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They’re trolling us now. – politicalbetting.com

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  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,020
    edited December 2022
    Jonathan said:

    Messi is yet to win the FA Cup and Premiership.

    Career fail......

    I bet he hasn't won the Potteries Junior Youth league either, like me ;-)
  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366
    DougSeal said:

    WillG said:

    DougSeal said:

    WillG said:

    DougSeal said:

    Leon said:

    dixiedean said:

    Leon said:

    TimS said:

    dixiedean said:

    In all the excitement I missed it's predicted to be 13°C tomorrow up here.
    That's some thaw.

    Just rejoice at that news.
    A wonderful game of football, the right eventual result despite me having supported France throughout, and 13C tomorrow. T-shirt coming out of the drawer this evening. And f you Putin.
    I have a new favourite genre of Tweeter, the American sports pundit who has just clocked on to soccerball and is now suggesting great new ways to improve the sport like abolishing the "shootouts" and having goals the size of Manhattan and three halves of six minutes each
    Although I've been reading a lot of the US coverage to catch up with match reports I've missed whilst teaching.
    The level of analysis and tactical nous puts our newspaper reporting to shame. (At least amongst their dedicated soccer writers).
    It's almost as if they analyse it as a sport not a soap opera.
    No one ever seems to win or lose because of more or not enough "passion".
    They don't just tell you what happened, but endeavour to explain why it did.
    Yes, I agree. The NYT/Athletic is particularly good - they've hired a lot of the best British writers. They can afford it. It's the casual viewers who make stunningly naff remarks

    Football has a good chance of overtaking baseball in the USA

    It has, but it should set its sights on overtaking basketball and ice hockey first.
    Ice hockey is way behind both baseball and soccer.
    Not by revenue it’s not. The NHL is still way ahead of MLS

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_professional_sports_leagues_by_revenue
    That's because American soccer fans spend a lot of their money on international soccer from England and Spain.
    By what quantifiable metric is it “ahead” then?
    Active viewership.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,020
    edited December 2022
    Have the French started rioting yet?

    Edit - of course they have...

    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1604571538795249670
  • MightyAlexMightyAlex Posts: 1,660

    Course he is, the mooby ****.




    :|
  • Have the French started rioting yet?

    Edit - of course they have...

    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1604571538795249670

    On Topic - Have the British police begun arresting anyone at Westminster yet re: alleged COVID frauds?

    My guess is no. Unlike the Belgian police who ARE arresting MEPs and other EUers re: alleged Qatar payoffs.
  • Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,705

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    Surprised he didn't climb out of a SpaceX rocket that landed upright on the centre spot 5 minutes before the kick-off.
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860
    WillG said:

    DougSeal said:

    WillG said:

    DougSeal said:

    WillG said:

    DougSeal said:

    Leon said:

    dixiedean said:

    Leon said:

    TimS said:

    dixiedean said:

    In all the excitement I missed it's predicted to be 13°C tomorrow up here.
    That's some thaw.

    Just rejoice at that news.
    A wonderful game of football, the right eventual result despite me having supported France throughout, and 13C tomorrow. T-shirt coming out of the drawer this evening. And f you Putin.
    I have a new favourite genre of Tweeter, the American sports pundit who has just clocked on to soccerball and is now suggesting great new ways to improve the sport like abolishing the "shootouts" and having goals the size of Manhattan and three halves of six minutes each
    Although I've been reading a lot of the US coverage to catch up with match reports I've missed whilst teaching.
    The level of analysis and tactical nous puts our newspaper reporting to shame. (At least amongst their dedicated soccer writers).
    It's almost as if they analyse it as a sport not a soap opera.
    No one ever seems to win or lose because of more or not enough "passion".
    They don't just tell you what happened, but endeavour to explain why it did.
    Yes, I agree. The NYT/Athletic is particularly good - they've hired a lot of the best British writers. They can afford it. It's the casual viewers who make stunningly naff remarks

    Football has a good chance of overtaking baseball in the USA

    It has, but it should set its sights on overtaking basketball and ice hockey first.
    Ice hockey is way behind both baseball and soccer.
    Not by revenue it’s not. The NHL is still way ahead of MLS

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_professional_sports_leagues_by_revenue
    That's because American soccer fans spend a lot of their money on international soccer from England and Spain.
    By what quantifiable metric is it “ahead” then?
    Active viewership.
    It’s hard to compare because of the weirdly insular world of sport in the US. But football/soccer is huge there, albeit in the context of the broader atomisation of culture - it’ll never ever overtake gridiron football, and I struggle to see it take on basketball, shy of the latter going through a decline of cheating and mismanagement which been slowly doing for baseball.

    Domestic attendances for MLS are pretty impressive though. I remember reading a few years back that MLS clubs had higher average match attendance than the Brazilian Serie A.

    Football rights for foreign leagues (England especially, but also Spain and Mexico) are lucrative: they draw eyeballs (watching live too), and therefore draw ad spend. It’s in broadcasters’ interest to present the sport well too.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,876
    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    Back to politics and let's make some time next year to chew over the Luxembourg political scene ahead of their next general election.

    The three party Government headed by Xavier Bettel polled 47.6% in the October 2018 election but the latest polls have the combined vote share of the Social Democrats, Democratic Party and Greens at 50.2%.

    The opposition centre-right Christian Social People's Party is on 23.3%, five points down from 2018 but is still the party attracting the largest vote share. They polled 1,800 out of a population of 608,000 - that would be akin to polling a million people for an opinion poll here.

    All very interesting, but it has fewer electors than for Essex county council
    Of slight interest at most but I was more interested in what would happen if a polling company or companies decided to poll a million people over a 14-day period and what credence we would give (if any) to the results.

    Most polls sample 1,000-2,500 people. I recall polls of 10,000 people before General Elections but would a poll of 100,000 people (assuming the usual caveats about it being representative) produce a more accurate result. What about polling a million people (even if it were logistically possible)?

    Is there any evidence the larger the sample the more accurate the result?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,863
    edited December 2022
    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    Back to politics and let's make some time next year to chew over the Luxembourg political scene ahead of their next general election.

    The three party Government headed by Xavier Bettel polled 47.6% in the October 2018 election but the latest polls have the combined vote share of the Social Democrats, Democratic Party and Greens at 50.2%.

    The opposition centre-right Christian Social People's Party is on 23.3%, five points down from 2018 but is still the party attracting the largest vote share. They polled 1,800 out of a population of 608,000 - that would be akin to polling a million people for an opinion poll here.

    All very interesting, but it has fewer electors than for Essex county council
    Of slight interest at most but I was more interested in what would happen if a polling company or companies decided to poll a million people over a 14-day period and what credence we would give (if any) to the results.

    Most polls sample 1,000-2,500 people. I recall polls of 10,000 people before General Elections but would a poll of 100,000 people (assuming the usual caveats about it being representative) produce a more accurate result. What about polling a million people (even if it were logistically possible)?

    Is there any evidence the larger the sample the more accurate the result?
    Yes, provided the methodology is otherwise robust, but beyond about 1,500 people the added accuracy becomes diminishingly small in relation to the increase in sampling and isn’t really worth the extra cost and effort.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,020
    edited December 2022

    Have the French started rioting yet?

    Edit - of course they have...

    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1604571538795249670

    On Topic - Have the British police begun arresting anyone at Westminster yet re: alleged COVID frauds?

    My guess is no. Unlike the Belgian police who ARE arresting MEPs and other EUers re: alleged Qatar payoffs.
    The Belgiums have been investigating this case for nearly 2 years before they started to make arrests, and then they found idiots who kept masses of cash under their bed, which sort of made life a lot easier.

    In the UK, investigations have been ongoing for about a year now.

    Financial crimes and misdoings are very complicated and often difficult to ensure that what has been done is definitely illegal (rather than immoral) and that your case won't fall apart, which has happened more often than it should in the past.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,969
    edited December 2022
    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    Back to politics and let's make some time next year to chew over the Luxembourg political scene ahead of their next general election.

    The three party Government headed by Xavier Bettel polled 47.6% in the October 2018 election but the latest polls have the combined vote share of the Social Democrats, Democratic Party and Greens at 50.2%.

    The opposition centre-right Christian Social People's Party is on 23.3%, five points down from 2018 but is still the party attracting the largest vote share. They polled 1,800 out of a population of 608,000 - that would be akin to polling a million people for an opinion poll here.

    All very interesting, but it has fewer electors than for Essex county council
    Of slight interest at most but I was more interested in what would happen if a polling company or companies decided to poll a million people over a 14-day period and what credence we would give (if any) to the results.

    Most polls sample 1,000-2,500 people. I recall polls of 10,000 people before General Elections but would a poll of 100,000 people (assuming the usual caveats about it being representative) produce a more accurate result. What about polling a million people (even if it were logistically possible)?

    Is there any evidence the larger the sample the more accurate the result?
    Not unless scientifically accurate, remember the infamous Literary Digest poll putting Republican nominee Alf Landon ahead of Democrat President FDR in the 1936 presidential election.
    https://historymatters.gmu.edu/d/5168/

    FDR ended up winning a landslide with 60% of the vote, 46 states and 523 EC votes. Landon only winning Vermont and Maine
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1936_United_States_presidential_election

    Quite astonishing today to think that in the 1930s the safest Republican states were Vermont and Maine
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,648
    WillG said:

    WillG said:

    Pagan2 said:

    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    *If* Twitter is the big boy in this particular social media space, then it does seem anticompetitive - other sites can feed into Twitter, but Twitter will not allow links to smaller potential rivals, allowing them to grow. Although as Facebook and Instagram are on the list, that might not be the case. But are FB and Instagram in the *same* space?

    Will Facebook and Instagram respond in kind?

    It'll be interesting to see how this works out, both legally and business-wise. But on a personal level, I quite like the Internet being as open as possible. If other companies do the same, we'll go further down the road of content walled gardens. And I think that's a bad thing.
    Other sites already do this. You can't put URLs into an Insta post, for instance. You can't link through to other sites. Vastly frustrating and of course deliberate
    World governments need to start regulating this stuff properly. Either you are a publisher or you are a platform. Platforms should have to be neutral and, over a certain size, should face regulation like a utility, ensuring they are treating people fairly. America won't do it, as their system is owned by corporate interest, but the EU and UK should step up.

    What is very sad is how much HMG bows to the interests of a handful of monopolists even though they don't benefit that much from political donations. It's a pure subservience mentality.
    Being neutral does not mean you have to allow people to advertise your competitors. And frankly world governements have to regulate this stuff? Really I wouldnt trust any governement to regulate the internet thats when we get the shit we do like the uk's online safety bill, the us KOSA act, the EU copyright and DSA acts and the austrailians declaring the law of mathematics does not trump the laws of australia
    All of those are better than the world's information flows being distorted by the whims of the Elon Musks of the world. Democratic governments are held accountable to public elections. Megalomanic billionaires are held accountable to no-one.
    Also, no-one is requiring Twitter advertise their competitors. They would not be being made to publish anything. But they don't claim to be a publisher, they claim to be a platform, and platforms should be required to be neutral to all.
    You can't link to Facebook or Vimeo from YouTube.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,406
    edited December 2022
    IanB2 said:

    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    Back to politics and let's make some time next year to chew over the Luxembourg political scene ahead of their next general election.

    The three party Government headed by Xavier Bettel polled 47.6% in the October 2018 election but the latest polls have the combined vote share of the Social Democrats, Democratic Party and Greens at 50.2%.

    The opposition centre-right Christian Social People's Party is on 23.3%, five points down from 2018 but is still the party attracting the largest vote share. They polled 1,800 out of a population of 608,000 - that would be akin to polling a million people for an opinion poll here.

    All very interesting, but it has fewer electors than for Essex county council
    Of slight interest at most but I was more interested in what would happen if a polling company or companies decided to poll a million people over a 14-day period and what credence we would give (if any) to the results.

    Most polls sample 1,000-2,500 people. I recall polls of 10,000 people before General Elections but would a poll of 100,000 people (assuming the usual caveats about it being representative) produce a more accurate result. What about polling a million people (even if it were logistically possible)?

    Is there any evidence the larger the sample the more accurate the result?
    Yes, provided the methodology is otherwise robust, but beyond about 1,500 people the added accuracy becomes diminishingly small in relation to the increase in sampling and isn’t really worth the extra cost and effort.
    That's why I tend to sum and average the past 6-10 polls, (depending on their recency) before coming to any conclusions.
    You can then assume a poll of 10 000 plus. With caveats of course. Reducing the margin of error.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,661
    Heathener said:

    Wow that was incredible.

    In footballing terms it has been a brilliant World Cup and that was an epic, thrilling, final. Stunning stuff.

    First non-European winner in 20 years is good for the game, as is the first African Semi-finalist. Some great matches on the way too for the neutral fan.



  • WillG said:

    WillG said:

    Pagan2 said:

    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    *If* Twitter is the big boy in this particular social media space, then it does seem anticompetitive - other sites can feed into Twitter, but Twitter will not allow links to smaller potential rivals, allowing them to grow. Although as Facebook and Instagram are on the list, that might not be the case. But are FB and Instagram in the *same* space?

    Will Facebook and Instagram respond in kind?

    It'll be interesting to see how this works out, both legally and business-wise. But on a personal level, I quite like the Internet being as open as possible. If other companies do the same, we'll go further down the road of content walled gardens. And I think that's a bad thing.
    Other sites already do this. You can't put URLs into an Insta post, for instance. You can't link through to other sites. Vastly frustrating and of course deliberate
    World governments need to start regulating this stuff properly. Either you are a publisher or you are a platform. Platforms should have to be neutral and, over a certain size, should face regulation like a utility, ensuring they are treating people fairly. America won't do it, as their system is owned by corporate interest, but the EU and UK should step up.

    What is very sad is how much HMG bows to the interests of a handful of monopolists even though they don't benefit that much from political donations. It's a pure subservience mentality.
    Being neutral does not mean you have to allow people to advertise your competitors. And frankly world governements have to regulate this stuff? Really I wouldnt trust any governement to regulate the internet thats when we get the shit we do like the uk's online safety bill, the us KOSA act, the EU copyright and DSA acts and the austrailians declaring the law of mathematics does not trump the laws of australia
    All of those are better than the world's information flows being distorted by the whims of the Elon Musks of the world. Democratic governments are held accountable to public elections. Megalomanic billionaires are held accountable to no-one.
    Also, no-one is requiring Twitter advertise their competitors. They would not be being made to publish anything. But they don't claim to be a publisher, they claim to be a platform, and platforms should be required to be neutral to all.
    You can't link to Facebook or Vimeo from YouTube.
    But you can instagram...lots of these sites seem to have inconsistent and random rules in terms of links elsewhere.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,339

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,020
    edited December 2022
    Leon said:

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
    A few weeks ago he joked on twitter he might buy Man Utd now they were up for sale, so clearly some awareness of their situation.

    Also, stupid discussion. Rich and famous people go to the massive events all the time, with varying levels of knowledge and interest. Its part of the "social calendar". I have been to VIP area at F1 and it ranged from absolute nerd outs about F1 to airheads just there to be seen and had been invited as eye candy.

    How the World’s Wealthiest People Travel
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YBNcYxHJPLE&
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,829
    WillG said:

    WillG said:

    Pagan2 said:

    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    *If* Twitter is the big boy in this particular social media space, then it does seem anticompetitive - other sites can feed into Twitter, but Twitter will not allow links to smaller potential rivals, allowing them to grow. Although as Facebook and Instagram are on the list, that might not be the case. But are FB and Instagram in the *same* space?

    Will Facebook and Instagram respond in kind?

    It'll be interesting to see how this works out, both legally and business-wise. But on a personal level, I quite like the Internet being as open as possible. If other companies do the same, we'll go further down the road of content walled gardens. And I think that's a bad thing.
    Other sites already do this. You can't put URLs into an Insta post, for instance. You can't link through to other sites. Vastly frustrating and of course deliberate
    World governments need to start regulating this stuff properly. Either you are a publisher or you are a platform. Platforms should have to be neutral and, over a certain size, should face regulation like a utility, ensuring they are treating people fairly. America won't do it, as their system is owned by corporate interest, but the EU and UK should step up.

    What is very sad is how much HMG bows to the interests of a handful of monopolists even though they don't benefit that much from political donations. It's a pure subservience mentality.
    Being neutral does not mean you have to allow people to advertise your competitors. And frankly world governements have to regulate this stuff? Really I wouldnt trust any governement to regulate the internet thats when we get the shit we do like the uk's online safety bill, the us KOSA act, the EU copyright and DSA acts and the austrailians declaring the law of mathematics does not trump the laws of australia
    All of those are better than the world's information flows being distorted by the whims of the Elon Musks of the world. Democratic governments are held accountable to public elections. Megalomanic billionaires are held accountable to no-one.
    Also, no-one is requiring Twitter advertise their competitors. They would not be being made to publish anything. But they don't claim to be a publisher, they claim to be a platform, and platforms should be required to be neutral to all.
    Instagram doesn't allow accounts that link to TikTok.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,160
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    I don't see how this is monopolistic

    Is the Guardian obliged to host adverts which say "don't read this lefty shit, come over to the Telegraph"?

    No. Indeed the Guardian will censor any comments below the line which question the paper's probity, tax affairs, etc, and you will get banned for doing that
    I do wonder what you would be saying if - post-Musk takeover - Facebook had banned linking to Twitter.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,406
    Ghedebrav said:

    WillG said:

    DougSeal said:

    WillG said:

    DougSeal said:

    WillG said:

    DougSeal said:

    Leon said:

    dixiedean said:

    Leon said:

    TimS said:

    dixiedean said:

    In all the excitement I missed it's predicted to be 13°C tomorrow up here.
    That's some thaw.

    Just rejoice at that news.
    A wonderful game of football, the right eventual result despite me having supported France throughout, and 13C tomorrow. T-shirt coming out of the drawer this evening. And f you Putin.
    I have a new favourite genre of Tweeter, the American sports pundit who has just clocked on to soccerball and is now suggesting great new ways to improve the sport like abolishing the "shootouts" and having goals the size of Manhattan and three halves of six minutes each
    Although I've been reading a lot of the US coverage to catch up with match reports I've missed whilst teaching.
    The level of analysis and tactical nous puts our newspaper reporting to shame. (At least amongst their dedicated soccer writers).
    It's almost as if they analyse it as a sport not a soap opera.
    No one ever seems to win or lose because of more or not enough "passion".
    They don't just tell you what happened, but endeavour to explain why it did.
    Yes, I agree. The NYT/Athletic is particularly good - they've hired a lot of the best British writers. They can afford it. It's the casual viewers who make stunningly naff remarks

    Football has a good chance of overtaking baseball in the USA

    It has, but it should set its sights on overtaking basketball and ice hockey first.
    Ice hockey is way behind both baseball and soccer.
    Not by revenue it’s not. The NHL is still way ahead of MLS

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_professional_sports_leagues_by_revenue
    That's because American soccer fans spend a lot of their money on international soccer from England and Spain.
    By what quantifiable metric is it “ahead” then?
    Active viewership.
    It’s hard to compare because of the weirdly insular world of sport in the US. But football/soccer is huge there, albeit in the context of the broader atomisation of culture - it’ll never ever overtake gridiron football, and I struggle to see it take on basketball, shy of the latter going through a decline of cheating and mismanagement which been slowly doing for baseball.

    Domestic attendances for MLS are pretty impressive though. I remember reading a few years back that MLS clubs had higher average match attendance than the Brazilian Serie A.

    Football rights for foreign leagues (England especially, but also Spain and Mexico) are lucrative: they draw eyeballs (watching live too), and therefore draw ad spend. It’s in broadcasters’ interest to present the sport well too.
    Tends towards the younger and wealthier demographic, too.
    Premier League games sit in a lucrative time slot too. Weekend mornings when there is no domestic live sport to compete with on sports channels.
  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366
    MaxPB said:

    WillG said:

    WillG said:

    Pagan2 said:

    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    *If* Twitter is the big boy in this particular social media space, then it does seem anticompetitive - other sites can feed into Twitter, but Twitter will not allow links to smaller potential rivals, allowing them to grow. Although as Facebook and Instagram are on the list, that might not be the case. But are FB and Instagram in the *same* space?

    Will Facebook and Instagram respond in kind?

    It'll be interesting to see how this works out, both legally and business-wise. But on a personal level, I quite like the Internet being as open as possible. If other companies do the same, we'll go further down the road of content walled gardens. And I think that's a bad thing.
    Other sites already do this. You can't put URLs into an Insta post, for instance. You can't link through to other sites. Vastly frustrating and of course deliberate
    World governments need to start regulating this stuff properly. Either you are a publisher or you are a platform. Platforms should have to be neutral and, over a certain size, should face regulation like a utility, ensuring they are treating people fairly. America won't do it, as their system is owned by corporate interest, but the EU and UK should step up.

    What is very sad is how much HMG bows to the interests of a handful of monopolists even though they don't benefit that much from political donations. It's a pure subservience mentality.
    Being neutral does not mean you have to allow people to advertise your competitors. And frankly world governements have to regulate this stuff? Really I wouldnt trust any governement to regulate the internet thats when we get the shit we do like the uk's online safety bill, the us KOSA act, the EU copyright and DSA acts and the austrailians declaring the law of mathematics does not trump the laws of australia
    All of those are better than the world's information flows being distorted by the whims of the Elon Musks of the world. Democratic governments are held accountable to public elections. Megalomanic billionaires are held accountable to no-one.
    Also, no-one is requiring Twitter advertise their competitors. They would not be being made to publish anything. But they don't claim to be a publisher, they claim to be a platform, and platforms should be required to be neutral to all.
    Instagram doesn't allow accounts that link to TikTok.
    Which should also be regulated. These companies need to pick: either they are publishers with editorial control, and they are held liable for content on their websites, or they are platforms and have a responsibility for neutrality to users.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,160
    Pagan2 said:

    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    *If* Twitter is the big boy in this particular social media space, then it does seem anticompetitive - other sites can feed into Twitter, but Twitter will not allow links to smaller potential rivals, allowing them to grow. Although as Facebook and Instagram are on the list, that might not be the case. But are FB and Instagram in the *same* space?

    Will Facebook and Instagram respond in kind?

    It'll be interesting to see how this works out, both legally and business-wise. But on a personal level, I quite like the Internet being as open as possible. If other companies do the same, we'll go further down the road of content walled gardens. And I think that's a bad thing.
    Other sites already do this. You can't put URLs into an Insta post, for instance. You can't link through to other sites. Vastly frustrating and of course deliberate
    World governments need to start regulating this stuff properly. Either you are a publisher or you are a platform. Platforms should have to be neutral and, over a certain size, should face regulation like a utility, ensuring they are treating people fairly. America won't do it, as their system is owned by corporate interest, but the EU and UK should step up.

    What is very sad is how much HMG bows to the interests of a handful of monopolists even though they don't benefit that much from political donations. It's a pure subservience mentality.
    Being neutral does not mean you have to allow people to advertise your competitors. And frankly world governements have to regulate this stuff? Really I wouldnt trust any governement to regulate the internet thats when we get the shit we do like the uk's online safety bill, the us KOSA act, the EU copyright and DSA acts and the austrailians declaring the law of mathematics does not trump the laws of australia
    So, would it be ok if Microsoft didn't allow you to visit Apple's website from a PC?
  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366
    Leon said:

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
    Football is the black sport in South Africa. Musk is superwealthy, the son of a mine owner that treated his apartheid oppressed labour badly. The sport of the wealthy white elite was and is rugby.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,829
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    I don't see how this is monopolistic

    Is the Guardian obliged to host adverts which say "don't read this lefty shit, come over to the Telegraph"?

    No. Indeed the Guardian will censor any comments below the line which question the paper's probity, tax affairs, etc, and you will get banned for doing that
    I do wonder what you would be saying if - post-Musk takeover - Facebook had banned linking to Twitter.
    I think the ban is only on accounts that exist to promote content on other social media, Instagram does the same for TikTok. If it's a twitter user that links to an Instagram post they won't get a ban, if it's an account that just pushes out content primarily from Instagram they'll get banned.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,648
    rcs1000 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    *If* Twitter is the big boy in this particular social media space, then it does seem anticompetitive - other sites can feed into Twitter, but Twitter will not allow links to smaller potential rivals, allowing them to grow. Although as Facebook and Instagram are on the list, that might not be the case. But are FB and Instagram in the *same* space?

    Will Facebook and Instagram respond in kind?

    It'll be interesting to see how this works out, both legally and business-wise. But on a personal level, I quite like the Internet being as open as possible. If other companies do the same, we'll go further down the road of content walled gardens. And I think that's a bad thing.
    Other sites already do this. You can't put URLs into an Insta post, for instance. You can't link through to other sites. Vastly frustrating and of course deliberate
    World governments need to start regulating this stuff properly. Either you are a publisher or you are a platform. Platforms should have to be neutral and, over a certain size, should face regulation like a utility, ensuring they are treating people fairly. America won't do it, as their system is owned by corporate interest, but the EU and UK should step up.

    What is very sad is how much HMG bows to the interests of a handful of monopolists even though they don't benefit that much from political donations. It's a pure subservience mentality.
    Being neutral does not mean you have to allow people to advertise your competitors. And frankly world governements have to regulate this stuff? Really I wouldnt trust any governement to regulate the internet thats when we get the shit we do like the uk's online safety bill, the us KOSA act, the EU copyright and DSA acts and the austrailians declaring the law of mathematics does not trump the laws of australia
    So, would it be ok if Microsoft didn't allow you to visit Apple's website from a PC?
    That's not a good analogy. Twitter is not a gatekeeper platform and can't do anything to prevent people using competitors.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,829
    WillG said:

    MaxPB said:

    WillG said:

    WillG said:

    Pagan2 said:

    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    *If* Twitter is the big boy in this particular social media space, then it does seem anticompetitive - other sites can feed into Twitter, but Twitter will not allow links to smaller potential rivals, allowing them to grow. Although as Facebook and Instagram are on the list, that might not be the case. But are FB and Instagram in the *same* space?

    Will Facebook and Instagram respond in kind?

    It'll be interesting to see how this works out, both legally and business-wise. But on a personal level, I quite like the Internet being as open as possible. If other companies do the same, we'll go further down the road of content walled gardens. And I think that's a bad thing.
    Other sites already do this. You can't put URLs into an Insta post, for instance. You can't link through to other sites. Vastly frustrating and of course deliberate
    World governments need to start regulating this stuff properly. Either you are a publisher or you are a platform. Platforms should have to be neutral and, over a certain size, should face regulation like a utility, ensuring they are treating people fairly. America won't do it, as their system is owned by corporate interest, but the EU and UK should step up.

    What is very sad is how much HMG bows to the interests of a handful of monopolists even though they don't benefit that much from political donations. It's a pure subservience mentality.
    Being neutral does not mean you have to allow people to advertise your competitors. And frankly world governements have to regulate this stuff? Really I wouldnt trust any governement to regulate the internet thats when we get the shit we do like the uk's online safety bill, the us KOSA act, the EU copyright and DSA acts and the austrailians declaring the law of mathematics does not trump the laws of australia
    All of those are better than the world's information flows being distorted by the whims of the Elon Musks of the world. Democratic governments are held accountable to public elections. Megalomanic billionaires are held accountable to no-one.
    Also, no-one is requiring Twitter advertise their competitors. They would not be being made to publish anything. But they don't claim to be a publisher, they claim to be a platform, and platforms should be required to be neutral to all.
    Instagram doesn't allow accounts that link to TikTok.
    Which should also be regulated. These companies need to pick: either they are publishers with editorial control, and they are held liable for content on their websites, or they are platforms and have a responsibility for neutrality to users.
    I think they are classed at advertising accounts. I suspect Twitter will do the same.
  • WillG said:

    WillG said:

    Pagan2 said:

    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    *If* Twitter is the big boy in this particular social media space, then it does seem anticompetitive - other sites can feed into Twitter, but Twitter will not allow links to smaller potential rivals, allowing them to grow. Although as Facebook and Instagram are on the list, that might not be the case. But are FB and Instagram in the *same* space?

    Will Facebook and Instagram respond in kind?

    It'll be interesting to see how this works out, both legally and business-wise. But on a personal level, I quite like the Internet being as open as possible. If other companies do the same, we'll go further down the road of content walled gardens. And I think that's a bad thing.
    Other sites already do this. You can't put URLs into an Insta post, for instance. You can't link through to other sites. Vastly frustrating and of course deliberate
    World governments need to start regulating this stuff properly. Either you are a publisher or you are a platform. Platforms should have to be neutral and, over a certain size, should face regulation like a utility, ensuring they are treating people fairly. America won't do it, as their system is owned by corporate interest, but the EU and UK should step up.

    What is very sad is how much HMG bows to the interests of a handful of monopolists even though they don't benefit that much from political donations. It's a pure subservience mentality.
    Being neutral does not mean you have to allow people to advertise your competitors. And frankly world governements have to regulate this stuff? Really I wouldnt trust any governement to regulate the internet thats when we get the shit we do like the uk's online safety bill, the us KOSA act, the EU copyright and DSA acts and the austrailians declaring the law of mathematics does not trump the laws of australia
    All of those are better than the world's information flows being distorted by the whims of the Elon Musks of the world. Democratic governments are held accountable to public elections. Megalomanic billionaires are held accountable to no-one.
    Also, no-one is requiring Twitter advertise their competitors. They would not be being made to publish anything. But they don't claim to be a publisher, they claim to be a platform, and platforms should be required to be neutral to all.
    Is this whole "platform" vs "publisher" distinction in UK or EU law? It's not in US law, they wisely allow you to run a website full of your own opinions and delete comments you think are bad from the comments sections without becoming liable for the comments that aren't yours.

    I'm personally finding Mastodon better but I think the US laws, which protect both free speech and the right to publish other people's free speech exactly as you judge best are pretty sound.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,073
    DJ41 said:

    French Minister for Digital:

    Any attempt to remove my tweets that link to my other social media accounts, not violating any law, would actually make #twitter an editorial media, and no longer a social media platform, with civil and criminal liability for *any* illegal content therein.

    Éric Freyssinet is not a minister. He's deputy head of the French cyber police.

    Liability, he says? It's hardly as if courts in France or any other country keep throwing authors of tweets in jail for anything or making financial awards against them in civil cases.

    Financial liability, obviously.
    If Twitter want to operate in the EU, it has to follow EU law, and will be subject to EU penalties.

    Though in this case, the legislation with real teeth won’t come into force until later next year.

    Twitter cannot afford large fines if it wants to remain financially viable.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,160
    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    I don't see how this is monopolistic

    Is the Guardian obliged to host adverts which say "don't read this lefty shit, come over to the Telegraph"?

    No. Indeed the Guardian will censor any comments below the line which question the paper's probity, tax affairs, etc, and you will get banned for doing that
    I do wonder what you would be saying if - post-Musk takeover - Facebook had banned linking to Twitter.
    I think the ban is only on accounts that exist to promote content on other social media, Instagram does the same for TikTok. If it's a twitter user that links to an Instagram post they won't get a ban, if it's an account that just pushes out content primarily from Instagram they'll get banned.
    That's fair enough.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,339
    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
    Football is the black sport in South Africa. Musk is superwealthy, the son of a mine owner that treated his apartheid oppressed labour badly. The sport of the wealthy white elite was and is rugby.
    But he would have been exposed to football from a young age. White South Africans do not exist in a total bubble: I bet he played football as a kid. He grew up in a footballing culture in a way Americans just don't. He will understand the nuance

    That said, turning up at the World Cup Final with Jared Kushner is quite epic trolling
  • Leon said:

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
    An ‘almost certainly’ is good enough for me.
    Is Musky your new anti woke strong man crush?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,339

    Leon said:

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
    An ‘almost certainly’ is good enough for me.
    Is Musky your new anti woke strong man crush?
    You were unaware he is South African. Tsk
  • Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
    An ‘almost certainly’ is good enough for me.
    Is Musky your new anti woke strong man crush?
    You were unaware he is South African. Tsk
    Who the fuck doesn’t know he’s SA?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,073
    Jonathan said:
    Is that Kushner ?
  • MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    I don't see how this is monopolistic

    Is the Guardian obliged to host adverts which say "don't read this lefty shit, come over to the Telegraph"?

    No. Indeed the Guardian will censor any comments below the line which question the paper's probity, tax affairs, etc, and you will get banned for doing that
    I do wonder what you would be saying if - post-Musk takeover - Facebook had banned linking to Twitter.
    I think the ban is only on accounts that exist to promote content on other social media, Instagram does the same for TikTok. If it's a twitter user that links to an Instagram post they won't get a ban, if it's an account that just pushes out content primarily from Instagram they'll get banned.
    That's not all they announced. They also have a blanket ban on linking to usernames on specified other platforms. These include Mastodon, Instagram, truth.social (lol) and Jack's new thing (lmao) but not Gab, Getter or Parler.

    So if I were to post that my goats are at
    https://www.instagram.com/gethpari/
    I would be breaking the rules as stated.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,863
    edited December 2022
    dixiedean said:

    IanB2 said:

    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    Back to politics and let's make some time next year to chew over the Luxembourg political scene ahead of their next general election.

    The three party Government headed by Xavier Bettel polled 47.6% in the October 2018 election but the latest polls have the combined vote share of the Social Democrats, Democratic Party and Greens at 50.2%.

    The opposition centre-right Christian Social People's Party is on 23.3%, five points down from 2018 but is still the party attracting the largest vote share. They polled 1,800 out of a population of 608,000 - that would be akin to polling a million people for an opinion poll here.

    All very interesting, but it has fewer electors than for Essex county council
    Of slight interest at most but I was more interested in what would happen if a polling company or companies decided to poll a million people over a 14-day period and what credence we would give (if any) to the results.

    Most polls sample 1,000-2,500 people. I recall polls of 10,000 people before General Elections but would a poll of 100,000 people (assuming the usual caveats about it being representative) produce a more accurate result. What about polling a million people (even if it were logistically possible)?

    Is there any evidence the larger the sample the more accurate the result?
    Yes, provided the methodology is otherwise robust, but beyond about 1,500 people the added accuracy becomes diminishingly small in relation to the increase in sampling and isn’t really worth the extra cost and effort.
    That's why I tend to sum and average the past 6-10 polls, (depending on their recency) before coming to any conclusions.
    You can then assume a poll of 10 000 plus. With caveats of course. Reducing the margin of error.
    It reduces the margin of error, if all the polls are properly random.

    But polling nowadays has stratification and weightings within which the random sampling takes place (truly random sampling being impossible, anyway, since however you try to contact people builds in inevitable bias). When there have been polling ‘mistakes’ these usually stem from mistaken assumptions (most commonly unidentified bias) within the stratification and sampling, and the various polling companies tend to make similar errors due to the herd effect. If all the polls are unwittingly building in bias for the same reason - for example the classic case of failing to spot the ‘shy Tory effect’ during the 1990s - then it doesn’t matter how many polls you average together since they all contain the same error.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,969
    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
    Football is the black sport in South Africa. Musk is superwealthy, the son of a mine owner that treated his apartheid oppressed labour badly. The sport of the wealthy white elite was and is rugby.
    Musk's father was actually elected to Pretoria council for the anti apartheid Progressive Party at a time of National Party domination

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elon_Musk
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,073

    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    I don't see how this is monopolistic

    Is the Guardian obliged to host adverts which say "don't read this lefty shit, come over to the Telegraph"?

    No. Indeed the Guardian will censor any comments below the line which question the paper's probity, tax affairs, etc, and you will get banned for doing that
    I do wonder what you would be saying if - post-Musk takeover - Facebook had banned linking to Twitter.
    I think the ban is only on accounts that exist to promote content on other social media, Instagram does the same for TikTok. If it's a twitter user that links to an Instagram post they won't get a ban, if it's an account that just pushes out content primarily from Instagram they'll get banned.
    That's not all they announced. They also have a blanket ban on linking to usernames on specified other platforms. These include Mastodon, Instagram, truth.social (lol) and Jack's new thing (lmao) but not Gab, Getter or Parler.

    So if I were to post that my goats are at
    https://www.instagram.com/gethpari/
    I would be breaking the rules as stated.
    Note China’s TikTok is not on the list.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,969
    Mbappe shrugs off President Macron's attempt to console him

    https://twitter.com/theJeremyVine/status/1604540896674205697?s=20&t=kElbicii2kBT-is6R_lRCg
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,829

    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    Well


    It'll be interesting to see if this applies to historic posts (i.e. those that contained links in the past). Will they suddenly be removed or made invisible?

    in fact, it'd be interesting to know how long a twitter post remains 'current' (i.e. how long after a twitter post is made before it is rarely seen). I'm guessing a couple of days for most posts, and shorter if someone regularly tweets.
    Funny who is and isn’t included. Discord, TikTok, YouTube, Reddit, Tumblr and OnlyFans all fine.
    The banned list is of all the social media sites which might be a rival to Twitter by replicating at least some of its main model. YouTube and OnlyFans do not do that
    Question is whether Elon Musk ran it past the legal department (assuming he's not sacked it) regarding (a) monopoly and (b) publisher versus platform.
    I don't see how this is monopolistic

    Is the Guardian obliged to host adverts which say "don't read this lefty shit, come over to the Telegraph"?

    No. Indeed the Guardian will censor any comments below the line which question the paper's probity, tax affairs, etc, and you will get banned for doing that
    I do wonder what you would be saying if - post-Musk takeover - Facebook had banned linking to Twitter.
    I think the ban is only on accounts that exist to promote content on other social media, Instagram does the same for TikTok. If it's a twitter user that links to an Instagram post they won't get a ban, if it's an account that just pushes out content primarily from Instagram they'll get banned.
    That's not all they announced. They also have a blanket ban on linking to usernames on specified other platforms. These include Mastodon, Instagram, truth.social (lol) and Jack's new thing (lmao) but not Gab, Getter or Parler.

    So if I were to post that my goats are at
    https://www.instagram.com/gethpari/
    I would be breaking the rules as stated.
    Yes, they want you to post the goats, just as Instagram want you to make the reel of your goats rather than link to the TikTok that has your goats on it. It's fair.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,339

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
    An ‘almost certainly’ is good enough for me.
    Is Musky your new anti woke strong man crush?
    You were unaware he is South African. Tsk
    Who the fuck doesn’t know he’s SA?
    Then why on earth would you claim he is a total ingenue when it comes to "soccerball", you halfwitted Cringe-o-matic tartan twat?

    His school has actually produced a number of football stars


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pretoria_Boys_High_School
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,829
    Nigelb said:

    DJ41 said:

    French Minister for Digital:

    Any attempt to remove my tweets that link to my other social media accounts, not violating any law, would actually make #twitter an editorial media, and no longer a social media platform, with civil and criminal liability for *any* illegal content therein.

    Éric Freyssinet is not a minister. He's deputy head of the French cyber police.

    Liability, he says? It's hardly as if courts in France or any other country keep throwing authors of tweets in jail for anything or making financial awards against them in civil cases.

    Financial liability, obviously.
    If Twitter want to operate in the EU, it has to follow EU law, and will be subject to EU penalties.

    Though in this case, the legislation with real teeth won’t come into force until later next year.

    Twitter cannot afford large fines if it wants to remain financially viable.
    What's shocking is how little revenue the EU generates for social media companies, they may choose to exit the EU market entirely.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,406
    IanB2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    IanB2 said:

    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    Back to politics and let's make some time next year to chew over the Luxembourg political scene ahead of their next general election.

    The three party Government headed by Xavier Bettel polled 47.6% in the October 2018 election but the latest polls have the combined vote share of the Social Democrats, Democratic Party and Greens at 50.2%.

    The opposition centre-right Christian Social People's Party is on 23.3%, five points down from 2018 but is still the party attracting the largest vote share. They polled 1,800 out of a population of 608,000 - that would be akin to polling a million people for an opinion poll here.

    All very interesting, but it has fewer electors than for Essex county council
    Of slight interest at most but I was more interested in what would happen if a polling company or companies decided to poll a million people over a 14-day period and what credence we would give (if any) to the results.

    Most polls sample 1,000-2,500 people. I recall polls of 10,000 people before General Elections but would a poll of 100,000 people (assuming the usual caveats about it being representative) produce a more accurate result. What about polling a million people (even if it were logistically possible)?

    Is there any evidence the larger the sample the more accurate the result?
    Yes, provided the methodology is otherwise robust, but beyond about 1,500 people the added accuracy becomes diminishingly small in relation to the increase in sampling and isn’t really worth the extra cost and effort.
    That's why I tend to sum and average the past 6-10 polls, (depending on their recency) before coming to any conclusions.
    You can then assume a poll of 10 000 plus. With caveats of course. Reducing the margin of error.
    It reduces the margin of error, if all the polls are properly random.

    But polling nowadays has stratification and weightings within which the random sampling takes place (truly random sampling being impossible, anyway, since however you try to contact people builds in inevitable bias). When there have been polling ‘mistakes’ these usually stem from mistaken assumptions (most commonly unidentified bias) within the stratification and sampling, and the various polling companies tend to make similar errors due to the herd effect. If all the polls are unwittingly building in bias for the same reason - for example the classic case of failing to spot the ‘shy Tory effect’ during the 1990s - then it doesn’t matter how many polls you average together since they all contain the same error.
    I found my "with caveats of course" pithier.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,339
    HYUFD said:
    The more I see it the worse it gets. The creepy, patronising rub of his hair. Macron is lucky that Mbappe doesn't deck him
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,073
    Leon said:

    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
    Football is the black sport in South Africa. Musk is superwealthy, the son of a mine owner that treated his apartheid oppressed labour badly. The sport of the wealthy white elite was and is rugby.
    But he would have been exposed to football from a young age. White South Africans do not exist in a total bubble: I bet he played football as a kid. He grew up in a footballing culture in a way Americans just don't. He will understand the nuance

    That said, turning up at the World Cup Final with Jared Kushner is quite epic trolling
    Trolling whom ?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,020
    edited December 2022
    Leon said:

    HYUFD said:
    The more I see it the worse it gets. The creepy, patronising rub of his hair. Macron is lucky that Mbappe doesn't deck him
    Politicians inserting themselves into big sporting events rarely comes off well, but no footballer wants them trying to be matey matey minutes after you just lost the biggest game of your life. If you do want to be consoled by anybody, it will be teammates, who are going through the same thing.
  • Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
    An ‘almost certainly’ is good enough for me.
    Is Musky your new anti woke strong man crush?
    You were unaware he is South African. Tsk
    Who the fuck doesn’t know he’s SA?
    Then why on earth would you claim he is a total ingenue when it comes to "soccerball", you halfwitted Cringe-o-matic tartan twat?

    His school has actually produced a number of football stars


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pretoria_Boys_High_School
    Gawd, it’s burner phones all over again wherein you turn yourself into an expert from a standing start.
    I’m claiming he doesn’t give the teeniest one of your farts for football.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,160
    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    DJ41 said:

    French Minister for Digital:

    Any attempt to remove my tweets that link to my other social media accounts, not violating any law, would actually make #twitter an editorial media, and no longer a social media platform, with civil and criminal liability for *any* illegal content therein.

    Éric Freyssinet is not a minister. He's deputy head of the French cyber police.

    Liability, he says? It's hardly as if courts in France or any other country keep throwing authors of tweets in jail for anything or making financial awards against them in civil cases.

    Financial liability, obviously.
    If Twitter want to operate in the EU, it has to follow EU law, and will be subject to EU penalties.

    Though in this case, the legislation with real teeth won’t come into force until later next year.

    Twitter cannot afford large fines if it wants to remain financially viable.
    What's shocking is how little revenue the EU generates for social media companies, they may choose to exit the EU market entirely.
    I'd bet they won't: China and Russia are closed to them right now (and are likely to remain so). If you remove the EU, the addressable market shrinks rather.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,339
    Nigelb said:

    Leon said:

    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
    Football is the black sport in South Africa. Musk is superwealthy, the son of a mine owner that treated his apartheid oppressed labour badly. The sport of the wealthy white elite was and is rugby.
    But he would have been exposed to football from a young age. White South Africans do not exist in a total bubble: I bet he played football as a kid. He grew up in a footballing culture in a way Americans just don't. He will understand the nuance

    That said, turning up at the World Cup Final with Jared Kushner is quite epic trolling
    Trolling whom ?
    The American Left, which is right now intent on bringing Musk down
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,664
    HYUFD said:
    He doesn't really, though.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,073
    Nigelb said:

    DJ41 said:

    French Minister for Digital:

    Any attempt to remove my tweets that link to my other social media accounts, not violating any law, would actually make #twitter an editorial media, and no longer a social media platform, with civil and criminal liability for *any* illegal content therein.

    Éric Freyssinet is not a minister. He's deputy head of the French cyber police.

    Liability, he says? It's hardly as if courts in France or any other country keep throwing authors of tweets in jail for anything or making financial awards against them in civil cases.

    Financial liability, obviously.
    If Twitter want to operate in the EU, it has to follow EU law, and will be subject to EU penalties.

    Though in this case, the legislation with real teeth won’t come into force until later next year.

    Twitter cannot afford large fines if it wants to remain financially viable.
    Assuming the law applies, the maximum penalty can be 10% of global turnover.
    He has about six to nine months to get his shit together.

    The Digital Markets Act: ensuring fair and open digital markets
    https://commission.europa.eu/strategy-and-policy/priorities-2019-2024/europe-fit-digital-age/digital-markets-act-ensuring-fair-and-open-digital-markets_en#what-will-be-the-consequences-of-non-compliance
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,969
    edited December 2022
    Meanwhile Argentina's winning goal keeper somewhat disrespectful to his Qatari hosts on winning the Golden Glove

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-cup/2022/12/18/emiliano-martinez-shocks-lewd-gesture-argentinas-world-cup-win/
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    “That French dude is *obviously* wrong. Of *course* Elon isn’t saying Twitter is a *publisher*”
    Elon: “Twitter is a publisher”

    https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1604588904828600320
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    edited December 2022
    Leon said:

    Nigelb said:

    Leon said:

    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
    Football is the black sport in South Africa. Musk is superwealthy, the son of a mine owner that treated his apartheid oppressed labour badly. The sport of the wealthy white elite was and is rugby.
    But he would have been exposed to football from a young age. White South Africans do not exist in a total bubble: I bet he played football as a kid. He grew up in a footballing culture in a way Americans just don't. He will understand the nuance

    That said, turning up at the World Cup Final with Jared Kushner is quite epic trolling
    Trolling whom ?
    The American Left, which is right now intent on bringing Musk down
    I think your’re confused. Musk is trying to bring the American Left down. He banned liberal journalists from his site for example before cravenly capitulating like that babyman he is. To its shame, the American Left have done the square root of fuck all in retaliation save half heartedly, occasionally, pulling their Twitter accounts. A bit like the advertisers your mancrush is driving away.
  • MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    DJ41 said:

    French Minister for Digital:

    Any attempt to remove my tweets that link to my other social media accounts, not violating any law, would actually make #twitter an editorial media, and no longer a social media platform, with civil and criminal liability for *any* illegal content therein.

    Éric Freyssinet is not a minister. He's deputy head of the French cyber police.

    Liability, he says? It's hardly as if courts in France or any other country keep throwing authors of tweets in jail for anything or making financial awards against them in civil cases.

    Financial liability, obviously.
    If Twitter want to operate in the EU, it has to follow EU law, and will be subject to EU penalties.

    Though in this case, the legislation with real teeth won’t come into force until later next year.

    Twitter cannot afford large fines if it wants to remain financially viable.
    What's shocking is how little revenue the EU generates for social media companies, they may choose to exit the EU market entirely.
    That would be very funny.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,073
    Leon said:

    Nigelb said:

    Leon said:

    WillG said:

    Leon said:

    Course he is, the mooby ****.


    If you were the richest man in the world (or 2nd richest man), wouldn't you take the opportunity to go to every big event that interested you? After you buy x houses, cars, boats, yachts, experiences are the big thing that I think most people would constantly splurge on (plus they get invited to loads of them anyway).
    I’m sure Musky is a big fan of the soccerball.
    He's South African. He would have grown up watching football, which is the biggest sport in South Africa

    https://www.globetrottinkids.com/the-big-3-sports-in-south-africa/

    The Kaiser Chiefs!

    Musk's fondness for football is almost certainly real
    Football is the black sport in South Africa. Musk is superwealthy, the son of a mine owner that treated his apartheid oppressed labour badly. The sport of the wealthy white elite was and is rugby.
    But he would have been exposed to football from a young age. White South Africans do not exist in a total bubble: I bet he played football as a kid. He grew up in a footballing culture in a way Americans just don't. He will understand the nuance

    That said, turning up at the World Cup Final with Jared Kushner is quite epic trolling
    Trolling whom ?
    The American Left, which is right now intent on bringing Musk down
    Pretty low key for a troll.
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860
    HYUFD said:

    Meanwhile Argentina's winning goal keeper somewhat disrespectful to his Qatari hosts on winning the Golden Glove

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-cup/2022/12/18/emiliano-martinez-shocks-lewd-gesture-argentinas-world-cup-win/

    I cannot say, honestly, that I wouldn’t also have done this were in his position.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,829
    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    DJ41 said:

    French Minister for Digital:

    Any attempt to remove my tweets that link to my other social media accounts, not violating any law, would actually make #twitter an editorial media, and no longer a social media platform, with civil and criminal liability for *any* illegal content therein.

    Éric Freyssinet is not a minister. He's deputy head of the French cyber police.

    Liability, he says? It's hardly as if courts in France or any other country keep throwing authors of tweets in jail for anything or making financial awards against them in civil cases.

    Financial liability, obviously.
    If Twitter want to operate in the EU, it has to follow EU law, and will be subject to EU penalties.

    Though in this case, the legislation with real teeth won’t come into force until later next year.

    Twitter cannot afford large fines if it wants to remain financially viable.
    What's shocking is how little revenue the EU generates for social media companies, they may choose to exit the EU market entirely.
    I'd bet they won't: China and Russia are closed to them right now (and are likely to remain so). If you remove the EU, the addressable market shrinks rather.
    I'm not so sure, Twitter is no longer run by a rational actor and the balance of leaving the EU market (officially anyway, unless the EU tries to put up a great firewall) may seem like a big "fuck you" to the EU from Musk.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,103
    Really its just a shame Musk cannot run for US President, as he's clearly the right person to spend an entire presidency and aftermath on winding people up on twitter.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,339
    For all his faults, at least Rishi Sunak didn't fly out to Qatar to consolingly rub Harry Kane's thighs in front of 2 billion people
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,103
    HYUFD said:

    Meanwhile Argentina's winning goal keeper somewhat disrespectful to his Qatari hosts on winning the Golden Glove

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-cup/2022/12/18/emiliano-martinez-shocks-lewd-gesture-argentinas-world-cup-win/

    Good for him, nothing wrong with a moment of puerile humour.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    @conor_matchett @elonmusk Oh yes, he has just absolutely volunteered Twitter up as the poster child for the EU’s new DSA. And the EU is *itching* to massively fine a US tech giant. And the EU is the world’s most valuable bloc by GDP. So there are some *choices* ahead.
    https://twitter.com/jamesrbuk/status/1604593004274077696
  • HYUFD said:

    Meanwhile Argentina's winning goal keeper somewhat disrespectful to his Qatari hosts on winning the Golden Glove

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-cup/2022/12/18/emiliano-martinez-shocks-lewd-gesture-argentinas-world-cup-win/

    Maybe he was protesting about LGBT+ or worker rights issues?
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,705
    kle4 said:

    Really its just a shame Musk cannot run for US President, as he's clearly the right person to spend an entire presidency and aftermath on winding people up on twitter.

    Musk versus Trump would be funny, in a terrifying sort of way.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,160
    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    DJ41 said:

    French Minister for Digital:

    Any attempt to remove my tweets that link to my other social media accounts, not violating any law, would actually make #twitter an editorial media, and no longer a social media platform, with civil and criminal liability for *any* illegal content therein.

    Éric Freyssinet is not a minister. He's deputy head of the French cyber police.

    Liability, he says? It's hardly as if courts in France or any other country keep throwing authors of tweets in jail for anything or making financial awards against them in civil cases.

    Financial liability, obviously.
    If Twitter want to operate in the EU, it has to follow EU law, and will be subject to EU penalties.

    Though in this case, the legislation with real teeth won’t come into force until later next year.

    Twitter cannot afford large fines if it wants to remain financially viable.
    What's shocking is how little revenue the EU generates for social media companies, they may choose to exit the EU market entirely.
    I'd bet they won't: China and Russia are closed to them right now (and are likely to remain so). If you remove the EU, the addressable market shrinks rather.
    I'm not so sure, Twitter is no longer run by a rational actor and the balance of leaving the EU market (officially anyway, unless the EU tries to put up a great firewall) may seem like a big "fuck you" to the EU from Musk.
    It's not just about Elon, it's about his financial backers. Twitter is already bleeding money, the lenders are extremely nervous, and leaving the EU (which also potentially means losing EU Tweeters) is unlikely to go down well with them
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,829
    Scott_xP said:

    @conor_matchett @elonmusk Oh yes, he has just absolutely volunteered Twitter up as the poster child for the EU’s new DSA. And the EU is *itching* to massively fine a US tech giant. And the EU is the world’s most valuable bloc by GDP. So there are some *choices* ahead.
    https://twitter.com/jamesrbuk/status/1604593004274077696

    Someone who doesn't understand social media at all, the EU accounts for a small proportion of revenue for most social media companies, Twitter even more so than Facebook and Instagram. Leaving the EU market is an option for Twitter, their main markets are the US, UK and parts of Asia.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,969
    edited December 2022

    kle4 said:

    Really its just a shame Musk cannot run for US President, as he's clearly the right person to spend an entire presidency and aftermath on winding people up on twitter.

    Musk versus Trump would be funny, in a terrifying sort of way.
    Musk one of the only people who could infuriate Trump by saying 'I am much richer than you!'
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,020
    edited December 2022
    Macron giving the after-match team talk...the players look like school kids having to listen to the teacher after the end of term bell has gone.

    https://twitter.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1604581493287792642
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    DJ41 said:

    French Minister for Digital:

    Any attempt to remove my tweets that link to my other social media accounts, not violating any law, would actually make #twitter an editorial media, and no longer a social media platform, with civil and criminal liability for *any* illegal content therein.

    Éric Freyssinet is not a minister. He's deputy head of the French cyber police.

    Liability, he says? It's hardly as if courts in France or any other country keep throwing authors of tweets in jail for anything or making financial awards against them in civil cases.

    Financial liability, obviously.
    If Twitter want to operate in the EU, it has to follow EU law, and will be subject to EU penalties.

    Though in this case, the legislation with real teeth won’t come into force until later next year.

    Twitter cannot afford large fines if it wants to remain financially viable.
    What's shocking is how little revenue the EU generates for social media companies, they may choose to exit the EU market entirely.
    I'd bet they won't: China and Russia are closed to them right now (and are likely to remain so). If you remove the EU, the addressable market shrinks rather.
    I'm not so sure, Twitter is no longer run by a rational actor and the balance of leaving the EU market (officially anyway, unless the EU tries to put up a great firewall) may seem like a big "fuck you" to the EU from Musk.
    It's not just about Elon, it's about his financial backers. Twitter is already bleeding money, the lenders are extremely nervous, and leaving the EU (which also potentially means losing EU Tweeters) is unlikely to go down well with them
    Twitter is not just bleeding money, it’s bleeding value. Musk is batshit.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,339

    HYUFD said:
    He doesn't really, though.
    He really does, as does Deschamps

    French Twitter is convinced. This is weird and intrusive from Macron, it looks bad, creepy and patronising
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,648
    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    DJ41 said:

    French Minister for Digital:

    Any attempt to remove my tweets that link to my other social media accounts, not violating any law, would actually make #twitter an editorial media, and no longer a social media platform, with civil and criminal liability for *any* illegal content therein.

    Éric Freyssinet is not a minister. He's deputy head of the French cyber police.

    Liability, he says? It's hardly as if courts in France or any other country keep throwing authors of tweets in jail for anything or making financial awards against them in civil cases.

    Financial liability, obviously.
    If Twitter want to operate in the EU, it has to follow EU law, and will be subject to EU penalties.

    Though in this case, the legislation with real teeth won’t come into force until later next year.

    Twitter cannot afford large fines if it wants to remain financially viable.
    What's shocking is how little revenue the EU generates for social media companies, they may choose to exit the EU market entirely.
    I'd bet they won't: China and Russia are closed to them right now (and are likely to remain so). If you remove the EU, the addressable market shrinks rather.
    Twitter specifically has relatively little market penetration in the EU, and people who want to continue to participate in the Anglosphere political conversation will get round any ban. I think the EU would show the limits of its pretensions to being a 'regulatory superpower' if it tried to get heavy handed with Twitter.
  • rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    DJ41 said:

    French Minister for Digital:

    Any attempt to remove my tweets that link to my other social media accounts, not violating any law, would actually make #twitter an editorial media, and no longer a social media platform, with civil and criminal liability for *any* illegal content therein.

    Éric Freyssinet is not a minister. He's deputy head of the French cyber police.

    Liability, he says? It's hardly as if courts in France or any other country keep throwing authors of tweets in jail for anything or making financial awards against them in civil cases.

    Financial liability, obviously.
    If Twitter want to operate in the EU, it has to follow EU law, and will be subject to EU penalties.

    Though in this case, the legislation with real teeth won’t come into force until later next year.

    Twitter cannot afford large fines if it wants to remain financially viable.
    What's shocking is how little revenue the EU generates for social media companies, they may choose to exit the EU market entirely.
    I'd bet they won't: China and Russia are closed to them right now (and are likely to remain so). If you remove the EU, the addressable market shrinks rather.
    I'm not so sure, Twitter is no longer run by a rational actor and the balance of leaving the EU market (officially anyway, unless the EU tries to put up a great firewall) may seem like a big "fuck you" to the EU from Musk.
    It's not just about Elon, it's about his financial backers. Twitter is already bleeding money, the lenders are extremely nervous, and leaving the EU (which also potentially means losing EU Tweeters) is unlikely to go down well with them
    I assume most people who are that concerned would just access via a VPN.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,829
    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    DJ41 said:

    French Minister for Digital:

    Any attempt to remove my tweets that link to my other social media accounts, not violating any law, would actually make #twitter an editorial media, and no longer a social media platform, with civil and criminal liability for *any* illegal content therein.

    Éric Freyssinet is not a minister. He's deputy head of the French cyber police.

    Liability, he says? It's hardly as if courts in France or any other country keep throwing authors of tweets in jail for anything or making financial awards against them in civil cases.

    Financial liability, obviously.
    If Twitter want to operate in the EU, it has to follow EU law, and will be subject to EU penalties.

    Though in this case, the legislation with real teeth won’t come into force until later next year.

    Twitter cannot afford large fines if it wants to remain financially viable.
    What's shocking is how little revenue the EU generates for social media companies, they may choose to exit the EU market entirely.
    I'd bet they won't: China and Russia are closed to them right now (and are likely to remain so). If you remove the EU, the addressable market shrinks rather.
    I'm not so sure, Twitter is no longer run by a rational actor and the balance of leaving the EU market (officially anyway, unless the EU tries to put up a great firewall) may seem like a big "fuck you" to the EU from Musk.
    It's not just about Elon, it's about his financial backers. Twitter is already bleeding money, the lenders are extremely nervous, and leaving the EU (which also potentially means losing EU Tweeters) is unlikely to go down well with them
    The alternative may be vindictive and political fines from the EU. Instagram has already put in place a very similar policy to what Twitter has proposed without any attention at all, they fairly looked after their business interests by stopping people advertising their TikTok accounts.

    Again, the unintended consequence from this could end up showing how little power the EU has over big US tech because the EU without the UK isn't a big market for a lot of them. Lots may choose to exit if Twitter does so and sees little to no effect on their bottom line.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,661
    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    DJ41 said:

    French Minister for Digital:

    Any attempt to remove my tweets that link to my other social media accounts, not violating any law, would actually make #twitter an editorial media, and no longer a social media platform, with civil and criminal liability for *any* illegal content therein.

    Éric Freyssinet is not a minister. He's deputy head of the French cyber police.

    Liability, he says? It's hardly as if courts in France or any other country keep throwing authors of tweets in jail for anything or making financial awards against them in civil cases.

    Financial liability, obviously.
    If Twitter want to operate in the EU, it has to follow EU law, and will be subject to EU penalties.

    Though in this case, the legislation with real teeth won’t come into force until later next year.

    Twitter cannot afford large fines if it wants to remain financially viable.
    What's shocking is how little revenue the EU generates for social media companies, they may choose to exit the EU market entirely.
    Probably resulting in a major boost to European productivity!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,020
    edited December 2022
    Elon could never turn twitter into the X app i.e a western version of WeChat, in the EU.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,397
    HYUFD said:

    kle4 said:

    Really its just a shame Musk cannot run for US President, as he's clearly the right person to spend an entire presidency and aftermath on winding people up on twitter.

    Musk versus Trump would be funny, in a terrifying sort of way.
    Musk one of the only people who could infuriate Trump by saying 'I am much richer than you!'
    Although there are rumours most of us could actually say that to Trump at the moment...
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,405

    Macron giving the after-match team talk...the players look like school kids having to listen to the teacher after the end of term bell has gone.

    https://twitter.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1604581493287792642

    There’s a time and place for Presidents and sports teams - just after losing the WC final is not it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,103
    HYUFD said:

    kle4 said:

    Really its just a shame Musk cannot run for US President, as he's clearly the right person to spend an entire presidency and aftermath on winding people up on twitter.

    Musk versus Trump would be funny, in a terrifying sort of way.
    Musk one of the only people who could infuriate Trump by saying 'I am much richer than you!'
    There are plenty of people who could tell Trump they are much richer than him. Even if you take his own estimations, which are probably much inflated, I doubt he cracks the top 50 richest americans. If it is on what others report his wealth to be, then probably not the top 100.

    Yes yes, that is 'not many' in the grand scheme of things, but it shows there are quite a few in the public sphere who could run and be richer than him by a considerable margin.

    Michael Bloomberg for one is massively richer than Trump, so on that basis alone its a shame he flopped so much.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,587
    edited December 2022
    Scott_xP said:

    @conor_matchett @elonmusk Oh yes, he has just absolutely volunteered Twitter up as the poster child for the EU’s new DSA. And the EU is *itching* to massively fine a US tech giant. And the EU is the world’s most valuable bloc by GDP. So there are some *choices* ahead.
    https://twitter.com/jamesrbuk/status/1604593004274077696

    Revenue per customer is much higher in the US than Europe, for all social media platforms.

    And the US has 20T gdp vs EU 16T, so he's not even right about that.

    Edit: stats on revenue per use for Facebook, for example:

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/251328/facebooks-average-revenue-per-user-by-region/
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,829

    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    DJ41 said:

    French Minister for Digital:

    Any attempt to remove my tweets that link to my other social media accounts, not violating any law, would actually make #twitter an editorial media, and no longer a social media platform, with civil and criminal liability for *any* illegal content therein.

    Éric Freyssinet is not a minister. He's deputy head of the French cyber police.

    Liability, he says? It's hardly as if courts in France or any other country keep throwing authors of tweets in jail for anything or making financial awards against them in civil cases.

    Financial liability, obviously.
    If Twitter want to operate in the EU, it has to follow EU law, and will be subject to EU penalties.

    Though in this case, the legislation with real teeth won’t come into force until later next year.

    Twitter cannot afford large fines if it wants to remain financially viable.
    What's shocking is how little revenue the EU generates for social media companies, they may choose to exit the EU market entirely.
    I'd bet they won't: China and Russia are closed to them right now (and are likely to remain so). If you remove the EU, the addressable market shrinks rather.
    Twitter specifically has relatively little market penetration in the EU, and people who want to continue to participate in the Anglosphere political conversation will get round any ban. I think the EU would show the limits of its pretensions to being a 'regulatory superpower' if it tried to get heavy handed with Twitter.
    Yes, that's the danger here. If Twitter fucks off and it doesn't make a difference for them other big US tech will follow and move their full operations out of EU reach.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,073
    What a surprise.

    https://twitter.com/WhaleChart/status/1604219443529351171
    Trump stole the images of his trading cards from stock photos. People have found watermarks on the NFTs they forgot to remove.

    Still, I guess that underlines their authenticity.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,339
    OMG Macron weirdogate gets worse

    He went to give a little speech to the losing French team. Watch and cringe. Has there ever been so much beta male punching of fist into palm?

    https://twitter.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1604581493287792642?s=20&t=uZhaiW4Nv5tVg6QUwnbckg

    And then he awkwardly tries to hug the coach like David Brent on a work outing
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,705
    Nigelb said:

    What a surprise.

    https://twitter.com/WhaleChart/status/1604219443529351171
    Trump stole the images of his trading cards from stock photos. People have found watermarks on the NFTs they forgot to remove.

    Still, I guess that underlines their authenticity.

    Are you saying they're not Top Trumps?
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,405
    Leon said:

    HYUFD said:
    He doesn't really, though.
    He really does, as does Deschamps

    French Twitter is convinced. This is weird and intrusive from Macron, it looks bad, creepy and patronising
    Do the French players get to debrief Macron should he lose th3 next election?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,829
    carnforth said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @conor_matchett @elonmusk Oh yes, he has just absolutely volunteered Twitter up as the poster child for the EU’s new DSA. And the EU is *itching* to massively fine a US tech giant. And the EU is the world’s most valuable bloc by GDP. So there are some *choices* ahead.
    https://twitter.com/jamesrbuk/status/1604593004274077696

    Revenue per customer is much higher in the US than Europe, for all social media platforms.

    And the US has 20T gdp vs EU 16T, so he's not even right about that.

    Edit: stats on revenue per use for Facebook, for example:

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/251328/facebooks-average-revenue-per-user-by-region/
    Those numbers include the UK in the EU column as well, now that we're out they become even more lopsided.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,664
    carnforth said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @conor_matchett @elonmusk Oh yes, he has just absolutely volunteered Twitter up as the poster child for the EU’s new DSA. And the EU is *itching* to massively fine a US tech giant. And the EU is the world’s most valuable bloc by GDP. So there are some *choices* ahead.
    https://twitter.com/jamesrbuk/status/1604593004274077696

    Revenue per customer is much higher in the US than Europe, for all social media platforms.

    And the US has 20T gdp vs EU 16T, so he's not even right about that.

    Edit: stats on revenue per use for Facebook, for example:

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/251328/facebooks-average-revenue-per-user-by-region/
    US is not a bloc though, so technically he's right.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,969

    Leon said:

    HYUFD said:
    He doesn't really, though.
    He really does, as does Deschamps

    French Twitter is convinced. This is weird and intrusive from Macron, it looks bad, creepy and patronising
    Do the French players get to debrief Macron should he lose th3 next election?
    I doubt Macron would complain too much if some of them debrief him, if certain rumours are believed...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,103
    When checking Trump's net worth came across an article claiming Biden has an estimated net worth of $9million, and that mostly from after his stint as VP. Supposedly even Jimmy Carter among ex Presidents is wealthier.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,664
    Leon said:

    HYUFD said:
    He doesn't really, though.
    He really does, as does Deschamps

    French Twitter is convinced. This is weird and intrusive from Macron, it looks bad, creepy and patronising
    I agree it's rather cringeworthy from Macron.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,020
    edited December 2022
    One saying grace for Macron, at least didn't have an ill fitting replica shirt with his name on....
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,397

    Leon said:

    HYUFD said:
    He doesn't really, though.
    He really does, as does Deschamps

    French Twitter is convinced. This is weird and intrusive from Macron, it looks bad, creepy and patronising
    Do the French players get to debrief Macron should he lose th3 next election?
    'Monsieur, you lost because people finally realised you are an empty suit and a twat.'

    (Of course, he can't actually stand next time under the current rules anyway, as you can't serve more than two consecutive terms.)
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,648
    Leon said:

    OMG Macron weirdogate gets worse

    He went to give a little speech to the losing French team. Watch and cringe. Has there ever been so much beta male punching of fist into palm?

    https://twitter.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1604581493287792642?s=20&t=uZhaiW4Nv5tVg6QUwnbckg

    And then he awkwardly tries to hug the coach like David Brent on a work outing

    He should have ranted at them: "You've blown it! I came all the way out here to bask in the glory of your win and you let me down."
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,705
    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    HYUFD said:
    He doesn't really, though.
    He really does, as does Deschamps

    French Twitter is convinced. This is weird and intrusive from Macron, it looks bad, creepy and patronising
    Do the French players get to debrief Macron should he lose th3 next election?
    I doubt Macron would complain too much if some of them debrief him, if certain rumours are believed...
    I'm assuming you are using the word "debrief" there in a euphemistic way, otherwise that's a mighty odd rumour.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,053
    ydoethur said:

    HYUFD said:

    kle4 said:

    Really its just a shame Musk cannot run for US President, as he's clearly the right person to spend an entire presidency and aftermath on winding people up on twitter.

    Musk versus Trump would be funny, in a terrifying sort of way.
    Musk one of the only people who could infuriate Trump by saying 'I am much richer than you!'
    Although there are rumours most of us could actually say that to Trump at the moment...
    As the old saying goes, if you owe the bank £10k it’s your problem, but if you owe it £10Bn then it’s the bank’s problem.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,969
    edited December 2022
    kle4 said:

    When checking Trump's net worth came across an article claiming Biden has an estimated net worth of $9million, and that mostly from after his stint as VP. Supposedly even Jimmy Carter among ex Presidents is wealthier.

    DeSantis and Buttigieg have net worths of just $319,000 and $250,000 respectively and yet are still prime contenders for the GOP and Democrat nominations in 2024 and the VP slots

    https://www.businessinsider.com/ron-desantis-net-worth-is-just-319000-2022-6?r=US&IR=T

    https://www.gobankingrates.com/net-worth/politicians/pete-buttigieg-net-worth/
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,664
    Leon said:

    OMG Macron weirdogate gets worse

    He went to give a little speech to the losing French team. Watch and cringe. Has there ever been so much beta male punching of fist into palm?

    https://twitter.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1604581493287792642?s=20&t=uZhaiW4Nv5tVg6QUwnbckg

    And then he awkwardly tries to hug the coach like David Brent on a work outing

    Ahead of today's game, the BBC played a clip of Messi's pre-match speech given to Argentina before their Copa America win last year.

    Based on the English subtitles it was rather impressive.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,557
    Foxy said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Does this make Saudi Araba the best team in the world, because they beat Argentina 2-1?

    No, that's not how it works.

    It was a tongue in cheek comment.
This discussion has been closed.