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  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Tories increase their maj in Swindon South

    Gobsmacking
  • oxfordsimon
    oxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    SimonStClare said:

    Swindon South - Con hold on 22,777.

    That is a little more than holding on!
  • Jonathan
    Jonathan Posts: 22,107
    LD switchers clearly important, breaking for Dave.
  • Cyclefree
    Cyclefree Posts: 25,709
    NickPalmer said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Our own Nick P is still an ex-MP, according to the Beeb ticker........

    Count still in early stage and I'm told it appears to be close and not yet a clear result, though it would be frankly odd if we gained it in the current national and regional picture. Going over to the count shortly so will sign off in a bit.

    OK, thanks. I wish you personally the best, whatever the result.

  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @MichaelPDeacon: Pretty galling to find out that even though I've been taking the piss out of Ed Miliband for three years I've still overestimated him
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    Big_G_NorthWales said:

    Scrapheap_as_was said:

    he's missed himself off the list

    Tim Montgomerie ن ‏@montie · 4m4 minutes ago
    Biggest losers of the night: Scottish Labour? LibDems? Pollsters? Farage? Galloway? Tory leadership hopefuls?

    Biggest winners are David Cameron and the SNP - would expect DC to make a generous offer to Scotland
    I think he can safely ignore them, he needs the SNP boogeyman under the present conditions to win elections.
  • Artist
    Artist Posts: 1,893
    BBC behind the times again.
  • Monty
    Monty Posts: 346
    Richard_Tyndall said:

    Monty said:

    In my heart I'm not surprised Labour has failed even though it's painful. They haven't found their voice in the modern age yet, and it shows.
    I'm very pleased UKIP has crashed and burned though.
    It isn't healthy for democracy having a reactionary far right group doing well.
    I am worried about Scottish nationalism. Nationalism is an ugly ideology and I fear we will increasingly see that in Scotland.

    Well UKIP are not a reactionary right group. And they have hardly crashed and burned given that it looks like they will end up well into double figures of the vote share
    Well, Farage has lost it seems. And no more than 2 seats max to boot.
    That's what crashing and burns looks like to me.
  • LucyJones
    LucyJones Posts: 651
    Monty said:

    I'm very pleased UKIP has crashed and burned though.
    It isn't healthy for democracy having a reactionary far right group doing well.
    .

    Surely the whole point of democracy is to reflect the will of the people. It isn't "democracy" if one can only vote for the parties or people you approve of.

    FWIW, I don't think it's "democracy" if UKip only win 1-2 seats on, what, 13-14% of the popular vote. Surely their supporters deserve to have their views represented? But that's the system we have.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @itvnews: CON Gain Colchester #GE2015
  • Gadfly
    Gadfly Posts: 1,205
    "Politics is a complex business" Tessa Jowell
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    2% swing in Swindon S to CON
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,714
    I think LibDem tactical voters went to Cons, but Cons voters (like TSE) stayed with with the Cons...
  • The_Apocalypse
    The_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Well Tessa, they lied to you. And you badly need a new leader, a new direction...a new everything.
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,722
    I think Labour need a new spin line...the Exit Poll is terribly wrong, it isn't what people told us, just is looking very silly now.
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229
    i really hope Labour keep Ed. And the stone. Keep wheeling it out - keep getting Tory governments.
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    Swing to Con in Darlington, albeit 0.1.
  • Freggles
    Freggles Posts: 3,487
    Mensch is on C4
  • numbertwelve
    numbertwelve Posts: 7,726
    Tessa Jowell can't believe it. Doesn't believe exit poll. Can't believe results. Doesn't reflect what she saw on the ground.

    What is she even suggesting?
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @paulwaugh: Another body blow to Labour. If this continues, Miliband will surely have to quit Hague-style tmrw https://t.co/95dxHOQqeE
  • JonCisBack
    JonCisBack Posts: 911
    Tessa Jowell looking tired and emotional. Wow
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,714
    Scott_P said:

    @itvnews: CON Gain Colchester #GE2015

    Sir Bob has gone.
  • OblitusSumMe
    OblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Swindon South another awful result for Labour.
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    Freggles said:

    foxinsoxuk said:

    Chameleon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Castle Point

    Con: 23,112
    UKIP: 14,178

    Wow. Big Con hold.

    Con won't lose many to UKIP. Labour on the other hand are looking much more venerable.
    UKIP not doing very well outside the NE. I think proximity to Scotland has increased the vote there.

    It will be interesting to see some WWC seats in the Midlands and North. I have my eyes on Leicester West locally.
    Hartlepool will be interesting, but even up here there is still considerable stigma attached to Ukip.
    Shy UKip
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    foxinsoxuk said:

    Dair said:

    SNP are on the way to well over 50% of teh vote.

    These swings are more than Exit Poll.

    when is the first seat against SLD or SCUP? those could be interesting.
    Fife NE (Ming's old seat) due soon. Most of the rest are not likely until after 3:30
  • kingbongo
    kingbongo Posts: 393
    The_Apocalypse said:

    Well Tessa, they lied to you. And you badly need a new leader, a new direction...a new everything.

    "I cannot reconcile these results with what I heard on the doorstep" hahahahaha
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,802
    rcs1000 said:

    I think LibDem tactical voters went to Cons, but Cons voters (like TSE) stayed with with the Cons...

    I feel incredibly guilty now.

    The Tory party has shafted the Lib Dems.
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Motherwell
    SNP
    Labour 15377
    foxinsoxuk said:

    Dair said:

    SNP are on the way to well over 50% of teh vote.

    These swings are more than Exit Poll.

    when is the first seat against SLD or SCUP? those could be interesting.
    Ages some of these constituencies are huge. Ross and Skye is bigger than Northern Ireland.
  • Y0kel
    Y0kel Posts: 2,307
    SDLP hold South Belfast..and I will have lost a notable amount of money.
  • CopperSulphate
    CopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    Jonathan said:

    LD switchers clearly important, breaking for Dave.

    Labour's policy of throwing insults non-stop at the Lib Dems and their voters obviously didn't have the desired effect.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Peterborough is a Tory hold, contrary to the latest Ashcroft poll.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    Labour hold Hartlepool.

    Ian Reeve @IanReevebiz · 4m 4 minutes ago
    Hartlepool's Cons candidate, Richard Royal, conceded he'll be third. UKIP second. Lab win, he says. #GE2015

    I really don't know where the second UKIP seat will be.
  • Scrapheap_as_was
    Scrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    can I also thank Lord A for his polls helping to completely blind side his tory opponents....
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,311
    ITV News ‏@itvnews 8s9 seconds ago
    CON Gain Brecon & Radnorshire #GE2015
    0 retweets 0 favorites
    Reply Retweet Favorite
    More
  • SimonStClare
    SimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Scott_P said:

    @MichaelPDeacon: Pretty galling to find out that even though I've been taking the piss out of Ed Miliband for three years I've still overestimated him

    Arf - harsh but fair :lol:
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Con confident of increased majority in Pendle
  • Eh_ehm_a_eh
    Eh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Right, the first seat not SNP we'll send the boys round.
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    rcs1000 said:

    I think LibDem tactical voters went to Cons, but Cons voters (like TSE) stayed with with the Cons...

    It has been said before: Cons do not do tactical voting. it is both a problem and a benefit.
  • The_Apocalypse
    The_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    I feel sorry for Dan Hodges.

    Was right about Ed Miliband, but we all have to see his knackers in public

    Did you vote Tory? I ended up voting Labour - but yet I'm gleefully laughing at all the, shall we say, "suboptimal" Lab results so far :)
    Why'd you vote Labour, out of interest Sunil?
  • Bob__Sykes
    Bob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    CON GAIN BRECON - ITV
  • AlastairMeeks
    AlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    East Dunbartonshire - GET IN
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    Scott_P said:

    Polly's feed is s thing of beauty tonight

    @pollytoynbee: Cameron wins now - but he risks losing the history books: the little Englander who broke the Union and took the UK out of the EU.

    Haha now opposition are blaming Cameron for the SNP win. You can't make it up.
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,802
    Peterborough coming up
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    Ah spam filter! Tories gain Vale of Clwyd!!!!! 52nd on their list.
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Adrian Masters @adrianmasters84 · 60 s 60 secondi fa
    Conservative sources say it looks like they've won Vale of Clwyd. A surprise win for them and a big upset for Labour.
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    In Peterborough they are all mad, right?
  • JonCisBack
    JonCisBack Posts: 911
    Can;t work out which of the many astonishing things is the most astonishing

    Polls utterly wrong
    LDs collapsing out of sight
    SNP getting 35% swings
    Labour going backwards
    Tory absolute majority on the cards

    unbelievable stuff happening at every turn
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    Saltire said:

    foxinsoxuk said:

    Dair said:

    SNP are on the way to well over 50% of teh vote.

    These swings are more than Exit Poll.

    when is the first seat against SLD or SCUP? those could be interesting.
    Fife NE (Ming's old seat) due soon. Most of the rest are not likely until after 3:30
    Also Swinston's seat now declaring
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,250
    The_Apocalypse said:

    Well Tessa, they lied to you. And you badly need a new leader, a new direction...a new everything.

    It's a common trait that we only hear what we want to hear. We all fall foul of it at times.

    Add in the fact that people sometimes lie to tell us what we want to hear, and such anecdata is rather flawed.
  • Jonathan
    Jonathan Posts: 22,107
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I think LibDem tactical voters went to Cons, but Cons voters (like TSE) stayed with with the Cons...

    I feel incredibly guilty now.

    The Tory party has shafted the Lib Dems.
    That was a strategy started in 2005. Planned and executed to perfection.
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Majority game on....
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Conservatives have won Brecon and Radnorshire from the Lib Dems.
  • Blueberry
    Blueberry Posts: 408
    Brom said:

    UKIP smashing it in the north and struggling in the south. Confusing!

    Northern kippers could vote with impunity; southern kippers couldn't - too much at stake. Glad I added to the southern kipper tally, but gutted for Farage - a big loss to parliament.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    I'm sorry.. but what the hell is going on????
  • numbertwelve
    numbertwelve Posts: 7,726
    Purseybear said:

    Scott_P said:

    Polly's feed is s thing of beauty tonight

    @pollytoynbee: Cameron wins now - but he risks losing the history books: the little Englander who broke the Union and took the UK out of the EU.

    Haha now opposition are blaming Cameron for the SNP win. You can't make it up.
    There seems to be a peculiar line coming out that it's the Tories fault Labour are losing their seats in Scotland because it's the Tories fault the Nationalists are doing well.

    It's all a bit fatuous. But then in Labourland anything that doesn't work out for them = the fault of the Tories.
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,722
    Oh god Stewart Jackson is back...sigh...
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    edited May 2015
    Swinston loses by about 2000 to SNP
  • Eh_ehm_a_eh
    Eh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Jo Swinson puts up a fight.
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Con hold Peterborough. The Noble Lord wasted his money on his polls.
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,311
    Paul Waugh retweeted
    Carrie Symonds ‏@carrieapples 1m1 minute ago London, England
    CON Gain Colchester
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    Do the BBC actually have cameras at counts?!
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    Slightly dodgy result for us in Peterborough - nice friendly atmosphere at the count!
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    Blueberry said:

    Brom said:

    UKIP smashing it in the north and struggling in the south. Confusing!

    Northern kippers could vote with impunity; southern kippers couldn't - too much at stake. Glad I added to the southern kipper tally, but gutted for Farage - a big loss to parliament.
    I was a Tory and voted Ukip in Woking and I'd like to think I'd have done the same in at Tory-Labour marginal. But it looks a fair point that you make.
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    SWINSON Out.

    SNP win.
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    AndreaParma_82 said:

    Adrian Masters @adrianmasters84 · 60 s 60 secondi fa
    Conservative sources say it looks like they've won Vale of Clwyd. A surprise win for them and a big upset for Labour.

    Tory majority on.
    Saltire said:

    Saltire said:

    foxinsoxuk said:

    Dair said:

    SNP are on the way to well over 50% of teh vote.

    These swings are more than Exit Poll.


    when is the first seat against SLD or SCUP? those could be interesting.
    Fife NE (Ming's old seat) due soon. Most of the rest are not likely until after 3:30
    Also Swinston's seat now declaring
    Isn't that supposed to be close?
  • Richard_Nabavi
    Richard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    AndreaParma_82 said:

    In Peterborough they are all mad, right?

    Yes
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Peterborough Tory hold, Lord A got that wrong then
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,250
    Dair said:

    Motherwell
    SNP
    Labour 15377

    foxinsoxuk said:

    Dair said:

    SNP are on the way to well over 50% of teh vote.

    These swings are more than Exit Poll.

    when is the first seat against SLD or SCUP? those could be interesting.
    Ages some of these constituencies are huge. Ross and Skye is bigger than Northern Ireland.
    Useless fact: Argyll and Bute has a longer coastline than the entirety of France.
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,714
    Dumbartonshire East

    SNP 22,093
    LD 19,926


  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    RobD said:

    I'm sorry.. but what the hell is going on????

    England and Wales has voted against the SNP.
  • Artist
    Artist Posts: 1,893
    A shame that Jo Swinson has gone..
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Swinson loses but only by 2,133. If a few more Tories had voted tactically she could have survived:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/S14000018
  • alex.
    alex. Posts: 4,658
    Are we looking at a Tory landslide here?
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    Aww.
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    That was close in Dunbartonshire East
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,714
    Swinson only just edged out...
  • fitalass
    fitalass Posts: 4,444
    Why?! Have you even bothered to follow the utterly negative and totally unpleasant Labour campaign against Soubry in this seat over the last five years?! Sometimes actions speak louder than words, and I suspect that Soubry's actions fighting for her constituents rather than Nick fighting Soubry personally went along way to sealing the result in this seat.
    Cyclefree said:

    NickPalmer said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Our own Nick P is still an ex-MP, according to the Beeb ticker........

    Count still in early stage and I'm told it appears to be close and not yet a clear result, though it would be frankly odd if we gained it in the current national and regional picture. Going over to the count shortly so will sign off in a bit.

    OK, thanks. I wish you personally the best, whatever the result.

  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    alex. said:

    Are we looking at a Tory landslide here?

    Don't say those words.. you'll jinx it!
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,866
    Not a bad effort by Jo Swinson considering what else is going on in Scotland but another one bites the dust. Tactical voting by tories unsuccessful.
  • AlastairMeeks
    AlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Artist said:

    A shame that Jo Swinson has gone..

    Rubbish. That was one of my 50/1 shots.
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    Dair said:

    SWINSON Out.

    SNP win.

    Only 2% down for the Libdems. It was the SNP going up by 30% that won it.
  • dmc82
    dmc82 Posts: 27
    SNP gain Kirkcaldy
  • Bob__Sykes
    Bob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    ITV coverage seems simple, gimmick free, but interesting and getting results out
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    DUP GAIN - Belfast East from Alliance
  • Carola
    Carola Posts: 1,805
    Looking good for Lucas in Brighton. Reckon I'll be owing Neil fifty quid :)
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    HYUFD said:

    Peterborough Tory hold, Lord A got that wrong then

    I don't think he's got anything right apart from Scotland, and even there he underestimated the SNP.

    Worst pollster in the world.
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    Er we haven't gained a seat yet!
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Eh_ehm_a_eh said:

    Jo Swinson puts up a fight.

    A much closer fight than SLAB put up. She is young enough to get back in next time round, I certainly hope so.
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,714
    DavidL said:

    Not a bad effort by Jo Swinson considering what else is going on in Scotland but another one bites the dust. Tactical voting by tories unsuccessful.

    or "insufficient" :-)
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Tories Anti-SNP vote strategy a masterstroke
  • Moses_
    Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    AndreaParma_82 said:

    Adrian Masters @adrianmasters84 · 60 s 60 secondi fa
    Conservative sources say it looks like they've won Vale of Clwyd. A surprise win for them and a big upset for Labour.

    Ed must now be dragging the resignation speech out and putting the victory speech back in the box
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    Ave_it said:

    Er we haven't gained a seat yet!

    Titter.. something about chickens and counting?
  • Eh_ehm_a_eh
    Eh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Rutherglen 21k majority gooooonne
  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Looks like UKIP are going to have to adopt some left wing policies. I know Steven Woolfe was talking about the benefits of nationalising railways.
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,074
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    I feel sorry for Dan Hodges.

    Was right about Ed Miliband, but we all have to see his knackers in public

    Did you vote Tory? I ended up voting Labour - but yet I'm gleefully laughing at all the, shall we say, "suboptimal" Lab results so far :)
    I did
    I salute your indefatigability etc, etc :smile: 0
  • Flockers_pb
    Flockers_pb Posts: 204
    Random winner of the night: Danny Alexander. When he managed the press office of the Cairn Gorms National Park he never expected to be made a Lord of the realm...
  • numbertwelve
    numbertwelve Posts: 7,726
    Lucy Powell alert!!
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Lucy Powell alert!!!
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,714
    foxinsoxuk said:

    Eh_ehm_a_eh said:

    Jo Swinson puts up a fight.

    A much closer fight than SLAB put up. She is young enough to get back in next time round, I certainly hope so.
    Ashcroft called that one broadly right. LDs actually did slightly better than the polls.
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    They've let her out!
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