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How different pollsters ask the “best PM” question – politicalbetting.com
How different pollsters ask the “best PM” question – politicalbetting.com
One of the standard polling questions that the vast majority of political opinion polls ask is on respondents’ preference for prime minister. These are how the different pollsters approach it:
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The issue for Johnson, however, is that he is now regarded as a criminal and Starmer has spent a career locking criminals up (albeit with rather mixed success).
https://twitter.com/mwr_dbm/status/1500317789390876672
In another thread the conclusion is “quite probably real, or if not a better fake than we’ve seen before” (the longer the fake, the greater the chance for mistakes - this one is long)
https://www.scotsman.com/news/politics/nicola-sturgeon-best-performing-party-leader-says-uk-wide-poll-3091673
https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1500301348780199937
https://twitter.com/vcdgf555/status/1497669969139539968
Next question.
Net favourability
Sturgeon 13%
Scottish Government 7%
Anas Sarwar 1%
Keir Starmer -10
Patrick Harvie -15
Alex Cole-Hamilton -15
Lorna Slater -15
Rishi Sunak -19
Douglas Ross -21
UK Government -50
Alex Salmond -62
Boris Johnson -62
(Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman; 14-18 January; 1,004)
Boris's best PM ranking collapsed with Partygate (or, as I prefer, bare faced lying) and it has not yet shown much sign of recovery despite a reasonable effort on Ukraine to date. SKS is being more successful at sounding like at least a potential PM in waiting. This is useful information but I don't think trying to find the absolute "truth" of their respective standings tells us very much.
Indeed. Scots want neither. The last Opinium finding for Jockland:
The Oaf 10%
Starmer 26%
None of the above 51%
DK 13%
I wonder how many foreign volunteers you'd need to make a significant difference on the ground. 10,000 maybe?
- Our Blitzkrieg has totally collapsed. It is impossible to complete the task
- With regards to Russian military losses: I don’t know the reality – no one does. There was some information the first 2 days, but now no one knows what is happening in Ukraine. We’ve lost contact with major divisions.
- Our conditional deadline is June. Conditional because in June there will be no economy left in Russia – there will be nothing left.
- Total dead is definitely in the thousands, maybe 10,000, maybe 5,000, or maybe just 2,000. Probably closer to 10,000 Russian dead.
Welcome to the bizarre world of social research:
99% guff
1% Palladium
If they're suffering that level of attrition, we're talking about a mortality rate not ridiculously far off that of the British Army in the First World War (which was around 10-12% over four years).
While having numerical and technical superiority, which the BEF didn't have.
Something doesn't make sense about that to me. Either the figures are wrong or the Russian military has buggered things up on a scale that would have caused the Light Brigade to blink.
Are they like that Jade lassie off of Big Brother?
…As I said, the Labour mainstream used the invasion to move against the tyrannophile left. We have seen nothing comparable on the supposedly mainstream right.
No pieces in the Mail or Telegraph agonising over how they ever came to be fooled by Farage and Arron Banks. No speeches from Boris Johnson warning against the seductions of tyrannical thinking and power worship. The silence shows that the border between the centre right and the far right has fallen into disrepair.
For Johnson also likes to pose as a strongman, who can get Brexit done. He too wallows in nostalgia for the past rather than hope for the future and defines himself against a large portion of his fellow countrymen: the remoaners, the naysayers, the libtards and the woke.
In the most desperate of circumstances, Ukraine cries to be allowed into the European Union, that same European Union a generation of unforgivably trivial Tories have dedicated their lives to destroying. Putin shows his fear of Russians learning the truth about his war by blocking their access to the BBC, the same BBC that Johnson underfunds and promises to ruin whenever he needs to toss red meat to the Tory right.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/mar/05/far-right-far-left-admired-putin-weve-all-turned-against-strongmen
In other news The Batman is ok, very definitely wants to be the Dark Knight, though is too long.
Obviously the rest of us cannot vote SNP, but such popularity does rather prevent a reprise of the Miliband in Salmonds pocket adverts of 2015. Indeed with Sturgeon being more popular in rUK than Starmer, it might have the reverse effect to intended.
Remember that after Russia poisoned the Skripals with a WMD on British soil, Big Dog skipped security briefings to meet Lebedev senior the KGB man. And then ignores security concerns about ennobling Lebedev junior who gets all his money from his dad the KGB man. Who gets the security services *to withdraw* their problematic concerns about Lebedev junior.
This is the problem. The Tories can't act properly against Russia because they shill for Russia. The press reposts how the Tories are "delighted" with the Ukraine was as being a great opportunity to move on from problems and portray the PM as Thatcher. "Delighted"?
My reservations about the FSB letter is that it is supposedly by an analyst and there is damn little analysis in it. In fact there is not even 1 hard figure. That makes me a bit suspicious that this is more Ukranian propoganda. Good effort though.
And even if it is real: it is one person's view, and may not reflect reality.
I'm still convinced that Russia's attack has gone disastrously wrong. They could still win, though, but at a dramatic price to both the Ukrainians and themselves.
He says Holac investigates cases as much as possible, but ultimately relies on info from elsewhere
In the end, he adds, it's a matter for the PM
https://twitter.com/Gabriel_Pogrund/status/1500232483324968970 https://twitter.com/Gabriel_Pogrund/status/1500390446291378176/photo/1
I wonder who is the highest placed Russian agent in British political life. Parliament or much higher still?
I don't think Johnson's actions were inspired by anything more than the grubby pursuit of personal financial gain. But his interests are not Britain's interests. That is the problem.
Edit: or God. But, pace R.F. Delderfield, He's not a UK subject.
Mr. Divvie, I'm reminded of reading about differing rail gauges slowing logistical progress from that direction in WWII.
Of course, Stalin's drive for Berlin was greatly aided by American credulity for his claims the city didn't really matter.
https://interfax.com/newsroom/top-stories/75694/
Also interesting: a Russian poll suggesting that support for the war is growing (deep scepticism is appropriate for all the obvious reasons), but the only reason for it that has significant support is "stopping NATO deploying bases in Ukraine" - even if the poll is entirely rigged, it's significant that that's the key issue in their eyes, rather than support for the mini-republics or denazification (both score under 20%). That suggests that a deal where Ukraine commits not to join NATO may be something Putin could sell back home.
https://interfax.com/newsroom/top-stories/75711/
https://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2022/03/f1-2022-pre-season-preamble.html
Mr Dancer, when he captured Berlin, Stalin reportedly commented "But Tsar Alexander made it all the way to Paris!"
Right now, it’s only the new cars keeping me interested, any more official shenanigans and they’ll quickly add many more to those who have already given up on the sport.
Boris Johnson is lucky. He's having a good war.
It is odd though. When Aldi are removing Russian vodka from the shelves as part of our crackdown on Russia and Russian interests. That it is "nonsense" to have concerns about our PM who skipped security briefings about bioweapon attacks on our soil to party with his KGB friend.
Absolutely nothing to see here, and the security service were clearly Wrong to have any concerns at all.
At least Farage and Banks are showing some integrity by sticking to their support of Putin.
So situation normal.
P. B. Pedant
Mr. L, if it's very close, the stewards will have their hands full this season.
Russian news site Avia.pro reports that:
“Ukranian “Azov” terrorists blasted residential building in Mariopol, 200 people under the ruins.”
There was no Azov terrorist attack in Mariopol yesterday. The picture is actually of School No.25 in Zhytomyr, several hundred kilometers away, hit by a Russian rocket 48 hours ago. The same rocket that means I need to buy new windows for my house!
(Azov are a “Ukranian Nationalist terrrorist group”, which does exist, mostly attacking Russian soldiers that have been in Ukraine since 2014, but exists a lot in Russian reporting of what’s going on at the moment).
If it were on track, they would be talking of taking cities, not talking of taking villages in Donbas.
As happened with Covid, the compulsive need to keep up with the Russian invasion is taking a toll on our mental health"
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2022/mar/06/obsessed-frightened-wakeful-war-in-ukraine-sparks-return-of-doomscrolling
At least other PMs have waited until after they left office to line their pockets. He doesn't even have the decency to do that.
So I remain quite sanguine.