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Opinium finds double-digit LAB leads whoever becomes PM – politicalbetting.com

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  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,384
    edited July 2022
    M 105
    S 137
    T 113

    And may the Lord have mercy on your soul.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Strong Sunak energy
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,541
    edited July 2022
    https://twitter.com/politicsmoments/status/1549767387574112256

    Liz Truss sits on another MP (2018).

    Edit: Javid apparently
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,813
    That was a lot closer than thought.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,954
    It's Dumb and Dumber
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,772
    Rishi Rishi Rishi, you could have put Truss out if you handed some votes over...
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,310
    2 ballots spoiled. Johnson and MadNad did do Johnson write- ins!
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,807
    HAHAHAHAHA

    PM Liz.

    Dear god.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,239

    RIP the Tory Party.

    RIP Tory Party at the next election certainly...
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,475
    edited July 2022

    Rishi Rishi Rishi, you could have put Truss out if you handed some votes over...

    I think his team decided to maximise their vote and not care who came second.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,278
    Interesting!!
  • PM Keir Starmer, well I look forward to that.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,446
    HYUFD said:

    Tory leadership final MPs ballot

    Mordaunt 105
    Sunak 137
    Truss 113

    Mordaunt out. Sunak and Truss through to the membership vote

    . .
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994
    edited July 2022
    So Rishi didn't lend but could have. Shame. Liz will rip him to shreds.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,755

    That was a lot closer than thought.

    Likewise. Not great for Rishi. Truss undoubtedly has the big mo right now.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,310

    BREAKING:

    RISHI SUNAK OR LIZ TRUSS WILL BE THE NEXT PM

    Tory leadership results:

    Rishi Sunak - 137
    Liz Truss - 113
    Penny Mordaunt - 105

    An explosive Summer lies ahead of us

    GOD HELP US ALL

    To quote Pte Frazer: "We're all doomed"!
  • eekeek Posts: 28,264

    RIP the Tory Party.

    🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿

    Meanwhile in Labour HQ it's party time.. 6 weeks of the Tory party tearing itself apart...
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,632
    As a Labour party member I am rooting for Liz Truss with everything I have. As a UK citizen with kids and a grandchild, the thought of her in charge scares the life out of me.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    At least it isn’t Mordidn’t…..
  • TGOHF22TGOHF22 Posts: 32
    What were the gains from Kemi.

    2 spoiled ballots is tremendous.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,691

    Rishi Rishi Rishi, you could have put Truss out if you handed some votes over...

    Penny is a bigger risk than Liz, IMO. Her tax and spend plan was simply unhinged.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,813
    edited July 2022

    2 ballots spoiled. Johnson and MadNad did do Johnson write- ins!

    There was one person who didn't vote at all...I presumed that was the big dog. Mad Nad and JRM drawing cock and balls?
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,737
    Zelensky gonna be going all out for Truss then.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,886
    Lets have Penny spill her guts now. Like Father Ted's Golden Cleric Speech only skipping straight to the bit where she reels off her list of bastards.
  • Get in!

    Great result from the MPs. Absolutely perfect. Delighted! 🤑
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,239
    Liz could be so bad that the Tories end up begging Boris to come back in autumn 2024 before the January 2025 general election...
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,630

    RIP the Tory Party.

    Hopefully
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,384
    Wonder where Boris would finish in a membership vote against those two?
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,886
    eek said:

    RIP the Tory Party.

    🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿

    Meanwhile in Labour HQ it's party time.. 6 weeks of the Tory party tearing itself apart...
    And whilst the Tories tear themselves apart, the Cabinet of the Damned has gone home for the summer leaving Larry the Cat running the government.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,239
    It woz the Mail wot won it.

    Mordaunt didn't have a great campaign, but I think she's entitled to feel aggrieved at the way that Dacre & Verity took against her.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,698
    What on earth were Rishi and Williamson doing?

    They could easily have put Penny in the Final.

    Total insanity.
  • TGOHF22TGOHF22 Posts: 32

    As a Labour party member I am rooting for Liz Truss with everything I have. As a UK citizen with kids and a grandchild, the thought of her in charge scares the life out of me.

    Why ? She wont do anything other than tinker in the 20 months left before she has to call a GE..

    T May without the dance moves.
  • IcarusIcarus Posts: 993

    Scott_xP said:

    It's Dumb and Dumber

    Chancellor v Foreign Secretary. If you strip out the noise from the contest, it's the most logical final two.
    Neither contaminated by being associated the previous regime?
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,886
    HYUFD said:

    I will now be voting for Sunak as the most electable of the last 2, though I fear the membership will vote for Truss

    The first sensible thing you have ever posted.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    edited July 2022
    MaxPB said:

    Rishi Rishi Rishi, you could have put Truss out if you handed some votes over...

    Penny is a bigger risk than Liz, IMO. Her tax and spend plan was simply unhinged.
    She's much less experienced, of course, so, yes, in that sense she's a bigger risk. She also seems to be pretty thick.

    OTOH we know that Liz Truss is an unexploded bomb in terms of NI and the EU. Not clear at this stage whether she can be defused.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994
    Andy_JS said:

    Rishi Rishi Rishi, you could have put Truss out if you handed some votes over...

    I think his team decided to maximise their vote and not care who came second.
    It makes some sense. He can try a pitch as the first choice of MPs by a clear distance (if not all that much).

    He was in trouble with either of them.

    Still think the 105 should get to vote again - so we'd know if there is overwhelming backing for either candidate.
  • PaulSimonPaulSimon Posts: 34
    Bloody hell. I wanted Liz Truss to do reasonably well and retain a senior cabinet position whispering sweet libertarian nothings in PM Rishi Sunak's ear. I didn't want her to actually win...
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,475
    "Michael Fabricant 🇬🇧🇺🇦
    @Mike_Fabricant

    It was close. I’m sad Penny didn’t make it.
    I now back Liz Truss. She stayed loyal to the end and didn’t plot and scheme against #Boris."

    https://twitter.com/Mike_Fabricant/status/1549772432126484482
  • dodradedodrade Posts: 597
    moonshine said:

    Zelensky gonna be going all out for Truss then.

    If the Tories are 20% behind in 18 months Truss will probably nuke Moscow.
  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    If I was a politician aspiring to high office I would try to hire Andrew Neil to put me through an intense "boot camp" training. Failing that hire a set of smart opinionated individuals for a series of private brutal, no hold barred debates on the key topics and the left-field ones.

    Failing that join PB under an alias and try out my arguments / policy positions there.

    Current level of political practice (all parties) varies between barely adequate to utterly amateur and ignorant.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,755

    MaxPB said:

    Rishi Rishi Rishi, you could have put Truss out if you handed some votes over...

    Penny is a bigger risk than Liz, IMO. Her tax and spend plan was simply unhinged.
    She's much less experienced, of course, so, yes, in that sense she's a bigger risk. She also seems to be pretty thick.

    OTOH we know that Liz Truss is an unexploded bomb in terms of NI and the EU. Not clear at this stage if she can be defused.
    She may also have a tendency to start throwing them as well.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,310

    eek said:

    RIP the Tory Party.

    🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿

    Meanwhile in Labour HQ it's party time.. 6 weeks of the Tory party tearing itself apart...
    And whilst the Tories tear themselves apart, the Cabinet of the Damned has gone home for the summer leaving Larry the Cat running the government.
    In safe paws until September 5th.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,813

    RIP the Tory Party.

    I am sure I once read an article that said something like that, if only I could remember where I was first made aware of it......
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,239
    Never change, Dom:

    https://twitter.com/Dominic2306/status/1549772971585245184

    "Totally on-brand for ERG to back a truly useless Remainer who did nothing in govt except gabble with hacks cos she’s reassuringly mad behind the eyes.
    🤡
    🤡
    🤡🤡🤡"
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,658
    edited July 2022
    IDS on Sky news looking very happy with himself as Truss gained 27 MPs to 19 for Rishi and 13 for Penny and goes through to the membership vote. Though his seat is very marginal
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,886
    Could Tory MPs be any more divided?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,496

    MaxPB said:

    Rishi Rishi Rishi, you could have put Truss out if you handed some votes over...

    Penny is a bigger risk than Liz, IMO. Her tax and spend plan was simply unhinged.
    She's much less experienced, of course, so, yes, in that sense she's a bigger risk. She also seems to be pretty thick.

    OTOH we know that Liz Truss is an unexploded bomb in terms of NI and the EU. Not clear at this stage if she can be defused.
    What do you expect the EU to do if Liz Truss wins?
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,577
    GIN1138 said:

    Liz could be so bad that the Tories end up begging Boris to come back in autumn 2024 before the January 2025 general election...

    I guess that's the plan.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,258
    MikeL said:

    What on earth were Rishi and Williamson doing?

    They could easily have put Penny in the Final.

    Total insanity.

    It's all very well playing 3d politics chess on here... but this plan could have backfired in (at least) 2 ways.
    1) What if some of your 'backers' secretly vote for someone else... by loaning votes you mind end up losing yourself
    2) Maybe Rishi would rather face Truss because even if he loses, he'd rather lose to someone with more experience of government & not have Penny Mordaunt as PM.

  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,639
    👎😡👿😡👎
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,310
    HYUFD said:

    Tory leadership final MPs ballot

    Mordaunt 105
    Sunak 137
    Truss 113

    Mordaunt out. Sunak and Truss through to the membership vote

    So who gets the HY vote?
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,239
    MikeL said:

    What on earth were Rishi and Williamson doing?

    They could easily have put Penny in the Final.

    Total insanity.

    They think they have a better chance of beating Liz than Penny with the membership. It will turn out to be a catastrophic mistake...
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,552
    TGOHF22 said:

    As a Labour party member I am rooting for Liz Truss with everything I have. As a UK citizen with kids and a grandchild, the thought of her in charge scares the life out of me.

    Why ? She wont do anything other than tinker in the 20 months left before she has to call a GE..

    T May without the dance moves.
    T May without the communication skills...
  • https://twitter.com/jessicaelgot/status/1549773199977627650

    A question to my Tory friends: does it feel like Tory Corbyn is on the way
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,737
    If I had a vote, I’d like to know who the chancellors and foreign sec’s of each candidate would be.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,954
    The Conservative party is the natural party of government.

    Discuss.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,446
    edited July 2022
    HYUFD said:

    I will now be voting for Sunak as the most electable of the last 2, though I fear the membership will vote for Truss

    160,000 voters, the majority must back Rishi, he is not just electable, he is economically literate whilst Truss is six levels or more of rubbish.

    The membership can’t get this wrong HY, it’s like a simple choice between sane and insane. Its stark.

    They can’t get it wrong.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,632
    TGOHF22 said:

    As a Labour party member I am rooting for Liz Truss with everything I have. As a UK citizen with kids and a grandchild, the thought of her in charge scares the life out of me.

    Why ? She wont do anything other than tinker in the 20 months left before she has to call a GE..

    T May without the dance moves.

    Trade war with the EU, for starters. Tax cuts funded by borrowing, for seconds. Someone always desperately seeking to prove they are the most right wing person in the room is fine if they are not Prime Minister. When they are it becomes a major concern.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994

    MaxPB said:

    Rishi Rishi Rishi, you could have put Truss out if you handed some votes over...

    Penny is a bigger risk than Liz, IMO. Her tax and spend plan was simply unhinged.
    She's much less experienced, of course, so, yes, in that sense she's a bigger risk. She also seems to be pretty thick.

    OTOH we know that Liz Truss is an unexploded bomb in terms of NI and the EU. Not clear at this stage whether she can be defused.
    She has the experience to show she's not a nutter. But her pitch has been very much full of winking at the nutters.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,384
    No one has the support of 40% of MP's. Even in a forced three way choice.
    That isn't great.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Straight out the traps, these attack lines have just gone out to all Labour MPs. Choosing two candidates who are both experienced cabinet ministers had its downsides… your opponents know what to do

    https://twitter.com/jessicaelgot/status/1549773199977627650
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    edited July 2022

    MaxPB said:

    Rishi Rishi Rishi, you could have put Truss out if you handed some votes over...

    Penny is a bigger risk than Liz, IMO. Her tax and spend plan was simply unhinged.
    She's much less experienced, of course, so, yes, in that sense she's a bigger risk. She also seems to be pretty thick.

    OTOH we know that Liz Truss is an unexploded bomb in terms of NI and the EU. Not clear at this stage if she can be defused.
    What do you expect the EU to do if Liz Truss wins?
    Nothing particularly, other than roll their eyes and chuckle at the further decline of a once-great nation.

    It's more what Liz Truss might do if she wins which is the issue. There must, after all, be a non-negligible risk that she'll do what she's said she'll do.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,239
    HYUFD said:

    IDS on Sky news looking very happy with himself as Truss gained 27 MPs to 19 for Rishi and 13 for Penny and goes through to the membership vote. Though his seat is very marginal

    He's probably happy that the Tories will now have an even worse leader than even he was lol!
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 62,957
    edited July 2022
    Good afternoon from the North of Scotland where we have been entertained to the red arrows as it is RAF Lossiemouth open day

    Since crossing the border yesterday, and travelling through Scotland you just can understand the utter disgust the Scots have for this farce at Westminster and why the desire for independence is so understandable

    Sunak v Truss arguing for the next month is the conservative party's act of utter self indulgence, with no recognition of the public's concerns or even their future prospects of not only retaining power but actually being in power again for years

    As a conservative it does distress me, but a period in opposition is beckoning and hopefully the lib dems can hold labour from its worst excesses

    However, having returned to my wife's family roots it is clear the question of independence will have to be addressed by whoever is in No 10, as the present situation is only going to fester and as long as it does independence will become more likely month by month
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,475

    HYUFD said:

    I will now be voting for Sunak as the most electable of the last 2, though I fear the membership will vote for Truss

    160,000 voters, the majority must back Rishi, he is not just electable, he is economically literate whilst Truss is six levels or more of rubbish.

    The membership can’t get this wrong HY, it’s like a simple choice between sane and insane. Its stark.

    They can’t get it wrong.
    I think it'll be fairly close but Truss will edge it. Something like 55/45.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,842
    HYUFD said:

    I will now be voting for Sunak as the most electable of the last 2, though I fear the membership will vote for Truss

    Good for you.

    You seem to have been out of line with the membership throughout.

    We look to you as a voice of the membership but it seems you are growing apart from them.

    Meanwhile we agree. I have identified the bonkers, Anyone But Rishi movement in the membership for some time.

    Any chance there are enough sane (r) heads such as your own?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,496

    TGOHF22 said:

    As a Labour party member I am rooting for Liz Truss with everything I have. As a UK citizen with kids and a grandchild, the thought of her in charge scares the life out of me.

    Why ? She wont do anything other than tinker in the 20 months left before she has to call a GE..

    T May without the dance moves.

    Trade war with the EU, for starters. Tax cuts funded by borrowing, for seconds. Someone always desperately seeking to prove they are the most right wing person in the room is fine if they are not Prime Minister. When they are it becomes a major concern.
    Why do you expect the EU to initiate a trade war and what do you think it will mean in practice?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,509
    Mrs Sandpit: “I miss Boris” 🇺🇦
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,005
    To become PM mid-term, you need to have held one of the Great Offices of State.

    No doubt someone will point out the last time this rule was broken!
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594

    Could Tory MPs be any more divided?

    The division between the MPs is less than the gulf between the MPs and the members.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,310

    If I was a politician aspiring to high office I would try to hire Andrew Neil to put me through an intense "boot camp" training. Failing that hire a set of smart opinionated individuals for a series of private brutal, no hold barred debates on the key topics and the left-field ones.

    Failing that join PB under an alias and try out my arguments / policy positions there.

    Current level of political practice (all parties) varies between barely adequate to utterly amateur and ignorant.

    "Failing that join PB under an alias and try out my arguments / policy positions there."

    What makes you think I am not Liz Truss?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,475

    Could Tory MPs be any more divided?

    Sort of normal in a 3 candidate race.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,035

    MaxPB said:

    Rishi Rishi Rishi, you could have put Truss out if you handed some votes over...

    Penny is a bigger risk than Liz, IMO. Her tax and spend plan was simply unhinged.
    She's much less experienced, of course, so, yes, in that sense she's a bigger risk. She also seems to be pretty thick.

    OTOH we know that Liz Truss is an unexploded bomb in terms of NI and the EU. Not clear at this stage if she can be defused.
    What do you expect the EU to do if Liz Truss wins?
    I would expect slightly warmer UK-EU relations, tbh.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,658

    HYUFD said:

    Tory leadership final MPs ballot

    Mordaunt 105
    Sunak 137
    Truss 113

    Mordaunt out. Sunak and Truss through to the membership vote

    So who gets the HY vote?
    Sunak no question now
  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758

    If I was a politician aspiring to high office I would try to hire Andrew Neil to put me through an intense "boot camp" training. Failing that hire a set of smart opinionated individuals for a series of private brutal, no hold barred debates on the key topics and the left-field ones.

    Failing that join PB under an alias and try out my arguments / policy positions there.

    Current level of political practice (all parties) varies between barely adequate to utterly amateur and ignorant.

    "Failing that join PB under an alias and try out my arguments / policy positions there."

    What makes you think I am not Liz Truss?
    I've gone off you.
  • MaxPB said:

    Rishi Rishi Rishi, you could have put Truss out if you handed some votes over...

    Penny is a bigger risk than Liz, IMO. Her tax and spend plan was simply unhinged.
    She's much less experienced, of course, so, yes, in that sense she's a bigger risk. She also seems to be pretty thick.

    OTOH we know that Liz Truss is an unexploded bomb in terms of NI and the EU. Not clear at this stage if she can be defused.
    What do you expect the EU to do if Liz Truss wins?
    Nothing particularly, other than roll their eyes and chuckle at the further decline of a once-great nation.

    It's more what Liz Truss might do if she wins which is the issue. There must, after all, be a non-negligible risk that she'll do what she's said she'll do.
    Indeed, Truss winning will see her NI Protocol Bill will fix the problems with the NI Protocol and the EU will do nothing particular about it, because they're impotent and can't do anything about it.

    And then the EU and NI issues will be resolved and we can all be happy.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,948

    The Tories have literally gone back to 2001. All of that progress under Cameron and they've given it up.

    This is not a party that anyone vaguely of the centre could dream of voting for. What a shame.

    and then, literally going back to 2001...

    https://twitter.com/BestForBritain/status/1549681965145755648

    Lol go Keir!

    I told you all exclusively weeks ago that Campbell was back in the frame.

  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,295
    moonshine said:

    If I had a vote, I’d like to know who the chancellors and foreign sec’s of each candidate would be.

    Chancellor
    Rishi = Javid
    Truss = Clark

    Foreign Office
    Rishi = Truss
    Truss = Cleverly

    My guess.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,475
    TGOHF22 said:

    What were the gains from Kemi.

    2 spoiled ballots is tremendous.

    Truss was +27 from Kemi's 59.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,295
    Keir sounds normal, articulate, and down to earth in that interview.

    FFS sort yourself out and find ways of doing more of that.
  • TGOHF22TGOHF22 Posts: 32

    TGOHF22 said:

    As a Labour party member I am rooting for Liz Truss with everything I have. As a UK citizen with kids and a grandchild, the thought of her in charge scares the life out of me.

    Why ? She wont do anything other than tinker in the 20 months left before she has to call a GE..

    T May without the dance moves.

    Trade war with the EU, for starters. Tax cuts funded by borrowing, for seconds. Someone always desperately seeking to prove they are the most right wing person in the room is fine if they are not Prime Minister. When they are it becomes a major concern.

    Trade war 2 years before an election ? Nah.

    Tax cuts will more than pay for themselves as all intelligent students of the Laffer curve will confirm.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,737

    HYUFD said:

    I will now be voting for Sunak as the most electable of the last 2, though I fear the membership will vote for Truss

    160,000 voters, the majority must back Rishi, he is not just electable, he is economically literate whilst Truss is six levels or more of rubbish.

    The membership can’t get this wrong HY, it’s like a simple choice between sane and insane. Its stark.

    They can’t get it wrong.
    As a friend just texted: seen the news, wish I hadn’t. One of two complete “c bombs” as PM.

    This is how the vast majority of the public feel. And the vast majority of Tory MPs probably.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,190

    MaxPB said:

    Rishi Rishi Rishi, you could have put Truss out if you handed some votes over...

    Penny is a bigger risk than Liz, IMO. Her tax and spend plan was simply unhinged.
    She's much less experienced, of course, so, yes, in that sense she's a bigger risk. She also seems to be pretty thick.

    OTOH we know that Liz Truss is an unexploded bomb in terms of NI and the EU. Not clear at this stage whether she can be defused.
    But this is how 2016 was always likely to end... perhaps how it has to end. As long as Brexit is a disappointment, and as long as there is a purer, stronger, more alpha Brexit to be tried, there will be political mileage in pressing the "blow everything up" button. If Truss can be hauled back, there will be others to take her place.

    Obviously, it will be better all round not to press that button, but the point of easy return was passed a long time ago.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,658
    GIN1138 said:

    MikeL said:

    What on earth were Rishi and Williamson doing?

    They could easily have put Penny in the Final.

    Total insanity.

    They think they have a better chance of beating Liz than Penny with the membership. It will turn out to be a catastrophic mistake...
    Indeed, had Sunak lent just 10 MPs to Mordaunt it would have been Sunak 127, Mordaunt 115 and Truss 113
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,509

    Get in!

    Great result from the MPs. Absolutely perfect. Delighted! 🤑

    How much of the £5k are you going to lay off?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,632

    TGOHF22 said:

    As a Labour party member I am rooting for Liz Truss with everything I have. As a UK citizen with kids and a grandchild, the thought of her in charge scares the life out of me.

    Why ? She wont do anything other than tinker in the 20 months left before she has to call a GE..

    T May without the dance moves.

    Trade war with the EU, for starters. Tax cuts funded by borrowing, for seconds. Someone always desperately seeking to prove they are the most right wing person in the room is fine if they are not Prime Minister. When they are it becomes a major concern.
    Why do you expect the EU to initiate a trade war and what do you think it will mean in practice?

    I expect them to do it after Truss forces the NIP legislation through Parliament and then breaks international law by implementing it. In practice, it will make an already sub-optimal trading relationship with our biggest export market even worse.

  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,384
    So "the most sophisticated electorate in the world" has decided the problem was Boris and only Boris?
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,239
    edited July 2022
    Scott_xP said:

    The Conservative party is the natural party of government.

    Discuss.

    Well, their record since Disraeli shows they are... but periodically they send themselves off into the wilderness, preferring to choose ideological purity over governing. Interestingly it tends to happen after long periods in government...

    Particularly notable the 1905-1915 peiod (after Sailisbury's long run in office) and of course 1997 to 2005 (after Thatcher)

    Clearly it's happening again and they'll be in Opposition after the next election. Then we'll see what happens.
  • HYUFD said:

    I will now be voting for Sunak as the most electable of the last 2, though I fear the membership will vote for Truss

    As almost always on most things Tory, I'm glad to be on the other wing of the party to you. 😉

    But I don't have a vote, and I want your wing to win rather than mine just so I can get my £5k payday and eternal humility rights. 😇
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,027
    So Liz has promised to “hit the ground from day one”

    Does she think it’ll be that bad for her?
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,807
    edited July 2022

    https://twitter.com/jessicaelgot/status/1549773199977627650

    A question to my Tory friends: does it feel like Tory Corbyn is on the way

    I will say many things about Liz Truss and I will not vote for a Tory Party led by her.

    But she is not Tory Corbyn.

    She is just a bad candidate whose policies aren’t going to appeal to the country and has zero charisma. She is no way near as… problematic… as Corbyn was in many areas.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994
    Andy_JS said:

    HYUFD said:

    I will now be voting for Sunak as the most electable of the last 2, though I fear the membership will vote for Truss

    160,000 voters, the majority must back Rishi, he is not just electable, he is economically literate whilst Truss is six levels or more of rubbish.

    The membership can’t get this wrong HY, it’s like a simple choice between sane and insane. Its stark.

    They can’t get it wrong.
    I think it'll be fairly close but Truss will edge it. Something like 55/45.
    Thatd be the closest tory leader voter yet. Presumably Sunak hascaxplan besides pointing out youthful lib demism.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,496

    TGOHF22 said:

    As a Labour party member I am rooting for Liz Truss with everything I have. As a UK citizen with kids and a grandchild, the thought of her in charge scares the life out of me.

    Why ? She wont do anything other than tinker in the 20 months left before she has to call a GE..

    T May without the dance moves.

    Trade war with the EU, for starters. Tax cuts funded by borrowing, for seconds. Someone always desperately seeking to prove they are the most right wing person in the room is fine if they are not Prime Minister. When they are it becomes a major concern.
    Why do you expect the EU to initiate a trade war and what do you think it will mean in practice?

    I expect them to do it after Truss forces the NIP legislation through Parliament and then breaks international law by implementing it. In practice, it will make an already sub-optimal trading relationship with our biggest export market even worse.
    What specifically do you expect them to do?
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