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Could it be that the next PM is NOT an Oxford Grad? – politicalbetting.com

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  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    edited July 2022
    If the Tories don't pick an Oxford graduate to lead them they tend to pick someone who never went to university at all eg Major or IDS or Churchill. So on that basis Wallace as a non graduate could well make leader. You have to go back to Neville Chamberlain, who went to what became Birmingham University, to find the last Tory leader who went to a University other than Oxford and Baldwin before that who went to Cambridge.

    However Wallace is not really an educatonal outsider like say the state educated Major, having been educated at the expensive public school Millfield followed by Sandhurst, as Churchill went to Harrow then Sandhurst.

    Starmer would be the third Labour leader post war who did not go to Oxford as an undergraduate after Brown who went to Edinburgh and Kinnock who went to Cardiff, having been to Leeds, though Starmer did go to Oxford as a postgraduate unlike them as the table points out. Corbyn and Callaghan did not go to University. Sunak as well as going to Oxford would be the first Winchester educated PM since Henry Addington.

  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    Cookie said:

    So which universities did the ever-increasing list of Conservative candidates attend then?

    Tom Tugendhat is a Gonville and Caius lad, top banana.
    I look forward to people mispronouncing Caius on TV and thus revealing themselves to be frightful oiks.
    "Cooooeeeee!" or maybe "Qweesh" or just "Cuss"?

    And is Gonville perhaps "Gnlgh"?
    Gonville is pronounced as Gonads.
    Was thinking along lines of Louisville, Kentucky.

    Which is pronounced "Lewisville" by totally clueless, "Loueeville" by outsiders and "Lulvul" by locals.

    The more you can say it as a single semi-syllable the more local you is.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,041

    Anyway, having watched his money no object campaign video I am once again declaring that I am Ready For Rishi.

    If the Tories are serious about winning the next election, you need Rishi Sunak. A northern MP who has shown that he can parachute cash where its needed and puts levelling up front and centre. But he's also clear that we can't mortgage our kids' futures by spending daft.

    Don't tell @HYUFD
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,898

    algarkirk said:

    Here is the list (only first degrees count)

    Berry - Sheffield
    Zahawi - UCL
    Braverman - Cambridge
    Javid - Exeter
    Badenoch - Sussex
    Truss - Oxford
    Hunt - Oxford
    Tugendhat - Bristol
    Baker - Southampton
    Sunak - Oxford
    Mordaunt - Reading
    Wallace - (RMA Sandhurst)

    For all the Wikipedia potential candidates...

    Oxford
    Steve Baker: Southampton then Oxford
    Jeremy Hunt: Oxford
    Rishi Sunak: Oxford
    Liz Truss: Oxford

    Not Oxford
    Kemi Badenoch: Sussex
    Steve Barclay: Sandhurst then Cambridge
    John Baron: Cambridge then Sandhurst
    Jake Berry: Sheffield
    Suella Braverman: Cambridge
    Robert Buckland: Durham
    Rehman Chishti: Aberystwyth
    David Davis: Warwick then LBS then Harvard
    Nadine Dorries: n/a
    Sajid Javid: Exeter
    Kwasi Kwarteng: Cambridge then Harvard then Cambridge again
    Esther McVey: QML then City then Liverpool John Moores
    Penny Mordaunt: Reading
    Priti Patel: Keele then Essex
    Grant Shapps: Manchester Polytechnic (now Manchester Metropolitan University)
    Tom Tugendhat: Bristol then Cambridge
    Ben Wallace: Sandhurst
    Bill Wiggin: Bangor
    Nadhim Zahawi: UCL
    Of the four Oxford types, three read PPE: Liz Truss; Rishi Sunak and Jeremy Hunt

    Need to add second places for Suella Braverman (Cambridge then Sorbonne) and Rishi Sunak (Oxford then Stanford).
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,012
    Joe Biden accidentally reads the part on the teleprompter that says "repeat the line" when they wanted him to say the line again lmfao

    https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status/1545441526133788673?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    IF yours truly were a UKer would not necessarily object to (yet another) old Etonian Prime Minister.

    However, would insist on recruiting next PM from some frat-boy dining club besides Bullington.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,898
    HYUFD said:

    If the Tories don't pick an Oxford graduate to lead them they tend to pick someone who never went to university at all eg Major or IDS or Churchill. So on that basis Wallace as a non graduate could well make leader. You have to go back to Neville Chamberlain, who went to what became Birmingham University, to find the last Tory leader who went to a University other than Oxford and Baldwin before that who went to Cambridge.

    However Wallace is not really an educatonal outsider like say the state educated Major, having been educated at the expensive public school Millfield followed by Sandhurst, as Churchill went to Harrow then Sandhurst.

    Starmer would be the third Labour leader post war who did not go to Oxford as an undergraduate after Brown who went to Edinburgh and Kinnock who went to Cardiff, having been to Leeds, though Starmer did go to Oxford as a postgraduate unlike them as the table points out. Corbyn and Callaghan did not go to University. Sunak as well as going to Oxford would be the first Winchester educated PM since Henry Addington.

    Nadine Dorries it is then! Not quoted on Betfair.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,012
    The SDP-Green coalition has won a vote in the Bundestag backing more coal burning so that the three remaining nuclear plants can be switched off as planned this year. Climate targets may have to be abandoned as a result.

    https://twitter.com/mark_lynas/status/1545345583262695424?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,103
    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    kle4 said:

    Any Etonians to pick from?

    Look for people who were thick little boys and whom Eton inculcated with plummy accents and apparent good manners but who, when adult, are still fairly dense and stuck in the past.
    And yet, weirdly, still somehow smarter than you.
    Are you in a fighty mood today?
    Good to see
    She's one of my least favourite posters on this site.

    She posts like an eleven-year old, makes utterly facile or idiotic contributions, and routinely drops in and out to drop oblique shotgun negs about other posters like she occupies some sort of high ground and is qualified to comment.

    She should stick to shoes, or the soft play, and otherwise leave this site to grown-ups.

    Shit, that's half of us gone in the click of Thanos's fingers right there. You, me, lots of others.
    It'll just be kle4 and the mods.
    Well, it'd be less riotous, but somewhat bland. Like subsisting on a diet of dry toast and gruel.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,526
    Just looking through, is Chamberlain the only PM in the 20th century never to fight an election as PM?

    He was appointed to the Premiership on the advice of Baldwin and he was replaced by Churchill. No election either time.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,507
    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,663
    The great think about that Sunak video was how spontaneous is was, not at all planned for weeks.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,901

    Anyway, having watched his money no object campaign video I am once again declaring that I am Ready For Rishi.

    If the Tories are serious about winning the next election, you need Rishi Sunak. A northern MP who has shown that he can parachute cash where its needed and puts levelling up front and centre. But he's also clear that we can't mortgage our kids' futures by spending daft.

    Don't tell @HYUFD
    Rishi talks human. Yes OK so he is a gazillionaire who doesn't know how contactless payments work. But half the candidates are gormless about something, and more than half downright nasty.

    Sunak is the bridge between classic Toryism and the new north. He will show how he was whipped along to make mad pledges by the now ousted liar who was obsessed with boosterism. Thus pleasing the fiscal conservatives.

    But he is relatively young, photogenic, affable and serious. Which is what we need. Way better than so many of the likely candidates already.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,901

    Getting nasty so in the spirit of keeping myself well, am heading off, have a good evening all

    Stay well, and remember these four words to put a smile on your face:
    Peter Fucking Bone - Minister.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,585
    Liz Truss’ plane just crossing the coast at Felixstowe. Should be down at Stansted in 15 minutes.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    edited July 2022
    algarkirk said:

    Here is the list (only first degrees count)

    Berry - Sheffield
    Zahawi - UCL
    Braverman - Cambridge
    Javid - Exeter
    Badenoch - Sussex
    Truss - Oxford
    Hunt - Oxford
    Tugendhat - Bristol
    Baker - Southampton
    Sunak - Oxford
    Mordaunt - Reading
    Wallace - (RMA Sandhurst)

    Why should only first degrees count? Bill Clinton went to Georgetown for undergraduate and Barack Obama went to Occidental and Columbia, yet both are considered graduates of Yale and Harvard respectively where they did postgraduate law degrees
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,663

    Anyway, having watched his money no object campaign video I am once again declaring that I am Ready For Rishi.

    If the Tories are serious about winning the next election, you need Rishi Sunak. A northern MP who has shown that he can parachute cash where its needed and puts levelling up front and centre. But he's also clear that we can't mortgage our kids' futures by spending daft.

    Don't tell @HYUFD
    Rishi talks human. Yes OK so he is a gazillionaire who doesn't know how contactless payments work. But half the candidates are gormless about something, and more than half downright nasty.

    Sunak is the bridge between classic Toryism and the new north. He will show how he was whipped along to make mad pledges by the now ousted liar who was obsessed with boosterism. Thus pleasing the fiscal conservatives.

    But he is relatively young, photogenic, affable and serious. Which is what we need. Way better than so many of the likely candidates already.
    His down to Earth common touch is second to none. The Tory right will be behind him, albeit with a knife.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,103
    I am opposed to Sunak becoming PM because I am angry the BCE keep naming his constituency Richmond (Yorks) and don't want to see it all the time.

    I don't think there is any other constituency in that style.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,041

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Thanks for telling us about the bar of 20
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,526

    algarkirk said:

    Here is the list (only first degrees count)

    Berry - Sheffield
    Zahawi - UCL
    Braverman - Cambridge
    Javid - Exeter
    Badenoch - Sussex
    Truss - Oxford
    Hunt - Oxford
    Tugendhat - Bristol
    Baker - Southampton
    Sunak - Oxford
    Mordaunt - Reading
    Wallace - (RMA Sandhurst)

    You beat me to it.

    Same list with second degrees included.

    Wallace - Sandhurst
    Mordaunt - Reading
    Sunak - Oxford/Stanford
    Baker - Southampton/Oxford
    Tugendhat - Bristol/Cambridge
    Hunt - Oxford
    Truss - Oxford
    Badenach - Sussex/Birkbeck
    Javid - Exeter
    Braverman - Cambridge/Sorbonne
    Zahawi - UCL
    Berry - Sheffield
    Wait, Braverman the Brexiteer went to the Sorbonne?
    From the font of knowledge Wiki :)

    "Braverman lived in France for two years, as an Erasmus Programme student and then as an Entente Cordiale Scholar, where she completed a master's degree in European and French law at Panthéon-Sorbonne University"
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,898

    algarkirk said:

    Here is the list (only first degrees count)

    Berry - Sheffield
    Zahawi - UCL
    Braverman - Cambridge
    Javid - Exeter
    Badenoch - Sussex
    Truss - Oxford
    Hunt - Oxford
    Tugendhat - Bristol
    Baker - Southampton
    Sunak - Oxford
    Mordaunt - Reading
    Wallace - (RMA Sandhurst)

    For all the Wikipedia potential candidates...

    Oxford
    Steve Baker: Southampton then Oxford
    Jeremy Hunt: Oxford
    Rishi Sunak: Oxford
    Liz Truss: Oxford

    Not Oxford
    Kemi Badenoch: Sussex
    Steve Barclay: Sandhurst then Cambridge
    John Baron: Cambridge then Sandhurst
    Jake Berry: Sheffield
    Suella Braverman: Cambridge
    Robert Buckland: Durham
    Rehman Chishti: Aberystwyth
    David Davis: Warwick then LBS then Harvard
    Nadine Dorries: n/a
    Sajid Javid: Exeter
    Kwasi Kwarteng: Cambridge then Harvard then Cambridge again
    Esther McVey: QML then City then Liverpool John Moores
    Penny Mordaunt: Reading
    Priti Patel: Keele then Essex
    Grant Shapps: Manchester Polytechnic (now Manchester Metropolitan University)
    Tom Tugendhat: Bristol then Cambridge
    Ben Wallace: Sandhurst
    Bill Wiggin: Bangor
    Nadhim Zahawi: UCL
    Of the four Oxford types, three read PPE: Liz Truss; Rishi Sunak and Jeremy Hunt

    Need to add second places for Suella Braverman (Cambridge then Sorbonne) and Rishi Sunak (Oxford then Stanford).
    @TheScreamingEagles will want to know there are only two Cambridge lawyers to pick from: Suella Braverman and Steve Barclay.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,507

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    My mum will vote for Truss if she can, my Dad tells me he really wants Sunak to try and rescue the party from its slide, but is worried it won’t happen. Whilst everyone is calling the video slick, my dad told me he was disappointed by it. Personally I think it is rather odd, sort of lacking oomph and going through the motions, what do you think? Maybe it’s becuase it’s a positive message and it’s only attack adds we remember? But it’s on its way to 3 million views already so what do I know. Maybe Roger can comment if this is his specialism?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921

    https://twitter.com/willgeorgelloyd/status/1545460849036431367

    Ben Wallace’s old tweets may come back to haunt him if he decides to run for Tory leader…

    Why? Neither tweet was wrong and most Tory members would not dispute the second
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,557
    edited July 2022
    Channel 4 / Opinium survey of Tory members finds:

    (a) a majority wanted Johnson to stay as leader
    (b) Rishi Sunak has a slight lead with 25%, over Liz Truss.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838

    Fabricant has “come out” for Mordaunt.

    But who is his wig supporting?
    Not to mention his operating system. Oh, not that kind of fabricant?
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,784

    algarkirk said:

    Here is the list (only first degrees count)

    Berry - Sheffield
    Zahawi - UCL
    Braverman - Cambridge
    Javid - Exeter
    Badenoch - Sussex
    Truss - Oxford
    Hunt - Oxford
    Tugendhat - Bristol
    Baker - Southampton
    Sunak - Oxford
    Mordaunt - Reading
    Wallace - (RMA Sandhurst)

    You beat me to it.

    Same list with second degrees included.

    Wallace - Sandhurst
    Mordaunt - Reading
    Sunak - Oxford/Stanford
    Baker - Southampton/Oxford
    Tugendhat - Bristol/Cambridge
    Hunt - Oxford
    Truss - Oxford
    Badenach - Sussex/Birkbeck
    Javid - Exeter
    Braverman - Cambridge/Sorbonne
    Zahawi - UCL
    Berry - Sheffield
    Wait, Braverman the Brexiteer went to the Sorbonne?
    From the font of knowledge Wiki :)

    "Braverman lived in France for two years, as an Erasmus Programme student and then as an Entente Cordiale Scholar, where she completed a master's degree in European and French law at Panthéon-Sorbonne University"
    That will be the Erasmus scheme that British students can no longer participate in thanks to her? Nice.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,898

    Anyway, having watched his money no object campaign video I am once again declaring that I am Ready For Rishi.

    If the Tories are serious about winning the next election, you need Rishi Sunak. A northern MP who has shown that he can parachute cash where its needed and puts levelling up front and centre. But he's also clear that we can't mortgage our kids' futures by spending daft.

    Don't tell @HYUFD
    Rishi talks human. Yes OK so he is a gazillionaire who doesn't know how contactless payments work. But half the candidates are gormless about something, and more than half downright nasty.

    Sunak is the bridge between classic Toryism and the new north. He will show how he was whipped along to make mad pledges by the now ousted liar who was obsessed with boosterism. Thus pleasing the fiscal conservatives.

    But he is relatively young, photogenic, affable and serious. Which is what we need. Way better than so many of the likely candidates already.
    Rishi can afford to buy his own wallpaper. Ironically, he won't have to because the previous tenants had the place done up.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,585

    Joe Biden accidentally reads the part on the teleprompter that says "repeat the line" when they wanted him to say the line again lmfao

    https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status/1545441526133788673?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    Oh dear. For how long will they try and cover for him, before admitting that maybe an 80-year-old man is not the best guy to have in charge? Imagine starting to lose your faculties, whilst also being aware that you’re POTUS and the most powerful man in the world.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838
    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/willgeorgelloyd/status/1545460849036431367

    Ben Wallace’s old tweets may come back to haunt him if he decides to run for Tory leader…

    Why? Neither tweet was wrong and most Tory members would not dispute the second
    "Voting against gay marriage doesn't make anyone homophobic."

    You mean, it makes them members of whatever the C of E has instead of a proper General Assembly?
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    Cookie said:

    So which universities did the ever-increasing list of Conservative candidates attend then?

    Tom Tugendhat is a Gonville and Caius lad, top banana.
    I look forward to people mispronouncing Caius on TV and thus revealing themselves to be frightful oiks.
    "Cooooeeeee!" or maybe "Qweesh" or just "Cuss"?

    And is Gonville perhaps "Gnlgh"?
    Gonville is pronounced as Gonads.
    Was thinking along lines of Louisville, Kentucky.

    Which is pronounced "Lewisville" by totally clueless, "Loueeville" by outsiders and "Lulvul" by locals.

    The more you can say it as a single semi-syllable the more local you is.
    See also: Tronna and Mrbn.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,652
    Andy_JS said:

    Channel 4 / Opinium survey of Tory members finds:

    (a) a majority wanted Johnson to stay as leader
    (b) Rishi Sunak has a slight lead with 25%, over Liz Truss.

    He'll be back. He mightn't even be gone.
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,163
    edited July 2022

    Farooq said:

    kle4 said:

    Any Etonians to pick from?

    Look for people who were thick little boys and whom Eton inculcated with plummy accents and apparent good manners but who, when adult, are still fairly dense and stuck in the past.
    And yet, weirdly, still somehow smarter than you.
    Are you in a fighty mood today?
    Good to see
    She's one of my least favourite posters on this site.

    She posts like an eleven-year old, makes utterly facile or idiotic contributions, and routinely drops in and out to drop oblique shotgun negs about other posters like she occupies some sort of high ground and is qualified to comment.

    She should stick to shoes, or the soft play, and otherwise leave this site to grown-ups.

    What are you doing here then? Go boil some p*ss, that always seems to make you happy.

    Pompous ass!
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838

    algarkirk said:

    Here is the list (only first degrees count)

    Berry - Sheffield
    Zahawi - UCL
    Braverman - Cambridge
    Javid - Exeter
    Badenoch - Sussex
    Truss - Oxford
    Hunt - Oxford
    Tugendhat - Bristol
    Baker - Southampton
    Sunak - Oxford
    Mordaunt - Reading
    Wallace - (RMA Sandhurst)

    You beat me to it.

    Same list with second degrees included.

    Wallace - Sandhurst
    Mordaunt - Reading
    Sunak - Oxford/Stanford
    Baker - Southampton/Oxford
    Tugendhat - Bristol/Cambridge
    Hunt - Oxford
    Truss - Oxford
    Badenach - Sussex/Birkbeck
    Javid - Exeter
    Braverman - Cambridge/Sorbonne
    Zahawi - UCL
    Berry - Sheffield
    Wait, Braverman the Brexiteer went to the Sorbonne?
    From the font of knowledge Wiki :)

    "Braverman lived in France for two years, as an Erasmus Programme student and then as an Entente Cordiale Scholar, where she completed a master's degree in European and French law at Panthéon-Sorbonne University"
    That will be the Erasmus scheme that British students can no longer participate in thanks to her? Nice.
    It really does boil my piss when pols pull up the ladder after them. Enormously, and I don't even have any children at uni. It is so outright immoral to deny others the advantages one had.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275
    Andy_JS said:

    Channel 4 / Opinium survey of Tory members finds:

    (a) a majority wanted Johnson to stay as leader
    (b) Rishi Sunak has a slight lead with 25%, over Liz Truss.

    Which is why Major wanted them kept out of the leadership vote .

    Most of the membership would still be supporting Johnson even if he blew up a school bus .
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    edited July 2022

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Sunak's slick 'Ready for Rishi' website has obviously been ready well before this launch.

    Just like Portillo he has launched straight out the blocks with a slick, liberal metropolitan focused campaign.

    However Tory members and most Tory MPs aren't looking for that now, they want a decent, straight laced traditional Tory who will return to Conservative values. Wallace could well be the IDS or Douglas Home or Major of this race therefore to Sunak's Portillo or Rab Butler or Heseltine.

  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,663
    What if Boris stood?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,557

    The SDP-Green coalition has won a vote in the Bundestag backing more coal burning so that the three remaining nuclear plants can be switched off as planned this year. Climate targets may have to be abandoned as a result.

    https://twitter.com/mark_lynas/status/1545345583262695424?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    German politicians are so useless. They always make the wrong decision.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,784
    It's going to be Sunak. He ticks all the boxes: supported by MPs, members will vote for him, possesses rudimentary political skills and is a serious person. I think all the other candidates fail on at least one of those grounds. I think support will coalesce around him quickly and he will beat Truss or whoever else is up against him in the members' vote.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,632
    edited July 2022

    algarkirk said:

    Here is the list (only first degrees count)

    Berry - Sheffield
    Zahawi - UCL
    Braverman - Cambridge
    Javid - Exeter
    Badenoch - Sussex
    Truss - Oxford
    Hunt - Oxford
    Tugendhat - Bristol
    Baker - Southampton
    Sunak - Oxford
    Mordaunt - Reading
    Wallace - (RMA Sandhurst)

    For all the Wikipedia potential candidates...

    Oxford
    Steve Baker: Southampton then Oxford
    Jeremy Hunt: Oxford
    Rishi Sunak: Oxford
    Liz Truss: Oxford

    Not Oxford
    Kemi Badenoch: Sussex
    Steve Barclay: Sandhurst then Cambridge
    John Baron: Cambridge then Sandhurst
    Jake Berry: Sheffield
    Suella Braverman: Cambridge
    Robert Buckland: Durham
    Rehman Chishti: Aberystwyth
    David Davis: Warwick then LBS then Harvard
    Nadine Dorries: n/a
    Sajid Javid: Exeter
    Kwasi Kwarteng: Cambridge then Harvard then Cambridge again
    Esther McVey: QML then City then Liverpool John Moores
    Penny Mordaunt: Reading
    Priti Patel: Keele then Essex
    Grant Shapps: Manchester Polytechnic (now Manchester Metropolitan University)
    Tom Tugendhat: Bristol then Cambridge
    Ben Wallace: Sandhurst
    Bill Wiggin: Bangor
    Nadhim Zahawi: UCL
    Of the four Oxford types, three read PPE: Liz Truss; Rishi Sunak and Jeremy Hunt

    Need to add second places for Suella Braverman (Cambridge then Sorbonne) and Rishi Sunak (Oxford then Stanford).
    @TheScreamingEagles will want to know there are only two Cambridge lawyers to pick from: Suella Braverman and Steve Barclay.
    Cambridge educated lawyers have more important jobs to do than be PM or some menial job as a Secretary of State.
  • glwglw Posts: 9,906

    The SDP-Green coalition has won a vote in the Bundestag backing more coal burning so that the three remaining nuclear plants can be switched off as planned this year. Climate targets may have to be abandoned as a result.

    https://twitter.com/mark_lynas/status/1545345583262695424?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    That's odd I could have sworn there were people saying the German Greens are different, they aren't mad like the ones we have.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,041
    Sandpit said:

    Joe Biden accidentally reads the part on the teleprompter that says "repeat the line" when they wanted him to say the line again lmfao

    https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status/1545441526133788673?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    Oh dear. For how long will they try and cover for him, before admitting that maybe an 80-year-old man is not the best guy to have in charge? Imagine starting to lose your faculties, whilst also being aware that you’re POTUS and the most powerful man in the world.
    I am heading to 80 but really how can he be so stupid
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,288
    Sandpit said:

    Joe Biden accidentally reads the part on the teleprompter that says "repeat the line" when they wanted him to say the line again lmfao

    https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status/1545441526133788673?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    Oh dear. For how long will they try and cover for him, before admitting that maybe an 80-year-old man is not the best guy to have in charge? Imagine starting to lose your faculties, whilst also being aware that you’re POTUS and the most powerful man in the world.
    Look at the Veep’s face as Biden fluffs his lines again. Suppressed panic: Get Me Out Of Here

    Uncannily like some of the faces Trump’s aides would pull during HIS insane speeches

    Shape Up, Merika
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    Jonathan said:

    What if Boris stood?

    He's ineligible. Schedule 2 of the Conservative Party constitution.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838
    glw said:

    The SDP-Green coalition has won a vote in the Bundestag backing more coal burning so that the three remaining nuclear plants can be switched off as planned this year. Climate targets may have to be abandoned as a result.

    https://twitter.com/mark_lynas/status/1545345583262695424?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    That's odd I could have sworn there were people saying the German Greens are different, they aren't mad like the ones we have.
    TBF the Scottish Greens are somewhat more mainstream than the rUKGs.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    kle4 said:

    dixiedean said:

    I celebrate the diversity of having open homophobes on the site.
    Which means I'm a metropolitan liberal who doesn't understand the Red Wall.
    Or summat.
    Still. It'll be different in the 2030's old fella me lad.

    Who's a homophobe?

    Another classic sign of being Woke: saying that anyone who objects to Woke is a bigot.
    Er, no. Someone was celebrating the idea of propaganda (their word) use for a 'populist' government to repeal gay marriage, because it was accepted a majority do not and would not back it (and thus is not populist at all).

    Woke has nothing to do with it. I'm opposed to a lot of silly stuff that bears the woke label, but this had nothing to do with it. Unless knowing gay people is a 'metropolitan bubble' thing is thought to be a sensible point.
    My point was that when you say 'Woke is a problem ' the usual response of the Woke is to say 'what's Woke?' and then when you give examples of its dogmatic, obsessive and divisive nature to say 'so you think racism/ sexism/ homophobia is ok then?'.

    This is a classic sign of being Woke. It's totally impervious to criticism or reason.

    My I ask (gently) do you think that there are zero homophobic people posting on PB?

    Or are you objecting to someone being charged with homophobia on here due to something they post?

    Seems to me, from my perspective, that you are very close to saying, that anyone alleging that someone or something is anti-gay, is ipso facto woke. Is that incorrect re: your views?
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    The SDP-Green coalition has won a vote in the Bundestag backing more coal burning so that the three remaining nuclear plants can be switched off as planned this year. Climate targets may have to be abandoned as a result.

    https://twitter.com/mark_lynas/status/1545345583262695424?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    That's odd I could have sworn there were people saying the German Greens are different, they aren't mad like the ones we have.
    TBF the Scottish Greens are somewhat more mainstream than the rUKGs.
    The Scottish Greens are mangoes.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    edited July 2022

    It's going to be Sunak. He ticks all the boxes: supported by MPs, members will vote for him, possesses rudimentary political skills and is a serious person. I think all the other candidates fail on at least one of those grounds. I think support will coalesce around him quickly and he will beat Truss or whoever else is up against him in the members' vote.

    He won't, he is the David Miliband or Michael Portillo of this race, too liberal, too slick, too presumptuous when what the party wanted was a return to traditional socialist or social democrat values with Ed Miliband or traditional Conservative values with IDS.

    Wallace also beat Sunak 51% to 30% in the recent Yougov Tory members poll

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1544984543555371010?s=20&t=Hkrayn5myVcMmAbISYCotw
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,012
    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    Joe Biden accidentally reads the part on the teleprompter that says "repeat the line" when they wanted him to say the line again lmfao

    https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status/1545441526133788673?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    Oh dear. For how long will they try and cover for him, before admitting that maybe an 80-year-old man is not the best guy to have in charge? Imagine starting to lose your faculties, whilst also being aware that you’re POTUS and the most powerful man in the world.
    Look at the Veep’s face as Biden fluffs his lines again. Suppressed panic: Get Me Out Of Here

    Uncannily like some of the faces Trump’s aides would pull during HIS insane speeches

    Shape Up, Merika
    All while China ruthlessly take control of every aspect from tik tok to international ML conferences.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,370
    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Sunak's slick 'Ready for Rishi' website has obviously been ready well before this launch.

    Just like Portillo he has launched straight out the blocks with a slick, liberal metropolitan focused campaign.

    However Tory members and most Tory MPs aren't looking for that now, they want a decent, straight laced traditional Tory who will return to Conservative values. Wallace could well be the IDS or Douglas Home or Major of this race therefore to Sunak's Portillo or Rab Butler or Heseltine.

    Only if Wallace runs - and an awful lot of people seem to think he won't (sensible person).

  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,041
    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Sunak's slick 'Ready for Rishi' website has obviously been ready well before this launch.

    Just like Portillo he has launched straight out the blocks with a slick, liberal metropolitan focused campaign.

    However Tory members and most Tory MPs aren't looking for that now, they want a decent, straight laced traditional Tory who will return to Conservative values. Wallace could well be the IDS or Douglas Home or Major of this race therefore to Sunak's Portillo or Rab Butler or Heseltine.

    You mean you do not want Rishi and you have this idea you represent the membership which you do not

    You are consistent but when the membership elects him what on earth are you going to do
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,635
    Woke racism from Jo Maugham:

    image
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,526



    All while China ruthlessly take control of every aspect from tik tok to international ML conferences.

    I'm sort of relaxed about China ruthlessly controlling tik tok. What do you fear they'll do with it?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,012

    Woke racism from Jo Maugham:

    image

    Done a Nish Kumar....
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Sunak's slick 'Ready for Rishi' website has obviously been ready well before this launch.

    Just like Portillo he has launched straight out the blocks with a slick, liberal metropolitan focused campaign.

    However Tory members and most Tory MPs aren't looking for that now, they want a decent, straight laced traditional Tory who will return to Conservative values. Wallace could well be the IDS or Douglas Home or Major of this race therefore to Sunak's Portillo or Rab Butler or Heseltine.

    You mean you do not want Rishi and you have this idea you represent the membership which you do not

    You are consistent but when the membership elects him what on earth are you going to do
    Join PC in disappointment with the Tory Party?
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Sunak's slick 'Ready for Rishi' website has obviously been ready well before this launch.

    Just like Portillo he has launched straight out the blocks with a slick, liberal metropolitan focused campaign.

    However Tory members and most Tory MPs aren't looking for that now, they want a decent, straight laced traditional Tory who will return to Conservative values. Wallace could well be the IDS or Douglas Home or Major of this race therefore to Sunak's Portillo or Rab Butler or Heseltine.

    You mean you do not want Rishi and you have this idea you represent the membership which you do not

    You are consistent but when the membership elects him what on earth are you going to do
    Bray
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,041
    HYUFD said:

    It's going to be Sunak. He ticks all the boxes: supported by MPs, members will vote for him, possesses rudimentary political skills and is a serious person. I think all the other candidates fail on at least one of those grounds. I think support will coalesce around him quickly and he will beat Truss or whoever else is up against him in the members' vote.

    He won't, he is the David Miliband or Michael Portillo of this race, too liberal, too slick, too presumptuous when what the party wanted was a return to traditional socialist or social democrat values with Ed Miliband or traditional Conservative values with IDS
    He very well may and confound your panic
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,012
    edited July 2022



    All while China ruthlessly take control of every aspect from tik tok to international ML conferences.

    I'm sort of relaxed about China ruthlessly controlling tik tok. What do you fear they'll do with it?
    They ruthlessly control the message shown...in China it is used a propaganda tool, the west it can (and is) used to sow discontent....why use twitter / facebook like Russia, when you can just control the platform itself.

    They also harvest all the info from it. Its like the worst of Meta behaviour on steroids. It is something Trump was actually right on (advised by security agencies).
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,784
    HYUFD said:

    It's going to be Sunak. He ticks all the boxes: supported by MPs, members will vote for him, possesses rudimentary political skills and is a serious person. I think all the other candidates fail on at least one of those grounds. I think support will coalesce around him quickly and he will beat Truss or whoever else is up against him in the members' vote.

    He won't, he is the David Miliband or Michael Portillo of this race, too liberal, too slick, too presumptuous when what the party wanted was a return to traditional socialist or social democrat values with Ed Miliband or traditional Conservative values with IDS
    But the Tories are in government, not smarting after an electoral defeat. Surely they will go for someone serious this time, and only go full Tonto when they lose the next election?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/willgeorgelloyd/status/1545460849036431367

    Ben Wallace’s old tweets may come back to haunt him if he decides to run for Tory leader…

    Why? Neither tweet was wrong and most Tory members would not dispute the second
    "Voting against gay marriage doesn't make anyone homophobic."

    You mean, it makes them members of whatever the C of E has instead of a proper General Assembly?
    It means they follow the Old Testament or Koran
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,557
    Liz has landed.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,497

    algarkirk said:

    Here is the list (only first degrees count)

    Berry - Sheffield
    Zahawi - UCL
    Braverman - Cambridge
    Javid - Exeter
    Badenoch - Sussex
    Truss - Oxford
    Hunt - Oxford
    Tugendhat - Bristol
    Baker - Southampton
    Sunak - Oxford
    Mordaunt - Reading
    Wallace - (RMA Sandhurst)

    You beat me to it.

    Same list with second degrees included.

    Wallace - Sandhurst
    Mordaunt - Reading
    Sunak - Oxford/Stanford
    Baker - Southampton/Oxford
    Tugendhat - Bristol/Cambridge
    Hunt - Oxford
    Truss - Oxford
    Badenach - Sussex/Birkbeck
    Javid - Exeter
    Braverman - Cambridge/Sorbonne
    Zahawi - UCL
    Berry - Sheffield
    If you count those then you can have a 6 a side Eton wall game, Oxbridge v Rest of the World. I'll back the side with Mordaunt in it.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Sunak's slick 'Ready for Rishi' website has obviously been ready well before this launch.

    Just like Portillo he has launched straight out the blocks with a slick, liberal metropolitan focused campaign.

    However Tory members and most Tory MPs aren't looking for that now, they want a decent, straight laced traditional Tory who will return to Conservative values. Wallace could well be the IDS or Douglas Home or Major of this race therefore to Sunak's Portillo or Rab Butler or Heseltine.

    You mean you do not want Rishi and you have this idea you represent the membership which you do not

    You are consistent but when the membership elects him what on earth are you going to do
    Wallace beats Sunak 51% to 30% in the recent Yougov Tory members poll

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1544984543555371010?s=20&t=Hkrayn5myVcMmAbISYCotw
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,361
    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    The SDP-Green coalition has won a vote in the Bundestag backing more coal burning so that the three remaining nuclear plants can be switched off as planned this year. Climate targets may have to be abandoned as a result.

    https://twitter.com/mark_lynas/status/1545345583262695424?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    That's odd I could have sworn there were people saying the German Greens are different, they aren't mad like the ones we have.
    TBF the Scottish Greens are somewhat more mainstream than the rUKGs.
    There aren't rUKGs. There are NI Greens and E&W Greens.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,898

    Getting nasty so in the spirit of keeping myself well, am heading off, have a good evening all

    Stay well, and remember these four words to put a smile on your face:
    Peter Fucking Bone - Minister.
    Peter Bone to the tune of Beethoven's Fifth
    https://twitter.com/rhodri/status/1111254719777914881
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,288
    Weird hot storms in Kotor Bay. Slightly end-times-y
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275
    If it has to be a Leaver for the Tory membership then I think Sunak seems a bit more pragmatic and less likely to be divisive and in constant conflict with the EU .

    So as a Remainer I find him the most palatable of the Leavers so far who are expected to put their names forward .
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,585
    glw said:

    The SDP-Green coalition has won a vote in the Bundestag backing more coal burning so that the three remaining nuclear plants can be switched off as planned this year. Climate targets may have to be abandoned as a result.

    https://twitter.com/mark_lynas/status/1545345583262695424?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    That's odd I could have sworn there were people saying the German Greens are different, they aren't mad like the ones we have.
    They’re different alright, they’re the coal-burning Greens!
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,154
    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    Joe Biden accidentally reads the part on the teleprompter that says "repeat the line" when they wanted him to say the line again lmfao

    https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status/1545441526133788673?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    Oh dear. For how long will they try and cover for him, before admitting that maybe an 80-year-old man is not the best guy to have in charge? Imagine starting to lose your faculties, whilst also being aware that you’re POTUS and the most powerful man in the world.
    Look at the Veep’s face as Biden fluffs his lines again. Suppressed panic: Get Me Out Of Here

    Uncannily like some of the faces Trump’s aides would pull during HIS insane speeches

    Shape Up, Merika
    It's weird to think that if Iowa Democrats had not fucked up royally, it would be President Buttigieg right now.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,635
    I guess Leadsom is backing Mordaunt:

    @andrealeadsom
    Young Tories want either Penny Mordaunt or Steve Baker as the next Prime Minister, poll reveals


    https://twitter.com/andrealeadsom/status/1545459058546712576
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,526
    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/willgeorgelloyd/status/1545460849036431367

    Ben Wallace’s old tweets may come back to haunt him if he decides to run for Tory leader…

    Why? Neither tweet was wrong and most Tory members would not dispute the second
    Warming to him for the first one.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,041
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Sunak's slick 'Ready for Rishi' website has obviously been ready well before this launch.

    Just like Portillo he has launched straight out the blocks with a slick, liberal metropolitan focused campaign.

    However Tory members and most Tory MPs aren't looking for that now, they want a decent, straight laced traditional Tory who will return to Conservative values. Wallace could well be the IDS or Douglas Home or Major of this race therefore to Sunak's Portillo or Rab Butler or Heseltine.

    You mean you do not want Rishi and you have this idea you represent the membership which you do not

    You are consistent but when the membership elects him what on earth are you going to do
    Wallace beats Sunak 51% to 30% in the recent Yougov Tory members poll

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1544984543555371010?s=20&t=Hkrayn5myVcMmAbISYCotw
    Who cares about yougov - conservative mps and members will decide, and you do not speak for the membership just yourself
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,761

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Sunak's slick 'Ready for Rishi' website has obviously been ready well before this launch.

    Just like Portillo he has launched straight out the blocks with a slick, liberal metropolitan focused campaign.

    However Tory members and most Tory MPs aren't looking for that now, they want a decent, straight laced traditional Tory who will return to Conservative values. Wallace could well be the IDS or Douglas Home or Major of this race therefore to Sunak's Portillo or Rab Butler or Heseltine.

    You mean you do not want Rishi and you have this idea you represent the membership which you do not

    You are consistent but when the membership elects him what on earth are you going to do
    A bit too smooth from Sunak though in my view. I had thought Hunt, but I now think Tugendhat.

    A lot swings on quite who comes out in support.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,898
    Leon said:

    Weird hot storms in Kotor Bay. Slightly end-times-y

    We are starting another heatwave back in Blighty.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Sunak's slick 'Ready for Rishi' website has obviously been ready well before this launch.

    Just like Portillo he has launched straight out the blocks with a slick, liberal metropolitan focused campaign.

    However Tory members and most Tory MPs aren't looking for that now, they want a decent, straight laced traditional Tory who will return to Conservative values. Wallace could well be the IDS or Douglas Home or Major of this race therefore to Sunak's Portillo or Rab Butler or Heseltine.

    You mean you do not want Rishi and you have this idea you represent the membership which you do not

    You are consistent but when the membership elects him what on earth are you going to do
    Wallace beats Sunak 51% to 30% in the recent Yougov Tory members poll

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1544984543555371010?s=20&t=Hkrayn5myVcMmAbISYCotw
    Who cares about yougov - conservative mps and members will decide, and you do not speak for the membership just yourself
    I speak for most members at present if Wallace gets to the final 2 as Yougov confirms.

  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,497

    Woke racism from Jo Maugham:

    image

    Done a Nish Kumar....
    C4 News is saying the Tory members (plurality) back Rishi.
    I agree his campaign looks too Portilloish. He will not win. But I don't think it's racism. The members will vote for Badenoch, but not this time round.

  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    Joe Biden accidentally reads the part on the teleprompter that says "repeat the line" when they wanted him to say the line again lmfao

    https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status/1545441526133788673?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    Oh dear. For how long will they try and cover for him, before admitting that maybe an 80-year-old man is not the best guy to have in charge? Imagine starting to lose your faculties, whilst also being aware that you’re POTUS and the most powerful man in the world.
    Look at the Veep’s face as Biden fluffs his lines again. Suppressed panic: Get Me Out Of Here

    Uncannily like some of the faces Trump’s aides would pull during HIS insane speeches

    Shape Up, Merika
    It's weird to think that if Iowa Democrats had not fucked up royally, it would be President Buttigieg right now.
    South Carolina say "hi y'all!"
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,041
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Sunak's slick 'Ready for Rishi' website has obviously been ready well before this launch.

    Just like Portillo he has launched straight out the blocks with a slick, liberal metropolitan focused campaign.

    However Tory members and most Tory MPs aren't looking for that now, they want a decent, straight laced traditional Tory who will return to Conservative values. Wallace could well be the IDS or Douglas Home or Major of this race therefore to Sunak's Portillo or Rab Butler or Heseltine.

    You mean you do not want Rishi and you have this idea you represent the membership which you do not

    You are consistent but when the membership elects him what on earth are you going to do
    Wallace beats Sunak 51% to 30% in the recent Yougov Tory members poll

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1544984543555371010?s=20&t=Hkrayn5myVcMmAbISYCotw
    Who cares about yougov - conservative mps and members will decide, and you do not speak for the membership just yourself
    I speak for most members at present if Wallace gets to the final 2 as Yougov confirms.

    No you do not
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,557

    It's going to be Sunak. He ticks all the boxes: supported by MPs, members will vote for him, possesses rudimentary political skills and is a serious person. I think all the other candidates fail on at least one of those grounds. I think support will coalesce around him quickly and he will beat Truss or whoever else is up against him in the members' vote.

    He would certainly beat Hunt in the final round with the members.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,507
    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Sunak's slick 'Ready for Rishi' website has obviously been ready well before this launch.

    Just like Portillo he has launched straight out the blocks with a slick, liberal metropolitan focused campaign.

    However Tory members and most Tory MPs aren't looking for that now, they want a decent, straight laced traditional Tory who will return to Conservative values. Wallace could well be the IDS or Douglas Home or Major of this race therefore to Sunak's Portillo or Rab Butler or Heseltine.

    Is it fair to remark there is something a bit “Stop Rishi” creeping into your posts HY?

    Is it the fact Rishi did bare minimum helping Boris this year, knifed Boris occasionally with “I would not have used that remark” comments, and has clearly been working with others for weeks if not months on this video that makes you cross he is a bit disloyal? Or is it Rishi’s record in the treasury of wasting eye watering sums on fraud, presided over lack of due diligence whilst happy to roll around in the limelight of praise of taxpayers money he was throwing around like confetti that you don’t think deserves rewarding with the top job?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,041
    algarkirk said:

    Woke racism from Jo Maugham:

    image

    Done a Nish Kumar....
    C4 News is saying the Tory members (plurality) back Rishi.
    I agree his campaign looks too Portilloish. He will not win. But I don't think it's racism. The members will vote for Badenoch, but not this time round.

    Please do not tell @HYUFD
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,163

    HYUFD said:

    It's going to be Sunak. He ticks all the boxes: supported by MPs, members will vote for him, possesses rudimentary political skills and is a serious person. I think all the other candidates fail on at least one of those grounds. I think support will coalesce around him quickly and he will beat Truss or whoever else is up against him in the members' vote.

    He won't, he is the David Miliband or Michael Portillo of this race, too liberal, too slick, too presumptuous when what the party wanted was a return to traditional socialist or social democrat values with Ed Miliband or traditional Conservative values with IDS
    He very well may and confound your panic
    I suspect that in these circumstances, @HYUFD is probably representative of other Tory members. Of course, if there is a coronation, the members will have no choice.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,288
    edited July 2022
    The strange brief storm passes. Leaving a spectacular sunset


  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,591



    All while China ruthlessly take control of every aspect from tik tok to international ML conferences.

    I'm sort of relaxed about China ruthlessly controlling tik tok. What do you fear they'll do with it?
    They ruthlessly control the message shown...in China it is used a propaganda tool, the west it can (and is) used to sow discontent....why use twitter / facebook like Russia, when you can just control the platform itself.

    They also harvest all the info from it. Its like the worst of Meta behaviour on steroids. It is something Trump was actually right on (advised by security agencies).
    Aside from that, would should an ex-Communist fear from it? ;)
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,557
    nico679 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Channel 4 / Opinium survey of Tory members finds:

    (a) a majority wanted Johnson to stay as leader
    (b) Rishi Sunak has a slight lead with 25%, over Liz Truss.

    Which is why Major wanted them kept out of the leadership vote .

    Most of the membership would still be supporting Johnson even if he blew up a school bus .
    Johnson won't be standing. Major must know that.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,041

    HYUFD said:

    It's going to be Sunak. He ticks all the boxes: supported by MPs, members will vote for him, possesses rudimentary political skills and is a serious person. I think all the other candidates fail on at least one of those grounds. I think support will coalesce around him quickly and he will beat Truss or whoever else is up against him in the members' vote.

    He won't, he is the David Miliband or Michael Portillo of this race, too liberal, too slick, too presumptuous when what the party wanted was a return to traditional socialist or social democrat values with Ed Miliband or traditional Conservative values with IDS
    He very well may and confound your panic
    I suspect that in these circumstances, @HYUFD is probably representative of other Tory members. Of course, if there is a coronation, the members will have no choice.
    Not according to C4 News who confirm conservative members back Rishi
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,041

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Sunak's slick 'Ready for Rishi' website has obviously been ready well before this launch.

    Just like Portillo he has launched straight out the blocks with a slick, liberal metropolitan focused campaign.

    However Tory members and most Tory MPs aren't looking for that now, they want a decent, straight laced traditional Tory who will return to Conservative values. Wallace could well be the IDS or Douglas Home or Major of this race therefore to Sunak's Portillo or Rab Butler or Heseltine.

    Is it fair to remark there is something a bit “Stop Rishi” creeping into your posts HY?

    Is it the fact Rishi did bare minimum helping Boris this year, knifed Boris occasionally with “I would not have used that remark” comments, and has clearly been working with others for weeks if not months on this video that makes you cross he is a bit disloyal? Or is it Rishi’s record in the treasury of wasting eye watering sums on fraud, presided over lack of due diligence whilst happy to roll around in the limelight of praise of taxpayers money he was throwing around like confetti that you don’t think deserves rewarding with the top job?
    He has been implacable opposed to Rishi for some reason all along

  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    The SDP-Green coalition has won a vote in the Bundestag backing more coal burning so that the three remaining nuclear plants can be switched off as planned this year. Climate targets may have to be abandoned as a result.

    https://twitter.com/mark_lynas/status/1545345583262695424?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    That's odd I could have sworn there were people saying the German Greens are different, they aren't mad like the ones we have.
    TBF the Scottish Greens are somewhat more mainstream than the rUKGs.
    There aren't rUKGs. There are NI Greens and E&W Greens.
    Bizarrely, the Welsh portion of the EnglandandWales Greens now believe in independence for Wales, but voted against organising as a separate Welsh Party.

    The EnglandandWales Green party is the most Cymrophobic party in Wales at the moment.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    edited July 2022

    HYUFD said:

    It's going to be Sunak. He ticks all the boxes: supported by MPs, members will vote for him, possesses rudimentary political skills and is a serious person. I think all the other candidates fail on at least one of those grounds. I think support will coalesce around him quickly and he will beat Truss or whoever else is up against him in the members' vote.

    He won't, he is the David Miliband or Michael Portillo of this race, too liberal, too slick, too presumptuous when what the party wanted was a return to traditional socialist or social democrat values with Ed Miliband or traditional Conservative values with IDS
    He very well may and confound your panic
    I suspect that in these circumstances, @HYUFD is probably representative of other Tory members. Of course, if there is a coronation, the members will have no choice.
    Not according to C4 News who confirm conservative members back Rishi
    That C4 news Tory members poll only had a head to head between Sunak and Truss, in which Sunak scraped a win.

    On first preferences Sunak was well under 50% with Wallace already a strong third
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,154
    kle4 said:

    I am opposed to Sunak becoming PM because I am angry the BCE keep naming his constituency Richmond (Yorks) and don't want to see it all the time.

    I don't think there is any other constituency in that style.

    Yes, the two Richmond seats should be delineated as:

    Richmond Up North
    Richmond Down South

    It'd solve all confusion.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,557
    FPT

    Stumbled across this article on the Spectator front page.

    "Sean Thomas
    How Boris Johnson changed my life
    8 July 2022, 2:57pm" (£)

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/how-boris-johnson-gave-me-a-hand-in-life
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,041
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    It's going to be Sunak. He ticks all the boxes: supported by MPs, members will vote for him, possesses rudimentary political skills and is a serious person. I think all the other candidates fail on at least one of those grounds. I think support will coalesce around him quickly and he will beat Truss or whoever else is up against him in the members' vote.

    He won't, he is the David Miliband or Michael Portillo of this race, too liberal, too slick, too presumptuous when what the party wanted was a return to traditional socialist or social democrat values with Ed Miliband or traditional Conservative values with IDS
    He very well may and confound your panic
    I suspect that in these circumstances, @HYUFD is probably representative of other Tory members. Of course, if there is a coronation, the members will have no choice.
    Not according to C4 News who confirm conservative members back Rishi
    That C4 news Tory members poll only had a head to head between Sunak and Truss, in which Sunak scraped a win.

    On first preferences Sunak was well under 50% with Wallace already a strong third
    https://twitter.com/Channel4News/status/1545460754857578498?t=pG5MK2do3yAzsn7Oqax8zA&s=19
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,135
    nico679 said:

    If it has to be a Leaver for the Tory membership then I think Sunak seems a bit more pragmatic and less likely to be divisive and in constant conflict with the EU .

    So as a Remainer I find him the most palatable of the Leavers so far who are expected to put their names forward .

    With my 4 hats -

    Betting: I want Mordaunt
    Labour: I want Truss
    Country: I want Hunt
    Heart: I want the Saj
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,921
    edited July 2022

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sunak seems ridiculously short.

    So I have laid him.

    There’s always a stop someone? Stop Tarzan. Get Ken - Europhile traitor - get Portillo - stop Howard - knock Gove out - what DON’T we want? Angela Leadsome.

    Just watched ITN news and it was framed as “disloyal Sunak who brought down Boris.” He’s the “get the disloyal one” candidate.
    If Rishi in last two with Truss, Rishi is by far the better communicator, but she gets the “stop the traitor” votes. Pest did reveal 1st bar is 20 (TWENTY) nominations by the way.
    Sunak's slick 'Ready for Rishi' website has obviously been ready well before this launch.

    Just like Portillo he has launched straight out the blocks with a slick, liberal metropolitan focused campaign.

    However Tory members and most Tory MPs aren't looking for that now, they want a decent, straight laced traditional Tory who will return to Conservative values. Wallace could well be the IDS or Douglas Home or Major of this race therefore to Sunak's Portillo or Rab Butler or Heseltine.

    Is it fair to remark there is something a bit “Stop Rishi” creeping into your posts HY?

    Is it the fact Rishi did bare minimum helping Boris this year, knifed Boris occasionally with “I would not have used that remark” comments, and has clearly been working with others for weeks if not months on this video that makes you cross he is a bit disloyal? Or is it Rishi’s record in the treasury of wasting eye watering sums on fraud, presided over lack of due diligence whilst happy to roll around in the limelight of praise of taxpayers money he was throwing around like confetti that you don’t think deserves rewarding with the top job?
    Stop x campaigns often win Tory leadership campaigns against early favourites.

    See the 'Stop Butler' behind the scenes campaign of 1963, the 'Stop Heseltine' campaign of 1990, the 'Stop Clarke' campaign of 1997, the 'Stop Portillo campaign of 2001 or arguably the 'Stop Davis' campaign of
    2005 or the 'Stop Boris' campaign of 2016
  • KevinBKevinB Posts: 109
    Rishi was totally irresponsible with furlough. It should have been 60% of prior income max. The generosity of furlough was one reason why the lockdowns went on so long
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,154

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    Joe Biden accidentally reads the part on the teleprompter that says "repeat the line" when they wanted him to say the line again lmfao

    https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status/1545441526133788673?s=20&t=lJ_hlqafj7ODRvRDRX7GeQ

    Oh dear. For how long will they try and cover for him, before admitting that maybe an 80-year-old man is not the best guy to have in charge? Imagine starting to lose your faculties, whilst also being aware that you’re POTUS and the most powerful man in the world.
    Look at the Veep’s face as Biden fluffs his lines again. Suppressed panic: Get Me Out Of Here

    Uncannily like some of the faces Trump’s aides would pull during HIS insane speeches

    Shape Up, Merika
    It's weird to think that if Iowa Democrats had not fucked up royally, it would be President Buttigieg right now.
    South Carolina say "hi y'all!"
    Actually, it wasn't just Iowa Democrats. It was also Mike Bloomberg.

    Buttigieg would have ridden victory in Iowa to victory in New Hampshire.

    And then he would likely have come a solid second in Nevada behind Sanders. And I don't think Biden could have come back from that.

    Without Bloomberg in the race, there would therefore have been one moderate candidate - Buttigieg - and he would have cruised to the nomination.
  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 5,001
    Of course, KevinB has rather missed an enormous logic hole in his fantasy.

    He's been assuring us that the oldest voters are sufficiently against gay marriage to be supportive of overturning it. And whilst over-65s are the still net in favour, they are the least accepting age group.

    However, there's an issue with relying on the over-65s group providing your core support 30+ years from now. I wonder if he can spot it.

    (And the possible loophole that maybe people become more anti-gay-marriage as they age has not been seen at all; if anything, they've been going the other way. And each echelon has been retaining their pro-gay-marriage bias as they age into the next age group. Understandable, really, the adage that people become more conservative as they age tends to be by viewing whatever was the default when they were younger as being how things should be in future - and thirty years from now, most people will have had gay marriage as being normal for a long long time)
This discussion has been closed.