She voted for Rick Caruso, who used to be a Republican, and is now a Democrat. (Really, though, he's run on a "I'm not a politician" ticket.)
He quit the GOP 19 days ago…
Source? Because all the campaign literature I've had from him has had "Democrat" on it.
According to Wiki he quit the GOP in 2019, and was independent then until this year.
What's odd though is that he also quit the GOP in 2011 but rejoined it in 2016. Seems odd timing to rejoin the GOP 2016-2019, then go to the Democrats.
First US Congress result announced (well sort of) from Guam:
'The U.S. territory sends one nonvoting delegate to Congress, and that delegate had always been a Democrat going back to 1993. That is no longer true after Republican James Moylan defeated his Democratic opponent and became the first GOP pick-up in Congress and just the second Republican ever sent to Congress by the island. Moylan had trailed in exit polls by 13 percentage points but won by 5. The island’s Democratic governor held on (though she won by 11 points, compared to the 24 points she led by in exit polls), and Democrats gained a seat in the territorial legislature. Guam voters were apparently content with their local Democratic Party, but not the national Democratic Party.'
First US Congress result announced (well sort of) from Guam:
'The U.S. territory sends one nonvoting delegate to Congress, and that delegate had always been a Democrat going back to 1993. That is no longer true after Republican James Moylan defeated his Democratic opponent and became the first GOP pick-up in Congress and just the second Republican ever sent to Congress by the island. Moylan had trailed in exit polls by 13 percentage points but won by 5. The island’s Democratic governor held on (though she won by 11 points, compared to the 24 points she led by in exit polls), and Democrats gained a seat in the territorial legislature. Guam voters were apparently content with their local Democratic Party, but not the national Democratic Party.'
Being a nonvoting member of Congress sounds like a pretty easy job.
No it doesn't. Literally the first sentence of the article says otherwise.
Rick Caruso, the shopping mall magnate who is considering a run for mayor of heavily Democratic Los Angeles, said Monday he has changed his political affiliation from no party preference to Democrat.
When we encouraged our religious nutters to sail west across the ocean, I am starting to feel that maybe we didn’t fully think it through?
Although let's remember Trump isn't very big on religion compared to others in the GOP.
And more to the point, it was just a joke. Pace Degler, 19th century America was a fairly irreligious place, with the rise of political religiosity being a 20th century mostly post-war phenomenon driven by TV and now the internet.
When we encouraged our religious nutters to sail west across the ocean, I am starting to feel that maybe we didn’t fully think it through?
Although let's remember Trump isn't very big on religion compared to others in the GOP.
And more to the point, it was just a joke. Pace Degler, 19th century America was a fairly irreligious place, with the rise of political religiosity being a 20th century mostly post-war phenomenon driven by TV and now the internet.
I think the big revival of religion in the US happened or at least started in the 1890s, proabition in 1913 being there first big national win, after similar laws in some states in the 10 years before that.
First US Congress result announced (well sort of) from Guam:
'The U.S. territory sends one nonvoting delegate to Congress, and that delegate had always been a Democrat going back to 1993. That is no longer true after Republican James Moylan defeated his Democratic opponent and became the first GOP pick-up in Congress and just the second Republican ever sent to Congress by the island. Moylan had trailed in exit polls by 13 percentage points but won by 5. The island’s Democratic governor held on (though she won by 11 points, compared to the 24 points she led by in exit polls), and Democrats gained a seat in the territorial legislature. Guam voters were apparently content with their local Democratic Party, but not the national Democratic Party.'
Being a nonvoting member of Congress sounds like a pretty easy job.
Yes, sounds like a good number
but I understand they can and do serves on committee's, and they do have committee votes.
The exit poll results could have been much worse for the Dems . The results on the abortion issue and democracy are key things that stand out . Biden’s approval rating is higher than in many recent polls and the fact that college educated are making up a higher percentage of the electorate will also be encouraging for them .
The exit poll results could have been much worse for the Dems . The results on the abortion issue and democracy are key things that stand out . Biden’s approval rating is higher than in many recent polls and the fact that college educated are making up a higher percentage of the electorate will also be encouraging for them .
The Fox exit poll, however, has 47% saying the economy is the biggest issue, and 10% saying abortion
It's so bold and brazen it is funny, and so far in his life it has worked.
It's actually slightly more nuanced that what it sounds like. In the interview what he said was something like: "If they lose they'll probably blame me, and if they win they won't give me any credit at all. It's actually the reverse". He then also said the quote itself.
First US Congress result announced (well sort of) from Guam:
'The U.S. territory sends one nonvoting delegate to Congress, and that delegate had always been a Democrat going back to 1993. That is no longer true after Republican James Moylan defeated his Democratic opponent and became the first GOP pick-up in Congress and just the second Republican ever sent to Congress by the island. Moylan had trailed in exit polls by 13 percentage points but won by 5. The island’s Democratic governor held on (though she won by 11 points, compared to the 24 points she led by in exit polls), and Democrats gained a seat in the territorial legislature. Guam voters were apparently content with their local Democratic Party, but not the national Democratic Party.'
In that case I am curious what the two diverge on.
That's basically how all politicians think, isn't it?
Sure, but they don't admit it. I guess for once it is Trump the Honest.
It has a sort of sense. Let's say Trump's amazing popularity and saintly halo effect leads to a 50% uplift for each Republican candidate. In that instance, he would deserve all the credit if they were to win, and none of the opprobrium if they were to lose.
Stewart Wood @StewartWood · 6m Not just an extraordinary man, who helped create a new academic discipline that became a staple of how we all think about politics, but also a kind, encouraging & hugely entertaining mentor to younger academics like me who crossed his path. His stories will remain with me always.
A comment on the failure of American journalists: In the last 20 years, our reporters have become less and less diverse -- if you measure diversity by a range of opinions, rather than a range of colors. And, among Republican voters, the faith in their impartiality has gone down at the same time. So, many Republican voters are getting their information from other sources and assuming, automatically, that, for example if the New York Times says it is so, then it isn't.
Disasters, for example the 1619 project, have reinforced this, and helped to change Republican views of "mainstream" journalists from a healthy skepticism to an outright hostility.
Whatever faults the Telegraph, the Daily Mail, and other such publications have, they give the UK a range of ideas in newsprint that are not available in most US cities. A small, but telling example: My local monopoly newspaper, the Seattle Times, prints a list of famous birthdays every day -- but in recent years has refused to even mention Abraham Lincoln's.
There are exceptions, of course, such as the New York Post and, on some subjects, the Wall Street Journal.
Back to elections, and Nevada. Ds getting absolutely hammered in Washoe on the day voting while Clark R day lead remains significant.
I really not sure there are that many drop off ballots to counter this and, reading between the lines, neither do the Ds
I suspect that one party encouraging its supporters to vote by method X and the other party encouraging its supporters by method Y is not conducive for trust in the electoral system.
A comment on the failure of American journalists: In the last 20 years, our reporters have become less and less diverse -- if you measure diversity by a range of opinions, rather than a range of colors. And, among Republican voters, the faith in their impartiality has gone down at the same time. So, many Republican voters are getting their information from other sources and assuming, automatically, that, for example if the New York Times says it is so, then it isn't.
Disasters, for example the 1619 project, have reinforced this, and helped to change Republican views of "mainstream" journalists from a healthy skepticism to an outright hostility.
Whatever faults the Telegraph, the Daily Mail, and other such publications have, they give the UK a range of ideas in newsprint that are not available in most US cities. A small, but telling example: My local monopoly newspaper, the Seattle Times, prints a list of famous birthdays every day -- but in recent years has refused to even mention Abraham Lincoln's.
There are exceptions, of course, such as the New York Post and, on some subjects, the Wall Street Journal.
That assessment seems to be the case, the question is what do you do about it? CNNs new owners seem to be trying to push the channel back to the canter, and I wish them luck in that,
A comment on the failure of American journalists: In the last 20 years, our reporters have become less and less diverse -- if you measure diversity by a range of opinions, rather than a range of colors. And, among Republican voters, the faith in their impartiality has gone down at the same time. So, many Republican voters are getting their information from other sources and assuming, automatically, that, for example if the New York Times says it is so, then it isn't.
Disasters, for example the 1619 project, have reinforced this, and helped to change Republican views of "mainstream" journalists from a healthy skepticism to an outright hostility.
Whatever faults the Telegraph, the Daily Mail, and other such publications have, they give the UK a range of ideas in newsprint that are not available in most US cities. A small, but telling example: My local monopoly newspaper, the Seattle Times, prints a list of famous birthdays every day -- but in recent years has refused to even mention Abraham Lincoln's.
There are exceptions, of course, such as the New York Post and, on some subjects, the Wall Street Journal.
There seems to be a lack of common sense in American media. Not mentioning Abraham Lincoln's birthday just because he was a Republican is a very good example.
A comment on the failure of American journalists: In the last 20 years, our reporters have become less and less diverse -- if you measure diversity by a range of opinions, rather than a range of colors. And, among Republican voters, the faith in their impartiality has gone down at the same time. So, many Republican voters are getting their information from other sources and assuming, automatically, that, for example if the New York Times says it is so, then it isn't.
Disasters, for example the 1619 project, have reinforced this, and helped to change Republican views of "mainstream" journalists from a healthy skepticism to an outright hostility.
Whatever faults the Telegraph, the Daily Mail, and other such publications have, they give the UK a range of ideas in newsprint that are not available in most US cities. A small, but telling example: My local monopoly newspaper, the Seattle Times, prints a list of famous birthdays every day -- but in recent years has refused to even mention Abraham Lincoln's.
There are exceptions, of course, such as the New York Post and, on some subjects, the Wall Street Journal.
I remember reading about 15 years ago that US journalists voted more Dem than San Francisco did.
Ian Livingstone @ian_livingstone · 3h I had the absolute honour to receive my Knighthood today from the Princess Royal at Windsor Castle. I am incredibly proud. It was a truly humbling and wonderful experience. And it is deserved recognition of the games industry and all the brilliant people who are part of it.
A comment on the failure of American journalists: In the last 20 years, our reporters have become less and less diverse -- if you measure diversity by a range of opinions, rather than a range of colors. And, among Republican voters, the faith in their impartiality has gone down at the same time. So, many Republican voters are getting their information from other sources and assuming, automatically, that, for example if the New York Times says it is so, then it isn't.
Disasters, for example the 1619 project, have reinforced this, and helped to change Republican views of "mainstream" journalists from a healthy skepticism to an outright hostility.
Whatever faults the Telegraph, the Daily Mail, and other such publications have, they give the UK a range of ideas in newsprint that are not available in most US cities. A small, but telling example: My local monopoly newspaper, the Seattle Times, prints a list of famous birthdays every day -- but in recent years has refused to even mention Abraham Lincoln's.
There are exceptions, of course, such as the New York Post and, on some subjects, the Wall Street Journal.
I remember reading about 15 years ago that US journalists voted more Dem than San Francisco did.
“I'm speed running this and calling Florida for DeSantis + Rubio. The numbers so far from Miami-Dade show voters turning out massively for Republicans.”
The prohibition amendment and the women's national suffrage movement were passed at nearly the same time, 1919 and 1920, respectively. Both were preceded by similar actions in states; for example, Wyoming granted women the right to vote in 1869 (and now calls itself the "equality state").
Many people were in both movements, with women predominating.
(In 1776, New Jersey granted women the right to vote in a new state constitution -- if they had enough property. Some free blacks voted in New Jersey then, too, apparently, subject to the same property requirement.
(Fun fact: As a lawyer, Lincoln defended many different people, including one early temperance advocate, a woman who broke up a saloon with a hatchet. I don't recall the outcome of the case.)
Ian Livingstone @ian_livingstone · 3h I had the absolute honour to receive my Knighthood today from the Princess Royal at Windsor Castle. I am incredibly proud. It was a truly humbling and wonderful experience. And it is deserved recognition of the games industry and all the brilliant people who are part of it.
Ian Livingstone @ian_livingstone · 3h I had the absolute honour to receive my Knighthood today from the Princess Royal at Windsor Castle. I am incredibly proud. It was a truly humbling and wonderful experience. And it is deserved recognition of the games industry and all the brilliant people who are part of it.
Rubio so far +1 and Christ + 0.2 - loads of results to come.
Does smell like GOP landslide,
Struggling a little in Georgia tho
Sorry I meant dose NOT smell like a landslide
I agree. Not a massive GOP landslide. But a definite setback for Biden and probably enough to get Trump running again
He was running even if the Dems had taken every seat in the Senate that was for election.
Nothing will stop Trump.
Declaration within days.
Personally I think the better the republicans do tonight the less likely it is that Trump will win the R nomination. If R do well then R, (well some of them) will realise they don't need Trump to Win.
Yes, but like almost all house seats, they are on new borders, so are flips from a hypothetical projection of how this seat would have voted at the last election. Even so those 2 allown have almost flipped the house.
Sen. Maggie Hassan (D) is one of the GOP’s top targets this fall. But it’s unclear if Don Bolduc, who wasn’t Republicans’ first choice to win the primary, can beat her. A retired Army general, Bolduc ran as a 2020 election denier who talked about potentially disbanding the FBI. He is trying to walk back some of these more extreme stances, including saying that after more research into the election he realized Joe Biden was the legitimate winner.
Comments
https://twitter.com/newsnation/status/1590089985704837124
What's odd though is that he also quit the GOP in 2011 but rejoined it in 2016. Seems odd timing to rejoin the GOP 2016-2019, then go to the Democrats.
https://www.google.com/search?q=indiana+3rd+district+results
'The U.S. territory sends one nonvoting delegate to Congress, and that delegate had always been a Democrat going back to 1993. That is no longer true after Republican James Moylan defeated his Democratic opponent and became the first GOP pick-up in Congress and just the second Republican ever sent to Congress by the island.
Moylan had trailed in exit polls by 13 percentage points but won by 5. The island’s Democratic governor held on (though she won by 11 points, compared to the 24 points she led by in exit polls), and Democrats gained a seat in the territorial legislature. Guam voters were apparently content with their local Democratic Party, but not the national Democratic Party.'
Edit: this article says he did it in January. So I guess that makes it ok then…
https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2022-01-24/prospective-la-mayoral-candidate-rick-caruso-registers-as-democract
Rick Caruso, the shopping mall magnate who is considering a run for mayor of heavily Democratic Los Angeles, said Monday he has changed his political affiliation from no party preference to Democrat.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2022/us/results
https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2022/11/new-go-playing-trick-defeats-world-class-go-ai-but-loses-to-human-amateurs/
Tl;Dr
You can build a Go playing algorithm that beats the world's best AI, but loses to amateur human players.
but I understand they can and do serves on committee's, and they do have committee votes.
'It was never a penalty, and actually we should have had at least 25 penalties in the second half'
Please all wish me luck.
You pays yer money…
Frank Luntz
@FrankLuntz
·
18m
It’s not #ElectionNight
It will be Election Week.
We won't know control of the Senate for at least 48 hours, if not 72 hours.
So settle in, have your favorite drink, and get ready for a very very long election count. 🥃
however, I would be really tempted having seen some exit polls to think he Republicans have bot done as well as expected.
They will take the house, but currents 250+ seats is favourite on betfair, I'd be tempted to say Democrats doing alot better than expected.
Back to elections, and Nevada. Ds getting absolutely hammered in Washoe on the day voting while Clark R day lead remains significant.
I really not sure there are that many drop off ballots to counter this and, reading between the lines, neither do the Ds
Stewart Wood
@StewartWood
·
6m
Not just an extraordinary man, who helped create a new academic discipline that became a staple of how we all think about politics, but also a kind, encouraging & hugely entertaining mentor to younger academics like me who crossed his path. His stories will remain with me always.
Disasters, for example the 1619 project, have reinforced this, and helped to change Republican views of "mainstream" journalists from a healthy skepticism to an outright hostility.
Whatever faults the Telegraph, the Daily Mail, and other such publications have, they give the UK a range of ideas in newsprint that are not available in most US cities. A small, but telling example: My local monopoly newspaper, the Seattle Times, prints a list of famous birthdays every day -- but in recent years has refused to even mention Abraham Lincoln's.
There are exceptions, of course, such as the New York Post and, on some subjects, the Wall Street Journal.
Ian Livingstone
@ian_livingstone
·
3h
I had the absolute honour to receive my Knighthood today from the Princess Royal at Windsor Castle. I am incredibly proud. It was a truly humbling and wonderful experience. And it is deserved recognition of the games industry and all the brilliant people who are part of it.
https://twitter.com/ian_livingstone
Florida 20% in Demings 49.4% Rubio 49.7%
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-senate.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=election-results&context=election_recirc®ion=PartyControlWrapper
“Rubio wins the early vote in Dade 53%-46%”
https://twitter.com/jmilescoleman/status/1590133702935609346?s=46&t=9cEjLP5ma5I6oij60r1mRg
That’s a big result for the Reds
https://twitter.com/px3tweets/status/1590135683393277952?s=46&t=9cEjLP5ma5I6oij60r1mRg
Yes: 2,944
(63.6%)
No: 1,687
(36.4%)
Looks like first big win for pro life campaigners in their state by state effort to start restricting abortion following the SC ruling in Dobbs
https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1590120574394957824?s=20&t=e5lfYgrr8gWBSEzWLLAAEA
FWIW I think he will and I don't think he believes a word he has said in this campaign.
Am I safe to post at the midnight hour?
So.... Is the GOP gonna take the Senate? Yes or no?
Hassan Dem 61%
Bolduc Rep 37%
https://www.nytimes.com/international/
Many people were in both movements, with women predominating.
(In 1776, New Jersey granted women the right to vote in a new state constitution -- if they had enough property. Some free blacks voted in New Jersey then, too, apparently, subject to the same property requirement.
(Fun fact: As a lawyer, Lincoln defended many different people, including one early temperance advocate, a woman who broke up a saloon with a hatchet. I don't recall the outcome of the case.)
Why are some far faster than others?
Does smell like GOP landslide,
Only a geek like myself and Sunil will get that reference!
Nothing will stop Trump.
Declaration within days.
GOP 1.57
No maj 3.7
Dem 12
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.179673535
https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590139414805590016
🙏
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.179673535
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.179676748
Well, I'm glad he did more research.
(Cross posted at Patterico's Pontifications.)
Beasley (D) 53%
Budd (R) 45%
Warnock 55%
Walker 44%