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How will the Tory betting look after tonight’s TV debate? – politicalbetting.com
How will the Tory betting look after tonight’s TV debate? – politicalbetting.com
One of the things about this contest is that all the contenders’ bar Sunak and possibly Truss are relatively unknown to the public so this event will give many of us the first chance to see them. For one of the features of Johnson’s leadership is that apart from the Chancellor few other ministers got a real look in.
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Bleak. One of these idiots will be favourite.
2.04 Penny Mordaunt 49%
3.75 Liz Truss 27%
4.6 Rishi Sunak 22%
32 Kemi Badenoch
130 Tom Tugendhat
130 Dominic Raab
Betfair to make the final two
1.27 Rishi Sunak 79%
1.43 Penny Mordaunt 70%
2.16 Liz Truss 46%
16.5 Kemi Badenoch 6%
60 Tom Tugendhat
It's arguably the first real opportunity the candidates have to talk to a wider audience though how many will be watching on a lovely summer's evening is debatable.
None of them have really explained what the stand for and how radically different they would be - Johnson was able to successfully re-invent the Conservative Party in 2019 in such a way as it sometimes seemed he was in opposition to his own Government.
That won't wash this time even if those with fewer associations to Johnson get the top job.
I have a cheeky Cotes du Rhone 2020 to help cope.
I can declare that Kemi and Liz have lost tonight’s debate.
I expect that this will have a huge influence on the outcome
https://www.channel4.com/now/C4
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=75csDVDXvuw
The Channel 4 debate can be downstreamed from channel4.com but I expect it is geo-restricted.
Can't entirely be Johnson's fault but at lot is.
Probably more fun to see debate though PBer eyes!
TV is brutal.
Where's Rishi tie gone? West Wing type incident?
Mordant
Sunk
Trust
Tit
Mike
She’s awful.
I will be surprised if the live focus groups aren't hitting the + buttons right now.
Penny next
Sunak
Truss and tugendhat ridiculous
a. She isn't more incompetent than the others - with the possible exception of Liz Truss who could be competent if she weren't captured by the Cult and also if she spent more effort on doing things and less on self-promotion.
b. Mordaunt is personable. This vote is decided by people who are looking for someone who might win an election for the Conservatives, rather than someone who can run the country. Suboptimal but them's the breaks, as someone - forget who - said just recently
Says a lot.
Brilliant.
TT: No
First spontaneous round of applause