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Mordaunt didn’t have the numbers – politicalbetting.com

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  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,030
    edited October 2022

    More high level calls between Russia and Western officials:

    @DefenceHQ
    A statement on the Chief of the Defence Staff’s call with the Russian Chief of the General Staff, General of the Army Valery Vasilyevich Gerasimov


    https://twitter.com/DefenceHQ/status/1584560170323017728

    image

    The Chief of the Defence staff guffawed loudly when his Russian counterpart suggested Ukraine was seeking escalate, and suggested that escalation kinda started with Russia's invasion.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    AlistairM said:

    Betfair have already got a new next Conservative Leader market up.

    Lol.

    When the Tories lose the General Election will Rishi stand down? I don't believe any Tory has stayed in post when they have lost an election for 50 years. History would suggest he would go. Penny I'm sure will be chomping at the bit but it will be at least 5 years in opposition.
    Howard stood down not because he had lost but because he felt he had underperformed, ie lost by too wide a margin.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,799
    edited October 2022

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Absolutely and let them clear off to ReformUK or Farage
    I notice Farage new grift is we have to have voting system reform to some sort of AV++.
  • Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    You will not be missed - goodbye
  • ydoethur said:

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Yep, I am thinking of rejoining. They might refuse me, because when they last sent me a begging letter (as I was a one time doner) I drew a big cock and balls on the letter and sent it back in the prepaid envelope.
    So the question is whether they're over their adicktion?
    I was concerned that Boris Johnson had become a Dick-tator
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,939
    This remains the best Sunak video on the internet. Perfect Alan Partridge moment https://twitter.com/StcrevDavid/status/1366722114439544839/video/1
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,252
    Ishmael_Z said:

    AlistairM said:

    Betfair have already got a new next Conservative Leader market up.

    Lol.

    When the Tories lose the General Election will Rishi stand down? I don't believe any Tory has stayed in post when they have lost an election for 50 years. History would suggest he would go. Penny I'm sure will be chomping at the bit but it will be at least 5 years in opposition.
    Howard stood down not because he had lost but because he felt he had underperformed, ie lost by too wide a margin.
    He was also getting on a bit. And unlike Corbyn, was under no illusions as to the demands of the role.
  • Ishmael_Z said:

    Looks like the PB Tories are BACK!

    And this time it's personal.
    "Hey, Top! What's the op?"
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,563
    Sunak came across a bit Kendall Roy in that.

    Also a season 5 trailer is out!
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,252

    ydoethur said:

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Yep, I am thinking of rejoining. They might refuse me, because when they last sent me a begging letter (as I was a one time doner) I drew a big cock and balls on the letter and sent it back in the prepaid envelope.
    So the question is whether they're over their adicktion?
    I was concerned that Boris Johnson had become a Dick-tator
    More a useless Dickensian type character.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,752
    GIN1138 said:

    Betfair have already got a new next Conservative Leader market up.

    Lol.

    Kemi will be the next leader (and LOTO) IMO.
    She needs to be given control of a significant department, like Education, and make improvements in it with no more than the minimum of mistakes. As does Penny, of course. That way we can test whether their skills are relevant to the job.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,252
    edited October 2022
    DavidL said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Betfair have already got a new next Conservative Leader market up.

    Lol.

    Kemi will be the next leader (and LOTO) IMO.
    She needs to be given control of a significant department, like Education, and make improvements in it with no more than the minimum of mistakes. As does Penny, of course. That way we can test whether their skills are relevant to the job.
    In that case, don't give her education. It's even more of a car crash department than the Home Office, because the civil servants in it are so very dumb (even when sober).

    On a serious point, any ambitious young politician wanting to avoid pitfalls but make a name for themselves should aim for Business, dealing with energy and trade deals.

    As indeed we saw with Truss.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,466

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Yep, I am thinking of rejoining. They might refuse me, because when they last sent me a begging letter (as I was a one time doner) I drew a big cock and balls on the letter and sent it back in the prepaid envelope.
    You are now on the CCHQ data base, when they are looking for a gigolo...
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,578
    Omnium said:

    I worry a bit about Sunak.

    However his rise to be PM is a really great thing. Skin colour will hopefully never be an issue in the UK ever again.

    I hope you are right. Though the number of people spouting the "we've tried a woman and I don't think we should do that again" line contra-PM4PM makes me fear we aren't exactly on solid ground in that regard.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,939
    The UK Government's net competency rating is -64%, the lowest rating we have recorded for ANY UK Government.

    Government Competency Rating (23 October):

    Incompetent: 72% (+5)
    Competent: 8% (+1)
    Net: -64% (-4)

    Changes +/- 16 October

    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-23-october-2022 https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1584583059273310208/photo/1
  • Scott_xP said:

    Labour leads by 33%.

    Westminster Voting Intention (23 October):

    Labour 54% (-1)
    Conservative 21% (+2)
    Liberal Democrat 11% (-1)
    Green 4% (–)
    Reform UK 4% (–)
    Scottish National Party 3% (-1)
    Other 2% (+1)

    Changes +/- 19 October

    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-23-october-2022 https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1584575446217330691/photo/1

    Again, sleazy, broken Labour on the slide!
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,483
    DavidL said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Labour leads by 33%.

    Westminster Voting Intention (23 October):

    Labour 54% (-1)
    Conservative 21% (+2)
    Liberal Democrat 11% (-1)
    Green 4% (–)
    Reform UK 4% (–)
    Scottish National Party 3% (-1)
    Other 2% (+1)

    Changes +/- 19 October

    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-23-october-2022 https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1584575446217330691/photo/1

    Swingback.
    South Holland and the Deepings safer than it was yesterday - now just an extreme Con/Lab marginal.

    The serious betting question is this: Will 2022-2024 be a repeat of 1992 (ERM disaster)-1997, ending with Tory rout despite doing sort of OK as a government; or does a new leader + the fact that things happen more quickly than in the medieval 1990s mean the Tories have a chance of recovery?

  • Scott_xP said:

    Labour leads by 33%.

    Westminster Voting Intention (23 October):

    Labour 54% (-1)
    Conservative 21% (+2)
    Liberal Democrat 11% (-1)
    Green 4% (–)
    Reform UK 4% (–)
    Scottish National Party 3% (-1)
    Other 2% (+1)

    Changes +/- 19 October

    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-23-october-2022 https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1584575446217330691/photo/1

    Again, sleazy, broken Labour on the slide!
    SKS fans please explain?
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,258
    ping said:

    That clip of Sunak’s initial speech is awful. Comes across as even more wooden than Truss and totally fake.

    He needs to loosen up.

    Hopefully he’ll grow into the role.

    I've previously thought that Sunak has come across as too slick, like an arrogant second hand car salesman that I instantly distrust.

    A bit of wooden might help dispel that impression.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    ydoethur said:

    DavidL said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Betfair have already got a new next Conservative Leader market up.

    Lol.

    Kemi will be the next leader (and LOTO) IMO.
    She needs to be given control of a significant department, like Education, and make improvements in it with no more than the minimum of mistakes. As does Penny, of course. That way we can test whether their skills are relevant to the job.
    In that case, don't give her education. It's even more of a car crash department than the Home Office, because the civil servants in it are so very dumb (even when sober).
    "don't give her education." Boko haram motto.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,466
    edited October 2022

    Scott_xP said:

    Labour leads by 33%.

    Westminster Voting Intention (23 October):

    Labour 54% (-1)
    Conservative 21% (+2)
    Liberal Democrat 11% (-1)
    Green 4% (–)
    Reform UK 4% (–)
    Scottish National Party 3% (-1)
    Other 2% (+1)

    Changes +/- 19 October

    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-23-october-2022 https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1584575446217330691/photo/1

    Again, sleazy, broken Labour on the slide!
    Crikey - a 1.5% swing, and Rishi's only had the job a couple of hours!

    At this rate, Labour in single figures by the weekend....
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,252
    Ishmael_Z said:

    ydoethur said:

    DavidL said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Betfair have already got a new next Conservative Leader market up.

    Lol.

    Kemi will be the next leader (and LOTO) IMO.
    She needs to be given control of a significant department, like Education, and make improvements in it with no more than the minimum of mistakes. As does Penny, of course. That way we can test whether their skills are relevant to the job.
    In that case, don't give her education. It's even more of a car crash department than the Home Office, because the civil servants in it are so very dumb (even when sober).
    "don't give her education." Boko haram motto.
    Yeees...I accept that could have been better phrased.
  • Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Yep, I am thinking of rejoining. They might refuse me, because when they last sent me a begging letter (as I was a one time doner) I drew a big cock and balls on the letter and sent it back in the prepaid envelope.
    You are now on the CCHQ data base, when they are looking for a gigolo...
    It was quite a small one IIRC. It still gives me a sort of adolescent thrill of amusement imagining someone there opening it up thinking that they had received a donation
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,854
    edited October 2022

    What does Sunak believe in:

    So in accelerating growth, I have three priorities. Priorities that I believe will foster a new culture of enterprise and deliver a higher growth rate. The first is to encourage greater levels of capital investment by our businesses. Second, we need to improve the technical skills of the tens of millions of people already in work. And third, we want to make this the most innovative economy in the world by driving up business investment in research and development.

    Capital. People. Ideas. Three priorities to deliver higher productivity, tied with one golden thread: that what government does is far less important than creating the conditions for private businesses and individuals to thrive. Let me take each priority in turn.


    https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/chancellor-rishi-sunaks-mais-lecture-2022

    Excoriates unfunded tax cuts “which DON’T pay for themselves”.

    Worth a read.

    They have just asked why Sunak unlike all his colleagues from the City supported Brexit. Apparently the reason is that though the City were all for Remain the hedge fund group to which Rishi belonged would do very well out of Brexit.....

    So he's basically a speculator. Just what we don't need.......

    Calling Moonrabbit..... You've got your first convert
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,752
    ydoethur said:

    DavidL said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Betfair have already got a new next Conservative Leader market up.

    Lol.

    Kemi will be the next leader (and LOTO) IMO.
    She needs to be given control of a significant department, like Education, and make improvements in it with no more than the minimum of mistakes. As does Penny, of course. That way we can test whether their skills are relevant to the job.
    In that case, don't give her education. It's even more of a car crash department than the Home Office, because the civil servants in it are so very dumb (even when sober).

    On a serious point, any ambitious young politician wanting to avoid pitfalls but make a name for themselves should aim for Business, dealing with energy and trade deals.

    As indeed we saw with Truss.
    As Cicero pointed out the greater the difficulty, the greater the glory. And the economy and the country really need education to up its game north and south of the border.
  • Scott_xP said:

    The UK Government's net competency rating is -64%, the lowest rating we have recorded for ANY UK Government.

    Government Competency Rating (23 October):

    Incompetent: 72% (+5)
    Competent: 8% (+1)
    Net: -64% (-4)

    Changes +/- 16 October

    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-23-october-2022 https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1584583059273310208/photo/1

    Of those who answered competent how many understand what the word means?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,252

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Yep, I am thinking of rejoining. They might refuse me, because when they last sent me a begging letter (as I was a one time doner) I drew a big cock and balls on the letter and sent it back in the prepaid envelope.
    You are now on the CCHQ data base, when they are looking for a gigolo...
    It was quite a small one IIRC. It still gives me a sort of adolescent thrill of amusement imagining someone there opening it up thinking that they had received a donation
    Do you suppose they spermed your offer?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,752

    Scott_xP said:

    The UK Government's net competency rating is -64%, the lowest rating we have recorded for ANY UK Government.

    Government Competency Rating (23 October):

    Incompetent: 72% (+5)
    Competent: 8% (+1)
    Net: -64% (-4)

    Changes +/- 16 October

    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-23-october-2022 https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1584583059273310208/photo/1

    Of those who answered competent how many understand what the word means?
    Or indeed the word "government". We've not really had one for months.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,939
    FUN FACT: Between the end of 2005 and Mario Draghi stepping down Sunday, the G-7 economies always featured at least one ex-Goldman Sachs banker as premier, central bank chief or finance minister.

    The run resumes once Rishi Sunak takes the UK's helm.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-24/sunak-as-uk-pm-reinforces-goldman-hold-on-g-7-top-jobs-graphic
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,252
    DavidL said:

    ydoethur said:

    DavidL said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Betfair have already got a new next Conservative Leader market up.

    Lol.

    Kemi will be the next leader (and LOTO) IMO.
    She needs to be given control of a significant department, like Education, and make improvements in it with no more than the minimum of mistakes. As does Penny, of course. That way we can test whether their skills are relevant to the job.
    In that case, don't give her education. It's even more of a car crash department than the Home Office, because the civil servants in it are so very dumb (even when sober).

    On a serious point, any ambitious young politician wanting to avoid pitfalls but make a name for themselves should aim for Business, dealing with energy and trade deals.

    As indeed we saw with Truss.
    As Cicero pointed out the greater the difficulty, the greater the glory. And the economy and the country really need education to up its game north and south of the border.
    Nobody has ever gained glory at education.

    Nor will they.

    The problems are too intractable and can't be sorted out by a government which is, usually probably with excellent intentions, causing most of them.
  • ping said:

    That clip of Sunak’s initial speech is awful. Comes across as even more wooden than Truss and totally fake.

    He needs to loosen up.

    Hopefully he’ll grow into the role.

    How wrong would it be to point out that growing is something Sunak has always struggled with?

    a) Very b) A little bit c) Not at all
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    algarkirk said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Labour leads by 33%.

    Westminster Voting Intention (23 October):

    Labour 54% (-1)
    Conservative 21% (+2)
    Liberal Democrat 11% (-1)
    Green 4% (–)
    Reform UK 4% (–)
    Scottish National Party 3% (-1)
    Other 2% (+1)

    Changes +/- 19 October

    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-23-october-2022 https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1584575446217330691/photo/1

    Swingback.
    South Holland and the Deepings safer than it was yesterday - now just an extreme Con/Lab marginal.

    The serious betting question is this: Will 2022-2024 be a repeat of 1992 (ERM disaster)-1997, ending with Tory rout despite doing sort of OK as a government; or does a new leader + the fact that things happen more quickly than in the medieval 1990s mean the Tories have a chance of recovery?

    SKS's shooting fish in a barrel licence has expired, PMQs will be Dull and Duller. Tory vote will recover markedly from where it is now and the recovery will last because it isn't a honeymoon it is isostatic rebound from boz n liz. But sks next PM still a safe bet.
  • Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    You will not be missed - goodbye
    Lol. I am delighted such brainless twats are leaving the Conservative Party. Not before time. This post on that feed had me absolutely delighted ("brilliant mini-budget" 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣):


    Elizabeth
    @Elizabe62115581
    ·
    2h
    Replying to
    @ItsJamesPowers

    @SusanBanbury1
    and 2 others
    Well said it’s how we all feel. I resigned when Hunt became Chancellor and Liz was forced to do the U turns on her brilliant mini budget which has now been confirmed by many experts after they have u turned as soon as she was removed against our wishes.
  • What are the odds, that some of the more questionable (to put it mildly) selections for Boris Johnson's DisHonours List will NOT get their unjust payoffs?

    AND also that Liz Truss will get no list at all for her 15 minutes of infamy as badly-acting Prime Minister?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,752
    algarkirk said:

    DavidL said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Labour leads by 33%.

    Westminster Voting Intention (23 October):

    Labour 54% (-1)
    Conservative 21% (+2)
    Liberal Democrat 11% (-1)
    Green 4% (–)
    Reform UK 4% (–)
    Scottish National Party 3% (-1)
    Other 2% (+1)

    Changes +/- 19 October

    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-23-october-2022 https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1584575446217330691/photo/1

    Swingback.
    South Holland and the Deepings safer than it was yesterday - now just an extreme Con/Lab marginal.

    The serious betting question is this: Will 2022-2024 be a repeat of 1992 (ERM disaster)-1997, ending with Tory rout despite doing sort of OK as a government; or does a new leader + the fact that things happen more quickly than in the medieval 1990s mean the Tories have a chance of recovery?

    https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=are+you+saying+there's+a+chance&view=detail&mid=08FE7B1FA67CD9B0F8D908FE7B1FA67CD9B0F8D9&FORM=VIRE
  • eekeek Posts: 28,250
    DavidL said:

    ydoethur said:

    DavidL said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Betfair have already got a new next Conservative Leader market up.

    Lol.

    Kemi will be the next leader (and LOTO) IMO.
    She needs to be given control of a significant department, like Education, and make improvements in it with no more than the minimum of mistakes. As does Penny, of course. That way we can test whether their skills are relevant to the job.
    In that case, don't give her education. It's even more of a car crash department than the Home Office, because the civil servants in it are so very dumb (even when sober).

    On a serious point, any ambitious young politician wanting to avoid pitfalls but make a name for themselves should aim for Business, dealing with energy and trade deals.

    As indeed we saw with Truss.
    As Cicero pointed out the greater the difficulty, the greater the glory. And the economy and the country really need education to up its game north and south of the border.
    Not possible without a lot of money and a wholesale change in how education works.

    We've commented on this in the past, but we really need to change things round - use "homework" for some of the video lessons (with way better quality teaching) and using school time / teachers to actually spend time making sure people understand what they were shown in those video lessons.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994
    AlistairM said:

    Betfair have already got a new next Conservative Leader market up.

    Lol.

    When the Tories lose the General Election will Rishi stand down? I don't believe any Tory has stayed in post when they have lost an election for 50 years. History would suggest he would go. Penny I'm sure will be chomping at the bit but it will be at least 5 years in opposition.
    If its next year and not too bad a defeat, maybe. But I doubt it.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,939
    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1
  • ydoethur said:

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Yep, I am thinking of rejoining. They might refuse me, because when they last sent me a begging letter (as I was a one time doner) I drew a big cock and balls on the letter and sent it back in the prepaid envelope.
    You are now on the CCHQ data base, when they are looking for a gigolo...
    It was quite a small one IIRC. It still gives me a sort of adolescent thrill of amusement imagining someone there opening it up thinking that they had received a donation
    Do you suppose they spermed your offer?
    Perhaps they thought it was a second coming
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,258

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting comments abound on European twitter that Varadkar was half-Irish. So Sunak is in fact indeed the first ethnic minority leader of any european country.

    What about Benjamin Disraeli?
    Benjamin Disraeli opens a whole can of worms around whether Judaism is an ethnicity or a religion. Fwiw, in religious terms, Disraeli was Christian.
    It is obviously an ethnicity linked to a religion. No can of worms at all unless your name is Jeremy Corbyn
    As someone married into that ethnicity/religion, I would say it is indeed incredibly complex. Some Jews identify as an ethnicity, others as a religion, others almost only as some sort of cultural or intellectual affiliation or worldview. The European-Jewish inheritance.

    On purely the ethnic front alone as per the discussion below, the average European component mix for European Jews is actually around 75%, from the DNA figures, IIRC.
    One of my Grandmas was Jewish, though the family adopted Catholicism in an attempt to protect themselves from anti-Semitism. I'd consider myself part-Jewish as a result, but not part-Catholic.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,799
    edited October 2022

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    You will not be missed - goodbye
    Lol. I am delighted such brainless twats are leaving the Conservative Party. Not before time. This post on that feed had me absolutely delighted ("brilliant mini-budget" 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣):


    Elizabeth
    @Elizabe62115581
    ·
    2h
    Replying to
    @ItsJamesPowers

    @SusanBanbury1
    and 2 others
    Well said it’s how we all feel. I resigned when Hunt became Chancellor and Liz was forced to do the U turns on her brilliant mini budget which has now been confirmed by many experts after they have u turned as soon as she was removed against our wishes.
    Elizabe62115581 with egg profile pic and only joined a few months ago....timeline again diatribe of retweets.

    Perhaps we can knock it off the bot / troll accounts.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 8,677

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Yep, I am thinking of rejoining. They might refuse me, because when they last sent me a begging letter (as I was a one time doner) I drew a big cock and balls on the letter and sent it back in the prepaid envelope.
    'one time doner'? Hmm, Do I or do I not start one of those annoying PB punning threads? :hushed:

    :innocent::rage:

    You're more of a shish man now? :tongue:
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,252
    eek said:

    DavidL said:

    ydoethur said:

    DavidL said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Betfair have already got a new next Conservative Leader market up.

    Lol.

    Kemi will be the next leader (and LOTO) IMO.
    She needs to be given control of a significant department, like Education, and make improvements in it with no more than the minimum of mistakes. As does Penny, of course. That way we can test whether their skills are relevant to the job.
    In that case, don't give her education. It's even more of a car crash department than the Home Office, because the civil servants in it are so very dumb (even when sober).

    On a serious point, any ambitious young politician wanting to avoid pitfalls but make a name for themselves should aim for Business, dealing with energy and trade deals.

    As indeed we saw with Truss.
    As Cicero pointed out the greater the difficulty, the greater the glory. And the economy and the country really need education to up its game north and south of the border.
    Not possible without a lot of money and a wholesale change in how education works.

    We've commented on this in the past, but we really need to change things round - use "homework" for some of the video lessons (with way better quality teaching) and using school time / teachers to actually spend time making sure people understand what they were shown in those video lessons.

    Although that would require decent video lessons. The government offering from Oak National Academy is mostly a sick joke.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Roger said:

    What does Sunak believe in:

    So in accelerating growth, I have three priorities. Priorities that I believe will foster a new culture of enterprise and deliver a higher growth rate. The first is to encourage greater levels of capital investment by our businesses. Second, we need to improve the technical skills of the tens of millions of people already in work. And third, we want to make this the most innovative economy in the world by driving up business investment in research and development.

    Capital. People. Ideas. Three priorities to deliver higher productivity, tied with one golden thread: that what government does is far less important than creating the conditions for private businesses and individuals to thrive. Let me take each priority in turn.


    https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/chancellor-rishi-sunaks-mais-lecture-2022

    Excoriates unfunded tax cuts “which DON’T pay for themselves”.

    Worth a read.

    They have just asked why Sunak unlike all his colleagues from the City supported Brexit. Apparently the reason is that though the City were all for Remain the hedge fund group to which Rishi belonged would do very well out of Brexit.....

    So he's basically a speculator. Just what we don't need.......

    Calling Moonrabbit..... You've got your first convert
    Since you’ve not read the speech, perhaps you’d prefer to not watch the video?

    https://youtu.be/Gc2g2OR_dq4

    Delivered the day Russia invaded Ukraine - so got no attention.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,250
    ydoethur said:

    eek said:

    DavidL said:

    ydoethur said:

    DavidL said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Betfair have already got a new next Conservative Leader market up.

    Lol.

    Kemi will be the next leader (and LOTO) IMO.
    She needs to be given control of a significant department, like Education, and make improvements in it with no more than the minimum of mistakes. As does Penny, of course. That way we can test whether their skills are relevant to the job.
    In that case, don't give her education. It's even more of a car crash department than the Home Office, because the civil servants in it are so very dumb (even when sober).

    On a serious point, any ambitious young politician wanting to avoid pitfalls but make a name for themselves should aim for Business, dealing with energy and trade deals.

    As indeed we saw with Truss.
    As Cicero pointed out the greater the difficulty, the greater the glory. And the economy and the country really need education to up its game north and south of the border.
    Not possible without a lot of money and a wholesale change in how education works.

    We've commented on this in the past, but we really need to change things round - use "homework" for some of the video lessons (with way better quality teaching) and using school time / teachers to actually spend time making sure people understand what they were shown in those video lessons.

    Although that would require decent video lessons. The government offering from Oak National Academy is mostly a sick joke.
    Oh I know that - I was just trying to work out how you could improve education without wasting another few 10s of billions.
  • ydoethur said:

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Yep, I am thinking of rejoining. They might refuse me, because when they last sent me a begging letter (as I was a one time doner) I drew a big cock and balls on the letter and sent it back in the prepaid envelope.
    You are now on the CCHQ data base, when they are looking for a gigolo...
    It was quite a small one IIRC. It still gives me a sort of adolescent thrill of amusement imagining someone there opening it up thinking that they had received a donation
    Do you suppose they spermed your offer?
    Perhaps they thought it was a second coming
    Load of nonsense if you ask me :)
  • Selebian said:

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Yep, I am thinking of rejoining. They might refuse me, because when they last sent me a begging letter (as I was a one time doner) I drew a big cock and balls on the letter and sent it back in the prepaid envelope.
    'one time doner'? Hmm, Do I or do I not start one of those annoying PB punning threads? :hushed:

    :innocent::rage:

    You're more of a shish man now? :tongue:
    I gave them some of my special (chili) sauce
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,699
    edited October 2022
    Selebian said:

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Now, there's a man who needs to get his shift key checked. It seems to be engaging at random points. Then, after that, the apostrophe and exclamation mark keys. But shift key first, I'd say.
    Grammar and spelling-checker also need an upgrade.

    Also he needs to buy a copy of Dicey, and read the chapter on how a Prime Minister is determined.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,939
    'Best PM' results in the Red Wall

    Starmer: wins in 31 constituencies
    'Not sure': 19 constituencies
    Sunak: 0 constituencies

    'Best PM' results in the Blue Wall

    Starmer: wins in 43 constituencies
    Sunak: 10 constituencies
    'Not sure': 0 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584585934552825856/photo/1
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Selebian said:

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Yep, I am thinking of rejoining. They might refuse me, because when they last sent me a begging letter (as I was a one time doner) I drew a big cock and balls on the letter and sent it back in the prepaid envelope.
    'one time doner'? Hmm, Do I or do I not start one of those annoying PB punning threads? :hushed:

    :innocent::rage:

    You're more of a shish man now? :tongue:
    Barry Humphries flatly declined to eat doner kebabs because you are never quite certain who the doner was...
  • Andy_JS said:

    Interesting comments abound on European twitter that Varadkar was half-Irish. So Sunak is in fact indeed the first ethnic minority leader of any european country.

    What about Benjamin Disraeli?
    Benjamin Disraeli opens a whole can of worms around whether Judaism is an ethnicity or a religion. Fwiw, in religious terms, Disraeli was Christian.
    It is obviously an ethnicity linked to a religion. No can of worms at all unless your name is Jeremy Corbyn
    As someone married into that ethnicity/religion, I would say it is indeed incredibly complex. Some Jews identify as an ethnicity, others as a religion, others almost only as some sort of cultural or intellectual affiliation or worldview. The European-Jewish inheritance.

    On purely the ethnic front alone as per the discussion below, the average European component mix for European Jews is actually around 75%, from the DNA figures, IIRC.
    Wife is half-Jewish.

    The bit that isn't loves a bacon sandwich. The bit that is feels very guilty about it.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,699
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Selebian said:

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Yep, I am thinking of rejoining. They might refuse me, because when they last sent me a begging letter (as I was a one time doner) I drew a big cock and balls on the letter and sent it back in the prepaid envelope.
    'one time doner'? Hmm, Do I or do I not start one of those annoying PB punning threads? :hushed:

    :innocent::rage:

    You're more of a shish man now? :tongue:
    Barry Humphries flatly declined to eat doner kebabs because you are never quite certain who the doner was...
    Reminds me of the joke of my student rag mags about a certain person not wanting to eat fish fingers because he didn't know where they had been.
  • ydoethur said:

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Yep, I am thinking of rejoining. They might refuse me, because when they last sent me a begging letter (as I was a one time doner) I drew a big cock and balls on the letter and sent it back in the prepaid envelope.
    You are now on the CCHQ data base, when they are looking for a gigolo...
    It was quite a small one IIRC. It still gives me a sort of adolescent thrill of amusement imagining someone there opening it up thinking that they had received a donation
    Do you suppose they spermed your offer?
    Perhaps they thought it was a second coming
    Load of nonsense if you ask me :)
    It took a certain amount of spunk to have the courage to do it
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,603
    Scott_xP said:

    'Best PM' results in the Red Wall

    Starmer: wins in 31 constituencies
    'Not sure': 19 constituencies
    Sunak: 0 constituencies

    'Best PM' results in the Blue Wall

    Starmer: wins in 43 constituencies
    Sunak: 10 constituencies
    'Not sure': 0 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584585934552825856/photo/1

    That's got to be better than Truss.
  • Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
  • Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    'Best PM' results in the Red Wall

    Starmer: wins in 31 constituencies
    'Not sure': 19 constituencies
    Sunak: 0 constituencies

    'Best PM' results in the Blue Wall

    Starmer: wins in 43 constituencies
    Sunak: 10 constituencies
    'Not sure': 0 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584585934552825856/photo/1

    That's got to be better than Truss.
    it is a low bar
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,436
    Dura_Ace said:


    I cannot see any Putin replacement forcing the war harder - because if they wanted that, they'd just keep Putin in place. I really don't see Putin being as a roadblock in Russian barbarity.

    The only significant political pressure on VVP inside Russia with regard to the SMO is from those who consider that it's being executed incompetently and with insufficient aggression.

    (Snip)
    What is your 'source' for this Kremlinology?
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,603

    Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
    The nation gave Truss 40 days. Things move quickly these days. I can't recall you asking for more time for Truss.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Sh*t just realised. A significant milestone in my life has passed (not a good one). First time that the PM has been younger than me… :(
  • Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    'Best PM' results in the Red Wall

    Starmer: wins in 31 constituencies
    'Not sure': 19 constituencies
    Sunak: 0 constituencies

    'Best PM' results in the Blue Wall

    Starmer: wins in 43 constituencies
    Sunak: 10 constituencies
    'Not sure': 0 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584585934552825856/photo/1

    That's got to be better than Truss.
    it is a low bar
    Insert height joke here....
  • Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    'Best PM' results in the Red Wall

    Starmer: wins in 31 constituencies
    'Not sure': 19 constituencies
    Sunak: 0 constituencies

    'Best PM' results in the Blue Wall

    Starmer: wins in 43 constituencies
    Sunak: 10 constituencies
    'Not sure': 0 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584585934552825856/photo/1

    That's got to be better than Truss.
    it is a low bar
    Insert height joke here....
    Rishi has just taken up upright limbo dancing?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 49,964
    ydoethur said:

    Driver said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    Driver said:

    kle4 said:

    Driver said:

    ping said:

    Just had a “McPlant” for the first time.

    Not impressed. If you’re tempted, I wouldn’t bother.

    There is much better/tastier/healthier vegetarian/vegan food out there.

    Not even worth the £1.39 I paid for it. Normal price nearer £4.

    Processed shite.

    Most 'plant based' stuff is heavily processed unhealthy shit. Its a massive con
    Thing I don't understand is why a vegetarian/vegan would want to eat fake meat when there's so much proper vegetarian/vegan food available.
    They might like the taste of meat but have moral issues with it.
    Right, but fake meat doesn't taste like meat.
    How would you know if you're a vegetarian ? :smile:

    The Linda McCartney mozzarella burgers are surprisingly edible, and quite cheap.
    I occasionally join the vegetarians in my family in eating them.
    Ditto the sausages, which I actually prefer when ordering cooked breakfasts, as most greasy spoon sausages are crap.
    My understanding is that Beyond sausages contain almost exactly the same amount of meat as Tesco values ones.
    Tesco Value, of course, hasn't existed for years.

    The cheapest Tesco pork sausages are 53% pork.
    So @rcs1000 is right about the meat content?
    The Emulsified High Fat Offal Tube

    https://youtu.be/sPwQ0PmK9lw

  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,150
    alex_ said:

    Sh*t just realised. A significant milestone in my life has passed (not a good one). First time that the PM has been younger than me… :(

    Good chance you get to be younger than the PM in future, though. Unless being younger is to Sunak's advantage.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    tlg86 said:

    alex_ said:

    Sh*t just realised. A significant milestone in my life has passed (not a good one). First time that the PM has been younger than me… :(

    Good chance you get to be younger than the PM in future, though. Unless being younger is to Sunak's advantage.
    It’s a bell that can’t be unrung I think…
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 62,934
    edited October 2022
    Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
    The nation gave Truss 40 days. Things move quickly these days. I can't recall you asking for more time for Truss.
    Truss behaviour and mini budget condemned her in days

    Sunak/ Hunt combination has steadied the markets and been welcomed especially the bond market

    Next Monday is Hunt's statement produced alongside the OBR which will be responsible and I expect substantial energy and bank windfall taxes

    Johnson is gone and my relief is palpable, and I expect a very different government going forward
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,650

    Sunak, Feb this year:

    So I am disheartened when I hear the flippant claim that ‘tax cuts always pay for themselves’. They do not. Cutting tax sustainably requires hard work, prioritisation, and the willingness to make difficult and often unpopular arguments elsewhere. And it is hard to cut taxes at a time when demands on the state are growing.….

    “The notion that tax cuts, without any spending cuts or substitute source of revenue, will so stimulate the economy that the Budget balance will improve, enabling further tax cuts to be made…is a spurious kind of virtuous circle [and] emphatically not part of my thinking”. Not my words – those of Nigel Lawson.….


    https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/chancellor-rishi-sunaks-mais-lecture-2022

    Good thing he didn't have to make any arguments at all to win the election, then.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 49,964
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Anyone who has ever visited Stockholm will likely have seen the amazing Vasa warship, built 1626-28. An astonishing sight.

    Well, marine archaeologists have just found her sister ship: Äpplet (’The Apple’). What are the chances?

    Fabulous fact about Vasa

    The use of different measuring systems on either side of the vessel caused its mass to be distributed asymmetrically, heavier to port. During construction both Swedish feet and Amsterdam feet were in use by different teams. Archaeologists have found four rulers used by the workmen who built the ship. Two were calibrated in Swedish feet, which had 12 inches, while the other two measured Amsterdam feet, which had 11 inches.[62]
    Built by NASA, then. Explains everything.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    edited October 2022
    What a difference a couple of months makes…

    @adam_tooze

    Dutch TTF gas spot prices go negative. https://twitter.com/DamienERNST1/status/1584534948652126208
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,603

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
    The nation gave Truss 40 days. Things move quickly these days. I can't recall you asking for more time for Truss.
    Truss behaviour and mini budget condemned her in days

    Sunak/ Hunt combination has steadied the markets and been welcomed especially the bond market

    Next Monday is Hunt's statement produced alongside the OBR which will be responsible and I expect substantial energy and bank windfall taxes

    Johnson is gone and my relief is palpable, and I expect a very different government going forward
    You do realise Sunak worked quite happily for Johnson and presided over the creation of the economic problems we now face. You can blame Truss for many things, but she just lit the touch paper on the charges that Sunak had laid before she entered no10.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 49,964
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Betfair have already got a new next Conservative Leader market up.

    Lol.

    Lay the phatboi.
    I'll pass. He's not really my type.
    Yea, but just imagine how much of a talking point it would be: "Boris, yea, I've had him."
    Well, as a man I suppose it would be, but practically every woman under 50 in London would be in a position to echo me...
    It’s one way to establish a democratic mandate, i suppose.
  • Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
    The nation gave Truss 40 days. Things move quickly these days. I can't recall you asking for more time for Truss.
    Truss behaviour and mini budget condemned her in days

    Sunak/ Hunt combination has steadied the markets and been welcomed especially the bond market

    Next Monday is Hunt's statement produced alongside the OBR which will be responsible and I expect substantial energy and bank windfall taxes

    Johnson is gone and my relief is palpable, and I expect a very different government going forward
    You do realise Sunak worked quite happily for Johnson and presided over the creation of the economic problems we now face. You can blame Truss for many things, but she just lit the touch paper on the charges that Sunak had laid before she entered no10.
    He also presided over keeping a very large number of businesses in business and a lot of people away from the dole queue.

    He also is not Boris Johnson.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 49,964
    AlistairM said:

    Israel is contributing to helping stop drone attacks in Ukraine. Conveniently it aligns with their own best interests.

    https://euromaidanpress.com/2022/10/24/israel-destroys-iranian-drone-factory-in-syria-human-rights-activists/

    Getting Israel to break Iran’s toys - not really a major effort required, usually.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,430
    ydoethur said:

    Rabbit family update. FaceTime with dad and he has big broad smile on his face at long last. 😍

    In the background, Daily Mail reading mother blames Gove for the mess of the last month 😁

    Clearly your mother even though she reads the Daily Mail is a shrewd judge of politicians.
    Or believes whatever Mail tells her to believe without moments contemplation or challenge 🙄
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,603

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
    The nation gave Truss 40 days. Things move quickly these days. I can't recall you asking for more time for Truss.
    Truss behaviour and mini budget condemned her in days

    Sunak/ Hunt combination has steadied the markets and been welcomed especially the bond market

    Next Monday is Hunt's statement produced alongside the OBR which will be responsible and I expect substantial energy and bank windfall taxes

    Johnson is gone and my relief is palpable, and I expect a very different government going forward
    You do realise Sunak worked quite happily for Johnson and presided over the creation of the economic problems we now face. You can blame Truss for many things, but she just lit the touch paper on the charges that Sunak had laid before she entered no10.
    He also presided over keeping a very large number of businesses in business and a lot of people away from the dole queue.

    He also is not Boris Johnson.
    More like Gordon Brown.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 49,964

    ydoethur said:

    Scott_xP said:

    My Letter to @JakeBerry on MPs absolute utter contempt for the @Conservatives party members.

    I have now resigned my membership, the party is Finished.

    #StitchUp https://twitter.com/ItsJamesPowers/status/1584531007176253440/photo/1

    Not sure Jake Berry will be around to read it....

    Anyway, I suspect for each one that leaves, two of us will bounce back to the party to replace him.
    Yep, I am thinking of rejoining. They might refuse me, because when they last sent me a begging letter (as I was a one time doner) I drew a big cock and balls on the letter and sent it back in the prepaid envelope.
    So the question is whether they're over their adicktion?
    I was concerned that Boris Johnson had become a Dick-tator
    Father to His Country?
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
    The nation gave Truss 40 days. Things move quickly these days. I can't recall you asking for more time for Truss.
    Truss behaviour and mini budget condemned her in days

    Sunak/ Hunt combination has steadied the markets and been welcomed especially the bond market

    Next Monday is Hunt's statement produced alongside the OBR which will be responsible and I expect substantial energy and bank windfall taxes

    Johnson is gone and my relief is palpable, and I expect a very different government going forward
    You do realise Sunak worked quite happily for Johnson and presided over the creation of the economic problems we now face. You can blame Truss for many things, but she just lit the touch paper on the charges that Sunak had laid before she entered no10.
    A misunderstanding. Sunak said you can't borrow to pay for tax cuts. Liz did that. That's what caused the meltdown.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,161
    nico679 said:

    Short and sweet . I really don’t care he gave a one minute statement , we don’t need half an hour of vacuous guff , he’s not Bozo.

    Still I’ll give him a chance unless he puts the stain on humanity as HS.

    Which one? The Priti one or the Braver one?
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,448
    edited October 2022
    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
    The nation gave Truss 40 days. Things move quickly these days. I can't recall you asking for more time for Truss.
    Truss behaviour and mini budget condemned her in days

    Sunak/ Hunt combination has steadied the markets and been welcomed especially the bond market

    Next Monday is Hunt's statement produced alongside the OBR which will be responsible and I expect substantial energy and bank windfall taxes

    Johnson is gone and my relief is palpable, and I expect a very different government going forward
    You do realise Sunak worked quite happily for Johnson and presided over the creation of the economic problems we now face. You can blame Truss for many things, but she just lit the touch paper on the charges that Sunak had laid before she entered
    no10.
    You do realise the Chancellor isn’t the boss and so cannot do what he wants so if the top dog wants a certain direction or policies the Chancellor has limited room for manoeuvre. They can influence, argue or explain but ultimately the PM sets the direction.

    You could be the best Chancellor in the world but if your PM says he wants to spaff money on x, y and z you can do it but hope to rein in excesses or nix certain elements or resign and let someone more pliable take over - ironically how Sunak got the job which worked well for Boris when it didn’t go as he hoped on the pliability front.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,650
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
    The nation gave Truss 40 days. Things move quickly these days. I can't recall you asking for more time for Truss.
    Truss behaviour and mini budget condemned her in days

    Sunak/ Hunt combination has steadied the markets and been welcomed especially the bond market

    Next Monday is Hunt's statement produced alongside the OBR which will be responsible and I expect substantial energy and bank windfall taxes

    Johnson is gone and my relief is palpable, and I expect a very different government going forward
    You do realise Sunak worked quite happily for Johnson and presided over the creation of the economic problems we now face. You can blame Truss for many things, but she just lit the touch paper on the charges that Sunak had laid before she entered no10.
    A misunderstanding. Sunak said you can't borrow to pay for tax cuts. Liz did that. That's what caused the meltdown.
    Sunak borrowed to pay for Covid, energy bills, and his leadership ambitions. The difference is he did it earlier, when interest rates were on the floor. Sunak 2: The Cutter is going to look starkly different to Sunak 1: The Spender.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,161

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    That was really weird. There’s a hint of Truss about Sunak. Oh dear oh dear.

    https://twitter.com/RhonddaBryant/status/1584565663175098368

    Ridiculous comment
    Just watched it, it was a little strange reading sincerity straight off the autocue. He'll need to work on that. Boris is a hard act to follow on the comms side of the job.
    No one could do sincerity like Blair tbf.
    As Michael Flanders once said: “always be sincere, especially when you don’t mean it.”

  • Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
    The nation gave Truss 40 days. Things move quickly these days. I can't recall you asking for more time for Truss.
    Truss behaviour and mini budget condemned her in days

    Sunak/ Hunt combination has steadied the markets and been welcomed especially the bond market

    Next Monday is Hunt's statement produced alongside the OBR which will be responsible and I expect substantial energy and bank windfall taxes

    Johnson is gone and my relief is palpable, and I expect a very different government going forward
    You do realise Sunak worked quite happily for Johnson and presided over the creation of the economic problems we now face. You can blame Truss for many things, but she just lit the touch paper on the charges that Sunak had laid before she entered no10.
    Sunak was the architect of the hugely successful furlough scheme and in case you have forgotten introduced a windfall tax on energy

    You clearly do not like him but maybe opposition supporters protest too much, as they see a very different decent and honest PM taking the fight to labour
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited October 2022
    Just got fifty quid on Fetterman @ evens in Pennsylvania. I know it's tight but it's not that tight.

    If rust belt polling is going to stab me in the back again then so be it - I had vowed not to put money on these midterms for the same reason I didn't in 2018 (high voter engagement rendering polling turnout models useless) but that is a value bet in my estimation.

    EDIT: I suppose I'm continually drawn back to the Kansas abortion referendum. The polling had Yes winning (checks notes) 52/48. In the end No won 41/59.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,603
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
    The nation gave Truss 40 days. Things move quickly these days. I can't recall you asking for more time for Truss.
    Truss behaviour and mini budget condemned her in days

    Sunak/ Hunt combination has steadied the markets and been welcomed especially the bond market

    Next Monday is Hunt's statement produced alongside the OBR which will be responsible and I expect substantial energy and bank windfall taxes

    Johnson is gone and my relief is palpable, and I expect a very different government going forward
    You do realise Sunak worked quite happily for Johnson and presided over the creation of the economic problems we now face. You can blame Truss for many things, but she just lit the touch paper on the charges that Sunak had laid before she entered no10.
    A misunderstanding. Sunak said you can't borrow to pay for tax cuts. Liz did that. That's what caused the meltdown.
    Truss inherited a powder keg. She foolishly set it off as you point out, but the massive borrowing she inherited created the conditions for the explosion. Sunak is at least partly responsible for that.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,161

    DavidL said:

    nico679 said:

    Short and sweet . I really don’t care he gave a one minute statement , we don’t need half an hour of vacuous guff , he’s not Bozo.

    Still I’ll give him a chance unless he puts the stain on humanity as HS.

    We so need a liberally minded, independent thinker at the Home Office which has not quite recovered from Theresa May's baleful influence. I would love to see what someone like Gove could do with it.
    I can't think of any liberally minded, independent thinkers at the Home Office any time I've been following politics.

    Straw and Blunkett etc were major authoritarians in the job too.

    Who was the last liberally minded Home Secretary do you think?
    Ken Clarke
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,650

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
    The nation gave Truss 40 days. Things move quickly these days. I can't recall you asking for more time for Truss.
    Truss behaviour and mini budget condemned her in days

    Sunak/ Hunt combination has steadied the markets and been welcomed especially the bond market

    Next Monday is Hunt's statement produced alongside the OBR which will be responsible and I expect substantial energy and bank windfall taxes

    Johnson is gone and my relief is palpable, and I expect a very different government going forward
    You do realise Sunak worked quite happily for Johnson and presided over the creation of the economic problems we now face. You can blame Truss for many things, but she just lit the touch paper on the charges that Sunak had laid before she entered no10.
    Sunak was the architect of the hugely successful furlough scheme and in case you have forgotten introduced a windfall tax on energy

    You clearly do not like him but maybe opposition supporters protest too much, as they see a very different decent and honest PM taking the fight to labour
    It was successful because he borrowed promising to repay later, and the energy tax was a tiny percentage of the energy bills stimulus. Basically, Sunak is very good when he is allowed spend tens of billions more than he taxes, which isn't the world he's entering right now.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,603

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
    The nation gave Truss 40 days. Things move quickly these days. I can't recall you asking for more time for Truss.
    Truss behaviour and mini budget condemned her in days

    Sunak/ Hunt combination has steadied the markets and been welcomed especially the bond market

    Next Monday is Hunt's statement produced alongside the OBR which will be responsible and I expect substantial energy and bank windfall taxes

    Johnson is gone and my relief is palpable, and I expect a very different government going forward
    You do realise Sunak worked quite happily for Johnson and presided over the creation of the economic problems we now face. You can blame Truss for many things, but she just lit the touch paper on the charges that Sunak had laid before she entered no10.
    Sunak was the architect of the hugely successful furlough scheme and in case you have forgotten introduced a windfall tax on energy

    You clearly do not like him but maybe opposition supporters protest too much, as they see a very different decent and honest PM taking the fight to labour
    I just think you are glad that you got anyone but Boris. I don't blame you. But dig a little deeper and there are a few question marks over Sunak.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,161
    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    Driver said:

    kle4 said:

    Driver said:

    ping said:

    Just had a “McPlant” for the first time.

    Not impressed. If you’re tempted, I wouldn’t bother.

    There is much better/tastier/healthier vegetarian/vegan food out there.

    Not even worth the £1.39 I paid for it. Normal price nearer £4.

    Processed shite.

    Most 'plant based' stuff is heavily processed unhealthy shit. Its a massive con
    Thing I don't understand is why a vegetarian/vegan would want to eat fake meat when there's so much proper vegetarian/vegan food available.
    They might like the taste of meat but have moral issues with it.
    Right, but fake meat doesn't taste like meat.
    How would you know if you're a vegetarian ? :smile:

    The Linda McCartney mozzarella burgers are surprisingly edible, and quite cheap.
    I occasionally join the vegetarians in my family in eating them.
    Ditto the sausages, which I actually prefer when ordering cooked breakfasts, as most greasy spoon sausages are crap.
    My understanding is that Beyond sausages contain almost exactly the same amount of meat as Tesco values ones.
    Nay! Say it isn’t so…
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,037

    ping said:

    That clip of Sunak’s initial speech is awful. Comes across as even more wooden than Truss and totally fake.

    He needs to loosen up.

    Hopefully he’ll grow into the role.

    I've previously thought that Sunak has come across as too slick, like an arrogant second hand car salesman that I instantly distrust.

    A bit of wooden might help dispel that impression.
    Yes it's fine. He's probably and understandably shellshocked. I just don't care about all that 'charisma' thing now. In fact the less of it the better.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,272
    I do wish the media would stop droning on about how long Sunaks speech was . I don’t care if he’s wooden . Dull politicians are very welcome after the clown show !

    Politicians should be judged on what they do and not how long a speech is or whether they’re entertaining.
  • nico679 said:

    I do wish the media would stop droning on about how long Sunaks speech was . I don’t care if he’s wooden . Dull politicians are very welcome after the clown show !

    Politicians should be judged on what they do and not how long a speech is or whether they’re entertaining.

    But have you been to Peppa Pig World...
  • Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Scott_xP said:

    🗺️ NEW MRP | Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? (21-23 Oct)

    Starmer: 389 wins in constituencies
    Sunak: 127 constituencies
    'Not sure': 116 constituencies

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/10/24/mrp-starmer-wins-best-prime-minister-389-seats-sun https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1584584547156766720/photo/1

    Ridiculous polling

    He isn't PM until tomorrow and any change in polling will take time

    Let's see where we are next April/ May
    The nation gave Truss 40 days. Things move quickly these days. I can't recall you asking for more time for Truss.
    Truss behaviour and mini budget condemned her in days

    Sunak/ Hunt combination has steadied the markets and been welcomed especially the bond market

    Next Monday is Hunt's statement produced alongside the OBR which will be responsible and I expect substantial energy and bank windfall taxes

    Johnson is gone and my relief is palpable, and I expect a very different government going forward
    You do realise Sunak worked quite happily for Johnson and presided over the creation of the economic problems we now face. You can blame Truss for many things, but she just lit the touch paper on the charges that Sunak had laid before she entered no10.
    Sunak was the architect of the hugely successful furlough scheme and in case you have forgotten introduced a windfall tax on energy

    You clearly do not like him but maybe opposition supporters protest too much, as they see a very different decent and honest PM taking the fight to labour
    I just think you are glad that you got anyone but Boris. I don't blame you. But dig a little deeper and there are a few question marks over Sunak.
    He will answer them in the fullness of time but yes I am delighted Johnson has gone and he did forsee everything that went wrong with Truss and has been vindicated

    Tomorrow will see the start of a very different conservative party but it has an enormous task to regain trust
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,037
    alex_ said:

    Sh*t just realised. A significant milestone in my life has passed (not a good one). First time that the PM has been younger than me… :(

    DC for me. You get over it but it does take time.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,027
    Give it time - I’ve never been so relieved to have Sunak in place after that Truss debacle
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,161
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Is @Scott_xP voting Tory again yet?

    Thing is, we (normal ex-Cons members) used up a lot of our relief once Boris left and Liz took over. Yes we knew she would be bad but quite how catastrophically bad how quickly took us a bit by surprise.

    As a result we are cautious about Rishi. Our loving the fact that Boris is no longer there has been watered down somewhat and our goodwill in less abundant supply.

    Let's see what Rishi does - he was a leaver for example but maybe he realises the damage that that did (or perhaps he didn't really believe it in the first place). Either way, we have yet to see his true colours.

    Can't speak for Scott, obvs.

    I would also say that it is fantastic having someone of Indian origin as PM of the UK. We should all take a moment to ponder that.
    He’s as Indian as Johnson is Turkish…
    Can you employ some of that renowned Wykehamist intellect to let us know what exactly an Indian is supposed to be in your view.
    AIUI his grandparents moved to East Africa… but his great grandparents were Punjabis. (I believe Boris’s great grandfather was a Turkish politician?)

    But it was intended as a snarky comment about people getting excited about ethnicity which is complete irrelevant in my view.

    He’s either good at the job or he’s not. In my view he’ll be competent but unlikely to do anything earth-shattering. Which may be a good thing 😯

  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,699
    Andy_JS said:
    It's the follow-on tweet that strikes me:

    "'Best PM' results in the Red Wall

    Starmer: wins in 31 constituencies
    'Not sure': 19 constituencies
    Sunak: 0 constituencies

    'Best PM' results in the Blue Wall

    Starmer: wins in 43 constituencies
    Sunak: 10 constituencies
    'Not sure': 0 constituencies"

    But early days.
This discussion has been closed.