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A day long remembered – politicalbetting.com

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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,281

    The precedent? Gordon Brown. Realised he was a barrier and voluntarily resigned as party leader. But expected he would continue as PM. As that quickly became not just untenable but laughable he had to make another statement that he was going. Before it went dark.

    That's not a valid precedent because when Brown left it was clear who would take over.

    Do you really image the theatre of someone going to the palace to be asked to form a caretaker government?
    The Deputy Prime Minister. Or if he recuses himself because he wants the job permanently, then we are back to the men in grey suits making a recommendation to the monarch. As they always used to do.
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    Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 7,560
    edited July 2022
    It's worth recalling that when Corbyn finally went there was a widespread belief that Labour members, many of them at that time Corbynites, would plump for his anointed successor, Rebecca Long-Bailey. In fact they went for the dull option, Starmer, with pragmatism trumping ideology. Tory members may act similarly. (I don't mean they'll go for Starmer, of course).
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    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,477

    Leon said:

    Some comparisons here


    Tony Blair's memoir sold 220,000 copies in its first seven weeks

    People CLEARLY wanted to read it, and they went out and bought it. I bet quite a few of those were Blair haters who wanted to see how he justified Iraq

    To my mind Boris has easily a good a story to tell as Blair, so he could do as well, or better. But let's say his story is less interesting (how?). Let's try Gordon Brown, one of the dullest men in history. His memoirs sold just 22,000. Pitiful. But he's boring, so there you go, and Blair got there first with the juicy stuff (as did Al Campbell)

    @Heathener is literally predicting that Boris Johnson will sell a quarter of the copies that Gordon Brown sold. Like I said, a delusion born of blind hatred

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/book-sales-leave-gordon-brown-in-tony-blairs-shadow-again-xf0hp060k

    Even I have a copy of Blair's book even though I hated him. Thankfully I never got to the bit where he describes his love life with Chery.
    Presumably Cherie didn't, either? Given they are still together :wink:
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    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,383

    The interesting thing will be to see if Sunak stands and if h

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    biggles said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    The delay is unacceptable.

    He's untrustworthy and will seek to remain, buggering up the country to try and buy himself a favourable legacy in the meantime.

    Get rid of him, PCP, or be shown to be utter fools once again.

    On Leon's point about history being kinder to him than PB, that is possible, in relation to some big policy matters (others will disagree), but his personal standards will not be treated kindly, and in any case in the moment of being forced out few will be thinking about reflecting on positives
    First up, no one these days reads political memoirs. Nor do they any longer have an interest in reading books by sad old white male sexual predators. Appetites have changed. He may get a decent advance but the publishers won't earn out the advance in sales.

    Second, history will not be kinder to him on the bigger issues. Leon says this because of his obsession with Brexit, after a Damascene conversion on the way to the ballot box and with all the tedious zealotry that brings. For most of the rest of us it's obvious Brexit is a massive cock-up that is going to take years to sort out properly. The NI protocol is one example of Boris bodging Brexit in a disastrous fashion. He never thought it through properly because he didn't care about it. He was never a Brexiteer. He chose Brexit to become King of the World. Nothing more.

    Other big issues? The initial vaccine rollout was a success but on most other counts our handling of covid has been another cock-up, from the ridiculously lax opening (Cheltenham and Bath Half ffs) to the over-reaction the other way with ludicrously over-tight lockdowns and pernicious policing. That Big Brother state then extended into horrendous legislature further restricting our freedoms. Except for himself, obvs.

    He is a shit. The vilest prime minister of any of our lifetimes. He deserves a category of worst prime ministers all to himself. The others, however poor, don't deserve to be mentioned in the same breath as this wicked clown.

    He dragged down his party. He dragged downthis country.
    His memoirs will sell heavily internationally, Brexit is now bedded in as a fact of life, and whether you agree or not the public think the vaccine rollout out went very well. The short hand history of Boris will read “did what he said he’d do on Brexit, and managed Covid well, but was undone by his personal weaknesses”..

    Any memoirs may get large advances from the publishers, but will be in the remainder boxes within months. No one wants to read over Covid either, except a few public health people trying to formulate lessons, and they will want facts not Johnsonion bluster.
    You're wrong. I rarely read memoirs but I will certainly read Boris' - not because of the man but because of everything he witnessed, and often personally decided. He's not James Joyce, but he can write well, which is a significant advantage

    eg Covid. I really do want to know who decided what and when. I want the gory details. We were locked down for months. Who was pro, who was anti. And what was it like for him nearly dying? That's a chapter right there

    The more I think about it, the more I am convinced it will sell very nicely. It is an incredible story. Those who hate Boris will never buy it. They will secretly steal it from friends and guiltily read it at 2am, while scowling with anger
    Oh Boris has precisely zero to worry about in his post premiership. The public speech circuit in the states beckons, the book will sell, in time he might even pop up and do a couple of TV shows again. He’ll go back to his buffoonery and weird private life, and in time I hate to say this to PB but the public (or at least those of a centre right persuasion) will forgive him everything: because he is Boris, and he tried, and he got Brexit done, and he is our loveable buffoon even if he did make a bit of a hash of some things. Just my thoughts.
    I'm struggling to think of who would want to hire Boris as a speaker. Surely the type of people who attend such events would regard it as a kind of veiled insult.
    Dunno. I can imagine lots of people loving the opportunity to heckle Johnson, and there will always be a few enraptured true believers.
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    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,087
    Surely PM should just be pragmatic now and allow people back into the jobs they resigned from? What's he trying to prove with a pointless reshuffle?
    https://twitter.com/joeyfjones/status/1544989088972947456
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    Wrt the Boris book 'debate', it'll easily sell 5,000 copies, and almost certainly do that number 10 times over. You'd have to be on crack to think otherwise.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,389
    HYUFD said:

    I will laugh hysterically if having pushed so hard to get rid of Boris left liberal PBers now end up with Steve Baker, Priti Patel, Liz Truss or Suella Braverman as PM once it gets to the Tory membership.

    Boris might end up the moderate PM of this Tory government!!

    Don't be bitter, although we know today is difficult for you. I have backed Steve Baker and I rate him highly as someone who has integrity and is intellectually coherent. I couldn't care less if I disagree with him on Brexit as he is someone who is trustworthy.

    Patel, Braverman I don't rate but that's politics.

    Truss I don't mind at all. Same with Mordaunt, Hunt (although I don't think he's anywhere close to being eligible for the membership).

    You are missing the point about Boris. He is a lying, solipsistic scumbag. And of course you feel bad because he fooled you and made a fool of you but you shouldn't feel too upset. He did exactly the same to many a Minister sent out to bat for him.

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    Penddu2Penddu2 Posts: 595
    Pulpstar said:

    Boris' book will sell more than 5,000 copies. He's got a huge army of sycophants out there still.

    It doesnt have to sell any books - He just wants the advance -----
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    Scott_xP said:

    Surely PM should just be pragmatic now and allow people back into the jobs they resigned from? What's he trying to prove with a pointless reshuffle?
    https://twitter.com/joeyfjones/status/1544989088972947456

    and put rishi back in as CoE and demote a few??

    Good luck with that
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,969
    tlg86 said:

    Will this happen with Boris's book?


    From the late, great Clive James

    "The book of my enemy has been remaindered
    And I am pleased.
    In vast quantities it has been remaindered.
    Like a van-load of counterfeit that has been seized
    And sits in piles in a police warehouse,
    My enemy’s much-praised efforts sits in piles
    In the kind of bookshop where remaindering occurs.
    Great, square stacks of rejected books and, between them, aisles
    One passes down reflecting on life’s vanities,
    Pausing to remember all those thoughtful reviews
    Lavished to no avail up one’s enemy’s book –
    For behold, here is that book
    Among these ranks and banks of duds,
    These ponderous and seemingly irreducible cairns
    Of complete stiff"
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    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 24,474

    Hmm. Green up on next PM or hang on for a big payday (or loss if one of the left-field candidates gets the job)?

    Since posting, the green number has fallen by 75 per cent. Oh well.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,278

    My book is screaming:

    Come on Tory MPs, put Raab as interim PM.


    Or better still, May.

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    boulayboulay Posts: 3,972
    Sandpit said:

    Scott_xP said:

    How long until Carrie announces a divorce?

    Within 48 hours of the cheque for the book/TV advance landing in his bank account.

    Right now he’s a pauper, and no-one wants to divorce a pauper.
    Surely it wouldn’t make any difference as if his financial circumstances changed dramatically she would have the right to demand more money - especially as mother to some of his children.

    You never know, she might stay with him and benefit from some of the favours owed to him by corporations or foundations as they might not want a loose cannon but they need to repay him…..
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,411
    Farooq said:

    If you're going to bet on book sales, you need to set a cutoff date by which time the low-sales side wins if there's no book published at all.

    It's the only way you'll actually win the bet.

    We've agreed. A year from the publication of the paperback (or the hardback if there is no PB)

    Boris will sell 5,000 in the first WEEK. It will be a major story in and of itself
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    bigglesbiggles Posts: 4,347
    HYUFD said:

    Pippa Crerar
    @PippaCrerar
    ·
    12m
    NEW: Foreign Sec Liz Truss - and would-be Tory leadership candidate - is cutting short her trip to Indonesia and will be making a statement shortly.

    'I am standing on a platform of going to war on Woke, delivering a Brexit so hard it will give members the horn, sending Putin back to Moscow with his tail between his legs and slashing the state back so small it would fit in my bath plug!'
    You owe me a keyboard.
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    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,502
    Chameleon said:

    If members think Liz Truss is the answer.. god
    Help us all

    The Wallace bandwagon seems to be building steam.

    Let’s say it goes to Truss v Wallace as the final two. Wallace wins the MPs convincingly. Truss stands aside having been promised her dream job of being first female CoE, also positioning herself well for leading the party if Wallace loses the next election.

    I can see this being highly plausible.
    I agree that Wallace seems popular. Personally I find him totally useless. He hasn't even successfully defended his department from cuts. He got pranked by Russian DJ's pretending to be Zelensky on the phone to him. He uses words like 'bollocks' as part of his comms - inarticulate. And he's bald as a coot and looks like a sack of spuds. He's got 'long grinding spell in opposition' written all over him. But there is momentum behind him.
    He'll lead the Conservatives to a respectable loss at the next GE, which currently would sound quite good to a lot of MPs.
    Mainly Labour ones.
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    MightyAlexMightyAlex Posts: 1,452
    Heathener said:

    Leon said:

    Some comparisons here


    Tony Blair's memoir sold 220,000 copies in its first seven weeks

    People CLEARLY wanted to read it, and they went out and bought it. I bet quite a few of those were Blair haters who wanted to see how he justified Iraq

    To my mind Boris has easily a good a story to tell as Blair, so he could do as well, or better. But let's say his story is less interesting (how?). Let's try Gordon Brown, one of the dullest men in history. His memoirs sold just 22,000. Pitiful. But he's boring, so there you go, and Blair got there first with the juicy stuff (as did Al Campbell)

    @Heathener is literally predicting that Boris Johnson will sell a quarter of the copies that Gordon Brown sold. Like I said, a delusion born of blind hatred

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/book-sales-leave-gordon-brown-in-tony-blairs-shadow-again-xf0hp060k

    Even I have a copy of Blair's book even though I hated him. Thankfully I never got to the bit where he describes his love life with Chery.
    That was then, this is now.

    The appetite for books of this nature, as well as huge advances, died a death a decade ago.

    Trust me on this. Political memoirs no longer sell.

    I'll leave it there. I have a son to run to a party. Long school holidays. A penalty of both private education and champagne socialism.
    You're forgetting America. There's at least 5000 Republican apparatchiks who will read the thing and all the think tanks and consulting firms who'll want a copy for the shelves.
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    I see that, yesterday, the G20 in Indonesia* was too vital for Liz Truss to dirty her hands with domestic political matters. Now she's on the first flight back.

    Major's wisdom teeth say hello.

    * "Jakarta?" "No, she was only too keen to make herself uncontactable for 24 hours".
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    OllyTOllyT Posts: 4,916
    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    biggles said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    The delay is unacceptable.

    He's untrustworthy and will seek to remain, buggering up the country to try and buy himself a favourable legacy in the meantime.

    Get rid of him, PCP, or be shown to be utter fools once again.

    On Leon's point about history being kinder to him than PB, that is possible, in relation to some big policy matters (others will disagree), but his personal standards will not be treated kindly, and in any case in the moment of being forced out few will be thinking about reflecting on positives
    First up, no one these days reads political memoirs. Nor do they any longer have an interest in reading books by sad old white male sexual predators. Appetites have changed. He may get a decent advance but the publishers won't earn out the advance in sales.

    Second, history will not be kinder to him on the bigger issues. Leon says this because of his obsession with Brexit, after a Damascene conversion on the way to the ballot box and with all the tedious zealotry that brings. For most of the rest of us it's obvious Brexit is a massive cock-up that is going to take years to sort out properly. The NI protocol is one example of Boris bodging Brexit in a disastrous fashion. He never thought it through properly because he didn't care about it. He was never a Brexiteer. He chose Brexit to become King of the World. Nothing more.

    Other big issues? The initial vaccine rollout was a success but on most other counts our handling of covid has been another cock-up, from the ridiculously lax opening (Cheltenham and Bath Half ffs) to the over-reaction the other way with ludicrously over-tight lockdowns and pernicious policing. That Big Brother state then extended into horrendous legislature further restricting our freedoms. Except for himself, obvs.

    He is a shit. The vilest prime minister of any of our lifetimes. He deserves a category of worst prime ministers all to himself. The others, however poor, don't deserve to be mentioned in the same breath as this wicked clown.

    He dragged down his party. He dragged downthis country.
    His memoirs will sell heavily internationally, Brexit is now bedded in as a fact of life, and whether you agree or not the public think the vaccine rollout out went very well. The short hand history of Boris will read “did what he said he’d do on Brexit, and managed Covid well, but was undone by his personal weaknesses”..

    Any memoirs may get large advances from the publishers, but will be in the remainder boxes within months. No one wants to read over Covid either, except a few public health people trying to formulate lessons, and they will want facts not Johnsonion bluster.
    You're wrong. I rarely read memoirs but I will certainly read Boris' - not because of the man but because of everything he witnessed, and often personally decided. He's not James Joyce, but he can write well, which is a significant advantage

    eg Covid. I really do want to know who decided what and when. I want the gory details. We were locked down for months. Who was pro, who was anti. And what was it like for him nearly dying? That's a chapter right there

    The more I think about it, the more I am convinced it will sell very nicely. It is an incredible story. Those who hate Boris will never buy it. They will secretly steal it from friends and guiltily read it at 2am, while scowling with anger
    Except you won't be able to believe a bloody word of it.
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    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775
    Leon said:

    Farooq said:

    If you're going to bet on book sales, you need to set a cutoff date by which time the low-sales side wins if there's no book published at all.

    It's the only way you'll actually win the bet.

    We've agreed. A year from the publication of the paperback (or the hardback if there is no PB)

    Boris will sell 5,000 in the first WEEK. It will be a major story in and of itself
    What if there's no book at all, though?
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,411
    Chameleon said:

    Wrt the Boris book 'debate', it'll easily sell 5,000 copies, and almost certainly do that number 10 times over. You'd have to be on crack to think otherwise.

    You are saying @Heathener is on cracK? As well as champagne? It explains things
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,758
    ping said:

    BF punters backing Wallace down to 3/1

    Seems way too short ?
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    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,087
    Exclusive:

    Told Kit Malthouse, the policing minister, is about to be announced as Chancellor for the Duchy of Lancaster

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1544990371062730752


    The insanity continues
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,411
    edited July 2022
    Farooq said:

    Leon said:

    Farooq said:

    If you're going to bet on book sales, you need to set a cutoff date by which time the low-sales side wins if there's no book published at all.

    It's the only way you'll actually win the bet.

    We've agreed. A year from the publication of the paperback (or the hardback if there is no PB)

    Boris will sell 5,000 in the first WEEK. It will be a major story in and of itself
    What if there's no book at all, though?
    Bet voided, of course


    Edit: as I see what you mean, yes that's a point. Perhaps 10 years after he leaves Number 10? An absurdly long time, but then I very much doubt it will take that long. Boris will want to exploit his fame ASAP. We can expect it in the next 2-3 years
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    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,790

    TOPPING said:

    Leon said:

    TOPPING said:

    Foxy said:

    biggles said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    The delay is unacceptable.

    He's untrustworthy and will seek to remain, buggering up the country to try and buy himself a favourable legacy in the meantime.

    Get rid of him, PCP, or be shown to be utter fools once again.

    On Leon's point about history being kinder to him than PB, that is possible, in relation to some big policy matters (others will disagree), but his personal standards will not be treated kindly, and in any case in the moment of being forced out few will be thinking about reflecting on positives
    First up, no one these days reads political memoirs. Nor do they any longer have an interest in reading books by sad old white male sexual predators. Appetites have changed. He may get a decent advance but the publishers won't earn out the advance in sales.

    Second, history will not be kinder to him on the bigger issues. Leon says this because of his obsession with Brexit, after a Damascene conversion on the way to the ballot box and with all the tedious zealotry that brings. For most of the rest of us it's obvious Brexit is a massive cock-up that is going to take years to sort out properly. The NI protocol is one example of Boris bodging Brexit in a disastrous fashion. He never thought it through properly because he didn't care about it. He was never a Brexiteer. He chose Brexit to become King of the World. Nothing more.

    Other big issues? The initial vaccine rollout was a success but on most other counts our handling of covid has been another cock-up, from the ridiculously lax opening (Cheltenham and Bath Half ffs) to the over-reaction the other way with ludicrously over-tight lockdowns and pernicious policing. That Big Brother state then extended into horrendous legislature further restricting our freedoms. Except for himself, obvs.

    He is a shit. The vilest prime minister of any of our lifetimes. He deserves a category of worst prime ministers all to himself. The others, however poor, don't deserve to be mentioned in the same breath as this wicked clown.

    He dragged down his party. He dragged downthis country.
    His memoirs will sell heavily internationally, Brexit is now bedded in as a fact of life, and whether you agree or not the public think the vaccine rollout out went very well. The short hand history of Boris will read “did what he said he’d do on Brexit, and managed Covid well, but was undone by his personal weaknesses”..

    Any memoirs may get large advances from the publishers, but will be in the remainder boxes within months. No one wants to read over Covid either, except a few public health people trying to formulate lessons, and they will want facts not Johnsonion bluster.
    Yep good point - no one bar a very few, Chris Whitty perhaps, will want to read 400 pages about lockdowns.
    But it's not gonna be 400 pages is it? Half the book will be Brexit

    Covid will get 50 pages? Lockdowns 30? And many people will want to read it, because they want to know who made these brutal decisions, and why

    Boris has a gift for self publicity. He will make sure there are juicy revelations throughout the book
    Boris believes he saved the world or at least Great Britain (ex-NI) with his actions throughout Covid; it will be more than 50 pages or how will he tell people how masterful his actions were.

    All I can see being a revelation is how he fought tooth and nail against Whitty, Van Tam, et al against the regulations. Which would make the book even more depressing in that he didn't succeed, largely.
    Surely Johnson will want to do a multi-volume epic?

    Volume 1 to take us up to the end of his time as Mayor of London.
    Volume 2 to cover the Brexit referendum, time as Foreign Secretary, and the "wilderness months" on the backbenches.
    Volume 3 to cover his tenure as PM: Brexit, GE, Covid, Ukraine, disgraceful lack of loyalty from his MPs.
    Yes but volume 3 needs to be published first because that is the commercially attractive one for publishers, the public and film makers alike.
    Volume 1 will be how he risked his life escaping from the Bores in the Carlton Club.
    Volume 2 will be about how he deliberately got very fat and risked his life shaking hands with people on the Covid frontline following the debacle of how he sent thousands to their deaths at a care home called Gallipoli.
    Volume 3 will be how he won the war against Putin and an ungrateful selectorate kicked him out of office.
    Volume 4 will be how he had his paintings exhibited in the National Gallery, wrote a series of books called The History of The English Speaking Populists and became voted the greatest Briton of All Time (by himself).
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    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,622
    In Bojo NEVER trust. He will try to bust out of his straight jacket, sooner rather than later.

    So getting him OUT of No. 10 must be job one. Not in six months. In six days if not hours.
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    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775
    Leon said:

    Farooq said:

    Leon said:

    Farooq said:

    If you're going to bet on book sales, you need to set a cutoff date by which time the low-sales side wins if there's no book published at all.

    It's the only way you'll actually win the bet.

    We've agreed. A year from the publication of the paperback (or the hardback if there is no PB)

    Boris will sell 5,000 in the first WEEK. It will be a major story in and of itself
    What if there's no book at all, though?
    Bet voided, of course
    Then there's no way you can lose
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,883

    On another point:

    If we have a long, hot summer, with prices and inflation rising, and political chaos, I can see riots happening for the first time in eleven years.

    I hope I'm wrong.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hamKl-su8PE
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,108

    The precedent? Gordon Brown. Realised he was a barrier and voluntarily resigned as party leader. But expected he would continue as PM. As that quickly became not just untenable but laughable he had to make another statement that he was going. Before it went dark.

    That's not a valid precedent because when Brown left it was clear who would take over.

    Do you really image the theatre of someone going to the palace to be asked to form a caretaker government?
    The Deputy Prime Minister. Or if he recuses himself because he wants the job permanently, then we are back to the men in grey suits making a recommendation to the monarch. As they always used to do.
    Can you name an example?
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    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Scott_xP said:

    Exclusive:

    Told Kit Malthouse, the policing minister, is about to be announced as Chancellor for the Duchy of Lancaster

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1544990371062730752


    The insanity continues

    Huge if true. big relief for Lancaster.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,960
    Nigelb said:

    ping said:

    BF punters backing Wallace down to 3/1

    Seems way too short ?
    I think so.

    Dominic Raab
    £121.21
    Rishi Sunak.
    £97.27
    Penny Mordaunt
    £86.85
    Sajid Javid
    £86.85
    Jeremy Hunt
    -£145.38
    Ben Wallace
    £6.49
    Nadhim Zahawi
    £86.85
    Liz Truss
    £90.73
    Tom Tugendhat
    £86.85
    Steve Baker (+£10 @ 100s)
    £86.85
    Theresa May
    £75.72
    Michael Gove
    £86.85
    Priti Patel
    £86.85
    Keir Starmer
    -£210.74
    Suella Braverman
    £86.85
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,281
    HYUFD said:

    If members think Liz Truss is the answer.. god
    Help us all

    I will laugh hysterically if having pushed so hard to get rid of Boris left liberal PBers now end up with Steve Baker, Priti Patel, Liz Truss or Suella Braverman as PM once it gets to the Tory membership.

    Boris might end up the moderate PM of this Tory government!!
    This is pathetic, even for your good self.

    Tory MPs have forced him out. Nobody else. Not me or @CorrectHorseBattery and @Scott_xP . Your MPs in your party and nobody else.

    And why have Tory MPs forced him out. Because what Boris Johnson has done is fundamentally wrong. *Morally* wrong. Procedurally wrong.

    That you - even now - deny this wrongdoing speaks volumes about your lack of understanding of basic principles like right and wrong. I think you described comments like this as "abuse" yesterday. Not abuse - sorrow. As like any Christian -as opposed to the faux hypocrite ones - I will rejoice when you finally repent and recognise reality.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,883
    ping said:

    BF punters backing Wallace down to 3/1

    Time to lay
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    CookieCookie Posts: 11,496
    If Johnson resigns today (I'm a bit puzzled over where the boundary between 'announces his resignation' and 'resigns' lies) could we see a new interim PM today? Could these discussions be going on in the background?
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,411

    I have spent the last day off this website, outside and regrouping. So many kind people have said they would like me to stay, so I will - but I will try my very best to reduce my posting activity as it is best for my mental health at this time.

    Thank you for your support.

    Honestly absolutely delighted. The third good news I have heard today after Johnson's resignation and my daughter getting a 1st in her degree.
    Well done to your daughter! That fantastic
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    kjhkjh Posts: 10,668
    HYUFD said:

    If members think Liz Truss is the answer.. god
    Help us all

    I will laugh hysterically if having pushed so hard to get rid of Boris left liberal PBers now end up with Steve Baker, Priti Patel, Liz Truss or Suella Braverman as PM once it gets to the Tory membership.

    Boris might end up the moderate PM of this Tory government!!
    You really don't get it do you? The hatred of Boris was because he was an immoral liar. I would be much happier with any on your list except for Patel and that would be for the same reason.

    Again you show your lack of moral compass.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,784
    The bogeyman is off... Quick, pivot!

    Nicola Sturgeon@NicolaSturgeon
    2. Boris Johnson was always manifestly unfit to be PM and the Tories should never have elected him leader or sustained him in office for as long as they have. But the problems run much deeper than one individual. The Westminster system is broken.


    https://twitter.com/ChrisMusson/status/1544973758707941376
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,758

    If members think Liz Truss is the answer.. god
    Help us all

    The Wallace bandwagon seems to be building steam.

    Let’s say it goes to Truss v Wallace as the final two. Wallace wins the MPs convincingly. Truss stands aside having been promised her dream job of being first female CoE, also positioning herself well for leading the party if Wallace loses the next election.

    I can see this being highly plausible.
    I agree that Wallace seems popular. Personally I find him totally useless. He hasn't even successfully defended his department from cuts. He got pranked by Russian DJ's pretending to be Zelensky on the phone to him. He uses words like 'bollocks' as part of his comms - inarticulate. And he's bald as a coot and looks like a sack of spuds. He's got 'long grinding spell in opposition' written all over him. But there is momentum behind him.
    He's something of a blank slate, which is an advantage when comparing him to the incumbent.
    If this thing goes as far as hustings, I think his odds will lengthen quickly.
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,281

    I have spent the last day off this website, outside and regrouping. So many kind people have said they would like me to stay, so I will - but I will try my very best to reduce my posting activity as it is best for my mental health at this time.

    Thank you for your support.

    Delighted to hear it. Mental health is critical - and I know painfully and as recently as Monday what it is like to be sucked into the black pit. So if things get too much take a breath. And then come back. This place is better with you here.
  • Options
    bigglesbiggles Posts: 4,347
    Boris will clear 5000 sales (and the rest in Aus/NZ). He’s an international star with a story that many will want to read. He’ll also get serialised in the Telegraph if he wants to.

    Actually that’s a point - place your next PM bets based on the ability of Boris to use his knowledge as PM to sink their chances.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    New full cabinet approved apparently.
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,411
    Farooq said:

    Leon said:

    Farooq said:

    Leon said:

    Farooq said:

    If you're going to bet on book sales, you need to set a cutoff date by which time the low-sales side wins if there's no book published at all.

    It's the only way you'll actually win the bet.

    We've agreed. A year from the publication of the paperback (or the hardback if there is no PB)

    Boris will sell 5,000 in the first WEEK. It will be a major story in and of itself
    What if there's no book at all, though?
    Bet voided, of course
    Then there's no way you can lose
    That's how I see it. @Heathener is not stupid. I think she is blinded by her hatred of Boris, as I say
  • Options
    YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    A relevant fact is surely that Theresa May earns a £ 110,000 a speech in the US conference circuit. She is basically the dullest & least interesting speaker in the world with a tale of boring underachievement to tell.

    So, @Leon is completely correct. There will be tonnes of money for Boris. Memoirs, the talk circuit, books.

    Of course, the books will be a pack of lies. No-one wants the truth. People want an unreliable, amusing tale told them. Boris has been delivering that all his life.

    Suppose you have to sit through a speech by one of our ex-PMs -- Major, Blair, Brown, Cameron, May or Johnson.

    Which one do you choose?

    All the speeches will be highly self-serving -- and at least four of them will be very dull.

    Blair's would not be, Johnson's would not be.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 39,875
    edited July 2022
    TOPPING said:

    HYUFD said:

    I will laugh hysterically if having pushed so hard to get rid of Boris left liberal PBers now end up with Steve Baker, Priti Patel, Liz Truss or Suella Braverman as PM once it gets to the Tory membership.

    Boris might end up the moderate PM of this Tory government!!

    Don't be bitter, although we know today is difficult for you. I have backed Steve Baker and I rate him highly as someone who has integrity and is intellectually coherent. I couldn't care less if I disagree with him on Brexit as he is someone who is trustworthy.

    Patel, Braverman I don't rate but that's politics.

    Truss I don't mind at all. Same with Mordaunt, Hunt (although I don't think he's anywhere close to being eligible for the membership).

    You are missing the point about Boris. He is a lying, solipsistic scumbag. And of course you feel bad because he fooled you and made a fool of you but you shouldn't feel too upset. He did exactly the same to many a Minister sent out to bat for him.

    Only about 99% upset, though: that's about right. The Johnson character was clear more than a generation ago.

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2012/oct/10/boris-johnson-unfit-to-be-prime-minister
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    That giant barrage you can hear? That's Labour and LibDem and SNP foxes being shot!

    No it's the Tory party circular firing squad.
    Indeed. There’s a lot of Tory glee today. What the poor wee souls don’t understand is that their Wilderness Years haven’t even started yet.
    I honestly don't think they will care. The general expectation in life for conservatives is that people are honest, work hard and play by the rules to get ahead. Brexit allowed Boris to become leader when as Gove told us years ago he was unfit. Not following the rules and sending out ministers to lie repeatedly seems to have been the last straw moreso than partygate. Whilst Boris set the culture the Civil Servants and police should have stopped it all too. It is the financial impropriety (treehouse, wallpaper) moral standards (rumours of sexual activity in HoC, Pinchergate) and general truth telling that have really hurt. The writing was on the wall for me when instead of taking the huge vote against him as a reproach, he came out and said that he couldn't change, and for me the final nail was his criticism of those who had been sent out to lie for him saying they misunderstood and got it wrong.

    I think we will see a weight lifted off as politicians are able to return to doing what they normally do
    Tories being Tories?
    That’s certainly going to keep them in the teens in Scotland.
    What the Tories really need is to stop acting like Tories.
    I was in Scotland a couple of weeks ago and was surprised at the vitriol against the Tories. I was with what I can only presume were two not overly political civil servants. They knew every affair every financial transgression of Boris for the last 30 years. They wouldn't believe me when I said that the people who loved Boris were the working class - barbers bricklayers and pub landlords. They honestly thought it was the middle classes that loved Boris.
    It is not their class politics which puts Scots off the Tories.
    To be frank, they are widely considered to be the scum of the earth.
    What, it's their ethics? In SNP world? LOL
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,278
    Truss can't get a flight for another 12 hours reporting ITV.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,232
    Leon said:

    Wallace now fav

    Jesus Christ, Anyone But Wallace

    Can you imagine a Wallace V Starmer election?

    @Heathener will be begging Boris to come back and cheer us up, with a decent joke
    Who could forget the Wildean Sir Beer Korma?
    Not you for a start..
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    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 24,474
    Oops. Has Boris told another fib? Differences between the Minister and the Liaison Committee as to whether Boris reported his meeting with Lebedev.
  • Options
    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 20,803
    TOPPING said:

    HYUFD said:

    I will laugh hysterically if having pushed so hard to get rid of Boris left liberal PBers now end up with Steve Baker, Priti Patel, Liz Truss or Suella Braverman as PM once it gets to the Tory membership.

    Boris might end up the moderate PM of this Tory government!!

    Don't be bitter, although we know today is difficult for you. I have backed Steve Baker and I rate him highly as someone who has integrity and is intellectually coherent. I couldn't care less if I disagree with him on Brexit as he is someone who is trustworthy.

    Patel, Braverman I don't rate but that's politics.

    Truss I don't mind at all. Same with Mordaunt, Hunt (although I don't think he's anywhere close to being eligible for the membership).

    You are missing the point about Boris. He is a lying, solipsistic scumbag. And of course you feel bad because he fooled you and made a fool of you but you shouldn't feel too upset. He did exactly the same to many a Minister sent out to bat for him.

    Agree on Baker, think he is one to watch and could both make the final two and beat quite a few potential rivals with the membership. One thing that shows his ambition was the Tory MP zoom call when Boris could not chair it for some reason and Baker tried to do so in his place (think a grandee took control in the end).
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,281
    Scott_xP said:

    Exclusive:

    Told Kit Malthouse, the policing minister, is about to be announced as Chancellor for the Duchy of Lancaster

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1544990371062730752


    The insanity continues

    Hang on. He quit the government yesterday saying Boris had to go.
  • Options
    bigglesbiggles Posts: 4,347
    Leon said:

    Wallace now fav

    Jesus Christ, Anyone But Wallace

    Can you imagine a Wallace V Starmer election?

    @Heathener will be begging Boris to come back and cheer us up, with a decent joke
    I think that would be the genius of it. He’d out Starmer Starmer. And I reckon the public wants some boring politics for a while.
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775

    HYUFD said:

    If members think Liz Truss is the answer.. god
    Help us all

    I will laugh hysterically if having pushed so hard to get rid of Boris left liberal PBers now end up with Steve Baker, Priti Patel, Liz Truss or Suella Braverman as PM once it gets to the Tory membership.

    Boris might end up the moderate PM of this Tory government!!
    This is pathetic, even for your good self.

    Tory MPs have forced him out. Nobody else. Not me or @CorrectHorseBattery and @Scott_xP . Your MPs in your party and nobody else.

    And why have Tory MPs forced him out. Because what Boris Johnson has done is fundamentally wrong. *Morally* wrong. Procedurally wrong.

    That you - even now - deny this wrongdoing speaks volumes about your lack of understanding of basic principles like right and wrong. I think you described comments like this as "abuse" yesterday. Not abuse - sorrow. As like any Christian -as opposed to the faux hypocrite ones - I will rejoice when you finally repent and recognise reality.
    HYUFD doesn't understand the concept of morality. Time and time again any question of right and wrong bounces off him and he reflects it because with talking about what's legal or possible. He doesn't understand ethics, he only knows about the exercise of force.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 39,875
    edited July 2022


    A relevant fact is surely that Theresa May earns a £ 110,000 a speech in the US conference circuit. She is basically the dullest & least interesting speaker in the world with a tale of boring underachievement to tell.

    So, @Leon is completely correct. There will be tonnes of money for Boris. Memoirs, the talk circuit, books.

    Of course, the books will be a pack of lies. No-one wants the truth. People want an unreliable, amusing tale told them. Boris has been delivering that all his life.

    Suppose you have to sit through a speech by one of our ex-PMs -- Major, Blair, Brown, Cameron, May or Johnson.

    Which one do you choose?

    All the speeches will be highly self-serving -- and at least four of them will be very dull.

    Blair's would not be, Johnson's would not be.

    The answer is obvious. Major, on cricket.

    I wouldn't like to be the publisher's lawyer for Mr J's memoirs. Especially with any superinjunction possibly hypothetically imposed by Mr J himself (a further point to bear in mind re any memoirs).
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,087
    ok, thread on interim/ acting/ caretaker PMs/ governments.

    TL;DR: there are rules. But, yet again, its based on convention.

    https://twitter.com/cath_haddon/status/1544974582196703233
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711

    Scott_xP said:

    Exclusive:

    Told Kit Malthouse, the policing minister, is about to be announced as Chancellor for the Duchy of Lancaster

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1544990371062730752


    The insanity continues

    Hang on. He quit the government yesterday saying Boris had to go.
    Everyone quit yesterday! He has to fill with these guys!
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,992
    Cookie said:

    If Johnson resigns today (I'm a bit puzzled over where the boundary between 'announces his resignation' and 'resigns' lies) could we see a new interim PM today? Could these discussions be going on in the background?

    They are going on on the radio right now.
    Nobody thinks he's a suitable caretaker at all.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,134
    Cookie said:

    If Johnson resigns today (I'm a bit puzzled over where the boundary between 'announces his resignation' and 'resigns' lies) could we see a new interim PM today? Could these discussions be going on in the background?

    Bloody well hope so! Texted my MP to say well done - now get him out of Downing Street, pronto....
  • Options
    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 24,474
    Lindsay Hoyle (Speaker) annoyed that Boris's statement will apparently be to television cameras rather than the House.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,535
    I despise Boris Johnson but I’m going to buy his memoirs because that’s what I do with ex PMs.

    I might have to report Leon to the rozzers for larceny. .
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,784
    Hoyle - Johnson statement to Press and not to House “not satisfactory” - but as he’s technically resigning as leader of the Conservative Party, isn’t it public not HoC business? Both Cameron & May resigned in front of No.10 not in the HoC.
  • Options
    Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 7,560
    Leon said:

    Farooq said:

    If you're going to bet on book sales, you need to set a cutoff date by which time the low-sales side wins if there's no book published at all.

    It's the only way you'll actually win the bet.

    We've agreed. A year from the publication of the paperback (or the hardback if there is no PB)

    Boris will sell 5,000 in the first WEEK. It will be a major story in and of itself
    I agree with you. I mean, even I bought Alan Clark's Diaries, although I thought he was a total scumbag. Boris's may be similar.
  • Options
    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,151
    Farooq said:

    HYUFD said:

    If members think Liz Truss is the answer.. god
    Help us all

    I will laugh hysterically if having pushed so hard to get rid of Boris left liberal PBers now end up with Steve Baker, Priti Patel, Liz Truss or Suella Braverman as PM once it gets to the Tory membership.

    Boris might end up the moderate PM of this Tory government!!
    This is pathetic, even for your good self.

    Tory MPs have forced him out. Nobody else. Not me or @CorrectHorseBattery and @Scott_xP . Your MPs in your party and nobody else.

    And why have Tory MPs forced him out. Because what Boris Johnson has done is fundamentally wrong. *Morally* wrong. Procedurally wrong.

    That you - even now - deny this wrongdoing speaks volumes about your lack of understanding of basic principles like right and wrong. I think you described comments like this as "abuse" yesterday. Not abuse - sorrow. As like any Christian -as opposed to the faux hypocrite ones - I will rejoice when you finally repent and recognise reality.
    HYUFD doesn't understand the concept of morality. Time and time again any question of right and wrong bounces off him and he reflects it because with talking about what's legal or possible. He doesn't understand ethics, he only knows about the exercise of force.
    This website is not politicalmorality.com.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,515
    edited July 2022
    TOPPING said:

    Had supper last night with a friend who is/was a friend of Boris.

    His verdict? A ****.

    Grade inflation - Gove will have your head…

    Can’t see giving him more than a C - - myself
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,411
    edited July 2022
    MaxPB said:

    Thanks for the kind words on the previous topic everyone!

    In the end it turns out I have a minor heart condition which causes an irregular heartbeat so from today no more caffeine, no more HIIT and I need to figure out a better diet. Glad to have had the wake-up call before anything more serious happened.

    Good news. That happened to a friend of mine and it turned out to be a mere panic attack. Properly scary tho

    What's wrong with HIIT? And what's wrong with your diet?
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,087

    Hang on. He quit the government yesterday saying Boris had to go.

    And today he gets a promotion...
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,221

    The next few weeks are going to be wall to floor coverage of the conservative leadership race

    Big G - my MP, the Attorney General (believe it or not) has thrown her hat into the ring. What is your opinion of her?
    We've had for 3 years a PM who has, to be very charitable indeed, been economical with the truth. Suella is cut from the same cloth - as the article below spells out. It's not just what she's said and done in government but the nonsense, to put it mildly, she has said about her own pre-Parliamentary career.

    No. Just no.

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/may/14/attorney-generals-office-worthy-of-respect-suella-the-stooge-disgraces-it



  • Options
    pingping Posts: 3,731

    Truss can't get a flight for another 12 hours reporting ITV.

    Lol

    And I bet she was congratulating herself on how clever she was being out of the country while the bloodletting was going on.
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,496

    Scott_xP said:

    Exclusive:

    Told Kit Malthouse, the policing minister, is about to be announced as Chancellor for the Duchy of Lancaster

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1544990371062730752


    The insanity continues

    Hang on. He quit the government yesterday saying Boris had to go.
    Everyone quit yesterday! He has to fill with these guys!
    Yes, for some things - war, disease, the Duchy of Lancaster - the importance of keeping the ship running must outweigh short term politics...
  • Options
    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,383

    I see that, yesterday, the G20 in Indonesia* was too vital for Liz Truss to dirty her hands with domestic political matters. Now she's on the first flight back.

    Major's wisdom teeth say hello.

    * "Jakarta?" "No, she was only too keen to make herself uncontactable for 24 hours".

    She's out of the loop while all the manoeuvring and deals are being done. By the time she's back in Britain she will be way off the pace set by other contenders.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,343
    edited July 2022
    Sky reporting Greg Clark former business secretary and key remainer is to replace Gove

    Interested to hear @HYUFD views on a remainer being appointed to cabinet
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,097
    edited July 2022
    Farooq said:

    HYUFD said:

    If members think Liz Truss is the answer.. god
    Help us all

    I will laugh hysterically if having pushed so hard to get rid of Boris left liberal PBers now end up with Steve Baker, Priti Patel, Liz Truss or Suella Braverman as PM once it gets to the Tory membership.

    Boris might end up the moderate PM of this Tory government!!
    This is pathetic, even for your good self.

    Tory MPs have forced him out. Nobody else. Not me or @CorrectHorseBattery and @Scott_xP . Your MPs in your party and nobody else.

    And why have Tory MPs forced him out. Because what Boris Johnson has done is fundamentally wrong. *Morally* wrong. Procedurally wrong.

    That you - even now - deny this wrongdoing speaks volumes about your lack of understanding of basic principles like right and wrong. I think you described comments like this as "abuse" yesterday. Not abuse - sorrow. As like any Christian -as opposed to the faux hypocrite ones - I will rejoice when you finally repent and recognise reality.
    HYUFD doesn't understand the concept of morality. Time and time again any question of right and wrong bounces off him and he reflects it because with talking about what's legal or possible. He doesn't understand ethics, he only knows about the exercise of force.
    My morality and ethics are not your left liberal morality and ethics and never will be
  • Options
    NemtynakhtNemtynakht Posts: 2,311

    TOPPING said:

    Leon said:

    TOPPING said:

    Foxy said:

    biggles said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    The delay is unacceptable.

    He's untrustworthy and will seek to remain, buggering up the country to try and buy himself a favourable legacy in the meantime.

    Get rid of him, PCP, or be shown to be utter fools once again.

    On Leon's point about history being kinder to him than PB, that is possible, in relation to some big policy matters (others will disagree), but his personal standards will not be treated kindly, and in any case in the moment of being forced out few will be thinking about reflecting on positives
    First up, no one these days reads political memoirs. Nor do they any longer have an interest in reading books by sad old white male sexual predators. Appetites have changed. He may get a decent advance but the publishers won't earn out the advance in sales.

    Second, history will not be kinder to him on the bigger issues. Leon says this because of his obsession with Brexit, after a Damascene conversion on the way to the ballot box and with all the tedious zealotry that brings. For most of the rest of us it's obvious Brexit is a massive cock-up that is going to take years to sort out properly. The NI protocol is one example of Boris bodging Brexit in a disastrous fashion. He never thought it through properly because he didn't care about it. He was never a Brexiteer. He chose Brexit to become King of the World. Nothing more.

    Other big issues? The initial vaccine rollout was a success but on most other counts our handling of covid has been another cock-up, from the ridiculously lax opening (Cheltenham and Bath Half ffs) to the over-reaction the other way with ludicrously over-tight lockdowns and pernicious policing. That Big Brother state then extended into horrendous legislature further restricting our freedoms. Except for himself, obvs.

    He is a shit. The vilest prime minister of any of our lifetimes. He deserves a category of worst prime ministers all to himself. The others, however poor, don't deserve to be mentioned in the same breath as this wicked clown.

    He dragged down his party. He dragged downthis country.
    His memoirs will sell heavily internationally, Brexit is now bedded in as a fact of life, and whether you agree or not the public think the vaccine rollout out went very well. The short hand history of Boris will read “did what he said he’d do on Brexit, and managed Covid well, but was undone by his personal weaknesses”..

    Any memoirs may get large advances from the publishers, but will be in the remainder boxes within months. No one wants to read over Covid either, except a few public health people trying to formulate lessons, and they will want facts not Johnsonion bluster.
    Yep good point - no one bar a very few, Chris Whitty perhaps, will want to read 400 pages about lockdowns.
    But it's not gonna be 400 pages is it? Half the book will be Brexit

    Covid will get 50 pages? Lockdowns 30? And many people will want to read it, because they want to know who made these brutal decisions, and why

    Boris has a gift for self publicity. He will make sure there are juicy revelations throughout the book
    Boris believes he saved the world or at least Great Britain (ex-NI) with his actions throughout Covid; it will be more than 50 pages or how will he tell people how masterful his actions were.

    All I can see being a revelation is how he fought tooth and nail against Whitty, Van Tam, et al against the regulations. Which would make the book even more depressing in that he didn't succeed, largely.
    Classified as Fiction hopefully
    He will probably play into it and start writing novels about Jonas Bronson and his slimy ministers Michael Love, Nadia Delores and Jakob Rhys Evans.

    I've got to say I'm still laughing at whoever said yesterday that Rees Mogg was the lamppost in Narnia.
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,502

    Truss can't get a flight for another 12 hours reporting ITV.

    HahahahahaHAAAAAAAA
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,784


    A relevant fact is surely that Theresa May earns a £ 110,000 a speech in the US conference circuit. She is basically the dullest & least interesting speaker in the world with a tale of boring underachievement to tell.

    So, @Leon is completely correct. There will be tonnes of money for Boris. Memoirs, the talk circuit, books.

    Of course, the books will be a pack of lies. No-one wants the truth. People want an unreliable, amusing tale told them. Boris has been delivering that all his life.

    Suppose you have to sit through a speech by one of our ex-PMs -- Major, Blair, Brown, Cameron, May or Johnson.

    Which one do you choose?

    All the speeches will be highly self-serving -- and at least four of them will be very dull.

    Blair's would not be, Johnson's would not be.

    Have you heard May speak to a private meeting? From memory she can be sharp & witty, Similarly Major was a lot more entertaining than his grey image would suggest. Johnson’s problem is he only has one speech and will be quickly found out.



  • Options
    RH1992RH1992 Posts: 788
    edited July 2022

    Lindsay Hoyle (Speaker) annoyed that Boris's statement will apparently be to television cameras rather than the House.

    As much as I like Lindsay Hoyle he needs to get over himself about everything being announced to the House. If he's resigning as Tory leader then it's a party political statement and doesn't need to be made to the House. It's no different to May, or Cameron, or even Blair back in 2007 (who chose his own constituency to do it).
  • Options
    YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    Carnyx said:


    A relevant fact is surely that Theresa May earns a £ 110,000 a speech in the US conference circuit. She is basically the dullest & least interesting speaker in the world with a tale of boring underachievement to tell.

    So, @Leon is completely correct. There will be tonnes of money for Boris. Memoirs, the talk circuit, books.

    Of course, the books will be a pack of lies. No-one wants the truth. People want an unreliable, amusing tale told them. Boris has been delivering that all his life.

    Suppose you have to sit through a speech by one of our ex-PMs -- Major, Blair, Brown, Cameron, May or Johnson.

    Which one do you choose?

    All the speeches will be highly self-serving -- and at least four of them will be very dull.

    Blair's would not be, Johnson's would not be.

    The answer is obvious. Major, on cricket.

    I wouldn't like to be the publisher's lawyer for Mr J's memoirs. Especially with any superinjunction possibly hypothetically imposed by Mr J himself (a further point to bear in mind re any memoirs).
    I find cricket the most tedious game in the world, with the possible exception of golf.
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,087
    Exclusive

    Being told that Robert Buckland, the former justice secretary who was sacked by Boris Johnson, is making a comeback as Welsh Secretary

    He's the Tory MP for Swindon South

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1544992940535078913
  • Options
    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711

    Hoyle - Johnson statement to Press and not to House “not satisfactory” - but as he’s technically resigning as leader of the Conservative Party, isn’t it public not HoC business? Both Cameron & May resigned in front of No.10 not in the HoC.

    Yep, presumable the lectern will not have the crest on it, as it's action of him being Tory leader, not being PM?

  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited July 2022

    Alistair said:

    TOPPING said:

    Alistair said:

    The clear headed correct move right now is for Boris to (checks book) hand over to Raab as interim Prime Minister.

    I'm all over that but haven't checked the small print. Is interim leader leader as far as bf is concerned?
    We will settle this market on the Prime Minister after Boris Johnson as published on https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/prime-minister
    In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. If there is any change to the established ministerial role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair reserves the right to void this market at its absolute discretion.

    I expect Betfair will claim that interim is ambiguous and won't pay out on interim.

    Anyone expecting Betfair to religiously stick to what the rules say without any controversy has already forgotten the 2020 election market.
    They added "We will settle this market on the Prime Minister after Boris Johnson as published on" after being asked about interim PM. And being reminded about what happened with the Theresa May market.
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    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,151

    Scott_xP said:

    Exclusive:

    Told Kit Malthouse, the policing minister, is about to be announced as Chancellor for the Duchy of Lancaster

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1544990371062730752


    The insanity continues

    Hang on. He quit the government yesterday saying Boris had to go.
    Boris is going, so mission accomplished.

    I don't think he'll have a problem filling his caretaker administration, it's not like he's impossible to work with or anything. The only tricky part was getting sent out to lie for him, and they won't really have to do that any more.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610
    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Thanks for the kind words on the previous topic everyone!

    In the end it turns out I have a minor heart condition which causes an irregular heartbeat so from today no more caffeine, no more HIIT and I need to figure out a better diet. Glad to have had the wake-up call before anything more serious happened.

    Good news. That happened to a friend of mine and it turned out to be a mere panic attack. Properly scary tho

    What's wrong with HIIT? And what's wrong with your diet?
    I can't overwork my heart with HIIT, needs to be more gradual but lengthy exercise from now on.

    Just got to cut out coffee and reduce added sugar more than anything else but there's always room for improvement.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,969
    Leon said:

    I have spent the last day off this website, outside and regrouping. So many kind people have said they would like me to stay, so I will - but I will try my very best to reduce my posting activity as it is best for my mental health at this time.

    Thank you for your support.

    Honestly absolutely delighted. The third good news I have heard today after Johnson's resignation and my daughter getting a 1st in her degree.
    Well done to your daughter! That fantastic
    Cheers Leon.
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    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,502
    edited July 2022
    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Thanks for the kind words on the previous topic everyone!

    In the end it turns out I have a minor heart condition which causes an irregular heartbeat so from today no more caffeine, no more HIIT and I need to figure out a better diet. Glad to have had the wake-up call before anything more serious happened.

    Good news. That happened to a friend of mine and it turned out to be a mere panic attack. Properly scary tho

    What's wrong with HIIT? And what's wrong with your diet?
    I'd get everything checked thoroughly and DYOR before you take Doctors advice on diet, or exercise. They're largely pig-ignorant on the subject.

    Very glad you're feeling better!
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    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 39,875

    The interesting thing will be to see if Sunak stands and if h

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    biggles said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    The delay is unacceptable.

    He's untrustworthy and will seek to remain, buggering up the country to try and buy himself a favourable legacy in the meantime.

    Get rid of him, PCP, or be shown to be utter fools once again.

    On Leon's point about history being kinder to him than PB, that is possible, in relation to some big policy matters (others will disagree), but his personal standards will not be treated kindly, and in any case in the moment of being forced out few will be thinking about reflecting on positives
    First up, no one these days reads political memoirs. Nor do they any longer have an interest in reading books by sad old white male sexual predators. Appetites have changed. He may get a decent advance but the publishers won't earn out the advance in sales.

    Second, history will not be kinder to him on the bigger issues. Leon says this because of his obsession with Brexit, after a Damascene conversion on the way to the ballot box and with all the tedious zealotry that brings. For most of the rest of us it's obvious Brexit is a massive cock-up that is going to take years to sort out properly. The NI protocol is one example of Boris bodging Brexit in a disastrous fashion. He never thought it through properly because he didn't care about it. He was never a Brexiteer. He chose Brexit to become King of the World. Nothing more.

    Other big issues? The initial vaccine rollout was a success but on most other counts our handling of covid has been another cock-up, from the ridiculously lax opening (Cheltenham and Bath Half ffs) to the over-reaction the other way with ludicrously over-tight lockdowns and pernicious policing. That Big Brother state then extended into horrendous legislature further restricting our freedoms. Except for himself, obvs.

    He is a shit. The vilest prime minister of any of our lifetimes. He deserves a category of worst prime ministers all to himself. The others, however poor, don't deserve to be mentioned in the same breath as this wicked clown.

    He dragged down his party. He dragged downthis country.
    His memoirs will sell heavily internationally, Brexit is now bedded in as a fact of life, and whether you agree or not the public think the vaccine rollout out went very well. The short hand history of Boris will read “did what he said he’d do on Brexit, and managed Covid well, but was undone by his personal weaknesses”..

    Any memoirs may get large advances from the publishers, but will be in the remainder boxes within months. No one wants to read over Covid either, except a few public health people trying to formulate lessons, and they will want facts not Johnsonion bluster.
    You're wrong. I rarely read memoirs but I will certainly read Boris' - not because of the man but because of everything he witnessed, and often personally decided. He's not James Joyce, but he can write well, which is a significant advantage

    eg Covid. I really do want to know who decided what and when. I want the gory details. We were locked down for months. Who was pro, who was anti. And what was it like for him nearly dying? That's a chapter right there

    The more I think about it, the more I am convinced it will sell very nicely. It is an incredible story. Those who hate Boris will never buy it. They will secretly steal it from friends and guiltily read it at 2am, while scowling with anger
    Oh Boris has precisely zero to worry about in his post premiership. The public speech circuit in the states beckons, the book will sell, in time he might even pop up and do a couple of TV shows again. He’ll go back to his buffoonery and weird private life, and in time I hate to say this to PB but the public (or at least those of a centre right persuasion) will forgive him everything: because he is Boris, and he tried, and he got Brexit done, and he is our loveable buffoon even if he did make a bit of a hash of some things. Just my thoughts.
    I'm struggling to think of who would want to hire Boris as a speaker. Surely the type of people who attend such events would regard it as a kind of veiled insult.
    Dunno. I can imagine lots of people loving the opportunity to heckle Johnson, and there will always be a few enraptured true believers.
    Have you read the famous account by someone who was at the same function as Johnson, about his degree of preparation and the content of his talk? (Sorry, don't have the link ...).
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,097

    Sky reporting Greg Clark former business secretary and key remainer is to replace Gove

    Interested to hear @HYUFD views on a remainer being appointed to cabinet

    He is my parent's MP and competent at least not that it really matters until the new Leader is elected and chooses his Cabinet
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711

    Truss can't get a flight for another 12 hours reporting ITV.

    HahahahahaHAAAAAAAA
    IF only we had an Air Force One equivalent!
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,997
    Glad you're (mostly) ok, Mr. Max.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,389
    MaxPB said:

    Thanks for the kind words on the previous topic everyone!

    In the end it turns out I have a minor heart condition which causes an irregular heartbeat so from today no more caffeine, no more HIIT and I need to figure out a better diet. Glad to have had the wake-up call before anything more serious happened.

    Blimey didn't see that - glad that it all seems ok and controllable.

    I cut out caffeine a few years ago. I had bad indigestion and, before packing me off to have a tube shoved down my throat, said that 90% of the people who came to him with indigestion were drinking too much caffeine.

    And so it proved.

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    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,087
    Understand there is currently a stand-off between PM and his staff over the contents of his resignation statement, which he's due to deliver to the nation at 1pm.
    https://twitter.com/KevinASchofield/status/1544993245595328513
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,343

    Lindsay Hoyle (Speaker) annoyed that Boris's statement will apparently be to television cameras rather than the House.

    On this Hoyle is out of order
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,758


    A relevant fact is surely that Theresa May earns a £ 110,000 a speech in the US conference circuit. She is basically the dullest & least interesting speaker in the world with a tale of boring underachievement to tell.

    So, @Leon is completely correct. There will be tonnes of money for Boris. Memoirs, the talk circuit, books.

    Of course, the books will be a pack of lies. No-one wants the truth. People want an unreliable, amusing tale told them. Boris has been delivering that all his life.

    Suppose you have to sit through a speech by one of our ex-PMs -- Major, Blair, Brown, Cameron, May or Johnson.

    Which one do you choose?

    All the speeches will be highly self-serving -- and at least four of them will be very dull.

    Blair's would not be, Johnson's would not be.

    I think I'd prefer Major.
    I don't despise him; he was PM long enough back to be of mild historical interest; and if he's predictably boring, then at least has a voice one would be able to doze off to.
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    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    TOPPING said:

    Alistair said:

    The clear headed correct move right now is for Boris to (checks book) hand over to Raab as interim Prime Minister.

    I'm all over that but haven't checked the small print. Is interim leader leader as far as bf is concerned?
    We will settle this market on the Prime Minister after Boris Johnson as published on https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/prime-minister
    In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. If there is any change to the established ministerial role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair reserves the right to void this market at its absolute discretion.

    I expect Betfair will claim that interim is ambiguous and won't pay out on interim.

    Anyone expecting Betfair to religiously stick to what the rules say without any controversy has already forgotten the 2020 election market.
    They added "We will settle this market on the Prime Minister after Boris Johnson as published on" after being asked about interim PM. And being reminded about what happened with the Theresa May market.
    Yes and we all remember what the 2020 US election rules said too.

    What Betfair choose to do when it happens, and what the rules say, are not necessarily the same thing. Don't count chickens until they're hatched.
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    NemtynakhtNemtynakht Posts: 2,311

    I have spent the last day off this website, outside and regrouping. So many kind people have said they would like me to stay, so I will - but I will try my very best to reduce my posting activity as it is best for my mental health at this time.

    Thank you for your support.

    Welcome back hopefully Boris finally taking the hint will help. Like the earlier poster I find this site to be the best news source on the internet with interesting voices and comments from generally a balance of sources.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,758

    TOPPING said:

    Had supper last night with a friend who is/was a friend of Boris.

    His verdict? A ****.

    Grade inflation - Gove will have your head…

    Can’t see giving him more than a C - - myself

    A C*** would be more appropriate.
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    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    MaxPB said:

    Thanks for the kind words on the previous topic everyone!

    In the end it turns out I have a minor heart condition which causes an irregular heartbeat so from today no more caffeine, no more HIIT and I need to figure out a better diet. Glad to have had the wake-up call before anything more serious happened.

    Good news. That happened to a friend of mine and it turned out to be a mere panic attack. Properly scary tho

    What's wrong with HIIT? And what's wrong with your diet?
    I can't overwork my heart with HIIT, needs to be more gradual but lengthy exercise from now on.

    Just got to cut out coffee and reduce added sugar more than anything else but there's always room for improvement.
    Oh dear, at least you found it out with nothing more severe. Good luck with adapting and glad you're OK.
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    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 39,875

    Carnyx said:


    A relevant fact is surely that Theresa May earns a £ 110,000 a speech in the US conference circuit. She is basically the dullest & least interesting speaker in the world with a tale of boring underachievement to tell.

    So, @Leon is completely correct. There will be tonnes of money for Boris. Memoirs, the talk circuit, books.

    Of course, the books will be a pack of lies. No-one wants the truth. People want an unreliable, amusing tale told them. Boris has been delivering that all his life.

    Suppose you have to sit through a speech by one of our ex-PMs -- Major, Blair, Brown, Cameron, May or Johnson.

    Which one do you choose?

    All the speeches will be highly self-serving -- and at least four of them will be very dull.

    Blair's would not be, Johnson's would not be.

    The answer is obvious. Major, on cricket.

    I wouldn't like to be the publisher's lawyer for Mr J's memoirs. Especially with any superinjunction possibly hypothetically imposed by Mr J himself (a further point to bear in mind re any memoirs).
    I find cricket the most tedious game in the world, with the possible exception of golf.
    Yes, it's like sumo wrestling, only 10 hours instead of 60 seconds long. But speech wise, it's an improvement on the other options!
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    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,087
    Downing Street sources suggest Boris Johnson is currently tweaking his resignation statement. Some concern he may not actually read out what was prepared.
    https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1544993604325761025



    Here we, here we, here we fucking go......
This discussion has been closed.