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The cabinet are revolting as they prepare to get their Johnson out. – politicalbetting.com

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  • Options
    El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 3,881
    Saqib Bhatti (who he?) goes:

    The Conservative party has always been the party of integrity and honour but recent events have undermined trust and standards in public life. It is for this reason that sadly, I must resign.

    I will continue working hard for my constituents on the issues that matter to them. https://t.co/oHZzPO285o
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    RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 2,978
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    DavidL said:

    Penddu2 said:

    Please keep JRM on tv.... excellent recruiter for Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP, Greens, etc.
    Smug arrogant condescending berk...totally out of touch

    When the new management takes over tomorrow he and mad Nad and a few others will return to well deserved obscurity with the scorn of an ungrateful nation.
    They won't, JRM is very popular amongst the Tory membership and it is the Tory membership who get the final say on the next Tory leader and PM not the public
    Oh, so the public are imperfectluy coordinated with the Party view? Must be so annoying for you.
    The public gave the Tories a 5 year term in 2019, they get no further say on next PM until 2024/25
    I get you’re stating fact. But you realise you are meant to be running a democracy, not a cult deemed acceptable by a a dwindling Tory party membership? I don’t understand it - aren’t you meant to be governing in the country’s best interest?

    You think Rees-Mogg exemplifies that?

    Conservative MPs get elected to implement Conservative ideology, otherwise there is no point to being in power at all if you are just going to be a Blue Labour government. May as well let Starmer get in and return to true Tory principles. As far as most Tory members are concerned, Boris' main problem is he has not been Tory enough!
    That just sounds like the same shitty arguments Corbyn loyalists used to use.”we’ve not been radical enough, let’s go free broadband”

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    OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,346
    DavidL said:

    Breaking news on this remarkable day

    Douglas Ross has NOT changed his position on Boris today. We've seen everything now.

    My Dad and I simultaneously pointed that out to each other today.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,013
    Impressive degree of cowardice from all but two in the Cabinet (possibly excepting Wallace).
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    DavidL said:

    HYUFD said:

    DavidL said:

    Penddu2 said:

    Please keep JRM on tv.... excellent recruiter for Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP, Greens, etc.
    Smug arrogant condescending berk...totally out of touch

    When the new management takes over tomorrow he and mad Nad and a few others will return to well deserved obscurity with the scorn of an ungrateful nation.
    They won't, JRM is very popular amongst the Tory membership and it is the Tory membership who get the final say on the next Tory leader and PM not the public
    Would you care to have a bet on that? I am willing to bet that JRM will not be in the cabinet of Boris's successor. He is an embarrassment and gives the Tories an image they badly need to ditch. Like now.
    This Tory membership want proper rightwingers like Mogg in Cabinet not just wets like Sunak and Hunt.

    They have had enough of pure image they want the party to return to core Tory values. They have been in power long enough, 12 years, winning further power without pushing through Tory ideology is now pointless as far as they are concerned, better to go into opposition. Starmer after all is no Corbyn anyway
    Then they'll get hammered, the lib dems and labour will hit them from both flanks and they'll be sub 200 seats again quickly.

    The world has moved on, old school right wing policies mean electoral oblivion.
    They didn't for Thatcher, Boris also had plenty of rightwing red meat in 2019 too even if not as much as Thatcher did when she won
    And then 1997 happened...
    With Blair having accepted much of the Thatcherite consensus
    On elements of fiscal policy, but not on social issues.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,403
    ydoethur said:

    DavidL said:

    Breaking news on this remarkable day

    Douglas Ross has NOT changed his position on Boris today. We've seen everything now.

    Well, if we've seen everything, there's no need for him to change his position to be more exposed?
    It's almost disappointing because he has shown the flexibility and contortionist abilities of a master escapologist.
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    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,880
    edited July 2022
    Is Boris going to bother appointing replacements? I would have thought Barclay to CoE and Hancock or Dorries to Health, if he does.

    I suspect Brady’s currently whetting his blade though, and I expect Boris to have announced his resignation before the end of next week.

    He will stay on until the new leader is appointed, if only to beat May’s tenure, so you can scratch Raab off your list.
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    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,324
    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,442
    Reputation, reputation, reputation! O, I have lost my reputation! I have lost the immortal part of myself, and what remains is bestial.

    Othello
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    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 7,193
    edited July 2022
    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Heathener said:

    Jonathan said:

    So should Starmer table a VONC?

    Absolutely NO

    Nothing will unite the tories more than a VONC
    Isn’t that the plan? Get them to rally around Boris.
    Depends. Tories sell that as we do what is needed whllst the opposition play childish games.
    How do? This government is clearly not something anyone has confidence in. Labour can vote for the motion with integrity. The 1922 failed. It’s the Tories that would struggle.

    Entirely up to Labour. Will look ridiculous if done too soon. You bang it in if he survives the week/1922 changes tie them to him then
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    eekeek Posts: 25,028

    IanB2 said:

    Heathener said:

    Jonathan said:

    So should Starmer table a VONC?

    Absolutely NO

    Nothing will unite the tories more than a VONC
    But Starmer wants the clown to stay??
    Oh yes.
    Yep - the easiest way for Labour to win the next election is for the Tory party to be lead by Bozo..

    The next best thing is for Bozo to be leader until June 2023....

    The worst outcome for Labour is Bozo going and being replaced by someone else - bar say JRM or Nadine..
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,557
    I can’t believe they haven’t elbowed Boris off the dancefloor. FFS

    Surely one more Cabinet Mjnister would have done it. Idiots!
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,168
    edited July 2022

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    DavidL said:

    Penddu2 said:

    Please keep JRM on tv.... excellent recruiter for Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP, Greens, etc.
    Smug arrogant condescending berk...totally out of touch

    When the new management takes over tomorrow he and mad Nad and a few others will return to well deserved obscurity with the scorn of an ungrateful nation.
    They won't, JRM is very popular amongst the Tory membership and it is the Tory membership who get the final say on the next Tory leader and PM not the public
    Oh, so the public are imperfectluy coordinated with the Party view? Must be so annoying for you.
    The public gave the Tories a 5 year term in 2019, they get no further say on next PM until 2024/25
    I get you’re stating fact. But you realise you are meant to be running a democracy, not a cult deemed acceptable by a a dwindling Tory party membership? I don’t understand it - aren’t you meant to be governing in the country’s best interest?

    You think Rees-Mogg exemplifies that?

    Conservative MPs get elected to implement Conservative ideology, otherwise there is no point to being in power at all if you are just going to be a Blue Labour government. May as well let Starmer get in and return to true Tory principles. As far as most Tory members are concerned, Boris' main problem is he has not been Tory enough!
    That just sounds like the same shitty arguments Corbyn loyalists used to use.”we’ve not been radical enough, let’s go free broadband”

    And for many Labour members they wanted some socialist redmeat after the New Labour years, sometimes members do put ideology over pure power and in 2017 it almost paid off
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    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,662
    pigeon said:

    Tory Party Vice-Chairman Bim Afolami has resigned. From the Graun:

    Bim Afolami MP has announced his resignation on TalkTV:

    He said: “I don’t think the prime minister no longer has not just my support, but the party and the country.

    “And for that reason I think he should step down.”

    On his own position, he said: “You have to resign, I can’t serve under the prime minister.”


    Incidentally, he's the MP for Hitchin & Harpenden, which is considered by many to be a Liberal Democrat target.

    Read that at first as from Guam.

    Was PM plotting to seize this strategic US territory, in last desperate diversion - "Wag the Big Dog"?
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,442

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    I refer to my Othello quote.
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,016
    Leon said:

    I can’t believe they haven’t elbowed Boris off the dancefloor. FFS

    Surely one more Cabinet Mjnister would have done it. Idiots!

    Down to Zahawi now.
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    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,800

    Impressive degree of cowardice from all but two in the Cabinet (possibly excepting Wallace).

    I'm sure that Wallace has a soft spot for the tamborine too.

    Far from good people though.
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    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,662
    edited July 2022
    Leon said:

    I can’t believe they haven’t elbowed Boris off the dancefloor. FFS

    Surely one more Cabinet Mjnister would have done it. Idiots!

    Old Etonians just ain't what they used to be?

    BTW, how was lunch. That place looks very atmospheric. How about the grub?
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    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,438
    Leon said:

    I can’t believe they haven’t elbowed Boris off the dancefloor. FFS

    Surely one more Cabinet Mjnister would have done it. Idiots!

    The Sunak and Javid resignations were 9 minutes apart, so it had to be coordinated, but they didn't think about convincing a third Cabinet Minister to go with them?
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    stodgestodge Posts: 12,895
    There comes a point in every party's existence (it happens several times in truth) when the point of its existence comes into question.

    Is it in business to be in office, to be the Government, to steer the course of the country or is it about a series of core principles from which the policies and programmes are derived?

    Sometimes, the two are compatible, sometimes, as now, they become mutually exclusive. In other words, the Government in office has to implement measures which run counter to its core principles - one example is a party dedicated to lowering taxes having to raise taxes under difficult economic circumstances.

    All the main parties have been there in the past couple of decades - now, it is the Conservative Party's turn to be in Government what it swore in Opposition it would never be - the slightly more high tax and spending of the two social democratic parties.

    "To thine own self be true" the saying goes but if the price of ideological purity and virtue is Opposition, that becomes the price.

    Do the Conservatives rally want to stay in office (power is long gone) and see their ideological compromise deepen further or is it time to move into Opposition and rebuild (or, more accurately, pace a certain tv character, re-generate)?
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,436
    edited July 2022

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Fishing said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Agreed, just got onto Series 5, splendid stuff
    Series 1, 4 and 5 are good. 2 and 3 are too slow and self-consciously arty. And the ending is just dismal.
    Better the Designated Survivor, started watching that 1st series very good, 2nd so so, 3rd series shocking
    Yes, it dragged on far too long.

    It's also based on a false premise, which slightly annoys me.
    How so?
    Under the Presidential Succession Act, anyone other than the Veep can only be acting President ('shall then act as President') and can be 'bumped' if someone higher up the order becomes available.

    So Kirkman would have been acting President, and when Congress elected Hoogstraten Speaker she would have become acting President in turn while fresh elections were held, then a new President would have taken office.

    It's not a clever piece of drafting, but that is the law.
    I think you've got that wrong. Under the US Constitution the person chosen to act as President acts as such until the President recovers (impossible if they're dead) or until the next election.

    The new Speaker wouldn't become higher up the list since there'd be no vacancy for acting President with the role already filled by Kirkman. The law doesn't provide for the acting President to be bumped out of the role by someone else.

    In reality when the old President is dead "acting as President" is taken to mean being inaugurated as President. The Veep originally only acted as President too, but that was taken to mean inaugurated the first time it happened.
    Tell the authors of this report that:

    https://www.brookings.edu/research/the-continuity-of-the-presidency-the-second-report-of-the-continuity-of-government-commission/

    Because it's not the constitution that governs the process of succession, it's the Presidential Succession Act 1947 under the provision of the constitution that Congress can determine who shall act as president.

    Also see this from the House judiciary committee:

    http://commdocs.house.gov/committees/judiciary/hju96287.000/hju96287_0.htm#0
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    Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 4,853
    Leon said:

    I can’t believe they haven’t elbowed Boris off the dancefloor. FFS

    Surely one more Cabinet Mjnister would have done it. Idiots!

    If there's another tonight, it might be saved for just before the 10pm news.
  • Options

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    He'll resign before midday tomorrow. He can't do PMQs, he just can't.

    Be interesting to hear Sunak's or Javid's resignation speeches in the extremely unlikely event he tries to brazen this out.
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913
    A vonc now has no downside for Labour.

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Heathener said:

    Jonathan said:

    So should Starmer table a VONC?

    Absolutely NO

    Nothing will unite the tories more than a VONC
    Isn’t that the plan? Get them to rally around Boris.
    Depends. Tories sell that as we do what is needed whllst the opposition play childish games.
    How do? This government is clearly not something anyone has confidence in. Labour can vote for the motion with integrity. The 1922 failed. It’s the Tories that would struggle.

    Entirely up to Labour. Will look ridiculous if done too soon. You bang it in if he survives the week/1922 changes tie them to him then
    Disagree, the now is the time to do it. Challenge the Tory rebels. If they back Boris they’re screwed. If they vote against Boris they’re screwed.
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    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,880
    edited July 2022
    The “funny” thing is that Rishi is essentially fiscally very right wing. Rishi would love to deliver aggressive tax cuts, but he had the problem of actually being in office and needing to do things like avoid a run on the pound.

    Not that I want to defend him too much.
    He actually wasn’t very good.
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    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 7,193

    Having read Sunak's and Rishi's resignation letters, I find them (to use a Malcolm-like terminology) supremely ar*e-licking. They read like letters of total support except there is a line buried in them that says, effectively, "Oh BTW, I resign"

    Do none of them have the nerve to write a letter like Dear PM, I cannot serve under you because you are rubbish at this job and are destroying politics and the country"?

    They are politicians not pantomime dames
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    StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 14,586
    Leon said:

    I can’t believe they haven’t elbowed Boris off the dancefloor. FFS

    Surely one more Cabinet Mjnister would have done it. Idiots!

    Of course they're idiots.

    Non-idiots mostly weren't invited to serve in Johnson's Cabinet. Any non-idiots who were invited, refused, because they weren't idiots.

    It was always going to go like this.
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    MPartridgeMPartridge Posts: 157
    Ladbrooks suspends betting on Bojo's exit date
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    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,880

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    He'll resign before midday tomorrow. He can't do PMQs, he just can't.

    Be interesting to hear Sunak's or Javid's resignation speeches in the extremely unlikely event he tries to brazen this out.
    Of course he’s going to brazen it out, unless Brady stops him.

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    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,568
    System said:

    The cabinet are revolting as they prepare to get their Johnson out. – politicalbetting.com

    Some in No 10 braced for further ministerial resignations. Tory allies of the PM feeling inevitability, this could be the end. Many not as bullish as they have been at previous crisis moments.

    Read the full story here

    Oof! I get some dinner and this happens!

    So, Javid and Sunak. Wonder if this means Sunak still wants it. I'm not claiming great prescience, but I did say at the weekend I thought there was an opportunity for a non-front runner Minister to resign and catapult themselves back into the race.
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    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,662

    Having read Sunak's and Rishi's resignation letters, I find them (to use a Malcolm-like terminology) supremely ar*e-licking. They read like letters of total support except there is a line buried in them that says, effectively, "Oh BTW, I resign"

    Do none of them have the nerve to write a letter like Dear PM, I cannot serve under you because you are rubbish at this job and are destroying politics and the country"?

    Bev, re: yesterdays great hat debate, what are your views re: the snood?
  • Options

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    DavidL said:

    HYUFD said:

    DavidL said:

    Penddu2 said:

    Please keep JRM on tv.... excellent recruiter for Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP, Greens, etc.
    Smug arrogant condescending berk...totally out of touch

    When the new management takes over tomorrow he and mad Nad and a few others will return to well deserved obscurity with the scorn of an ungrateful nation.
    They won't, JRM is very popular amongst the Tory membership and it is the Tory membership who get the final say on the next Tory leader and PM not the public
    Would you care to have a bet on that? I am willing to bet that JRM will not be in the cabinet of Boris's successor. He is an embarrassment and gives the Tories an image they badly need to ditch. Like now.
    This Tory membership want proper rightwingers like Mogg in Cabinet not just wets like Sunak and Hunt.

    They have had enough of pure image they want the party to return to core Tory values. They have been in power long enough, 12 years, winning further power without pushing through Tory ideology is now pointless as far as they are concerned, better to go into opposition. Starmer after all is no Corbyn anyway
    Then they'll get hammered, the lib dems and labour will hit them from both flanks and they'll be sub 200 seats again quickly.

    The world has moved on, old school right wing policies mean electoral oblivion.
    They didn't for Thatcher, Boris also had plenty of rightwing red meat in 2019 too even if not as much as Thatcher did when she won
    And then 1997 happened...
    With Blair having accepted much of the Thatcherite consensus
    On elements of fiscal policy, but not on social issues.
    So the bit that mattered then?
  • Options
    Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 7,981
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    DavidL said:

    Penddu2 said:

    Please keep JRM on tv.... excellent recruiter for Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP, Greens, etc.
    Smug arrogant condescending berk...totally out of touch

    When the new management takes over tomorrow he and mad Nad and a few others will return to well deserved obscurity with the scorn of an ungrateful nation.
    They won't, JRM is very popular amongst the Tory membership and it is the Tory membership who get the final say on the next Tory leader and PM not the public
    Oh, so the public are imperfectluy coordinated with the Party view? Must be so annoying for you.
    The public gave the Tories a 5 year term in 2019, they get no further say on next PM until 2024/25
    I get you’re stating fact. But you realise you are meant to be running a democracy, not a cult deemed acceptable by a a dwindling Tory party membership? I don’t understand it - aren’t you meant to be governing in the country’s best interest?

    You think Rees-Mogg exemplifies that?

    Conservative MPs get elected to implement Conservative ideology, otherwise there is no point to being in power at all if you are just going to be a Blue Labour government. May as well let Starmer get in and return to true Tory principles. As far as most Tory members are concerned, Boris' main problem is he has not been Tory enough!
    This lot are implementing UKIP ideology. They are no more Conservatives than you are.
  • Options
    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,842

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    & of people who know who a politician is, from https://yougov.co.uk/ratings/politics/fame/politicians-political-figures/all

    Johnson 99% (top politician)
    Blair 98% (highest non-Tory)
    Corbyn 97% (highest non-PM)
    Hancock 97% (highest Con non-PM)
    Patel 94% (highest Cabinet member)
    Starmer 92%
    Sunak 92%
    Javid 89%
    Truss 66%
    Davey 49%
    Wallace 37%
    Mordaunt 35%
    Tugendhat 19%
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    kjhkjh Posts: 10,678

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    He'll resign before midday tomorrow. He can't do PMQs, he just can't.

    Be interesting to hear Sunak's or Javid's resignation speeches in the extremely unlikely event he tries to brazen this out.
    Any normal person yes. Boris? But I agree, how does he do PMQ?
  • Options
    Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 7,981
    edited July 2022

    Having read Sunak's and Rishi's resignation letters, I find them (to use a Malcolm-like terminology) supremely ar*e-licking. They read like letters of total support except there is a line buried in them that says, effectively, "Oh BTW, I resign"

    Do none of them have the nerve to write a letter like Dear PM, I cannot serve under you because you are rubbish at this job and are destroying politics and the country"?

    Bev, re: yesterdays great hat debate, what are your views re: the snood?
    Are they the bald aliens in Dr Who that carry a glowing ball everywhere they go?

    I presume you mean the hairnet thing? Awful. Ugly. Dreadful.

    I have seen some Irish Tweed hats and I am very tempted to get one
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    CatManCatMan Posts: 2,809

    Is Boris going to bother appointing replacements? I would have thought Barclay to CoE and Hancock or Dorries to Health, if he does.

    I suspect Brady’s currently whetting his blade though, and I expect Boris to have announced his resignation before the end of next week.

    He will stay on until the new leader is appointed, if only to beat May’s tenure, so you can scratch Raab off your list.

    But doesn't BJ needs Mad Nad to stay where she is for the Culture War stuff?
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    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,568

    Michael Gove is key, I think. Maybe Boris can survive if he can persuade him to become CoE, but Gove hasn't been conspicuous with his support recently.

    Wallace is right to stay as Her Majesty's defence minister, given the Ukraine situation. We really can't afford any discontinuity there.

    I didn't realise saying 'Yes' and writing blank cheques was a skill peculiar to Wallace.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,672

    The “funny” thing is that Rishi is essentially fiscally very right wing. Rishi would love to deliver aggressive tax cuts, but he had the problem of actually being in office and needing to do things like avoid a run on the pound.

    Not that I want to defend him too much.
    He actually wasn’t very good.

    He's a fiscal conservative.

    If he did go for a platform like that he'd accompany it with spending cuts.
  • Options

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    DavidL said:

    HYUFD said:

    DavidL said:

    Penddu2 said:

    Please keep JRM on tv.... excellent recruiter for Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP, Greens, etc.
    Smug arrogant condescending berk...totally out of touch

    When the new management takes over tomorrow he and mad Nad and a few others will return to well deserved obscurity with the scorn of an ungrateful nation.
    They won't, JRM is very popular amongst the Tory membership and it is the Tory membership who get the final say on the next Tory leader and PM not the public
    Would you care to have a bet on that? I am willing to bet that JRM will not be in the cabinet of Boris's successor. He is an embarrassment and gives the Tories an image they badly need to ditch. Like now.
    This Tory membership want proper rightwingers like Mogg in Cabinet not just wets like Sunak and Hunt.

    They have had enough of pure image they want the party to return to core Tory values. They have been in power long enough, 12 years, winning further power without pushing through Tory ideology is now pointless as far as they are concerned, better to go into opposition. Starmer after all is no Corbyn anyway
    Then they'll get hammered, the lib dems and labour will hit them from both flanks and they'll be sub 200 seats again quickly.

    The world has moved on, old school right wing policies mean electoral oblivion.
    They didn't for Thatcher, Boris also had plenty of rightwing red meat in 2019 too even if not as much as Thatcher did when she won
    And then 1997 happened...
    With Blair having accepted much of the Thatcherite consensus
    On elements of fiscal policy, but not on social issues.
    So the bit that mattered then?

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    He'll resign before midday tomorrow. He can't do PMQs, he just can't.

    Be interesting to hear Sunak's or Javid's resignation speeches in the extremely unlikely event he tries to brazen this out.
    Of course he’s going to brazen it out, unless Brady stops him.

    I doubt it. It only takes, what, 32 changing their minds? In a secret ballot?

    We are up to six already. And that's with needing to resign to do it.

    It's over.
  • Options
    NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    edited July 2022
    stodge said:

    There comes a point in every party's existence (it happens several times in truth) when the point of its existence comes into question.

    Is it in business to be in office, to be the Government, to steer the course of the country or is it about a series of core principles from which the policies and programmes are derived?

    Sometimes, the two are compatible, sometimes, as now, they become mutually exclusive. In other words, the Government in office has to implement measures which run counter to its core principles - one example is a party dedicated to lowering taxes having to raise taxes under difficult economic circumstances.

    All the main parties have been there in the past couple of decades - now, it is the Conservative Party's turn to be in Government what it swore in Opposition it would never be - the slightly more high tax and spending of the two social democratic parties.You

    "To thine own self be true" the saying goes but if the price of ideological purity and virtue is Opposition, that becomes the price.

    Do the Conservatives rally want to stay in office (power is long gone) and see their ideological compromise deepen further or is it time to move into Opposition and rebuild (or, more accurately, pace a certain tv character, re-generate)?

    You could make a good case for the point of the existence of Labour also being in question.
  • Options
    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,842
    kjh said:

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    He'll resign before midday tomorrow. He can't do PMQs, he just can't.

    Be interesting to hear Sunak's or Javid's resignation speeches in the extremely unlikely event he tries to brazen this out.
    Any normal person yes. Boris? But I agree, how does he do PMQ?
    By having an urgent meeting in Kiev and leaving it to someone else?
  • Options
    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,880
    kjh said:

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    He'll resign before midday tomorrow. He can't do PMQs, he just can't.

    Be interesting to hear Sunak's or Javid's resignation speeches in the extremely unlikely event he tries to brazen this out.
    Any normal person yes. Boris? But I agree, how does he do PMQ?
    By talking about record numbers of people in employment, 40 new hospitals, getting the “big calls” right, and suggesting Keir is a Corbynist bore.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,436

    kjh said:

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    He'll resign before midday tomorrow. He can't do PMQs, he just can't.

    Be interesting to hear Sunak's or Javid's resignation speeches in the extremely unlikely event he tries to brazen this out.
    Any normal person yes. Boris? But I agree, how does he do PMQ?
    By having an urgent meeting in Kiev and leaving it to someone else?
    A chicken Kiev?
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,016

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    & of people who know who a politician is, from https://yougov.co.uk/ratings/politics/fame/politicians-political-figures/all

    Johnson 99% (top politician)
    Blair 98% (highest non-Tory)
    Corbyn 97% (highest non-PM)
    Hancock 97% (highest Con non-PM)
    Patel 94% (highest Cabinet member)
    Starmer 92%
    Sunak 92%
    Javid 89%
    Truss 66%
    Davey 49%
    Wallace 37%
    Mordaunt 35%
    Tugendhat 19%
    Been trying to make this point re Wallace and Mordaunt.
    Barely known.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,168
    dixiedean said:

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    & of people who know who a politician is, from https://yougov.co.uk/ratings/politics/fame/politicians-political-figures/all

    Johnson 99% (top politician)
    Blair 98% (highest non-Tory)
    Corbyn 97% (highest non-PM)
    Hancock 97% (highest Con non-PM)
    Patel 94% (highest Cabinet member)
    Starmer 92%
    Sunak 92%
    Javid 89%
    Truss 66%
    Davey 49%
    Wallace 37%
    Mordaunt 35%
    Tugendhat 19%
    Been trying to make this point re Wallace and Mordaunt.
    Barely known.
    Tory members however know who they are and they will be the ones choosing, not the public
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,403

    kjh said:

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    He'll resign before midday tomorrow. He can't do PMQs, he just can't.

    Be interesting to hear Sunak's or Javid's resignation speeches in the extremely unlikely event he tries to brazen this out.
    Any normal person yes. Boris? But I agree, how does he do PMQ?
    By talking about record numbers of people in employment, 40 new hospitals, getting the “big calls” right, and suggesting Keir is a Corbynist bore.
    Having just heard SKS on Sky News he maybe has a point on the last one.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,480
    edited July 2022
    Bryant pointing out that both Sunak and Javid have the right to make ministerial resignation statements in the house tomorrow.
  • Options
    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,880

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    DavidL said:

    HYUFD said:

    DavidL said:

    Penddu2 said:

    Please keep JRM on tv.... excellent recruiter for Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP, Greens, etc.
    Smug arrogant condescending berk...totally out of touch

    When the new management takes over tomorrow he and mad Nad and a few others will return to well deserved obscurity with the scorn of an ungrateful nation.
    They won't, JRM is very popular amongst the Tory membership and it is the Tory membership who get the final say on the next Tory leader and PM not the public
    Would you care to have a bet on that? I am willing to bet that JRM will not be in the cabinet of Boris's successor. He is an embarrassment and gives the Tories an image they badly need to ditch. Like now.
    This Tory membership want proper rightwingers like Mogg in Cabinet not just wets like Sunak and Hunt.

    They have had enough of pure image they want the party to return to core Tory values. They have been in power long enough, 12 years, winning further power without pushing through Tory ideology is now pointless as far as they are concerned, better to go into opposition. Starmer after all is no Corbyn anyway
    Then they'll get hammered, the lib dems and labour will hit them from both flanks and they'll be sub 200 seats again quickly.

    The world has moved on, old school right wing policies mean electoral oblivion.
    They didn't for Thatcher, Boris also had plenty of rightwing red meat in 2019 too even if not as much as Thatcher did when she won
    And then 1997 happened...
    With Blair having accepted much of the Thatcherite consensus
    On elements of fiscal policy, but not on social issues.
    So the bit that mattered then?

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    He'll resign before midday tomorrow. He can't do PMQs, he just can't.

    Be interesting to hear Sunak's or Javid's resignation speeches in the extremely unlikely event he tries to brazen this out.
    Of course he’s going to brazen it out, unless Brady stops him.

    I doubt it. It only takes, what, 32 changing their minds? In a secret ballot?

    We are up to six already. And that's with needing to resign to do it.

    It's over.
    Maybe but PMQs continues.
    Someone will front. Probably Johnson.
  • Options
    Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 7,981

    Michael Gove is key, I think. Maybe Boris can survive if he can persuade him to become CoE, but Gove hasn't been conspicuous with his support recently.

    Wallace is right to stay as Her Majesty's defence minister, given the Ukraine situation. We really can't afford any discontinuity there.

    Gove will be Chancellor, Health Sec'y, Deputy PM, and will also take on the other portfolios of the Resigners
  • Options
    boulayboulay Posts: 3,993
    Mogg has serious childhood issues. He can’t bear the thought that Sunak is wealthier and rose to higher political office but went to Winchester. Mogg is scarred by the fact that when he was at Eton it was mocked for being the home for rich thickos with the odd diamond in the rough and is aware that it confers absolutely no intelligence cachet for his generation.

    His pathetic critique of Nick Boles was another example.

    He would be praising Oswald Mosley up to the eyeballs if his chip from his schooldays about Etonian/Wykehamist relations wasn’t an ever-present ghost in his life.

    I’m imagining he got bowled a fast one in the goolies in the Winchester/Eton 8th eleven cricket for physical specimens made out of straw and never let it go.

  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,054
    George Eustice is also staying, according to @BBCVickiYoung
    - the only senior cabinet minister who has not yet confirmed their position is Nadhim Zahawi.

    https://twitter.com/HugoGye/status/1544393753082953728?cxt=HHwWgIC83fL75O4qAAAA

    They rallied quickly, it seems. Disappointing.
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,016
    kjh said:

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    He'll resign before midday tomorrow. He can't do PMQs, he just can't.

    Be interesting to hear Sunak's or Javid's resignation speeches in the extremely unlikely event he tries to brazen this out.
    Any normal person yes. Boris? But I agree, how does he do PMQ?
    Same way he's always done it.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,442

    kjh said:

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    He'll resign before midday tomorrow. He can't do PMQs, he just can't.

    Be interesting to hear Sunak's or Javid's resignation speeches in the extremely unlikely event he tries to brazen this out.
    Any normal person yes. Boris? But I agree, how does he do PMQ?
    By talking about record numbers of people in employment, 40 new hospitals, getting the “big calls” right, and suggesting Keir is a Corbynist bore.
    Starmer should stand up and say:

    "I have nothing to add. I cannot intrude on such personal grief"

    And then sit down.
  • Options
    Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 7,981

    Having read Sunak's and Rishi's resignation letters, I find them (to use a Malcolm-like terminology) supremely ar*e-licking. They read like letters of total support except there is a line buried in them that says, effectively, "Oh BTW, I resign"

    Do none of them have the nerve to write a letter like Dear PM, I cannot serve under you because you are rubbish at this job and are destroying politics and the country"?

    They are politicians not pantomime dames
    They are spineless
  • Options
    StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 14,586
    kjh said:

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    He'll resign before midday tomorrow. He can't do PMQs, he just can't.

    Be interesting to hear Sunak's or Javid's resignation speeches in the extremely unlikely event he tries to brazen this out.
    Any normal person yes. Boris? But I agree, how does he do PMQ?
    At this point, can he avoid it? Maggie did the swansong PMQs and confidence debate after announcing her departure.

    But unless BoJo announces his resignation and then goes off in a huff without an elected successor, he's on the hook for tomorrow's questions.

    Couldn't happen to a nicer chap.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,403
    OnboardG1 said:

    DavidL said:

    Breaking news on this remarkable day

    Douglas Ross has NOT changed his position on Boris today. We've seen everything now.

    My Dad and I simultaneously pointed that out to each other today.
    Ah, but you didn't say it here and get all those likes did you?
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,459
    dixiedean said:

    Difficult to be sure, but I think Boris might just survive this. No one will know who Javid is. As for Rishi, thanks to Boris's dark arts combined with some of his own in ineptitude he'll just be remembered as the billionaire tax dodger who did something underhand on a petrol-station forecourt. Boris will probably push on.

    & of people who know who a politician is, from https://yougov.co.uk/ratings/politics/fame/politicians-political-figures/all

    Johnson 99% (top politician)
    Blair 98% (highest non-Tory)
    Corbyn 97% (highest non-PM)
    Hancock 97% (highest Con non-PM)
    Patel 94% (highest Cabinet member)
    Starmer 92%
    Sunak 92%
    Javid 89%
    Truss 66%
    Davey 49%
    Wallace 37%
    Mordaunt 35%
    Tugendhat 19%
    Been trying to make this point re Wallace and Mordaunt.
    Barely known.
    And Tugendhat? :lol:
  • Options
    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,880
    edited July 2022
    kle4 said:

    George Eustice is also staying, according to @BBCVickiYoung
    - the only senior cabinet minister who has not yet confirmed their position is Nadhim Zahawi.

    https://twitter.com/HugoGye/status/1544393753082953728?cxt=HHwWgIC83fL75O4qAAAA

    They rallied quickly, it seems. Disappointing.

    I am surprised.

    With the sole exception of Wallace, it seems they have all personally calculated they will not get jobs under any successor.

    That’s incredibly damning.
  • Options
    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,522
    kle4 said:

    George Eustice is also staying, according to @BBCVickiYoung
    - the only senior cabinet minister who has not yet confirmed their position is Nadhim Zahawi.

    https://twitter.com/HugoGye/status/1544393753082953728?cxt=HHwWgIC83fL75O4qAAAA

    They rallied quickly, it seems. Disappointing.

    I am holding out hope that Zahawi is waiting until just before 10:00 to plunge the knife in. But I suspect I will be disappointed.

  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,459

    Having read Sunak's and Rishi's resignation letters, I find them (to use a Malcolm-like terminology) supremely ar*e-licking. They read like letters of total support except there is a line buried in them that says, effectively, "Oh BTW, I resign"

    Do none of them have the nerve to write a letter like Dear PM, I cannot serve under you because you are rubbish at this job and are destroying politics and the country"?

    They are politicians not pantomime dames
    "Pincher's behind you!"
  • Options
    El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 3,881
    Some conspiracy theories doing the rounds on Twitter suggesting that Zahawi is a friend of Jonathan Gullis, who has of course already gone.
  • Options
    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,662
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Fishing said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Agreed, just got onto Series 5, splendid stuff
    Series 1, 4 and 5 are good. 2 and 3 are too slow and self-consciously arty. And the ending is just dismal.
    Better the Designated Survivor, started watching that 1st series very good, 2nd so so, 3rd series shocking
    Yes, it dragged on far too long.

    It's also based on a false premise, which slightly annoys me.
    How so?
    Under the Presidential Succession Act, anyone other than the Veep can only be acting President ('shall then act as President') and can be 'bumped' if someone higher up the order becomes available.

    So Kirkman would have been acting President, and when Congress elected Hoogstraten Speaker she would have become acting President in turn while fresh elections were held, then a new President would have taken office.

    It's not a clever piece of drafting, but that is the law.
    I think you've got that wrong. Under the US Constitution the person chosen to act as President acts as such until the President recovers (impossible if they're dead) or until the next election.

    The new Speaker wouldn't become higher up the list since there'd be no vacancy for acting President with the role already filled by Kirkman. The law doesn't provide for the acting President to be bumped out of the role by someone else.

    In reality when the old President is dead "acting as President" is taken to mean being inaugurated as President. The Veep originally only acted as President too, but that was taken to mean inaugurated the first time it happened.
    Tell the authors of this report that:

    https://www.brookings.edu/research/the-continuity-of-the-presidency-the-second-report-of-the-continuity-of-government-commission/

    Because it's not the constitution that governs the process of succession, it's the Presidential Succession Act 1947 under the provision of the constitution that Congress can determine who shall act as president.

    Also see this from the House judiciary committee:

    http://commdocs.house.gov/committees/judiciary/hju96287.000/hju96287_0.htm#0

    Note the precise language of 25th Amendment, in particular Section 4.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twenty-fifth_Amendment_to_the_United_States_Constitution#:~:text=In case of the removal,Vice President shall become President.
  • Options
    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,800

    kle4 said:

    George Eustice is also staying, according to @BBCVickiYoung
    - the only senior cabinet minister who has not yet confirmed their position is Nadhim Zahawi.

    https://twitter.com/HugoGye/status/1544393753082953728?cxt=HHwWgIC83fL75O4qAAAA

    They rallied quickly, it seems. Disappointing.

    I am holding out hope that Zahawi is waiting until just before 10:00 to plunge the knife in. But I suspect I will be disappointed.

    Patel is the only person that could make the splash bigger.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,836

    I'm calling it.....Jacob Smug is a T*t of the first water.

    Captain hindsight. :wink:
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,436
    kle4 said:

    The good news for the rebels if they fail is that as we've just learned Boris has a terrible memory, so may well forget what they did.

    He sounded like a less convincing version of Nicola Sturgeon.
  • Options
    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 7,193

    Having read Sunak's and Rishi's resignation letters, I find them (to use a Malcolm-like terminology) supremely ar*e-licking. They read like letters of total support except there is a line buried in them that says, effectively, "Oh BTW, I resign"

    Do none of them have the nerve to write a letter like Dear PM, I cannot serve under you because you are rubbish at this job and are destroying politics and the country"?

    They are politicians not pantomime dames
    They are spineless
    No, they are resigning the way all politicians from all parties tend to. And quitting your job in politics is rarely spineless. Belated, yes. Spineless, no.
    Its politics, not Real Housewives of Westminster
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,480
    Omnium said:

    kle4 said:

    George Eustice is also staying, according to @BBCVickiYoung
    - the only senior cabinet minister who has not yet confirmed their position is Nadhim Zahawi.

    https://twitter.com/HugoGye/status/1544393753082953728?cxt=HHwWgIC83fL75O4qAAAA

    They rallied quickly, it seems. Disappointing.

    I am holding out hope that Zahawi is waiting until just before 10:00 to plunge the knife in. But I suspect I will be disappointed.

    Patel is the only person that could make the splash bigger.
    Splash?
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,016
    Omnium said:

    kle4 said:

    George Eustice is also staying, according to @BBCVickiYoung
    - the only senior cabinet minister who has not yet confirmed their position is Nadhim Zahawi.

    https://twitter.com/HugoGye/status/1544393753082953728?cxt=HHwWgIC83fL75O4qAAAA

    They rallied quickly, it seems. Disappointing.

    I am holding out hope that Zahawi is waiting until just before 10:00 to plunge the knife in. But I suspect I will be disappointed.

    Patel is the only person that could make the splash bigger.
    You didn't see Mordaunt on reality TV then?
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,834
    dixiedean said:

    Omnium said:

    kle4 said:

    George Eustice is also staying, according to @BBCVickiYoung
    - the only senior cabinet minister who has not yet confirmed their position is Nadhim Zahawi.

    https://twitter.com/HugoGye/status/1544393753082953728?cxt=HHwWgIC83fL75O4qAAAA

    They rallied quickly, it seems. Disappointing.

    I am holding out hope that Zahawi is waiting until just before 10:00 to plunge the knife in. But I suspect I will be disappointed.

    Patel is the only person that could make the splash bigger.
    You didn't see Mordaunt on reality TV then?
    I think she would belly flop, but that could be quite fun to watch.
  • Options
    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,880
    There are 19 Cabinet Ministers left, and a further 8 “attending” Cabinet.

    All of them - save Wallace maybe, and for the moment Zahawi - have calculated they won’t get a job post-Boris.

    It’s simply incredible how much shit is sitting in this u-bend.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,442

    There are 19 Cabinet Ministers left, and a further 8 “attending” Cabinet.

    All of them - save Wallace maybe, and for the moment Zahawi - have calculated they won’t get a job post-Boris.

    It’s simply incredible how much shit is sitting in this u-bend.

    Coffey is a surprise. She is actually capable as far as I can see.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,077
    I guess I'm going to have to call JRM "Jacob Rees-Worm" once more. Because he looks a little like a monocled worm in the Mister Men books.

    And because he is a slimy worm.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,436

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Fishing said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Agreed, just got onto Series 5, splendid stuff
    Series 1, 4 and 5 are good. 2 and 3 are too slow and self-consciously arty. And the ending is just dismal.
    Better the Designated Survivor, started watching that 1st series very good, 2nd so so, 3rd series shocking
    Yes, it dragged on far too long.

    It's also based on a false premise, which slightly annoys me.
    How so?
    Under the Presidential Succession Act, anyone other than the Veep can only be acting President ('shall then act as President') and can be 'bumped' if someone higher up the order becomes available.

    So Kirkman would have been acting President, and when Congress elected Hoogstraten Speaker she would have become acting President in turn while fresh elections were held, then a new President would have taken office.

    It's not a clever piece of drafting, but that is the law.
    I think you've got that wrong. Under the US Constitution the person chosen to act as President acts as such until the President recovers (impossible if they're dead) or until the next election.

    The new Speaker wouldn't become higher up the list since there'd be no vacancy for acting President with the role already filled by Kirkman. The law doesn't provide for the acting President to be bumped out of the role by someone else.

    In reality when the old President is dead "acting as President" is taken to mean being inaugurated as President. The Veep originally only acted as President too, but that was taken to mean inaugurated the first time it happened.
    Tell the authors of this report that:

    https://www.brookings.edu/research/the-continuity-of-the-presidency-the-second-report-of-the-continuity-of-government-commission/

    Because it's not the constitution that governs the process of succession, it's the Presidential Succession Act 1947 under the provision of the constitution that Congress can determine who shall act as president.

    Also see this from the House judiciary committee:

    http://commdocs.house.gov/committees/judiciary/hju96287.000/hju96287_0.htm#0

    Note the precise language of 25th Amendment, in particular Section 4.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twenty-fifth_Amendment_to_the_United_States_Constitution#:~:text=In case of the removal,Vice President shall become President.
    With respect, that is irrelevant. The key part is Article II, section 6:

    the Congress may by Law provide for the Case of Removal, Death, Resignation or Inability, both of the President and Vice President, declaring what Officer shall then act as President, and such Officer shall act accordingly, until the Disability be removed, or a President shall be elected.

    Which they have under the PSA 1947. Which allows bumping.

    Possibly it shouldn't under the terms of the Constitution, but it does.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,836

    Mogg wants Johnson to do a Walpole. 20 years.

    These people are on drugs.

    Or just a very obscure putdown ?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HMS_Walpole_(D41)
    Fate:
    Damaged by mine on 6 January 1945
    Sold for scrapping on 8 February 1945


    Or a reference to Horace Walpole’s career as a writer ?
  • Options
    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,662
    Remember golden days of yore, when PBers fulminated at the indecency of referring to the PM as BoJo?
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,403
    Tricky one for Wallace given what is on his plate. I see the argument he should stay put but the logic of that is that he stays put as part of a functioning government. I don't think that that exists so how can he do his job? Where does the money come from without a Chancellor, the policy without a functioning cabinet, the leadership with Boris in office?

    I think he should go now in the hope that the whole government is replaced by something bettter that can allow the UK to do what it can to help Ukraine in an effective way rather than by photo op.
  • Options
    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,880
    edited July 2022

    There are 19 Cabinet Ministers left, and a further 8 “attending” Cabinet.

    All of them - save Wallace maybe, and for the moment Zahawi - have calculated they won’t get a job post-Boris.

    It’s simply incredible how much shit is sitting in this u-bend.

    Coffey is a surprise. She is actually capable as far as I can see.
    Perhaps lacking in confidence.
    I really struggle to understand the psychology. Only a few are actually HYUFD-style stark raving mad.
  • Options
    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,800
    Tories most seats on BF 1.91/1.92, not moved at all. It's almost like everyone expected Boris to be toast.
  • Options
    Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 7,591
    Oliver Dowden must be really pissed off that his principled resignation, less than a fortnight ago, has been consigned to the dustbin of history so quickly.
    "Who's he?", the masses asked.
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    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,880

    Remember golden days of yore, when PBers fulminated at the indecency of referring to the PM as BoJo?

    I remember the golden days when a goodly proportion of PB Tories thought Boris was their saviour.

    They are pretending that nobody remembers.
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,016
    Just heard the PM's interview with Chris Mason.
    The guy is an absolute charlatan.
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    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 7,193
    edited July 2022
    Re cabinet not quitting. They may simply assume the game is up and they are best placed to fight for the leadership from cabinet. Patel, Raab, Truss probably all see themselves as potential 'cabinet agreed caretaker'
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,403

    I guess I'm going to have to call JRM "Jacob Rees-Worm" once more. Because he looks a little like a monocled worm in the Mister Men books.

    And because he is a slimy worm.

    I am grateful that the worms in my garden don't seem to read PB. Otherwise all hell would be breaking loose.
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    TheValiantTheValiant Posts: 1,718

    Is it conceivable that the only way to get shut will be Tories supporting VONC against government? No automatic GE will follow. Queen will call leader most likely to form a government so possibilities include:
    1. No leadership campaign instead Tory MPs will have to agree on one candidate to avoid prolonged vote.
    2. Temporary PM while leadership contest takes place (May?)

    Tories have to be vary careful they don't precipitate an election by accident. Of course it is also possible that Starmer may go soon (before Boris??).

    Entertaining!

    The main problem is getting Starmer (or the LOTO if its not Starmer) to play ball.
    Only the LOTO can call a VONC and it be guaranteed to be debated and voted on.

    So.... let's just make something up and say Johnson refuses to resign and replaces the cabinet members who have resigned. Unless the 1922 committee can change the rules, the only final way is a Parliamentary vote.
    So the 'leader' of the Con rebels (and I'll make something ELSE up and just say 'Hunt') approaches Starmer.

    Hunt wants a VONC, which he guarantees he and 100 others will support.
    Starmer wants a VONC.

    So it seems a no brainer. But its what happens afterwards.
    Hunt would want a VONC followed by an alternative Conservative government, led by him, WITHOUT a General Election.
    Starmer would want a VONC followed by a GE.

    Hunt can't get the VONC even called to debate without Starmer. Starmer won't accept tabling a VONC unless it leads to a GE.

    Hunt *might say* he'd agree to a GE, but Starmer has no way of guaranteeing that. Starmer could call the VONC, win it, and then ask for a GE only for Hunt to shaft him over and stop one.

    Starmer, though he DOES have a role in this latest drama, almost certainly won't do anything. He can't get what he wants, and no alternative Conservative would feel happy giving him a GE (except Rory Stewart, who isn't here anymore).
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    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,438
    DavidL said:

    Tricky one for Wallace given what is on his plate. I see the argument he should stay put but the logic of that is that he stays put as part of a functioning government. I don't think that that exists so how can he do his job? Where does the money come from without a Chancellor, the policy without a functioning cabinet, the leadership with Boris in office?

    I think he should go now in the hope that the whole government is replaced by something bettter that can allow the UK to do what it can to help Ukraine in an effective way rather than by photo op.

    The way to square this circle is to be confident in his Ministers of State and ask them to hold the fort while he resigns to deal with the Prime Minister.
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    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,345

    Oliver Dowden must be really pissed off that his principled resignation, less than a fortnight ago, has been consigned to the dustbin of history so quickly.
    "Who's he?", the masses asked.

    We asked that when he was in office.
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,016
    edited July 2022

    Re cabinet not quitting. They may simply assume the game is up and they are best placed to fight for the leadership from cabinet. Patel, Raab, Truss probably all see themselves as potential 'cabinet agreed caretaker'

    Caretaker is about their level.
    Not sure I'd trust them to mop the floors properly, mind.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,920
    kle4 said:

    George Eustice is also staying, according to @BBCVickiYoung
    - the only senior cabinet minister who has not yet confirmed their position is Nadhim Zahawi.

    https://twitter.com/HugoGye/status/1544393753082953728?cxt=HHwWgIC83fL75O4qAAAA

    They rallied quickly, it seems. Disappointing.

    George Useless living up to his name again... ;)
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    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 39,947
    OnboardG1 said:

    Carnyx said:

    OnboardG1 said:



    DavidL said:

    Penddu2 said:

    Please keep JRM on tv.... excellent recruiter for Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP, Greens, etc.
    Smug arrogant condescending berk...totally out of touch

    When the new management takes over tomorrow he and mad Nad and a few others will return to well deserved obscurity with the scorn of an ungrateful nation.
    I wasn’t aware that Nyarlathotep was a Tory MP.

    I appreciate that’s an obscure reference.
    I was actually thinking exactly that myself when I read 'New Management'!
    Not my favourite Stross books. There’s only so much personal hatred I can deal with. Looking forward to the new Laundry though.
    Quite enjoyed the recent short.
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    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,880

    Re cabinet not quitting. They may simply assume the game is up and they are best placed to fight for the leadership from cabinet. Patel, Raab, Truss probably all see themselves as potential 'cabinet agreed caretaker'

    Patel won’t be re-appointed. She is unpopular, and only got the present job for culture-war style shits and giggles.

    Raab is quite dim, and is likely caught in some headlights somewhere. He too will not survive Johnson.

    Truss is a WTF.
    She had her chance and she’s blown it.
    She’ll be another casualty therefore.

    We are going to see quite a lot of the fatberg dislodged, I think.
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    StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 14,586

    There are 19 Cabinet Ministers left, and a further 8 “attending” Cabinet.

    All of them - save Wallace maybe, and for the moment Zahawi - have calculated they won’t get a job post-Boris.

    It’s simply incredible how much shit is sitting in this u-bend.

    Coffey is a surprise. She is actually capable as far as I can see.
    Perhaps lacking in confidence.
    I really struggle to understand the psychology. Only a few are actually HYUFD-style stark raving mad.
    One doesn't want to think of her as a "lonely girl from a women's college", but there may be an element of that. But who wants to admit that they've been a stooge?

    Whatever he doesn't understand (and there's a lot), Boris has always understood raw human power and schoolboy cruelty.
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    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 39,947
    DavidL said:

    I guess I'm going to have to call JRM "Jacob Rees-Worm" once more. Because he looks a little like a monocled worm in the Mister Men books.

    And because he is a slimy worm.

    I am grateful that the worms in my garden don't seem to read PB. Otherwise all hell would be breaking loose.
    Also the worms in almost every organism's intestine.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,608
    NEW: Boris Johnson has just concluded a meeting of his core team in which he has decided to replace Sunak and Javid -- possibly tonight -- in an attempt to ride out the storm

    https://twitter.com/kitty_donaldson/status/1544402133029617667
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,442
    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    Sounds like plan is to appoint a new Chancellor this evening.
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    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 7,193
    Hes not quitting, hes hiring. Tonight.
    What a mess.
This discussion has been closed.