Skip to content

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The first litmus test Nuneaton is a Tory Hold with a 3% swi

1235

Comments

  • KingaKinga Posts: 59
    Wee Duggie - TOASTTTTTTTTT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  • dmc82dmc82 Posts: 27
    SNP gain Paisley & Renfrewshire South
  • FlightpathlFlightpathl Posts: 1,243
    Dear BenM - there are no Blairites in Labour to elect as leader. Who is going to lead them?

    Not Dougie Alexander
  • RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Wee Dougie is toast - look at his face!
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 8,332
    Bye bye Dougie
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    Douglas Alexander goes
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Paisley duggie alex has gone !!!

    Hahahaha
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    isam said:

    Ooer Labour think they've won Thurrock...Betfair think so too

    Were is the second seat?
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    edited May 2015
    SNP WIN PAISLEY SOUTH.

    Why was Dougie even caring about spoilt ballots?
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,268
    edited May 2015
    Le (expected) Portillo moment.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2015
    Paisley South:

    SNP 23,548
    Lab 17,864
    Con 3,526
    LD 1,010
    SSP 278
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Wee Doug out
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,831
    oxfordsimon said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    Farron will be next LD leader. Clegg's leadership has pretty much been a failure. I think it'll take a generation for both the LDs and Labour to come back from this.

    Not if Ashdown has any say in it - there is no love lost there at all.
    Ashdown has backed Clegg, who is so toasted, he may as well be ashes.
  • Flockers_pbFlockers_pb Posts: 204
    Respect to BenM - honest post. Not sure the prescription is correct. Sturgeon has demonstrated that a leftist platform need not be unpopular. Miliband failed for want of credibility (and because his shadow cabinet largely let him swing), not because he positioned himself too far to the left. Indeed polls show his modest forays to the left were all popular, or at least populist.
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    DUP hold on in Upper Bann. DUP probably no overall change in their MP numbers.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited May 2015
    Douglas Alexander toast. Well burnt toast.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 88,691
    Wee Dougie gonnneeeeeeeeeeeeeeee.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Bye Dougie!
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    GET THE NUT IN!!!!!!
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Alexander massacred
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 62,183
    Speedy said:

    isam said:

    Ooer Labour think they've won Thurrock...Betfair think so too

    Were is the second seat?
    Castle Point
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    I for one would like to thank Nicola Sturgeon for being instrumental in saving us from Ed.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,927
    Douglas Alexander? He gawwwwn.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 47,787
    If they get a majority, then the Conservatives need to hold out sweeties not only to Scotland, but also the north. If we are truly to be One Nation, that is.

    HS2 and HS3 might be small steps in that process.

    (I knew I'd squeeze HS2 into a post this evening somehow)
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 57,997
    Bye bye Dougie, beaten by the undergrad student!
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    And so the slaughter begins and the Labourites in denial (not on here) start to see what the exit poll said.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 56,474
    edited May 2015
    Paisley & Renfrewshire falls to SNP... Dougie out!
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 68,068
    Douglas Alexander gone
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 56,757
    Goodbye Dougie. One bit of rare good news for SLAB tonight. Worst. Campaign. Manager. Ever.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,487
    I was rather looking forward to potentially doing some serious ribbing on here in the event of EICIPM, so it's only fair that the PBTories on here have their fun.

    :)
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,831
    Congrats to the Mhairi Black. Really happy for her :)
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 88,691
    MyBurningEars said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    Scrapheap_as_was said:

    Yay a LD hold!!!!!



    Dr Éoin Clarke @LabourEoin
    16m 16 minutes ago
    Still see no reason, whatsoever, to change my view that David Cameron's career is over.

    He really is a total moron. Why he has so many followers I have no idea, when he is consistently caught out lying and / or just plain wrong.
    Dr Eoin is one of those irritating overeducated blogcentric media nodes who somehow manages to consistently beam out negative quantities of information. I'm just glad he hasn't turned into a media darling a la Owen Jones.
    Thanks for small mercies.
  • NeilVWNeilVW Posts: 750
    Were you up for wee Dougie? Delicious.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,359
    Was Wee Duggie in charge of this Labour campaign?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 47,787
    John_M said:

    I for one would like to thank Nicola Sturgeon for being instrumental in saving us from Ed.

    It might be that the Conservatives did not need the SNP.
  • isamisam Posts: 42,943
    Speedy said:

    isam said:

    Ooer Labour think they've won Thurrock...Betfair think so too

    Were is the second seat?
    Will there be one?

    Hartlepool?!
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    Poor Wee Dougie.

    Who's next?
  • TabmanTabman Posts: 1,046
    numbertwelve said:

    Aren't we normally getting a few more results in by now?

    Come on!!

    Turnout is up. Takes longer to count
  • CopperSulphateCopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    edited May 2015
    Labour getting stuffed by 20 year old students now.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 8,332
    Slackbladder said:

    Scrapheap_as_was said:

    George Eaton ‏@georgeeaton · 2m2 minutes ago
    Labour HQ source: "Ed has to resign tomorrow. Everyone here accepts that."

    Ed is toast
    I am really looking forward to the inevitable newspaper stories about where the stone ended up...
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,850
    20 year old student is now MP for Paisley. The world is changing.
  • john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    bye bye wee Dougie
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,818
    We knew it was coming, but it's another thing to see it.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,854
    CopperSulphate said:

    I honestly can't believe some of these results. Labour being given a well deserved boot up the arse.

    About time.
    antifrank said:

    Anyway, now we now that polls are useless, what are we going to talk about for the next five years?

    Oh, I think there will be plenty of politics, don't you?

    And kudos to you over Scotland and Scotterdammerung!
    Freggles said:

    Clare Gerada of Royal College of GPs tweets "We need a revolution"

    Go to bed doctor

    I know her. There is a revolution. Just not the one she wants.

    Douglas Alexander out.

  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,834
    watford30 said:

    Poor Wee Dougie.

    Who's next?

    Balls, one hopes? :D
  • dmc82dmc82 Posts: 27
    27% swing lab to SNP in Paisley South
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 131,263
    Douglas Alexander succumbs to the SNP tidal wave, could it be touch and go between Tories and Labour to be official Scottish opposition at Westminster. Gracious speech by young SNP candidate
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Wonder what all the Scot Lab big nobs wigs are going to do with their time now?
  • Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    Flockers_pb said:

    Respect to BenM - honest post. Not sure the prescription is correct. Sturgeon has demonstrated that a leftist platform need not be unpopular. Miliband failed for want of credibility (and because his shadow cabinet largely let him swing), not because he positioned himself too far to the left. Indeed polls show his modest forays to the left were all popular, or at least populist.

    It's the Scots voting for the bigger free money tree on offer from the SNP
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 88,691
    antifrank said:

    Freggles said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    If Labour pick Burnham for leader they are stupid.....not leadership material.

    Who then?
    Ed Balls would be best. Yvette Cooper would be fine.
    Balls too much baggage, people forgot how poor Cooper was as a minister.

    The short answer for Labour, I don't know....I said this before how piss poor the Labour shadow cabinet is.
  • GravitationGravitation Posts: 287
    If only other SNP members could sound as level-heading and reasonable.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Good speech by Mhairi Black
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Markfergusonuk: Labour’s election coordinator loses his seat to a twenty year old. If you want your example of how fucked Labour is, there you go
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 57,997
    To BenM : Fair play to you Sir, politics as we wish to see it.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,487
    I think Mhairi's speech needs revising...
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    Freggles said:

    I was rather looking forward to potentially doing some serious ribbing on here in the event of EICIPM, so it's only fair that the PBTories on here have their fun.

    :)

    That's sweet. There's a lot of magnanimity on here.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 88,691
    edited May 2015
    Is she old enough to stand?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 62,183
    Conservatives, SNP only winners tonight.
    LDs massacred, UKIP suffering from "Alliance disease".
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,365
    It is moments like this that I realise what a knob I would have been if elected at 20. Crackingly good speech for someone of this young lady's experience. Totally disagree with her, but she'll go far.
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    SLAB msp was just saying he expected Doogie to win, just as the count was announced.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    yes
    dr_spyn said:

    Was Wee Duggie in charge of this Labour campaign?

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 56,757
    In fairness she is a lot more articulate than I was at 20.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 47,787
    MyBurningEars said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    Scrapheap_as_was said:

    Yay a LD hold!!!!!



    Dr Éoin Clarke @LabourEoin
    16m 16 minutes ago
    Still see no reason, whatsoever, to change my view that David Cameron's career is over.

    He really is a total moron. Why he has so many followers I have no idea, when he is consistently caught out lying and / or just plain wrong.
    Dr Eoin is one of those irritating overeducated blogcentric media nodes who somehow manages to consistently beam out negative quantities of information. I'm just glad he hasn't turned into a media darling a la Owen Jones.
    The other day I was amused to see Nick Palmer (ex-maybe-not-ex-MP) had retweeted something from Eoin.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,268
    edited May 2015
    isam said:

    Speedy said:

    isam said:

    Ooer Labour think they've won Thurrock...Betfair think so too

    Were is the second seat?
    Will there be one?

    Hartlepool?!
    UKIP will pick up about 5 IMO, excluding Clacton they will have all been held by Lab since the '97 landslide.

    Also: Black is doing a decent acceptance speech - even if I don't like her policies.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,689
    27% swing. OMG.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,487
    Purseybear said:

    Freggles said:

    I was rather looking forward to potentially doing some serious ribbing on here in the event of EICIPM, so it's only fair that the PBTories on here have their fun.

    :)

    That's sweet. There's a lot of magnanimity on here.
    The alternative is 5 years of grinding denial! Best to just try and accept it!
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,818
    SNP gain Dunbartonshire
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Darlington

    Lab +3.5
    Con +3.7
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    This is a cultural tsunami. Glasgow no longer belongs to Labour. I never thought I would see that in my lifetime. Thought the Gorbals Micks would rule for ever.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 124,607

    NEW THREAD

  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 8,332
    Can the BBC just focus on one thing rather than starting on something and wrenching away to something else every 30 seconds?
  • isamisam Posts: 42,943
    Sturgeon does speak very well I have to say
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,818
    34% swing Dunbartonshire West!!
  • KingaKinga Posts: 59
    Wee Duggie about to start crying.
  • FlightpathlFlightpathl Posts: 1,243
    Oh dear - a student filled full of 'progressive politics' is coming to Westminster.
    And yes --- there it is 'Scrapping trident'

    Thats what its all about from the far left in Scotland.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    34% Swing to SNP in Dunbartonshire West.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Ha, SNP girl thinks that Scotland's voice will be now heard.
    It will be safely ignored now.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    28% majority for SNP in West Dunbartonshire
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Paisley result is awesome :lol:
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Dundee west goes SNP
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Dundee West tick.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2015
    34% swing to SNP in Dunbartonshire West:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/S14000059
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 47,787
    The intellectual heart is being ripped out of Labour.

    Good.
  • SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    34% swing in West Dunbartonshire to SNP. They could gain Bootle by the end of the night :smile:
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,834
    new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread new thread
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,812
    NEW THREAD
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 47,787
    edited May 2015
    Dup.
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Ochil tick
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,854
    Our own Nick P is still an ex-MP according to the Beeb......
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    JosiasJessop said:

    John_M said:

    I for one would like to thank Nicola Sturgeon for being instrumental in saving us from Ed.

    It might be that the Conservatives did not need the SNP.
    Well, anecdote alert, my Mum (from the Rhondda) voted Tory for the first time in her life at 78. Reason being that she didn't like the idea of a Labour/SNP coalition.

    Given that she STILL refers to the blessed Margaret as 'Thatcher the Snatcher', you may colour me surprised. Of course, she lives in an unimportant seat, but I'd hazard a guess she's not alone.
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Falkirk, tick
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346
    I hope Labour see sense after this result and adopt PR.
    It may be the only way to preserve the Union.
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Glenrothes,tick
  • RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Jockalypse in magnificent full swing.

    Will it be followed in years to come with a CaTaffStrophe?
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,927
    John_M said:

    JosiasJessop said:

    John_M said:

    I for one would like to thank Nicola Sturgeon for being instrumental in saving us from Ed.

    It might be that the Conservatives did not need the SNP.
    Well, anecdote alert, my Mum (from the Rhondda) voted Tory for the first time in her life at 78. Reason being that she didn't like the idea of a Labour/SNP coalition.

    Given that she STILL refers to the blessed Margaret as 'Thatcher the Snatcher', you may colour me surprised. Of course, she lives in an unimportant seat, but I'd hazard a guess she's not alone.
    The Tories were hoping for an 'English [and Welsh] veer' in the face of the SNP menace. Looks like they've got it.

  • kingbongokingbongo Posts: 393
    so NPXMP is still NPXMP - seems SOubry hadn't given up after all
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,927
    35% swing.

    Amazing.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,359
    Whatever made Gordon Brown decide not to contrest this election. It would have been waiting for that Kirkcaldy moment.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,359
    ITV News ‏@itvnews 9s9 seconds ago
    CON Hold Swindon South #GE2015
  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    Nick Palmer must look doubtful in Broxtowe given other results tonight.
This discussion has been closed.

© Vanilla Keystone Theme 2025