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The election day betting moves to a 2022 Johnson exit – politicalbetting.com

Above s the latest betting chart on the year of Johnson’s exit. As can be seen the prices have drifted a touch during polling day and now 2022 is just favourite.
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Sturgeon, largely for political reasons, decided to unlink it from the rUK census. More here, if you find this sort of thing interesting:
https://www.holyrood.com/news/view,comment-scotlands-census-delay-is-just-another-scottish-government-failure
But really it's just the tradition I like, that normal people can mostly wake up and know the results straight away, that the political volunteers face the drama of a day's volunteering and then a wait through the night. I think one night of being a bit bleary eyed is not onerous (and the candidates themselves are usually not there from the start, and get some shut eye). For Locals a large number won't be around for all night anyway, as there's relatively quick turnaround most of the time (parishes can be more awkward and time costing)
So whilst there is a convenience aspect to waiting to the next day, I don't think it is as huge as supposed (certainly if people are talking about errors), in which case it's a matter of preference rather than actual superiority.
https://mobile.twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1522277544791322624
Here’s the brilliantly named Krystal Ball, with an eight-minute evisceration of cynical Washington politics.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=VJWLUxR7UyE
One thing that I learned today is that Russian soldiers can legally refuse to enter Ukraine unless war is declared, and apparently some have done.
And while my comments had a bit of a barb, am sincere in saying the above.
Note that Boeing recently threw bean-counting CEO (successor to Stonecipher the REAL culprit IMHO) and put in an engineer, definitely a change for better.
As for moving HQ to DC area from Chicago, cozier lobby opportunities no doubt a factor. But wonder IF other factors also, such as property investments and tax considerations, are also in play?
And am wondering, just how sound in pure business terms, was moving from Seattle to Chicago in the first place. As real impetus appeared to be - from Seattle's perspective - corporate desire to NOT be too tied to Washington State? Part and parcel with moving significant share of Boeing's aircraft production to South Carolina - with mixed results re: quality control if not (apparent) cost reduction.
So it is a bit harsh to blame the Dems. Could they have done more? Probably. Would it have made the slightest difference? Not likely.
And it's not money people end up losing.
On state level, numbers of states - including WA State - have done just that.
- military defeat in Ukraine,
- Coup / revolution
- Nuclear wipeout in WW3
Edit - I'm posting fake news.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Declaration_of_war_by_the_United_States#Formal
Do they really want tens of thousands of barely-trained reservists with insufficient equipment, on the battlefield as cannon fodder? Tens of thousands more grieving wives and mothers?
Do they have sufficient industrial capacity to make military vehicles? We think they can only turn out a handful of tanks a week in total, when they’re losing a dozen a day to NLAWs.
Interesting point about the legality of war. There were some stories of deserters early in the war, soldiers who thought they were doing exercises in Belarus, who didn’t expect to be heading for Kiev to shoot at their cousins.
Klopp asks to reschedule the Newcastle and the PL tell him to eff off, but for a match West Ham won't be playing, the PL reschedule it.
In contrast, because the population of sub-Saharan Africa was so much larger (about a 1000 times) when the out-of-Africa group left, "present-day sub-Saharan Africans have retained this rich genetic inheritance and different groups are as different from each other as they are from extra-African humankind."
Wisely, McEvedy does not call any of these groups "races", since that is a sure way to attract trouble, if you are within 100 miles (or more) of a modern university.
For instance, the American Anthropological Association has been arguing about whether they are doing science for decades. So far as this outsider can tell, the anti-scientists are winning.
For the record, I am pleased by the increased number of Americans who are of mixed race, and say so, openly and often proudly: https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2015/06/11/multiracial-in-america/
And it's not like outsourcing all our knowledge and integration skills will make the planes any less safe anyway.
And we can always make it up on our military contracts. Our friend in congress will make sure of that.
P.S. Anyone want a slightly un-used spacecraft?
P.S.S. Can't deal with these unprofessional idiots - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvim4rsNHkQ
https://medium.com/britainelects
In a world of death pits and rape gangs there is nothing here but virtue signalling moral mush. Compare this with the clarity and toughness of other European leaders, especially the “warrior women” in charge of Sweden, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, and Lithuania.
https://thecritic.co.uk/its-time-to-burst-the-red-balloons/
This is the direction Putin is going with his repression, stronger but brittler. At some point, brittle snaps.
We're counting TONIGHT: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Victoria_(Sefton_ward)
The authors of this miserable diatribe finally come up with a statement so awful that it would take a new long compound German word to capture just how cynical and patronising it is. They manage to accept that Russia is the aggressor, but claim: “Even legitimate resistance to an aggressor is at some point an intolerable disproportion.
It's misses out quite a bit of blame for long term Boeing employees - it's a handy externalisation of the problem.
It's more about the corporate culture that can't accept that they are fucking up.
They took the out sourcing paradigm to the limit and beyond. They tried to turn Boeing into a hedge fund that owned some IP and paid other people too make planes. They lost control and understanding of their business. And they never learn to do modern software.
There was a hilarious leaked email (have to find it) about SpaceX, NASA and Boeings failures in the Commercial Crew program. The author of the email took the success of SpaceX to prove that the problem was with the horribly unfair Commercial Crew program. Because otherwise Boeing would have won. By Divine Right, as the greatest aerospace company ever.
When you reach the stage where your failures are evidence of your genius.....
She is making slow but steady progress. Honestly, I don't think she'll win, but maybe she can close the gap.
She suspects turnout will be down slightly (no PCC voting this time), and is hoping to squeeze the CON vote a bit more. Let's wait and see......
There was a great big red flag recently.
The PM has a majority of nearly 80 and he could't whip his side to stop Labour's amendment on investigating the PM.
Shoot me a DM if you'd be keen and are planning to stay up! If you've helped in previous years lmk too!
https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1522301145087156226
We saw the same with Mrs May in 2018, who was challenged but won comfortably.
Because I think it's Reagan's idea of lobbing one in the mens room in the Kremlin.
Absent a constitutional amendment, this court would still have found a way round abortion rights.
But the war is there, right on the border of the EU and affecting millions of people. It’s not going away, so they need to pull their weight.
Johnson and Biden are very clear, that the war doesn’t end until there’s no Russian forces in Ukraine, and are sending arms and training to effect that goal.
And clearly you WOULD be an adornment to the Boeing board, no joke.
At least you know it's possible to lie (esp. to one's self) with statistics!