UKIP take all Folkestone and Sheppey Seats and most of Swale. They also take Romney in Kent Make further inroads into Tunbridge Wells (clearly outraged). The Boston scenario seems to be happening along the Kent Coast.
Jason Cowan @jason_manc North & Midlands not falling for their nonsense > RT @Mancman10: No UKIP wins yet in Cumbria, Lancs, Derbys & Warwickshire. #vote2013
UKIP take all Folkestone and Sheppey Seats and most of Swale. They also take Romney in Kent Make further inroads into Tunbridge Wells (clearly outraged). The Boston scenario seems to be happening along the Kent Coast.
Thanet is surely prime Kipper ground?
we shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills...
Sam Inkersole @itssamnotsamuel Remarkable. @UKIP have 5 of 8 #KCCelection seats in Thanet, @willscobie for Labour has the other, with 2 in #Broadstairs still to be counted
UKIP take all Folkestone and Sheppey Seats and most of Swale. They also take Romney in Kent Make further inroads into Tunbridge Wells (clearly outraged). The Boston scenario seems to be happening along the Kent Coast.
Pedantry corner. Not all Sheppey. Sheerness went Labour.
Dylan Sharpe @dylsharpe Oh look, it's Natalie "we'll get more councillors than UKIP" Bennett. After 18 councils declared UKIP have 52 cllrs, Greens 6...
Dylan Sharpe @dylsharpe Oh look, it's Natalie "we'll get more councillors than UKIP" Bennett. After 18 councils declared UKIP have 52 cllrs, Greens 6...
The Green party has well in excess of 150 Cllrs across the UK, most of them werent up for election yesterday. It looks tight as to which of UKIP or the Greens will be able to claim to have most Cllrs tomorrow.
The next two years will be interesting for Mr Farage. He now has a whole host of local councilors both to lead and control. I would imagine a whole host of them are going to very independent thinking and may struggle with the rigors of being a local councilor and the duties involved including dealing with very dull and petty constituent issues. Its easy to be a councilor on paper, but being a councilor does involve a lot of work and a lot of tact.
UKIP take all Folkestone and Sheppey Seats and most of Swale. They also take Romney in Kent Make further inroads into Tunbridge Wells (clearly outraged). The Boston scenario seems to be happening along the Kent Coast.
Thanet is surely prime Kipper ground?
Indeed it's where I was brought up (and of course Ted Heath's childhood home). Its perfect for UKIP. The rumours about 7 gains wouldn't surprise me at all. It will be interesting to see what happens in Dover as well (sadly the site seems to have gone down.
Labour can still hope for a maj of 1 in Nottinghamshire looking at the seats still to be declared if they oust the Indies in Mansfield
UKIP claiming they gained 2 Lab seats in Mansfield N (they were close 2nd last time) - interesting pattern as in South Shields of Tory tactical voting for UKIP.
NW Leicestershire Labour gains in Coalville, Measham, Ibstock & Appleby, Whtiwick and strong showing in Ashby dela Zouch meaning Labour regained position they lost.
Loughborough - Nicky Morgan not smiling Labour gained two loughborough wards, UKIP squeezing the votes in shepshed, quorn and mountsorrel, tory councillors holding on with small majorities. No way with a ukip candidate and her no vote for a referenedum is she going to hold on.
labour overturned a 1000 tory majority in thurmaston sending shockaves a bedrock tory ward.
ukip picked up glenfields it first seat. The north of the county is the bellweather and it looks like andrew brdigen and nicky morgan have two years left before they are back in surrey.
Until yesterday your main argument for saying Farage was crap and UKIP irrelevant was that "they don't have any councillors, unlike the Greens."
Sigh, you change what you think my argument about Farage was all the time. Last year I pointed out that winning zero net seats was a poor show and indicated organisational failures. If you think zero net gains on poll rating far higher than the Greens was in fact an organisational triumph then you are welcome to your opinion. I never said that because they were organised badly in the past they would never be able to sort themselves out in the future. I specifically remember pointing out that this wasnt rocket science and that the Tories should worry if and when UKIP did get their act together.
Another worry for nicky morgan and andrew bridgen two tory mps in marginals is that all the labour footsoldiers were being asked to help campaign in notts/derbyshire. so what will labour do with the right resources?
UKIP take all Folkestone and Sheppey Seats and most of Swale. They also take Romney in Kent Make further inroads into Tunbridge Wells (clearly outraged). The Boston scenario seems to be happening along the Kent Coast.
Thanet is surely prime Kipper ground?
Indeed it's where I was brought up (and of course Ted Heath's childhood home). Its perfect for UKIP. The rumours about 7 gains wouldn't surprise me at all. It will be interesting to see what happens in Dover as well (sadly the site seems to have gone down.
Labour have gained two Dover town seats off the Tories (to add to the two Deal town seats taken) boosting their hopes of retaking Dover and Deal in GE 2015. So more grist to the mill that their targeting strategy works ie they are doing enough in their key marginal areas while doing badly enough elsewhere to make their one nation (stolen off the Tories) mantra look a bit hollow. So in their book Labour are doing well despite not doing well if you know what I mean.
FULL recount in Doncaster for mayor - wow - its that close...
Is that still for the first preferences? If so, I'm guessing it must be very close for 2nd/3rd (as well as perhaps 1st/2nd)? it was of course very close in 2009 too.
Meanwhile, in the land where Austerity is eschewed:
@Politics_PR GREAT JOBS REPORT: UNEMPLOYMENT RATE FALLS TO 7.5%, BIG UPWARD REVISIONS, 165,000 NEW JOBS http://ow.ly/kFNfC
But according to BBC website, the Commission is forecasting France will fall into recession.
Think Hollande's going to need Dutch courage over the next 12 months.
German government papers leaked to Handelsblatt see France labelled as "Europe's problem child".
A leaked internal briefing from Angela Merkel's coalition partners refers to President Francois Hollande as "meandering" and draws attention to France's "highly regulated labour market and highly developed social security system".
Details of the briefing note were published alongside an internal assessment from the German economics ministry, which listed the French economy's failings.
The ministry's paper said: "French industry is increasingly losing its competitiveness. The relocation of companies abroad continues. Profitability is meagre."
...
The German economics ministry's briefing draws attention to France's high wage costs. It points out that France has the "second lowest annual working time" in the European Union, while its "tax and social security burden" is the highest in the eurozone. It also warns that France has made too little investment in research and development.
We must all take note that when Merkel speaks of "EU competitiveness" she means much the same as Cameron does when he talks of a "new settlement".
FULL recount in Doncaster for mayor - wow - its that close...
Is that still for the first preferences? If so, I'm guessing it must be very close for 2nd/3rd (as well as perhaps 1st/2nd)? it was of course very close in 2009 too.
It went to 2nd prefs about 2hrs ago so it must be vvv close to start all over again now
On those numbers the Tories could form a coalition with either UKIP or the LibDems. Or perhaps try to run the council as a minority administration, although that looks difficult.
Labour and Davies are way ahead of everybody else according to BBC man. Davies asked to re-recheck first prefs because it's very tight between him and Lab. Every vote can count..even the ones in the wrong column
I suppose Con and others may transfer to him to keep Labour out. But if he's high, they have probably been squeezed in first prefs
Sky protection for a general election: Lab 325 Con 247 L/D 52 Oth 26
Not sure how Sky are doing that and whether you need to adjust for government recovery, but IIUC that's pretty much the same as you'd expect from Rod's by-election swing-back method (plus common sense for the LD score).
Nottinghamshire overall is disappointing. I didn't have time to look at divisions in detail though
Lots of variation. In retrospect we should have targeted Tory seats like Beauvale and Toton more and LibDem seats like Kimberley less - the Tory vote is massively down in most places, but the LibDems are holding. I'm confident about how Broxtowe would work out on these sort of figures because of the Lib/Lab tactical stuff if the election was now.
Mark Wallace @wallaceme 12h Never let them tell you politics is divisive. Almost everyone is united in mirth at the Bridgwater South Lib Dem getting zero votes.
Final result for ESxCC - Con 20 (-9) LD 10 (-3) UKIP 7 (+7) Lab 7 (+3) Indy 5 (+2)
Interesting that the Kippers are all on the coastal belt.
On those numbers the Tories could form a coalition with either UKIP or the LibDems. Or perhaps try to run the council as a minority administration, although that looks difficult.
Thought it was interesting that we've two more indies as well - Kippers took Hailsham, Telscombe & Peacehaven both seats, Ouse Valley, Seaford, Bexhill Offa, and Pevensey
The irony of it all is that it is happening exactly where you'd expect it to happen but that the Westminster political commentariat didn't have a clue and are surprised by it. THATS THE IRONY It happened under their very noses and they didn't see it coming. They could not see the bleedin' obvious as always........
Mark Wallace @wallaceme 12h Never let them tell you politics is divisive. Almost everyone is united in mirth at the Bridgwater South Lib Dem getting zero votes.
Didn't they even vote for themselves?
That's what the tweet implies. Hilarious if true.
May well not be eligible to vote... alot of councillors live outside their ward.
Thought it was interesting that we've two more indies as well - Kippers took Hailsham, Telscombe & Peacehaven both seats, Ouse Valley, Seaford, Bexhill Offa, and Pevensey
One of the Indies is a former Conservative mayor and councillor from Bexhill, who runs a local bakery business:
Sky protection for a general election: Lab 325 Con 247 L/D 52 Oth 26
Not sure how Sky are doing that and whether you need to adjust for government recovery, but IIUC that's pretty much the same as you'd expect from Rod's by-election swing-back method (plus common sense for the LD score).
Sky claim it is an extrapolation of the known vote shares from yesterday's council elections.
So it does not take into account any 'swingback'.
A very dismal performance from Labour in the circumstances and indicative that a 2015 overall majority is very unlikely.
I wonder if the rise of UKIP might provide the long term detox strategy that the Tories need in the anti-Tory parts of the country.
Labour and the left in general have spent almost all their time and energy for the last 50 years telling everyone how evil and nasty the Tories are and rely on people voting for them "to stop the Tories getting in". Now a new right-leaning party is hoovering up voters they're going to have to modify that tactic a bit. "The Tories are evil and er...so are UKIP as well" doesn't have quite the same ring to it.
Comments
If Lab is down 5% vs 2005 are we saying Lab is on 31% today in MID TERM? That is horrendous.
I don't think he could have made it any clearer tim - now Harriet's singing the same tune.
North & Midlands not falling for their nonsense > RT @Mancman10: No UKIP wins yet in Cumbria, Lancs, Derbys & Warwickshire. #vote2013
Lab: 7,426 (40.4%)
Con: 4,663 (25.4%)
UKIP 4,621 (25.2%)
LD: 1,433 (7.8%)
Others: 222 (1.2%)
Changes from 2010 general election:
Lab: +7.3%
Con: -14.7%
UKIP: +21.7%
LD: -9.2%
Others: -5.2%
We in the media love the UKIP narrative. But they've won just 52 seats out of 717 declared so far. That's 7.2% of the total
They still have transfers to do....hurry up, please
72 declared out of 84, 43 needed. At the moment Tories on 34 (60 in 2009) - this could go to the wire
"Labour are doing less well than it did under Michael Foot in 1981. In 1981 they had a majority in Cumbria".
On the Norfolk website they have C 40, Lab 14, LD 10, Green 4, UKIP 14, Other 1.
NOC gain
@Politics_PR
GREAT JOBS REPORT: UNEMPLOYMENT RATE FALLS TO 7.5%, BIG UPWARD REVISIONS, 165,000 NEW JOBS http://ow.ly/kFNfC
we shall fight on the beaches,
we shall fight on the landing grounds,
we shall fight in the fields and in the streets,
we shall fight in the hills...
Remarkable. @UKIP have 5 of 8 #KCCelection seats in Thanet, @willscobie for Labour has the other, with 2 in #Broadstairs still to be counted
Congratulations to the "clowns" and "fruitcakes"!!! That worked!!
Oh look, it's Natalie "we'll get more councillors than UKIP" Bennett. After 18 councils declared UKIP have 52 cllrs, Greens 6...
I actually agree with you that austerity when interest rates are rock bottom should be delayed. But it's madness to think the US is doing that.
Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB 41s
If the Thrasher Sky news projection is correct the LDs will win many more seats than Ukip on much lower vote share. Viva FPTP!
http://www.cambridgeshire.gov.uk/council/democracy/elections/elections-2013/hunts.htm
Think Hollande's going to need Dutch courage over the next 12 months.
Good news for the world economy, but the US has not eschewed austerity, indeed they have implemented more than us.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/27/business/as-budget-cuts-loom-austerity-kills-off-government-jobs.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0
still, never let this get in the way of political posturing.
Thanks for that info - was trying to do two things at same time
Unusual territory for UKIP, being a university area.
43 seats
38 in 2005
43 in 2001
44 in 1997
Labour gains in Coalville, Measham, Ibstock & Appleby, Whtiwick and strong showing in Ashby dela Zouch meaning Labour regained position they lost.
Loughborough - Nicky Morgan not smiling
Labour gained two loughborough wards, UKIP squeezing the votes in shepshed, quorn and mountsorrel, tory councillors holding on with small majorities. No way with a ukip candidate and her no vote for a referenedum is she going to hold on.
labour overturned a 1000 tory majority in thurmaston sending shockaves a bedrock tory ward.
ukip picked up glenfields it first seat. The north of the county is the bellweather and it looks like andrew brdigen and nicky morgan have two years left before they are back in surrey.
Anthony Wells said well over 100 seats for UKIP (after crossing out earlier post saying 250). In fact they've only just scraped past 100.
Nottinghamshire overall is disappointing. I didn't have time to look at divisions in detail though
What matters for UKIP is vote share, not councillors.
This will enable UKIP to target at GE (and basically forget about much of the country).
But this also means other parties know where they need to campaign against UKIP.
A dismal set of results for the Red Team. The Tories have been squished into NOC by Kippers who bypassed Labour entirely. Fascinating stuff.
Another worry for nicky morgan and andrew bridgen two tory mps in marginals is that all the labour footsoldiers were being asked to help campaign in notts/derbyshire. so what will labour do with the right resources?
Lab 325
Con 247
L/D 52
Oth 26
That would surely end in a Lib-Lab coalition. How well do we think that will work out for Miliband and Clegg?
Labour won Mansfield North
A leaked internal briefing from Angela Merkel's coalition partners refers to President Francois Hollande as "meandering" and draws attention to France's "highly regulated labour market and highly developed social security system".
Details of the briefing note were published alongside an internal assessment from the German economics ministry, which listed the French economy's failings.
The ministry's paper said: "French industry is increasingly losing its competitiveness. The relocation of companies abroad continues. Profitability is meagre."
...
The German economics ministry's briefing draws attention to France's high wage costs.
It points out that France has the "second lowest annual working time" in the European Union, while its "tax and social security burden" is the highest in the eurozone. It also warns that France has made too little investment in research and development.
We must all take note that when Merkel speaks of "EU competitiveness" she means much the same as Cameron does when he talks of a "new settlement".
Ed Miliband simply must restore stewardship of his twitter account from whichever GCSE poet is currently bossing it.
46 seats counted (out of 67)
Tories 20 (-6)
Labour 18 (+8)
LD 6 (-1)
Ind 1 (NC)
Other 1 (NC)
UKIP 0 (-1)
Already its clear Sheppey, Swale, Boston, Folkestone are future targets
http://www.eastsussex.gov.uk/yourcouncil/localelections/electionmap/default.aspx
On those numbers the Tories could form a coalition with either UKIP or the LibDems. Or perhaps try to run the council as a minority administration, although that looks difficult.
First prefs.
Labour and Davies are way ahead of everybody else according to BBC man. Davies asked to re-recheck first prefs because it's very tight between him and Lab. Every vote can count..even the ones in the wrong column
I suppose Con and others may transfer to him to keep Labour out. But if he's high, they have probably been squeezed in first prefs
Latest from County Hall - Cons on 40, 3 short of a majority #kccelection
Vacant 0 0 1 0
good performance for the Vacant Party!
Foot won Lancashire and Cumbria!
https://www.nottinghamshire.gov.uk/election2013
LD 1606
Lab 1053
Con 313
UKIP 277
Green 172
https://www.nottinghamshire.gov.uk/Election2013/division/beeston-north
The irony of it all is that it is happening exactly where you'd expect it to happen but that the Westminster political commentariat didn't have a clue and are surprised by it. THATS THE IRONY It happened under their very noses and they didn't see it coming. They could not see the bleedin' obvious as always........
http://www.bexhillobserver.net/news/bexhill-news/stuart-earl-to-stand-for-council-1-2320422
So it does not take into account any 'swingback'.
A very dismal performance from Labour in the circumstances and indicative that a 2015 overall majority is very unlikely.
Labour and the left in general have spent almost all their time and energy for the last 50 years telling everyone how evil and nasty the Tories are and rely on people voting for them "to stop the Tories getting in". Now a new right-leaning party is hoovering up voters they're going to have to modify that tactic a bit. "The Tories are evil and er...so are UKIP as well" doesn't have quite the same ring to it.