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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jim Murphy loses his seat now in what is now Scötterdämmeru

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  • Options
    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    Ave_it said:

    Go ORKNEY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    They were never going to go for the SNP bull: they don't even see themselves as Scottish ;-)
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    numbertwelve said:

    Floater said:

    strange, Milliband does not look Alllllllriiiiiiiiiiiiiiiighhhht.

    Probably working out where he's going to put his monolith now..
    It's already for sale.... not many takers though!

    http://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/291457433121?ssPageName=STRK:MESELX:IT&_trksid=p3984.m1555.l2649
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    SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    KentRising said:

    RobD said:

    Sandpit said:

    JosiasJessop said:

    Vandals lose. Charlotte Leslie wins.

    YES!!! A vote for the rule of law.
    Pleased for her. Utterly despicable what happened.
    Deserved win: good MP.
    Totally agree with these comments
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Independence for O&S!
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    Plato said:

    What seat has Labour lost to the Tories?

    Vale of Clwyd.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    6.3% swing to Labour in taking Ilford N
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    JackW said:

    O&S LibDem Hold - Will it be the only non SNP seat ?!?

    Edinburgh South Labour confident apparently
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Labour hold Wirral South
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    rcs1000 said:

    Where's Dair to comment on O&S?

    He already did....
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,012
    Recount in Gower. Lab to be wiped out in Wales in 2020?
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 50,010
    Lab gains Ilford North!
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Thanz
    RobD said:

    Plato said:

    What seat has Labour lost to the Tories?

    Vale of Clwyd.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    LordA has succeeded in predicting correctly one seat in E&W, Illford North.
    It was only one though.
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    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Sean_F said:

    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    Huge vote for UKIP in your constituency, but no prizes for coming second. Still, we have the council results tomorrow.
    On a positive note UKIP will know where they have performed well nationally and can concentrate future resources. However, how long are an electorate going to back a party who has just 1 MP and no momentum.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    JackW said:

    O&S LibDem Hold - Will it be the only non SNP seat ?!?

    The ARSE needed a bit of a tweak for Scotland.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    Switched from BBC to SKY :)

    About bloody time!
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    wirral South

    Lab + 7.4
    Con -2.2ù

    Con hold Hastings
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    isamisam Posts: 41,118
    rcs1000 said:

    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    "Alliance disease", as I warned before.

    You've set yourself up well for 2020, so don't be too downhearted.
    Sod 2020 I am talking through my pocket!!
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    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,390
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    BBC coverage is just a load of Labourites talking among themselves about the Labour Party.

    Yes, the Blairites v Old Labour pinning down Labour's view on capitalism. Who gives a flying fig?
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Toies keep Hastings & Rye
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,146
    AndyJS said:

    It would be astonishing if the only Labour gains from Conservative are in London. That's the position at the moment.

    Well there's swing against Lab in the few Con-Lab marginals outside London that have declared so far.
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    SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    Plato said:

    What seat has Labour lost to the Tories?

    Vale of Clwyd
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Plato said:

    Toies keep Hastings & Rye

    Wow!
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    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658

    No Thanet south result until 8 earliest say officials #ge2015

    — Robin Brant (@robindbrant) May 8, 2015
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    MP_SE said:

    Sean_F said:

    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    Huge vote for UKIP in your constituency, but no prizes for coming second. Still, we have the council results tomorrow.
    On a positive note UKIP will know where they have performed well nationally and can concentrate future resources. However, how long are an electorate going to back a party who has just 1 MP and no momentum.
    It all depends on the nature of the referendum... a narrow "In" win would be great for UKIP. An "Out" vote would achieve their aim, but would be a disaster for the party.
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    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,886
    Con Minority 8/13
    Con/LD coalition 5/1

    Betfair
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761
    Plato said:

    What seat has Labour lost to the Tories?

    Vale of Clewyd. Tory target #39.

    AndyJS' spreadsheet seems to be being updated in real time.
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iE8RU4rVmDmtRhjo1Ws3Om3IjrmgUVSbcW-tO7cY-RE/edit?pli=1#gid=0
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    hastings

    con +3.5
    lab -2
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    currystarcurrystar Posts: 1,171
    Just backed Tory majority at 13 . Daft price
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,294
    edited May 2015
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 50s51 seconds ago
    Heywood and Middleton constituency result:
    LAB - 43.1% (+3.0)
    UKIP - 32.2% (+29.6)
    CON - 19.1% (-8.1)
    LDEM - 3.3% (-19.4)
    GRN - 2.3% (2.3)

    Vote Tory get Labour.
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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,885
    We need some results from Yorkshire and the Midlands before we can truly work out if the Tories are heading for a majority or not. My guess is they might just edge it.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,146
    edited May 2015
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    Plato said:

    Toies keep Hastings & Rye

    Wow!
    It's a majority.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    currystar said:

    Just backed Tory majority at 13 . Daft price

    who with?
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,335
    RodCrosby said:

    Lab gain Iford N, Ealing C, Burnley, Redcar, Brent C, Cardiff C

    Could be Labour's equivalent of 2001 for the Tories?
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    "Alliance disease", as I warned before.

    You've set yourself up well for 2020, so don't be too downhearted.
    Sod 2020 I am talking through my pocket!!
    you won one of our four bets...

    I think you might owe me
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    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    currystar said:

    Just backed Tory majority at 13 . Daft price

    That's incredible. What a price.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,012
    currystar said:

    Just backed Tory majority at 13 . Daft price

    Quite.

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    isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Sean_F said:

    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    Huge vote for UKIP in your constituency, but no prizes for coming second. Still, we have the council results tomorrow.
    Basildon South hasn't declared yet actually, I had written that off.. but delaying the inevitable I fear!
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,536
    Mortimer said:

    Recount in Gower.

    oooooooh!
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    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    numbertwelve said:

    We need some results from Yorkshire and the Midlands before we can truly work out if the Tories are heading for a majority or not. My guess is they might just edge it.

    And all the LD-Con marginals.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,157
    Not sure if I want Labour to win in Edinburgh south depends on BRS
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,146
    numbertwelve said:

    We need some results from Yorkshire and the Midlands before we can truly work out if the Tories are heading for a majority or not. My guess is they might just edge it.

    Yep, there's been nothing from Yorkshire or the SW yet and we don't have enough to work out how the midlands are going.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 50,010
    Can I just say this?

    https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/593789431246630912
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    currystarcurrystar Posts: 1,171
    foxinsoxuk said:

    currystar said:

    Just backed Tory majority at 13 . Daft price

    who with?
    Betfair
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    Come onnnnn BBC. update the forecast.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    dr_spyn said:

    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 50s51 seconds ago
    Heywood and Middleton constituency result:
    LAB - 43.1% (+3.0)
    UKIP - 32.2% (+29.6)
    CON - 19.1% (-8.1)
    LDEM - 3.3% (-19.4)
    GRN - 2.3% (2.3)

    Vote Tory get Labour.

    UKIP up 30%.

    Crikey.
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    KentRising said:

    dr_spyn said:

    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 50s51 seconds ago
    Heywood and Middleton constituency result:
    LAB - 43.1% (+3.0)
    UKIP - 32.2% (+29.6)
    CON - 19.1% (-8.1)
    LDEM - 3.3% (-19.4)
    GRN - 2.3% (2.3)

    Vote Tory get Labour.

    UKIP up 30%.

    Crikey.
    There was a by-election there...
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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,885
    Purseybear said:

    numbertwelve said:

    We need some results from Yorkshire and the Midlands before we can truly work out if the Tories are heading for a majority or not. My guess is they might just edge it.

    And all the LD-Con marginals.
    The way the ones we've seen so far have been going I think Tory prospects are excellent in those.
  • Options
    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Erewash Con hold
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,335
    MP_SE said:

    Sean_F said:

    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    Huge vote for UKIP in your constituency, but no prizes for coming second. Still, we have the council results tomorrow.
    On a positive note UKIP will know where they have performed well nationally and can concentrate future resources. However, how long are an electorate going to back a party who has just 1 MP and no momentum.
    If the party can make 300 or so gains in local councils, that should generate enough momentum.
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    macisbackmacisback Posts: 382
    Cons hold Erewash increased majority
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    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    rcs1000 said:

    MP_SE said:

    Sean_F said:

    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    Huge vote for UKIP in your constituency, but no prizes for coming second. Still, we have the council results tomorrow.
    On a positive note UKIP will know where they have performed well nationally and can concentrate future resources. However, how long are an electorate going to back a party who has just 1 MP and no momentum.
    It all depends on the nature of the referendum... a narrow "In" win would be great for UKIP. An "Out" vote would achieve their aim, but would be a disaster for the party.
    I was expecting some sort of Labour government so the chance of a referendum is quite a shock. 2 years is not long at all to put forward a strong case for leaving.
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    SthLondonNickSthLondonNick Posts: 26
    Erewash - Con HOLD
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    HEAHSHEAHS Posts: 1
    Can you remind me what the oppositie of EMICIPM is? I got so bored of that footer
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 115,481
    Jesus H Christ - Tories increase majority in Erewash
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    There are some potential Con gains from Lab in Midlands...

    Telford, Birmingham Northfield, Derby North, Gedling, etch
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,157
    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    "Alliance disease", as I warned before.

    You've set yourself up well for 2020, so don't be too downhearted.
    Sod 2020 I am talking through my pocket!!
    You ok mate
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,472
    Just think how well the Tories would be doing had they got the boundary changes through.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    KentRising said:

    dr_spyn said:

    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 50s51 seconds ago
    Heywood and Middleton constituency result:
    LAB - 43.1% (+3.0)
    UKIP - 32.2% (+29.6)
    CON - 19.1% (-8.1)
    LDEM - 3.3% (-19.4)
    GRN - 2.3% (2.3)

    Vote Tory get Labour.

    UKIP up 30%.

    Crikey.
    No gain though, no Tory tactical voting.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Now it's clear why the Tories have been pouring resources into LibDem held seats in the last couple of weeks...
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    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    SNP win Edinburgh SW SNP GAIN.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    "for god's sake" -Dimbleby. :D
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,801
    Jesus Christ Tories increase majority in Ersewash.....
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    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    Cons hold Basildon South & Thurrock East.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    KentRising said:

    dr_spyn said:

    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 50s51 seconds ago
    Heywood and Middleton constituency result:
    LAB - 43.1% (+3.0)
    UKIP - 32.2% (+29.6)
    CON - 19.1% (-8.1)
    LDEM - 3.3% (-19.4)
    GRN - 2.3% (2.3)

    Vote Tory get Labour.

    UKIP up 30%.

    Crikey.
    Down 6% from the by election
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HEAHS said:

    Can you remind me what the oppositie of EMICIPM is? I got so bored of that footer

    EMWNBPM
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    HEAHS said:

    Can you remind me what the oppositie of EMICIPM is? I got so bored of that footer

    It's EICIPM. I used to make that mistake :dizzy:

    TITTER
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    With hindsight, we can now say that Ed ordering the biggest tombstone in history was a prescient move
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited May 2015
    BBC reports rumours that Nick Clegg will resign and retire from politics today.
    Tory tactical voting in Sheffield Hallam for nothing then.
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    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    Is Dimbles just very bad at the links? He couldn't even get his intro right and we got an audible "for god's sake".... but I don't know whether it's a presenter issue or a production issue.
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Featherstone Out
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    edited May 2015
    HEAHS said:

    Can you remind me what the oppositie of EMICIPM is? I got so bored of that footer

    EICWNBPM

    Ed is crap, will never be PM
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    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    Right Erewash is an incredible result!! Wow.

    I think we're looking at Tory majority … possibly.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Yny Mon

    Lab 31.1
    Plaid 30.5
    Con 21.2
    UKIP 14.7
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 115,481
    Gutted for Lynne Featherstone
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 50,010
    Hornsey goes Red!
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    H&WG goes Labour
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    The Labour majority in Ilford North is 589:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000759
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    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Featherstone out. Lab gain
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Featherstone well out...
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    TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    Featherstone out by circa 10k.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    Featherstone is toast. Lab rowdy at the count. Where's the dignity?
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    macisbackmacisback Posts: 382
    Con hold Amber Valley hugely increased majority Nick will lose again
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    You can see that Labour ground game in London. But they needed much more than just London.
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    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    Lynne Featherston out in Hornsey and Wood Green to Lab.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Con hold Amber Valley
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Ooh Simon Hughes - going to be delicious if he goes...
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    Sad for Lynne Featherstone & Simon Hughes, both of whom I have enormous respect for.

    But I do need to go to bed...
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Featherstone goes in Hornsey and Wood Green, Bermondsey now

    Basildon Tory hold
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,833
    AndreaParma_82 said:

    There are some potential Con gains from Lab in Midlands...

    Telford, Birmingham Northfield, Derby North, Gedling, etch

    Heard a rumour earlier that Edgbaston was also a possible gain
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Tories hold Richmond
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 115,481
    Lab hold Rother Valley as predicted
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Great news
    macisback said:

    Con hold Amber Valley hugely increased majority Nick will lose again

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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Tories hold Amber Valley
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    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Douglas Carswell not looking so safe now. A hugely profitable evening. Quite a strange feeling on the one hand a disappointing result for UKIP and on the other a very healthy bank balance.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab hold Eltham

    Lab +1.1
    Con -1.2
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    antifrank said:

    You can see that Labour ground game in London. But they needed much more than just London.

    It's not a ground game - it's an appealing to metropolitan sensitivities.
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    john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    edited May 2015
    @Chris_A

    The Tories might be rejoicing now but the Tory party will be destroyed by losing the referendum in two years' time.'

    Your a very sad loser.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Hughes clearly lost
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    SthLondonNickSthLondonNick Posts: 26
    Sutton Colfield - CON HOLD
This discussion has been closed.