Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

The cabinet are revolting as they prepare to get their Johnson out. – politicalbetting.com

1356710

Comments

  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,171
    edited July 2022
    DavidL said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Looks like the end. What the hell took them so long? It's not as though we've learnt anything about Boris this week that we didn't know last month, or last year, or in 2019 when he was chosen as leader.

    Still, it's progress. Getting rid of him is the necessary first stage - but only the first stage - of putting things right.

    Yes, back to opposition, probably for at least a decade if not more.

    Last time the Tories toppled an election winning PM, Thatcher in 1990, they lost 3 out of 4 of the following general elections and it took them until Boris in 2019 to win a big majority again
    Oh, I think it's very likely that the Conservatives will be very, very unpopular for a long time. But you're putting the blame in the wrong place. It's Boris who has wrecked the party, and it's going to take a very long time for it to be forgotten. As I wrote on the day he became leader:

    The party is no longer recognisable as the pragmatic, business-friendly, economically-sound, reality-based party of government which I have supported for decades. It will justifiably get the electoral blame for the consequences of the disastrous course it has chosen, and will probably never be forgiven by younger voters.

    https://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2019/07/24/why-ive-resigned-from-the-conservative-party/
    The Tory Party is not just the political wing of the CBI and the City of London. It also has to reach working class and lower middle class voters to win, Thatcher managed to do so as did Boris

    Apart from everything else, Boris is a clear and present danger to the Union. He is total anti-catnip to Scots, and the SNP use him as a recruiting tool, and they mentioned him by name when announcing "Sindyref" 2. One person who will be really praying he survives is Sturgeon

    Surely you can see this? You're a unionist
    Boris can just refuse an indyref2 still and nothing the SNP can do to change Scotland's status in the union without UK government consent. Legally and constitutionally therefore it does not matter how unpopular the PM is in Scotland if they have a majority at Westminster to refuse indyref2.

    Only if they grant an indyref2 does the UK PM's popularity matter in Scotland
    FPT: here's a nice brazil nut.

    BTW you do realise there are Tory constituencies in Scotland, with actual live Tory MPs in them?
    Even if the Tories won 0 seats in Scotland in 2019 they would still have had a majority of 68
    And do you think that would have been anything other than catastrophic for the Union @HYUFD? I mean, for goodness sake.
    From 2015 to 2017 they were in government with a majority under Cameron and May with just 1 seat in Scotland
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,442
    If anyone doubted that Johnson is a cult within the Tory party and wider, now we can see.

    The true believers will do anything to keep their hero.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 39,958
    Taz said:

    I’m watching some nice YouTube videos of people removing barnacles from turtles. Seems quite apt.

    Oh? Presumably for the chelonians' benefit?
  • Options
    eristdooferistdoof Posts: 4,913
    HYUFD said:

    So the Foreign Secretary, the Home Secretary, the Defence Secretary, the Deputy PM, the Business Secretary and now the Education Secretary have now all confirmed their loyalty to the PM.

    So far from being co ordinated across Cabinet it seems Sunak and Javid were outliers. To survive Johnson will now shift to rally the right and the ERG behind him, he will say this is a coup by Remainers to row back from Brexit and those on the left of the party who want to raise taxes and only he can stop them!

    The government loses the Chancellor of the Exchequer and the Health Minister at the same time, resigning because they "can't continue in good conscience" and your reaction is it's OK because 6 other ministers haven't left!!!

    Yuo can carry on with your glass half full thinking, but at some point it really is going to be empty.
  • Options
    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,669
    Have any Ladies in Waiting resigned yet?

    Thinking specifically of Mickey Fabricant - the thinking person's Boris Johnson.
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,212
    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Who is manning the banhammer this evening?
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,452
    edited July 2022

    NORRIE!!

    British male semi finalists at Wimbledon, Open Era:

    Roger Taylor
    Tim Henman
    Andy Murray
    And now, Cameron Norrie.

    A very select group. Well done him.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,442
    Alistair said:

    Just to put this in perspective - BoJo has fucked this up so badly he's made Sunak a viable leadership option again.

    Sunak now 5.4

    Mordaunt 5.7
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,564
    ohnotnow said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Conservative MP plugged in to several wings of the party texts: "It is over. More resignations on way"
    https://twitter.com/estwebber/status/1544380470162513920

    Who is left to resign?

    ALSO: has any PM survived the resignation of a COTE? For more than a few weeks, anyway?
    Javid resigned as COTE in 2020.
    Then it is me. The greatest of ironies on this night of sublime irony. I, LEON, am the dorkus of the porkus morkus

    Tis a bitter pill; I shall not lie
  • Options
    Johnson won’t go. He’ll lead them into the next election. This is Major all over again
  • Options
    MPartridgeMPartridge Posts: 157
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Andrew Murrison has just resigned....

    No i haven't heard of him either

    MP for 21 years, former Chair of NI Select Committee and a junior minister from time to time. (Also wrote a novel about the Civil War starring a former military man turned MP. and regicide - coincidentally he is a former military man turned MP)

    Big beast he is not. Conventional loyalist, yes.
    I bow to your superior knowledge
    I cannot pretend to know things about random MPs. Just surprised to see a local MP in the news for once.
    I live in Boris's old seat of Henley, current Tory MP i know quite well, lets say he is not a fan of Bojo by any means
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,363
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Which is ludicrous given he would not get past the Tory membership.

    Truss beat Sunak 50% to 35%, Mordaunt beat Sunak 50% to 33% and Wallace beat Sunak 59% to 25% in Conhome's survey this week

    https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/
    That poll is entirely meaningless tonight. The principled resignations has shaken that up completely.
    No they haven't at all. The Tory membership will want a pro hard Brexit, tax cutter as PM, not tax rising Sunak as leader
    1. Sunak clearly implies that Johnson is responsible for the tax rises
    2. Sunak isn't a liar
    3. Johnson is a liar

    And you believe the liar.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,463
    kle4 said:

    Basically the only ones left presumably represent the HFUYD aspect of the wing

    God help us

    It's a larger wing than many would like to admit.
    Turds of a feather...
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,171

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Which is ludicrous given he would not get past the Tory membership.

    Truss beat Sunak 50% to 35%, Mordaunt beat Sunak 50% to 33% and Wallace beat Sunak 59% to 25% in Conhome's survey this week

    https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/
    That poll is entirely meaningless tonight. The principled resignations has shaken that up completely.
    No they haven't at all. The Tory membership will want a pro hard Brexit, tax cutter as PM, not tax rising Sunak as leader
    Sunak will blame the tax rise on Boris.

    Your inability to see that polls change is your downfall.
    They won't change amongst Tory members who have the final say
    They will.

    They've moved a lot in past 12 months. Why would they magically freeze now?
    No they haven't, not since the tax rises Sunak put up, which even you opposed, he has collapsed into oblivion with Tory members.

    The next PM if Boris goes will almost certainly be one of Wallace, Truss or Mordaunt, probably Wallace
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,146
    HYUFD said:

    @NadineDorries
    ·
    2m
    I’m not sure anyone actually doubted this, however, I am 💯 behind @BorisJohnson the PM who consistently gets all the big decisions right.

    Tromboning no doubt.....,
  • Options
    stodgestodge Posts: 12,896
    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Which is ludicrous given he would not get past the Tory membership.

    Truss beat Sunak 50% to 35%, Mordaunt beat Sunak 50% to 33% and Wallace beat Sunak 59% to 25% in Conhome's survey this week

    https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/
    I wouldn't trust that polling as far as I could throw it but you carry on holding on to it like a drowning man holds on to a lifebelt.

    Once you get into a leadership election, all bets are off - obviously, the key will be any polling showing how the different contenders would fare in a possible GE against Labour. After all, that's what won it for Johnson in 2019.
    To an extent but less so than 2019 as the Tories now have a majority they didn't then.

    Tory members will be looking for some rightwing red meat as reward for the majority the party won in 2019
    I'd have thought the bigger question is which candidate would be the most likely to keep the Party in Government - wanting "right wing red meat" got you Hague, IDS and Howard - remind me how that worked out.
  • Options
    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    First few seasons were very good. Last two were disappointing.

    Final season was better than the penultimate one though.
  • Options
    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,522

    Johnson won’t go. He’ll lead them into the next election. This is Major all over again

    I don’t think he can survive another 1922 vote
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775
    Scott_xP said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Who is manning the banhammer this evening?
    There is no ban hammer. Leon posts racist filth and they just quietly delete it and let him carry on.
  • Options

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Which is ludicrous given he would not get past the Tory membership.

    Truss beat Sunak 50% to 35%, Mordaunt beat Sunak 50% to 33% and Wallace beat Sunak 59% to 25% in Conhome's survey this week

    https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/
    That poll is entirely meaningless tonight. The principled resignations has shaken that up completely.
    No they haven't at all. The Tory membership will want a pro hard Brexit, tax cutter as PM, not tax rising Sunak as leader
    1. Sunak clearly implies that Johnson is responsible for the tax rises
    2. Sunak isn't a liar
    3. Johnson is a liar

    And you believe the liar.
    Sunak's problem is that he received a FPN for the cake, which means it would be harder for the Cons to move on from Partygate with him as leader.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,171

    Alistair said:

    Just to put this in perspective - BoJo has fucked this up so badly he's made Sunak a viable leadership option again.

    Sunak now 5.4

    Mordaunt 5.7
    Conhome survey this week Mordaunt 58% Sunak 33%

    https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/
  • Options
    MPartridgeMPartridge Posts: 157
    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Agreed, just got onto Series 5, splendid stuff
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,058
    What's in a month?

    I'm grateful to Sue Gray for her report and I sincerely repeat my apologies for the event I received a fine for.

    The Prime Minister has apologised and lessons have been learned. I hope we can now move forward and continue delivering for the British people.


    https://twitter.com/RishiSunak/status/1529469852578197504?cxt=HHwWgMC9mceu4rkqAAAA
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,363

    Scott_xP said:

    Jacob Rees Mogg tells #C4News it is the PM who has a mandate from the people. Those who left he says are “eminently replaceable”.

    Rees Mogg. 'Stalingrad is a triumph for the Fuhrer'. @Channel4News

    Oh god, he's going to be CoE isn;t he....

    well at least enjoy the tax cuts as we go to hell in a hand basket.
    Who has been the CoE with shortest time in office?

    Mogg will get a week.
    Karl Donitz?
  • Options
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Which is ludicrous given he would not get past the Tory membership.

    Truss beat Sunak 50% to 35%, Mordaunt beat Sunak 50% to 33% and Wallace beat Sunak 59% to 25% in Conhome's survey this week

    https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/
    That poll is entirely meaningless tonight. The principled resignations has shaken that up completely.
    No they haven't at all. The Tory membership will want a pro hard Brexit, tax cutter as PM, not tax rising Sunak as leader
    Sunak will blame the tax rise on Boris.

    Your inability to see that polls change is your downfall.
    They won't change amongst Tory members who have the final say
    They will.

    They've moved a lot in past 12 months. Why would they magically freeze now?
    No they haven't, not since the tax rises Sunak put up, which even you opposed, he has collapsed into oblivion with Tory members.

    The next PM if Boris goes will almost certainly be one of Wallace, Truss or Mordaunt, probably Wallace
    Deeper in oblivion was Boris.

    A great many members will be relieved to see the knife plunged into the front of Boris. 🔪
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,674

    Betfair Boris to go in 2022 now back out to 1.15 from a low tonight of 1.09.

    I laid that.

    Very likely he'll go this year now but not 91% likely.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,564
    Farooq said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Who is manning the banhammer this evening?
    There is no ban hammer. Leon posts racist filth and they just quietly delete it and let him carry on.
    Citation?
  • Options
    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,669
    Evening of the Pen Knives
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,442
    Scott_xP said:

    Gove staying. Eustice expected to stay but not yet confirmed. Zahawi and Coffey wobbling
    https://twitter.com/JasonGroves1/status/1544383423694897159

    Oh God, Nad will be given DWP and bring back the workhouse won't she?
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,452
    kle4 said:

    What's in a month?

    I'm grateful to Sue Gray for her report and I sincerely repeat my apologies for the event I received a fine for.

    The Prime Minister has apologised and lessons have been learned. I hope we can now move forward and continue delivering for the British people.


    https://twitter.com/RishiSunak/status/1529469852578197504?cxt=HHwWgMC9mceu4rkqAAAA

    From Graywash to grey and awash…
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,146

    Scott_xP said:

    Jacob Rees Mogg tells #C4News it is the PM who has a mandate from the people. Those who left he says are “eminently replaceable”.

    Rees Mogg. 'Stalingrad is a triumph for the Fuhrer'. @Channel4News

    Oh god, he's going to be CoE isn;t he....

    well at least enjoy the tax cuts as we go to hell in a hand basket.
    Who has been the CoE with shortest time in office?

    Mogg will get a week.
    He won't get to PMQs.

    At 8 am tomorrow, Brady will tell Boris that he has received 436 letters. Over 200 opposition MPs have crossed the floor and joined the Conservatives, just so they can send in a letter....

  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,171
    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Which is ludicrous given he would not get past the Tory membership.

    Truss beat Sunak 50% to 35%, Mordaunt beat Sunak 50% to 33% and Wallace beat Sunak 59% to 25% in Conhome's survey this week

    https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/
    I wouldn't trust that polling as far as I could throw it but you carry on holding on to it like a drowning man holds on to a lifebelt.

    Once you get into a leadership election, all bets are off - obviously, the key will be any polling showing how the different contenders would fare in a possible GE against Labour. After all, that's what won it for Johnson in 2019.
    To an extent but less so than 2019 as the Tories now have a majority they didn't then.

    Tory members will be looking for some rightwing red meat as reward for the majority the party won in 2019
    I'd have thought the bigger question is which candidate would be the most likely to keep the Party in Government - wanting "right wing red meat" got you Hague, IDS and Howard - remind me how that worked out.
    None of them led a party in government let alone with a big majority. The party is now in government, it wants some red meat for its power and Tory members will vote accordingly on who has a platform of hard Brexit and tax cuts
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,396
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Which is ludicrous given he would not get past the Tory membership.

    Truss beat Sunak 50% to 35%, Mordaunt beat Sunak 50% to 33% and Wallace beat Sunak 59% to 25% in Conhome's survey this week

    https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/
    That poll is entirely meaningless tonight. The principled resignations has shaken that up completely.
    No they haven't at all. The Tory membership will want a pro hard Brexit, tax cutter as PM, not tax rising Sunak as leader
    Sunak will blame the tax rise on Boris.

    Your inability to see that polls change is your downfall.
    They won't change amongst Tory members who have the final say
    They will.

    They've moved a lot in past 12 months. Why would they magically freeze now?
    No they haven't, not since the tax rises Sunak put up, which even you opposed, he has collapsed into oblivion with Tory members.

    The next PM if Boris goes will almost certainly be one of Wallace, Truss or Mordaunt, probably Wallace
    I would just comment that the Conhome polls you so devotedly parrot average just over 700 members and in my case non members

    You are in denial as to what is coming and it will not be the ERG dominated conservative party you hope for
  • Options
    El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 3,882
    It would be genuinely hilarious if, despite all this, Johnson staggers on again.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 39,958

    Scott_xP said:

    Jacob Rees Mogg tells #C4News it is the PM who has a mandate from the people. Those who left he says are “eminently replaceable”.

    Rees Mogg. 'Stalingrad is a triumph for the Fuhrer'. @Channel4News

    Oh god, he's going to be CoE isn;t he....

    well at least enjoy the tax cuts as we go to hell in a hand basket.
    Who has been the CoE with shortest time in office?

    Mogg will get a week.
    Karl Donitz?
    Ebert?
  • Options
    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Mogg on sky
  • Options
    OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,346

    HYUFD said:

    @NadineDorries
    ·
    2m
    I’m not sure anyone actually doubted this, however, I am 💯 behind @BorisJohnson the PM who consistently gets all the big decisions right.

    Tromboning no doubt.....,
    100% behind the PM, much like a soldier is 100% behind a sandbag.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,452
    edited July 2022

    Scott_xP said:

    Jacob Rees Mogg tells #C4News it is the PM who has a mandate from the people. Those who left he says are “eminently replaceable”.

    Rees Mogg. 'Stalingrad is a triumph for the Fuhrer'. @Channel4News

    Oh god, he's going to be CoE isn;t he....

    well at least enjoy the tax cuts as we go to hell in a hand basket.
    Who has been the CoE with shortest time in office?

    Mogg will get a week.
    Karl Donitz?
    I would have thought Iain McLeod, who died of a heart attack about two months in, but I can’t be sure.

    Edit - one month in 1970. Appointed 20th June, died 20th July.
  • Options
    Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 3,397
    Smug alert!

    on Skynews.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,084
    ydoethur said:

    NORRIE!!

    British male semi finalists at Wimbledon, Open Era:

    Roger Taylor
    Tim Henman
    Andy Murray
    And now, Cameron Norrie.

    A very select group. Well done him.
    I hear 'Norrie', and I think of a mouse:
    https://duggee.fandom.com/wiki/Norrie
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,495
    Even Widdecombe on BBC News is saying it is probably curtains.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,495
    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Nonsense. Only the first two and a half seasons were worth watching, after that they ran out of new ideas.
  • Options
    Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 3,397
    OnboardG1 said:

    HYUFD said:

    @NadineDorries
    ·
    2m
    I’m not sure anyone actually doubted this, however, I am 💯 behind @BorisJohnson the PM who consistently gets all the big decisions right.

    Tromboning no doubt.....,
    100% behind the PM, much like a soldier is 100% behind a sandbag.
    She has to be, no one will employ her to cut asparagus when the clown goes.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,442

    Smug alert!

    on Skynews.

    He is talking utter shite but he thinks because he sounds posh that he knows all about the constitution.
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    First few seasons were very good. Last two were disappointing.

    Final season was better than the penultimate one though.
    Last season was astonishingly good.
    I hated it to start with until I spoke with a friend of a friend who told me it was the most amazing thing he'd seen. He kept on about Robin Wright's "blank canvas" performance and how the whole thing is deliberately hugely disorienting and how it pulls your expectations inside out. I rewatched it. He was spot on. It's fucking genius. It went completely over my head the first time.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    FYI

    You can all rest easy knowing I am green on the Next Con Leader market and will make £2.54 no matter what happens.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,330
    Farooq said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Who is manning the banhammer this evening?
    There is no ban hammer. Leon posts racist filth and they just quietly delete it and let him carry on.
    Ban hammer mainly wielded for (1) use of c word or (2) anything that may attract legal consequences such as libel, defamation etc.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,171
    IanB2 said:

    Even Widdecombe on BBC News is saying it is probably curtains.

    RefUK wants him gone so they can pick up some of his voters!
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,029

    It would be genuinely hilarious if, despite all this, Johnson staggers on again.

    He will try to and unless the 1922 committee changes the rules there is nothing to stop him staying in place until June 2023...
  • Options
    boulayboulay Posts: 3,993

    Mogg on sky

    Mogg on a satellite is preferable.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,442
    I'm thinking of sticking Dido on the CD player.

    "I will go down with this ship"

  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,363
    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Which is ludicrous given he would not get past the Tory membership.

    Truss beat Sunak 50% to 35%, Mordaunt beat Sunak 50% to 33% and Wallace beat Sunak 59% to 25% in Conhome's survey this week

    https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/
    I wouldn't trust that polling as far as I could throw it but you carry on holding on to it like a drowning man holds on to a lifebelt.

    Once you get into a leadership election, all bets are off - obviously, the key will be any polling showing how the different contenders would fare in a possible GE against Labour. After all, that's what won it for Johnson in 2019.
    To an extent but less so than 2019 as the Tories now have a majority they didn't then.

    Tory members will be looking for some rightwing red meat as reward for the majority the party won in 2019
    I'd have thought the bigger question is which candidate would be the most likely to keep the Party in Government - wanting "right wing red meat" got you Hague, IDS and Howard - remind me how that worked out.
    None of them led a party in government let alone with a big majority. The party is now in government, it wants some red meat for its power and Tory members will vote accordingly on who has a platform of hard Brexit and tax cuts
    The policies that Tory members like HY want to see as red meat
    1. Dorries to censor things
    2. War with Europe
    3. Benefits scroungers/claimants into the workhouse
    4. Bring back hanging and death to anyone with a funny name.
  • Options
    Penddu2Penddu2 Posts: 596
    edited July 2022
    Please keep JRM on tv.... excellent recruiter for Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP, Greens, etc.
    Smug arrogant condescending berk...totally out of touch
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775

    Farooq said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Who is manning the banhammer this evening?
    There is no ban hammer. Leon posts racist filth and they just quietly delete it and let him carry on.
    Ban hammer mainly wielded for (1) use of c word or (2) anything that may attract legal consequences such as libel, defamation etc.
    Loads of people have used the c word without being banned
  • Options
    FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,018
    I know a few of you are wondering what @HYUFD looks like. Wonder no more.

  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,171

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Which is ludicrous given he would not get past the Tory membership.

    Truss beat Sunak 50% to 35%, Mordaunt beat Sunak 50% to 33% and Wallace beat Sunak 59% to 25% in Conhome's survey this week

    https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/
    That poll is entirely meaningless tonight. The principled resignations has shaken that up completely.
    No they haven't at all. The Tory membership will want a pro hard Brexit, tax cutter as PM, not tax rising Sunak as leader
    Sunak will blame the tax rise on Boris.

    Your inability to see that polls change is your downfall.
    They won't change amongst Tory members who have the final say
    They will.

    They've moved a lot in past 12 months. Why would they magically freeze now?
    No they haven't, not since the tax rises Sunak put up, which even you opposed, he has collapsed into oblivion with Tory members.

    The next PM if Boris goes will almost certainly be one of Wallace, Truss or Mordaunt, probably Wallace
    I would just comment that the Conhome polls you so devotedly parrot average just over 700 members and in my case non members

    You are in denial as to what is coming and it will not be the ERG dominated conservative party you hope for
    Even the Yougov Tory members poll I posted and you ignored had Sunak failing to even make the top 3 and Wallace and Truss the clear frontrunners

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/06/06/snap-poll-conservative-members-want-mps-vote-keep-
  • Options
    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Oh f*** off Mogg
  • Options
    OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,346
    Alistair said:

    FYI

    You can all rest easy knowing I am green on the Next Con Leader market and will make £2.54 no matter what happens.

    Inflation busting returns!
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775
    edited July 2022
    Leon said:

    Farooq said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Who is manning the banhammer this evening?
    There is no ban hammer. Leon posts racist filth and they just quietly delete it and let him carry on.
    Citation?
    Citation is fuck off you vile piece of excrement
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,146
    eek said:

    It would be genuinely hilarious if, despite all this, Johnson staggers on again.

    He will try to and unless the 1922 committee changes the rules there is nothing to stop him staying in place until June 2023...
    "unless" doing a lot of heavy lifting there.....
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,452
    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Who is manning the banhammer this evening?
    There is no ban hammer. Leon posts racist filth and they just quietly delete it and let him carry on.
    Ban hammer mainly wielded for (1) use of c word or (2) anything that may attract legal consequences such as libel, defamation etc.
    Loads of people have used the c word without being banned
    Indeed. We can't discuss politics without mentioning Carrie.
  • Options
    FishingFishing Posts: 4,561

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Agreed, just got onto Series 5, splendid stuff
    Series 1, 4 and 5 are good. 2 and 3 are too slow and self-consciously arty. And the ending is just dismal.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,452

    I know a few of you are wondering what @HYUFD looks like. Wonder no more.

    Leslie Nielsen in The Naked Gun would be better.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,330
    IanB2 said:

    Even Widdecombe on BBC News is saying it is probably curtains.

    Josh? What does he know?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,171

    https://twitter.com/KateEMcCann/status/1544388131738222595

    NEW: Tory vice chair
    @BimAfolami
    has just resigned his position live on
    @TheNewsDesk

    Here we go here we go!!!!

    A former Remainer not in the Cabinet
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 39,958
    edited July 2022

    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:

    Scott_xP said:
    Which is ludicrous given he would not get past the Tory membership.

    Truss beat Sunak 50% to 35%, Mordaunt beat Sunak 50% to 33% and Wallace beat Sunak 59% to 25% in Conhome's survey this week

    https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/
    I wouldn't trust that polling as far as I could throw it but you carry on holding on to it like a drowning man holds on to a lifebelt.

    Once you get into a leadership election, all bets are off - obviously, the key will be any polling showing how the different contenders would fare in a possible GE against Labour. After all, that's what won it for Johnson in 2019.
    To an extent but less so than 2019 as the Tories now have a majority they didn't then.

    Tory members will be looking for some rightwing red meat as reward for the majority the party won in 2019
    I'd have thought the bigger question is which candidate would be the most likely to keep the Party in Government - wanting "right wing red meat" got you Hague, IDS and Howard - remind me how that worked out.
    None of them led a party in government let alone with a big majority. The party is now in government, it wants some red meat for its power and Tory members will vote accordingly on who has a platform of hard Brexit and tax cuts
    The policies that Tory members like HY want to see as red meat
    1. Dorries to censor things
    2. War with Europe
    3. Benefits scroungers/claimants into the workhouse
    4. Bring back hanging and death to anyone with a funny name.
    3 and 4 would be pretty hard on Tory MPs, esp., when you add the castration for sex offenders. Look on the nright side, lots of by-elections to argue about.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,330
    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Who is manning the banhammer this evening?
    There is no ban hammer. Leon posts racist filth and they just quietly delete it and let him carry on.
    Ban hammer mainly wielded for (1) use of c word or (2) anything that may attract legal consequences such as libel, defamation etc.
    Loads of people have used the c word without being banned
    Examples? OGH very anti this one.
  • Options
    Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 4,819

    It would be genuinely hilarious if, despite all this, Johnson staggers on again.

    Dead meat, but not caring about it.

    Carrion Regardless.
  • Options

    https://twitter.com/KateEMcCann/status/1544388131738222595

    NEW: Tory vice chair
    @BimAfolami
    has just resigned his position live on
    @TheNewsDesk

    Here we go here we go!!!!

    image

    He's not going to make it to PMQs. Its done.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,674

    I'm thinking of sticking Dido on the CD player.

    "I will go down with this ship"

    And we've got Dildo on the TV.
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,363

    https://twitter.com/KateEMcCann/status/1544388131738222595

    NEW: Tory vice chair
    @BimAfolami
    has just resigned his position live on
    @TheNewsDesk

    Here we go here we go!!!!

    Extraordinary https://twitter.com/TheNewsDesk/status/1544388951435247625
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,442
    Juniors resigning.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,330

    I'm thinking of sticking Dido on the CD player.

    "I will go down with this ship"

    Which in my head is always “ and I will go down on his d...”
    More a comment on me, sadly.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,442
    Kate McCann
    @KateEMcCann
    ·
    5m
    NEW: Tory vice chair
    @BimAfolami
    has just resigned his position live on
    @TheNewsDesk
  • Options
    StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 7,098
    Farooq said:

    Leon said:

    Farooq said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Who is manning the banhammer this evening?
    There is no ban hammer. Leon posts racist filth and they just quietly delete it and let him carry on.
    Citation?
    Citation is fuck off you vile piece of excrement
    If you’ve just come here to be offensive can I suggest you depart again.

    That’s 2 posters you have attacked without provocation
  • Options
    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,804

    I know a few of you are wondering what @HYUFD looks like. Wonder no more.

    My word - in that picture he looks far younger and better dressed than we'd ever imagine.
  • Options
    Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 7,981

    I'm thinking of sticking Dido on the CD player.

    "I will go down with this ship"

    That is a lovely ballad, please do not sully it by associating it with Boris
  • Options
    MPartridgeMPartridge Posts: 157
    Fishing said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Agreed, just got onto Series 5, splendid stuff
    Series 1, 4 and 5 are good. 2 and 3 are too slow and self-consciously arty. And the ending is just dismal.
    Better the Designated Survivor, started watching that 1st series very good, 2nd so so, 3rd series shocking
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,403
    Penddu2 said:

    Please keep JRM on tv.... excellent recruiter for Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP, Greens, etc.
    Smug arrogant condescending berk...totally out of touch

    When the new management takes over tomorrow he and mad Nad and a few others will return to well deserved obscurity with the scorn of an ungrateful nation.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,442

    I'm thinking of sticking Dido on the CD player.

    "I will go down with this ship"

    That is a lovely ballad, please do not sully it by associating it with Boris
    Fair point. I withdraw.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,058
    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/KateEMcCann/status/1544388131738222595

    NEW: Tory vice chair
    @BimAfolami
    has just resigned his position live on
    @TheNewsDesk

    Here we go here we go!!!!

    A former Remainer not in the Cabinet
    But an Eton boy. Probably had to fag for someone a lot like Boris and resents it.
  • Options
    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 7,212
    Chair 2 weeks ago, vice chair, chancellor and health have all quit
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,920
    HYUFD said:

    @NadineDorries
    ·
    2m
    I’m not sure anyone actually doubted this, however, I am 💯 behind @BorisJohnson the PM who consistently gets all the big decisions right.

    I do wonder if we might find out in a few years that Boris and Nadine are actually the John and Edwina of this era... ;)
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,452

    Fishing said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Agreed, just got onto Series 5, splendid stuff
    Series 1, 4 and 5 are good. 2 and 3 are too slow and self-consciously arty. And the ending is just dismal.
    Better the Designated Survivor, started watching that 1st series very good, 2nd so so, 3rd series shocking
    Yes, it dragged on far too long.

    It's also based on a false premise, which slightly annoys me.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,396
    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    Even Widdecombe on BBC News is saying it is probably curtains.

    RefUK wants him gone so they can pick up some of his voters!
    I want him gone so the conservatives can regain the votes he is haemorrhaging
  • Options
    NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    Is it conceivable that the only way to get shut will be Tories supporting VONC against government? No automatic GE will follow. Queen will call leader most likely to form a government so possibilities include:
    1. No leadership campaign instead Tory MPs will have to agree on one candidate to avoid prolonged vote.
    2. Temporary PM while leadership contest takes place (May?)

    Tories have to be vary careful they don't precipitate an election by accident. Of course it is also possible that Starmer may go soon (before Boris??).

    Entertaining!
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,171
    DavidL said:

    Penddu2 said:

    Please keep JRM on tv.... excellent recruiter for Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP, Greens, etc.
    Smug arrogant condescending berk...totally out of touch

    When the new management takes over tomorrow he and mad Nad and a few others will return to well deserved obscurity with the scorn of an ungrateful nation.
    They won't, JRM is very popular amongst the Tory membership and it is the Tory membership who get the final say on the next Tory leader and PM not the public
  • Options
    OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,346
    Slightly off topic, but when did they ditch Jag saloons for ministerial cars in favour of the dreadfully gauche Range Rovers?
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,452

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    Even Widdecombe on BBC News is saying it is probably curtains.

    RefUK wants him gone so they can pick up some of his voters!
    I want him gone so the conservatives can regain the votes he is haemorrhaging
    I fear that ship has not only sailed but already docked at its destination.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,463
    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/KateEMcCann/status/1544388131738222595

    NEW: Tory vice chair
    @BimAfolami
    has just resigned his position live on
    @TheNewsDesk

    Here we go here we go!!!!

    A former Remainer not in the Cabinet
    HYUFD is ALSO a former Remainer not in the Cabinet!
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913
    So should Starmer table a VONC?
  • Options
    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713

    Fishing said:

    Farooq said:

    The American House of Cards was way better then the British one

    Agreed, just got onto Series 5, splendid stuff
    Series 1, 4 and 5 are good. 2 and 3 are too slow and self-consciously arty. And the ending is just dismal.
    Better the Designated Survivor, started watching that 1st series very good, 2nd so so, 3rd series shocking
    As with many high-concept ideas, they run out of steam. The idea of a guy without experience being thrust into being the President works for a while, then it just becomes a poor knock off of the West Wing
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,363
    Moggy says Johnson will do longer than Walpole
  • Options
    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Oh god, Mogg wants to be CoE.....
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 39,958
    HYUFD said:

    DavidL said:

    Penddu2 said:

    Please keep JRM on tv.... excellent recruiter for Labour, LDs, Plaid, SNP, Greens, etc.
    Smug arrogant condescending berk...totally out of touch

    When the new management takes over tomorrow he and mad Nad and a few others will return to well deserved obscurity with the scorn of an ungrateful nation.
    They won't, JRM is very popular amongst the Tory membership and it is the Tory membership who get the final say on the next Tory leader and PM not the public
    Oh, so the public are imperfectluy coordinated with the Party view? Must be so annoying for you.
This discussion has been closed.