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It means that the referendum campaign will in many ways be running at the same time as the Scottish Welsh and of course London elections which happen at the start of May.
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Almost entire Justice Department backs Brexit. Gove and Penning want Out. Raab, Selous, Dinenage probs likewise. Remarkable.
That is indeed a problem, although it was noticeable and notable that The Sun didn't have a splash front page kicking Cameron's backside.
All the same, Cameron is going to spend a lot of time these next few months alongside Lib Dems, Labour, Greens and SNP politicians, while many of his activists, members, MPs and cabinet campaign, as well as - as you rightly say - the Tory-supporting media go against him.
Good job he doesn't really need that media again!
Mr. Price, I second the motion.
I know this has happened in the EU before.
However, I also think Remain has a very strong chance of winning. I'd be shocked if Leave won.
Was his LEAVE permanent or will he REMAIN on PB ?
Developing Story ....
changed from 60 - 40
They will not as before be travelling up to Scotland on the same day to save the Union, they now know how that one played out.
Cameron Blair Straw Blunkett Mandelson maybe.
All new Labour together as that is what Cameron and Osborne are new Labour disciples.
So if you backed Tiger Woods at his pomp for a major at 9/4 you'd think it was a likely winner
If you backed a horse in the Grand National at 9/4 it would be the most likely winner ever in the race (I think)
On the other hand, you back a cricket team in a t20 at 1/4 in running, they lose a couple of wickets and go 9/4, you think you are certain to lose
But they all have the same chance of winning whether they are favourite in a big field or outsider of two
LEAVE is 9/4.. but it seems less likely to win than Tiger Woods or that mythical Horse
So no, basically.
I now refer you to other posters who will insist that this can be handwaviumed away because reasons.
[1] either by utilising the exit procedure as specified in Lisbon, or by repealing the relevantUK act
I think you should Remain on pb.com, and we should Leave the EU.
I think leave has no chance, the same as Corbyn if he stands at the next GE.
The foreign Office establisment will not let it happen, even the royals are on board.
Wales on the other hand...
We all gravitate to where we're comfortable
A nation mourns...
For every £1 we put into the EU, we get almost £10 back through trade, investment, jobs and lower prices #StrongerIn https://t.co/AbBK2o85RF
Then an ideal, but unrealistic, result might be so close that the spoiled papers exceeded the majority,
In any case I'd expect the total of non-voters and spoiled papers, to exceed the majority.
Bollox... is a thought one could have.
The only reason I could see is turn out with older and conservative voters more likey to vote leave and Labour younger voters not as energised to bother to vote remain.
Let's just say its total bollox
I wonder if the sequel will also have plucky resistance fighters bringing down the forces of oppression - using a suicide bomber to show the way?
https://twitter.com/ben4ipswich/status/701060118734102528
https://twitter.com/JustineGreening/status/701021894653435904
https://twitter.com/karren_brady/status/700995643121209344
It all comes down on how many are willing to disobey orders from the top, on an issue that if the leadership is defeated it won't threaten Tory dominance in Parliament, but it will certainly affect the horse race for next Tory leader.
As for the deal it's self, the expectations were low and the deal didn't meet them, it solves no issue and no problem, and it has no guarantees and plenty of loopholes so it probably won't be implemented either.
It is even a watered down version of the last deal that was rejected by the press and the public as an insult a few weeks ago.
What is the equivalent number for, say, Canada?
Our govt doesn't seem to pay them much VAT and other things, but we still get a lot of jobs back.
Is there any data about the things we pay lower prices for? Lower prices than what?
A few recent examples to think about are the Scottish independence referendum and how those poll figures shifted over the campaign, the Euro 2014 Elections and more recently in America the rise of Donald Trump and Ted Cruz against the GOP establishment.
If you account some extra jobs that the extra EU investment causes and job losses from German competition, Britain is net worse by around 2-3 times of it's contribution.
https://twitter.com/lawyers4britain/status/700964983631454208
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BRDfTBdCEAAMQU7.jpg:large
Will be interesting to see which two MPs get to the final round of 2 (for the membership to vote). Boris v May is my guess now.
What price were Arsenal to win today?
Suarez just opened the scoring for Barcelona.. hardly earth shatteringly surprising, but at 10/3 it was 7% less likely in betting terms than us leaving the EU
1) PB Tories discovering the real views of the Conservative leadership.
2) The Cameron cheerleaders who emphasised protection for the City on the expectation that Cameron would get it and who have now have gone very quiet on the issue.
Cromwell rides again.
The problem is that the good of europe costs Britain a lot, in my opinion it's never worth paying huge amounts of money, damaging your economy and undermining your self respect and your institutions, for sentimental reasons (apart from marriage of course).
And of course the EU is not really good for europe anyway, not at it's present course and structure, by leaving the EU we will give it a necessary shock to put their act together or risk losing other members as well.
The case for Remain is one of cultural values, the case for Leave is one of economic values.
My guess is that we're looking at a similar result to the Scottish independence referendum, ie 45% Leave. Which would mean a similar consequence - the union is saved but the establishment is kept on their toes and a further referendum is always round the corner!
Unless Cameron's still there in 2020, and Labour's led by Corbyn, I'm not sure I'll vote Conservative again whilst he's leader.
Leave really needs to focus on such stuff, and keep on for days until it sticks.
If we vote REMAIN there is nothing the EU can do to stop us having another referendum later.
just listening to Cameron's speech. He's really laying on the scare the voters theme
Glad to see its getting the derision it deserves.
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/china/exports-to-european-union