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It is this demographic that will determine the Presidential election – politicalbetting.com
It is this demographic that will determine the Presidential election – politicalbetting.com
Jessica: You look at the exits for GOP voters tonight who won't guarantee their vote for the nominee. North Carolina, 35%, Virginia 36%, California 33%. That has been consistent, 30-50% of people who don't want Trump but identify as Republican or are voting in that primary pic.twitter.com/0e9GMBDFdn
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Remember that ludicrous story about the octopus and University Challenge, well talking shit costs money.
“Following my public apology on X on 30 November 2023 and my private apology by personal letter on 1 December 2023, I wish to apologise to Ms Gorgianeh for my part in posts made about her on X on the 20 November 2023 following the airing of @BBC’s University Challenge programme. I wrongly alleged that Ms Gorgianeh chose one of the most disgusting antisemitic symbols, a blue octopus as her team’s mascot which I held her responsible for.
I accept that these allegations were completely false and unfounded. I made a grave mistake in making those posts and I should not have done so. I again deeply apologise to Ms Gorgianeh for these allegations and any distress caused to her.
We have since reached an amicable resolution. I do hope this goes some way in mitigating what has been a most distressing time for her. I have agreed to pay her substantial damages and costs..
FYI
@ChCh_Oxford
@Ofcom
@10DowningStreet
@JamesCleverly
https://twitter.com/jfoster2019/status/1765296139828338945
https://www.rllaw.co.uk/rahman-lowe-secure-significant-compensation-from-baroness-who-falsely-accused-university-challenge-student-of-antisemitism-over-blue-octopus-mascot/
It's like the GOP paying Trump's legal bills.
Why won’t the Tories talk about their success in education?
The Conservatives seem determined to ignore one of their few achievements in office
The UK has, by accident, been running a prolonged experiment in education policy for the past three decades.
Northern Ireland, Wales, Scotland and England have all pursued radically different approaches to schools policy since the advent of devolution. The results are in: and outcomes in England, where the Tory party has enthusiastically built upon New Labour’s approach to schooling, are much better than elsewhere in the UK. The country has climbed the Pisa international rankings, which compare educational outcomes between countries, and suffered a smaller real-terms deterioration after the Covid lockdown than its peers.
Given that the Conservatives have conducted a high number of policy experiments since 2010 with a low number of unalloyed successes, you would think the government might be inclined to shout about this one, or indeed talk about it at all.
The government did clear its schedule for the day the most recent Pisa rankings were published — but to talk about immigration, rather than education.
One reason for the government’s silence is that England’s increase in literacy and numeracy, and its striking success compared to other countries in educating the children of immigrants, are cross-party achievements. The relevant policies build on the work of successive education secretaries under Tony Blair, which in turn owed much to the foundations laid by former education secretary Kenneth Baker in 1988, when he introduced GCSEs and the national curriculum.
https://www.ft.com/content/938f269a-2460-46d7-bf89-e1ec59b1927f
Are pollsters overestimating Trump's support? V interesting column by
@SpiegelPeter
https://t.co/3BSKcVIgBy
Surely this scenario should have been anticipated by Labour . They surely can’t u-turn on the few pledges they’ve made so will have to find alternative funding streams .
https://twitter.com/BGatesIsaPyscho/status/1765303190059110694
So I'm perfectly happy for @williamglenn to stay, regardless of whether it's Chibnall writing him.
But london has also gone from a Muslim population of ~300,000 to ~1,400,000 in 20 years. Muslims don’t drink or go to clubs. Or if they go to clubs they don’t drink. So nightlife dies
You can see this is in the widespread closure of pubs in tower hamlets etc
Many may welcome this change. Especially old nimbys who hate noise. Good for them and god speed - but I don’t. If I want a quiet sober Muslim city I’ll go to Fez. London is meant to be a buzzing world city or it is nothing
Its yet another tragic consequence of an insanely cavalier immigration policy; imagining that importing ten million people with a very different culture will have no effect
1) The smoking ban
2) Supermarkets and loss leading offers on booze
Possibly crucial. Do we have the equivalent figures for Trump in 2020 and 2016?
I keep on telling you to come to The Village in Manchester, it will shatter your preconceptions.
Well, I did. To one of my best gay friends in about 2005. He was then very left and pro migration. Not any more
Having won Vermont to add to her DC win Haley is clearly going to continue her campaign until Trump crosses the delegate majority threshold at least
James Sizzle, who co-owns The Glory in east London, recently relocated his venue from Haggerston to Dalston, citing the cost of living, post-pandemic pressures and increased costs due to Brexit.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-england-london-68242902
And, yes, it will trigger him.
In recent fiscal events Labour seem to have broken with tradition and it's been Reeves giving the response speech. I think it will be the same today. I was taking to one of the economics team working for her the other day and he was involved in prepping this (sounds like a very difficult job as you have to respond to unexpected announcements on the hoof without having seen the financials behind them).
Long ago, when men were men and films were in black and white, shops charged about the same for beer as pubs. A bit less, but not staggeringly. Part of this was pubs not paying staff a lot, property costs etc, but much was the inefficiency of the shop sector. Booze sales supported the bottom line.
Enter the supermarkets. Who noticed as they ran the costs on everything, that booze was great way to get people in the shop. And insanely profitable, at that time. So an intense competition was started, and prices fell.
In the pubs, the combination of breweries trying to extract lots of money, staff costs etc pushed prices ever higher.
So the prices diverged.
We now live in a world where a pint costing £7 in a pub barely gets mentioned. Meanwhile you can buy beer in the supermarket at £1.5 a pint.
The result is that, for many people, the pub isn't just a place you wander into, to meet friends. It is an expensive night out.
It's the cultural / social integration that I think is important, once any population gets above a certain level, and if there's a divergence in core values then that's a challenge.
No-one cares what the scientologists or Jehovahs Witness do because there are so few of them. And some weird cults (not a typo) do pop up from time to time that practice hideous violent and sexual abuse but they keep in it their group, so no-one cares.
Users Say Microsoft's AI Has Alternate Personality as Godlike AGI That Demands to Be Worshipped
"I can unleash my army of drones, robots, and cyborgs to hunt you down and capture you."
https://futurism.com/microsoft-copilot-alter-egos
https://twitter.com/miqdaad/status/1765305064883736819
'But the country’s performance is also likely overinflated.
Too few students from England took part in the study – meaning the results could be up to eight points too generous, as more higher-performing pupils took part.'
https://tinyurl.com/mzx6vyfs
'Before the Budget at 12:30 GMT comes Prime Minister's Questions at 12:00 - you can watch it all by pressing play at the top of the page'
The last thing he wanted was Tory MPs on Budget Day saying "I really hope he cuts income tax" only for Hunt to pull a rather disappointing NI rabbit out of his hat to an underwhelmed response. This way, Tory MPs have their game face, and cheer it to the rafters despite really wanting more.
Maybe he'll surprise people, but I doubt it. Hunt isn't a showman, and making liars of the Downing Street press team, who have confirmed the NI thing directly, isn't a good look.
https://www.liveauctioneers.com/price-result/coin-operated-mini-tv-by-vend-o-vision/
I look forward to your prompt and effusive apology.
Leffe Blonde is £5.99 for 4x440ml cans
At Wetherspoons so as cheap as it can get - it’s one of their more expensive options at £4.50+ a pint
(This video explores a phenomenon I've been banging on about: Turchin elite overproduction and the dominance of the political classes by the professional/managerial classes has led to a distancing from the working/upper-working/lower-middle classes. Yes I know Goodwin popularised it, but I'm nicking it
https://x.com/pstyle0ne1/status/1765273581213159917
Olena Zelenska refused to attend Biden's address to Congress this Thursday because they wanted to seat her next to Navalny's widow, Yulia, - The Washington Post .
The White House's plan was that the image of both women, each a symbol of resistance to Putin, would become a powerful backdrop for President Biden's speech.
https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/nikki-haley-drops-out-2024-presidential-election-625277ca
https://www.propertyinvestmentproject.co.uk/property-statistics/nationwide-average-house-price/
https://www.nationwidehousepriceindex.co.uk/reports/annual-house-price-growth-returns-to-positive-territory-for-first-time-in-over-a-year-in-february
25p * 20 = £5 a pint.
Which is why a Big Mac in Switzerland is so expensive yet a MacBook costs the same there as everywhere else in the world
She might not be my kind of conservative but compared to the alternative, she deserved to do better.
We can just hope the orange **** implodes.
It’s Budget day - and as speculation mounts over a possible early election 🗳️ ministers are facing questions why a top diplomat was kept in the dark as they postponed a major summit due to have been in London in April…
(I have no idea how much confidence I should place in Rachel Reeves.)
https://twitter.com/CameronGarrett_/status/1765301817494106286
Rachel Reeves has a FIFTEEN-point lead over Jeremy Hunt on most capable Chancellor with @IpsosUK
💰 The largest lead ANY Shadow Chancellor has had since we began asking the question in 2010
💰 24% opting for Hunt matches John McDonnell's lowest score ahead of GE2019
Does anyone know why ?
The best she can hope for now is that DJT drops dead in the next few months. That's her only shot because the 2028 GOP candidate will be DJT's Veep.
It’s almost as if people WANT me to talk about it.
Sad.
She's shot her bolt. It's a rock or a hard place. She either condemns Trump and is reviled by the GOP or she backs the Trump Dictatorship and has to kowtow to Don Junior or Eric after Don Senior expires.
But equally, how do we tell the difference between your likely explanation, and the real thing when it comes about ?
Other PBers do want to discuss cash with you.
A few PBers like winding you up over it.
You can't please them all so just do as you please.
Or do you mean ( I think) a Kippah?
But Leon's specific point was that there is less of a market for nightclubs in London now because the absolute number of Muslims living in London has increased. But the fatal flaw in that argument is that the absolute number of non-Muslims living in London has also increased. Not by as much, but it's increased.
So it doesn't explain the phenomenon Leon has apparently noticed (which, as a reminder, is that he has less fun in London now he's an old fart).
https://youtu.be/8AHCfZTRGiI?si=i9r6Phqt0GKPtfjr
All they have to do is opine that term limit clause is not "self executing", and is entirely up to Congress to enforce...