-eyed activist spots...
https://www.ft.com/content/b95976ff-d861-4baf-a168-fd262b4e2f95
I just think it’s all utterly bonkers. But then again, this is Sunak. Like throwing them to the lions
20 million dead and you think it's all funny
I understand a large venue where a big election count takes place has this afternoon received a block booking from the government for 4th/5th July…