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Starmer leads Johnson by 13% as “most capable PM” – politicalbetting.com

Boris Johnson slumps 13 points behind Keir Starmer as most capable PM @IpsosMORI poll for Standard. Other numbers are as bad for the PMhttps://t.co/OfmQidwcyP pic.twitter.com/nraJggEDH5
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Dammit, Ishmael
3rd like Johnson in the ratings of most competent* PMs of the last decade
*May was competent(ish), I think. Just lacking in any good ideas, vision or charm to take others with her.
Anyone MP suspended from the house for more than 10 days is subject to a recall petition.
And it's possible to see Boris being subject to a 10 day suspension given the current charges against him.
If you were hoping that you were getting fantastic fitness data, I don't see it, in the way you get it from Zwift, where all the keeno's are inputting their stats every week, wearing their heart monitors, they use smart trainers which produces extremely detailed power, cadence, etc data....
Zwift is a gold mine of health tracking data.
Anyhow, if you are thinking of the Italian example, it would need a reasonably long street.
Now, that its quite possibly true, but nobody in all good conscience would wish to condemn the nation to two and a half more years of this washed-up, blundering incompetent. He has become a global embarrassment for the UK.
So, for the good of the country, he must go and go now, even though replacing him with a grown-up such as Sunak would perhaps make Labour's task harder in 2024.
(((Dan Hodges)))
@DPJHodges
I just don't understand how - given the clear evidence on hospitalisation rates, length of average stay for those who are hospitalised, and death rates - there is so much panic about the new variant. Especially given UK's relatively high vaccination rates.
Its going to be from "its only mild, nobody dies from it, i will get my booster later"...."100s died today, Boris is killing grannies again, i can't get my booster for 3 weeks panicccccccc".
Rather than the middle ground of its probably milder, but it is very infectious, if you are vulnerable you should be cautious, if you are not, you probably going to get it, but the vaccines (booster or not) should ensure that you won't suffer hospitalisation.
It is hard to listen to him and the 1922 must tell him it is over
Still, the recent reshuffle seems to have improved things somewhat for Labour - Wes Streeting in particular seems to be doing well - but they need to keep at it and really work on being a credible alternative. Can they convince voters, in time for the next GE, that Labour is ready and fit to govern? I don't know, but I've long been of the view that as soon as Labour does look like a serious alternative, voting intentions will shift decisively in their favour.
https://twitter.com/GlennBBC/status/1470402055084941317
At the beginning on 2021 I weighed in at 22 stones 4 pounds. I am 6 ft 1 (although at the end of the day I am normally 6ft)
I mention this for two reasons.
Firstly for a bit of mild praise seeking. I am today 17 stone 13 and more than half way to my target weight of 14 stone.
Secondly to point out, in reply to CHB's comment on an earlier thread concerning Johnson, that I never looked anywhere near that weight. That was actually one of the problems. It is quite possible to be extremely overweight and not look as bad as you really are. I can quite believe Johnson could have been 17 1/2 stone and not looked it - although actually I would have guessed close to that at his heaviest. Some people are just fortunate that they can carry that sort of weight and, whilst they look overweight, they don't look as heavy as they really are. It is actually a big problem if you don't monitor your weight and are just relying on 'how you look'.
Anyway. That was my contribution to the Johnson weight debate. From one porker to another. I can quite believe he was as heavy as claimed.
Do not consider a career change to journalism, mind.
Now, this seems to be slowly changing today – there are few examples of discussion of its being mild, but the idea that that is the narrative is for the birds.
The narrative has been the opposite – one of complete panic.
I have seen more sophisticated online campaigns than this pants-on-fire stuff.
The media have been incredibly irresponsible to try and chase clicks. This is just another example.
Imagine a tower block like the one in the Towering Inferno
There's a penthouse suite on the 150th floor where a bloke, let's call him Jackson, is doing coke and knobbing birds and generally being King of the World, and there's a small accountancy business on the 6th floor where a dreary balding bloke, call him Keith, is keeping up his chargeable hours. Now imagine Jackson falls off the balcony and splats on the street. Suddenly Keith is a neck breaking height above Jackson, just by virtue of where he is. Doesn't need to get in the lift, no reason to think he even knows how the lift works.
The numbers published each day have a non-trivial amount of lag. So we won't see any big changes for a couple of days.
Kay Burley this morning was basically calling Javid a liar and a scare mongerer, saying yeah but its mild isn't, well we don't know that for a fact yet, yeah but how many in hospital, well 18 confirmed but...., yeah and how many died, come on, none isn't it, its mild, just admit it, its mild...
I imagine today's vaccine number is going to be big but as others have said we need to be doing almost 1M/day. Previous record was I think 800k earlier in the year.
One postponed
One confirmed
Last week's one was staged happily.
I guess two out of three ain't (that) bad.
Staff say the queue is now FIVE hours long, but everyone in it will get a dose today.
https://twitter.com/charlotterlynch/status/1470397037908799496?s=20
I hope you are well, how is the move to Switzerland progressing?
I think a new leader might re-balance the polls but Labour is back up to its 40% coalition, a new leader is unlikely to make many inroads into that.
I personally feel the Tory brand is hugely damaged - but we will see
I found something so flipping magical I haven’t never ever seen before I got to share it!
https://youtu.be/-ZxTCV6wQbA
To most of the general public they think about the illnesses they have had recently. The vast majority colds, and think not so bad. May be able to blag a sneaky duvet day.
One party for 50 = not cancelled.
I think people are cancelling not necessarily because they are worried about getting the virus (it may be that) but that they will be pinged and therefore out of the game over Christmas.
It's this last point which is crucial to the calculations Tory MPs will be making.
It's progressing, my wife is currently having second thoughts on the whole thing and we are going on her insistence so 🤷♂️
Labour is getting a lot of anyone but Boris voters right now, if I was polled I'd probably say Labour. I think Starmer is a wet wipe but Boris is debasing the country. A new Tory leader, assuming it isn't Fabricant or Peter Bone would probably be in a good place to win a lot of Tory voters back overnight. The question is whether the new leader could win back northern working class voters. Some of those may come back, some may stay with Labour and some might just stay home.
That's not to say that most reporting has been beyond awful but there are times when a headline serves a real purpose.
Its only when we got the initial results about double vaxxed not really been effective against stopping infection they started to push the panic button.
But the practice was first normalised because of filthy air quality. There were c 10% masks in Taipei in the 90's. Long before SARS.
It brought back memories of an Uncle we lost when his ship sank in the Tees
https://news.sky.com/story/two-people-missing-after-cargo-ships-collide-in-the-baltic-sea-and-one-vessel-capsizes-12494775
The total number of confirmed COVID-19 Omicron cases in the UK is 4713.
https://twitter.com/UKHSA/status/1470405213739786254?s=20
But the narrative is one of complete panic. You are tone deaf to this.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/12/13/purplebricks-shares-plunge-wake-tenancy-law-breaches/
Purple bricks failed to tell renters that their deposits had been projected in the correct timeframe so may have liabilities of between £2-30m.
Scotland Daily Coronavirus (COVID-19) Report · Monday 13th December.
3,756 new cases (people positive) reported, giving a total of 769,642.
No new deaths reported, giving a total of 9,719.
https://twitter.com/UKCovid19Stats/status/1470406163107880965?s=20
It's both. And masks are/were recommended as part of the fight against COVID in Asia, including in China, Japan and Taiwan
Two Pfizer doses give 83.7 per cent protection against hospitalisation and death from the highly-evolved strain.
A two-dose course of AstraZeneca's vaccine was estimated to reduce the risk of severe disease from Omicron by 77.1 per cent.
However 6 months out...
At that point, the Government's scientific advisers believe protection from two AstraZeneca jabs could be as low as 61.3 per cent and 67.6 per cent for Pfizer.
Have they announced another performance-enhancing drug to represent the latest ramp up in the programme? Boosters on EPO?
The belief was that the JCVI would simply say everybody should get a booster after 6 months, not effectively everybody should get a booster now.
England’s Deputy Chief Medical Officer Prof Jonathan Van Tam is writing to every vaccination volunteer, encouraging them to come back and help with the booster programme.
St John Ambulance trained around 30,000 people between November and March last year to help healthcare professionals administer the jabs.
Prof Van Tam writes: “You were a huge part of this achievement, but now we need your help again to deliver booster vaccinations at a real rate of knots.
“It’s going to require a Herculean effort and I am asking you personally to be a part of it by undertaking vaccinator shifts as soon as you possibly can."
"Veering from complacency to blind panic" with nowt in between.
There is a great deal of both extremes about. Little in the middle.
https://twitter.com/PutneyFleur/status/1470383841022029826
I am against things like vaccine passport on a number of levels, mostly because they won't actually do anything in terms of COVID. But all the public will hear is Tory backbenchers are against moves to make things safer for people.
It will be spun as they want to go all herd immunity again, and that scares the public.
However hard to see past Sunak for next PM if Boris goes, with Truss and Javid and maybe Zahawi dark horses.
A 5% poll lead for Labour only not too bad all things considering however and Boris will be hoping he gets a 'booster bounce' by January
https://twitter.com/Matt_VickersMP/status/1470408518721282064
(Known Omicron * Total cases) / (Total sequenced cases).
Total cases / Total sequenced cases I think the answer is around 3 ?