politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This is turning into a truly terrible night for the Lib Dem

Options
1356711

Comments

  • Richard_Nabavi
    Richard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Sheffield Hallam incoming
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,074
    Hallam declares!
  • Philip_Thompson
    Philip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Wonder how many LD Councillors are left now. Time to dissolve the party, they've served their purpose.
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    edited May 2015
    Not Clegg, surely?
    He's safe, 6LDs so far.
  • SimonStClare
    SimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    squeaky bum time in Sheffield Hallam.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    The writing is definitely on the wall :smile:

    9 out of every 10 polls overestimated Labour against actual votes this parliament. As was mentioned. But we still had all this Labour's firewall and then E&W swing guff.

    It's the economy, stupid ;)

  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    When oh WHEN are BBC going to update their forecast?
  • Richard_Nabavi
    Richard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited May 2015
    Nick Clegg 22,115 Lab 19,862 (if I heard right)
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Dover Con hold
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    Libdem #5 is Clegg
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Clegg hangs on...
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Clegg holds on in Sheffield Hallam
  • alex.
    alex. Posts: 4,658

    SKY: "Quite possible [LDs] most number of Lost Deposits ever"

    Natural Law party?

  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Nick wins
  • Philip_Thompson
    Philip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Clegg stays. Delicious irony.
  • Fenster
    Fenster Posts: 2,115
    Well done Nick.
  • JackW
    JackW Posts: 14,787
    Clegg looks crushed .... hardly surprising.

    He put the nation first and the nation said thanks but piss off.
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,074
    Clegg holds on by 2400 votes
  • Clegg Holds seat
  • macisback
    macisback Posts: 382
    Recount in Derby North
  • SandyRentool
    SandyRentool Posts: 23,155

    Nick wins

    He probably wishes he lost
  • The_Apocalypse
    The_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Clegg's held Sheffield Hallam.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    edited May 2015
    Con holds Halesowen and Dover
  • Scrapheap_as_was
    Scrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Balls has lost apparently - yes"""
  • Sean_F
    Sean_F Posts: 39,132

    Anybody heard from IOS and the gang since 10pm?

    Nemesis inevitably follows hubris.

    Something must be wrong with the ground game.
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,722
    Tories for Clegg did it for him....
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    Nick Clegg becomes the 6th LD MP.
  • SimonStClare
    SimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited May 2015
    Clegg safe - chuffed to rocks with that. :lol:
  • RobinWiggs
    RobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Tory tacticals save Clegg
  • Tony_M
    Tony_M Posts: 70

    Nick wins

    Good. Might need his help.

    Oh!, wait...
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    tactical voting by the tories to save nick?
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    Clegg hold, maj down from 15k to 2k
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Thank your Tory friends, Nick...
  • alex.
    alex. Posts: 4,658
    Massive Conservative tactical voting saves Clegg
  • The_Apocalypse
    The_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    I've never seen someone so unhappy to hold their seat.
  • williamglenn
    williamglenn Posts: 56,289

    Nick wins

    He probably wishes he lost
    Survivor's guilt.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    Walker took one for the team there.
  • edmundintokyo
    edmundintokyo Posts: 17,735

    Nick wins

    He probably wishes he lost
    The LibDems in that room are going to be really narked off if he now retires from politics and they lose it in a by-election.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    Tory vote looks low - assume a lot of tactical Tories there for Clegg
    JackW said:

    Clegg looks crushed .... hardly surprising.

    He put the nation first and the nation said thanks but piss off.

  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    OMG Ed balls....please please please
  • felix
    felix Posts: 15,180
    He won't but he should thank the Tories for this.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    Serious question, how does Cameron make any decision that affect Scotland now? They already didn't like it.
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited May 2015
    Fenster said:

    Well done Nick.

    Congratulations to Nick Clegg. No good deed goes unpunished.
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Gower is recounting again

    I guess Gisela could hold on...Dromey increased his majority, the swing to Con in Northfield wasn't big

    Itchen.....Bolton West....Derby North...Halifax.....Gedling...Nottingham South...Morley...Wakefield....Hampestead.....how many will fall?
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    kle4 said:

    Serious question, how does Cameron make any decision that affect Scotland now? They already didn't like it.

    He should make a 'gesture' to scotland, and also sort out england as well...
  • RobinWiggs
    RobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Clegg - the honourable man who put his country before his party, and in the process saw his party wiped out.
  • Philip_Thompson
    Philip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    kle4 said:

    Serious question, how does Cameron make any decision that affect Scotland now? They already didn't like it.

    In the same way that SNP were gloating about setting English laws. The SNP got in bed with Labour, they can sink with that ship.
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    Nick Clegg is a philosopher from East Prussia.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    How the hell did the Tories win Telford?
  • RodCrosby
    RodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Lab gain Brentford
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    The woman who can't recall any labour pledges gain Brentford for Labour
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    I feel sure the LDs will be happy Clegg has managed to survive. Not.
  • not_on_fire
    not_on_fire Posts: 4,451
    Not sure it's been mentioned but Labour have won a seat in Edinburgh...
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    kle4 said:

    Serious question, how does Cameron make any decision that affect Scotland now? They already didn't like it.

    Give them independence on Monday morning.
  • LucyJones
    LucyJones Posts: 651
    JackW said:

    Clegg looks crushed .... hardly surprising.

    He put the nation first and the nation said thanks but piss off.

    Poor Nick. And a poor show that people see fit to boo the result - a bit of dignity and respect never goes amiss.
  • JonnyJimmy
    JonnyJimmy Posts: 2,548
    kle4 said:

    I'm wondering if it is possible to delete old posts I might have made ridiculing the idea Labour would not win this election? About 6000 of them?

    Just so long as it doesn't include any in which you bet on the Tories sub 300!
  • Blue_rog
    Blue_rog Posts: 2,019
    I reckon Nick is going!!!!!
  • Richard_Nabavi
    Richard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited May 2015
    Clegg strongly hinting he'll resign from the leadership
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Clegg standing down later.
  • have there been any updated projections?
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,802
    Just stuck in a tweet about Ed Balls. *Innocent Face*
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    LibDems 4th in Chesterfield
  • Carola
    Carola Posts: 1,805
    Balls has lost acc to Mark Ferguson.
  • SandyRentool
    SandyRentool Posts: 23,155
    Clegg to resign in private
  • RodCrosby
    RodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    recount at Bolton W
  • Eh_ehm_a_eh
    Eh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    edited May 2015
    booo Resign Sturgeon
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @GerriPeev: That's a non-resignation resignation. Clegg is quitting as leader later today.
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    Not pleased with London at the moment!
  • RobinWiggs
    RobinWiggs Posts: 621

    Clegg strongly hinting he'll resign from the leadership

    That wasn't a hint. It was practically a declaration.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @iainmartin1: Ed Balls
  • TGOHF
    TGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Morning all. Cambridge yet to declare....
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Balls deep in trouble
  • Scrapheap_as_was
    Scrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069

    Just stuck in a tweet about Ed Balls. *Innocent Face*

    If ever there was the night to use that little one, we've waited a long long time for it. Would be George's ultimate genius proven if took out his 2 2010 rival chancellors?
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Labour hold Hampstead
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395

    have there been any updated projections?

    No, the networks must think the original exit poll was pretty much correct.
  • Tissue_Price
    Tissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    I expect a May2015 article on Miliband's path to power shortly.
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    The Conservatives are already up 8. We still have all the remaining south west LD seats.
  • Sean_F
    Sean_F Posts: 39,132
    kle4 said:

    Serious question, how does Cameron make any decision that affect Scotland now? They already didn't like it.

    Clearly, some accommodation will have to be reached with Scotland.
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,722
    Clegg definitely stepping down...Rock Paper Scissors Lizard Spock for the leadership?
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Mundell held on
  • JonCisBack
    JonCisBack Posts: 911
    Northampton North possibly worst LD result of the night?

    28% last time...3.6% this time
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Gloria is smiling at Ashfield count. It seems she has won
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Brentford and Isleworth Labour gain

  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2015
    Rowenna lost Itchen.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    edited May 2015
    Huge Con incumbency bonus.
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,074
    alex. said:

    SKY: "Quite possible [LDs] most number of Lost Deposits ever"

    Natural Law party?

    IIRC 310 lost deposits in 1992
  • Blue_rog
    Blue_rog Posts: 2,019
    Hurry up with Morely and Outwood, I really need a poo but can't risk missing the result
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    CON HOLD DUMFRESHIRE
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    So Clegg, Miliband, Farage all gonners?
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Dumfriesshire Tory hold
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113

    Clegg - the honourable man who put his country before his party, and in the process saw his party wiped out.

    One day the history books might say that. Tomorrow, the remaining LDs will surely want to rip him to shreds (notwithstanding they backed him), but can't risk literally doing so as they need that seat.

    Clegg's looked and sounded great in this campaign - I thought he was either mad or a really great actor. I still don't know which it was, but I doubt he'll look so good for a long time.

    kle4 said:

    Serious question, how does Cameron make any decision that affect Scotland now? They already didn't like it.

    He should make a 'gesture' to scotland, and also sort out england as well...
    They will spit that gesture back in his face, they have no incentive to play ball with him.
  • Pong
    Pong Posts: 4,693
    edited May 2015
    AndyJS said:

    have there been any updated projections?

    No, the networks must think the original exit poll was pretty much correct.
    It does look to have been pretty damn good.

    Massive credit to curtice, fisher et al.
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229
    YES! Is that Lab=Con=LD in Scotland?
  • alex.
    alex. Posts: 4,658
    Have any of the channels started speculating about a majority yet?
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,311
    Clegg to discuss position in the morning. Sky ticker.
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Con hold the Scottish seat
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    Mundell holds on in DCT
  • Gravitation
    Gravitation Posts: 287
    Mundell holds on. Yessss
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    So we have a Tory Scots MP too. That's great news: a toe across the border was really important constitutionally.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    HYUFD said:

    Dumfriesshire Tory hold

    YES!!!!!!!!!
This discussion has been closed.