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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jim Murphy loses his seat now in what is now Scötterdämmeru

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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab gain Ilford North

    At least Labour ground game read this well!
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    Sandpit said:

    JosiasJessop said:

    Vandals lose. Charlotte Leslie wins.

    YES!!! A vote for the rule of law.
    Pleased for her. Utterly despicable what happened.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,146
    HYUFD said:

    Berwickshire a 2 horse race between Tories and SNP, Michael Moore conceded
    https://twitter.com/search?q=berwickshire&src=typd&lang=en-gb

    Ooh. Come on, please have SCUP >SLab.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 115,481
    Oh Sunil
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Derbyshire South Tory hold
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Oh, please...

    @Freedland: Wondering if Ed Miliband's best service to Labour will be NOT to resign immediately, but ape Michael Howard and give his party time
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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Think we might just fall short of overall majority - 3 net gains so far
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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Gadfly said:

    Flint remains "proud of the policies" that have led to this result.

    She was very heavy on the make-up tonight. Slapped on with a trowel it looked like.
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,294
    TV News ‏@itvnews 8s8 seconds ago
    LAB Gain Ilford North #GE2015
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    SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    alex. said:

    Dair said:

    Willie Rennie has gone.

    HE'S GONE.

    Gone where?
    I think he meant Willie Bain
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Galloway reported to police for retweeting exit poll
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761
    Chameleon said:

    MarqueeMark said:

    HYUFD said:

    Ed Davey loses Kingston

    My favourite result of the night so far.....
    Wait 'till Twickenham.
    Morley and Outwood?
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    Someone tell the woman who beat Murphy that England isn't Scotland. She's awful.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,536
    Plato said:

    Cons hold Stroud, Salisbury and Bexleyheath. Assume that's expected?

    No, Stroud was a key Labour target.
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    LucyJonesLucyJones Posts: 651
    rcs1000 said:

    UKIP 13%, 1 seat.

    Outrageous

    Agree completely.




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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,294
    Chris Mason ‏@ChrisMasonBBC 2m2 minutes ago
    Sources say 122 votes separate Cons & Lab in Bury North
    FULL RECOUNT IN BURY NORTH ...... #GE2015
    9 retweets 1 favorite
    Reply Retweet9 Favorite1 Follow
    More
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 21,203
    Lab Gain Ilford North!!!
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    TW1R64TW1R64 Posts: 56
    Andrew Marr having difficulty hiding his disappointment.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Ilford North

    Lab 43.6%
    Con 42.8%

    Lab +9.4
    Con -2.9
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    Chameleon said:

    HYUFD said:

    Berwickshire a 2 horse race between Tories and SNP, Michael Moore conceded
    https://twitter.com/search?q=berwickshire&src=typd&lang=en-gb

    Ooh. Come on, please have SCUP >SLab.
    That'd be lovely :D
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    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,886
    I didn't think Labour would gain Ilford North even under the assumption the polls were right.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,074
    Sunil to do the walk of shame!
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    SDLP hold Belfast S
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Ave_it said:

    Think we might just fall short of overall majority - 3 net gains so far

    Most of the Southwest and Midlands to come.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,146
    edited May 2015
    Casino_Royale said:

    Huge drift on Con overall majority on Betfair in last couple of minutes. Some think it's now out the question.

    Nothing has changed though. Little to no Lab/Con change in E&W. Add in 25 LD gains and we get to a majority.
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    Pulpstar - Bradford East goes to Lab
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,157
    Ilford North l9oooool
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Tories tripled their majority in Carlisle:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000620
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Bolton NE Labour hold
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Fife NE SNP gain from LD
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    There's ED!!
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    Bob__SykesBob__Sykes Posts: 1,176
    Still not sure the Tories will get to 316 on current results?
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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,885
    Ed appears!
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761
    HYUFD said:

    Galloway reported to police for retweeting exit poll

    Please can we find a way of putting him in prison?
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,833
    Miliband spotted
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,472
    Ed's face was priceless!
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Oh missed that one - the Labour targets just aren't happening much at all - what have they gained so far?
    MarqueeMark said:

    Plato said:

    Cons hold Stroud, Salisbury and Bexleyheath. Assume that's expected?

    No, Stroud was a key Labour target.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,157
    rcs1000 said:

    Pulpstar - Bradford East goes to Lab

    Ilford North too
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    isamisam Posts: 41,118
    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    strange, Milliband does not look Alllllllriiiiiiiiiiiiiiiighhhht.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 115,481
    So whose sides are going to split first? David Miliband's or Tony Blair's?
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    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    Irrespective of the UKIP result I think the vote share for all the peripheral parties indicates a dislike of the traditional politician. If anything comes out of all this I just hope that there will be a change in the way MP's relate to the electorate.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Ed Miliband leaving for his count
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,472
    Slow motion replay!
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,146
    edited May 2015
    I'm hearing that Con has lost two. Apart from the one in London, which is the second?

    Edit: Ilford and Ealing apparently.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Conorpope: Stroud was 16 on Labour's target list. Another Tory hold.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Sandpit said:

    HYUFD said:

    Galloway reported to police for retweeting exit poll

    Please can we find a way of putting him in prison?
    Guantanamo has space...
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    RobD said:

    Sandpit said:

    JosiasJessop said:

    Vandals lose. Charlotte Leslie wins.

    YES!!! A vote for the rule of law.
    Pleased for her. Utterly despicable what happened.
    Deserved win: good MP.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,800
    Ed Miliband....Hell Yeah.....At least I tried.....
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,157
    RodCrosby said:

    SDLP hold Belfast S

    By election soon
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    2 in London

    Ealing Central and Ilford North
    Chameleon said:

    I'm hearing that Con has lost two. Apart from the one in London, which is the second?

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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Chameleon said:

    I'm hearing that Con has lost two. Apart from the one in London, which is the second?

    Ilford North just came through.
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,294
    Cue for the Bruckner 7 slow movement for Doncaster.
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    AlasdairAlasdair Posts: 72
    RobD said:

    Alasdair said:

    Any projections yet???

    BBC still have the one they started with, C316, L 239. Wish they would re-compute it.
    They must have enough data. Probably crying all over their keyboards.
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Bob__Sykes said:

    Still not sure the Tories will get to 316 on current results?

    Lot of Lib Dem seats to hoover up to come.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,012
    foxinsoxuk said:

    Ave_it said:

    Think we might just fall short of overall majority - 3 net gains so far

    Most of the Southwest and Midlands to come.
    Should come back in. Whether we'll get over the line is another question.....
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    GravitationGravitation Posts: 281
    Carmarthan West Con hold
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Casino_Royale said:

    Huge drift on Con overall majority on Betfair in last couple of minutes. Some think it's now out the question.

    Why? I still wouldn't rule it out.
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    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Blue_rog said:

    Irrespective of the UKIP result I think the vote share for all the peripheral parties indicates a dislike of the traditional politician. If anything comes out of all this I just hope that there will be a change in the way MP's relate to the electorate.

    Nothing will change and the electorate will still be taken for granted.
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    There have not really been that many blue-red seat declarations. Most of the attention has been on the SNP highland fling. There seem to be several Labour gains, but patchy.
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    LucyJonesLucyJones Posts: 651
    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    It seems like "Close, but no cigar" will be Ukip's story of the night. Shame.

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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    "Alliance disease", as I warned before.

    You've set yourself up well for 2020, so don't be too downhearted.
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    JGCJGC Posts: 64
    At least I made a good profit on Ilford North
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    edited May 2015
    Con hold Epping Forest and Hertsmere.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    I did predict that, if you recall. Few lost deposits but only a couple of dozen over 20%.

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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,294
    Ed Stoned By voters.
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    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Miliband will have fewer MPs than Foot.
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    SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    Chameleon said:

    HYUFD said:

    Berwickshire a 2 horse race between Tories and SNP, Michael Moore conceded
    https://twitter.com/search?q=berwickshire&src=typd&lang=en-gb

    Ooh. Come on, please have SCUP >SLab.
    If the Libdems somehow managed to hold O & S with Carmichael then Labour could come 4th....(not likely but not impossible)
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,800
    BBC coverage is just a load of Labourites talking among themselves about the Labour Party.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Derbyshire South — 4% swing to the Tories. Used to be Edwina Currie's seat:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000935
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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,885
    Floater said:

    strange, Milliband does not look Alllllllriiiiiiiiiiiiiiiighhhht.

    Probably working out where he's going to put his monolith now..
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,386
    Hard to see Con Maj with losses in London - Con must lose more in London.
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    Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Feck
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761
    Ed, did no-one teach you etiquette? Don't sent your wife around to the other side of the car.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,472
    rcs1000 said:

    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    "Alliance disease", as I warned before.

    You've set yourself up well for 2020, so don't be too downhearted.
    Goodness only knows what will happen in the next five months let alone five years. All very interesting.
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    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Ugh, Carmichael won.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Alasdair said:

    RobD said:

    Alasdair said:

    Any projections yet???

    BBC still have the one they started with, C316, L 239. Wish they would re-compute it.
    They must have enough data. Probably crying all over their keyboards.
    There's no reason to recompute it yet.
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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Go ORKNEY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    3 out of 10.

    Britain Elects @britainelects · 23s 23 seconds ago
    Lib Dems HOLD Orkney and Shetland. No clean sweep for the SNP.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,146
    weejonnie said:

    There have not really been that many blue-red seat declarations. Most of the attention has been on the SNP highland fling. There seem to be several Labour gains, but patchy.

    There really hasn't been many. Two Lab gains from Con - both in London but one Con gain from Lab.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    LibDems hold O&S?
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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Well done Sunil at Ilford N! :lol:
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @TimReidBBC: A Lib Dem hold. Just. Scottish Sec Alistair Carmichael in Orkney and Shetland
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 50,010
    LDs hold Orkney & Shetland - no SNP clean-sweep!
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Heywood and Middleton

    lab 43
    ukip 32
    con 19
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    BBC coverage is just a load of Labourites talking among themselves about the Labour Party.

    Amazing isnt it
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    edited May 2015
    That's THREE. eight more needed. Hear they've edged Hallam.

    So that means seven needed.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    LDs hold Orkney, so no SNP clean sweep
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,146
    edited May 2015
    SLiD > SLab.

    Orkney & Shetland HOLD.
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    GadflyGadfly Posts: 1,191
    Trying to empathise with the Milibands leaving their house, but can't make it happen.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    It would be astonishing if the only Labour gains from Conservative are in London. That's the position at the moment.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @hellobuglers: BREAKING: Ed Miliband linked with the Newcastle United job.
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    No_Offence_AlanNo_Offence_Alan Posts: 4,018
    LDs hold Orkney and Shetland.
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    What seat has Labour lost to the Tories?
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    What was the Bristol North West result?
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,335
    isam said:

    I've got a bad case of seconditus!

    The Thurrock's let me down... ah well, tomorrows another day

    Huge vote for UKIP in your constituency, but no prizes for coming second. Still, we have the council results tomorrow.
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    Where's Dair to comment on O&S?
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    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Recount at Gower
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    edited May 2015
    Lab gain Ilford N, Ealing C, Burnley, Redcar, Brent C, Cardiff C
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    O&S LibDem Hold - Will it be the only non SNP seat ?!?
This discussion has been closed.