Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jim Murphy loses his seat now in what is now Scötterdämmeru

2456710

Comments

  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,146
    Gadfly said:

    Marr sums up the BBC's issue... "London is doing rather well for the Labour party. The only part of the country that is"

    And even that isn't doing too well for them.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,157
    antifrank said:

    Curran thumped

    A 33/1 bet comes home.
    Lol £200 on her at 1-5 worst bet of the election

    33s on Snp £10 somewhat better...

  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,801
    HYUFD said:

    Chuka's majority increased from 3,000 to 10,000

    Racking up votes where they don't need them.
  • Options
    notmenotme Posts: 3,293
    Scott_P said:

    Lots of talk of 'divided nation', but I think Tory majority in England, SNP wipeout in Scotland could be the perfect result.

    Tories offer FFA, Your move Nicola

    Dare the SNP to vote down a #conservative Queen's Speech with the FFA in it?
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,833

    Monty said:

    Ed is toast.

    He'll be gone before Justine even makes his toast for breakfast.
    In which kitchen?
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @SophyRidgeSky: Jack Staw tells Sky News its a "pretty depressing" situation & "it's up to Mr Miliband to decide his own future" #GE2015
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    Farron holds
  • Options
    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Tim Farron survives
  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    So far SNP are at 100% of seats.

    Edinburgh and highlands will decide if its everything.
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Farron in...
  • Options
    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Welsh Tory surge!
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,294
    Farron back - if I read Sky ticker correctly.
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Tim Farron is the second LibDem MP of the night
  • Options
    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Farron stays on
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761
    Farron holds on?
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,833

    will Harriet ever resign or is Deputy for life?

    She has no morals - so no, she will cling on.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,358
    Monty said:

    Really hope Nick P gets back in.

    Ditto
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    edited May 2015
    MM He would certainly be far better than Miliband, remember when Kerry suffered a worse defeat than Gore in 2004 the Democrats went for a telegenic black candidate, I expect Labour to do the same
  • Options
    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Gadfly said:

    Marr sums up the BBC's issue... "London is doing rather well for the Labour party. The only part of the country that is"

    Metropolitan party for a metropolitan area.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,801

    Monty said:

    Ed is toast.

    He'll be gone before Justine even makes his toast for breakfast.
    Haven't you heard they have staff that do that for them....
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    rcs1000 said:

    Farron holds

    2 out of 10.
  • Options
    GadflyGadfly Posts: 1,191
    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:



    kle4 said:

    LDs agreed to coalition and didn't oust clegg before now - he led them to this, but they accepted it.

    The union is still dead though. Cameron could be Jesus he couldn't fix this

    The LD were only interested for the ministerial limos so much they got them up their rear.
    I think that's harsh. I don't think they had any choice.
    Agreed. They did what was needed and don't deserve this wipeout.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    Come on LDs... nine more...

    Hold Cambridge please... hold Cambridge...
  • Options
    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658

    EMWNMITTL.


    arf

  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    notme said:

    Dare the SNP to vote down a #conservative Queen's Speech with the FFA in it?

    Exactly
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Easy win for Farron. 51.5% to 32.2$
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    HYUFD said:

    Chuka's majority increased from 3,000 to 10,000

    Great - Labour will think he is the answer....

    Wrong!
    If Chuka is the answer, you're asking the wrong question.
  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,146
    Dair said:

    So far SNP are at 100% of seats.

    Edinburgh and highlands will decide if its everything.

    And the borders. SCUP larger or equal to SLab is a certainty IMO.
  • Options
    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Redcar incoming
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    The Tories doubled their majority in Worcester:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14001052
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Farron holds

    2 out of 10.
    2 out of 11 please.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,074
    tlg86 said:

    EMWNMITTL.

    Ed Miliband Will Never Make It To Tomorrow Lunchtime?
    Yarp.
  • Options
    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,886
    We haven't had many seats from the North West yet. How are Labour doing there.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682

    Redcar incoming

    Massively easy Labour gain.
  • Options
    SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    Fallon wins with only a 2.5% swing against him
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,536

    So...what do we put down to Tories getting all these swings in England?

    Was it the Tories scare tactics over the Lab+SNP?

    I think people woke up this morning and thought 'Miliband as PM? I can't vote for that'

    I think it is too simple to put it down to one message.

    Lab + SNP for some.
    The horror of Milliband PM for others.
    Balls as CoE for others.
    Stopping UKIP for others.
    Positive vote for finishing off recovering the economy for others.

    The Crosby campaign spoke to all of these are different times. In retrospect it may well have been a masterful campaign. I wonder at which point in the past few days the internal polling started to show this - or was it squeaky bum time for them as well as us?
    We were certainly reading it the last few days. Today, we got very strange responses from phoning the soft Labour vote - over half of it was coming over to the Tories. Thought it was too good to be true. But....
  • Options
    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    LDs lose Redcar to Labour
  • Options
    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713

    Monty said:

    Ed is toast.

    He'll be gone before Justine even makes his toast for breakfast.
    Haven't you heard they have staff that do that for them....
    In which kitchen?
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Cumbernauld etc has gone SNP. That was one of my bigger bets.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 50,010
    Redcar Lab gain from LD
  • Options
    martin day wins
  • Options
    AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    Quite something when 31% swings aren't that surprising anymore.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    Redcar incoming

    LDs stayed 500 votes ahead of UKIP.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Markfergusonuk: Labour loses its no 1 target seat. I’m not sure this has hit rock bottom for Labour yet
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Kle4 As Quebec shows and the success of the Bloc Quebecois in the nineties that is not necessarily the case, though devomax for Scotland in return for EVEL would be sensible
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,801
    edited May 2015
    rcs1000 said:

    Redcar incoming

    Massively easy Labour gain.
    Wasn't there some local issue in RedCar last time around that killed the Labour vote? I seemed to remember some big employer shut down just before the GE.
  • Options
    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    So many interesting counts, and Sky go big on....................Redcar.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,991
    Harlow tory hold? Was that not yet another target?
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 49,083

    HYUFD said:

    Chuka's majority increased from 3,000 to 10,000

    Great - Labour will think he is the answer....

    Wrong!
    If Chuka is the answer, you're asking the wrong question.
    The question they're asking is apparently, "Who will be our IDS to Miliband's Hague?"

  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682

    rcs1000 said:

    Redcar incoming

    Massively easy Labour gain.
    Wasn't there some local issue in RedCar last time around?
    Closure of the steel works...
  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,146
    Scott_P said:

    @Markfergusonuk: Labour loses its no 1 target seat. I’m not sure this has hit rock bottom for Labour yet

    Imagine if they go on to lose more to the Tories in E&W than they gain...
  • Options
    GadflyGadfly Posts: 1,191
    Tessa Jowell so much wants to go home.
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab hold Hartlepool
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 50,010
    Switched from BBC to SKY :)
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    Diane James sadly not standing for UKIP leader
  • Options
    AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    SPIN also crosses the 323 boundary, at 323.5 now. IG 323, spreadex suspended but prolly going to update >=323 as well.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,358
    I doubt many will admit to this soon, but I actually like Clegg. The party is back yo where to where it was many decades ago under his reign, but personally and politically I can find much I like in him.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @carrieapples: Conservatives GAIN Eastleigh
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,294
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects now
    The Lib Dems have said that Simon Hughes has lost in Bermondsey and Old Southwark.
  • Options
    notmenotme Posts: 3,293

    So...what do we put down to Tories getting all these swings in England?

    Was it the Tories scare tactics over the Lab+SNP?

    I think people woke up this morning and thought 'Miliband as PM? I can't vote for that'

    I think it is too simple to put it down to one message.

    Lab + SNP for some.
    The horror of Milliband PM for others.
    Balls as CoE for others.
    Stopping UKIP for others.
    Positive vote for finishing off recovering the economy for others.

    The Crosby campaign spoke to all of these are different times. In retrospect it may well have been a masterful campaign. I wonder at which point in the past few days the internal polling started to show this - or was it squeaky bum time for them as well as us?
    We were certainly reading it the last few days. Today, we got very strange responses from phoning the soft Labour vote - over half of it was coming over to the Tories. Thought it was too good to be true. But....
    The conservative (and labour) canvassing results have been showing this for some time. *no* swing back. Central Office clearly knew exactly where the line was. Which is why they finished the Con campaign in Carlisle.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,668
    Ed Davey gone. First cabinet minister.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,991
    Diane James is an underused UKIP asset.
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2015
    Aberavon

    Kinnock 48.9 -3%
    UKIP 15.8 +14.2%
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Ed Davey gone
  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Chameleon said:

    Dair said:

    So far SNP are at 100% of seats.

    Edinburgh and highlands will decide if its everything.

    And the borders. SCUP larger or equal to SLab is a certainty IMO.
    Highalnd is all SNP

    Border are all SNP

    Edinbrigh all SNP.

    All this by the broadcasters. It looks good for 59/59
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682

    Redcar Lab gain from LD

    Possibly the least surprising result of the evening
  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,146
    Hartlepool LAB HOLD.
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 21,203
    Well at least we can win seats from the LibDems
  • Options
    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    It took some time but here we are!
    Scott_P said:

    @carrieapples: Conservatives GAIN Eastleigh

  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,101
    This has gone curiously quiet......

    https://twitter.com/GOsborneGenius
  • Options
    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766

    Ed Davey gone

    YES!!!
  • Options
    SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    Dair said:

    So far SNP are at 100% of seats.

    Edinburgh and highlands will decide if its everything.

    Think the 3 Borders seats are in the bag then?
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    dr_spyn said:

    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects now
    The Lib Dems have said that Simon Hughes has lost in Bermondsey and Old Southwark.

    Sad
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210

    This has gone curiously quiet......

    https://twitter.com/GOsborneGenius

    Retreated to the bunker?
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,294
    ITV News ‏@itvnews 30s30 seconds ago
    CON Gain Kingston & Surbiton Ed Davey out #GE2015
    9 retweets 4 favorites
    Reply Retweet9 Favorite4
    More
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,358
    HYUFD said:

    Kle4 As Quebec shows and the success of the Bloc Quebecois in the nineties that is not necessarily the case, though devomax for Scotland in return for EVEL would be sensible

    I wish I could believe SNP will go the same way
    Scott_P said:

    @carrieapples: Conservatives GAIN Eastleigh

    Such slaughter.
  • Options
    No_Offence_AlanNo_Offence_Alan Posts: 4,018
    SNP ahead of Cons in seats at the moment.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,801

    This has gone curiously quiet......

    https://twitter.com/GOsborneGenius

    Do we need to send out a search party to the Middle East to make sure he is ok?
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    Kingston Con gain, it appears
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2015
    Hartlepool

    Lab 35.6
    UKIP 28
    Con 20.9
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 115,481
    We've had 4,000 comments since 10pm
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,801
    LOL....Jowell now dissing the Guardian...
  • Options
    NeilVWNeilVW Posts: 729
    edited May 2015
    Harperson on a report that Ed could be toast by lunchtime today: "I take what I read in the Guardian with a pinch of salt"
    LOL
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Stephen Kinnock's vote share in Aberavon dropped by 3%. UKIP up 14%:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/W07000049
  • Options
    PongPong Posts: 4,693

    SNP ahead of Cons in seats at the moment.

    lol
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @bbclaurak: Labour source 'every Labour person still awake is texting about the leadership contest, which starts tmrw'
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    rcs1000 said:

    Kingston Con gain, it appears

    Ashcroft wrong...
  • Options
    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Laura Kuenssberg ‏@bbclaurak 46 secs47 seconds ago

    Labour source 'every Labour person still awake is texting about the leadership contest, which starts tmrw'
  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,146
    edited May 2015
    dr_spyn said:

    ITV News ‏@itvnews 30s30 seconds ago
    CON Gain Kingston & Surbiton Ed Davey out #GE2015
    9 retweets 4 favorites
    Reply Retweet9 Favorite4
    More

    Hehe. Cable is next. When is Twickenham and Hallam?
  • Options
    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Ed Davey gawwwwwnnnn
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,833
    Scott_P said:

    @bbclaurak: Labour source 'every Labour person still awake is texting about the leadership contest, which starts tmrw'

    It has started already - probably some time ago
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,682
    Chameleon said:

    dr_spyn said:

    ITV News ‏@itvnews 30s30 seconds ago
    CON Gain Kingston & Surbiton Ed Davey out #GE2015
    9 retweets 4 favorites
    Reply Retweet9 Favorite4
    More

    Hehe. Cable is next. When is Twickenham and Hallam?
    Will LDs hold Carshalton?
  • Options
    CopperSulphateCopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    Chameleon said:

    Hartlepool LAB HOLD.

    Damn. Any idea of the votes?
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    kle4 said:

    I doubt many will admit to this soon, but I actually like Clegg. The party is back yo where to where it was many decades ago under his reign, but personally and politically I can find much I like in him.

    I think that Nick Clegg will be better thought of with the perspective of time
  • Options
    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    Scott_P said:

    @carrieapples: Conservatives GAIN Eastleigh

    Crikey.
  • Options
    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    God BBC are awful!!!! Sky on Kingston now.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Rotherham incoming
  • Options
    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Cheerio Davey!!!!
  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Saltire said:

    Dair said:

    So far SNP are at 100% of seats.

    Edinburgh and highlands will decide if its everything.

    Think the 3 Borders seats are in the bag then?
    Yep
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,801
    Please say Cable is gone...doesn't deserve to keep his seat after how he has spent the past 5 years.
This discussion has been closed.