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If New Hampshire flips the the Republicans are in for good night – politicalbetting.com

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  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366
    Leon said:

    If Kari Lake loses that rules her out as a VP

    Trump might offer the slot to De Santis, but he should turn it down and fight for the GOP nomination

    What odds will you give me that Trump offers the slot to DeSantis?
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,664
    Challion looking at GA early vs in person.

    That is much less relevant now - where vote is outstanding matters most now
  • LeonLeon Posts: 54,679
    Time for bed. I predict the GOP will only barely scrape a House majority and fail to win a Senate maj

    Perhaps, just perhaps, we have seen Peak Trumpism. 🙏

    Republicans need to veer to De Santis
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,664
    Trump led GA by over 2% with over 90% in.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,664
    Oh my - the outstanding vote in PA looks much more in Dem areas.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,664
    edited November 2022
    Betfair Oz 6 (ie 5-1) - looks like Fetterman has it
  • TheKitchenCabinetTheKitchenCabinet Posts: 2,275
    MikeL said:

    Betfair Oz (ie 5-1) - looks like Fetterman has it

    Think we were here before in 2020, just the other way around...
  • TheKitchenCabinetTheKitchenCabinet Posts: 2,275
    Leon said:

    Time for bed. I predict the GOP will only barely scrape a House majority and fail to win a Senate maj

    Perhaps, just perhaps, we have seen Peak Trumpism. 🙏

    Republicans need to veer to De Santis

    I think so. RDS the big winner of tonight so far.
  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366
    Walker in the lead in Georgia.
  • TheKitchenCabinetTheKitchenCabinet Posts: 2,275
    MikeL said:

    Betfair Oz 6 (ie 5-1) - looks like Fetterman has it

    But yes looks like Fetterman will win it
  • TheKitchenCabinetTheKitchenCabinet Posts: 2,275
    Another big loser of tonight - Trafalgar et al
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,928
    TheKitchenCabinet said:

    Leon said:

    Time for bed. I predict the GOP will only barely scrape a House majority and fail to win a Senate maj

    Perhaps, just perhaps, we have seen Peak Trumpism. 🙏

    Republicans need to veer to De Santis

    I think so. RDS the big winner of tonight so far.
    DeSantis likely to massively outperform his Republican peers.
  • TheKitchenCabinetTheKitchenCabinet Posts: 2,275
    rcs1000 said:

    TheKitchenCabinet said:

    Leon said:

    Time for bed. I predict the GOP will only barely scrape a House majority and fail to win a Senate maj

    Perhaps, just perhaps, we have seen Peak Trumpism. 🙏

    Republicans need to veer to De Santis

    I think so. RDS the big winner of tonight so far.
    DeSantis likely to massively outperform his Republican peers.
    Hugely.

    Quality candidate also looks like a big factor as well.

    You are right about PA. The only path now to a GOP Senate is GA + NV, given it looks like the Ds have blown the lights out in AZ so far.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,928
    WillG said:

    Walker in the lead in Georgia.

    Fetterman likely to outperform from here, based on where is still to report...

    But

    I don't think it will be enough to get him over 50%. But it will be very close.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,928
    TheKitchenCabinet said:

    rcs1000 said:

    TheKitchenCabinet said:

    Leon said:

    Time for bed. I predict the GOP will only barely scrape a House majority and fail to win a Senate maj

    Perhaps, just perhaps, we have seen Peak Trumpism. 🙏

    Republicans need to veer to De Santis

    I think so. RDS the big winner of tonight so far.
    DeSantis likely to massively outperform his Republican peers.
    Hugely.

    Quality candidate also looks like a big factor as well.

    You are right about PA. The only path now to a GOP Senate is GA + NV, given it looks like the Ds have blown the lights out in AZ so far.
    AZ is early votes first, so I wouldn't count any chickens yet.
  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366
    rcs1000 said:

    WillG said:

    Walker in the lead in Georgia.

    Fetterman likely to outperform from here, based on where is still to report...

    But

    I don't think it will be enough to get him over 50%. But it will be very close.
    Wrong state.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,928
    WillG said:

    rcs1000 said:

    WillG said:

    Walker in the lead in Georgia.

    Fetterman likely to outperform from here, based on where is still to report...

    But

    I don't think it will be enough to get him over 50%. But it will be very close.
    Wrong state.
    Doh.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,928
    rcs1000 said:

    WillG said:

    rcs1000 said:

    WillG said:

    Walker in the lead in Georgia.

    Fetterman likely to outperform from here, based on where is still to report...

    But

    I don't think it will be enough to get him over 50%. But it will be very close.
    Wrong state.
    Doh.
    I meant Warnock to outperform from here....
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 2,960
    Could there be "shy Democrats" in Arizona? Given all the talk of violence there, I can imagine a few respondents deciding that fibbing to a pollster might be prudent.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,664
    edited November 2022
    Yes, a long way to go.

    For Dems to win Senate tonight they will need AZ and NV as likely GA goes to run-off.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,928
    Ummm... Wisconsin is beginning to look a little hairy for the Republicans. Johnson is only a smidgen ahead, and the remaining looks more D than R.
  • TheKitchenCabinetTheKitchenCabinet Posts: 2,275
    rcs1000 said:

    TheKitchenCabinet said:

    rcs1000 said:

    TheKitchenCabinet said:

    Leon said:

    Time for bed. I predict the GOP will only barely scrape a House majority and fail to win a Senate maj

    Perhaps, just perhaps, we have seen Peak Trumpism. 🙏

    Republicans need to veer to De Santis

    I think so. RDS the big winner of tonight so far.
    DeSantis likely to massively outperform his Republican peers.
    Hugely.

    Quality candidate also looks like a big factor as well.

    You are right about PA. The only path now to a GOP Senate is GA + NV, given it looks like the Ds have blown the lights out in AZ so far.
    AZ is early votes first, so I wouldn't count any chickens yet.
    NYT had AZ as D but has now put it back as Toss-up

    NV looks like it is going to be incredibly tight
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,928
    MikeL said:

    Yes, a long way to go.

    For Dems to win Senate tonight they will need AZ and NV as likely GA goes to run-off.

    It's highly likely no one wins the Senate tonight.
  • TheKitchenCabinetTheKitchenCabinet Posts: 2,275
    rcs1000 said:

    Ummm... Wisconsin is beginning to look a little hairy for the Republicans. Johnson is only a smidgen ahead, and the remaining looks more D than R.

    NYT has it lean R, reckons Johnson running ahead of Trump but agree
  • TheKitchenCabinetTheKitchenCabinet Posts: 2,275
    TheKitchenCabinet said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Ummm... Wisconsin is beginning to look a little hairy for the Republicans. Johnson is only a smidgen ahead, and the remaining looks more D than R.

    NYT has it lean R, reckons Johnson running ahead of Trump but agree
    Actually, I think he will be fine. It looks like there is a large bank of largely R areas to come
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,084
    edited November 2022
    rcs1000 said:

    MikeL said:

    Yes, a long way to go.

    For Dems to win Senate tonight they will need AZ and NV as likely GA goes to run-off.

    It's highly likely no one wins the Senate tonight.
    If you called this right about the Dems exceeding the rather doomsday predictions (my words) then many congratulations.

    And IF they do outperform the pundits then it's another in a long line of recent such examples.

    p.s. good morning everyone in the UK
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,664
    CNN calls NH with only 54% in.

    Some polls had it close to neck and neck.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,798
    Leon said:

    Theuniondivvie said:

    Brutal


    Er, it’s 2.15am and you’re on politicalbetting commenting on a thread dedicated to the American midterms
    Someone's piqued.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,314
    Morning all. The weirdest time in US election night, as small numbers of votes come in, and all the media orgs run to extrapolate from the available data.

    Senate looks close, I still think Nevada will be the key state and they haven’t started reporting yet.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,084
    New Thread folks ...
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,314
    One thought I just listened to: what if it ends up being a poor night for the Republicans, and the Trump-endorsed candidates do relatively poorly, compared to say De Santis in Florida, who looks like he’s winning by a mile?
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,084
    Sandpit said:

    One thought I just listened to: what if it ends up being a poor night for the Republicans, and the Trump-endorsed candidates do relatively poorly, compared to say De Santis in Florida, who looks like he’s winning by a mile?

    New thread ;)

    xx

    p.s. but yes
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,774
    Leon said:

    Kari Lake LOSING in Arizona

    the Curse of Leondamus strikes again?
This discussion has been closed.