politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jim Murphy loses his seat now in what is now Scötterdämmeru

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  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab gain Ilford North

    At least Labour ground game read this well!
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    Sandpit said:

    Vandals lose. Charlotte Leslie wins.

    YES!!! A vote for the rule of law.
    Pleased for her. Utterly despicable what happened.
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    HYUFD said:

    Berwickshire a 2 horse race between Tories and SNP, Michael Moore conceded
    https://twitter.com/search?q=berwickshire&src=typd&lang=en-gb

    Ooh. Come on, please have SCUP >SLab.
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,806
    Oh Sunil
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Derbyshire South Tory hold
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    Oh, please...

    @Freedland: Wondering if Ed Miliband's best service to Labour will be NOT to resign immediately, but ape Michael Howard and give his party time
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    Think we might just fall short of overall majority - 3 net gains so far
  • GeoffM
    GeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Gadfly said:

    Flint remains "proud of the policies" that have led to this result.

    She was very heavy on the make-up tonight. Slapped on with a trowel it looked like.
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    TV News ‏@itvnews 8s8 seconds ago
    LAB Gain Ilford North #GE2015
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    alex. said:

    Dair said:

    Willie Rennie has gone.

    HE'S GONE.

    Gone where?
    I think he meant Willie Bain
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Galloway reported to police for retweeting exit poll
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    Chameleon said:

    HYUFD said:

    Ed Davey loses Kingston

    My favourite result of the night so far.....
    Wait 'till Twickenham.
    Morley and Outwood?
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Someone tell the woman who beat Murphy that England isn't Scotland. She's awful.
  • MarqueeMark
    MarqueeMark Posts: 55,457
    Plato said:

    Cons hold Stroud, Salisbury and Bexleyheath. Assume that's expected?

    No, Stroud was a key Labour target.
  • LucyJones
    LucyJones Posts: 651
    rcs1000 said:

    UKIP 13%, 1 seat.

    Outrageous

    Agree completely.




  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    Chris Mason ‏@ChrisMasonBBC 2m2 minutes ago
    Sources say 122 votes separate Cons & Lab in Bury North
    FULL RECOUNT IN BURY NORTH ...... #GE2015
    9 retweets 1 favorite
    Reply Retweet9 Favorite1 Follow
    More
  • SandyRentool
    SandyRentool Posts: 23,156
    Lab Gain Ilford North!!!
  • TW1R64
    TW1R64 Posts: 56
    Andrew Marr having difficulty hiding his disappointment.
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Ilford North

    Lab 43.6%
    Con 42.8%

    Lab +9.4
    Con -2.9
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    Chameleon said:

    HYUFD said:

    Berwickshire a 2 horse race between Tories and SNP, Michael Moore conceded
    https://twitter.com/search?q=berwickshire&src=typd&lang=en-gb

    Ooh. Come on, please have SCUP >SLab.
    That'd be lovely :D
  • Artist
    Artist Posts: 1,893
    I didn't think Labour would gain Ilford North even under the assumption the polls were right.
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    Sunil to do the walk of shame!
  • RodCrosby
    RodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    SDLP hold Belfast S
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Ave_it said:

    Think we might just fall short of overall majority - 3 net gains so far

    Most of the Southwest and Midlands to come.
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    edited May 2015

    Huge drift on Con overall majority on Betfair in last couple of minutes. Some think it's now out the question.

    Nothing has changed though. Little to no Lab/Con change in E&W. Add in 25 LD gains and we get to a majority.
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    Pulpstar - Bradford East goes to Lab
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    Ilford North l9oooool
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Tories tripled their majority in Carlisle:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000620
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Bolton NE Labour hold
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Fife NE SNP gain from LD
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    There's ED!!
  • Bob__Sykes
    Bob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    Still not sure the Tories will get to 316 on current results?
  • numbertwelve
    numbertwelve Posts: 7,727
    Ed appears!
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    HYUFD said:

    Galloway reported to police for retweeting exit poll

    Please can we find a way of putting him in prison?
  • oxfordsimon
    oxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    Miliband spotted
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    Ed's face was priceless!
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    Oh missed that one - the Labour targets just aren't happening much at all - what have they gained so far?

    Plato said:

    Cons hold Stroud, Salisbury and Bexleyheath. Assume that's expected?

    No, Stroud was a key Labour target.
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    rcs1000 said:

    Pulpstar - Bradford East goes to Lab

    Ilford North too
  • isam
    isam Posts: 42,205
    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

  • Floater
    Floater Posts: 14,207
    strange, Milliband does not look Alllllllriiiiiiiiiiiiiiiighhhht.
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,806
    So whose sides are going to split first? David Miliband's or Tony Blair's?
  • Blue_rog
    Blue_rog Posts: 2,019
    Irrespective of the UKIP result I think the vote share for all the peripheral parties indicates a dislike of the traditional politician. If anything comes out of all this I just hope that there will be a change in the way MP's relate to the electorate.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Ed Miliband leaving for his count
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    Slow motion replay!
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    edited May 2015
    I'm hearing that Con has lost two. Apart from the one in London, which is the second?

    Edit: Ilford and Ealing apparently.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Conorpope: Stroud was 16 on Labour's target list. Another Tory hold.
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Sandpit said:

    HYUFD said:

    Galloway reported to police for retweeting exit poll

    Please can we find a way of putting him in prison?
    Guantanamo has space...
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    RobD said:

    Sandpit said:

    Vandals lose. Charlotte Leslie wins.

    YES!!! A vote for the rule of law.
    Pleased for her. Utterly despicable what happened.
    Deserved win: good MP.
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,722
    Ed Miliband....Hell Yeah.....At least I tried.....
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    RodCrosby said:

    SDLP hold Belfast S

    By election soon
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    2 in London

    Ealing Central and Ilford North
    Chameleon said:

    I'm hearing that Con has lost two. Apart from the one in London, which is the second?

  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Chameleon said:

    I'm hearing that Con has lost two. Apart from the one in London, which is the second?

    Ilford North just came through.
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    Cue for the Bruckner 7 slow movement for Doncaster.
  • Alasdair
    Alasdair Posts: 72
    RobD said:

    Alasdair said:

    Any projections yet???

    BBC still have the one they started with, C316, L 239. Wish they would re-compute it.
    They must have enough data. Probably crying all over their keyboards.
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800

    Still not sure the Tories will get to 316 on current results?

    Lot of Lib Dem seats to hoover up to come.
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229

    Ave_it said:

    Think we might just fall short of overall majority - 3 net gains so far

    Most of the Southwest and Midlands to come.
    Should come back in. Whether we'll get over the line is another question.....
  • Gravitation
    Gravitation Posts: 287
    Carmarthan West Con hold
  • The_Apocalypse
    The_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    Huge drift on Con overall majority on Betfair in last couple of minutes. Some think it's now out the question.

    Why? I still wouldn't rule it out.
  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Blue_rog said:

    Irrespective of the UKIP result I think the vote share for all the peripheral parties indicates a dislike of the traditional politician. If anything comes out of all this I just hope that there will be a change in the way MP's relate to the electorate.

    Nothing will change and the electorate will still be taken for granted.
  • weejonnie
    weejonnie Posts: 3,820
    There have not really been that many blue-red seat declarations. Most of the attention has been on the SNP highland fling. There seem to be several Labour gains, but patchy.
  • LucyJones
    LucyJones Posts: 651
    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    It seems like "Close, but no cigar" will be Ukip's story of the night. Shame.

  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    "Alliance disease", as I warned before.

    You've set yourself up well for 2020, so don't be too downhearted.
  • JGC
    JGC Posts: 64
    At least I made a good profit on Ilford North
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    edited May 2015
    Con hold Epping Forest and Hertsmere.
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    I did predict that, if you recall. Few lost deposits but only a couple of dozen over 20%.

  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    Ed Stoned By voters.
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    Miliband will have fewer MPs than Foot.
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    Chameleon said:

    HYUFD said:

    Berwickshire a 2 horse race between Tories and SNP, Michael Moore conceded
    https://twitter.com/search?q=berwickshire&src=typd&lang=en-gb

    Ooh. Come on, please have SCUP >SLab.
    If the Libdems somehow managed to hold O & S with Carmichael then Labour could come 4th....(not likely but not impossible)
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,722
    BBC coverage is just a load of Labourites talking among themselves about the Labour Party.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Derbyshire South — 4% swing to the Tories. Used to be Edwina Currie's seat:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000935
  • numbertwelve
    numbertwelve Posts: 7,727
    Floater said:

    strange, Milliband does not look Alllllllriiiiiiiiiiiiiiiighhhht.

    Probably working out where he's going to put his monolith now..
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Hard to see Con Maj with losses in London - Con must lose more in London.
  • Eh_ehm_a_eh
    Eh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Feck
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    Ed, did no-one teach you etiquette? Don't sent your wife around to the other side of the car.
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    rcs1000 said:

    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    "Alliance disease", as I warned before.

    You've set yourself up well for 2020, so don't be too downhearted.
    Goodness only knows what will happen in the next five months let alone five years. All very interesting.
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Ugh, Carmichael won.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Alasdair said:

    RobD said:

    Alasdair said:

    Any projections yet???

    BBC still have the one they started with, C316, L 239. Wish they would re-compute it.
    They must have enough data. Probably crying all over their keyboards.
    There's no reason to recompute it yet.
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    Go ORKNEY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    3 out of 10.

    Britain Elects @britainelects · 23s 23 seconds ago
    Lib Dems HOLD Orkney and Shetland. No clean sweep for the SNP.
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    weejonnie said:

    There have not really been that many blue-red seat declarations. Most of the attention has been on the SNP highland fling. There seem to be several Labour gains, but patchy.

    There really hasn't been many. Two Lab gains from Con - both in London but one Con gain from Lab.
  • alex.
    alex. Posts: 4,658
    LibDems hold O&S?
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @TimReidBBC: A Lib Dem hold. Just. Scottish Sec Alistair Carmichael in Orkney and Shetland
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    Well done Sunil at Ilford N! :lol:
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,076
    LDs hold Orkney & Shetland - no SNP clean-sweep!
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Heywood and Middleton

    lab 43
    ukip 32
    con 19
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800

    BBC coverage is just a load of Labourites talking among themselves about the Labour Party.

    Amazing isnt it
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    edited May 2015
    That's THREE. eight more needed. Hear they've edged Hallam.

    So that means seven needed.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    LDs hold Orkney, so no SNP clean sweep
  • Gadfly
    Gadfly Posts: 1,205
    Trying to empathise with the Milibands leaving their house, but can't make it happen.
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    edited May 2015
    SLiD > SLab.

    Orkney & Shetland HOLD.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    It would be astonishing if the only Labour gains from Conservative are in London. That's the position at the moment.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @hellobuglers: BREAKING: Ed Miliband linked with the Newcastle United job.
  • No_Offence_Alan
    No_Offence_Alan Posts: 5,118
    LDs hold Orkney and Shetland.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    What seat has Labour lost to the Tories?
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    What was the Bristol North West result?
  • Sean_F
    Sean_F Posts: 39,132
    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    Huge vote for UKIP in your constituency, but no prizes for coming second. Still, we have the council results tomorrow.
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    Where's Dair to comment on O&S?
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    Recount at Gower
  • RodCrosby
    RodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    edited May 2015
    Lab gain Ilford N, Ealing C, Burnley, Redcar, Brent C, Cardiff C
  • JackW
    JackW Posts: 14,787
    O&S LibDem Hold - Will it be the only non SNP seat ?!?
This discussion has been closed.