LATEST **MP loyal to Penny Mordaunt concedes** The MP tells me "Liz has pushed us out" blaming criticism over her record in the Tory Press. He says: "[It] looks like a Rishi v Liz summer contest. The only winner from that will be our Opponents. Both will be damaged." #ToryLeader https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1549762704558153734
Yep, that's now in the betting. Mordaunt out if true. And out by a margin.
Our Predictions Contest is thus fatally compromised and OFF.
LATEST **MP loyal to Penny Mordaunt concedes** The MP tells me "Liz has pushed us out" blaming criticism over her record in the Tory Press. He says: "[It] looks like a Rishi v Liz summer contest. The only winner from that will be our Opponents. Both will be damaged." #ToryLeader https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1549762704558153734
Lavrov gives the biggest official signal yet that Russia is planning to annex southern Ukraine.
"Now the geography has changed. It's not just Donetsk and Luhansk, it's Kherson, Zaporizhia, and several other territories. And this is an ongoing process, consistent and insistent." https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1549711941299470336
This is hardly a surprise, given their intent is the whole of Ukraine, sooner, or later.
He looks like he's aged quite a lot since the beginning of the war.
We must be due Russia offer of a ceasefire and talks soon then.
LATEST **MP loyal to Penny Mordaunt concedes** The MP tells me "Liz has pushed us out" blaming criticism over her record in the Tory Press. He says: "[It] looks like a Rishi v Liz summer contest. The only winner from that will be our Opponents. Both will be damaged." #ToryLeader https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1549762704558153734
Please, no! But if that comes to pass Penny only has herself to blame. It was hers for the taking this time last week.
Poorly prepared for the shitstorm the Mail was going to throw at her.
Poorly organised considering she's been planning this for quite some while.
Too whiny about being targeted. Needed to be on the attack about Brexit Johnny-come-lately's.
All in all, a very disappointing campaign.
Now to get behind Sunak against Truss - and make her case for a senior post with PM Sunak.
LATEST **MP loyal to Penny Mordaunt concedes** The MP tells me "Liz has pushed us out" blaming criticism over her record in the Tory Press. He says: "[It] looks like a Rishi v Liz summer contest. The only winner from that will be our Opponents. Both will be damaged." #ToryLeader https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1549762704558153734
Please, no! But if that comes to pass Penny only has herself to blame. It was hers for the taking this time last week.
I sort of agree. There was such excitement and hope for a fresh change under her that it was a great opportunity, there were attacks, but you aren’t supposed to dwell on bitchiness of the Mail as much as that, she didn’t fill the half empty jug of hope with enough substance, policy stances, or strong debate performances.
But it’s not the end, she can come back stronger. She needs time in higher office.
What is so very different about this leadership contest compared to previous ones is that there is no possibility of anyone volunteering to drop out and have their opponent crowned. None. They're going to be bitterly fighting long after a "winner" is declared.
I don't think you're going to see a sore loser like Hunt turning his nose down at Defence again this time.
It will be bitter until the votes are cast, but I think both Truss and Rishi can work together whoever wins.
See the way they were able to co-operate to pull the plug on the Sky debate in order to stop attacking each other.
"A question for Liz, what do you regret most, voting remain or being a Liberal Democrat?"
Work together? Ha!
Dunno - Kamila H virtually accused Biden of driving the school "busing" bus himself during one debate and yet she is now his Veep.
A ridiculous allegation. Who on earth would give him such a responsible position?
Lavrov gives the biggest official signal yet that Russia is planning to annex southern Ukraine.
"Now the geography has changed. It's not just Donetsk and Luhansk, it's Kherson, Zaporizhia, and several other territories. And this is an ongoing process, consistent and insistent." https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1549711941299470336
This is hardly a surprise, given their intent is the whole of Ukraine, sooner, or later.
He looks like he's aged quite a lot since the beginning of the war.
Lying all day long can do that. And then there's the expecting to be poisoned any minute if one of your lies isn't big enough for the Boss.
LATEST **MP loyal to Penny Mordaunt concedes** The MP tells me "Liz has pushed us out" blaming criticism over her record in the Tory Press. He says: "[It] looks like a Rishi v Liz summer contest. The only winner from that will be our Opponents. Both will be damaged." #ToryLeader https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1549762704558153734
Please, no! But if that comes to pass Penny only has herself to blame. It was hers for the taking this time last week.
I sort of agree. There was such excitement and hope for a fresh change under her that it was a great opportunity, there were attacks, but you aren’t supposed to dwell on bitchiness of the Mail as much as that, she didn’t fill the half empty jug of hope with enough substance, policy stances, or strong debate performances.
But it’s not the end, she can come back stronger. She needs time in higher office.
And to learn to pay attention. And to think about what she actually wants rather some middle ground. And to do the work. Above all, do the work. Her performance in her next post must be exemplary.
I wonder what percentage of those Tory MPs who caused Johnson to resign didn't want Truss as leader?
Boris had to go, what was to come next couldn't be determined - but fundamentally you can't have someone that dishonest in charge of the country no matter how much he might amuse people.
LATEST **MP loyal to Penny Mordaunt concedes** The MP tells me "Liz has pushed us out" blaming criticism over her record in the Tory Press. He says: "[It] looks like a Rishi v Liz summer contest. The only winner from that will be our Opponents. Both will be damaged." #ToryLeader https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1549762704558153734
Please, no! But if that comes to pass Penny only has herself to blame. It was hers for the taking this time last week.
Looks like my £300 win on PM is drifting away from me...
Ok, look, so I'll still compute and award a trophy - but the winner will have to swear they didn't already have the scoop and see Mordaunt sliding out to 50/1.
Just signed in to LBC to get the result on the office computer. Jim Diamond? Didn't he sing "Hi Ho Silver" or am I wrong and "I should have known better"?
An interesting result would be if Truss comes ahead of Sunak. Unlikely.
The best result would be if MPs have been trolling Gavin Williamson and they all dump Sunak at this stage. So we have a proper contest for the members with two candidates with an equal chance of winning the argument.
LATEST **MP loyal to Penny Mordaunt concedes** The MP tells me "Liz has pushed us out" blaming criticism over her record in the Tory Press. He says: "[It] looks like a Rishi v Liz summer contest. The only winner from that will be our Opponents. Both will be damaged." #ToryLeader https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1549762704558153734
Please, no! But if that comes to pass Penny only has herself to blame. It was hers for the taking this time last week.
Looks like my £300 win on PM is drifting away from me...
Labour would gain more seats than in 1997, meaning Starmer is the biggest seat winner for Labour since Wilson - if it happened
Presumably you could add a good few of the Green votes to Labour, too. That would see the Tories pretty much wiped out. It's a lovely thought but I don't think it's likely to happen.
LATEST **MP loyal to Penny Mordaunt concedes** The MP tells me "Liz has pushed us out" blaming criticism over her record in the Tory Press. He says: "[It] looks like a Rishi v Liz summer contest. The only winner from that will be our Opponents. Both will be damaged." #ToryLeader https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1549762704558153734
Please, no! But if that comes to pass Penny only has herself to blame. It was hers for the taking this time last week.
Looks like my £300 win on PM is drifting away from me...
It's sunk.
PM out at 50 now.
It's gonna be one hell of shock if she does take second now.
Just signed in to LBC to get the result on the office computer. Jim Diamond? Didn't he sing "Hi Ho Silver" or am I wrong and "I should have known better"?
LATEST **MP loyal to Penny Mordaunt concedes** The MP tells me "Liz has pushed us out" blaming criticism over her record in the Tory Press. He says: "[It] looks like a Rishi v Liz summer contest. The only winner from that will be our Opponents. Both will be damaged." #ToryLeader https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1549762704558153734
Please, no! But if that comes to pass Penny only has herself to blame. It was hers for the taking this time last week.
Poorly prepared for the shitstorm the Mail was going to throw at her.
Poorly organised considering she's been planning this for quite some while.
Too whiny about being targeted. Needed to be on the attack about Brexit Johnny-come-lately's.
All in all, a very disappointing campaign.
Now to get behind Sunak against Truss - and make her case for a senior post with PM Sunak.
...not so fast! Beth Rigby says it is "knife-edge"!
Ok, look, so I'll still compute and award a trophy - but the winner will have to swear they didn't already have the scoop and see Mordaunt sliding out to 50/1.
I very much doubt if any PBers have seen the count tbh.
Liz Truss looks set to have won the Conservative leadership campaign.
One MP on the Sunak team tells me the votes from Kemi Badenoch have “transferred wholesale” to Truss’s campaign. If so, suddenly Rishi Sunak is no longer the favourite going into the members’ voting.
Liz Truss looks set to have won the Conservative leadership campaign.
One MP on the Sunak team tells me the votes from Kemi Badenoch have “transferred wholesale” to Truss’s campaign. If so, suddenly Rishi Sunak is no longer the favourite going into the members’ voting.
Errr
Oh god... Bring back Boris, its all been a terrible mistake.
Liz Truss looks set to have won the Conservative leadership campaign.
One MP on the Sunak team tells me the votes from Kemi Badenoch have “transferred wholesale” to Truss’s campaign. If so, suddenly Rishi Sunak is no longer the favourite going into the members’ voting.
Errr
If true - PORWAS.
Completely nukes his “favourite with the MPs” campaign.
Liz Truss looks set to have won the Conservative leadership campaign.
One MP on the Sunak team tells me the votes from Kemi Badenoch have “transferred wholesale” to Truss’s campaign. If so, suddenly Rishi Sunak is no longer the favourite going into the members’ voting.
Errr
Oh god... Bring back Boris, its all been a terrible mistake.
B&M Thatcher getting through shows all the campaigning, 27 rounds of voting by MPs, was a total waste of time. Late start and totally rubbish throughout.
Starmer interviewed about Johnson, paying a fulsome tribute.
"He is a complete bullshitter, and I think he’s been found out ... In the local elections there was a general realisation that this guy bullshits, if he’s bullshitting about that [Partygate], he’s probably bullshitting about everything."
Starmer interviewed about Johnson, paying a fulsome tribute.
"He is a complete bullshitter, and I think he’s been found out ... In the local elections there was a general realisation that this guy bullshits, if he’s bullshitting about that [Partygate], he’s probably bullshitting about everything."
I believe him. The only 'evidence' people seem to have is supposedly suspicious outcomes post Tugendhat, but Penny had been struggling, it isnt that surprising.
Liz Truss looks set to have won the Conservative leadership campaign.
One MP on the Sunak team tells me the votes from Kemi Badenoch have “transferred wholesale” to Truss’s campaign.
If so, suddenly Rishi Sunak is no longer the favourite going into the members’ voting.
God help us all
If true that is hilarious!
Then again, think about it. Trusster is the tired and petulant continuity Boris candidate with a crew of idiots and misfits backing her. Leaving Sunak as the insurgent, trying to bring proper Tory economic common sense back vs Liz the LibDem.
Comments
Our Predictions Contest is thus fatally compromised and OFF.
Betfair next prime minister
1.72 Liz Truss 58%
2.64 Rishi Sunak 38%
13 Penny Mordaunt 8%
300 Dominic Raab
340 Keir Starmer
Next Conservative leader
1.67 Liz Truss 60%
2.6 Rishi Sunak 38%
16.5 Penny Mordaunt 6%
To be in final two
no offers Rishi Sunak
1.06 Liz Truss
10 Penny Mordaunt
Poorly organised considering she's been planning this for quite some while.
Too whiny about being targeted. Needed to be on the attack about Brexit Johnny-come-lately's.
All in all, a very disappointing campaign.
Now to get behind Sunak against Truss - and make her case for a senior post with PM Sunak.
https://twitter.com/singharj/status/1549754135783915526
That's a yes, then ?
But it’s not the end, she can come back stronger. She needs time in higher office.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.160663234
M 102
T 116
Will they lose the election like Corbyn 17? Or Corbyn 19? Or Major 97? Or Campbell 93?
Ok, look, so I'll still compute and award a trophy - but the winner will have to swear they didn't already have the scoop and see Mordaunt sliding out to 50/1.
Mordaunt - 120
Truss - 115
Labour would gain more seats than in 1997, meaning Starmer is the biggest seat winner for Labour since Wilson - if it happened
@BethRigby
·
6m
Another Mordaunt backer texts: “knife edge”
Er... did anyone think for more than 15 seconds about this?
Five white blokes, and one ethnic minority woman.
The woman is pouring tea for the blokes.
That's not a good look, folks?
It's gonna be one hell of shock if she does take second now.
Interesting, no, not really.
Unless Truss is a long way behind Sunak she will win the members vote by a mile anyway, so the interest will be negligible.
https://twitter.com/adampayne26/status/1549766516660387841
And what she's for.
Chortle.
"Give me a knighthood or I spill the full story" is another regular answer.
I don't think a Truss ministry is going to be a happy one.
Lightweight Lizzy has a sexy belt like stripper wear.
Rishi seems to have 9” platform shoes on.
Liz Truss looks set to have won the Conservative leadership campaign.
One MP on the Sunak team tells me the votes from Kemi Badenoch have “transferred wholesale” to Truss’s campaign.
If so, suddenly Rishi Sunak is no longer the favourite going into the members’ voting.
Errr
Slick and superficial v desperate and unhinged.
The Times v The Mail, Express, Sun and Telegraph.
The pair of them hollering about statues and tax cuts as the cost of living crisis bites hard.
Then either full-scale Tory civil war if Sunak wins or a trade war with the EU if Truss does.
Liz Truss looks set to have won the Conservative leadership campaign.
One MP on the Sunak team tells me the votes from Kemi Badenoch have “transferred wholesale” to Truss’s campaign.
If so, suddenly Rishi Sunak is no longer the favourite going into the members’ voting.
God help us all
S - 138
T - 113
M- 106
(I may just have time to edit this to give the right result at 4.01)
Completely nukes his “favourite with the MPs” campaign.
Underwhelming.
This is not a party that anyone vaguely of the centre could dream of voting for. What a shame.
In fairness, the members appear to have listened.
What's a pussybow?
"He is a complete bullshitter, and I think he’s been found out ... In the local elections there was a general realisation that this guy bullshits, if he’s bullshitting about that [Partygate], he’s probably bullshitting about everything."
S - 128
T - 125
M- 104
Then again, think about it. Trusster is the tired and petulant continuity Boris candidate with a crew of idiots and misfits backing her. Leaving Sunak as the insurgent, trying to bring proper Tory economic common sense back vs Liz the LibDem.
Truss 135
Sunak 120
Mordaunt 105
Lol go Keir!
I told you all exclusively weeks ago that Campbell was back in the frame.
Rish! 137
Trussticles 113
Truss 113
Mordaunt 105
357 votes cast.
2 spoilt papers.
Mordaunt 105
Sunak 137
Truss 113
Mordaunt out. Sunak and Truss through to the membership vote
RISHI SUNAK OR LIZ TRUSS WILL BE THE NEXT PM
Tory leadership results:
Rishi Sunak - 137
Liz Truss - 113
Penny Mordaunt - 105
An explosive Summer lies ahead of us
GOD HELP US ALL