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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This is turning into a truly terrible night for the Lib Dem

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  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    Con HOLD Canterbury. Maidstone next.

    GAIN Eastbourne.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822

    Bath and Eastbourne both Con gains from the Lib Dems

    Eastbourne - my wife and I have been helping there. Wasn't expecting to win.

    Lewes next?
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    Not even close in Ipswich..
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,142
    Seriously well done Mark. My gf will be most relieved; I threatened to move to Torbay if we didn't win this time.....
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    "Exit poll might have overstated LibDems" !!

    Wow if true.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Con gain TORBAY
  • JonCisBackJonCisBack Posts: 911
    Torbay!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    Scott_P said:

    @BBCNormanS: Labour's John Mann says it is "inconceivable" that Ed Miliband will lead Labour into next election #ge2015

    I wish John Mann would lose his seat...but not going to happen.
  • Tony_MTony_M Posts: 70
    Plato said:

    Con gain TORBAY

    Well done to Marquee Mark for his work there!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    Dair said:

    Is 10 LDs looking optomistic?

    Seeing those SW results come in, yes.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    Conservatives gain Eastbourne from LDs
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,978
    Tory maj in Stockton South up from 332 to 5,046:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000971
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    I said early on Eastbourne was too close to call - I'm amazed we got it = Norman doesn't have a chance in Lewes

    Bath and Eastbourne both Con gains from the Lib Dems

    Eastbourne - my wife and I have been helping there. Wasn't expecting to win.

    Lewes next?
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    Kristofer Keane ‏@KristoferKeane 3 mins3 minutes ago

    Conservatives now expected to hold Dumfriesshire and gain Berwickshire. Will be second largest party in Scotland if so.

    F**k me.....

    As long as the SNP doesn't get it.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    Telford Con gain from Labour
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,978
    I nearly headlined this thread with

    "What the FCUK is going on?"
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Was Bath and Eastbourne in line with the exit poll?
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Chris_A said:

    fitalass said:

    Absolutely gutted at this result.

    Dair said:

    West Aberdeen and Kinkardine goes SNP

    Still support FPTP?

    Why not? Those who argue for change always do so in favour of an alternative which suits their party more. It's quite transparent and just demeans the person making the argument.
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    Just remember that at the moment the Tories are UP NET 7 seats.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Con hold Lincoln
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    Speedy said:

    Kristofer Keane ‏@KristoferKeane 3 mins3 minutes ago

    Conservatives now expected to hold Dumfriesshire and gain Berwickshire. Will be second largest party in Scotland if so.

    F**k me.....

    As long as the SNP doesn't get it.
    I hope someone is on the hotline to Edinburgh zoo!!
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,302

    Kristofer Keane ‏@KristoferKeane 3 mins3 minutes ago

    Conservatives now expected to hold Dumfriesshire and gain Berwickshire. Will be second largest party in Scotland if so.

    F**k me.....

    Ruth Davidson has been the only leader so far to get the right tone in facing the SNP tidal wave.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Con hold Lincoln
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @carrieapples: Conservatives GAIN Telford
  • GravitationGravitation Posts: 287
    Con gain Telford from Lab!
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2015
    Con gain Telford from Labour

    Con +3.3
    Lab -0.9
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    HYUFD said:

    Telford Con gain from Labour

    WTF is going on.....

  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PSbook: Labour sources think Ed Balls has lost
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Telford!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Majority back on!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Con gain Telford
  • SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    Dair said:

    Is 10 LDs looking optomistic?

    The have 4 just now, suppose Lamb, Laws and Huppert are possibles plus Clegg and ????
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Bath was 24% maj for LDs according to Sky - Christ.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    Scott_P said:

    @PSbook: Labour sources think Ed Balls has lost

    YES! (seems like a nice bloke, but yes, yes, YES!)
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Paging Martin Day. Your taxi is here.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    HYUFD said:

    Telford Con gain from Labour

    WTF is going on.....

    People are voting against the SNP.
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    It's a Tory majority. I'm certain of it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    I'm wondering if it is possible to delete old posts I might have made ridiculing the idea Labour would not win this election? About 6000 of them?
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,927
    But but but...

    I thought the story of this election was that the Tories couldn't get anywhere near a majority and a good number of Lib Dems would manage to hold on?
  • JonCisBackJonCisBack Posts: 911
    Solid hold for Lab in Liverpool Riverside

    well done Ed
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Sky haven't enough space to show all the LD lost deposits on their telly wall.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    CON GAIN TELFORD!!!!!!!!
  • GravitationGravitation Posts: 287

    Kristofer Keane ‏@KristoferKeane 3 mins3 minutes ago

    Conservatives now expected to hold Dumfriesshire and gain Berwickshire. Will be second largest party in Scotland if so.

    F**k me.....

    I will do a Scottish jig around the living room if that's true!
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,234

    Tory maj in Stockton South up from 332 to 5,046:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000971

    Unreal.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Bye Bye Viscount.

    The Thurso has lost Thurso.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    SNP gain Caithness Tories gain Cheltenham
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    Tory majority? Second party in Scotland? (LOL)
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    Scott_P said:

    @PSbook: Labour sources think Ed Balls has lost

    PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE let it be true....PLEASE....
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    Pretty much every Labour seat the Tories targeted, seems to have been very close or won. They must have great data.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Just seen Miriam Clegg on Sky. Shame she couldn't be bothered to tidy herself up a bit and make some effort with her appearance.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JGForsyth: A senior Tory tells me that those who said the forced choice would work have been vindicated by tonight's results
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658

    Bath and Eastbourne both Con gains from the Lib Dems

    Eastbourne - my wife and I have been helping there. Wasn't expecting to win.

    Lewes next?
    Lewes result 6-7 am

  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    Just remember that at the moment the Tories are UP NET 7 seats.

    Relax - it's only half-time.
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Viscount Thuso punted.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417

    Kristofer Keane ‏@KristoferKeane 3 mins3 minutes ago

    Conservatives now expected to hold Dumfriesshire and gain Berwickshire. Will be second largest party in Scotland if so.

    F**k me.....

    I will do a Scottish jig around the living room if that's true!
    Tory panda bet back on
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    It's a Tory majority. I'm certain of it.

    It could be.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    WTF indeed

    HYUFD said:

    Telford Con gain from Labour

    WTF is going on.....

  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658

    Morley and Outwood possibly on a draw of lots? SRSLY?

    — Ben Archibald (@benarchibald) May 8, 2015
  • Tony_MTony_M Posts: 70

    I nearly headlined this thread with

    "What the FCUK is going on?"

    Mr Eagles, a quick thank you for keeping the threads coming. Great stuff.

    Soooo loving tonight!
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    GeoffM said:

    Just seen Miriam Clegg on Sky. Shame she couldn't be bothered to tidy herself up a bit and make some effort with her appearance.

    Wow, that's a very unnecessary comment.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Britain Elects @britainelects · 13s 13 seconds ago
    Labour sources say Ed Balls has lost.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Dair said:

    Bye Bye Viscount.

    The Thurso has lost Thurso.

    @JackW will not take this affront to the natural order of things well.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Edinburgh East goes SNP.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Vaz's sister hold Walsall South
  • That Audrey Anne said Twickenham would go. TSE took the tip and said it was the maddest thing he'd ever done.

    She also said we would see a Conservative majority.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    Edinburgh E SNP gain
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Artist said:

    Pretty much every Labour seat the Tories targeted, seems to have been very close or won. They must have great data.

    It is a shame we don't have IOS's insight on this.
  • Tony_MTony_M Posts: 70
    Scott_P said:

    @PSbook: Labour sources think Ed Balls has lost

    Please, please, please.....
  • William_HWilliam_H Posts: 346
    How likely is a tory majority looking?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    At this time...I think we should all take a moment to think about the plight of Basil.....
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Speedy said:

    It's a Tory majority. I'm certain of it.

    It could be.
    At the moment I think it'll be a small Tory majority.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    Saltire said:

    Dair said:

    Is 10 LDs looking optomistic?

    The have 4 just now, suppose Lamb, Laws and Huppert are possibles plus Clegg and ????
    Quite. Clegg absolutely cannot resign if he somehow hangs on; he'd be cutting the parliamentary party down another, what, 14% or so?
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    I'm going to be pissed when I wake up from this and it's been a dream
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    I had an open position on SNP lead over Lib Dems seats. I closed it earlier at 48. Doh!!
  • FattyBolgerFattyBolger Posts: 299
    what time will Ed concede?
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Con hold Cleethorpes
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited May 2015
    Will be disgusting if the last LD MP left would be Nick Clegg.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Speedy said:

    Britain Elects @britainelects · 13s 13 seconds ago
    Labour sources say Ed Balls has lost.

    Good if so.
  • Oliver_PBOliver_PB Posts: 397
    edited May 2015
    GeoffM said:

    Chris_A said:

    fitalass said:

    Absolutely gutted at this result.

    Dair said:

    West Aberdeen and Kinkardine goes SNP

    Still support FPTP?

    Why not? Those who argue for change always do so in favour of an alternative which suits their party more. It's quite transparent and just demeans the person making the argument.
    ...no? I'm a big PR supporter despite understanding it would be bad for Labour. It's clearly the right thing to do. I'm not tribal, though.
  • SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    DUP to be the 4th largest party in the new parliament ahead of the Libdems?
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,927
    Speedy said:

    Britain Elects @britainelects · 13s 13 seconds ago
    Labour sources say Ed Balls has lost.

    Oh. My. God
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,036
    Plato said:

    Sky haven't enough space to show all the LD lost deposits on their telly wall.

    It's at least 300.
    https://twitter.com/LibDemDeposits/status/596518336244088833
  • MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    edited May 2015
    antifrank said:

    Artist said:

    Pretty much every Labour seat the Tories targeted, seems to have been very close or won. They must have great data.

    It is a shame we don't have IOS's insight on this.
    Who needs insight when you've got algorithms?

    (I think the Garbage In, Garbage Out principle applies.)
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    SKY - Lib Dem sources describe their performance as "utterly horrific" - yup.
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760

    Scott_P said:

    @PSbook: Labour sources think Ed Balls has lost

    PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE let it be true....PLEASE....
    Think he'll hang on but would love it to be true. Thought Anthony Calvert was their best chance to win the seat so amazing if Andrea wins.
  • GravitationGravitation Posts: 287
    Anybody heard from IOS and the gang since 10pm?
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    LD in Hull North -28.3%
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    Cleethorpes Tory hold
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,780
    Heres Ed....this will be fun!!!
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Con hold Beverley and Holderness, and Rayleigh
  • 9 out of every 10 polls overestimated Labour against actual votes this parliament. As was mentioned. But we still had all this Labour's firewall and then E&W swing guff.

    It's the economy, stupid ;)
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    edited May 2015
    All those taxi jokes were correct about the LDs. Remarkable. I think I'm so stunned as I decided to vote for them today, knowing it would be toward a losing cause, but not this much of one.

    I already knew I was a weird political wonk, but now being one of the minuscule people who actually liked the LD message of tempering the other two parties(if hardly endorsing all their other policies)? I'm clearly a freak.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,150
    SKY: "Quite possible [LDs] most number of Lost Deposits ever"
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,780

    Anybody heard from IOS and the gang since 10pm?

    busy looking at his algorthyms
  • GravitationGravitation Posts: 287

    antifrank said:

    Artist said:

    Pretty much every Labour seat the Tories targeted, seems to have been very close or won. They must have great data.

    It is a shame we don't have IOS's insight on this.
    Who needs insight when you've got algorithms?

    (I think the Garbage In, Garbage Out principle applies.)
    And such an effective ground game.
  • Oliver_PBOliver_PB Posts: 397
    Has to be said - a very good night for the exit pollsters!
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    It looks like a record breaking night for the LDs...
    Sandpit said:

    Plato said:

    Sky haven't enough space to show all the LD lost deposits on their telly wall.

    It's at least 300.
    https://twitter.com/LibDemDeposits/status/596518336244088833
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Someone go and wake SeanT up for Balls
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,150

    Speedy said:

    Britain Elects @britainelects · 13s 13 seconds ago
    Labour sources say Ed Balls has lost.

    Oh. My. God
    "Say Auf Wiedersehen to your Nazi Balls!" :lol:
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    GeoffM said:

    Just seen Miriam Clegg on Sky. Shame she couldn't be bothered to tidy herself up a bit and make some effort with her appearance.

    Wow, that's a very unnecessary comment.
    I was just idly trolling to see who would bite.
    Well done.
This discussion has been closed.