Let me just say this now, its the hope that kills you.
I wouldn't know. I lost all hope when Duckett played that cow shot in the first innings at Lord's.
We all know now that England chasing down a getable target will quickly be in the shit, and one legged Stokes will be required to score 150 in 6s to win it.
Sky News is wall to wall eco campaign platform, with special shows & campaigns dedicated to it. How is that that different?
That the environment needs to be looked after isn't a matter of public controversy, all parties agree on that principle. Which is why even the monarchy is openly pro-environment. How parties think you need to do so varies, but that the environment matters is not a matter of controversy.
That cash matters is not unanimously settled opinion. It is a political view and thus out of bounds for a broadcaster to take a view on.
Sky News is wall to wall eco campaign platform, with special shows & campaigns dedicated to it. How is that that different?
That the environment needs to be looked after isn't a matter of public controversy, all parties agree on that principle. Which is why even the monarchy is openly pro-environment. How parties think you need to do so varies, but that the environment matters is not a matter of controversy.
That cash matters is not unanimously settled opinion. It is a political view and thus out of bounds for a broadcaster to take a view on.
In reality I think it is more likely that a handful of crazies from twitter have complained. Its not the same as the fake news covid stuff they got done for.
Sky News is wall to wall eco campaign platform, with special shows & campaigns dedicated to it. How is that that different?
That the environment needs to be looked after isn't a matter of public controversy, all parties agree on that principle. Which is why even the monarchy is openly pro-environment. How parties think you need to do so varies, but that the environment matters is not a matter of controversy.
That cash matters is not unanimously settled opinion. It is a political view and thus out of bounds for a broadcaster to take a view on.
In reality I think it is more likely that a handful of crazies from twitter have complained. Its not the same as the fake news covis sruff they got done for.
That's true with almost all complaints.
But it doesn't make them wrong.
And anyway, non-crazies don't watch GB News anyway.
Speaking of education, from Wednesday, Andrea Jenkyns advises striking teachers:-
Children suffered enough with their education during lockdown, teachers should put children first and not strike. Why dont they strike during summer holidays when kids wont have to miss lessons! https://twitter.com/andreajenkyns/status/1676702779736309766
Genuine LOL.
But why doesn't she strike every day of the year so her constituents don't have to put up with her?
I was going to post some advice for Andrea, but realised it would get me a ban.
For the purposes of BANTZ alone, seeing the Tories reduced to 15 seats would be intensely entertaining
Imagine the backwoods cranks and weirdos that would survive, like Japs deep in the Indonesian jungle
I reckon the party would die at that point. New right wing parties would emerge
If you go full on bantz with Electoral Claculus (50:25 or something bonkers like that plus a slug of tactical voting), and squeeze the Conservatives down to 23 seats, you get:
Surrey East Claire Coutinho Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins Cotswolds South Geoffrey Clifton-Brown Arundel and South Downs Andrew Griffith Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan Dorset North Simon Hoare Essex North West Kemi Badenoch Surrey Heath Michael Gove East Grinstead and Uckfield Unknown (new seat) New Forest West Desmond Swayne South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes Wetherby and Easingwold Alec Shelbrooke Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi Hampshire East Damian Hinds Hampshire North East Ranil Jayawardena Beaconsfield Joy Morrissey Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson Christchurch Christopher Chope Castle Point Rebecca Harris Maldon John Whittingdale Weald of Kent Unknown (new seat) Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart Exmouth and Exeter East Simon Jupp Godalming and Ash Unknown (new seat) Dorset Mid and Poole North Michael Tomlinson Dumfries and Galloway Alister Jack Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine Andrew Bowie Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey Unknown (changed seat) Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell Gordon and Buchan Unknown (changed seat) Aberdeenshire North and Moray East David Duguid Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk John Lamont
Good luck getting a shadow cabinet out of that.
Shadow cab would be LD. The Tories would be 3rd or 4th party.
For the purposes of BANTZ alone, seeing the Tories reduced to 15 seats would be intensely entertaining
Imagine the backwoods cranks and weirdos that would survive, like Japs deep in the Indonesian jungle
I reckon the party would die at that point. New right wing parties would emerge
If you go full on bantz with Electoral Claculus (50:25 or something bonkers like that plus a slug of tactical voting), and squeeze the Conservatives down to 23 seats, you get:
Surrey East Claire Coutinho Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins Cotswolds South Geoffrey Clifton-Brown Arundel and South Downs Andrew Griffith Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan Dorset North Simon Hoare Essex North West Kemi Badenoch Surrey Heath Michael Gove East Grinstead and Uckfield Unknown (new seat) New Forest West Desmond Swayne South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes Wetherby and Easingwold Alec Shelbrooke Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi Hampshire East Damian Hinds Hampshire North East Ranil Jayawardena Beaconsfield Joy Morrissey Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson Christchurch Christopher Chope Castle Point Rebecca Harris Maldon John Whittingdale Weald of Kent Unknown (new seat) Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart Exmouth and Exeter East Simon Jupp Godalming and Ash Unknown (new seat) Dorset Mid and Poole North Michael Tomlinson Dumfries and Galloway Alister Jack Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine Andrew Bowie Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey Unknown (changed seat) Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell Gordon and Buchan Unknown (changed seat) Aberdeenshire North and Moray East David Duguid Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk John Lamont
Good luck getting a shadow cabinet out of that.
Shadow cab would be LD. The Tories would be 3rd or 4th party.
We need to get back to class-based politics, not based on age.
The broad story of the century so far is that asset prices have run well ahead of wages; that house price increases have largely beaten the rate of inflation, whereas salaries have lagged it or outright stagnated; and that the taxation of earned incomes has been relentlessly ramped to pay for old age pensions and health care, whereas the taxation of assets has been kept deliberately low (and cut considerably in the case of legacies.) It's a system structured to redistribute wealth upwards over time, from the young-poor to the old-rich.
As you rightly say, these are the actual dividing lines.
The old-rentier-rich, and a smaller number of their fortunate heirs, have never had it so good. Moreover, they’ve had the demographic and electoral whip-hand and have essentially voted themselves more and more of the pie.
The young-working-poor have had fifteen and maybe twenty years of shite.
The problem is that to run an economy you need to incent and encourage the group 2, and to run a country properly, you need to inspire them.
The maths (and history) says that eventually group 2 will indeed come out on top. In 15-20 years time, maybe, taxation will shift from income toward wealth,
The question is what group 2 should do in the meantime.
For the purposes of BANTZ alone, seeing the Tories reduced to 15 seats would be intensely entertaining
Imagine the backwoods cranks and weirdos that would survive, like Japs deep in the Indonesian jungle
I reckon the party would die at that point. New right wing parties would emerge
If you go full on bantz with Electoral Claculus (50:25 or something bonkers like that plus a slug of tactical voting), and squeeze the Conservatives down to 23 seats, you get:
Surrey East Claire Coutinho Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins Cotswolds South Geoffrey Clifton-Brown Arundel and South Downs Andrew Griffith Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan Dorset North Simon Hoare Essex North West Kemi Badenoch Surrey Heath Michael Gove East Grinstead and Uckfield Unknown (new seat) New Forest West Desmond Swayne South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes Wetherby and Easingwold Alec Shelbrooke Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi Hampshire East Damian Hinds Hampshire North East Ranil Jayawardena Beaconsfield Joy Morrissey Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson Christchurch Christopher Chope Castle Point Rebecca Harris Maldon John Whittingdale Weald of Kent Unknown (new seat) Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart Exmouth and Exeter East Simon Jupp Godalming and Ash Unknown (new seat) Dorset Mid and Poole North Michael Tomlinson Dumfries and Galloway Alister Jack Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine Andrew Bowie Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey Unknown (changed seat) Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell Gordon and Buchan Unknown (changed seat) Aberdeenshire North and Moray East David Duguid Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk John Lamont
Good luck getting a shadow cabinet out of that.
Yeah, we live in Brentwood and Ongar now so would still have a Tory MP in the excellent Alex Burghart even then
Turned your back on Epping, I see. No wonder you lost your seat on EFDC!
Ongar IS in EFDC and I got the closest result in the District despite not being the incumbent
For the purposes of BANTZ alone, seeing the Tories reduced to 15 seats would be intensely entertaining
Imagine the backwoods cranks and weirdos that would survive, like Japs deep in the Indonesian jungle
I reckon the party would die at that point. New right wing parties would emerge
If you go full on bantz with Electoral Claculus (50:25 or something bonkers like that plus a slug of tactical voting), and squeeze the Conservatives down to 23 seats, you get:
Surrey East Claire Coutinho Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins Cotswolds South Geoffrey Clifton-Brown Arundel and South Downs Andrew Griffith Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan Dorset North Simon Hoare Essex North West Kemi Badenoch Surrey Heath Michael Gove East Grinstead and Uckfield Unknown (new seat) New Forest West Desmond Swayne South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes Wetherby and Easingwold Alec Shelbrooke Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi Hampshire East Damian Hinds Hampshire North East Ranil Jayawardena Beaconsfield Joy Morrissey Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson Christchurch Christopher Chope Castle Point Rebecca Harris Maldon John Whittingdale Weald of Kent Unknown (new seat) Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart Exmouth and Exeter East Simon Jupp Godalming and Ash Unknown (new seat) Dorset Mid and Poole North Michael Tomlinson Dumfries and Galloway Alister Jack Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine Andrew Bowie Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey Unknown (changed seat) Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell Gordon and Buchan Unknown (changed seat) Aberdeenshire North and Moray East David Duguid Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk John Lamont
Good luck getting a shadow cabinet out of that.
That's more than 23 seats. Are you sure you're a teacher?
Speaking of education, from Wednesday, Andrea Jenkyns advises striking teachers:-
Children suffered enough with their education during lockdown, teachers should put children first and not strike. Why dont they strike during summer holidays when kids wont have to miss lessons! https://twitter.com/andreajenkyns/status/1676702779736309766
She has a point given how hard teachers claim to have to work during the holiday periods!
To be honest, if they stopped doing the extras outside of their hours, the whole system could not cope. It would be suggestible as a form of industrial action save for the fact it's not very visible.
For the purposes of BANTZ alone, seeing the Tories reduced to 15 seats would be intensely entertaining
Imagine the backwoods cranks and weirdos that would survive, like Japs deep in the Indonesian jungle
I reckon the party would die at that point. New right wing parties would emerge
If you go full on bantz with Electoral Claculus (50:25 or something bonkers like that plus a slug of tactical voting), and squeeze the Conservatives down to 23 seats, you get:
Surrey East Claire Coutinho Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins Cotswolds South Geoffrey Clifton-Brown Arundel and South Downs Andrew Griffith Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan Dorset North Simon Hoare Essex North West Kemi Badenoch Surrey Heath Michael Gove East Grinstead and Uckfield Unknown (new seat) New Forest West Desmond Swayne South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes Wetherby and Easingwold Alec Shelbrooke Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi Hampshire East Damian Hinds Hampshire North East Ranil Jayawardena Beaconsfield Joy Morrissey Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson Christchurch Christopher Chope Castle Point Rebecca Harris Maldon John Whittingdale Weald of Kent Unknown (new seat) Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart Exmouth and Exeter East Simon Jupp Godalming and Ash Unknown (new seat) Dorset Mid and Poole North Michael Tomlinson Dumfries and Galloway Alister Jack Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine Andrew Bowie Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey Unknown (changed seat) Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell Gordon and Buchan Unknown (changed seat) Aberdeenshire North and Moray East David Duguid Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk John Lamont
Good luck getting a shadow cabinet out of that.
Shadow cab would be LD. The Tories would be 3rd or 4th party.
Eh? As I posted the Tories would get 52 MPs even on those numbers ie more than double the LD seats.
The Conservative voteshare even on that poll over three times the LD share too
For the purposes of BANTZ alone, seeing the Tories reduced to 15 seats would be intensely entertaining
Imagine the backwoods cranks and weirdos that would survive, like Japs deep in the Indonesian jungle
I reckon the party would die at that point. New right wing parties would emerge
If you go full on bantz with Electoral Claculus (50:25 or something bonkers like that plus a slug of tactical voting), and squeeze the Conservatives down to 23 seats, you get:
Surrey East Claire Coutinho Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins Cotswolds South Geoffrey Clifton-Brown Arundel and South Downs Andrew Griffith Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan Dorset North Simon Hoare Essex North West Kemi Badenoch Surrey Heath Michael Gove East Grinstead and Uckfield Unknown (new seat) New Forest West Desmond Swayne South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes Wetherby and Easingwold Alec Shelbrooke Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi Hampshire East Damian Hinds Hampshire North East Ranil Jayawardena Beaconsfield Joy Morrissey Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson Christchurch Christopher Chope Castle Point Rebecca Harris Maldon John Whittingdale Weald of Kent Unknown (new seat) Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart Exmouth and Exeter East Simon Jupp Godalming and Ash Unknown (new seat) Dorset Mid and Poole North Michael Tomlinson Dumfries and Galloway Alister Jack Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine Andrew Bowie Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey Unknown (changed seat) Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell Gordon and Buchan Unknown (changed seat) Aberdeenshire North and Moray East David Duguid Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk John Lamont
Good luck getting a shadow cabinet out of that.
Shadow cab would be LD. The Tories would be 3rd or 4th party.
Here is the current straight line trend since the 2019 GE.
Put that in Electoral Calculus and you indeed get the Tories on 16 seats as 4th party with the Official Opposition being the Lib Dems.
HMG have already knocked it back. One might almost think it suits them to have the horrendous drug problem in Scotland fester on as they blame the SG for it while abnegating their own responsibility. In case anyone was wondering* Reeves has also echoed Rishi’s line on this.
*Gentle reader, no one was wondering.
I guess as a self confessed fromer coke addict, we should respect Sunak's veiws on this
On topic: what on earth is the immigration minister doing micromanaging the wall art in processing centers?
Answer - being a stupid arsehole.
Or, to put it another way, his normal self.
But also- there is very little else for him to do.
The legislative programme has faded to almost nothing.
He can't actually fix the slowness of the immigration system without spending money, and the chancellor won't let him.
Apart from bellicose gestures, the government is basically comatose.
And we potentially have a year and a half of this to go...
Also known as the “hold our nerve” strategy. Do nothing, hope for the best, and dog-whistle where you can.
For all the issues that PBers love to point about the US, the economy is broadly in fine shape and there is still a latent belief that tomorrow things can be even better.
Speaking of education, from Wednesday, Andrea Jenkyns advises striking teachers:-
Children suffered enough with their education during lockdown, teachers should put children first and not strike. Why dont they strike during summer holidays when kids wont have to miss lessons! https://twitter.com/andreajenkyns/status/1676702779736309766
She has a point given how hard teachers claim to have to work during the holiday periods!
To be honest, if they stopped doing the extras outside of their hours, the whole system could not cope. It would be suggestible as a form of industrial action save for the fact it's not very visible.
I’m willing to bet it will happen this year though. More unadapted rubbish from Twinkl or Oak and no changes made for disabled students because the remaining staff either haven’t the time or can’t be bothered will become even more prevalent next year. There are of course dud teachers who never bother to work outside lessons and so nobody will notice the difference, but overall things will deteriorate.
That’s not going to be great for standards in itself, of course.
I suppose the one saving grace is that most materials and courses for the new GCSE will have bedded in somewhat.
The other thing that looks set to be killed stone dead as a result is extra-curricula. No more plays, or concerts, or choirs. No more sports clubs. No more chess or debating societies. And that will again be bad for standards. Lack of socialisation, physical and mental development.
Starmer’s right to be worried about this withering but I see no sign at the moment he has any meaningful solutions of his own.
44 years for burning to death a mother and 2 small children
Discuss
I've no idea what you're talking about
Elaborate
Two prominent sentencing decisions today, both cases abominations. Both borderline whole life orders. Neither is all that far out of line, but whole life could be justified. But it's a good idea to keep it for very rare cases or we go even more like USA. Both cases reflect the rising tariff in recent years. One tells the general public not to take the machine gun when going out. The other, don't set fire to next door house when they are in it. But we knew that, apart from those who didn't.
Ok. Sounds like horrible people getting severely punished for their horrible acts. Not sure I can muster the apparently required level of excitement.
Both cases max out the sentencing guidelines in a number of ways. Not much to see here.
For the purposes of BANTZ alone, seeing the Tories reduced to 15 seats would be intensely entertaining
Imagine the backwoods cranks and weirdos that would survive, like Japs deep in the Indonesian jungle
I reckon the party would die at that point. New right wing parties would emerge
If you go full on bantz with Electoral Claculus (50:25 or something bonkers like that plus a slug of tactical voting), and squeeze the Conservatives down to 23 seats, you get:
Surrey East Claire Coutinho Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins Cotswolds South Geoffrey Clifton-Brown Arundel and South Downs Andrew Griffith Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan Dorset North Simon Hoare Essex North West Kemi Badenoch Surrey Heath Michael Gove East Grinstead and Uckfield Unknown (new seat) New Forest West Desmond Swayne South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes Wetherby and Easingwold Alec Shelbrooke Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi Hampshire East Damian Hinds Hampshire North East Ranil Jayawardena Beaconsfield Joy Morrissey Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson Christchurch Christopher Chope Castle Point Rebecca Harris Maldon John Whittingdale Weald of Kent Unknown (new seat) Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart Exmouth and Exeter East Simon Jupp Godalming and Ash Unknown (new seat) Dorset Mid and Poole North Michael Tomlinson Dumfries and Galloway Alister Jack Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine Andrew Bowie Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey Unknown (changed seat) Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell Gordon and Buchan Unknown (changed seat) Aberdeenshire North and Moray East David Duguid Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk John Lamont
Good luck getting a shadow cabinet out of that.
Shadow cab would be LD. The Tories would be 3rd or 4th party.
Here is the current straight line trend since the 2019 GE.
Put that in Electoral Calculus and you indeed get the Tories on 16 seats as 4th party with the Official Opposition being the Lib Dems.
Those numbers make the right wing case for PR.
Tories would still have double the voteshare of the LDs even then but less seats.
The combined Right of Tories and RefUK would have over a quarter of the votes but less than 5 percent of MPs.
Labour would have only half the votes but over 80 per cent of MPs with FPTP
Apparently the writer of “the email” is some kind of pest. There’s a harassment case.
OMG. Any source on this that it would be appropriate to post?
This was the third main possibility.
1 was exy or somebody who is very close to her and who feels her pain. 2 was a highly capable disinterested professional. 3 was a nutter who only knows about these people from the media and who is at least borderline psychotic, capable of handling facts but also prone to believing that false stuff he has imagined is true.
I know of somebody who'd be a fit for 3, a deranged psychology and computer science academic who for many years has plagued a chat site I go to, ranting like a m*f* about what he believes are the extra-marital affairs and unlawfully youngster-focused behaviours of other chatters. He has also carried out harassment off-site. The guy is clever, technically sussed, and highly manipulative. I've always expected he'll end up in jail. Not saying it's him, but such types exist and it could be.
For the purposes of BANTZ alone, seeing the Tories reduced to 15 seats would be intensely entertaining
Imagine the backwoods cranks and weirdos that would survive, like Japs deep in the Indonesian jungle
I reckon the party would die at that point. New right wing parties would emerge
If you go full on bantz with Electoral Claculus (50:25 or something bonkers like that plus a slug of tactical voting), and squeeze the Conservatives down to 23 seats, you get:
Surrey East Claire Coutinho Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins Cotswolds South Geoffrey Clifton-Brown Arundel and South Downs Andrew Griffith Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan Dorset North Simon Hoare Essex North West Kemi Badenoch Surrey Heath Michael Gove East Grinstead and Uckfield Unknown (new seat) New Forest West Desmond Swayne South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes Wetherby and Easingwold Alec Shelbrooke Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi Hampshire East Damian Hinds Hampshire North East Ranil Jayawardena Beaconsfield Joy Morrissey Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson Christchurch Christopher Chope Castle Point Rebecca Harris Maldon John Whittingdale Weald of Kent Unknown (new seat) Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart Exmouth and Exeter East Simon Jupp Godalming and Ash Unknown (new seat) Dorset Mid and Poole North Michael Tomlinson Dumfries and Galloway Alister Jack Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine Andrew Bowie Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey Unknown (changed seat) Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell Gordon and Buchan Unknown (changed seat) Aberdeenshire North and Moray East David Duguid Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk John Lamont
Good luck getting a shadow cabinet out of that.
Shadow cab would be LD. The Tories would be 3rd or 4th party.
Here is the current straight line trend since the 2019 GE.
Put that in Electoral Calculus and you indeed get the Tories on 16 seats as 4th party with the Official Opposition being the Lib Dems.
Nice free and easy extrapolation there (I thought you'd know better). If you extrapolate the yellows and greens in the same way you'll have a missing 15% or so to play with at the end date. That'll be SNP plus Reform no doubt.
Speaking of education, from Wednesday, Andrea Jenkyns advises striking teachers:-
Children suffered enough with their education during lockdown, teachers should put children first and not strike. Why dont they strike during summer holidays when kids wont have to miss lessons! https://twitter.com/andreajenkyns/status/1676702779736309766
She has a point given how hard teachers claim to have to work during the holiday periods!
To be honest, if they stopped doing the extras outside of their hours, the whole system could not cope. It would be suggestible as a form of industrial action save for the fact it's not very visible.
I’m willing to bet it will happen this year though. More unadapted rubbish from Twinkl or Oak and no changes made for disabled students because the remaining staff either haven’t the time or can’t be bothered will become even more prevalent next year. There are of course dud teachers who never bother to work outside lessons and so nobody will notice the difference, but overall things will deteriorate.
That’s not going to be great for standards in itself, of course.
I suppose the one saving grace is that most materials and courses for the new GCSE will have bedded in somewhat.
The other thing that looks set to be killed stone dead as a result is extra-curricula. No more plays, or concerts, or choirs. No more sports clubs. No more chess or debating societies. And that will again be bad for standards. Lack of socialisation, physical and mental development.
Starmer’s right to be worried about this withering but I see no sign at the moment he has any meaningful solutions of his own.
If the teaching assistants insisted on taking their (unpaid) breaks in full, there'd be no outside time on the playground at all for anyone either.
Speaking of education, from Wednesday, Andrea Jenkyns advises striking teachers:-
Children suffered enough with their education during lockdown, teachers should put children first and not strike. Why dont they strike during summer holidays when kids wont have to miss lessons! https://twitter.com/andreajenkyns/status/1676702779736309766
She has a point given how hard teachers claim to have to work during the holiday periods!
To be honest, if they stopped doing the extras outside of their hours, the whole system could not cope. It would be suggestible as a form of industrial action save for the fact it's not very visible.
I’m willing to bet it will happen this year though. More unadapted rubbish from Twinkl or Oak and no changes made for disabled students because the remaining staff either haven’t the time or can’t be bothered will become even more prevalent next year. There are of course dud teachers who never bother to work outside lessons and so nobody will notice the difference, but overall things will deteriorate.
That’s not going to be great for standards in itself, of course.
I suppose the one saving grace is that most materials and courses for the new GCSE will have bedded in somewhat.
The other thing that looks set to be killed stone dead as a result is extra-curricula. No more plays, or concerts, or choirs. No more sports clubs. No more chess or debating societies. And that will again be bad for standards. Lack of socialisation, physical and mental development.
Starmer’s right to be worried about this withering but I see no sign at the moment he has any meaningful solutions of his own.
If the teaching assistants insisted on taking their (unpaid) breaks in full, there'd be no outside time on the playground at all for anyone either.
Like care assistants aren't paid for travel time between clients' houses. But PBTories assure us we have full employment. Just a shame the employment isn't fully paid for.
For the purposes of BANTZ alone, seeing the Tories reduced to 15 seats would be intensely entertaining
Imagine the backwoods cranks and weirdos that would survive, like Japs deep in the Indonesian jungle
I reckon the party would die at that point. New right wing parties would emerge
If you go full on bantz with Electoral Claculus (50:25 or something bonkers like that plus a slug of tactical voting), and squeeze the Conservatives down to 23 seats, you get:
Surrey East Claire Coutinho Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins Cotswolds South Geoffrey Clifton-Brown Arundel and South Downs Andrew Griffith Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan Dorset North Simon Hoare Essex North West Kemi Badenoch Surrey Heath Michael Gove East Grinstead and Uckfield Unknown (new seat) New Forest West Desmond Swayne South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes Wetherby and Easingwold Alec Shelbrooke Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi Hampshire East Damian Hinds Hampshire North East Ranil Jayawardena Beaconsfield Joy Morrissey Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson Christchurch Christopher Chope Castle Point Rebecca Harris Maldon John Whittingdale Weald of Kent Unknown (new seat) Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart Exmouth and Exeter East Simon Jupp Godalming and Ash Unknown (new seat) Dorset Mid and Poole North Michael Tomlinson Dumfries and Galloway Alister Jack Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine Andrew Bowie Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey Unknown (changed seat) Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell Gordon and Buchan Unknown (changed seat) Aberdeenshire North and Moray East David Duguid Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk John Lamont
Good luck getting a shadow cabinet out of that.
Shadow cab would be LD. The Tories would be 3rd or 4th party.
Here is the current straight line trend since the 2019 GE.
Put that in Electoral Calculus and you indeed get the Tories on 16 seats as 4th party with the Official Opposition being the Lib Dems.
Those numbers make the right wing case for PR.
Tories would still have double the voteshare of the LDs even then but less seats.
The combined Right of Tories and RefUK would have over a quarter of the votes but less than 5 percent of MPs.
Labour would have only half the votes but over 80 per cent of MPs with FPTP
To summarise the right wing case for PR then. It's perfect till it works against us?
On topic: what on earth is the immigration minister doing micromanaging the wall art in processing centers?
Public relations.
Bringing stuff closer to the surface. Cf. Benedict Cumberbatch playing Dominic Cummings in Brexit: The Uncivil War (2019) when he listens to the ground.
I've heard many people who otherwise seem quite reasonable types express the most disgusting and inhumane viscerally felt wishes towards illegal immigrants and attempted illegal immigrants, including children.
Speaking of education, from Wednesday, Andrea Jenkyns advises striking teachers:-
Children suffered enough with their education during lockdown, teachers should put children first and not strike. Why dont they strike during summer holidays when kids wont have to miss lessons! https://twitter.com/andreajenkyns/status/1676702779736309766
She has a point given how hard teachers claim to have to work during the holiday periods!
To be honest, if they stopped doing the extras outside of their hours, the whole system could not cope. It would be suggestible as a form of industrial action save for the fact it's not very visible.
I’m willing to bet it will happen this year though. More unadapted rubbish from Twinkl or Oak and no changes made for disabled students because the remaining staff either haven’t the time or can’t be bothered will become even more prevalent next year. There are of course dud teachers who never bother to work outside lessons and so nobody will notice the difference, but overall things will deteriorate.
That’s not going to be great for standards in itself, of course.
I suppose the one saving grace is that most materials and courses for the new GCSE will have bedded in somewhat.
The other thing that looks set to be killed stone dead as a result is extra-curricula. No more plays, or concerts, or choirs. No more sports clubs. No more chess or debating societies. And that will again be bad for standards. Lack of socialisation, physical and mental development.
Starmer’s right to be worried about this withering but I see no sign at the moment he has any meaningful solutions of his own.
If the teaching assistants insisted on taking their (unpaid) breaks in full, there'd be no outside time on the playground at all for anyone either.
Like care assistants aren't paid for travel time between clients' houses. But PBTories assure us we have full employment. Just a shame the employment isn't fully paid for.
Isn't it really weird that a sector that treats its workers like shite has a real problem with recruitment? It is almost as if there was some connection.
On topic: what on earth is the immigration minister doing micromanaging the wall art in processing centers?
Public relations.
Bringing stuff closer to the surface. Cf. Benedict Cumberbatch playing Dominic Cummings in Brexit: The Uncivil War (2019) when he listens to the ground.
I've heard many people who otherwise seems quite reasonable types express the most disgusting and inhumane viscerally felt wishes towards illegal immigrants and attempted illegal immigrants, including children.
When are they going to start public drownings and imprisoning RNLI crews and supporting volunteers?
Clue: they've already tried [edit] to get powers to do the latter. And taken a very long time to change the proposed law when it was pointed out what they would be able to do. At the same time as the right winger media were whipping up hatred for the RNLI for saving brown and black childre from drowning elsewher ein the world.
On topic: what on earth is the immigration minister doing micromanaging the wall art in processing centers?
Public relations.
Bringing stuff closer to the surface. Cf. Benedict Cumberbatch playing Dominic Cummings in Brexit: The Uncivil War (2019) when he listens to the ground.
I've heard many people who otherwise seem quite reasonable types express the most disgusting and inhumane viscerally felt wishes towards illegal immigrants and attempted illegal immigrants, including children.
On topic: what on earth is the immigration minister doing micromanaging the wall art in processing centers?
Public relations.
Bringing stuff closer to the surface. Cf. Benedict Cumberbatch playing Dominic Cummings in Brexit: The Uncivil War (2019) when he listens to the ground.
I've heard many people who otherwise seem quite reasonable types express the most disgusting and inhumane viscerally felt wishes towards illegal immigrants and attempted illegal immigrants, including children.
For the purposes of BANTZ alone, seeing the Tories reduced to 15 seats would be intensely entertaining
Imagine the backwoods cranks and weirdos that would survive, like Japs deep in the Indonesian jungle
I reckon the party would die at that point. New right wing parties would emerge
If you go full on bantz with Electoral Claculus (50:25 or something bonkers like that plus a slug of tactical voting), and squeeze the Conservatives down to 23 seats, you get:
Surrey East Claire Coutinho Louth and Horncastle Victoria Atkins Cotswolds South Geoffrey Clifton-Brown Arundel and South Downs Andrew Griffith Chesham and Amersham Cheryl Gillan Dorset North Simon Hoare Essex North West Kemi Badenoch Surrey Heath Michael Gove East Grinstead and Uckfield Unknown (new seat) New Forest West Desmond Swayne South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes Wetherby and Easingwold Alec Shelbrooke Stratford-on-Avon Nadhim Zahawi Hampshire East Damian Hinds Hampshire North East Ranil Jayawardena Beaconsfield Joy Morrissey Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Gavin Williamson Christchurch Christopher Chope Castle Point Rebecca Harris Maldon John Whittingdale Weald of Kent Unknown (new seat) Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart Exmouth and Exeter East Simon Jupp Godalming and Ash Unknown (new seat) Dorset Mid and Poole North Michael Tomlinson Dumfries and Galloway Alister Jack Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine Andrew Bowie Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey Unknown (changed seat) Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell Gordon and Buchan Unknown (changed seat) Aberdeenshire North and Moray East David Duguid Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk John Lamont
Good luck getting a shadow cabinet out of that.
Shadow cab would be LD. The Tories would be 3rd or 4th party.
Here is the current straight line trend since the 2019 GE.
Put that in Electoral Calculus and you indeed get the Tories on 16 seats as 4th party with the Official Opposition being the Lib Dems.
Those numbers make the right wing case for PR.
Tories would still have double the voteshare of the LDs even then but less seats.
The combined Right of Tories and RefUK would have over a quarter of the votes but less than 5 percent of MPs.
Labour would have only half the votes but over 80 per cent of MPs with FPTP
It's not just theoretical. In Richmond on Thames the Lib Dems have just over half the votes but over 85% of the Councillors. The Tories have only one Councillor (and he is 92 years old!)
It's plainly ridiculous and indefensible. I hope you are supportive of the case for PR.
To be fair Anna Soubry is four square behind Starmer. I don't think Gaulke will be voting Tory either, and Grieve will walk into the polling booth fully expecting to vote Tory and find he couldn't do it this time and will under duress vote Labour or Lib Dem.
Speaking of education, from Wednesday, Andrea Jenkyns advises striking teachers:-
Children suffered enough with their education during lockdown, teachers should put children first and not strike. Why dont they strike during summer holidays when kids wont have to miss lessons! https://twitter.com/andreajenkyns/status/1676702779736309766
She has a point given how hard teachers claim to have to work during the holiday periods!
To be honest, if they stopped doing the extras outside of their hours, the whole system could not cope. It would be suggestible as a form of industrial action save for the fact it's not very visible.
I’m willing to bet it will happen this year though. More unadapted rubbish from Twinkl or Oak and no changes made for disabled students because the remaining staff either haven’t the time or can’t be bothered will become even more prevalent next year. There are of course dud teachers who never bother to work outside lessons and so nobody will notice the difference, but overall things will deteriorate.
That’s not going to be great for standards in itself, of course.
I suppose the one saving grace is that most materials and courses for the new GCSE will have bedded in somewhat.
The other thing that looks set to be killed stone dead as a result is extra-curricula. No more plays, or concerts, or choirs. No more sports clubs. No more chess or debating societies. And that will again be bad for standards. Lack of socialisation, physical and mental development.
Starmer’s right to be worried about this withering but I see no sign at the moment he has any meaningful solutions of his own.
If the teaching assistants insisted on taking their (unpaid) breaks in full, there'd be no outside time on the playground at all for anyone either.
Like care assistants aren't paid for travel time between clients' houses. But PBTories assure us we have full employment. Just a shame the employment isn't fully paid for.
Isn't it really weird that a sector that treats its workers like shite has a real problem with recruitment? It is almost as if there was some connection.
We have been repeatedly told by Good People that the only possible solution is to import the Right* People who will work for those wages & conditions.
As opposed to Gammon Brexiter Neon Fascist Racist Transphobic Homophobic Lazy Scum. Who spend their days sliding down the vast piles of vast unemployment benefit/state pension money in their mansions. Instead of working the said minimum wage jobs like the serfs they are supposed to be.
So the only decent thing is to make the Gammon Brexiter Neon Fascist Racist Transphobic Homophobic Lazy Scum into soap.
That and bringing back Scottish style slavery, so that they can be forced to work (the ones we don't make into soap).
*Bit like Right Whales - they are Right for us, not so much for their own benefit....
On topic: what on earth is the immigration minister doing micromanaging the wall art in processing centers?
Actually they don't care about immigration. Being visibly and grotesquely horrible to immigrants IS the policy. Job done, as far as Jenrick is concerned.
On topic: what on earth is the immigration minister doing micromanaging the wall art in processing centers?
Public relations.
Bringing stuff closer to the surface. Cf. Benedict Cumberbatch playing Dominic Cummings in Brexit: The Uncivil War (2019) when he listens to the ground.
I've heard many people who otherwise seems quite reasonable types express the most disgusting and inhumane viscerally felt wishes towards illegal immigrants and attempted illegal immigrants, including children.
When are they going to start public drownings and imprisoning RNLI crews and supporting volunteers?
Clue: they've already tried [edit] to get powers to do the latter. And taken a very long time to change the proposed law when it was pointed out what they would be able to do. At the same time as the right winger media were whipping up hatred for the RNLI for saving brown and black childre from drowning elsewher ein the world.
IIRC the extent of their persecution of the boat people has been feeding them on Domino's Pizza. Mind you, some of it *was* pineapple pizza.
As opposed to the French camps/detention centres in Calais, where yet another er... inhabitant, got beaten to death in interesting circumstances.
Speaking of education, from Wednesday, Andrea Jenkyns advises striking teachers:-
Children suffered enough with their education during lockdown, teachers should put children first and not strike. Why dont they strike during summer holidays when kids wont have to miss lessons! https://twitter.com/andreajenkyns/status/1676702779736309766
She has a point given how hard teachers claim to have to work during the holiday periods!
To be honest, if they stopped doing the extras outside of their hours, the whole system could not cope. It would be suggestible as a form of industrial action save for the fact it's not very visible.
I’m willing to bet it will happen this year though. More unadapted rubbish from Twinkl or Oak and no changes made for disabled students because the remaining staff either haven’t the time or can’t be bothered will become even more prevalent next year. There are of course dud teachers who never bother to work outside lessons and so nobody will notice the difference, but overall things will deteriorate.
That’s not going to be great for standards in itself, of course.
I suppose the one saving grace is that most materials and courses for the new GCSE will have bedded in somewhat.
The other thing that looks set to be killed stone dead as a result is extra-curricula. No more plays, or concerts, or choirs. No more sports clubs. No more chess or debating societies. And that will again be bad for standards. Lack of socialisation, physical and mental development.
Starmer’s right to be worried about this withering but I see no sign at the moment he has any meaningful solutions of his own.
If the teaching assistants insisted on taking their (unpaid) breaks in full, there'd be no outside time on the playground at all for anyone either.
Like care assistants aren't paid for travel time between clients' houses. But PBTories assure us we have full employment. Just a shame the employment isn't fully paid for.
Isn't it really weird that a sector that treats its workers like shite has a real problem with recruitment? It is almost as if there was some connection.
We have been repeatedly told by Good People that the only possible solution is to import the Right* People who will work for those wages & conditions.
As opposed to Gammon Brexiter Neon Fascist Racist Transphobic Homophobic Lazy Scum. Who spend their days sliding down the vast piles of vast unemployment benefit/state pension money in their mansions. Instead of working the said minimum wage jobs like the serfs they are supposed to be.
So the only decent thing is to make the Gammon Brexiter Neon Fascist Racist Transphobic Homophobic Lazy Scum into soap.
That and bringing back Scottish style slavery, so that they can be forced to work (the ones we don't make into soap).
*Bit like Right Whales - they are Right for us, not so much for their own benefit....
P. 233 here refers. Rather a good artivle, but I hesitate to recommend it here as it might give the Government ideas.
Speaking of education, from Wednesday, Andrea Jenkyns advises striking teachers:-
Children suffered enough with their education during lockdown, teachers should put children first and not strike. Why dont they strike during summer holidays when kids wont have to miss lessons! https://twitter.com/andreajenkyns/status/1676702779736309766
She has a point given how hard teachers claim to have to work during the holiday periods!
Will Ms. Jenkyns be working during the summer holidays?
Does she work during term time?
Let's hope come the next General Election she'll be looking for a sub-Postmistress or a tied publican position in a rough part of West Yorkshire.
Apparently the writer of “the email” is some kind of pest. There’s a harassment case.
OMG. Any source on this that it would be appropriate to post?
This was the third main possibility.
1 was exy or somebody who is very close to her and who feels her pain. 2 was a highly capable disinterested professional. 3 was a nutter who only knows about these people from the media and who is at least borderline psychotic, capable of handling facts but also prone to believing that false stuff he has imagined is true.
I know of somebody who'd be a fit for 3, a deranged psychology and computer science academic who for many years has plagued a chat site I go to, ranting like a m*f* about what he believes are the extra-marital affairs and unlawfully youngster-focused behaviours of other chatters. He has also carried out harassment off-site. The guy is clever, technically sussed, and highly manipulative. I've always expected he'll end up in jail. Not saying it's him, but such types exist and it could be.
I highly doubt it was @malcolmg, but you never know.
Comments
I'm just wondering if he works for Ofcom...
That cash matters is not unanimously settled opinion. It is a political view and thus out of bounds for a broadcaster to take a view on.
But it doesn't make them wrong.
And anyway, non-crazies don't watch GB News anyway.
https://www.espncricinfo.com/story/tamim-iqbal-reverses-retirement-decision-after-meeting-bangladesh-prime-minister-sheikh-hasina-1386270
Australia 2nd Innings
31.1 Moeen Ali to Head, FOUR runs
Full ball around off. Bit of turn away. Head goes inside out and creams a grounded drive past wide long off's right for four
Australia vs England, The Ashes, 3rd Test
https://www.espncricinfo.com/series/the-ashes-2023-1336037/england-vs-australia-3rd-test-1336045/live-cricket-score
(He's just had his serve broken in the 5th set)
The old-rentier-rich, and a smaller number of their fortunate heirs, have never had it so good. Moreover, they’ve had the demographic and electoral whip-hand and have essentially voted themselves more and more of the pie.
The young-working-poor have had fifteen and maybe twenty years of shite.
The problem is that to run an economy you need to incent and encourage the group 2, and to run a country properly, you need to inspire them.
The maths (and history) says that eventually group 2 will indeed come out on top. In 15-20 years time, maybe, taxation will shift from income toward wealth,
The question is what group 2 should do in the meantime.
Or, to put it another way, his normal self.
The Conservative voteshare even on that poll over three times the LD share too
The legislative programme has faded to almost nothing.
He can't actually fix the slowness of the immigration system without spending money, and the chancellor won't let him.
Apart from bellicose gestures, the government is basically comatose.
And we potentially have a year and a half of this to go...
Put that in Electoral Calculus and you indeed get the Tories on 16 seats as 4th party with the Official Opposition being the Lib Dems.
https://www.yr.no/nb/værvarsel/daglig-tabell/2-6695619/Storbritannia/England/Leeds/Headingley
Do nothing, hope for the best, and dog-whistle where you can.
For all the issues that PBers love to point about the US, the economy is broadly in fine shape and there is still a latent belief that tomorrow things can be even better.
That’s not going to be great for standards in itself, of course.
I suppose the one saving grace is that most materials and courses for the new GCSE will have bedded in somewhat.
The other thing that looks set to be killed stone dead as a result is extra-curricula. No more plays, or concerts, or choirs. No more sports clubs. No more chess or debating societies. And that will again be bad for standards. Lack of socialisation, physical and mental development.
Starmer’s right to be worried about this withering but I see no sign at the moment he has any meaningful solutions of his own.
Tories would still have double the voteshare of the LDs even then but less seats.
The combined Right of Tories and RefUK would have over a quarter of the votes but less than 5 percent of MPs.
Labour would have only half the votes but over 80 per cent of MPs with FPTP
😠
This was the third main possibility.
1 was exy or somebody who is very close to her and who feels her pain.
2 was a highly capable disinterested professional.
3 was a nutter who only knows about these people from the media and who is at least borderline psychotic, capable of handling facts but also prone to believing that false stuff he has imagined is true.
I know of somebody who'd be a fit for 3, a deranged psychology and computer science academic who for many years has plagued a chat site I go to, ranting like a m*f* about what he believes are the extra-marital affairs and unlawfully youngster-focused behaviours of other chatters. He has also carried out harassment off-site. The guy is clever, technically sussed, and highly manipulative. I've always expected he'll end up in jail. Not saying it's him, but such types exist and it could be.
(Yes, I know it means ‘boot,’ but that doesn’t work as a pun.)
It's perfect till it works against us?
Bringing stuff closer to the surface. Cf. Benedict Cumberbatch playing Dominic Cummings in Brexit: The Uncivil War (2019) when he listens to the ground.
I've heard many people who otherwise seem quite reasonable types express the most disgusting and inhumane viscerally felt wishes towards illegal immigrants and attempted illegal immigrants, including children.
Clue: they've already tried [edit] to get powers to do the latter. And taken a very long time to change the proposed law when it was pointed out what they would be able to do. At the same time as the right winger media were whipping up hatred for the RNLI for saving brown and black childre from drowning elsewher ein the world.
https://twitter.com/ShaunLintern/status/1677318312613519367?t=CaXmoVb60_G2CCLHtb5www&s=19
[second thoughts] Sorry, Farooq, Carnyx, Uniondivvie at al.!
I wonder what Scotland will offer Consultants.
Though Mr Murray has done pretty well to keep going so long. Good for him (and for Mr Tsitsipas too.
Could well be a case of public polls saying one thing and private focus groups saying another.
It's plainly ridiculous and indefensible. I hope you are supportive of the case for PR.
As opposed to Gammon Brexiter Neon Fascist Racist Transphobic Homophobic Lazy Scum. Who spend their days sliding down the vast piles of vast unemployment benefit/state pension money in their mansions. Instead of working the said minimum wage jobs like the serfs they are supposed to be.
So the only decent thing is to make the Gammon Brexiter Neon Fascist Racist Transphobic Homophobic Lazy Scum into soap.
That and bringing back Scottish style slavery, so that they can be forced to work (the ones we don't make into soap).
*Bit like Right Whales - they are Right for us, not so much for their own benefit....
As opposed to the French camps/detention centres in Calais, where yet another er... inhabitant, got beaten to death in interesting circumstances.
[journal issue downloads - can't work out how to do it else]
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwiT0py7jv3_AhUKIMAKHTJ_CD04FBAWegQIBxAB&url=https://www.balh.org.uk/download?file=publication-tlh-the-local-historian-volume-37-number-4-november-2007&pub=tlh&usg=AOvVaw0Q6rnPxnDTtvlJCkuUoDGG&opi=89978449