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How will the Tory betting look after tonight’s TV debate? – politicalbetting.com

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  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,039
    EXCELLENT final statement from Penny. She's still in the game

    She should really go on her ordinariness in the next debate:

    "I am not public school. I am not Oxford or Cambridge. I am not an ex banker. I am like YOU" - go for it, Penny
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    ydoethur said:

    OnboardG1 said:

    This morning: "There will be no blue on blue violence"
    This afternoon: Shades of Gettysburg about the place. I'll let you decide who is Meade and who is Lee.

    I think the real question is who is Reynolds and who is Armistead.
    As one who has no less than THREE forebearers who fought for the Union on that fabled battlefield (plus one ancestral in-law on the other side) I protest MOST vociferously, this foul insult to the memory of the distinguished generals.

    Much more apt comparison would be with the Missouri skirmish at start of Civil War, that Mark Twain chronicled as his first - and last - battle. Ill-advised, ludicrous, tragic. And sent Twain skidaddling westward!
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,696
    OnboardG1 said:

    MaxPB said:

    What?
    image

    That's a completely idiotic soundbite. One of the innovations is X-ray Tomography which is the basis of CT scanning. It's demonstrably false.
    Nuclear Magnetic Resonance, Coherent Light Emission, transistors...
    NMR is at least an American innovation, so not in that list of 180. Though as CHB points out, the NHS uses the web and it's absolutely number one on the list.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,039
    Truss is appalling, OMG I am actually feeling sympathy
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589
    ydoethur said:

    Starmer is probably chuckling into his Doritos.

    His korma, please!
    The absolute banter Twitter post would be a picture of him eating a Korma watching the debate with the caption "This curry is spicier than these takes".
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994
    So, this type of performance if repeated should presumably shore up Rishi's backers if they were wavering. If he's lucky some normal public liked him and that is something he can use to build on with members.

    Truss just isn't very good at selling herself, that is clear. But is the ERG backing enough to go past Mordaunt regardless?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    Clear Rishi victory.

    But, two more debates to go…
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,243
    edited July 2022
    My scores on the doors

    Tom - 7 (Pleasantly surprised)
    Kemi - 7 (I knew she's be good and didn't disappoint)
    Penny - 6 (Wobbled early on but got better)
    Rishi - 4 (The do nothing, tax dodging Prime Minister with millions in the bank)
    Liz - 1 (Absolutely woeful)
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,039
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    I find it extremely hard to believe Kemi Badenoch, a Nigerian posho, can't afford £300 to get a chipped tooth fixed, privately

    That last comma really bothers me.

    Would you mind if I edited your comment to remove it?
    Yes, I would
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,321

    ydoethur said:

    OnboardG1 said:

    This morning: "There will be no blue on blue violence"
    This afternoon: Shades of Gettysburg about the place. I'll let you decide who is Meade and who is Lee.

    I think the real question is who is Reynolds and who is Armistead.
    As one who has no less than THREE forebearers who fought for the Union on that fabled battlefield (plus one ancestral in-law on the other side) I protest MOST vociferously, this foul insult to the memory of the distinguished generals.

    Much more apt comparison would be with the Missouri skirmish at start of Civil War, that Mark Twain chronicled as his first - and last - battle. Ill-advised, ludicrous, tragic. And sent Twain skidaddling westward!
    Well, they were both killed. One setting up the battle, and one in a futile attempt to win it.

    And Armistead was a confederate.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,273
    Mostly vacuous nonsense in the closing speeches .

    Overall Sunak looks competent and wouldn’t scare people too much . Penny , great hair but really not a great hour and half for her . TT was just too sincere and I thought was going to burst into tears at times . Kemi did okay but I think is one for the future , Truss looked weird and was poor especially her drivel on taxes .
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,320
    Leon said:

    Penny ending better

    I suspect Kemi has Covid, with all that coughing, BTW

    She'll still win, but she was very poor.

    Starmer will have dodged a bullet when Sunak loses.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,813
    Leon said:

    Truss is appalling, OMG I am actually feeling sympathy

    Her campaign from the start has been a disaster...anybody would think she only got up on Monday and suddenly thought yeah why not lets give this leadership race a go.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,701
    edited July 2022
    It will be so interesting to see what Truss supporting MPs do on Monday.

    I fear they will just keep their heads down and plough on.
  • What do we want?

    Liz for Leader

    When do we want it?

    Never
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,446
    If it was for LOTO facing some years in opposition, Badenoch or Penny would walk this, like the new David Cameron. Problem is, the flawed ones are experienced, the less flawed ones inexperienced. Chuck them straight in as PM into this world crisis? The outgoing PM has to share some of the blame for this, for his cabinet of lightweight cheerleaders, he had no mind at all to nurture and build talent.
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589
    MaxPB said:

    OnboardG1 said:

    MaxPB said:

    What?
    image

    That's a completely idiotic soundbite. One of the innovations is X-ray Tomography which is the basis of CT scanning. It's demonstrably false.
    Nuclear Magnetic Resonance, Coherent Light Emission, transistors...
    NMR is at least an American innovation, so not in that list of 180. Though as CHB points out, the NHS uses the web and it's absolutely number one on the list.
    Ah, I assumed it was "general humanity" innovations rather than specific British ones.
  • I think we can all agree that Penny is no longer the candidate "Labour fears the most"
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    OnboardG1 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Starmer is probably chuckling into his Doritos.

    His korma, please!
    The absolute banter Twitter post would be a picture of him eating a Korma watching the debate with the caption "This curry is spicier than these takes".
    Yeah

    Only fly in the ointment is he just scraped 5th= with truss this evening and would have been a clear 6th if he had actually been there
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994
    edited July 2022
    No one should have a bad final statement. It's the one thing you can 100% prepare for. If you cock that up you should quit the race.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,386
    The Tory Labour most fears after that?
    Boris Johnson without a shadow of a doubt.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,734
    Truss was hopeless. She needs help.

    The others were a mix. Badenoch didn't do enough, Tugendhat was really good, but too eerily similey.

    Mordaunt slightly better than Sunak.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,806
    I'm watching on C4 +1. Seems pretty bland so far.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208
    edited July 2022
    Leon said:

    EXCELLENT final statement from Penny. She's still in the game

    She should really go on her ordinariness in the next debate:

    "I am not public school. I am not Oxford or Cambridge. I am not an ex banker. I am like YOU" - go for it, Penny

    I thought all the final statements dire, but Sunak wins the debate because he was the only one to give a serious answer to the question about fuel bills, which is what people reasonably expect their government to have an answer to.

    And I say that knowing Sunak completely screwed up the Budget earlier this year.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,723
    IshmaelZ said:

    What?
    image

    She's quite right. When did you last see a Watt governor on an NHS ward?
    OTOH the underlying principle of cybernetic feedback is absolutely fundamental to many a bit of NHS kit. As are, for instance, the basic principles of electromagnetism, the atomic theory of chenistry, and the concept of the genetic message encapsulated in the DNA sequence. Not to mention the notion of the wotsit electronic thingy spread over the C6H5- hexagon, the germ theorh of disease, the development of modern ventilation and sanitation, and so on and so forth.

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,813
    edited July 2022
    Worth remembering Boris was absolutely awful at debates....and interviews....and well being PM. But quite good as a spokesman for Peppa Pig World.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,498
    I think Mordaunt's problem is that she isn't political enough. She's treating it like a job interview and making herself completely bland.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,682
    ydoethur said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Strong ed miliband energy from rishi. Hell yes

    Ed Miliband won his leadership election...
    Against David Miliband who was far more Rishi like
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,487
    Wasn't watching but hoping that Badenoch did well.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,039
    But which one would you have sexual relations with?

    For me it's got to be Penny, and I'd accept a blow job from Sunak mainly because he could do it immediately and wouldn't even have to kneel

    *sorry, Mike*
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,753
    MaxPB said:

    OnboardG1 said:

    MaxPB said:

    What?
    image

    That's a completely idiotic soundbite. One of the innovations is X-ray Tomography which is the basis of CT scanning. It's demonstrably false.
    Nuclear Magnetic Resonance, Coherent Light Emission, transistors...
    NMR is at least an American innovation, so not in that list of 180. Though as CHB points out, the NHS uses the web and it's absolutely number one on the list.
    NMR in medicine is called MRI so as not to frighten the patients and is British: Peter Mansfield, Nottingham. Admittedly the Americans were a close second.
  • TomsToms Posts: 2,478
    About Kemi's tooth:

    It's a FEATURE like a flying buttress, gargoyle, or topiary hedge.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,723
    MaxPB said:

    OnboardG1 said:

    MaxPB said:

    What?
    image

    That's a completely idiotic soundbite. One of the innovations is X-ray Tomography which is the basis of CT scanning. It's demonstrably false.
    Nuclear Magnetic Resonance, Coherent Light Emission, transistors...
    NMR is at least an American innovation, so not in that list of 180. Though as CHB points out, the NHS uses the web and it's absolutely number one on the list.
    Eh?? Georg Radda waves a very firm hand.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Radda
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,705

    Worth remembering Boris was absolutely awful at debates....and interviews....and well being PM. But quite good as a spokesman for Peppa Pig World.

    Oh, come on, you can't forget how tip top ace he was at brushing his hair.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,191
    IshmaelZ said:

    OnboardG1 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Starmer is probably chuckling into his Doritos.

    His korma, please!
    The absolute banter Twitter post would be a picture of him eating a Korma watching the debate with the caption "This curry is spicier than these takes".
    Yeah

    Only fly in the ointment is he just scraped 5th= with truss this evening and would have been a clear 6th if he had actually been there
    True, but think back to Spring 2020. At that point, Starmer's hopes of being PM needed three things to happen;

    Johnson had to implode
    Johnson's replacement had to be deeply mediocre
    The country in general, and the real economy in particular, had to melt like cheap icecream.

    None of them really has much to do with him, but job being done.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,487
    GIN1138 said:

    My scores on the doors

    Tom - 7 (Pleasantly surprised)
    Kemi - 7 (I knew she's be good and didn't disappoint)
    Penny - 6 (Wobbled early on but got better)
    Rishi - 4 (The do nothing, tax dodging Prime Minister with millions in the bank)
    Liz - 1 (Absolutely woeful)

    We said yesterday that Liz is an useless public speaker.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,638

    I think we can all agree that Penny is no longer the candidate "Labour fears the most"

    Sunak is the only one with even a scintilla of gravitas and credibility - and if he wins there’ll be permanent ERG revolt. If the Tories were insane enough to pick Truss, Labour would win a very healthy majority in 2024. They can’t be, can they?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,610
    Leon said:

    Truss is appalling, OMG I am actually feeling sympathy

    It is almost sad to watch as a person's dream collapses in the space of 90 mins.

    She was appallingly crap.

    It's done.

    Lay and lay again unless the Sunday papers have a July surprise.

  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,705
    edited July 2022
    Leon said:

    But which one would you have sexual relations with?

    For me it's got to be Penny, and I'd accept a blow job from Sunak mainly because he could do it immediately and wouldn't even have to kneel

    *sorry, Mike*

    That must be a question for the ITV2 post Love Island debate, surely.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    What?
    image

    She's quite right. When did you last see a Watt governor on an NHS ward?
    OTOH the underlying principle of cybernetic feedback is absolutely fundamental to many a bit of NHS kit. As are, for instance, the basic principles of electromagnetism, the atomic theory of chenistry, and the concept of the genetic message encapsulated in the DNA sequence. Not to mention the notion of the wotsit electronic thingy spread over the C6H5- hexagon, the germ theorh of disease, the development of modern ventilation and sanitation, and so on and so forth.

    Quite so. I genuinely haven't the faintest idea what point she is trying to make there. Not been a good day for her.
  • dodradedodrade Posts: 597
    edited July 2022
    MaxPB said:

    What?
    image

    That's a completely idiotic soundbite. One of the innovations is X-ray Tomography which is the basis of CT scanning. It's demonstrably false.
    Frank Pantridge of Queen's University Belfast invented the portable defibrillator.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,753

    I think Mordaunt's problem is that she isn't political enough. She's treating it like a job interview and making herself completely bland.

    Penny was a bit too discursive and often avoided the actual question. She might do better in a long interview. Do we know what formats will be used for the next debates?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,282

    None of the final statements are very good. Sunak’s poorest moment. Mordaunt and Truss somewhat better than their debate performances. Does this matter? Is it about getting a good 15 second clip for the news shows and social media?

    It's important not to overreact to the debate.

    The only clear conclusion I can draw from it is that it highlighted and reinforced all previous concerns of the candidates, but with Truss being particularly bad.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    Leon said:

    People writing off Penny too quickly

    There are three of these debates. This is merely the first

    Truss is toast but beyond that.... who knows. Rishi's polish shows here, he is is Winchester and Megabank and ex-COTE

    But.... Which one will beat Starmer?

    It is Mordaunt v Sunak, I reckon, and the Tory members will decide, not us

    The Penny problem is that rather uniquely she has been called out on the stand for lying. And its on the dog whistle non-issue of chicks with dicks. She can try and talk around it, but they will keep coming back for it.
    Is it unique? Leon has just said Kemi's tooth story is "a clear lie".
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,886
    Leon said:

    Truss is appalling, OMG I am actually feeling sympathy

    HY thinks she is the only true Tory candidate and it doesn't matter if you hate her and the Tories lose because only True Tories get a vote.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,934
    Sunak seemed reasonably serious and on top of his brief, but unexciting. Truss is awful. The rest just seemed poor.

    My wife’s comment on Kemi: she sounded like she was in an interview for school prefect.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,020

    Leon said:

    But which one would you have sexual relations with?

    For me it's got to be Penny, and I'd accept a blow job from Sunak mainly because he could do it immediately and wouldn't even have to kneel

    *sorry, Mike*

    That must be a question for the ITV2 post Love Island debate, surely.
    Aha.

    Our lonely wanderer has got onto the "would? would not?" multiple choice question.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,886
    GIN1138 said:

    My scores on the doors

    Tom - 7 (Pleasantly surprised)
    Kemi - 7 (I knew she's be good and didn't disappoint)
    Penny - 6 (Wobbled early on but got better)
    Rishi - 4 (The do nothing, tax dodging Prime Minister with millions in the bank)
    Liz - 1 (Absolutely woeful)

    Surely you meant Liz -1
  • TresTres Posts: 2,691
    MaxPB said:

    Instead of flouncing George Osborne should have played the long game, he'd be running rings around all of them and he'd probably give Kemi No. 11, he shouldn't have taken being sacked by May so personally.

    posh tory boy has inability to handle adversity shock
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sunak is like Blair.

    But with all his faults, Blair was a much better PM than any recent offering - and I say that as somebody who unusually always despised and distrusted him.

    Blair actually had vision.

    Can someone please tell me what Rishi’s vision is?

    I wonder what he makes of this graph.

    Blair had vision? What was it? I remember an enormous number of cliches - 'Britain forward not back, education, education, education, tough on crime tough on the causes of crime' - but I couldn't tell you what they meant.

    Just as Thatcher's 'vision' was very often her making stuff up as she needed to, with varying degrees of success.

    What they both were - for good or for ill - was decisive, and they had a willingness to listen to others if they knew their stuff and decide accordingly.

    Does Sunak have that? If I'm honest I don't know. But what I can say is that apart possibly from Tugendhat and even more tenuously Badenoch the others are showing they don't have it.
    That’s nonsense.
    There was a clear Blairism “Giddens/third way-ism/reducing child poverty/education reform/devolution” etc, just as there was clear Thatcherism “Hayek/monetarism/privatisation/labour deregulation/home owning democracy”
    Devolution? Nonsense. Devolution was never part of Blairism. He inherited it, very reluctantly, from John Smith et al.

    Blair would have sunk it if he could. He certainly tried.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,273
    My scores Sunak 8, Penny 5 , Kemi 6 , TT 5 , Truss 3 .
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994
    Alistair Campbell take - ignoring the typical ending Labour boosting, fair assessment

    RishiSunak edged it in terms of getting over the message he wanted to land. TomTugendhat had the best moments and best closing speech. KemiBadenoch out of her depth PennyMordaunt playing it safe but all too vague. trussliz unimaginable as PM. Good night for Keir_Starmer

    https://twitter.com/campbellclaret/status/1548034252578557954?cxt=HHwWhMCo0e283PsqAAAA
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,321
    edited July 2022

    Leon said:

    People writing off Penny too quickly

    There are three of these debates. This is merely the first

    Truss is toast but beyond that.... who knows. Rishi's polish shows here, he is is Winchester and Megabank and ex-COTE

    But.... Which one will beat Starmer?

    It is Mordaunt v Sunak, I reckon, and the Tory members will decide, not us

    The Penny problem is that rather uniquely she has been called out on the stand for lying. And its on the dog whistle non-issue of chicks with dicks. She can try and talk around it, but they will keep coming back for it.
    Is it unique? Leon has just said Kemi's tooth story is "a clear lie".
    We've called Badenoch out on this board.

    Badenoch accused Mordaunt of lying *in the debate*
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,282

    I think we can all agree that Penny is no longer the candidate "Labour fears the most"

    Yes, because she's the won Labour will be facing.

    Whoever Labour "fears the most" is never, surprisingly, the one they're facing and it always changes to someone else if it is.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,886
    Leon said:

    But which one would you have sexual relations with?

    For me it's got to be Penny, and I'd accept a blow job from Sunak mainly because he could do it immediately and wouldn't even have to kneel

    *sorry, Mike*

    Rishi is a sexy bastard.
  • JACK_WJACK_W Posts: 682
    Most Notable Post Debate Point :

    Who Gains Most From The Truss Debacle To Move To The Final Two?

    Funny Old World ... :smile:

  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    IanB2 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Kemi knocks it out of the park dress sense wise

    You are supposed to unmute before it starts
    That's bloody rude, I never shared my thought last night in response to your photo of your shit distribution facility, that the dog agility and shotgun skeet disciplines could usefully be combined.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,723

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sunak is like Blair.

    But with all his faults, Blair was a much better PM than any recent offering - and I say that as somebody who unusually always despised and distrusted him.

    Blair actually had vision.

    Can someone please tell me what Rishi’s vision is?

    I wonder what he makes of this graph.

    Blair had vision? What was it? I remember an enormous number of cliches - 'Britain forward not back, education, education, education, tough on crime tough on the causes of crime' - but I couldn't tell you what they meant.

    Just as Thatcher's 'vision' was very often her making stuff up as she needed to, with varying degrees of success.

    What they both were - for good or for ill - was decisive, and they had a willingness to listen to others if they knew their stuff and decide accordingly.

    Does Sunak have that? If I'm honest I don't know. But what I can say is that apart possibly from Tugendhat and even more tenuously Badenoch the others are showing they don't have it.
    That’s nonsense.
    There was a clear Blairism “Giddens/third way-ism/reducing child poverty/education reform/devolution” etc, just as there was clear Thatcherism “Hayek/monetarism/privatisation/labour deregulation/home owning democracy”
    Devolution? Nonsense. Devolution was never part of Blairism. He inherited it, very reluctantly, from John Smith et al.

    Blair would have sunk it if he could. He certainly tried.
    Especially with that malicious second taxation question in the 1997 referendum. He ust have pissed himself when he lost that.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,039

    I think we can all agree that Penny is no longer the candidate "Labour fears the most"

    I am trying to be neutral - honestly - and I am not so sure. Mordaunt gained over the hour. She is new to this. Sunak was predictably smooth but no more, he has been COTE and he's Winchester/Oxford, he has the confidence and glisten, but that's it. Any ideas? Nope

    Badenoch faded after a great start. She needs a lot of time to mature - she needs a big job in Cabinet. She's got a lot of potential. Truss was a calamity and Tugendhat was an irrelevant soldier talking about Tobruk, or whatever it was

    I would still be wary of Mordaunt, if I were Labour. She's the one who could maintain much of the Red Wall and hold the Blue Wall. She is learning on the game. Also, she is withstanding intense nasty pressure from her opponents, but she still looks dignified

    I'm still Team Penny (as much as I care)
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,955
    🚨BREAKING - SNAP DEBATE POLL🚨

    Tonight we asked over 1000 normal voters to watch the debate and we have just asked them who they thought performed best.

    Results:
    Tugendhat 36%
    Sunak 25%
    Mordaunt 12%
    Badenoch 12%
    Truss 6% https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1548037032248717318/photo/1
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 10,968
    MaxPB said:

    What?
    image

    That's a completely idiotic soundbite. One of the innovations is X-ray Tomography which is the basis of CT scanning. It's demonstrably false.
    Depends entirely how you define the 180 innovations. It’s certainly the case that the NHS and other healthcare systems are poor at adopting innovation.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,705
    TimS said:

    Sunak seemed reasonably serious and on top of his brief, but unexciting. Truss is awful. The rest just seemed poor.

    My wife’s comment on Kemi: she sounded like she was in an interview for school prefect.

    Badenoch is that plucky non-league team that finds itself in the FA Cup 5th round away to a big PL side and can't quite believe its luck.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,813
    edited July 2022
    A week is a long time in politics....


  • 🚨BREAKING - SNAP DEBATE POLL🚨

    Tonight we asked over 1000 normal voters to watch the debate and we have just asked them who they thought performed best.

    Results:
    Tugendhat 36%
    Sunak 25%
    Mordaunt 12%
    Badenoch 12%
    Truss 6%
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,922
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    Leon said:

    Truss is appalling, OMG I am actually feeling sympathy

    Her campaign from the start has been a disaster...anybody would think she only got up on Monday and suddenly thought yeah why not lets give this leadership race a go.
    Though media was being cruel to Truss, reporting her difficulties in entering - and then leaving - her own campaign kickoff.

    Based on tonight's PB commentary, am revising that opinion.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,682
    Scott_xP said:

    🚨BREAKING - SNAP DEBATE POLL🚨

    Tonight we asked over 1000 normal voters to watch the debate and we have just asked them who they thought performed best.

    Results:
    Tugendhat 36%
    Sunak 25%
    Mordaunt 12%
    Badenoch 12%
    Truss 6% https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1548037032248717318/photo/1

    Well done Tom, still my first choice!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,498
    Completed the Opinium poll.

    Good night for Sunak, Tugendhat, and Penny at the end.

    Dire for Truss, meh for the liar of dentists Kemi.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,320
    A question based on the ConHome hustings and the Channel 4 debate. Is Tommy Tugs aware that we have had a Conservative Government for the last 12 years?

    Asking for a friend.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,321
    edited July 2022
    Scott_xP said:

    🚨BREAKING - SNAP DEBATE POLL🚨

    Tonight we asked over 1000 normal voters to watch the debate and we have just asked them who they thought performed best.

    Results:
    Tugendhat 36%
    Sunak 25%
    Mordaunt 12%
    Badenoch 12%
    Truss 6% https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1548037032248717318/photo/1

    6% of opininium's panel need help.

    I am surprised Tugendhat came over that well.

    Edit - incidentally, their figures are wrong, it's 999 ordinary voters...
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Scott_xP said:

    🚨BREAKING - SNAP DEBATE POLL🚨

    Tonight we asked over 1000 normal voters to watch the debate and we have just asked them who they thought performed best.

    Results:
    Tugendhat 36%
    Sunak 25%
    Mordaunt 12%
    Badenoch 12%
    Truss 6% https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1548037032248717318/photo/1

    Yay, PB4TOMT

    I did think he was good.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,487

    I think we can all agree that Penny is no longer the candidate "Labour fears the most"

    Yes, it's Kemi Badenoch.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994

    Leon said:

    But which one would you have sexual relations with?

    For me it's got to be Penny, and I'd accept a blow job from Sunak mainly because he could do it immediately and wouldn't even have to kneel

    *sorry, Mike*

    Rishi is a sexy bastard.
    Thank goodness you didn't act surprised he is sexy.

    Your ‘strange’ crush on Rishi Sunak could actually be a racist fetish


    https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/rishi-sunak-conservative-crush-vogue-white-women-flora-e-gill-a9456036.html
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,282
    Leon said:

    But which one would you have sexual relations with?

    For me it's got to be Penny, and I'd accept a blow job from Sunak mainly because he could do it immediately and wouldn't even have to kneel

    *sorry, Mike*

    To be fair, I found Badenoch quite sexy.

    I am attracted by her intelligence and humanity, and was quite cute with that yellow dress and smile as well.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,723

    A week is a long time in politics....


    That can'td be JRM. He'd insist on about 20 members of the lower orders to do the work, and an overseer to supervise, while he went off in his post-chaise to the House.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,498
    ydoethur said:

    Scott_xP said:

    🚨BREAKING - SNAP DEBATE POLL🚨

    Tonight we asked over 1000 normal voters to watch the debate and we have just asked them who they thought performed best.

    Results:
    Tugendhat 36%
    Sunak 25%
    Mordaunt 12%
    Badenoch 12%
    Truss 6% https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1548037032248717318/photo/1

    6% of opininium's panel need help.

    I am surprised Tugendhat came over that well.

    Edit - incidentally, their figures are wrong, it's 999 ordinary voters...
    Harsh but fair.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994
    He's much more palletable like that. Not acting beyond his mental capabilities.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,321
    Andy_JS said:

    I think we can all agree that Penny is no longer the candidate "Labour fears the most"

    Yes, it's Kemi Badenoch.
    Nah, Liz Truss. Because if she gets in we will all suffer gut-wrenching panic...
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,282

    I think Mordaunt's problem is that she isn't political enough. She's treating it like a job interview and making herself completely bland.

    That's a good analysis.

    But, maybe her brief for tonight was steady the buffs.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,487
    "The next PM may well be from an ethnic minority. That’s a big deal – and a challenge for Labour
    Jonathan Freedland
    If Starmer’s party is seen as one that values minorities only when they need protection, solid sources of votes will dry up"

    https://www.theguardian.com/books/2020/mar/12/sitopia-how-food-can-save-the-world-carolyn-steel-review
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,320
    Leon said:

    God, Boris was better than this bunch

    *help*

    On the other hand, Starmer is worse than several of them

    *yay*

    No and not really, just the one.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,886

    Leon said:

    People writing off Penny too quickly

    There are three of these debates. This is merely the first

    Truss is toast but beyond that.... who knows. Rishi's polish shows here, he is is Winchester and Megabank and ex-COTE

    But.... Which one will beat Starmer?

    It is Mordaunt v Sunak, I reckon, and the Tory members will decide, not us

    The Penny problem is that rather uniquely she has been called out on the stand for lying. And its on the dog whistle non-issue of chicks with dicks. She can try and talk around it, but they will keep coming back for it.
    Is it unique? Leon has just said Kemi's tooth story is "a clear lie".
    She wasn't called out by another candidate on the stand. Probably a lie, but they left it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994

    🚨BREAKING - SNAP DEBATE POLL🚨

    Tonight we asked over 1000 normal voters to watch the debate and we have just asked them who they thought performed best.

    Results:
    Tugendhat 36%
    Sunak 25%
    Mordaunt 12%
    Badenoch 12%
    Truss 6%

    Public thinks white man is the most suitable choice - racist and sexist pigs.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,386
    That 180 innovations has to be the gaffe of the night.
    I mean. It was so weirdly specific, and therefore easily disprovable.
    As has already been shown.
    Plus. It's on a topic of huge importance to the electorate. Strange.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,886
    Scott_xP said:

    🚨BREAKING - SNAP DEBATE POLL🚨

    Tonight we asked over 1000 normal voters to watch the debate and we have just asked them who they thought performed best.

    Results:
    Tugendhat 36%
    Sunak 25%
    Mordaunt 12%
    Badenoch 12%
    Truss 6% https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1548037032248717318/photo/1

    Yay for Tom Major!
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,650

    🚨BREAKING - SNAP DEBATE POLL🚨

    Tonight we asked over 1000 normal voters to watch the debate and we have just asked them who they thought performed best.

    Results:
    Tugendhat 36%
    Sunak 25%
    Mordaunt 12%
    Badenoch 12%
    Truss 6%

    Seems to correspond to my prior reckoning of the empty vessel Mordaunt. Lots of Tories love her but 88% of people don't care.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,835
    MikeL said:

    It will be so interesting to see what Truss supporting MPs do on Monday.

    I fear they will just keep their heads down and plough on.

    On the one hand, most of her support likely consists of loons with a Brexit monomania. They're going to stick with her regardless because Suella Braverman is no longer available.

    On the other, there are insufficient such loons to get Truss to 120 votes. So it looks very much like Sunak vs Mordaunt.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    kle4 said:

    Alistair Campbell take - ignoring the typical ending Labour boosting, fair assessment

    RishiSunak edged it in terms of getting over the message he wanted to land. TomTugendhat had the best moments and best closing speech. KemiBadenoch out of her depth PennyMordaunt playing it safe but all too vague. trussliz unimaginable as PM. Good night for Keir_Starmer

    https://twitter.com/campbellclaret/status/1548034252578557954?cxt=HHwWhMCo0e283PsqAAAA

    Keir's only not coming 6th strategy was not to play so he got that right

    It puts twitter's value in context that Dossier Kelly Campbell is some kind of big ass arbitrator of political honesty on there.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994
    Carnyx said:

    A week is a long time in politics....


    That can'td be JRM. He'd insist on about 20 members of the lower orders to do the work, and an overseer to supervise, while he went off in his post-chaise to the House.
    Nah, he'd own the place, and 'for a bit of fun' insist on wading in with his amateur bungling, causing disruption for everyone else who has to stand there and wish him well because he's the boss.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,886
    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    But which one would you have sexual relations with?

    For me it's got to be Penny, and I'd accept a blow job from Sunak mainly because he could do it immediately and wouldn't even have to kneel

    *sorry, Mike*

    Rishi is a sexy bastard.
    Thank goodness you didn't act surprised he is sexy.

    Your ‘strange’ crush on Rishi Sunak could actually be a racist fetish


    https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/rishi-sunak-conservative-crush-vogue-white-women-flora-e-gill-a9456036.html
    Its a fetish alright.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    🚨BREAKING - SNAP DEBATE POLL🚨

    Tonight we asked over 1000 normal voters to watch the debate and we have just asked them who they thought performed best.

    Results:
    Tugendhat 36%
    Sunak 25%
    Mordaunt 12%
    Badenoch 12%
    Truss 6%

    Were panelist required to stay sober for the duration of the debate?

    Or at least refrain from downing another, every time anyone referred to "delivering"?

    If not, might explain the 6%

    Though interesting that survey did NOT rate Bad'enoch or Sunak as highly as PBers. And has Tugenhat higher.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,955
    Do the headbangers still try and get Truss so she can ram through as much of their agenda as possible before a 1997 style shellacking?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,320
    edited July 2022
    GIN1138 said:

    My scores on the doors

    Tom - 7 (Pleasantly surprised)
    Kemi - 7 (I knew she's be good and didn't disappoint)
    Penny - 6 (Wobbled early on but got better)
    Rishi - 4 (The do nothing, tax dodging Prime Minister with millions in the bank)
    Liz - 1 (Absolutely woeful)

    Were you watching Coronation Street?

    Sunak, an 8. The remaining order is as you say, but I am deducting a point from each of them.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,498
    Kemi's teeth will hold her back, it's a bit like Rishi's height, and other political baldies.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,754
    Leon said:

    I think we can all agree that Penny is no longer the candidate "Labour fears the most"

    I am trying to be neutral - honestly - and I am not so sure. Mordaunt gained over the hour. She is new to this. Sunak was predictably smooth but no more, he has been COTE and he's Winchester/Oxford, he has the confidence and glisten, but that's it. Any ideas? Nope

    Badenoch faded after a great start. She needs a lot of time to mature - she needs a big job in Cabinet. She's got a lot of potential. Truss was a calamity and Tugendhat was an irrelevant soldier talking about Tobruk, or whatever it was

    I would still be wary of Mordaunt, if I were Labour. She's the one who could maintain much of the Red Wall and hold the Blue Wall. She is learning on the game. Also, she is withstanding intense nasty pressure from her opponents, but she still looks dignified

    I'm still Team Penny (as much as I care)
    Tldr; they are all shit.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Scott_xP said:

    🚨BREAKING - SNAP DEBATE POLL🚨

    Tonight we asked over 1000 normal voters to watch the debate and we have just asked them who they thought performed best.

    Results:
    Tugendhat 36%
    Sunak 25%
    Mordaunt 12%
    Badenoch 12%
    Truss 6% https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1548037032248717318/photo/1

    Yay for Tom Major!
    I want to know whose shirts he wears
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,006

    I think Mordaunt's problem is that she isn't political enough. She's treating it like a job interview and making herself completely bland.

    I think she would be horribly found out if she ends up running the country in the current dire circumstances.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,039

    Leon said:

    God, Boris was better than this bunch

    *help*

    On the other hand, Starmer is worse than several of them

    *yay*

    No and not really, just the one.
    Starmer is fairly shit. Sorry. But he is, and let us not forget this. He only got the job because so many more talented players fled the field during the Corbyn Terror

    Starmer would be worried by the working class female Mordaunt, he might struggle against BME woman Badenoch, or not (because she is such a wildcard). He would be certainly equalled by Sunak (and probably outfoxed on financial matters)

    He'd only be truly confident against Tugendhat (posh white inexperienced soldier, easy easy) or the ridiculous Truss
This discussion has been closed.