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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jim Murphy loses his seat now in what is now Scötterdämmeru

SystemSystem Posts: 11,698
edited May 2015 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jim Murphy loses his seat now in what is now Scötterdämmerung

On evening the Tories & Lib Dems signed their coalition deal, William Hague told his wife Ffion: "I think I've just destroyed the Liberals."

Read the full story here


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Comments

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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,888
    edited May 2015
    Wow.

    'On evening the Tories & Lib Dems signed their coalition deal, William Hague told his wife Ffion: "I think I've just destroyed the Liberals."'
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    Second, like EICIPM... LOL
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,052
    UKIP could end up on just one seat

    This election could have the least proportional result of any GE.
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    initforthemoneyinitforthemoney Posts: 736
    jim murphy looks out of it
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,902
    Jim Murphy really dignified speech.
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    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    How will Lab Central carry on without all their Scottish big beasts who have to an extent dominated the party's thinking in recent years?
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,935
    Vale of Clewyd - Con gain from Lab.
    Overall majority..?
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    SNP gain Ayrshire N
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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,498
    POEWAS
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    SNP gain Stirling
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Murphy magnanimous in defeat.
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    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    rcs1000 said:

    UKIP could end up on just one seat

    This election could have the least proportional result of any GE.

    15% of the vote and one seat seems quite strange.
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    JazJaz Posts: 21
    Jim has given a dignified speech...
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Chameleon said:

    Wow.

    'On evening the Tories & Lib Dems signed their coalition deal, William Hague told his wife Ffion: "I think I've just destroyed the Liberals."'

    He was right.
    They will never recover after this.
    The Liberal revival and the SDP split comes only once.
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    Murphy is making a very gracious speech
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Lots of talk of 'divided nation', but I think Tory majority in England, SNP wipeout in Scotland could be the perfect result.

    Tories offer FFA, Your move Nicola
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    When will the BBC update their forecast?
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    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,319
    Jim clearly demob happy (or intoxicated).
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,785
    FPT:
    DavidL said:

    Murphy gone. good grief.

    But the Con vote in Scotland (so far) is holding up pretty well in the face of the SNP onslaught: -1%

    Oh that SLAB wishful thinking that after decades of demonisation Scots Tories would suddenly vote for them!
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,556
    So my Jim Murphy as next Labour leader bet might be a loser now?
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    Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,059
    next leader of lab?

    George Eaton ‏@georgeeaton · 1m1 minute ago
    Chuka Umunna holds Streatham. Not the last election he'll fight this year.

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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited May 2015
    Jonathan said:

    Jim Murphy really dignified speech.

    Are you alright, Hun? (Tweet that defines the Scottish campaign)
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    Chameleon said:

    Wow.

    'On evening the Tories & Lib Dems signed their coalition deal, William Hague told his wife Ffion: "I think I've just destroyed the Liberals."'

    Mission Accomplised.
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    FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    Murphy is a class act. Good parliamentarian too.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,888
    MP_SE said:

    rcs1000 said:

    UKIP could end up on just one seat

    This election could have the least proportional result of any GE.

    15% of the vote and one seat seems quite strange.
    UKIP will gain several ones in WWC Lab constituencies.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @SophyRidgeSky: Labour source: "Ed Miliband won't make tomorrow lunch time" #GE2015
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    First act of Parliament must be the passage of the delayed boundaries reform.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,360
    Classy speech by Murphy. If only he was always like that instead of Mr Angry.
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    AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    IG first spread to hit the con 323 midpoint. Spreadex 322.5, spin suspended.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,291
    So...what do we put down to Tories getting all these swings in England?

    Was it the Tories scare tactics over the Lab+SNP?
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,888
    Fenster said:

    Murphy is a class act. Good parliamentarian too.

    Totally agree.
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    Scott_P said:

    @SophyRidgeSky: Labour source: "Ed Miliband won't make tomorrow lunch time" #GE2015

    Awwww diddums

    Poor Ted
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    Philip_Thompson said:

    First act of Parliament must be the passage of the delayed boundaries reform.

    Agreed, and a new settlement with the nations.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Jonathan said:

    Jim Murphy really dignified speech.

    Yes, very much so.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Wow

    @montie: Absolutely fascinating from @DPMcBride on LBC: Speculates that Gordon Brown may be interested in leading Scottish Labour... He should know
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    After 100 results Labour's share is down 3%:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2015/results
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,115
    edited May 2015
    Scott P Indeed, even Salmond was not ruling out a deal with FFA, this was not a vote about independence, that was last year, it was a vote for more powers for Scotland, Cameron will now have to listen. Many No voters will have voted SNP for precisely that. Quebec nationalists won over 50 seats at the Canadian general election in 1993 for example
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    So...what do we put down to Tories getting all these swings in England?

    Was it the Tories scare tactics over the Lab+SNP?

    Yeap.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,137
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    So...what do we put down to Tories getting all these swings in England?

    Was it the Tories scare tactics over the Lab+SNP?

    ...and the economy
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    So...what do we put down to Tories getting all these swings in England?

    Was it the Tories scare tactics over the Lab+SNP?

    I think people woke up this morning and thought 'Miliband as PM? I can't vote for that'

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    Flockers_pbFlockers_pb Posts: 204
    A line that sums up tonight, after a gracious speech by Jim Murphy: "while he was speaking, Labour lost two more seats"
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    The most shocking result of the night so far IMO — Tories gaining Vale of Clwyd by 237 votes:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/W07000060
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Jim Murphy's concession speech was probably his finest moment in years.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    Speedy said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    So...what do we put down to Tories getting all these swings in England?

    Was it the Tories scare tactics over the Lab+SNP?

    Yeap.
    Ed not believing Labour overspent 1997-2010 probably didn't help either.
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    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    To be fair to the BBC apparently results are slow.
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    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    fk me

    Stirling;

    Steven Paterson Scottish National Party 23,783
    Johanna Boyd Labour 13,303
    Stephen Kerr Conservative 12,051
    Mark Ruskell Green 1,606
    Elisabeth Wilson Liberal Democrat 1,392

    I was on the tories to come 2nd @ 19/1

    #excellentvalueloser
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,377
    Scotterdammerung - LOL!
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    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    Simon Hughes has lost.
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,052
    Southwark a cert Labour gain...
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,137
    JackW said:

    Jim Murphy's concession speech was probably his finest moment in years.

    Told you your ARSE was light on SNP....and heavy on LibDems!
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,196
    Purseybear said:

    Simon Hughes has lost.

    Excellent.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,954
    LDs agreed to coalition and didn't oust clegg before now - he led them to this, but they accepted it.

    The union is still dead though. Cameron could be Jesus he couldn't fix this
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    I've been betting on a Simon Hughes loss for a year. Seems as though I'll collect.
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    William Hague was right. Jesus.
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    GadflyGadfly Posts: 1,191
    Fenster said:

    Murphy is a class act. Good parliamentarian too.

    Agreed. Really sorry to see him go.

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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,498
    Scott_P said:

    Wow

    @montie: Absolutely fascinating from @DPMcBride on LBC: Speculates that Gordon Brown may be interested in leading Scottish Labour... He should know

    Well, he did better than Ed...
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    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,882
    Not surprising, Labour threw a lot at Bermondsey.
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    FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    That looks like an old skool rosette for Barron
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    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    foxinsoxuk said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jim Murphy really dignified speech.

    Are you alright, Hun? (Tweet that defines the Scottish campaign)
    wasnt it "are you ok, hun?" ??
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Wow
    AndyJS said:

    The most shocking result of the night so far IMO — Tories gaining Vale of Clwyd by 237 votes:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/W07000060

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    Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Curran gooone
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,676
    Curran thumped
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    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    kle4 said:

    LDs agreed to coalition and didn't oust clegg before now - he led them to this, but they accepted it.

    The union is still dead though. Cameron could be Jesus he couldn't fix this

    Save that for another day mate but it's not necessarily dead at all. It just needs devolved powers.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Well another candidate for that second UKIP seat:
    Sam Morris ‏@SamMorris_LE 34m34 minutes ago
    Early suggestions Boston and Skegness is "neck and neck" between Ukip and tories but still lots of votes to count


    Labour seem to have won Great Grimsby.
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    SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    AndyJS said:

    After 100 results Labour's share is down 3%:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2015/results

    Partly down to the fact the 25% of the seats declared have been from Scotland where Labour are down 20%
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,291
    edited May 2015
    oxfordsimon said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    So...what do we put down to Tories getting all these swings in England?

    Was it the Tories scare tactics over the Lab+SNP?

    I think people woke up this morning and thought 'Miliband as PM? I can't vote for that'

    I told story on a previous thread that is exactly what happened to Mrs Urquhart...She agrees with a lot of the problems identified by Ed and I was shocked when she told me she hadn't voted Labour because she just couldn't back a man who in her words "couldn't be trusted to open a bag of crisps".
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,115
    edited May 2015
    Chuka's majority increased from 3,000 to 10,000
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,299
    Huge rise in Chuka's majority
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,289
    twilight of the sods.
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Con hold Harlow
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    SandyRentool said:

    Curran thumped

    A 33/1 bet comes home.
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    MontyMonty Posts: 346
    Gotta love politics.
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    Flockers_pbFlockers_pb Posts: 204
    JackW - it was a very special speech, the more so because he had clearly had to prepare it some time ago.
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    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    CURRAN IS OUT.

    Almost two to one.
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,289
    ITV News ‏@itvnews 26s27 seconds ago
    LAB Hold Hyndburn #GE2015

    Edinburgh Zoo have more pandas than SLAB MPs.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    Con HOLD Basildon.
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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,498
    Have we seen Ed yet? Anyone?
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    oxfordsimon said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    So...what do we put down to Tories getting all these swings in England?

    Was it the Tories scare tactics over the Lab+SNP?

    I think people woke up this morning and thought 'Miliband as PM? I can't vote for that'

    I think it is too simple to put it down to one message.

    Lab + SNP for some.
    The horror of Milliband PM for others.
    Balls as CoE for others.
    Stopping UKIP for others.
    Positive vote for finishing off recovering the economy for others.

    The Crosby campaign spoke to all of these are different times. In retrospect it may well have been a masterful campaign. I wonder at which point in the past few days the internal polling started to show this - or was it squeaky bum time for them as well as us?
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    MontyMonty Posts: 346
    Really hope Nick P gets back in.
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    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    KentRising said:

    Speedy said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    So...what do we put down to Tories getting all these swings in England?

    Was it the Tories scare tactics over the Lab+SNP?

    Yeap.
    Ed not believing Labour overspent 1997-2010 probably didn't help either.
    That mauling by northern sounding people may have massively helped Cameron. That wasn't posh boys shredding Labour's economic record. That was 'people like us.'
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503
    EMWNMITTL.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    kle4 said:

    LDs agreed to coalition and didn't oust clegg before now - he led them to this, but they accepted it.

    The union is still dead though. Cameron could be Jesus he couldn't fix this

    The LD were only interested for the ministerial limos so much they got them up their rear.
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    MontyMonty Posts: 346
    Ed is toast.
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    SNP gain Glasgow E
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    notmenotme Posts: 3,293
    carlisle looking extremely close but cons might have it.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab hold Coventry South
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    LucyJonesLucyJones Posts: 651
    Wondering whether Ukip will see only a single MP elected on the back of a couple of million votes? Sickening for them if the SNP gain 50+ MPs with fewer votes.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,556
    Apologies to Antifrank, but Scötterdämmerung was his invention
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Labour +8 in Blackburn
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,137
    HYUFD said:

    Chuka's majority increased from 3,000 to 10,000

    Great - Labour will think he is the answer....

    Wrong!
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,052
    Speedy said:



    kle4 said:

    LDs agreed to coalition and didn't oust clegg before now - he led them to this, but they accepted it.

    The union is still dead though. Cameron could be Jesus he couldn't fix this

    The LD were only interested for the ministerial limos so much they got them up their rear.
    I think that's harsh. I don't think they had any choice.
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    GadflyGadfly Posts: 1,191
    Marr sums up the BBC's issue... "London is doing rather well for the Labour party. The only part of the country that is"
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,935
    Jack Straw talking on Sky about how the party elects a new leader.....
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    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Rob Halfon increased maj in Harlow. Good man. Well done.
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    currystarcurrystar Posts: 1,171
    Monty said:

    Really hope Nick P gets back in.

    I really dont. Tick tock
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,196
    Casino_Royale said:

    EMWNMITTL.

    Ed Miliband Will Never Make It To Tomorrow Lunchtime?
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    marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Labour source being quoted on SKY News Miliband wont make tomorrow lunchtime"
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    will Harriet ever resign or is Deputy for life?
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Monty said:

    Ed is toast.

    He'll be gone before Justine even makes his toast for breakfast.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    We haven't had many results from the Midlands yet but I think it could well deliver Cameron a working overall majority.
This discussion has been closed.